March 24, 2009

Team Offense, San Diego Padres

Adrian Gonzalez

Adrian Gonzalez
Photo: Icon SMI

The series on team offense finishes with the San Diego Padres. I plug the probable lineup from CBSSportsLine into the Lineup Analysis Tool, and fill in the numbers with Marcel the Monkey projections. For pitchers, I used San Diego’s numbers from 2008. The results:

  • Best lineup: 4.58 runs per game
  • Probable lineup: 4.36 runs per game
  • Worst lineup: 4.06 runs per game
  • Regressed lineup: 4.26 runs per game

The Padres scored 3.93 runs per game in 2008.

There’s not much offense here. Three position players project to OBAs below .320. Four project to slugging percentages below .410. Adrian Gonzalez is the only complete hitter on the team. The Padres front office did a lousy job of trying to improve this team. I’ll chalk up part of this for the turmoil in ownership limiting funds, but a sabermetrically oriented front office should really do better. The only thing that’s really improving the Padres here is regression to the mean. It’s tough to be as bad as they were last year.

Other teams in this series:

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