
Yovani Gallardo tries to solve his power issues against the Nationals. Photo: Icon SMI
Toronto and Boston continue their Patriot Day weekend series with Jesse Litsch taking on Jon Lester. While the Blue Jays hope Listch returns to his 2008 form, so far he surpassed that in one regard, his strikeouts. With 11 K in 11 1/3 innings, this is not the low strikeout pitcher the Toronto fans knew. The strikeouts are covering a rise in his walk level, so we’ll see which of the two hold up. If he can maintain the whiffs while regaining control, Jesse will look like an ace. Lester recovered from his poor first start to strike out 17 batters during his last 14 innings without allowing a home run.
Yovani Gallardo and Jason Marquis face off in the first game of the Brewers/Nationals double header. The positive note for Gallardo is his 2.70 ERA. On the negative side, he walked 9 and struck out just eight in 20 innings. Gallardo is a power pitcher, so if his Ks remain low, I would tend to think something is wrong with him. Marquis is just the opposite. He’s never shown much ability to strike out a ton of batters, but owns 11 K with just two walks in his first 12 1/3 innings this season.
Clayton Richard and Brett Myers battle in Houston as the Padres go for a series split with the Astros. Richard, a left-handed pitcher, has been nearly unhittable this season. Left-handed batters are just 3 for 14 with no walks and no extra base hits, while righties post a .195/.267/.317 slash line against him. Myers is not only doing a good job of keeping batters off base (.284 OBP allowed), but does an even better job of stranding them as they are just 1 for 15 with runners in scoring position. Only one of the five extra base hits he allowed came with men on base.
The Mariners send rookie Michael Pineda against the Royals and Jeff Francis as the Royals try to hang on to at least a tie for first in the AL Central. Pineda, in his first year in the majors, showed strength so far in the three true outcomes, with good K, BB and HR rates (he’s yet to allow a long ball). Francis is inducing the highest percentage of ground balls in his career. He’s throwing his change up more, and while it comes in with the same horizontal movement as his fastball, it drops more so batters might top it.

Jeff Francis fastball and change up movement, 2011. Fastball light green, change up blue.
Finally, ESPN offers a contest between first place teams as the Yankees host the Rangers. Alexi Ogando faces CC Sabathia. Ogando allowed just four hits and no runs in his first two starts, covering 13 innings. A right-handed pitcher, lefties are just 2 for 28 against him. Sabathia pitched well enough to win his three starts, but brings an 0-1 record into the game despite a 1.45 ERA. Milliliter has shown some control problems, walking seven batters in his 18 2/3 innings of work. He’s kept out of big trouble, however, with a .125 BA allowed with runners in scoring position.
Enjoy!
Thanks to Baseball Analytics for the heat map.