The bottom of the Blue Jays lineup gets the run back in the bottom of the sixth. Ernie Clement singles and steals second, then Andres Gimenez doubles him home. Toronto now leads Los Angeles 4-2 with a man on second, none out, and the top of the order up.
Update: Tyler Glasnow gets the next three batters, and Toronto takes a two run lead into the seventh inning,
With two out in the bottom of the third inning, Ernie Clement hits a fly ball that bounces off the top of the wall in leftfield for a triple. Then Addison Barger follows with a fly ball over the wall in rightfield, and the Blue Jays lead 4-0 at the end of three.
The Blue Jays get a double by Daulton Varsho leading off the bottom of the second, and he winds up on third as Aaron Judge of the Yankees misplayed the ball. It didn’t matter as Ernie Clement homered on the next pitch to give Toronto an early 2-0 lead.
Trey Yesavage got four of his first six outs on the K.
For the past few years Baseball Musings tried to help with playing Beat the Streak. The Day by Day Database keeps track of hit streak of at least five games. In addition, two programs produce top ten lists of players with a high probability of a hit.
Here are the top picks my programs produced for use in Beat the Streak. This post mostly explains the ideas behind the calculations. In addition, this post shows tests on the Neural Network (NN). This post discusses an NN that includes the ballpark. I updated the models, and the results of those tests are here.
The Log5 Method yields these top projected hit averages versus starting pitchers:
The Blue Jays get to take on the hittable Freeland. Note that Freeland pitched a bit better recently, allowing 25 hits in 26 2/3 innings since the start of July.
The NN produces this list of batters with a high probability of collecting at least one hit:
Bichette and Clement get unanimous nod from the two systems.
You can follow the NN results on this spreadsheet. I do not guarantee results. Your best pick is going to have about a 25% chance of not getting a hit. Good luck!
Kyle Schwarber of the Phillies moved into second place in the Baseball Musings Batter Rankings as he tied for the best game score of the day, an 80 in a 13-3 win over the Orioles. He went three for five with two home runs to bring his season total to 40. Jose Ramirez of the Guardians stayed in first place with a walk in a 7-6 win over the Mets. He holds a five point lead over Schwarber.
The injured Jackson Chourio of the Brewers remained in third place. Milwaukee beat the Braves 3-1.
Corey Seager of the Rangers dropped to fourth place after an 0 for 5 in an 8-5, ten inning win over the Yankees. New York and Seattle are now tied for the second wild card slot in the AL while Texas sits 1 1/2 games back. Bobby Witt Jr. of the Royals took fifth place with two singles and a walk in an 8-5 Red Sox win. In his last seven games Witt posted a .394 OBP and a .500 slugging percentage. The Red Sox won their sixth game in a row.
The other game score of 80 came off the bat of Ernie Clement of the Blue Jays in a 15-1 win in Colorado. He collected five hits in six at bats with a double and a triple. Clement’s strength is hitting singles, so it was nice to see him add a little power on the evening.
For the past few years Baseball Musings tried to help with playing Beat the Streak. The Day by Day Database keeps track of hit streak of at least five games. In addition, two programs produce top ten lists of players with a high probability of a hit.
Here are the top picks my programs produced for use in Beat the Streak. This post mostly explains the ideas behind the calculations. In addition, this post shows tests on the Neural Network (NN). This post discusses an NN that includes the ballpark. I updated the models, and the results of those tests are here.
The Log5 Method yields these top projected hit averages versus starting pitchers:
None of these batters own a hit streak of at least five games at the moment.
The NN produces this list of batters with a high probability of collecting at least one hit:
0.313, 0.738 — Jacob Wilson batting vs. Logan Webb.
0.303, 0.711 — Ernie Clement batting vs. Jack Kochanowicz.
0.264, 0.706 — Luis Arraez batting vs. Jack Leiter.
0.287, 0.705 — Aaron Judge batting at Frankie Montas.
0.289, 0.703 — Ronald Acuna Jr. batting vs. Dean Kremer.
0.308, 0.701 — Lenyn Sosa batting at German Marquez.
0.288, 0.697 — Jose Ramirez batting vs. Casey Mize.
0.275, 0.696 — Trea Turner batting vs. Nick Lodolo.
0.253, 0.695 — Bobby Witt Jr. batting at Ryne Nelson.
0.286, 0.694 — Steven Kwan batting vs. Casey Mize.
Witt is on the hit streak list with a streak of eight games. Wilson is the unanimous pick for Saturday, with Clement the double down pick. Clement is another low walk, low strikeout, high BABIP hitter who should be good at finding holes in the defense.
You can follow the NN results on this spreadsheet. I do not guarantee results. Your best pick is going to have about a 25% chance of not getting a hit. Good luck!
For the past few years Baseball Musings tried to help with playing Beat the Streak. The Day by Day Database keeps track of hit streak of at least five games. In addition, two programs produce top ten lists of players with a high probability of a hit.
Here are the top picks my programs produced for use in Beat the Streak. This post mostly explains the ideas behind the calculations. In addition, this post shows tests on the Neural Network (NN). This post discusses an NN that includes the ballpark. I updated the models, and the results of those tests are here.
The Log5 Method yields these top projected hit averages versus starting pitchers:
Opponents are hitting .313/.367/.480 against Marquez. A singles hitter should have a field day against him. Frelick is a singles hitter, with a career isolated power of 0.087.
The NN produces this list of batters with a high probability of collecting at least one hit:
This list goes to eleven today to get Frelick on both. Wilson tops this one and is the consensus top pick. Stroman comes off the illjured list after giving up 13 hits in 10 1/3 innings at AA. I would not rule out Clement playing at Fenway either. He is a rising star of the NN.
You can follow the NN results on this spreadsheet. I do not guarantee results. Your best pick is going to have about a 25% chance of not getting a hit. Good luck!
For the past few years Baseball Musings tried to help with playing Beat the Streak. The Day by Day Database keeps track of hit streak of at least five games. In addition, two programs produce top ten lists of players with a high probability of a hit.
Here are the top picks my programs produced for use in Beat the Streak. This post mostly explains the ideas behind the calculations. In addition, this post shows tests on the Neural Network (NN). This post discusses an NN that includes the ballpark. I updated the models, and the results of those tests are here.
The Log5 Method yields these top projected hit averages versus starting pitchers:
Judge is currently in a one for fifteen funk. Clement and Kirk are both producing seasons with low walks and strikeouts and high batting averages.
The NN produces this list of batters with a high probability of collecting at least one hit:
Judge tops both list with Clement the consensus double down choice. Clement is working on an eight-game hit streak. Judge and Acuna are the only players that are also included on the MLB Beat the Streak list.
You can follow the NN results on this spreadsheet. I do not guarantee results. Your best pick is going to have about a 25% chance of not getting a hit. Good luck!
Ernie Clement of the Blue Jays came into Sunday’s game against the Orioles three for 31, an .097 batting average. He improved that today, going four for five with a double and two runs scored. That brought his BA up to .194! His final hit in the tenth inning moved the placed runner to third, when he scored on a soft ground ball. The Blue Jays win the game with that run 7-6.