The Braves travel to Milwaukee for the Brewers season opener as Brandon Beachy takes on Chris Narveson. I’m looking forward to Beachy pitching regularly in the majors, as his last name should generate plenty of good post titles. More importantly, his minor league numbers were outstanding, 9.9 K per 9 and 2.1 walks per nine. If he can come close to those number, he’ll be known as the Georgia Peachy. Narveson moved from the bullpen to the rotation last year, at a cost to his strikeout rate. Through 2009, he averaged 9.3 K per 9 IP, but that dropped to 7.4 last season.
Jake Arrieta and the Orioles host Rick Porcello and the Tigers as Baltimore returns home in first place in the AL East, one of four undefeated teams remaining in the majors. Rick improved his walk and home run rates in his sophomore year of 2010, but saw his ERA jump up a run. In a great example of luck evening out, he outperformed his FIP in 2009, but underperformed the number in 2010. For his career, however, his 4.43 ERA is close to his 4.55 FIP. Arrieta hopes to improve as he begins his sophomore year of pitching. He struck out four fewer per nine in the majors than he did in the minors, and bring that rate back up will be important in making him a successful major league pitcher.
The Twins take on their post-season nemesis as they send Scott Baker against the Yankees and Ivan Nova in New York. Baker pitched well against the Yankees during his regular season career, although his great K, BB and HR numbers seem much better than his 4.15 ERA. Nova made big strikes in his second year at AAA, raising his K rate and lowering his walk rate. Now he needs to show he can carry that over to the majors.
Finally, Erick Bedard returns from injury. He missed the entire 2010 season and made only 15 starts in each of his first two years with Seattle. We’ll see if he’s close to the pitcher he was with the Orioles, or an injury waiting to happen. He’ll visit the Rangers, fresh off their sweep of the Red Sox. At his best, Bedard was great at inducing ground balls, something he’ll need against homer happy Texas. Derek Holland takes the hill for the Rangers. Right-handed batters tend to collect Long hits off Derek, especially at home.
Enjoy!