The Indians lost a game in the standings to the Athletics and Rays Wednesday night. That brings the probability of a three-way for the two AL Wild Card slots down to 0.0352. There are three ways the tie can happen, the most probable also being the one with the most wins. Oakland and Tampa Bay would win two more games for 97 wins, while Cleveland would go 4-0. The Rays have the night off, so the best outcome for the scenario would be an Oakland loss and a Rays win.