The Mets go for their ninth straight victory as they send Mike Pelfrey against the Yankees and Phil Hughes. Both pitchers come into the game with 9-1 records, Pelfrey earning his with an ERA about 0.7 runs lower than Hughes. Last season, when Mike allowed an ERA of 5.03, he allowed 19.5 home runs per 200 innings, a good rate. This season, that’s down to 6.9 home runs per 200 innings, a great rate. Phil Hughes is in an interesting slump. Over his last six starts, he’s struck out and walked batters at extremely good rates, but owns a 4.95 ERA. Opponents have hit .353 with runners in scoring position in that time, raising his ERA.
Jered Weaver and the Angels continue their series in Chicago against the Cubs and Ted Lilly. Lilly is coming off a near no-hitter his last time out. He’s 2-5 despite a 2.90 ERA, as the Cubs scored two runs or less in his last five starts and seven of his last eight. Ted has two short shutouts in his last five, and those are the only two the Cubs won. Weaver continues to have his best year in terms of strikeouts and walks, leading to his lowest ERA since his rookie season.
Yovani Gallardo battles Jeff Francis as the Brewers face the Rockies. Milwaukee was shut out for the seventh time this season Friday night, losing 2-0. The Brewers scored three runs or less in a game 29 times this season, going 4-25. The Rockies have done so 28 times, but have an 8-20 record, sixth best in the majors. Gallardo start nine of those low scored Brewers games, and all four of their wins came in his starts. Yovani is undefeated on the road this year, with 50 strikeouts in 42 innings pitched. Francis has a low strikeout rate, but he’s not walking many batters and holding opponents to a .279 OBP in Coors this season.
Finally, the Reds and Mariners face off in Seattle with Sam LeCure facing Felix Hernandez. Sam has not pitched as well as his 3.75 ERA indicates, but he’s limited opponents to a .136 BA with runners in scoring position. Hernandez is giving up a few more home runs than ususal, but his big problem comes from a lack of support. The Mariners scored three runs or less in six of his last ten starts.
Enjoy!