The Athletics beat the White Sox 2-0 on Friday. Chicago needs to win eight more games to finish with a higher winning percentage than the 1962 Mets (.250). Here are the three generous estimates of their intrinsic winning percentage and probability of no more than 40 wins stand at:
| Method | Intrinsic WPct | Probability of No More than 40 Wins |
| 95% Confidence Interval based on actual wins | 0.292 | 0.973 |
| Replacement Level | 0.296 | 0.971 |
| 95% Confidence Interval based on Pythagorean wins (+8) | 0.350 | 0.925 |
Chicago only needs six more wins to finish with a better winning percentage than the 1916 Athletics. That team went 36-117, a .2353 winning percentage. If the White wind up 38-124, they would own a .2346 winning percentage, and set the modern record for lowest winning percentage in a season. Here are the probabilities for that happening:
| Method | Intrinsic WPct | Probability of No More than 38 Wins |
| 95% Confidence Interval based on actual wins | 0.292 | 0.800 |
| Replacement Level | 0.296 | 0.791 |
| 95% Confidence Interval based on Pythagorean wins (+8) | 0.350 | 0.641 |
They are almost certain to finish worse than the 1962 Mets, and only the most generous probability based on their bad luck gives then a 5/8 chance than of finishing worse than the 1916 Athletics. In fact they are now favorites in every scenario to be the worst team of the modern era.
Someone should do a “World Series” simulation between the White Sox and the 1962 Mets.