With the Reds winning Monday night and the Marlins losing, the four-way race for the final two NL Wild Card slots has the teams separated by one game. The Diamondbacks, at 79-72 lead the Cubs (78-72) and the Reds (79-73) by 1/2 game, with the Marlins one game back at 78-73. The probability of a four-way tie now stands at 0.00609, or about 1 in 164. The most likely finish for the tie would be at 84 wins.

The best results for today would be:

• The Marlins defeat the Mets.
• The Reds defeat the Twins.
• The Cubs lose to the Pirates.
• The Diamondbacks fall to the Giants.

This would put all four teams at 73 losses.