For the past few years Baseball Musings tried to help with playing Beat the Streak. MLB is not offering the game during the short 2020 season, but people indicated they can still use the data. The Day by Day Database keeps track of hit streak of at least five games. In addition, two programs produce top ten lists of players with a high probability of a hit. If you find this useful, please support Baseball Musings with a donation.

Here are the top picks my programs produced for use in Beat the Streak. This post mostly explains the ideas behind the calculations. In addition, this post shows tests on the Neural Network (NN). This post discusses an NN that includes the ballpark. I updated the models, and the results of those tests are here.

Here are the Log5 Method picks:

• 0.334 — Jose Iglesias batting against Michael Wacha.
• 0.333 — Hanser Alberto batting against Michael Wacha.
• 0.321 — Corey Seager batting against Luke Weaver.
• 0.314 — Mookie Betts batting against Luke Weaver.
• 0.314 — Victor Reyes batting against Adrian Houser.
• 0.310 — Tim Anderson batting against Joe Musgrove.
• 0.302 — Trea Turner batting against Ryan Yarbrough.
• 0.298 — Alex Verdugo batting against Zach Eflin.
• 0.297 — Willy Adames batting against Anibal Sanchez.
• 0.293 — A.J. Pollock batting against Luke Weaver.

There are three double headers today, so be careful picking certain games. I have Iglesias with a 1.3% chance of hitting .400 this year, but not in enough PA to qualify for the batting title outright. He could still win if this BA is much higher than the top qualifier.

Here are the NN picks:

• 0.333, 0.749 — Hanser Alberto batting against Michael Wacha.
• 0.334, 0.747 — Jose Iglesias batting against Michael Wacha.
• 0.310, 0.743 — Tim Anderson batting against Joe Musgrove.
• 0.302, 0.728 — Trea Turner batting against Ryan Yarbrough.
• 0.314, 0.725 — Victor Reyes batting against Adrian Houser.
• 0.277, 0.723 — DJ LeMahieu batting against Taijuan Walker.
• 0.321, 0.721 — Corey Seager batting against Luke Weaver.
• 0.314, 0.717 — Mookie Betts batting against Luke Weaver.
• 0.298, 0.716 — Alex Verdugo batting against Zach Eflin.
• 0.282, 0.710 — Charlie Blackmon batting against Michael Clevinger.
• 0.282, 0.710 — Donovan Solano batting against Ljay Newsome.

Alberto comes out on top as he owns the better three-season hit average, the most important parameter to the NN.

You can follow the NN results on this spreadsheet. I do not guarantee results. Your best pick is going to have about a 25% chance of not getting a hit. Good luck!