Pablo Lopez faces Drew Rasmussen as the Twins and Rays finish their series in Tampa. Lopez is on his way to the best season of his career with a 2.31 ERA. He continued a three-year decline in his walk rate, and enhanced that with fewer balls leaving the park. Rasmussen is in his fifth straight season with an ERA under 3.00, although this is the first time he topped 50 innings since 2022. He allowed just a dozen walks in 52 innings.

Shane Smith leads the White Sox against the Mets and Griffin Canning. The rookie Smith owns a 2.36 ERA in 53 1/3 innings, but also allowed seven unearned runs. His strong suit comes from limiting home runs, just three allowed this season. Canning likes to get in batters kitchens, with 47 K and just 45 hits allowed in 50 innings.

The Braves battle the Phillies with AJ Smith-Shawver taking on Zack Wheeler. AJ Smith-Shawver brings a low home run rate against a good home run hitting team. Wheeler continues to dominate the Bill James Pitcher Rankings, with a 45 point lead over Tarik Skubal. Wheeler consistently goes deep in games with low walk and home run rates over the last four+ seasons.

Enjoy!