Cecil Cooper doesn't like the way the Astros are playing right now.

He is quite frustrated with the Astros' offense this spring, which makes sense considering they are hitting .224 this spring.

"I wasn't happy, totally not happy," Cooper said. "Heck no, I'm not happy with that, not at all. We're hitting .220 (.224) as a team in spring training. Nobody hits .220 in spring training as a team. Come on. Two hundred? Are you kidding me? I don't care if it's spring training. I don't care what it is, .220 is .220."

The team isn't very sure-handed either:

So, the defense hasn't exactly made Cooper happy either. Carlos Lee had one error Friday.

"We can't go one stinking game without making an error," Cooper said, "and they're easy errors."

This, unfortunately, reflects badly on Cooper. This strikes me as an unmotivated team. Ron Washington went through something similar at the start of the regular season in 2008. With luck, Cooper will find his answer before the games start to count.

The Washington Nationals put Mike Rizzo in charge of the team:

Saying that his team needed "a little bit of calming rather than more change right now," Washington Nationals President Stan Kasten has given Mike Rizzo control of day-to-day major league operations for the foreseeable future. Rizzo, an assistant general manager with the club since 2006, "will have primary responsibility for all matters relating to the major league team," Kasten said.

Rizzo did an impressive job of quickly putting a new Dominican Republic operation in place after the firing of Jose Rijo. He now gets a chance to permanently earn the job as GM.

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It appears Ryan Zimmerman's agent didn't like working with Jim Bowden, either.

Gaslamp Ball sees Sandy Alderson moving to the Cubs:

Alderson didn't have any comment on the rumor, that means it's totally going to happen. If there's one thing I know about Alderson after listening to his interviews is that when he's not answering questions in a really blunt and sometimes condescending manner, then something is afoot.

Having Sandy in Chicago might make a trade for Peavy a bit easier.

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Stan Kasten is acting general manager for the Nationals:

Q: If somebody called right now and wanted to make a trade, a deal, who's in charge?

It has happened. I'm in charge.

No, I've done this before. I'm doing what we need to do to keep the franchise moving forward, and I'm pleased to say that's exactly what has been happening. I met with the staff this morning, made sure everyone understood their roles, made sure all of our tasks were getting covered. Also made sure that everyone understood that adversity invariably creates opportunity, too. And everyone should view this as an occasion for opportunity, an occasion to demonstrate initiative. And to show the same enthusiasm that all of us around the team feel about the team itself; we should feel that way about the front office as well. I do think there are opportunities for renewed initiative. I'd like to see it. It would get rewarded.

It might be a very good time to be low-level staffer in the Nationals front office.

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Squawking Baseball sits down with John Coppolella, Director of Baseball Administration for the Atlanta Braves. The two talk about the arbitration process, how teams reach their numbers, as well as how the Braves look for talent.

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Jim Bowden stepped down this morning from his post as general manager of the Washington Nationals:

Bowden said, "It is an emotional decision that saddens me, but one that I feel is in the best interests of the two things I love most -- baseball and the Washington Nationals."

I can't agree more. Let's hope the Nationals bring in someone who knows how to build a team. Fire Jim Bowden decided in favor of gloating:

Then, I thought... screw that! Bodes is toast! Leatherpants is gone! No more ex-Reds! No more media showboating! No more toolsy outfielders who can't play! No more comparing B-level prospects to Tom Seaver and Mike Schmidt! No more Jim Bowden!!!!!!!!!!!!

Woo-hoo!! Happy Day!! Let's Party!!!

Bowden talked a good game but never delivered for the Nats.

Update: The full statement by Bowden is here. Stan Kasten also issued a statement on the matter.

The New York Times profiles Billy Eppler, the Yankees top scout for professional talent. Billy likes to stay in the background, so you may not have heard of him. There seems to be some confusion as to his stance on stats:

Yet Eppler emerged as a supporting player in "The Yankee Years," the book by Joe Torre and Tom Verducci that chronicles Torre's 12 seasons as manager. It is not a flattering portrayal. Eppler is presented as a "stats guru" and symbol of a front office that, to Torre, ignored the heartbeat of the game.

Cashman has not discussed Torre's book, and Eppler would not comment on it specifically. But the notion that statistics guide Eppler is inconsistent with his background and passion.

"Unfortunately in this game, if you're under the age of 35 and you didn't play in the big leagues, it's kind of easy to get classified," said Eppler, who pitched for the University of Connecticut until a shoulder problem ended his career. "And it's fine, I understand, but it's not something I'm real versed in."

Cashman has a statistician, but it is not Eppler. Michael Fishman, 30, is the Yankees' director of quantitative analysis, filtering reports from scouts, trainers and staff -- "plus every statistic pipeline that you have," Cashman said -- through a program the Yankees designed.

"Is Billy a stats guy? No, and I joke with him about it," said Bill Schmidt, the Colorado Rockies' vice president for scouting. "But does he use it as a tool? We all do. Billy is a well-rounded scout, and any well-rounded scout is going to look at stats."

He does understand OBA:

As much as Eppler is a product of the Rockies' executive factory -- which has spawned the future general managers Josh Byrnes, Jon Daniels and Michael Hill -- he is a descendant of Livesey's.

They would talk about tools, Eppler said, and, yes, statistics. One day in 2003, the year Michael Lewis's book "Moneyball" was published, Livesey asked Eppler what he considered a good on-base percentage. Eppler answered .360. To his delight, Livesey agreed.

"From that point forward, if he was in the park, I was sitting next to him," said Eppler, who still relies heavily on Livesey's advice.

The story is well worth the read.

The Nationals sent Mike Rizzo to fix things in the Dominican Republic, and he put their players in a new facility in three days:

While in the Dominican, Rizzo visited that facility - which the team had rented from recently fired employee José Rijo. After scouting eight new locations, he settled on a complex in Boca Chica. The 2-1/2 fields at the new site are "gorgeous," Rizzo said, and the eight pitching mounds are "beautiful," and the players will be housed in a "beautiful resort," three to a room, with "air conditioning, cable TV, bathroom, four meals a day, 24-hour security." Washington's prospects were "exuberant" about the relocation, and received a pep talk about making it to the United States and helping the Nationals win a World Series.

"It's something that doesn't compare to anything I've ever done," Rizzo said on Friday. "It was - when we landed today, I said, 'Do you believe what just happened?' "

That success moves him up the ladder as a likely replacement for Jim Bowden.

If they ever make a movie about this, Harvey Keitel should play Rizzo:

Jim Bowden still has his job, but, "They're Just Making Bowden Endure As Much Pain As Possible." The Washington Post summary of the Nationals scandal notes Jose Rijo owned the diamonds used by the club in the DR and rented them for $40,000 a month. There seems to be just a bit of a conflict of interest there.

Like Joe Girardi, Trey Hillman is trying to make adjustments to his managerial style in his second year with the Royals.

It continues to look like Fire Jim Bowden will get his wish.

With rumors flying that the Nationals will hire Tony LaCava to replace Jim Bowden, Fire Jim Bowden rounds up all the information he can find on the Blue Jays assistant general manager.

I don't understand why the Rays made this public:

Prinicpal owner Stuart Sternberg did about 20 minutes with area media after getting a look at the new spring facility, touching on a number of subjects.

The biggest news was the he confirmed what executive VP Andrew Friedman suggested during the off-season, that with their payroll creeping above $60-million, they have lost any flexibility to made in-season acquisitions - though he did leave the caveat that "you never say never" and his answer could be "a little different" come June or July.

Even if it's true, why give the Yankees and Red Sox that information? If it comes down to a three-way race for the AL East and the Wild Card between these three teams, the two rich teams will know there's one less bidder out there for any players they want to acquire. That should make their costs a little less.

Of course, given the "never say never" line, maybe it's all an elaborate ruse!

Fire Brand of the American League also sees John Henry's call for a salary cap as a money grab by the Red Sox.

The Nationals Enquirer rounds up the latest news on Jim Bowden, especially this story about how he's part of a federal investigation:

A federal investigation into the skimming of signing bonuses given to baseball prospects from Latin America is looking at Washington Nationals general manager Jim Bowden as far back as 1994, when he was GM of the Cincinnati Reds, according to a baseball executive familiar with the investigation.

Two sources inside baseball say that a long-time scout in Latin America, Jorge Oquendo, 47, is the man who links the FBI's investigations of Bowden and his special assistant Jose Rijo to that of former Chicago White Sox senior director of player personnel David Wilder. Last May the White Sox fired Wilder and two Dominican-based scouts after allegations surfaced that they had pocketed money earmarked for player signing bonuses. Oquendo worked for Wilder in 2006 and 2007, as well as for Bowden with the Reds in 1994 and again with the Reds from 2000 through 2003. Oquendo left Cincinnati in 2005, two years after Bowden was fired. (Bowden became Nationals GM in 2004.)

It's time to get your GM resumes in order. Turning around the Nationals will be a challenge.

Peter Abraham looks at how Joe Girardi is trying to improve as a manager of the club house. I thought his take on questioning lineups was interesting:

"Players have to believe in their mind that you want to do what's best for them in their life. I was a player that never asked why I wasn't in the lineup that day. My thought process was that a manager isn't going to put a lineup out there he thinks is going to lose. Some guys are more inquisitive. I understand that not everyone is the same and you have to sometimes step out of your comfort zone to get to a player. I think I understand them better."

Girardi trusted his managers. Then again, he was never a star with the supporting ego. A team wants hitters and pitchers who want to play every day, or at every opportunity. Balancing that with the needs of the team to win is never going to be easy for any skipper.

The Rays are moving to in-house, video and computer scouting:

The theory, executive vice president Andrew Friedman said, is to provide manager Joe Maddon and staff with more extensive information -- trends, stats, tendencies, etc. -- that can be more easily applied.

With unlimited resources, Friedman said, they might try to do it both ways. But for this season, anyway, they're going to try it the new way.

"We feel like net-net, this will provide us with the best information, up-to-date information and thorough information in a cost-effective way," he said.

If the Rays don't do well this year, the media will pillory them for the change.

Jose Rijo becomes the first Nationals front office casualty of the fraud scandal:

Jose Rijo, the Washington Nationals front office member linked most closely to the fraudulent signing of a Dominican prospect, has taken a leave of absence from the team.

Rijo, who has worked for the team since 2005 as a special assistant to the general manager, remains a team employee, but there is no timetable for his return.

My money is on this leave becomes permanent at some point.

Redleg Nation presents the Dusty Baker hitting flow chart.

Fortune Magazine looks at how sports are being hurt by the downturn. Professor Zimbalist thinks teams won't be as recession proof as in previous bad times:

Historically, teams haven't had to go to such lengths because the bond between team and town was so strong. The National Basketball Association grew its attendance during both the 1973-74 and 1980-81 recessions. And Major League Baseball enjoyed record attendance in the summer of 1983, when the U.S. unemployment rate was 10%. "The old adage is that people need distractions when times are tough," says sports economist Andrew Zimbalist, a professor at Smith College. "So they go to ball games."

Nevertheless, Zimbalist is one of many sports-business experts who think this recession will be different. Sports leagues today are more dependent on economically vulnerable sources of revenue such as corporate sponsorships, luxury suites, and other premium seating. Even if attendance doesn't nosedive, teams could still find themselves swimming in red ink.

Not even pro sports' richest franchise, the Yankees, seems immune. General Motors (GM, Fortune 500) - once baseball's biggest corporate sponsor - has canceled its sponsorship deal with the team. And even before superstar third baseman Alex Rodriguez was caught up in a steroid scandal, the Yanks were having trouble selling premium seats in their new stadium - so much so that they hired a Manhattan realty firm to market unsold club seats and luxury boxes.

The article, however, holds up the Arizona Diamondbacks as a team that is going the extra yard to keep its fans:

And yet last summer, with the economy tanking and her income shrinking, Smiley began thinking seriously about giving up her beloved seats. The bear market had halved her IRA, and spending $5,000 a year on baseball tickets was a luxury Smiley was no longer sure she could afford.

Torn, Smiley sent D-backs CEO Derrick Hall an e-mail asking him if he could help. Five minutes later the phone rang, and shockingly, it was Hall was on the other end. "Basically, he said that they'd do whatever they could to keep me as a season ticket holder," says Smiley. "I was surprised." The eventual solution: The D-backs arranged for Smiley to share season tickets with someone else in her section. The D-backs kept a customer happy while also managing to preserve a few thousand dollars in revenue. "They did a nice thing," Smiley says.

It's probably more important than ever to win. Losing gives people a good excuse not to spend money.

After reading the latest from Chico Harlan, my guess is that Jose Rijo is not long for the Nationals organization:

To sign Gonzalez, the Nationals depended on another employee, Jose Rijo, the link between their scouting department and the Dominican streets. Since January 2005, Rijo has served as a special assistant in the Washington front office, operating the team's player development facility in San Cristobal, Dominican Republic.

Rijo fostered a relationship with Gonzalez for at least two years before the signing. To get close with Gonzalez, though, he dealt with Gonzalez's buscone, a street agent named Basilio Vizcaino, who just so happened to be Rijo's childhood friend. During periods before he turned pro, Gonzalez even stayed with Vizcaino, hoping to improve his living conditions and his profile as a prospect. There was never a question about how Gonzalez should repay his debt: Once he earned a signing bonus, Vizcaino would keep 20 percent.

We'll see how this plays out, if Rijo was fooled about this kid's age for two years, there's something wrong. There's a big difference going from 14 to 16 than 18 to 20.

Jon Weisman gives us his thoughts on Joe Torre retiring after the 2010 season. However, after reading the original article, Torre didn't seem to definite. It's one thing to talk about retirement in the future, it's another to actually make the decision, especially if you're still winning.

Stan Kasten talks about the Nationals (and MLB) being taken by the fake Esmailyn Gonzalez.

You know, to say I'm disappointed doesn't begin to describe how I feel. I'm angry. I am very angry. We've been defrauded, and make no mistake -- this wasn't a college kid with a fake ID that came in and did this. This was a deliberate, premeditated fraud with a lot more to this story, and we are going to get to the bottom of it. There were many, many people involved in this premeditated fraud.

Kasten later noted that these frauds do get signed, but MLB usually catches them before the contract becomes final. We'll see how the story goes, but I wonder if Jim Bowden is on the hot seat now?

Update: Fire Jim Bowden notes Jose Rijo could use A-Rod's crisis management team.

The early lead on the Rays new slogan is:

'09 > '08

At some point, I hope Maddon works in the ≈.

Joe Maddon gave his players their motivational slogan for 2009, and will tell the press later today. I wonder if it will include more bad math? :-)

Fredi Gonzalez received a two-year extension from the Florida Marlins. Barring a firing, that should keep him in Miami through 2011.

Brian Cashman make a frank statement about Alex Rodriguez after the news conference:

"I don't think Alex is very good at communicating, to be quite honest."

Right. That's the difference between Jeter and Alex. Jeter can get up in front of 54,000 people after the last game at Yankee Stadium and give an unrehearsed speech that hits all the right notes. Alex can't write one down and make it sound sincere.

Do give the man a bit of credit, however. Some superstars completely shut out the media. Alex at least tries to speak with them, although he might be better off if he just kept quiet.

Don Wakamatsu not only has to prepare the Mariners for baseball, but he's also trying to improve the culture of his clubhouse:

Don Wakamatsu knew before he took the job as Seattle's manager that this 101-loss team's chemistry was toxic. It's been polluted by issues with and jealousies of Suzuki, Seattle's All-Star and Gold Glove outfielder and most marketable asset. The first-time manager is trying to change that environment by fostering trust through one-on-one meetings with every player that go beyond just baseball.

"I did my homework. I talked to several players from last year," Wakamatsu said Monday. "I am fully aware of the rumblings, or people's perception of it.

"I want to focus on creating that environment where maybe we bring the favoritism a little bit close to equality."

Good luck to him. Of course, the best thing he can do is get the team winning again. It's easier to tolerate jerks when your team is in contention. We didn't hear about these problems two years ago when the Mariners were over .500.

Fire Jim Bowden prints the list.

Dodger Thoughts notes Joe Torre's line on gay ballplayers during his Larry King interview:

Ventura, Calif., Viewer: Billy Bean, after he retired, he announced he was gay. Do you foresee a time in the future when an active player can safely announce he's gay and if he did, what effect would that have on Major League Baseball?

Joe Torre: Well that's a great question, I don't know. But I just hope that an active player, if that's the case, can feel free to do that. That's all I can say. But I don't know. Obviously, you have 25 players in the clubhouse, and, you know, it's going to be tough for everybody to feel as maybe I do. But I'd like to believe our country is turning in that direction.

Larry King: You'd have no problem?

Torre: I'd have no problem.

Good for Joe. I'd like to see more managers and ballplayers come forward and say this.

The Giants would rather wait until the trade deadline to get a big bat than sign Manny Ramirez, or one of the other outfield bats now. They're depending on a weak division, but if the Dodgers do sign Ramirez, Los Angeles might run away with things. Signing Manny now prevents the Dodgers from that runaway.

Fire Jim Bowden criticizes the Nationals for taking a player to arbitration over a very small amount of money:

In Hill's case, the last thing we need is for him to enter the year with damaged confidence. He's always been known as a thoughtful guy who tends to beat himself up over every little thing. And I know he's been frustrating for fans, but just think what it's like for him going through surgery after surgery and rehab after rehab. Ultimately, Hill's still a pretty talented guy, with a power sinker that could make him a solid #3 or maybe even a 2. It's just not worth messing with his head or damaging your relationship with him over such chump change.

I really wonder if the amount of money spent on the hearing is really worth it. It must be 10s of thousands of dollars and time wasted by your statistical staff that could be used evaluating players for the future. Worse, this is the second year in a row the Nationals took a low difference player all the way through the process.

Derrick Goold pens an excellent article on the Cardinals propensity to promote minor league players quickly. The Cardinals understand a fundamental truth:

"When you look at the age at which the best players in baseball reach the big leagues, it's younger than most people think," Luhnow said. "The Scott Rolens, the Jim Edmondses, the Yadier Molinas -- all of those players -- they make it to the big leagues at 21, 22 or 23. So, that has to factor into it a bit. What it means more importantly is we're drafting younger players, we're developing them ourselves. And, we're pushing them aggressively through the system."

"Young is good," Luhnow continued. "There is no doubt. (Players) who make it in their late 20s are often serviceable guys, a bench guy, a late bloomer, but stars tend to make it young. ... We differentiate ourselves as a system if we're producing stars at the big-league level -- average to above-average performers, and those guys tend to be younger guys when they get here."

My only worry here is that they mistake success in a small sample size for talent. However, I agree that if a player has nothing to prove at his current level, he should move up. Younger players are just as good as older players, and come at a much lower cost.

This team won't make the mistake the Red Sox made with Wade Boggs and the Mariners made with Edgar Martinez.

Correction: Fixed link.

I agree with this post 100%.

Hanley Ramirez is the only Marlin getting a long term contract for a while. FishStripes questions the placement of blame for this, however.

John Brattain criticizes the Toronto Blue Jays for being Selig loyalists:

To be a Selig loyalist one must view players as an expense (something to keep to a minimum) rather than an investment (a vehicle that can be used to increase profits). Right now, the Jays' current payroll is based (they say) on projected revenue. However, little thought is given to how wise expenditure might improve that projection.

The reason for that is because an expenditure is viewed as just that--an expense, a loss; it is not viewed as something that might bring a return.

If teams want fans to come out, they need to win. Sometimes, that means spending more money than a team takes in. It worked for the Jays in the early 1990s. No reason it can't work again.

Registration is open to the MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference. I've attended the conference the last two years and enjoyed it each time. I hope to see you there.

Leo Mazzone says he made a mistake leaving the Braves, and takes down the Orioles while he's at it:

To hear Mazzone tell it, his firing was a relief. "Once I got there and saw how they operated compared to the Braves, I knew I made a mistake the first week of spring training," he said, before chuckling and adding, "I said to myself, 'You know what? I done messed up.'

"The lack of organization. The lack of discipline. The lack of overall professionalism. I was shocked, and I couldn't believe it."

The Twins seemed to time the opening of their new stadium correctly:

With the lure of seats for the first year at Target Field, Minnesota Twins fans are on pace for a franchise record for season tickets in 2009.

Combine the new stadium with a successful season in 2008, and fans are buying tickets even in a recession. Maybe they should use the extra money to buy one of the remaining quality hitters to serve as their designated hitter. Adam Dunn might fit very well between Mauer and Morneau.

Mike Scioscia gets a ten-year extension from the Angels.

"It's a significant commitment from myself, (Angels owner) Arte Moreno and (general manager) Tony Reagins," Scioscia said Monday. "I think it reflects on their confidence that we're moving in the right direction and will continue to move in the right direction until we get back to the World Series and win a championship. That's our goal."

The Angels announced last Monday that the parties agreed in principle on a multiyear extension. Previously, Scioscia was under contract through next season with a club option for 2010 for about $2 million per season. Reagins would only say the extension "goes well beyond" 2010.

I'm all for long-term contracts in general, but a team's view of their manager can change quickly. Look what happened to Joe Torre in New York. Four years seems enough for any manager given the turn over. Still, Mike and that organization have been in sync for quite some time, and it's nice to see his success rewarded.

Gaslamp Ball agrees that Sandy Alderson's tenure with the Padres will be short if Jeff Moorad buys the team:

There are too many people in charge in the Padres front office. If and when Moorad arrives, there will be at least one more person in charge. A business does not operate well that way. Empowering employees is one thing. Having 10 different bosses is Office Space.

That statement leads me to belief others will go along with Alderson. The DBacks just cut staff, and the Padres will likely follow suit.

It appears the Brewers are seeing revenue growth despite the down economy:

The Brewers announced a presenting sponsorship agreement with Potawatomi Bingo Casino on Thursday, part of the team's expected double-digit percentage gain in sponsorship revenue. And despite the economy, other areas of the Brewers' business are looking up too.

"We are very sensitive to what's going on, and we're very careful in what we're looking at," said Rick Schlesinger, the Brewers' executive vice president for business operations. "But I will tell you that ticket sales, suite sales, sponsorship -- we're seeing growth in all areas."

Winning gets fans interested, and the advertisers want to capture those eyeballs. Maybe they could have offered Sabathia $25 million for five years and kept him. Then they'd have a better chance of keeping this winning way alive. I wonder if they'll try to resign Ben Sheets at this point?

Congratulations to Tom Tippett, the new Director, Baseball Information Services, for the Red Sox.

Manny Acta doesn't seem to be too worried about his job security. I would suggest that because Manny is a good manager, if the Nationals fire him he'll land a plum job somewhere else. If I were in his position, I'd almost want the Nationals not to extend my contract.

Mike Scioscia received a long term contract extension from the Angels. He'll be under contract through 2014. No word if there is a no-squeeze clause in the document. :-)

This is a good move by the Angels. I like teams that reward success, and Mike certainly helped turn LAnaheim into perennial contenders. He gets the most out of his pitchers, and "put the ball in play" philosophy on offense works for this group of players.

South Side Sox looks at how and why Ozzie Guillen developed a fast hook for his starting pitchers in 2008.

Tom Tango will be consulting for the Mariners this year. Excellent news for Seattle fans. Congratulations to Tom!

Nick and Nick are running out of patience with Twins general manager Bill Smith:

I've gone out of my way to go easy on Bill Smith, but even I'm starting to lose patience. As bad as his trades and free agent signings from last winter are looking, and as stunning as his inability to upgrade the bullpen over the course of the 2008 season was, and now as pathetic as his display on the DeRosa bidding war (if we can even call it that -- it certainly doesn't seem like the Twins made much of an effort here) has been, Smith is running out of slack.

Coming within a game of making the playoffs earns a GM slack, especially after trading away the best pitcher in baseball. The team could use another big bat in the lineup, and there are a few of those still available via free agency.

U.S.S Mariner compares Bill Bavasi and Jack Zduriencik in terms of process.

East Coast Bias suggests a new luxury tax scheme. The element I like is that the teams receiving aids must put it back into salaries. The author suggests this is done by signing free agents, but I would be happy to see the payroll of the team rise by the amount of the tax received.

Matthew Cerrone asks, why don't the Mets spend like the Yankees?

I understand why they had to spend less 10 years ago. But, now the Mets also have a successful regional sports network, they also have a new stadium, they also play in New York City, and also charge a fortune for tickets and hot dogs.

So, what is it? What's the difference? Is it a lack of capital, is it outside forces we are unaware of, is it the team's minority owners, is it personal preference?

The thing is, I'm fine with any answer, because it's their answer, their money and their decision. I won't argue against it, judge or criticize it, because what do i know.

However, as a fan, as a customer, who spends a ton of time and money helping to support their business, spending money on tickets and TV time, popcorn, pretzels and parking, only to drive myself crazy every fall, I believe you and I have earned some sort of response.

The Yankees are taking advantage of being a rich team in a down market to stock up on very good players. However, there is a potential downside. If the economic situation gets so bad that the stadium attendance goes down, and advertising on YES goes down, the Yankees might find themselves in a situation in which they are bleeding money. The probability of that happening may not be that high, but I'm guessing it's more like 10 or 20% than 1%. The Yankees are taking a gamble, probably to get the Boss one more championship before he dies. It's a good gamble, but I can see where lots of teams in this environment don't want to be caught three years down the road with a bloated payroll and reduced revenue.

Maury Brown compares the salaries of the Yankees three signings to the salaries of some teams.

Squawking Baseball notes that the next innovations in baseball earnings are going to need to come from a new crop of CEOs.

No new jobs at MLB.

Via Lone Star Ball, the Braves are furious with Arn Tellem's agency:

"Having been in this business for 40-some years, I've never seen anybody treated like that," Schuerholz said. "The Atlanta Braves will no longer do business with that company -- ever. I told [agent] Arn Tellem that we can't trust them to be honest and forthright. I told him that in all my years, I've never seen any [agency] act in such a despicable manner.

"It was disgusting and unprofessional. We're a proud organization, and we won't allow ourselves to be treated that way. I advised Arn Tellem that whatever players he represents, just scratch us off the list. Take the name of the Atlanta Braves off their speed dial. They can deal with the other 29 clubs, and we'll deal with the other hundred agents."

Tellem counters that they did everything by the book. However:

Schuerholz said he phoned Tellem on Wednesday night.

"I expressed my great disappointment to him," he said. "I watched as Frank shared with me the circumstances of his negotiations with Furcal -- negotiations to the point where we increased our offer, and he [Kinzer] then asked for a signed term sheet to be sent over. We never got that signed term sheet faxed back to us, and we later found out why -- because they took that offer and shopped it."

I wonder if other clubs will back away from Tellem now. I suspect they will at least be very careful in future negotiations with his agency.

I thought Dave Dombrowski was smarter than this.

Squaking Baseball looks at how NASCAR troubles might hurt the Red Sox, while Michael Schmidt examines Fred Wilpon's finances to see if the Madoff fraud might impact the Mets.

The Mariners move their advance scouting operation to their home office.

Grover at Athletics Nation blasts Billy Beane for not signing Rafael Furcal when he had the chance:

Enough with the "buts", if there's one thing the A's have right now is the financial flexibility to spend a little more on Furcal if they have to. If there's one thing the A's don't have is a quality SS, or even anyone who projects to be an average SS in the next few years. Don't blame me for that, blame the guy who traded Haren, Blanton, Harden and Gaudin and didn't get one damn SS prospect back in the exchange. Quite simply, the A's need Rafael Furcal because he's the best free agent SS on the market this year and next and the A's are in a position to add talent through monetary means and not lose talent via trade. The quicker the A's sign Furcal the better their chance to sign Randy Johnson. If Beane can add those two talents to his roster it could mean 4-5 extra wins for Oakland in the 2009 season. That would give them a strong chance to win the division and that could lead to a better chance at retaining Matt Holliday in 2010 and beyond. I'm not saying that signing Furcal guarantees the A's sign Johnson, win the AL West crown and keep Holliday beyond 2009 but he'd go a long way towards making all those things happen.

I get it. Beane's trying to save a couple bucks on Furcal.

But at what cost to the A's?

Rays index on the Rays front office:

The Rays have the quietest front office in baseball. Even though the Rays were talking with the Tigers for three days, we never heard a peep. Is that by design? Maybe. Most of the Rays trades seem to come from out of left field (so to speak). Did we hear anything before the Gross trade or the Willy Aybar trade or the Chad Bradford trade?

Do the Rays make it a point to keep everything under wraps as tightly as possible? Or is the front office still young enough, and the Rays still a relatively new player, that the national media has yet to establish connections within the front office?

One thing that is becoming very clear. No matter who we, as fans, think the Rays are targeting, most of the time they will get somebody we were not even thinking about. We don't know about the rest of you, but we love it.

I just think the media get less readership/viewership/hits talking about the Rays than talking about the more famous teams. If the Rays continue to win, however, that will change.

Davey Johnson gets to skipper the United States WBC team. Davey's my favorite manager of all time so I'm always happy to get a chance to see him manage again.

The Phillies rewarded Charlie Manuel's success with an extension through 2011. Since the start of the 2005 season, when Manuel took the helm, the Phillies are 354-294, a .546 winning percentage. That's fifth best in baseball and second in the National League, three games behind the Mets.

The Twins are looking to increase payroll in 2009:

"We have finalized the budget for 2009, and we believe that the budget allows us some flexibility to improve our baseball team," Twins President Dave St. Peter said.

The Twins had a payroll of roughly $56 million last season, down from $71 million in 2007. Using rough estimates for arbitration-eligible players and players with fewer than three years of major league experience, the Twins already are looking at a 2009 payroll over $60 million. Their interest in signing free agent Casey Blake shows a willingness to push the payroll toward what it was in 2007.

Good. The team came very close to the playoffs in 2008. They should spend some money to push themselves to the next level. After all, they're not paying Johan Santana $20 million a year.

Kat O'Brien sums up the Yankees news of the day. On Sabathia:

Interestingly, Cashman said he had never spoken to Sabathia before last night. Cashman called it an informative meeting, for Sabathia in particular.

Maybe Brian can convince Milliliter to play in the Big Apple.

Update: He'll have to, as CC wants to play in Los Angeles:

According to Los Angeles general manager Ned Colletti, he bumped into Sabathia on Sunday at the Bellagio Hotel, where baseball's Winter Meetings are being held, and he told him that he wants to be a Dodger.

Update: The Yankees also met with Ben Sheets.

Frank Wren nearly makes JC Bradbury crash his car!

Scott Boras and Brian Cashman met today to discuss Broas's free agents. This was interesting:

"They will go all offense," a baseball official predicted of the Yankees if they fail to land two of the top three free agent pitchers.

That could mean bringing switch-hitting Teixeira to play first base or signing Ramirez to play the outfield or DH. Both are expected to command in excess of $20 million a year.

Maybe they should go all offense anyway. Offensive players tend to be a better bet than pitchers.

Lookout Landing compares Bavasi and Zduriencik and likes the result.

First the Diamondbacks reduced the size of their front office, now the Blue Jays are cutting their sales staff:

Rogers Communications, owner of the Toronto Blue Jays, announced plans Tuesday to lay off an unspecified number of employees in its media division, with about a third of those losses coming from the baseball team's sales staff.

A team employee familiar with the cuts said the number of jobs to be eliminated was "probably in the 30s." The spoke on condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to discuss the layoffs.

The Blue Jays are hit particularly hard due to the drop in the Canadian dollar.

Today (Monday) is the day teams decide which free agent players get offered arbitration. Some decisions are fairly easy, as Sox Machine describes. The toughest ones are for a veteran player who is likely to make less if he goes to free agency, but will still deliver a draft pick if another team signs him. That's the Andy Pettitte situation right now. In fact, it also might be the Abreu and Giambi situations as well. The Angels are in a similar situation, but as Halos Heaven points out having arbitration accepted by any of those players won't hurt the club much.

I wonder, in what may be a down year for free agents due to the economy, if we see more accept arbitration this season. Most would make at least what they made in 2008, probably more. It would give them a year to see how things go, and maybe make a killing next winter.

Of course, it would also increase the number of free agents available for 2010, and increased supply tends to put a damper on salaries paid to these players as well. There's a lot of strategy to think about for both sides this off season.

Neal Huntington speaks on the way the Pirates are approaching the off-season:

"We are not throwing 2009 to the wind and saying, 'Well, we'll win again sometime in the future.' We know we need to win, and sooner rather than later, and we're going to show up, work hard, prepare, teach and go out to win every game" Huntington said. "But, if we can trade a veteran player and it brings us 12-18 years of control instead of one or two, and we don't take that large of a step backward, that's just good business."

And that is why, according to multiple sources, no fewer than of the Pirates' five veterans -- shortstop Jack Wilson, second baseman Freddy Sanchez, first baseman Adam LaRoche, reliever John Grabow and catcher Ronny Paulino -- already have been part of trade talks, to some degree or other.

To me, this is an approach to keep payroll low. I'd rather see the Pirates pick their weak link position and improve it as much as possible. Looking at the team stats by position, they can pick third base, shortstop or second base as their area of improvement for this season. Even just bringing one of those position above league average will help them score more runs. Given that the Pirates have such a log way to go, addressing two of those is probably needed. Just trading veterans to get more years of control, however, is not the way to build a winner unless the players acquired are good, too. Jack Wilson isn't going to bring much.

Squawking Baseball posts an interview with Manny Acta, who is not afraid to talk sabermetrics:

SB: You're obviously a very statistically-inclined manager. How do you think that gives you an advantage over managers that aren't as progressive? MA: I want to win. More than being statistically-inclined, I'm very open minded. If someone can show me things that I didn't already know, I am willing to change. I'm not stubborn. If the statistical evidence shows I'm wrong, and it helps me and my team win baseball games, then I would be a fool not to listen.

SB: Looking back, have there been any decisions that you made that perhaps you wouldn't have if you had not been so aware of sabermetrics?
MA: I would have bunted less when I managed in the minors. I still would have had the minor leaguers run, because winning isn't the most important thing down there, and most players have the green light to work on their baserunning skills.

I hope the Nationals someday get Manny talent he can exploit. He seems like the kind of manager I'd like to put in charge of my team.

Dan Wakamatsu let go two of the Mariners coaches, including pitching coach Mel Stottlemyre. That appears to pave the way for Seattle to hire former Atheltics and Mets pitching coach Rick Peterson.

In anticipation of an eventual move to a new stadium and the name changing to the Miami Marlins, you can now reach the Marlins web site at marlins.com, not floridamarlins.com. Adjust your bookmarks!

The Newark Bears named Tim Raines manager. This will mean a trip to Bridgeport to see the Bears play the Bluefish.

Waiting for Next Year was surprised by the choice of Chuck Hernandez as the Indians bullpen coach.

Jack Zduriencik probably won't announce his pick for the new Seattle manager until tomorrow:

"What I did today and plan to do [Tuesday]," he said, "is continue to touch base with dotting i's and crossing t's, in terms of background and history, so there are no surprises in the final selection."

What he is trying to avoid, no doubt, is any semblance of the Wally Backman debacle in Arizona after the 2004 season. Hired by the Diamondbacks on Nov. 1, Backman was fired on Nov. 5 after revelations of legal and financial problems surfaced.

It's also a good idea from a publicity standpoint. People will be focused on the AL MVP vote today, but tomorrow the Mariners should get all the attention.

Update: Don Wakamatsu appears to have the inside track.

Doug Melvin doesn't understand the Yankees bid for CC Sabathia:

"It sounds like they're overbidding," Melvin said. "If the speculation is true that we've offered CC $100 million, why would you offer $140 million? Why wouldn't you offer $110 million?"

Because, Doug, if they offered $110 million you might bid again. This way, they drive out all of the teams that can't afford $140 million, and see who's left. This leaves the Yankees with a lot less work to do. Since Sabathia is probably worth around $27 million a year, or $162 million over six years, the Yankees just took the bidding up to a decent level where it will move along faster.

Melvin should bid $150 million for six years. In all likelihood, the Yankees will top that. So Doug gets to look like a hero to the Milwaukee fans for being willing to spend top dollar on Sabathia without shelling out any money, plus he forces the Yankees to bid higher.

If all the other teams are scared away by New York's offer, the Yankees get Sabathia cheap. If they take part in incremental bidding, however, there's a chance another team breaks it's limit on CC. If someone bid $125 million, then $135 million, maybe they feel they've invested so much time in trying to obtain Sabathia's services that they are willing to break their $140 million limit and go to $145 or $150 million. If, however, that limit is met with the first bid, there's no reason to even get started. So by trying to drive out all the other bidders, the Yankees might actually save money over using Melvin's rational strategy.

The Mariners are adding a statistics department:

The department will fall under the auspices of Tony Blengino, a longtime baseball stats analyst and a special assistant to new Mariners general manager Jack Zduriencik. Details of the department's mandate and size are still to be worked out, but the move could vault the Mariners from their perceived Stone Age approach to stats to one in which they're seen as one of the game's more progressive franchises.

"We want to take all the information at our disposal and combine it with our scouting," Blengino said Friday.

Good for them. They've used Matt Olkin as a consultant, and it's not clear if that relationship will continue. If you're looking for a job in this area, it's a good time to send your resume to the Mariners!

Ducksnorts offers an FAQ on the Padres fire sale.

R.J. Anderson makes a nice attempt at putting a number on managerial choices. It might make Yankees fans feel a bit better about letting Joe Torre go in favor of Joe Girardi.

The Twins extended Ron Gardenhire's contract two years today. Unless something goes wrong, he'll be managing when Minnesota opens their new ballpark in 2010.

The 51-year-old Gardenhire, who was runner-up to Tampa Bay's Joe Maddon in the AL Manager of the Year voting, took over as Twins skipper before the 2002 season. He has led the team to four AL Central titles in his first seven years, posting winning records in six of those seven campaigns.

Only Tom Kelly, with 1,140 victories, has more wins than Gardenhire with the Twins.

It's good to see success rewarded. Ron's also one of the longest tenured managers right now, only trailing Bobby Cox, Tony La Russa and Mike Scioscia.

Gaslamp Ball laments the Padres lack of grace in getting rid of players.

The San Diego Padres promoted three front office personnel:

Winfield was Vice President, so I guess being made Executive Vice President/Senior Adviser is a promotion. Paul DePodesta was Special Assistant of Baseball Operations and Executive Vice President sounds a little more official, but from what I can tell, everybody will be basically doing the same thing.

Yes, I've gotten promotions like that in the past. Same job, same pay different title.

Given this list of managerial candidates, the Seattle Mariners appear to be looking for new blood, rather than someone tried and true.

The Brewers hire Willie Randolph as their bench coach. It's not managing, but it's close. Randolph may turn out to a person who is better off coaching than managing. Given how things went down with the Mets, he might not have the people skills for the top job.

After 17 seasons as the bullpen coach, Bill Castro takes over as the Brewers pitching coach. Why now? In all the previous times the team had a chance to make Castro the pitching coach, why didn't they? There was a rumor that Rick Peterson would be up for the job, but obviously the team decided to stay in house. It's nice to see Castro's loyalty to the team finally rewarded.

Paul DePodesta writes a short post about the GM meetings, including this teaser:

We had many discussions over the course of the past four days at the GM's meetings, some of which have been productive and even unexpected. At this point, however, there is nothing to report.

Unexpected. Maybe some team that's under the radar is looking to acquire Peavy. Maybe another team offered a very creative deal that helps both sides now. We'll see if anything unexpected some out of San Diego soon.

Joe Strauss gives us an idea of how the Cardinals think about developing their roster:

For several hours, Mozeliak, assistant general manager John Abbamondi and vice president of scouting and player development Jeff Luhnow briefed manager Tony La Russa, who traveled back and forth from his Bay Area home. The presentation included numerous possibilities listing players from within the organization as well as free-agent and trade targets.

Some of the models did not include Ludwick or Ankiel.

"We have a good core of outfielders. But we also have some needs," La Russa said. "I think they're doing it exactly right. You try to look at your priorities and how you would fill them. You don't want to make any deal ... but with free agency you have to get involved with money and years. There's no free lunch."

Wary of perceptions that he is shopping Ludwick and Ankiel, Mozeliak added, "Not to be coy, but it's probably one of 100 variables that are factoring into this."

It looks like communications in the Cardinals hierarchy are very open and complete. This led to them putting a surprisingly good team on the field this year. We'll see if they can do it again in 2009.

A fired Fenway groundskeeper writes an open letter to Larry Lucchino:

It isn't about food, or getting yelled at for the littlest things. It's about the lack of respect that the Red Sox have for some of its "unimportant" workers. I hope this level of treatment is limited to the grounds crew; I would hate to think it permeates more of the organization and is indicative of an overall cultural program. I would hate that if it were true.

I think that you and senior management need to take a hard look at the treatment of its grounds crew. An organization is only as stable as its bottom rung, and things aren't working too well for you on the bottom rung right now.

I have no idea if his story is true or not. We'll see if the Red Sox respond.

It turns out Jack Zduriencik already interviewed a number of managerial candidates:

Melvin's top assistant at the time was Jack Zduriencik. Randolph later told confidantes that he knew Zduriencik was up for the Mariners general manager's job and that he might be, in essence, interviewing for two jobs at the same time.

Zduriencik eventually landed in Seattle. Monday at the general managers' meetings, he talked about the Randolph scenario without specifically mentioning Randolph.

"I sat in on some interviews Melvin had in Milwaukee," Zduriencik said. "And I was privy to what went on in some other interviews I didn't sit in on.

"So when I'm going through the interviews, for some it will be like a second interview."

That should make the managerial hiring process easier, since Zduriencik should already have a good idea who he likes.

Update: Included link.

Theo Epstein inked a contract extension:

Terms of the deal weren't disclosed, but Epstein told the Boston Globe on the first day of the annual GM meetings that he signed the deal "a while back." Terms of the contract weren't released.

Good thing the Red Sox didn't make the same mistake twice and let Theo twist in the wind this time.

It looks like the Tigers don't have much room to play with the payroll:

Dombrowski also revealed that the 2009 payroll would not see "a significant difference" from 2008. With the team already committed to spending a little over $100 million on 11 players, that means the Tigers have about $25 million left to find a shortstop, a catcher, resign Justin Verlander, bolster the bullpen and rotation, and fill in the rest of the spots with league-minimum players under club control (like Matt Joyce).

Peter Abraham prints the latest on the Yankees hot stove plans:

The Yankees are out to acquire two starters. "We won't be one and done," Cashman said. The plan is to have a rotation of New Guy 1, New Guy 2, Wang, Chamberlain and then Pettitte/Hughes/Kennedy/Aceves/assorted bums.

This seems to imply that they see Wang as their third starter. I take that to mean they'll be going after pitchers on the talent level of Sabathia and Dempster. Do you want both Lowe and Wang in a rotation, or do you want more strike out pitchers? Lots of strike outs covers for a poor defense.

The Texas Rangers made Mike Maddux an offer he couldn't refuse:

Melvin told the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel last night that Texas has "overwhelmed [Maddux] with a huge deal" that dwarfed the multi-year contract the Brewers had offered him, and that Maddux couldn't afford to turn the Rangers down. No terms were even guessed at in the story, but Melvin said "he's probably going to be one of the top-paid pitching coaches" in baseball.

Why was Mike offered such a lucrative contract? He's a known quantity to the Rangers:

The younger* brother of future Hall of Famer Greg Maddux, Mike pitched the final game of his 15-year big league career on July 4, 2000, pitching the sixth and seventh innings of a 10-4 Astros loss to Arizona (for whom rookie Vicente Padilla pitched the eighth). Houston released him the next day. He retired a week after that.

And then came a move that probably led to this day. Maddux had barely cleared his Houston locker out when he agreed to take a job as the pitching coach for the organization's AA affiliate, the Round Rock Express.

Which was owned by Nolan Ryan.

And managed by Jackie Moore.

*This is a mistake. Mike Maddux is older than Greg.

The story also points out a number of Rangers pitchers who moved to Milwaukee and florished.

I assume that Maddux is on board with Ryan's vision of how to rework the Rangers pitchers from the ground up. Certainly, the use of CC Sabathia in Milwaukee shows that Mike isn't married to pitch counts.

The Texas Rangers might end up being a test bed for different ideas in how pitchers are developed and used. I don't know if Nolan Ryan is correct. Baseball strategy, both on the field and in player recruitment and development evolves over time, and mostly in the right direction. Ryan is betting that the evolution of how pitchers are used went wrong at some point. If Nolan is right, will he be able to pull the rest of the majors back to his way of doing things?

The general managers start meeting Monday, and Peter Abraham is there to bring you all the action.

Dale Sveum will stay with the Brewers as the hitting coach. I'm surprised by this. I would think Ken Macha wouldn't want his replacement sitting that close by.

Via Balls, Sticks and Stuff, the Phillies are set to name Ruben Amaro, Jr. their new general manager on Monday.

The decision to hire Amaro, 43, is hardly a shock. There was strong speculation when Pat Gillick was hired three years ago that he was brought in, in part, to mentor the young assistant.

Amaro, who was often presented as the public face of the Phillies front office as Gillick preferred to operate of the spotlight, is heavily involved in many aspects of the organization, including contract negotiations. It was Amaro who introduced closer Brad Lidge and spoke for the organization when the Phillies announced his contract extension earlier this season.

Amaro has strong Phillies ties. His father, Ruben Sr., played for the Phillies and then worked for the team in a number of capacities. Ruben Jr. was a batboy for the Phillies from 1980 through 1983, and also played for the Phils in 1992-93 and 1996-98. He is also bilingual and a graduate of Stanford.

As BSS points out, however, the hiring comes with a loss:

What is of more concern is the loss of Arbuckle. He is the man predominantly responsible for the developing of most of the Phillies core -- Utley, Hamels, Howard, Rollins, Burrell, and Ruiz. That's six of the nine players in the starting lineup that just won the World Series. And not only will he be missed, but what of the people he might take with him when he goes?

Congratulations to Ruben Amaro. With Arbuckle's resume, I'm sure he'll wind up in an important position with another team.

The Brewers hired Ken Macha as manager today:

The 58-year-old Macha, who managed Oakland to a pair of American League West titles, agreed to a two-year contract. He replaces Sveum, who became interim manager when Ned Yost was fired with 12 games left in the regular season.

"It means a tremendous amount to me," Macha said. "The players are the guys that go out there and win or lose the games for you, and I think the job of a manager and a coach is to get these players as prepared as you possibly can."

Macha is famous for being fired and rehired by the Athletics between the 2005 and 2006 seasons. Jeff Sackman at Brew Crew Ball is happy:

f the three finalists, Macha is by far my favorite. We may have been able to do better, but if we're choosing only from experienced big-league managers with recent success, there aren't many guys I'd rather have.

Ken inherits a good group of hitters, but with both Ben Sheets and CC Sabathia possibly leaving, he'll need to depend on young pitchers developing quickly to keep the team in contention.

It looks like Mike Maddux and Rick Peterson will be pitching coaches in Texas and Milwaukee, we just don't know which will be where.

Willie Randolph said he was never offered a job with the Nationals because Jim Bowden knew Randolph was interviewing for a managerial position. Therefore, he did not turn down an offer.

Phillies Nation links to an article indicating Ruben Amaro will be named the new Phillies general manager soon after the World Series ends.

That's not surprising. He's served as assistant GM for ten years and probably knows the team as well as anyone right now. If the Phillies win the World Series, however, he'll be taking over a team at a high point. It's tough to look good after that.

By the way, it seems Pat Gillick always knows when to leave an organization. He builds a winner, leaves, and lets someone else take the blame when the organization falls apart. Pat builds teams, not management culture. He has a gift for putting winning teams on the field, but he doesn't appear to teach or pass on that knowledge to whoever follows him. We'll see if Amaro is any different.

The Marlins are raising payroll for 2009:

The Marlins have decided to raise their payroll to the $30-$35 million range and have been in serious talks to trade Mike Jacobs, officials in contact with the team's front office said. They're also expected to deal Scott Olsen (to make room for Andrew Miller in the rotation) and Kevin Gregg. But there is internal support for keeping Dan Uggla.

The Marlins, who had a $22 million payroll in 2008, wanted to deal Jacobs to Kansas City, but the deal died last week because of a medical issue involving the minor-league pitcher that Florida would have received. The Marlins also spoke to Toronto and San Francisco about Jacobs.

So there's a chance the team will earn more than Alex Rodriguez next season. Maybe Loria was visited by the ghosts of Baseball Past, Present and Future.

Derek Zumsteg expresses his concern over the Mariners' new general manager.

The Mets hire Razor Shines to coach third base for 2009. How cool is that? "Razor sends the the runner, and he's cut down at the plate! Not a shining moment for the third base coach!"

It looks like the Blue Jays made a poor bet concerning the strength of the US Dollar:

"The nightmare is starting all over again," said Godfrey, who took over as team president when it cost $1.49 Canadian to buy one U.S. buck.

He said the formula is pretty simple: On a $100 million (U.S.) payroll, each dime of difference between a lower Canadian dollar and the higher U.S. greenback costs the Jays about $8 million. So based on a 2008 payroll of $97.8 million and an 80-cent Canadian dollar, down 20 cents from the almost-at-par buck of a couple of months ago, the Jays need to make up about $16 million to maintain both payroll and the same place on the balance sheet.

The team typically purchases vast amounts of U.S. dollars, out of which to pay the players, when rates are favourable, but did not buy enough to cover the entire payroll this time. (Godfrey would not say exactly how much they didn't buy; other sources indicate less than half.) All minor-league, travel and spring training expenses are in U.S. dollars, while local revenues arrive in Canadian.

Of course, this means a trip to watch your favorite team play at the Rogers Center will be really cheap.

The Mariners named a new general manager just before the start of the World Series moritorium:

Seattle Mariners CEO Howard Lincoln and President Chuck Armstrong announced today that Jack Zduriencik (zur-EN-sik) has been named the Mariners new Executive Vice President & General Manager of Baseball Operations.

USS Mariner has more:

Apparently the key was his record with young talent. Not just identifying it - Engle and Fontaine have done fine with that, though depending on whether they stick around, his ability would be crucial there as well. But more importantly, developing it, which has been an area of frustration with the organizational philosophy.

Here's Brewers Blog's point of view:

Zduriencik was very instrumental in helping to build the Brewers into a playoff team in 2008. Since 2000, he has been running the Brewers' drafts, producing the likes of Prince Fielder, Ryan Braun, Corey Hart, J.J. Hardy, Yovani Gallardo and Manny Parra.

Sounds like the Mariners made a good decision here. He won't make a splash in the media like Kim Ng would, but long term he may be just what the Mariners need.

The Cubs signed general manager Jim Hendry to a four year extension. He did a great job putting together his team and deserved to be rewarded.

The New York Yankees and Dallas Cowboys combined to form a company to control concessions at their ballparks:

"The old model of stadium concessions is broken," stated Hal Steinbrenner, Co-Chairman of the New York Yankees. "Fans want and deserve a better experience for their sports entertainment dollar. Working with Legends to leverage the talent and experience resident in the Yankees' and Cowboys' organizations will enable us to set a higher bar for sports franchises while delivering greater value to fans. When the new Yankee Stadium opens for the 2009 season, our fans will be able to experience first-hand the enhancements to our menus, concessions, retail operations and fan spaces that Legends has overseen."

The teams should also make more money:

The Yankees and Cowboys borrowed $100 million from Goldman Sachs and will form their own company to handle food, team stores, etc. at their new stadiums. Much of this will be to enhance the atmosphere in the suites. The company hopes to branch out to other teams, arenas and colleges.

By cutting out the middleman, the teams theoretically should make more money. This seems like a smart move by the Steinbrenners. Hal Steinbrenner spoke about a year ago about such ventures and Hank Steinbrenner, you may recall, once predicted the Yankees could work with the Red Sox. This is the kind of thing they were talking about.

Just another revenue stream to bring in or keep high quality ballplayers.

The Pittsburgh Pirates hired Joe Kerrigan to coach their pitchers:

"Joe Kerrigan brings to the Pirates, a long and successful track record of developing and maximizing the performance of the pitchers on his staff," said Pirates general manager Neal Huntington. "His teaching ability, work ethic and game planning will pay immediate dividends. Joe's passion, knowledge and experience will make a quality impact on our organization."

Joe was miscast as a manager but I always thought he did a good job as a pitching coach. I like this move by the Pirates.

The Milwaukee Brewers interviewed Ken Macha for the manager's job:

Don't forget, GM Doug Melvin originally offered Macha the job before the 2003 season but he turned it down and took the managerial job in Oakland instead. Melvin then went to his next choice, Ned Yost.

How bad are things with the Nationals? Not even Al Pedrique wants to coach there.

Joe Maddon describes how he uses Bill Walsh's glass wall to keep his emotions under control during a game.

The Milwaukee Brewers won't bring Dale Sveum back in 2009:

The team announced Friday that interim manager Dale Sveum is no longer under consideration. Sveum took over after Ned Yost was fired with 12 games left in the regular season.

Melvin says the next manager must have had success at the major-league level.

I find it interesting that Sveum manages to get the Brewers in the playoffs and loses his job, while Jerry Manuel presides over another Mets debacle and stays on.

Fire Joe Morgan provides tips that Jerry Manuel can use to teach the Mets batters how to hit in the clutch:

4. Kidnap Carlos Delgado's kids and hold them at gunpoint while Carlos takes BP. "You like pressure, Carlos? This is what the playoffs feel like." Then, after Carlos strokes a home run, shoot one of the kids. Just in the leg, though. Remember, it's just a game.

Once he shoots the kid in the leg, maybe Jerry can go all Clint Eastwood on him.

The Mariners announced their final four candidates for the general manager position. Kim Ng makes the cut.

Hat tip to 6-4-2.

It looks like the Nationals are going to hire Willie Randolph as bench coach. Nationals Enquirer believes this sets up a Manny Acta firing, which will be fine with Acta as he then gets the Mets job when Jerry Manuel finishes his contract. Sounds like a lot of traveling on the Acela Express.

The Nationals medical director resigns:

In 2008, almost every significant Nationals position player spent time on the disabled list. A few of those injuries were originally diagnosed as day-to-day problems and proved more serious. Shaffer, when asked late in the season if he saw a common thread in all the ailments, saw bad luck as the only link. "You know, honestly, that's probably what I would attribute it to," Shaffer said. "The injuries don't have much in common."

The Yankees fired third base coach Bobby Meacham today.

The other interesting aspect to this move is that Meacham was one of the two choices Joe Girardi made for his staff, the other being bullpen coach Mike Harkey. Firing Meacham takes away an ally of the manager. Girardi, you may recall, was stunned at questions about whether his staff would he changed, saying he saw no reason. Obviously Brian Cashman felt differently.

Rich Monteleone was also fired. I don't think it's a good sign for the manager when his coaches get replaced. That said, was there anything wrong with Meacham's performance at third base? I don't remember many criticisms of his sending or holding runners during the regular season.

Update: River Ave. Blues thought Meacham did blow obvious calls.

Dale Sveum is traveling to Arizona to talk about his future managing with Doug Melvin. Melvin himself may get a contract extension during these meetings.

Joel Sherman suggest Joe Girardi follow the path of Tom Coughlin as he makes adjustments to both the way he handles the press and his players.

Girardi needs to improve how he conducts himself as Yankees manager - something even he concedes must occur. But the template should not be Torre. It should be Tom Coughlin. Because Girardi has so many more similarities to Coughlin, notably a Type-A personality.

Remember where Coughlin was after the 2006-07 season? He had a disenchanted locker room and a media corps painting a negative picture of his personality. Coughlin's bosses demanded he address these issues.

Coughlin did by meeting with the Giants' traveling press corps individually to glean a greater insight into why the relationship was so toxic. And he formed a player leadership council and met with it regularly as a way to better understand the temperature of the locker room. Coughlin did not forfeit his core values.

Problems with the press over injury reports were well covered during the season. Problems with players seem to be coming out only now that the season is over. They seem minor right now. The honeymoon is over, however, so if they aren't addressed, then they may spell trouble for Girardi in the future.

Hat tip, Replacement Level Yankees Weblog.

Patrick Sullivan wasn't too happy with Terry Francona Saturday night/Sunday morning.

The Mariners bring in five general manager candidates this week for interviews. I like the fact that they are looking at people with experience in places like Arizona, Cleveland and Toronto, organizations all with a good understanding of statistics.

Three Colorado Rockies coaches lost their jobs:

Hitting coach Alan Cockrell, third base coach Mike Gallego and bench coach Jamie Quirk were not offered contracts by the Rockies on Tuesday. Pitching coach Bob Apodaca and first base coach Glenallen Hill will return for the 2009 season.

When I hear about these firings, I always wonder if the manager is on the hot seat. Usually, managers get to pick their coaching staffs.

Rich Hoffman sits down for a private moment with Charlie Manuel after the division series clinching game:

He is 64 years old, the prototype baseball lifer, and the people in his profession know what he does and how well he does it. The proof is in the way his teams approach their business, how hard they play and how they play to the end. This year, the proof is in the champagne spray.

Manuel knows it, too. He could not stop smiling as he sat there and talked, amused by his exploding cell phone. The guy is a fascinating character. He has a

really hard shell but he also has a quiet

interest in vindication. He does not admit it, not exactly, but you can tell sometimes that the people who dismissed him early on as some kind of a bumpkin did draw blood, at least a little. And when you ask him what he would want people to say about him today, he does not hesitate.

"You know?" he said. "Know what I'd like people to call me? A winner, that's what."

I think he's more John McNamara than Davey Johnson, but the McNamaras do their share of winning.

Daniel Drezner disputes the argument of Dan Shaughnessy and Jack Curry that Red Sox fans don't appreciate Terry Francona as a manager:

As a Red Sox fan who talks to other Sox fans, I have rarely, if ever, heard an unkind word directed at Francona during his tenure as manager here. In fact, most Sox fans think Francona excels at the three biggest challenges a Red Sox manager faces: a) keeping the players on the same page; b) handling the media; c) never panicking during the season.

If anything, it's the national media -- I'm looking at you, BBWAA -- that underrates Francona. Consider that he's never won Manager of the Year. In the miracle year of 2004, he finished fifth in the voting, receiving zero first-place ballots. In 2005, he managed to get a team without a true #1 or #2 starter and no established closer into the postseason and finished sixth in the voting, receiving zero first-place ballots. Last year, despite helming the team with the best record, he finished fourth in the voting and received zero first-place ballots. Oh, and he's not going to win it this year, either -- Joe Maddon will.

If the Red Sox win another World Series this year, shouldn't everyone hold Francona in the same high regard we hold Joe Torre? I'd argue at this point Terry manages the personnel as well as Joe, and might even manage the actual game better.

With the Mariners looking for a new GM, Bleeding Blue and Teal reviews the career of Kim Ng.

Ng has never carried the title of GM, but she has just about all the experience you could hope for from a non GM. She's been in the professional game for nearly 20 years, is highly regarded and well rounded, and has worked for other Mariner GM candidates Brian Cashman and Paul DePodesta. She's structured contracts, stared down intimidating agents, initiated trade talks and been in charge of player development. When she worked for the American League she even learned the ins and outs of various rules and the loopholes that go with them, knowledge that the typical GM candidate wouldn't possess.

Her biggest knock is that she lacks scouting experience, something that many GMs and other candidates have. Some will insist that Seattle hires someone with this experience, but how important is it?

Bill Bavasi came from a scouting background and some of the work he did in the minor leagues was great because of it, but he was awful when it came to making trades, structuring contracts and other vital GM functions. Wouldn't you prefer to have someone that can successfully perform these functions, handing off the scouting to others? Seattle have highly regarded people in charge of scouting, including the Vice President of Scouting Bob Fontaine, Vice President of International Operations (and apparent Seattle GM candidate) Bob Engle, and others. Besides, she has experience as a minor league director with the Dodgers despite her lack of scouting experience.

Her hiring would likely be a plus for the Mariners. Not only would they get a person experienced in all aspects of the front office, but they would receive a great deal of positive publicity from the move.

The Mets signed Jerry Manuel to a two-year contract with an option for a third. I haven't seen the price tag yet.

Brian Cashman, in a news conference to announce his new contract, describes the criticism he faces:

In turn, Cashman's critics have begun popping up, questioning his new emphasis on retaining talented but unproven younger players, even it means that the Mets and not the Yankees ended up with Johan Santana.

"The story line that's going to be written, if I left, I didn't agree with," said Cashman, in what was clearly a reference to the criticism being tossed his way. "I wasn't going to let that story be written."

He added: "For a long time we've been old and everybody knows it. And for a long time people have pointed it out. Now when you start to fix it, 'Oh my God, we've missed the playoffs! Off with his head!' That's fine, I accept it."

The old team isn't the only criticism leveled at Brian. More people cite a number of signings that didn't work out.

The Mets called a news conference for tomorrow to announce a new contract for Omar Minaya. John Delcos discusses the high and low points of Omar's tenure this season.

WasWatching takes a negative view of the Yankees extending Brian Cashman's contract.

I wonder if a more apt comparison might be the Baltimore Orioles. They were a powerhouse in the mid to late 1990s, with a good team and an excellent revenue stream from their new stadium. They certainly had the money to compete with New York. Yet, the front office of that team ran a good organization into the ground. Cashman may not have improved on the team Bob Watson and Gene Michael assembled, but he didn't turn the team into a laughing stock either.

River Ave. Blues alerts me to this Kat O'Brien story indicating a three-year, $6 million deal for Brian Cashman. I wonder if GM contracts are guaranteed?

Cashman deliberated over the decision about whether it was time to move on after 11 seasons as GM, but gave the Yankees an affirmative answer this afternoon. In the end, a Yankees source said, it came down to what was best for his family. The new contract will be for slightly more than Cashman had been making, putting it at in the ballpark of $2-million per year.

Neither Cashman nor Yankees co-chairman Hal Steinbrenner, with whom Cashman negotiated the deal, could immediately be reached for comment. The two work closely together, and met at Yankee Stadium on Monday, and that relationship was a huge positive for Cashman in making up his mind.

I like Brian Cashman, so I'm rooting for him to bring the team back into the playoffs in the New Yankee Stadium. Anyone who can work for Steinbrenner for that long is doing something right.

The Detroit Tigers Weblog reviews Dave Dombrowski's talk with reporters. Edgar Renteria won't be back.

Correction: Fixed the link.

Bud Black remains the manager of the Padres:

The Padres announced late Monday afternoon that Black and most of his staff will return in 2008. The Padres finished 63-99, 21 games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Padres say they won't renew the contract of bench coach Craig Colbert. Last week, hitting coach Wally Joyner resigned with six games left due to philosophical differences with the front office, which favors statistical analysis.

I believe they mean 2009 in the quote above. Black has one year left on his contract. The failure of the Padres this year was more about the front office failing to put a decent team on the field. Black, however, didn't manage to extract anything extra out of them. And while 2007 was a good year in terms of wins, San Diego did collapse at the end, allowing the Rockies to win the wild card. Next season could be Bud's last if there isn't an improvement.

More coaches fired, this time in Pittsburgh.

The Blue Jays need to find a new CEO:

Paul Godfrey has announced he will step down as president and CEO of the Toronto Blue Jays at the end of 2008.

The Jays, who ended the regular season on Sunday with an 86-76 record, have never advanced to the post-season under Godfrey's reign at the top of the major league organization. Godfrey, 69, joined the Blue Jays on Sept. 1, 2000 when Rogers Communication Inc., bought the team from Interbrew SA.

While attendance increased under Godfrey, the team fortunes didn't. I wonder if the new person will be as likely to keep Ricciardi around?

The Tigers fire their pitching and bullpen coaches. Not really surprising given how this team went from pitching power house to the third worst ERA in the AL in just two seasons.

The Mets will retain the services of Jerry Manuel as manager:

Manuel is expected to be approached to hammer out a new contract in the next day or two. The Mets again failed to make the playoffs after losing 4-2 to the Marlins on the final day of the season. But Manuel's bosses believe he did an excellent job under trying circumstances, including late-season injuries to closer Billy Wagner and starter John Maine and an overall bullpen breakdown. The Mets were 55-38 under Manuel after starting 34-35 under Willie Randolph.

"I told Jerry we're going to have a decision sooner rather than later,'' general manager Omar Minaya said. 'He's done a very good job, and we're going to sit down and talk about it.''

The Mets lost 12 of their final 17 games last year to blow a seven-game lead with Randolph as manager. This year they were 7-10 over their final 17 games.

Mets owner Jeff Wilpon said, "I feel totally different than last year. I think last year we underachieved. This year we overachieved.''

Somehow, I don't think blowing a late season lead, no matter how small, is overachieving. Still, the team played better under Manuel than under Randolph, and that has to count for something. I still wonder if Church didn't suffer a head injury and Delgado got hot two week earlier if Randolph would still be in charge.

The Nationals fired five coaches before today's game:

Each was in his second year with the organization. Only pitching coach Randy St. Claire, as I mentioned earlier, will be retained. Before they all exited, I was able to speak with Harris, Tolman and Corrales. All said they thanked Acta for the opportunity; all handled the decision with grace.

No coach yet knew the next step. "Go home and start making a list of people to call," Tolman said.

This, of course, means less control for Manny Acta. My guess is they didn't want to make Manny available to the Mets, who need to decide about keeping Jerry Manuel. By firing Acta's coaches, upper management signals their disapproval but still gives their manager a chance to bounce back.

This makes me believe Brian Cashman won't be back with the Yankees:

The start of the 2007 off-season played out largely beyond Cashman's control. After Rodriguez fizzled in the playoffs for the fourth year in a row, then opted out of his contract, Cashman started preparing for life without him.

In the short term, it would have been impossible to replace Rodriguez. But in the long run, there was an upside in not saddling the Yankees with a contract that would pay Rodriguez more than $20 million a season for the declining years of his career.

It was just those kinds of deals that started to infect the Yankees after they lost the 2001 World Series. That was when George Steinbrenner, their principal owner, demanded more control over baseball operations, sending the team on a four-year spending spree that started to wane when he yielded authority to Cashman after the 2005 season.

But last winter, when Steinbrenner put his sons, Hank and Hal, atop the hierarchy, the wild spending returned, over Cashman's head. Hank Steinbrenner engineered the deals for Rodriguez (10 years, roughly $300 million), Posada (four years, $52.4 million) and Mariano Rivera (three years, $45 million).

Maybe I missed this, but I thought these were deals made by Cashman. If this sort of thing was not in his control, then I expect he'll move on to less stressful pastures. I was surprised by the length of the Posada and Rivera deals; I could see two years with options, but longer than that seemed imprudent. Given that both ended up with bad shoulders, shorter contracts would have been the right move.

Update: Sorry, forgot to include the link before.

J.C. Bradbury reads between the lines and finds a rift in the Braves organization.

The Yankees want Brian Cashman back, and now it's up to him to decide if he wants to return.

Cashman knows the Steinbrenner family wants him back. He has not yet made up his mind, but said he would decide well before Oct. 31, the date his contract expires. In 2005, Cashman waited until the final few days to decide.

"That's not going to happen again," Cashman said in a telephone interview. "That wouldn't be fair to the Yankees."

Brian may decide it's time to move on to less green but also less stressful pastures.

Buster Olney reports the Mets are going to reward Omar Minaya with a four-year contract extension. I guess those late season disappointments are all the manager's fault.

Hat tip, LoHud Mets Blog.

Dugout Central presents two viewpoints on Brian Cashman staying with the Yankees. Steve Caimano takes the pro-Cashman position:

The first big story of the Yankees' off-season will be their decision on General Manager Brian Cashman, and that decision should be to pay him big dollars to stay. Cashman is one of the best GMs in the game, and he has been hardened by his years of operating under the microscope in New York. There is really no chance that the Yankees could find a replacement for him who would be able to come in and operate the team at his level. Beyond that, he has clearly set the team on a course that will ensure that their "rebuilding" is really more of a "reloading."

I don't agree that Cashman can't be replaced. There are plenty of bright young people in baseball who are more than capable of putting together a winning organization. There might even be some who can handle the New York press. Caimano's main point, however, is that Cashman deserves the time to finish the job he started when he took full control of the team.

Scott Jensen, however, uses an economic argument to decide Cashman must go. (See the link for the graph.)

What we would expect to see is a variant of a U-curve, where initially, as a young and more inexpensive championship team matures and demands greater pay, the bang for the buck trend would decrease. We would then expect the curve eventually to bottom out as veterans pass their peak and overall performance decreases while costs remain high. Finally, we would expect the ratio to increase with an influx of new, cheaper players and better results.

Instead, what we've seen is an overall downward trend since 1998.

My problem with this analysis is that the Yankees talent held their value for a long time. It's tough to replace Jorge Posada, Derek Jeter and Mariano Rivera if they don't decline. In other words, part of the problem was that the Yankees aged well. That still doesn't excuse long term contracts to Mo and Jorge last off-season, but the core veterans are good performers. That U-turn could be just around the corner.

I think Cashman proves that even with a lot of money, winning isn't as easy as it looks. Failure for the Yankees comes at a very high level of play relative to other clubs, so despite a good season, Brian finds his job on the line. Whatever the outcome this winter, I suspect he'll do just fine. Any new job has to be easier than the one he has now.

With the Devil Rays name change working so well, maybe the Nationals should try it out as well:

Many cities' teams have appellations that reflect their local heritage or principal industry, such as the Pittsburgh Steelers, the Houston Astros, the Milwaukee Brewers or the Green Bay Packers. So with this in mind, I thought that a highly appropriate and ethnically safe team name for the reincarnated capital city baseball team would be the Washington Lobbyists.

I like that a lot. However, I came up with the perfect name for the team back in 2004, The Washington Exposés.

The consensus in the Brewers clubhouse is to keep Dale Sveum, but it appears his job is tied to Milwaukee making the playoffs.

Barry Larkin gives his opinion on how the lack of veterans on the Nationals hurts the development of their young players:

"When I was 21, I had 40-year-old guys around me saying, 'Listen young buck, this is how you do this, this is how this happens, and you know what -- No! You're not going out tonight. You're getting your [butt] up and you're getting here tomorrow morning because that's the way a professional works.' These guys don't have that. And then you have a 23-year-old kid who's the de facto leader of your team. So it's not an enviable position for these guys, and it's tough for these guys. They are playing hard, but they are learning. They're learning. The best players on their team are learning to play at the big league level, and it's tough. It's like learning a new language and just saying, 'OK, I taught ya man. You can go to China. I was just there. Go communicate with people.' Ahh, it's not gonna happen."

Steve Clark notes similarities between the Brewers and the final scenes of Animal House:

There were plenty of reasons to fire Yost before the season started or midway through the year, but when the schedule reached September, the Brewers should have unfortunately stuck with the girl they brought to the dance.

But when they fired Yost, it was like floats were running into bleachers, Niedermeyer shooting at Flounder and Bluto scaling the downtown buildings. And no matter what Melvin said, all was not well.

Maury Brown notes that given the economy, Major League Baseball is having a banner year.

It's not official yet, but the Red Sox are giving Theo Epstein a contract extension. Given the success of the Red Sox since he took over, it's well deserved.

The Brewers admit the main reason for firing Ned Yost was to kick start the team:

Sveum admitted that there was intended shock value to making the managerial switch.

"We're hoping it's a shock reaction to get (the players) to perform up to their level," Sveum said. "We're trying to send a shockwave through this team."

They're scoring 2.7 runs per game in September, go something needs to kick the offense into gear. Remember, too, that with both Sabahtia and Sheets free agents this winter, the Brewers put all their resources into winning this year. They can't take the chance of missing the playoffs after their mid-season moves.

It's too bad Yost didn't get the chance to finish. I questioned some of his moves with pitchers lately, especially how he used Sabathia. He'd allow him to stay in a blowout to get a shutout, but pull him with a relatively low pitch count in a 2-1 game. His use of the bullpen was questionable. On the other hand, he did try batting Jason Kendall ninth and the pitcher eighth, so he was at least open to new ideas.

The Mets fall to the Nationals 7-2 this evening, and with Ned Yost getting fired, that interim label is looking pretty good on Jerry Manuel right now. John Lannan holds New York to one hit over seven innings, while Pedro Martinez walked more than he struck out. You never used to see that out of Pedro.

Lannan had allowed 23 hits to the Mets in 15 innings of work this season, generating a 6.00 ERA. That looks a bit better after this start. Lastings Milledge collected three hits and scored twice. He came into the game hitting .149 against his former team.

The Mets lead over the Phillies is down to 1/2 game with New York holding a one game lead in the AFILC.

Ryan Braun told the press Yost never lost the team. He's also clear on why the team made the move:

"I was really surprised at the timing of it. I at least thought they'd let the season play out and see what happened, but they felt like they needed to make a decision. Obviously, I have a lot of belief in upper management and ownership, the direction they see us going."

Braun agreed the move was part of the team's win-now mentality, which was a way to combat the season slipping.

"There's no way you make a move like this unless they felt that way," Braun said.

This was a wake-up call from the front office. I don't buy the Sabathia near-no-hitter whining as a reason for the team doing poorly, since Melvin was just as guilty as Yost. If that was the reason, the GM should go too. The front office needed a drastic move to get the team's attention. We'll see if this is the right move.

I'm getting emails from all over that the Brewers fired Ned Yost.

"This was a very difficult move to make, and we appreciate all of the work that Ned has done to develop this team into a contender," GM Doug Melvin said. "In the end, this was a collaborative decision made to put our Club in the best position for the final two weeks of the season."

Dale Sveum takes over, and a coaching staff overhaul is in the works. Yost managed just one collapse too many, but I'm surprised the move came now. This must put Fire Ned Yost out of business.

Update: It seems to me that if the whole team stops hitting, there's not much a manager can do. Add to that 3/5 of the rotation and the two big guns in the bullpen, and you have a disaster. If Yost wore them down, I can't see how Sveum fixes that. If he pissed them off so much they don't want to play, maybe Dale can help.

Fire Ned Yost examines Ned Yost's reason for leaving Brian Shouse in the game today and find it lacking.

Chartese Burnett is the latest subject of the Women in Baseball series. She's the Vice President of Communications for the Washington Nationals. Interestingly, she never watched a baseball game before working for the team.

The Good Phight is not too happy that the Phillies are tied with a team put together by Ed Wade.

Bobby Cox will honor his contract and return to manage the Braves in 2009.

This is news? Was there really any doubt? I would not be surprised to see Cashman ousted, but the Yankees haven't played poorly enough to get Girardi fired.

Via Baseball Time in Arlington, Joe Posnanski wonders what happened to the Trey Hillman who was so successful in Japan:

No, the troubling part is that all of those things that Dayton Moore and so many others saw in Hillman -- his bustling energy, his likeable personality, his sense of perspective, his ability to inspire and motivate the players -- those things have been missing in action. The Royals have played lackluster baseball. They have gone backward defensively. They are so unfocused that Hillman last week made a point to say they're catching pop-ups better. They have by far the worst plate discipline in all of baseball. The Royals' young players have not improved enough and in some case regressed. This is not a well-managed baseball team.

And everyone seems to know it, especially the players. It should be said up front that Major League Baseball players often grumble about their manager. But multiple sources who are around the club every day say that these Royals openly mock him. A new Trey Hillman joke is almost a daily occurrence, and it's hard for a manager to recover from being a clubhouse punchline.

It seems it was easier for Hillman to adjust to the different world of Japan than the familiar world of Major League Baseball. Posnanski notes at the end of the article that Hillman's job is safe and he does seem to be learning from his mistakes. However, it's a disappointing article given the high hopes for the manager at the beginning of the season.

The Orioles decided to bring Dave Trembley back as manager for the 2009 season. The Orioles performed well in a tough division, where their four rivals are all over .500. He deserves a chance to see if he can keep the improvement going.

Does anyone still think the Yankees should have kept Joe Torre as manager? I'm not looking for comments on the way the Yankees released him, but the actual decision to let him go. He's not exactly marching the Dodgers into the post season at this point.

Richard Griffin makes the case for and against J.P. Ricciardi staying on as GM in Toronto. He has two years left on his contract. On the pro side:

Ricciardi has built a farm system that is about two years from producing some key major leaguers. He deserves to see his best prospects bear fruit and watch the young guns from recent drafts develop and reach the majors.

Well, it took him long enough. I received this email last night from Michael Hobson who writes at The Fan View.

Remember how the Jays said that were using older catchers like Zaun and Barajas as stop-gaps because the veterans were simply filling space and biding time until the organization's catching star was ready. That was the catch phrase a few years back when the position of phenom catcher was held by Guillermo Quiroz--now a serviceable back-up in Baltimore.

Next up was Curtis Thigpen. The organization promoted his value as the next guy until Toronto baseball fans were witness to a guy who looked like he swung a toothpick, and hit as such.

Lastly, there is Robinson Diaz. A player that was hyped as the best of them all. A player that was touted to take over the catching position perhaps as early as late this season--but most likely it would occur at the start of the next season. This was a player that was recently sent to the Pirates as compensation when the Jays acquired a mediocre major league third baseman from Pittsburgh.

JP needs the assurance that he is a smart baseball man in the mould of his major league mentor Billy Beane. It is certainly unfortunate for the Jays that the bright student never developed into anything more than a bright student.

My bet is that J.P. is gone at the end of the season.

My comment about Manny Acta at MetsBlog.com drew this response from Peter Gammons:

Manny Acta is a sabermetrics student and the only manager who ever dropped a VORP on me. He has the worst team in baseball.

That got me thinking. Sabermetric teams really disappointed in 2008.

• Manny Acta's Nationals own the worst record in the majors.
• The Cleveland Indians stand 14 games out of first place.
• The Blue Jays put together a good pitching staff, but couldn't match it with a decent offense.
• The Oakland Athletics started in contention but trades threw them into a tailspin.
• Detroit didn't live up to the hype of their winter trades.
• San Diego sits in last place in the NL West.
• Trey Hillman's Royals haven't improved, and sabermetric pitcher Brian Bannister pitched poorly.

The Red Sox and Diamondbacks are still in contention. Arizona hasn't blown anyone away, however, and the Red Sox in a three-way race for the wild card. The biggest triumph was Baseball Prospectus's prediction that the Rays would win 88 games. I'm not sure if the Tampa Bay front office is statistically oriented, but they seem to be making moves as if they were. If true, their success will be a big victory for the science.

A Cubs fan says thank you to Kenny Williams.

Mike Hargrove wants to manage again:

"It really would have to be the right place - and the team that did it would have to believe I wouldn't walk away."

Hargrove said he has no regrets about his decision to leave, other than missing some close relationships he had established in the game.

"I really misspoke when I said I had lost my passion for the game," Hargrove said. "I think my competitive edge was dulled. Now, it's back."

We'll see if anyone wants to take a chance on Mike. The worry that he'll walk away would be a huge factor in the decision. I don't know how one guarantees that won't happen.

The Latin American kick-back scandal hits the Yankees as they fire two scouts:

The Yankees terminated the contracts of Carlos Rios, their director of Latin American scouting, and Ramon Valdivia, their Dominican Republic scouting director, a baseball official said Friday. The official spoke on condition of anonymity because no announcement had been made.

The two, who had been on leave, were terminated Thursday, the official said.

They were accused of skimming six figures from the deals, a second baseball official said, also speaking on condition of anonymity because no announcements had been made.

The Yankees join the White and Red Sox as teams to dismiss employees over this practice.

Via Shysterball, the Yankees send Melky Cabrera to the minors and release Richie Sexson.

Bruce Gardner and Cody Ransom were recalled from Triple-A Scranton to fill the open spots on the Yankees' 25-man roster.

I'm very disappointed in Melky Cabrera. He's still young, but you'd like to see progress early in a player's career and Melky showed none this season. While I love the name, I'm not sure how much Cody Ransom will help. He basically defines career minor leaguer.

Russell Martin gave Brad Penny a Mohawk, and Manny will cut the dreds:

It's Monday, and Manager Joe Torre lost his bet and will make a donation to Mattel Children's Hospital at UCLA -- Ramirez still looking like Samson before messing with the ladies.

A deal has apparently been struck, though, with Fantastic Sam's, Ramirez getting it cut sometime this week and a Dodgers charity benefiting.

Hair today, and maybe gone tomorrow, and it's all anyone wants to talk about.

Manny also told the report the Red Sox fined him $40,000 for pushing the traveling secretary in Texas. All the money went to charity.

Richard Justice notes a quote from Cecil Cooper that the Astros manager would quit if the team signed Barry Bonds.

Maybe Coop feels he has done such a bang-up job running the clubhouse and the games that he can help out Ed Wade in personnel. Lord knows, Ed could use some help.

If I were Cecil Cooper I'd be real careful about making threats. Sure the Astros have been playing well lately, but Cecil Cooper could be replaced in about three seconds. I have Don Baylor's telephone number around here somewhere.

Lisa Gray quotes Justice as writing:

Really? I'd make that swap. That would be a win-win.

I can't find that in the post, but it was my thought exactly.

He's only an assistant, but I can't see how this is a good move for the Reds.

The Blue Jays annoucned that Cito Gaston will return to the bench in 2009 as the manager of the Blue Jays.

"Cito's definitely going to be back," general manager J.P. Ricciardi said Thursday. "He's done a good job. We're six games over .500 since he took over. We've got a long way to go offensively, but he's really laid the groundwork for some of the right stuff offensively. The guys like playing for him."

The Blue Jays win tonight 6-4 over Oakland.

Lone Star Ball offers thoughts on the purge of the Texas pitching coaches. His working hypothesis was the Mark Connor was trying to make each pitcher throw the same way.

Ron Gardenhire won't be managing tonight's game:

Gardenhire was suspended after he kicked his hat in disgust following his ejection in the seventh inning. Fans threw hats, baseballs and other debris on the field after that, forcing Chicago manager Ozzie Guillen to pull his team off the field for a few minutes.

Ron won't be there if the Twins claim first place.

Update: The Twins just laid down three straight bunts. Gomez and Span picked up back-to-back bunt hits, then Punto sacrificed them to 2nd and 3rd. I can't remember seeing three straight bunts in a row. That's 48 bunt hits for the Twins, more than twice as many as any other team.

Update: After Mauer walks, Morneau hits a sacrifice fly, and the Twins lead 1-0 in the bottom of the third.

Update: Peralta doubles in the top of the fourth to tie the game at one.

Update: Shoppach hits his fifth home run in his last 10 games and the Indians lead 3-1.

The Texas Rangers replaced their pitching coaches Friday night:

The Rangers fired pitching coach Mark Connor and bullpen coach Dom Chiti after Friday's 9-8 win against Toronto.

Triple-A Oklahoma pitching coach Andy Hawkins and Jim Colborn, director of Pacific Rim operations and a pitching coach for two years under former Pittsburgh manager Jim Tracy, will take over for the rest of the season. Rangers general manager Jon Daniels said the club will re-evaluate both coaches at that time.

Texas pitchers own the worst ERA in the American League, the only team with an ERA over 5.00. The Rangers are the highest scoring team in the majors at 5.63 runs per game, yet they've been outscored by more than 30 runs. If new pitching coaches can knock down the Rangers ERA, they have a chance at making a run at the wild card this season.

"We felt we weren't seeing the progress we wanted to see," Rangers president Nolan Ryan said. "We're serious about the wild-card race, and in fairness to our offense, we needed to try to do something to improve our pitching. We owe them that."

Tyler Kepner shared an elevator ride with Brian Cashman last night after the Yankees loss:

I missed the early elevator to the clubhouse after Tuesday's game, and the one I got included General Manager Brian Cashman. If you ever wondered how hard this job can be on him, you wouldn't after seeing his face.

...

The elevator stopped at the ground floor, Cashman's stop. "I hate this game," he said, and he walked off into the lobby, toward the parking lot. He had a long drive home to Connecticut, with plenty more time to think about a tough game.

Joe Maddon wants to "eradicate assumptionism." Time to mock up a tee shirt.

The Washington Nationals aren't paying rent, using the excuse that the stadium in incomplete. I love The Nationals Enquirer take on this:

We have to ask: Is "Major League Baseball team" on the Lerner's "punch list" of incomplete items at Nationals Park?

David Atkinson notes in an E-Mail the anniversary of Earl Weaver taking over the Baltimore Orioles:

Before I head off into Never-Never Land for a couple weeks, I'd like to wish congratulations and happy anniversary (on this board, at least) to legendary manager Earl Weaver, who directed his first game as Orioles skipper on July 11, 1968. There are lots of strange and interesting things about Earl's career, he is quite a character. I hope some of you have read his autobiography.

One particularly odd thing that I have noticed in recent years is that despite Earl's type-AA personality and the fact that he's smoked enough Raleigh cigarettes in his life to fill the Grand Canyon (I don't think they even make that brand anymore, do they?), he somehow has managed to outlive a surprising number of his former players. Just off the top of my head, without looking anything up, I can name Pat Dobson, Dave McNally, Elrod Hendricks, Curt Blefary, Mark Belanger, Don Buford, and Pat Kelly. Who else have I missed? And that's only counting players who had a significant role, not journeymen who passed through briefly or guys who just had a cup of coffee in the bigs.

There were lots of amusing incidents in Earl's career. One funny one was the time the Orioles were playing the Twins, and Earl ordered an intentional walk to Dan Ford (because he mistakenly thought that Larry Hisle was up), only to have Hisle, the next batter, bang out the game-winning hit.

Anyone else have fond Weaver memories?

Toward the end of Earl's career, the Red Sox called up a Harvard grad named Mike Stenhouse. The guy could not hit, but he was a walk machine. For his career, he hit .190 with a .308 OBA. In his brief stay with Boston in 1986, he was 2 for 21 with 12 walks, an .095 BA but a .424 OBA. At the time, OBA wasn't as universally recognized as it is today. Earl understood it, however, and when there was talk of letting Stenhouse go, Weaver said that Mike could lead off for the Orioles. Stenhouse went on to have a career as a broadcaster for Pawtucket.

We've Got Heart continues their Women in Baseball series with a profile of Pam Gardner, President of Business Operations for the Houston Astros.

There's an excellent interview with Davey Johnson at Big League Stew. Most of it centers on the Olympics, but they also touch on Willie Randolph's firing. This disappointed me, however:

Q: If Omar Minaya called you after the Olympics and said, "Davey, we need you back, we need you to turn this thing around ... "

DJ: First of all, it's not going to happen. I respect Omar Minaya as a good general manager, but I haven't had a working relationship with him ... but as far as do I want to pursue a career in the big leagues again? No.

I'm really looking forward to managing the Olympics (team) and if it turns out I could manage the World (Baseball) Classic (team) I would be happy.

I love the game of baseball. I know I'm good at what I do. I know every club I've been with, I've left them in better shape, and they managed to mug it up right after I left, change the direction that I had them going in.

That's too bad. I would love to see Davey in a big league dugout again.

John Royal tries to look deeper at what's going on in the Astros clubhouse. I'm reminded of something Larry Dierker said about managing in Houston:

"When I became the manager, I kind of knew what were the smart things to do. But I also knew that if I did all of them, it would be at the expense of my credibility with the players. With that in mind, I just had to use my instincts to both win the game and keep the whole team in the spirit of pulling together. I didn't want to come off as an egghead guy who was just looking at numbers and ignoring people, and sometimes those considerations ran into each other."

There was also the whole Bagwell/Biggio leadership issue. From what I heard over the years, those two really ran things and kept a tight ship. Maybe Jeff needs to be hired as either the bench coach or the new manager.

The Royals are 1/2 game behind the Indians. If the Royals win tonight and the Indians lose, does falling into last place trigger the firing of Eric Wedge?

J.P. Ricciardi says he talked to Adam Dunn on the phone and apologized. Dunn says it never happened:

"What? Not true. One million percent," Dunn told MLB.com after being informed of Ricciardi's comments.

When told of what Dunn said, Ricciardi was adamant that he spoke to the player on the phone.

"All I know is the person I talked to said it was Adam Dunn," Ricciardi said. "That's quite a prank to pull."

I'm not buying Ricciardi's explanation. He says he deleted the caller's number from his cell phone. Why? Who does that? I was going through my phone log yesterday and there were months of calls there. I assume J.P. owns the latest technology, the number should still be there.

Hat tip, BBTF.

Update: More J.P. goodness from Drunk Jays Fans.

Henry Schulman wonders why Bochy didn't start a prospect at second base on Saturday night:

When Ray Durham had to be the designated hitter in Kansas City on Saturday night because of an ankle injury, manager Bruce Bochy had a perfect opening to start either Emmanuel Burriss or Travis Denker at second base. Instead, he went with the more experienced Jose Castillo.

Decisions like that do nothing to dispel Bochy's reputation, developed in San Diego, that he prefers older players.

Bochy on Castillo:

"He's got power. He's an intriguing player," Bochy said. "He runs fairly well. I think he has the tools to be an everyday player. Now, that's up to him. I think he's improved his work ethic since he's been here. I think he sees this as a great opportunity."

No, he doesn't. He's 27 years old, has over 1700 at bats and a .299 career OBA. With his improved work ethic, his OBA is up to .310 this season. As for power, his career slugging percentage is .386. We know that Castillo is a poor major league player. Give one of the youngsters a chance.

Ray Ratto likes the way Bob Geren improved as a manager this season:

Geren's work running the bullpen has been skillful (with the odd glitch here and there, and no, Saturday night doesn't count), with everyone understanding when he will be used and rarely removed from his comfort zone. Geren has juggled a lineup that used to have too many designated hitters and now has too few, and has managed to compile the eighth-best record with the 18th-best offense and the 26th-best slugging percentage.

Of course, their run differential suggests a record that would make them the fifth-best team, so maybe Geren actually is doing a crummy job, but there's only so much analysis you can squeeze out of run differential. Fact is, by all the best math, this club penciled out as another 76-86 team, and it is currently playing at an 88-74 rate.

In other words, the very worst you can say for Geren is that his second team is performing much better than his first did. And in baseball, that's largely the same as saying that's the very best you can say about a manager.

The team owns the best ERA in the AL, with the starters at number one and the bullpen ranked fifth. Geren is certainly playing to the team's strength, and at least knows when to get his starters out of the game.

John Gibbons seemed to take his firing well:

"I'm fine. You're disappointed but, then, that's the reality of these jobs," Gibbons said. "A lot of good things happened when I was in Toronto but, you know, nothing really great and by great I mean post-season. That's what the organization was looking for.

"But life goes on, man. Baseball goes on. If the worst thing is I get to spend a couple of months of the summer with my kids, I guess things could be worse. I've got nothing but thanks for the organization, particularly J.P. for giving me this opportunity. He stuck by me, gave me a shot. There's not going to be anything but fond memories.

"We were struggling, there was no question about that," Gibbons added. "Hopefully, change is good. I'm still a big fan of these guys. I want to see 'em succeed and I want 'em to have a great year. If this helps ... well, I hope it works."

John McLaren blamed the Mariners woes on team in-fighting:

McLaren, speaking by telephone from his home in Peoria, Ariz., said tension and jealousy among players in the fractured clubhouse contributed to Seattle going from supposed contenders to the worst team in the majors in three months.

"A little divided, pitchers against hitters," he said, adding the team's season-long woes on offense caused the turmoil.

Starting pitcher Carlos Silva provided a glimpse of that on June 4 following his sixth consecutive loss.

"One thing in here is, I know everybody has to do their own job, but don't forget it's a team. A lot of people in here play for themselves," Silva said then. "Like, 'If I get my two hits, it's OK. That's my day. I made my day."'

Then again, any hitter would be free to question Silva's contributions. Signed to a $48 million contract last winter, Silva is 3-8 with a 5.79 ERA in 15 starts.

McLaren emphasized he wasn't pointing out the rift to deflect criticism from himself but offer advice to the players on how to turn around their flopping team.

"I think there is a little friction and tension in there, a little jealousy," McLaren said. "I think the players have to (fix) it on their own.

Obviously, John failed to heal the rift himself.

On May 15, 1989, Cito Gaston took over a 12-24 Toronto Blue Jays team from Jimy Williams. The team would go 77-49 under Cito and win the AL East. That started an impressive run for the Blue Jays. From 1990 through 1993 they would finish first three times, second one and win back-to-back World Series, breaking a 14-year streak of no back-to-back winners. Toronto held the best winning percentage in the majors from the start of Cito's tenure to the end of 1993, .575, 445-329. The next closest was the Oakland Athletics at .550.

The Blue Jays were known for their offense, scoring 4.74 runs per game in that time. You can see the number of great players who batted for the Blue Jays under Gaston during their great run.

However, the next four season saw the Blue Jays fall on hard times. Note that he still had some really good names on the team, but near the end of his fourth losing season in a row, Gaston was fired. While Cito was supposed to be a good hitting coach, the development of Delgado and Green go against that.

OPS	Under Gaston	After Gaston
Green	.792	.906
Delgado	.825	.987

Also working against Cito was his idea that Olerud was a platoon player. 1993, The season John won the batting title was the only year Gaston played him in at least 140 games. After he left Toronto, from 1997 to 2003, Olerud appeared in over 150 games every season, hit .300 with a .407 OBA and a .471 slugging percentage.

Given a great veteran team in 1989 and through the 1993 season, Gaston was the perfect manager. As young talent came along, however, Cito didn't do a great job of getting the most out of those players. Right now, he inherits a set of veteran hitters. If history holds, I'd expect Cito to do a good job with this squad. He's not a rebuilding manager.

I just received an email from Baseball Digest Daily reporting that John Gibbons will be relieved of his managerial duties this afternoon.

Update: According to SI, Cito Gaston takes over as the new manager. Too bad John Olerud's not around to get benched.

The Mets are keeping Jerry Manuel for the rest of the season, but the job is up in the air after that. In a followup to the poll of dancers at Rick's Caberet that predicted Randolph's firing, the women were asked who should be the next manager of the Mets. Lonnie Hanover sent me the results:

Last night (Tuesday) there were over 50 Rick's Cabaret dancers working at the NYC club, and I posed the question to several of the girls. The list of names they suggested is quite random--I think that the girls have been influenced by reasons other than pure baseball; some may be on the list because the girls know them, some because they are good tippers. Some on the list have not been to the club. (You will have to come to the club and ask them yourself!)

MO VAUGHN
KEITH HERNANDEZ
LARRY BOWA
ROGER CEDENO
JASON GIAMBI
BILL MADLOCK
RON DARLING
LEE MAZZILLI
MIKE FETTERS
FRANK THOMAS
PHIL GARNER

and

***BOBBY VALENTINE: Rick's Girl Grace said that "Valentine would be similar to the Billy Martin thing, and my mom dated Billy Martin."

Grace appears to know her baseball history. How about Giambi as player-manager? He'd be an improvement over Delgado at first, and he should be a free agent at the end of the season. Would MLB let a former steroid user manage a team?

Willie Randolph gives his side of the firing in the New York Daily News. I like this bit:

"You don't have to say anything more, Omar," I said. "I came here to win, and if you don't feel I'm the guy to get that done, then it's your right to make a change. I'm eternally grateful for the opportunity you gave me. I want you to know that."

I stood up and shook his hand, told him I wished him and the team well. Then he handed me an envelope, a little parting gift, and told me to make sure I reviewed it with my agent, Ron Shapiro.

It was a copy of my Met contract that basically says I better not say anything detrimental about the team, or I might jeopardize the rest of the money I have coming to me.

Maybe that's why Omar didn't fire him Sunday night. He needed to get the copy printed.

John McLaren took over on July 2, 2007, less than a year ago. His 156 game stint as manager went well in the first half. The Mariners finished 43-41 under John in 2007. That's not as good as they played under Hargrove, but they won. His 2008 record of 25-47 is just awful, the worst in baseball.

The offense just didn't play well under McLaren. Among Mariners with at least 100 plate appearances playing for John, the highest OBA was .365 and the highest slugging percentage was .491, and both belong to the departed Jose Guillen. Six batters with at least 100 PA posted OBA below .300. If you want to blame Bavasi, McLaren was given poor hitters. If you want to blame McLaren, he's the guy who gave those hitters over 1600 at bats.

The pitching is more a mixed bag. Felix Hernandez thrived with McLaren at the helm. Erik Bedard didn't. No other starter has an ERA better than 4.84. With that kind of pitching and an offense that doesn't produce, a team ends up with a winning percentage under .400.

I tend to blame the GM in this case for putting a terrible team on the field. As far as I can tell, however, McLaren did nothing to get the most out of a weak squad. Maybe the new manager and GM will work better as a team to find a way to get this team winning.

The Seattle Mariners completed their managerial purge with the firing of John McLaren.

The club will hold a press conference at 11:30 a.m. during which they expect to announce the club's future plans.

Sources say Jim Riggleman, Seattle Mariners' bench coach, will be named to replace McLaren.

Stay tuned for more. Notice, however, the Mariners do this on an off day in the morning (the time posted is Pacific) before the team makes a cross country trip.

In a follow up to the previous post, J.P. Ricciardi appears to be losing it:

Ricciardi slammed Dunn on his Wednesday night phone-in show on The Fan 590, a Toronto radio station. His comments came after a caller suggested the Jays acquire Dunn, who is hitting .227 with 18 homers and 43 RBIs with the Reds.

"Do you know the guy doesn't really like baseball that much?" Ricciardi said to the caller. "Do you know the guy doesn't have a passion to play the game that much? How much do you know about the player?

"There's a reason why you're attracted to some players and there's a reason why you're not attracted to some players. I don't think you'd be very happy if we brought Adam Dunn here ...

"We've done our homework on guys like Adam Dunn and there's a reason why we don't want Adam Dunn. I don't want to get into specifics."

Ricciardi was generally sympathetic as callers vented following the Jays 5-4 loss to Milwaukee. But Ricciardi's demeanour changed when a caller mentioned Dunn as a hitter who might "save" the Jays' moribund offence.

"He's a lifetime .230, .240 hitter that strikes out a ton and hits home runs," Ricciardi said.

"Yes, he hits home runs, which none of the Toronto Blue Jays are doing," the caller replied.

That retort triggered Ricciardi's shot at Dunn as a player who "doesn't really like baseball that much."

I'm surprised no on mentioned Dunn's great OBA, .395 this year and .382 for his career. Adam gets on base and hits home runs, who cares how much he likes baseball! He does two things that add to offense very well. Ricciardi, should be all over players like Dunn, just like Billy Beane was happy to take in Frank Thomas.

MLB Fanhouse says it well:

As for Dunn's like of baseball, his lack of passion led him to miss all of 15 games over the last four seasons. He hit 166 home runs over that span so whatever his issues with average and whiffs, he's productive. Whatever his feelings about the game, I'd rather have a player who produces like Dunn and is indifferent toward baseball than Shannon Stewart, say, who may love the game but isn't very good at it.

I'm also reminded of my favorite Bill James quote:

I mean, I would never say that it was not important to have a team with a good attitude, but Christ, Sparky, there are millions of people in this country who have good attitudes, but there are only about 200 who can play a major-league brand of baseball, so which are you going to take? Sparky is so focused on all that attitude stuff that he looks at an Enos Cabell and he doesn't even see that the man can't play baseball. This we ballplayer, Sparky, can't play first, can't play third, can't hit, can't run and can't throw. So who cares what his attitude is?

J.P. is a huge disappointment. He's supposed to be a guy who understands what the numbers mean and act accordingly. He's done a great job building a pitching staff, but letting Frank Thomas go and going off like this on Adam Dunn makes me wonder if he understands how to build an offense. Maybe it's time for him to go.

J.C. Bradbury takes a second look at what he calls, "the most obvious GM blunder that I have seen in some time."

My latest SportingNews.com column looks at the 30 year anniversary of the Billy Martin firing and the parallels it holds with the Mets and Randolph.

USS Mariner keeps working on the next team GM, listing likely people to make the initial cut.

Jose de Jesus Ortiz is amazed at how bad things are in the Astros clubhouse:

It seems it has gotten so bad that now even in the dugout some players are openly among themselves questioning moves made by Cecil Cooper and the pitching coach Dewey Robinson. Turns out, quite a few players openly questioned Friday night why a pinch runner wasn't used for Ty Wigginton in the ninth.

I wonder if there are ring leaders who could be traded away? If they turn out to be Oswalt and Berkman, then it's more likely Cooper will get the axe.

On the first play of the Mets game, Jose Reyes had a run in with Jerry Manuel over an injury. In the fourth inning, Reyes returned to the dugout and appeared to apologize to Jerry.

Jose Reyes singles leading off the first inning in Anaheim, but hurts his knee. Manuel and the trainer comes out to look at it, and Manuel decides Reyes should come out of the game. Jose argues. He wants to stay in the game. Manuel puts his arm gently around Jose's waist, trying to direct him to the dugout. Jose gets more animated, and finally heads for the dugout. He screams something, throws his helmet, and heads down the runway to the club house. It wasn't pleasant to watch, and I wonder if Manuel will fine Reyes for his antics. It's good Jose wanted to stay in the game, but it would be nice to listen to the new manager in his first game.

Update: Manuel went down into the club house between innings and hasn't come back to the dugout yet.

Update: The Angels are hitting Santana hard. Carlos Delgado just made an error at first to lead to the third run of the inning. The Angels lead 3-1 and are still batting in the first.

Update: Kotchman tries to steal second as Santana releases a pickoff throw to first. Reyes's replacement, Easley, doesn't cover second and Kotchman steals the bag easily. He doesn't score, but that's about the worst first inning Manuel could have imagined.

Jerry Manuel is now holding a news conference. He just said he would use the 2007 collapse to motivate the team. He said it might have been a mistake to put that in the past. He feels the players need to be reminded of that when they play poorly.

Update: Sandy Alomar will not be the third base coach. He'll become Manuel's bench coach. Alomar has come under criticism for his coaching at third this season.

Update: Jerry just talked very intelligently about base stealing, talking about balancing what's good for the team with the opportunity to get the players some good stats. He wants to teach the players to recognize the right situations to run.

Update: Manuel just said he's going to stay in his uniform at the end of the season, because Minaya mentioned he won't fire the manager while he's in his uniform.

Update: Manuel is coming off as very intelligent and thoughtful here. He just talked about how getting fired by the White Sox was a valuable experience for him as it forced him to examine the things he could have done better and learn from that.

Omar Minaya's news conference is starting. You can watch on ESPNews.

Update: Minaya says it was his decision alone.

Update: Minaya said he wanted to look Willie in the eye when he fired him. Funny, he was on the east coast at the time.

Update: It sounds like Omar just said he made up his mind Monday morning. Then why wait until two hours after the game?

Omar says he was concerned that the players were talking more about Randolph's status than the games.

Update: I guess Omar flied out last night, which is why it happened when it happened.

Update: Jerry Manuel will be the manager for the rest of the season.

Update: Omar is spinning now. He says it didn't happen at 3 in the morning, it happened at 11 at night. Omar should know he's always on New York time.

Update: To sum up, Omar says he told Randolph when Willie left New York that Omar would make a decision. Omar slept on it, and Monday morning decided to fire Willie. Minaya had to take care of logistics, then flew out to Anaheim so he could tell Willie personally. He didn't want to wait because he didn't want Randolph to hear it from a third source. So he told him as soon as he could after the game, and after Willie was out of uniform.

Buster Olney pointed out that reporters knew the move that were eventually made over the weekend. The question that raises is why Omar didn't sleep on it Saturday night and make the decision Sunday morning?

The LoHud Mets Blog quotes Willie Randolph and Rick Peterson on their firings. Peterson was very gracious:

"I appreciated the opportunity (the Wilpons) gave me," Peterson said. "They welcomed me into their home, and sometimes homes go through renovations.

"I am the hardwood floor that is being ripped out and replaced with Tuscany tile. Hopefully, the Tuscany tile will do better than the hardwood tile. ... I am walking out of here in peace."

Both were more classy than the people who fired them.

John Royal connects the dots between a few media stories about the Astros and wonders if there is a communications gap between players and management.

The email coming in at MetsBlog.com indicates the firing of Willie Randolph caused great embarrassment to Mets fans.

Chico Harlan presents part of an interview with Manny Acta that reveals a lot about Manny's philosophy.

Well, I'm not perfect. Just because I have patience, that doesn't mean I can't lose my temper here and there. I don't claim... I have very good control of my emotions. I can control my emotions extremely well. That doesn't mean that I'm perfect, and I'm not here and there going to snap. Because I do, behind closed doors. When enough is enough, I do have my meetings with the guys. I don't go on an f-bomb tirade, because I don't believe in that. I believe I can get my point across in a calm, easy manner. But that doesn't mean I'm perfect. That doesn't mean I'll never be seen arguing or confronting somebody, because I've done it plenty of times in the past. It's just that nowadays I choose not to do it, because I've found out it doesn't get you anywhere.

Toward the end, he loses me a bit when he talks about the world being more negative and sarcastic. That's just typical old ballplayer remembering the good times without the bad. If the Nationals start winning, he'll hear more cheers than boos.

In general, however, reading through the interview made me like Acta even more.

Buster Olney takes down the Mets front office:

The personnel meetings the Mets hold are said by participants to run on for hours, the discussion often turning circular and pointless. And maybe that's when it starts to happen in their organization when they get to the point where the staff members are so beaten down emotionally and intellectually that they don't have the ability to stand up and scream: Are you people crazy? Are you serious? Because this is a really bad idea -- no, no, wait, let's go one step further: It's really just flat-out nuts.

There's too much good stuff to quote, but it appears that the Mets wanted to fire Randolph sooner, but couldn't pull the trigger on holidays, Memorial Days and Father's Day. This, I believe, is Buster's most damaging paragraph:

When the Mets sputtered in April, the backstabbing began, with Randolph being undermined along the way. Words of Randolph's honest player evaluations in those staff meetings somehow made their way to the ears of players. That left the manager in a brutal position of trying to draw performance out of veterans who heard that behind closed doors the manager wasn't so sure if they had the right stuff anymore. Some on-field staff members doubted whether they could trust the front office.

If this is the case, why would any manager want to work for this team?

Mike Hargrove is managing semi-pro ball in Kansas.

"I figure there's two ways to give back - money and time," Hargrove said. "And time is a lot cheaper than money."

Part of giving back for Hargrove, a former first baseman with a lifetime .290 average and .396 on-base percentage, has been helping several of his players make small adjustments in their hitting approach during early batting practice.

"It's really satisfying to see the look of, it's not pleasure, but the light kind of comes on for them," Hargrove said. "They're enthusiastic about it. It's like, 'Oh, gee, this makes a difference.'

"And that's real satisfying. I don't care what level you're on - if you're working with people with any talent at all and you can help them and you see that look come across their face . . ."

Good for Grover. Maybe he'll rediscovered his dedication to the game.

The Mets fired Willie Randolph after a 9-6 win over the Angels:

The Mets have fired manager Willie Randolph, pitching coach Rick Peterson and first base coach Tom Nieto, the team announced shortly after 3 a.m. Eastern time Tuesday.

Bench coach Jerry Manuel has been named the team's interim manager, while Ken Oberkfell, Dan Warthen and Luis Aguayo will join the staff.

The announcement came despite the Mets' 9-6 victory against the Angels hours earlier, which lifted the team's record to 34-35. Randolph's tenure as the organization's 18th manager ends with a 302-253 record, the second-highest winning percentage in franchise history, trailing only Davey Johnson.

This seems like a rather classless act. The Mets allowed Randolph and his coaches to fly to the west coast, manage a game, then released them. I can imagine the decision was made and the team needed to get the new coaching staff in place, but it still reeks. Randolph deserved better than to be treated like that.

At least if Joe Torre wants to offer Willie a job, Randolph is already on the west coast.

Update: Mets players learned of the firing via text messaging from beat writers.

Wille Randolph lost the support of a very important constituency:

Several NY Mets and NY Yankees can be considered "regulars," and the dancers at the club are unofficial experts on Baseball because they have met so many players from so many teams.

A Rick's dancer has been conducting a poll asking her fellow dancers if Mets Manager Willie Randolph should be let go. The "Dressing Room Poll" results are an approximation from the last week, with about 100 dancers saying that he should be fired, and only a handful saying that he should stay.

I wonder if this is what they hear from the players? Are the Mets going to this club and telling these women they'd like to see Randolph fired?

As I was out getting my hair cut, the Mariners rolled their second head in a weak, Bill Bavasi.

The Seattle Mariners fired general manager Bill Bavasi on Monday, as the team lags with the worst record in baseball after starting the season with playoff hopes. Vice president/associate general manager Lee Pelekoudas will take over in his place.

"Change is in order," Mariners CEO Howard Lincoln said in a release. "We have determined new leadership is needed in the GM position. With a new leader will come a new plan and a new approach. A search will begin immediately for a permanent GM, and Lee will be a candidate for the position."

McLaren may be gone once a new GM steps in. I would assume whoever takes over permanently would want his own field crew running things.

The Mariners are 322-395 under Bavasi, the third worst record in the American League. In the five previous seasons, Seattle was 472-338, the third best record in the AL. I was not impressed when the Mariners hired Bavasi, and his record with the team did nothing to change that.

The Willie Randolph death watch continues. SI downgrades his status from day-to-day to tenuous.

A Mets official indicated that nothing was expected to be decided today regarding Randolph's status. But that doesn't preclude something from happening later this weekend. Front-office sources indicate his hold on the job is shaky, at best.

Should Randolph be fired, bench coach Jerry Manuel will take over, sources told SI.com.

So the Mets will likely win four or five in a row, saving Randoph's job for another couple of weeks until they lose four or five in a row. New York is winning just often enough to keep Willie's heart beating.

6-4-2 Dosen't like what Ned Colletti is saying about the Dodgers young players. This morning on 1010XL, they asked me if I thought the Braves should go into rebuilding mode. I didn't think so, but I suggested that the best way to do that would be to trade Chipper Jones to the Dodgers for some of their prospects. Chipper is too much of an institution in Atlanta for that to happen, but it's the type of move that would great short term but lousy long term for the Dodgers.

Adam Rubin in the New York Daily News lays the blame for the Mets poor performance at the feet of Omar Minaya:

The decline and fragility of veteran players has been compounded by one of the worst farm systems in baseball, which has left no safety net. When Alou and Marlon Anderson landed on the disabled list in rapid succession, Mets brass promoted third catcher Raul Casanova. When they finally dipped to the minors for a young player, they called up Double-A first baseman Nick Evans and asked him to play the outfield, a position he'd manned for only 17 games in his professional career. After a three-double debut in Colorado, Evans was in a 1-for-19 rut when he was sent back down. The Mets subsequently promoted 32-year-old former Phillie Abraham Nunez, who had been released from the Brewers' minor-league system, and who had batted just .133 in 13 games at Triple-A New Orleans. Regardless of anyone's opinion about Willie Randolph's job performance, and the manager certainly goes before Minaya, Randolph was handcuffed during San Diego's four-game weekend sweep that included three one-run games because his five-man bench consisted of unusable Ryan Church (post-concussion syndrome), two backup catchers, Nunez and the non-starter among Damion Easley and Fernando Tatis.

Compare that to the Red Sox front office, which simultaneously brought in quality free agents and rebuilt the farm system. It's no easy task, but it can be accomplished.

Brandon Inge will now split the catching duties with Ivan Rodriguez, each starting every other game regardless of the opposing pitcher:

Leyland has said for weeks Inge will catch more. He hadn't said how much more until Monday.

Rodriguez started at catcher in all but one game on a recent nine-game West Coast trip. "I think that's one reason his average has fallen off," Leyland said of the workload.

Dating to the start of the West Coast trip, Rodriguez was hitting .114 with two RBIs over the past two weeks entering Monday.

The Tigers could probably carry Rodriguez's bat if Cabrera, Renteria and Granderson were hitting closer to their career averages.

After a profanity laced tirade recently by manager John McLaren, the Mariners hire Lee Elia to replace Jeff Petland as hitting coach.

Elia, who accepted the role late Sunday, took over Pentland's duties before the Mariners' three-game series at Toronto that started Monday night. He will remain with the Mariners indefinitely, even though he had previously said he was not interested in a return to full-time coaching. Elia discussed the move with his family before accepting the role.

"I'm a Seattle Mariners guy," Elia said. "I've spent 10 lovely years here. "We're going through a little bit of a tough time right now. If we can tighten this thing up and I can be a part of it, I discussed it with my wife and daughters and it's not like I'm going away for 100 years. I'll be up there for a little while."

He certainly has his work cut out for him. Seattle ranks13th in the AL in runs per game.

After a profanity laced tirade yesterday, Jerry Brewer believes John McLaren is gone:

McLaren's antics felt forced. The entire postgame was a strange, calculated event.

The Mariners' public-relations staff advised the media to go to the clubhouse immediately after Wednesday's 5-4 loss to the Los Angeles Angels. Normally, when the clubhouse opens, the manager speaks first and then the players talk. On this day, we were told to talk to the players, and in the surprise of the season, most all of them were sitting at their lockers.

It felt like a firing. Reliever Arthur Rhodes threw a tantrum, kicking and throwing gear. For most everyone else, there was an eerie silence, an anticipation of bad news.

And then it was time for McLaren to speak.

The nice man did his best Al Pacino impression before storming away without taking any questions.

Now, I have a firm belief about managers and coaches who go bonkers. I call it the Cuckoo Principle. When they go cuckoo, that's it. They're done. It works in almost every case, except for Guillen. The White Sox manager is incessantly cuckoo and blessed with the cushion of a World Series. But even his time will arrive soon.

An explosion is always proof that either you've lost the grip on your team, or you're struggling with the pressures of the job. McLaren had to be provoked to act out of character.

The Mariners are worse than even their toughest pre-season critics imagined. They're on a pace to lose 105 games. Is it McLaren's fault? If the job of the manager is to get the most out of his players, John is certainly not doing that. I agree with Jerry that the axe is likely to fall soon.

Bill Shaikin wonders why Mike Scioscia keeps playing Gary Matthews, Jr. over Juan Rivera.

It looks to me like Ozzie Guillen might not be managing the next game for the Chicago White Sox.

"Just be ready because I expect movement Tuesday," Guillen said after the Sox went 2-for-14 with runners in scoring position in a loss capped by Gabe Gross' walk-off home run off Matt Thornton on an 0-2 count in the bottom of the 10th inning. "I expect (general manager) Kenny Williams to do something Tuesday, and if we don't do anything Tuesday, there are going to be a lot of lineup changes. That's all I'm going to say about the offense."

...

"It can be me. It can be (hitting coach) Greg Walker. It can be the players. It could be anybody," he said. "I'm sick and tired to watch this thing for a year and a half. I'm not protecting anybody anymore. [Bleep] it. If they can't get it done, Kenny should find someone to get it done."

Which brought this response from Williams:

"It's just not a good idea to throw your boss under the bus, especially when that boss has had your back as much as I have had his," Williams wrote in an e-mail. "I expect this team, if the leadership remains positive and the players stick together and continue to play hard, it will be a fun summer.

"The offense will begin to produce when collectively they say the hell with all the theories, stay loose, pick the pitch you want to hit and hit it hard. It will be nice to see them lighten up and have some fun."

I think there is a good chance Williams takes Guillen up on his idea that the manager should go. Guillen's tirade is one the that the manager and GM should have on the phone, not in public.

Update: Jay Mariotti is enjoying this.

HR World looks at ten coaches who would make great CEOs with examples of their best CEO trait.

Via BBTF, John McLaren on the possibility of being fired (emphasis added):

"It's not a real good feeling knowing there's a target on our back," McLaren said Monday in a telephone interview. "I don't even read the computer anymore. Those blogs will eat you up, no matter what."

Now that I know he reads blogs, I'd like to see him keep managing. Secondly, it's very cool that blogs replaced newspapers in one cliche!

Omar Minaya stated pretty emphatically that the Mets are going to keep Willie Randolph:

During a press conference at Shea Stadium this afternoon, Mets GM Omar Minaya told reporters, "Willie Randolph is our manager. There is no limbo. He's the manager...and I hope he is our manager for many years to come."

According to Minaya, the goal of today's meeting was to a) discuss Randolph's public comments from last week, and b) talk about the current state of the team and what they need to do to get better.

"We had a good, productive meeting," said Minaya, who noted they all share ideas on how best to make the team better, adding, "Two things, ownership is very disappointed in how the team is playing...They wanted to talk to Willie about those things...Also, about the comments, once we get beyond today, like today is over, those comments are over, and they felt it was important to talk to Willie about it, they've accepted his apology and we move on from there. It's over. Let's go on. It's over. Let's move forward now."

Right now the Mets are losing to the Marlins 6-3. If they get swept by Florida, I wonder what Omar will be saying then? I'm glad they are giving Willie a chance to win, but you wonder how low they'll let the team sink.

Johan Santana loses to Tim Hudson 4-2. Santana, however, didn't pitch well. He struck out one over seven innings while allowing 12 hits. Chipper Jones picks up two hits and ends the night at .412.

The Braves sweep the Mets and now led New York by three games. While a two game sweep of the Yankees might have saved Randolph's job, a sweep by a division rival has to really hurt Willie's chances of keeping his job. How much time does he have left at this point?

Update: It's possible David Bush did the same thing to Ned Yost. He puts up a similar line to Santana, 5 innings, 9 hits, 0 walks and 1 strikeout. He allowed six runs, however. Maybe the Mets and Brewers should just trade managers!

Willie Randolph apologized for being a distraction, which really means he's sorry for making race an issue.

"I apologize to Mets ownership, SNY and my team for the unnecessary distraction I caused the last couple of days," Randolph said. "I shouldn't have said what I said. It was a mistake."

Can anyone else think of a time a black manager, coach or player had to apologize for bringing up race as a factor in decisions about him? This is also ominous:

Randolph said he reached out to Fred and Jeff Wilpon to communicate his remorse but hadn't been successful.

If Randolph wasn't on the hot seat before, he certainly is now.

Update: Some background at The Big Lead.

Badger Blogger gets inside information that Ned Yost will be fired today and replaced by Ted Simmons. Stay tuned.

Richard Griffin levels some fair criticism at J.P. Ricciardi:

The truth is Ricciardi has stumbled badly. The initial misstep involved his promise of rebuilding the farm first. The second involved proceeding with the acquisition of high-priced talent even though his homegrowns weren't ready to lead.

The whole plan wasn't done as he laid it out and it might ultimately mean that his total tenure will end up being seven years and gone after this season, the exact amount of rope that his predecessor Gord Ash was given by Ted Rogers before he ran out of time.

Consider Ricciardi's six-year won-lost record heading into '08. From 2002-07, his teams were 481-490, a win percentage of .495. If you compare that to Ash's final six seasons, 485-487, a win percentage of .499, where's the improvement?

Griffin also notes that in 2008, there are as many Gord Ash drafted players representing the core of the team as Ricciardi drafted players.

It seems some Latin American scouts for the White Sox were not playing by the rules:

"This is an investigation we brought to Major League Baseball as part of our reorganization in the Dominican Republic," Williams said. "We now have a new facility, complete with state-of-the art equipment and facilities. We're trying to achieve greater results down there. We wanted to be sure our operations were consistent with what we stand for. Obviously, they were not in this investigation and we've made some changes accordingly.

"As to the what and the why, I'm not at liberty to expound on that."

Also fired was David Wilder, the director of player personnel.

Peter Abraham does reports bad news concerning Willie Randolph:

Willie Randolph may not last the weekend as manager of the Mets. The question at this point may not be whether he goes, it's who they can find to replace him.

I'd say Davey Johnson, but I don't think he'll take a job until after the Olympics. Maybe Ken Macha deserves another chance.

Squawking Baseball posts a nice piece on the pros and cons of signing players long term. The cons are mostly on the player side of things. While clubs are controlling costs with younger players, they may actually be ratcheting up free agent salaries:

But there's another dynamic that is in play here: as more and more players sign these deals, the supply of premium players on the free agent market will continue to drop. That, combined with the growing war chests many teams have already put together, will create excess demand for whatever talent ends up on the open market.

In fact, this has likely already happened in the past few years. Teams have a certain amount of money they can spend on payroll; as revenues rise and each win becomes more valuable, those budgets increase. With a limited supply of free agents, there will inevitably be high demand for some mediocre players (i.e. Carlos Silva).

The real question is this: at what point does the potential reward of becoming a free agent outweigh the risks of turning down $30+ million when you have nothing in the bank? If supply continues to dwindle, free agency may simply become too rational a choice to pass up.

I just had a conversation with Terry Bross on the show The Positive Side of Sports. Terry, former pitcher, is upset with these youngsters because they're costing others money. By not going to arbitration, they're not ratcheting up salaries as much. I understand the union point of view on that, and that most of these players would make a lot more money going year-to-year until they reach free agency. Turning down a lifetime of security, however, is very difficult to pass up. The owners, through hiring better GMs, have finally figured this out.

Gaslamp Ball wonders if teams really need coaches:

This allows me to, again, bring up something that's always bothered me. Jbox and Jonny Dub (and sometimes Kev) and I debate this all the time. Basically, it's always bothered me that baseball, unlike every other professional team sport in the world, apparently does not actually have a need for their coaches. Or at the very least, there's the idea that baseball players should be able to "figure it out" on their own.

When the team's not hitting, the hitting coach gets fired, but there's always a vocal argument that firing the hitting coach doesn't actually do anything because the hitters have to know what they're doing on their own. The base coaches get a little more credit, but we've seen players routinely miss (ignore) signs and signals. Sometimes it works and sometimes it doesn't, but couldn't the players play base coach just as well and save some money? There, I saved some money for the Padres. Make the guys who made the last outs play base coach. We've all done it. It's easy.

There's something to be said for this approach. David Mamet found he didn't need a director:

I wondered and read, and it occurred to me that I knew the answer, and here it is: We just seem to. How do I know? From experience. I referred to my own--take away the director from the staged play and what do you get? Usually a diminution of strife, a shorter rehearsal period, and a better production.

The director, generally, does not cause strife, but his or her presence impels the actors to direct (and manufacture) claims designed to appeal to Authority--that is, to set aside the original goal (staging a play for the audience) and indulge in politics, the purpose of which may be to gain status and influence outside the ostensible goal of the endeavor.

Maybe teams don't need a manager either. Make the players responsible to each other. The seven guys standing behind the pitcher likely have a better sense of when he's tired than the manager in the dugout. It might take some time to make strategic decisions on bunts and hit and runs, but those sorts of things could be discussed before the game or a series. Or the players could just decide that one or two of them have the best strategic sense and leave those particular decisions to those individuals.

There would be no more excuse that things were the managers fault. Players who didn't get with the program would be fired instead. In a way it would be a throwback to the early days of baseball.

Of course, it won't happen. The managers position evolved for a reason, probably so players could concentrate on hitting, pitching and defense, leaving the worries about strategy and press relations to someone else. Still, it might be fun to see what would happen. Maybe the next time a manager is fired late in a season, the team will just let the players take over for a month to see how it works.

Adam writes on last night's Cards-Brewers game, one in walk off fashion by the Brewers:

I was perusing the Cards-Brewers play-by-play to see how Isringhausen blew another save tonight and I noticed two things.

** 1 - The unwritten law that managers live by of going to their closer in save situations automatically. Even though Ryan Franklin went 1-2-3 in the 8th, retiring Cameron, Braun and Fielder (the 2-3-4 hitters) on 5 pitches, Larussa gives the ball to Izzy for the 9th, who promptly blew his 5th save and raised his ERA to 7.47.

** 2 - From Cameron's pop out to open the 8th inning thru Bill Hall's flyout for the 2nd out of the 9th, the Cardinals recorded 5 outs on 5 pitches. Each of the next 4 batters swung at and were retired on the first pitch. Seemed kind of odd, but who knows, maybe it happens all the time!!

Something I've talked about before is the more often a manager changes pitchers, the more likely he's going to find one having a bad day. If a reliever is brought in and pitches well, and hasn't reached a credible pitch limit, why not let him continue? Franklin did the heavy lifting, facing Cameron, Braun and Fielder in the eighth. The rest of the lineup should have been a bit easier. On top of that, Franklin is pitching better than Izzy this season. It's amazing to me that a manager who thinks outside the box on lineup construction is sticky to the conventional wisdom on relievers.

Not really. Tony invented the conventional wisdom with the Athletics, so why should he be wrong now.

John McLaren gets the dreaded vote of confidence.

Richard Griffin criticizes the Blue Jays management for not giving players enough time to produce:

Yesterday's questionable personnel move was the knee-jerk reaction that sent 24-year-old Adam Lind to warm the bench for now and the foreseeable future, a mere 10 days after being named starting left fielder. It appears to be another chapter in the Jays' impatient history of, "What have you done for me yesterday?" And it's not even a matter of how well his replacement Shannon Stewart plays in his stead.

Lind was promoted to play left, the same week Frank Thomas was released, with Matt Stairs and Stewart to platoon at DH. A lefthanded-hitting prospect, Lind posted a .365 average at Triple-A Syracuse with 16 RBIs in 18 games and was deemed ready for primetime. But 19 failed at-bats later, he's out and Stewart is in as the everyday guy in left batting second in the order. Patience?

"We have to think about putting the best team out there," manager John Gibbons said, matter-of-factly. "He's just not getting any hits right now."

One for nineteen with one walk isn't a good start, but the Jays should know that's a really small sample size. He has nothing to prove at the minor league level. It's not like anyone else on the team is producing all that much. Give him 200 at bats before benching him.

William Gum gives Brian Sabean a very positive review, noting the wealth he created for the owner of the Giants.

Blastings! Thrillage starts a series ranking the general managers from worst to best, and starts with Brian Sabean. I think the analysis is spot on:

But how much credit can one give to an executive who over his 11-year reign has done nothing to ensure long-term competitiveness for his team? Sabean is a very unique general manager in that his entire job has been to assemble role players around a guy who is quite possibly the best baseball player ever: Barry Bonds. That Barry Bonds was so astoundingly good that he could carry a roster of aging scrubs long past their primes, is a testament to Bonds' supreme ability and unnatural career path, not Sabean's skill as a general manager. How could he have known that Bonds, who was already turning 32 in Sabean's first year as general manager, would sustain an amazing level of production through age 35, and then instead of slowly declining, become a significantly better player than he had ever been for four more years, through age 39? Sabean could not have anticipated this; no one could. He was just lucky that Bonds' insane career path masked a continually flawed and uninspired player acquisition and roster construction strategy. It is no accident that when Bonds lost most of 2005 to injury, the Giants finished under .500 for the first time since 1996.

I look forward to the rest of the series.

Evan Grant notes the Rangers have a very strange coaching staff, as Ron Washington was forced to retain coaches hired by two former managers:

These are all strong baseball minds with strong backgrounds, but they've also been thrown together in a small lockerroom and asked to work together. It's kind of like Big Brother only without Julie Chen.

It's not too much of a leap to think the same kind tensions and frustrations that exist on a reality TV show also exist in the Rangers' clubhouse. Put the best people together in such a situation and you test them. People struggle to communicate with one another, and it makes for great TV. Coaches and manager struggle to communicate with each other and with the club, and it makes for a train wreck.

If players see a coaching staff that is struggling to work together, how do you think it's going to impact their play?

Brief answer: Whatever it is, it's not good.

Oh, and when changes come, it's usually the manager and coaches who get changed, not he players.

So here they are a month into the season and the coaching staff has found itself in a leaky lifeboat searching for a place to land. They have two choices: Start rowing together or sink to the bottom.

There is definitely something dysfunctional about the Texas team. This is going to end badly for a number of people, I'm afraid.

With the acquisition of Frank Thomas, the Athletes are carrying fourteen position players. Bob Geren is making the most of his flexibility:

The A's pitching staff has made it possible, with starters getting deep into games and the bullpen working efficiently. Meanwhile, manager Bob Geren is making the most of having an extra position player, employing almost National League-type strategy. He used three pinch hitters Saturday, and Sunday, Geren sent out two pinch-runners at the same time, which is unusual.

"It was like a line change in hockey," reliever Andrew Brown said. "Next it will be a flying V."

The Athletics are third in the AL in runs per game at 4.96. Now they're using a good pitching staff to leverage their offense with an extra bench player. It's just another example of a well run organization.

Here's a criticism of Wayne Krivsky I haven't heard. He wasted money on Francisco Cordero. The Reds' closer picked up his fourth save in four opportunities tonight and is pitching well in general. However, he only has four saves. He's a perfect example of how little a great closer can do if the team can't get him the lead. Until a team can get a game to the ninth inning with a lead on a regular basis, should a GM spend a lot of money for one relief pitcher, or should he spend it on hitters or starters who make the closer necessary?

Correction: Had the wrong Cordero.

It seems Ryan Freel is suffering from miscommunication with Dusty Baker. Dusty thinks Ryan doesn't want to play every day, but Ryan denies he said that. It seems like this should be pretty easy to resolve.

Joe Posnanski makes a very good case for firing John Gibbons. I have to agree.

I've never seen a more offensive walk than Friday night. Never. Toronto trailed the Royals 5-4 in the eighth inning. The Blue Jays trailed 5-4 because that gutty shortostop David Eckstein dropped a double-play throw from the pitcher. No matter. They trailed 5-4, and the Royals had runners on second and third, and there was still one out, and Tony Pena Jr. was at the plate. I mentioned this in the last blog post, I believe -- I like Tony Pena a lot. Great kid. Got a lot of the energy and joy for baseball his old man has. And he's a terrific fielder. And he's smart enough to adjust, at least I think so. But facts is facts: Tony Pena Jr., at this moment and time, is the worst everyday Major League hitter I've ever seen. I mean the worst. There are numbers to back this up -- .148/.172/.164 would be three of those numbers -- but this is truly a case where seeing is believing. His swing is now longer than the Bill Clinton autobiography. He starts it on a Tuesday, it ends on a Thursday. It lasts longer than that "Deal or No Deal" show. It's a long, long swing.

And with that sort of swing, he's an out. That's all. An automatic out. Every so often when a pitcher lets his mind wander, Pena Jr. will fights off a bad pitch, bloop a hit the other way, but it is almost always a mistake pitch. I assume (and hope) that he will make those adjustments I mentioned, shorten the swing, punch a few balls into gaps, and all that. But right now, at this moment, if you don't make a mistake to Tony Pena Jr., he's out. Period.

And John Gibbons, after pitcher Scott Downs fell behind Pena 2-0 count, had him walked.

Going back to my earlier post on Ricciardi, one of the things he's done very poorly is hire managers. Why Moneyball GMs don't hire Dave Johnson is beyond me.

John Fay spoke with Bob Castellini about the Wayne Krivsky fiiring:

"We're not winning. We haven't started well. It was time."

Fay adds this:

I think the thing that did Krivsky in was contracts. Mike Stanton, Rheal Cormier, Juan Castro. I've also heard that he and Walt Jocketty were not getting along great.

A news conference will start in a few minutes.

The Reds fired general manager Wayne Krivsky today. I can't say I'm surprised, but I also think he's getting a bit of a raw deal. With the young talent in the Reds pitching staff, and more to come with Homer Bailey, this team was a year and a couple of hitters away from contending. They're not even near the worst team in the NL, let alone the majors. I wonder if there is something deeper than just the performance of the team.

Walt Jocketty takes over. I guess this means the Reds will see more veterans in their last useful season playing for the team.

SportsAgentBlog takes a look at how agents and scouts are affecting diversity in baseball.

The latest in a long line of Dusty Baker has no clue posts.

Brian Cashman defuses the Joba Chamberlain situation. A couple of years ago I saw a Q&A with Cashman and someone asked how he was able to work for George Steinbrenner. He said that Steinbrenner was the only boss he knew, so he thought this was normal.

Hank Steinbrenner is putting pressure on the Yankees again:

"I want him as a starter and so does everyone else, including him, and that is what we are working toward and we need him there now," Steinbrenner said Sunday by telephone. "There is no question about it, you don't have a guy with a 100-mile-per-hour fastball and keep him as a setup guy. You just don't do that. You have to be an idiot to do that."

Steinbrenner said the Yankees were working on easing Chamberlain into the rotation, but he would not be specific on a timetable. The Yankees' brain trust had wanted to limit Chamberlain's innings by having him spend at least part of the season in the bullpen. "The mistake was already made last year switching him to the bullpen out of panic or whatever," Steinbrenner said. "I had no say in it last year and I wouldn't have allowed it. That was done last year, so now we have to catch up. It has to be done on a schedule so we don't rush him."

One thing I loved about George in his later years was that he wasn't afraid to put pressure on anyone in the organization, but he allowed his outbursts to be tempered later by the logic of the baseball people running the game. So I don't have a real problem with Hank spouting off like this. First, Hal seems to have some control in the tempering department. Second, this keeps the team on their toes.

Personally, I agree with him without the part about calling people idiots. I'd much rather see a good pitcher going seven innings in a game than one, and the more of those you put in the rotation, the less you need pitchers like Joba setting up the closer.

The Athletics front office, in the wake of the Miguel Tejada birthday change, tries to make it seem like age doesn't matter:

In other words, Tejada's age wasn't a big deal to the A's, except possibly when they signed him in 1993 as a teen out of the Dominican. He was much more signable at 17 than 19.

As to letting Tejada leave as a free agent, general manager Billy Beane said, "For us, losing players is not a function of age, but a function of the size of contract."

This is a team that calculated the monetary value of every ball in play. This is a team that knows the worth of every minor league player in North America. The know the exact value of age, and that certainly goes into their evaluation of what is the correct size of a contract. Nice try, Mr. Beane.

Josh Alpers suggests that Frank Thomas' benching may have more to do with his contract than his performance:

The Big Hurt has an option for $10 million in 2009 which vests after 304 more plate appearances this season. The Jays shouldn't be too surprised by his slow start. Over his long career, Thomas's April numbers are well below his work in other months.

It's also odd given the overall lack of punch in the Toronto lineup. They are slugging but .372 as a whole and have only eight homers from non-Thomas players. Shaking things up is fine but without a better option on the roster it seems pretty clear that the Jays are letting finances dictate their lineup.

While Thomas hasn't hit that well he has draw eleven walks so at least his OBA is over .300. He's not hitting great, but he hasn't lost his batting eye.

The Forbes ratings came out last night, and baseball looks like it's in pretty good shape. Only three teams, the Yankees, Red Sox and Blue Jays are losing money via operations. Things are really upside down, since the biggest profits accrue to the Marlins and Nationals. The winners lose and the losers win. What a great sport!

Richard Justice explains the Tigers turnaround came from a well timed chewing out by Jim Leyland. It's something the manager learned to do the right way:

When he was a young whippersnapper, he routinely closed the clubhouse door in Pittsburgh and let his guys have it. Somewhere along the way, he figured out that if a manager screams every night, no one listens.

Leyland eventually got it. He got a lot of other things. No manager is better at unifying a clubhouse and making all 25 players feel part of things.

There's also a time to cuss everyone out. If nothing else, Leyland probably felt a lot better. After Sunday's 11-0 loss to the White Sox, he did just that. Reporters standing outside the clubhouse could hear him.

"I'm not going to get into what I said," he said. "That's nobody's business. There was one thing that sticks out to me right now that's going on, and that was the straw that broke the camel's back with me. And that's why I'm (ticked) off. It's glaring."

He may have been upset that some of his hitters weren't having competitive at-bats. That's the thing scouts following the Tigers have noticed.

There's a balancing point between Larry Bowa and Willie Randolph. It's a lot closer to Willie, and I believe Mets fans would like to see Randolph cross that line once in a while.

Ron Gardenhire on slumping hitters breaking helmets:

"It's not the helmet's fault. It's that head inside the helmet."

Matt Cerrone at MetsBlog.com comments on the way Willie Randolph handles the team.

...in my view, this group of players lack accountability...and they lack shame...this, not anger, is what is missing...

...instead, if a player is not focused, making mistakes and costing the team an opportunity, willie should sit him down - like he did to Jose Reyes last summer...this is not a long-term solution, of course...the Mets need their best players in the lineup if they intend to win a pennant...however, it's not enough to just have people in the lineup physically, these players must play hard and perform while on the field...if, instead, they would rather waltz around and cash a pay check, that is not going to hack it...so, from what i understand, having talked with former players, if they are shamed by getting benched, if they are pulled from a game, called out a bit in the media, etc, this will have an impact...yelling at them like children will only make them more disengaged, but embarrassing them in front of their peers could help...

...i think willie took his first shot with this sort of method last night, with his public comments and frustration after last night's game...phase two will be making an example out of some one, assuming it gets to that point...i trust that it will not...

...i realize people get on willie, and rightfully so...i have a hard time with this, because, while i do not think he is passive, as most like to write, i do think he suffers from a bad case of tunnel vision and he is very, very trusting in his players...maybe to a fault...however, i like his style of baseball, i.e., aggressive base running, having a killer mentality and playing strong defense...my fear, though, is that, while the team may have some serious, high-priced talent, it may not be the type of talent best suited for willie's style...and so, what we may be witnessing is a conflict of style playing out on the field, in the locker room and in the press...

There are two things here that might end up getting Willie fired. Given the way the Mets tanked last year, they should be coming out of the gate as crisp as possible. There's absolutely no excuse for them to lose games due to sloppy play. That rightly goes back to the managerial skills of Randolph.

Secondly, if this team is not suited to Willie's style, then he shouldn't be managing the team. A good manager will adjust his style to fit the players on the team. If you have a low power, high speed team, then little ball and emphasizing the running game makes sense. If you have a bunch of power hitter who lumber around the bases, you wait for the three-run homer. It's not good to force a style on a team that can't execute that type of baseball. It's Randolph's job to figure out what type of team he has and manage to their strengths.

Frankly, as much as I'm a fan of Randolph's, I don't think he's long for the Mets.

I really can't get over how much crap Joe Girardi is taking for pitching to Manny Ramirez on Saturday. It was a perfectly logical decision that didn't work out. Nice to see that Joe took the questioning well.

It is things like this, however, that keep some mangers from going outside the box. I've asked players in the past about a certain strategy that made sense and why managers don't use it, and I've always heard that they don't want to deal with the press if it goes wrong. In any given plate appearance, the odds are Girardi's decision is the right one. If he walks Manny and the next batter gets a hit, however, no one complains. It becomes management to avoid bad press.

I like this move by Dusty Baker:

It will be Josh Fogg's turn to pitch after the off day, but with the way Fogg pitched Wednesday against the Brewers (five innings, four hits, no walks, one earned run, three strikeouts), Baker is inclined not to skip him.

But he also wants to keep Aaron Harang on his normal four days of rest, meaning Harang pitches Tuesday in Chicago, followed by Fogg on six days of rest, then Edinson Volquez on five days of rest.

If teams do this throughout the season, they can get a couple of more starts out of their number one starter. That's two less starts from pitchers not as good, which should be better for the team in the long run.

My latest column at SportingNews.com looks at how teams change strategy when Joe Torre takes over.

I have to disagree with Jack Curry:

The decision Sunday that was probably even easier for Girardi was summoning Joba Chamberlain during a tense spot in the seventh. It is getting harder and harder to imagine the Yankees moving Chamberlain from a setup role to be a starter this season.

It makes perfect sense if the Yankees want Joba to start to give him longer bullpen assignments. At some point, I would not be surprised to see Joba get three-inning saves. He'll need the endurance to go into the rotation.

What will make the decision difficult is a lack of success by other relievers, not Chamberlain's own success.

Via the FanHouse, Dusty Baker on the walk-off home run. I didn't realize that he had Encarnacion try to sacrifice twice in that plate appearance:

"You can't let him swing in that situation," Baker said. "He was struggling. I told (coach Chris Speier), 'I kind of hope he doesn't get it down so can hit a three-run homer, and he hit a three-run homer."

Sparky Anderson used to drive me crazy. I'd hear him interviewed and was convinced the man knew nothing about baseball. However, the results on the field indicated something different. After a while, I just stopped listening to what Spark said and paid attention to what he accomplished.

I'm at that point with Dusty now. I'm no longer going to listen to crazy remarks like this. I'll just watch for the results, which for his career are good.

Bruce Bochy and Joe Torre tried to align their pitchers to the weather last night, holding their starters until later in the game. Unfortunately, you can't fool mother nature. Just after Lincecum and Billingsley entered the game, a 74 minute rain delay ensued. Bochy, unlike Torre, sent his young starter back to the mound.

In a stunning and risky move involving the young pitcher they call The Franchise, Bochy allowed Lincecum to pitch one inning then return to a cold, damp mound after sitting through the 74-minute delay. Even older, established pitchers rarely do that.

Lincecum threw 84 pitches over four innings, allowing one run and striking out four to get the win. What a turnabout from last season, when the Giants babied Lincecum so he would not overtax his valuable right arm.

Bochy defended the decision, saying, "If we thought we were going to hurt his arm, we wouldn't have done it."

Bochy conferred with Lincecum, pitching coach Dave Righetti and bullpen coach Mark Gardner during the delay. Lincecum reminded them he often sat through rain delays during high school and college games in Washington. But even Lincecum later admitted he had not returned after a delay as long as Wednesday's.

"That," he said, "was a first for me."

Lincecum went on to single and score the winning run. We'll have to wait to see if there are any long term implications to this move.

Steve Wang and I spoke on the same panel at the AAAS conference in February. I knew Alan Schwarz wanted to write an article on Wang's work, and here it is. Steve uses faces as a visual tool to show managers tendencies. You can see the faces here. Randomly, Steve chose head width as the parameter for gaining the platoon advantage. Bruce Bochy comes out with a big head by this measure, just like in real life. Joe Maddon looks appropriately sad, given his record with the Rays.

Inside Charm City hears the Orioles might be sold after this season:

We are hearing that a group of backers including politicians, investors and other businessmen may be pushing for an arrangement unique for Major League Baseball if the team is indeed sold. That arrangement currently does exist in the National Football League. Some sort of community-based group ownership like the arrangement the Green Bay Packers have is something that many in the area believe could help turn the team's flagging attendance around and help improve the product on the field as well. We wouldn't be surprised to hear that Nestor Aparicio of WNST is involved behind the scenes in such a move. There will likely be all sorts of other potential buyers coming out between now and the end of the long dismal season.

Angelos would be selling a a relatively low point. Given the success of the team through the 1990s, there's a huge upside for whoever purchases the franchise.

Joe Girardi removed the ice cream and candy from the Yankees clubhouse and replaced them with healthy treats.

Mussina jokingly said he planned to find the wayward freezer and install it in the empty locker next to his. "The candy will go on the top shelf," he said. "I can't play without some candy."

Phil Hughes and Ian Kennedy, being children, also were distressed.

The good new for the beat writers is that whenever we need a scoop, we can bribe the players with M&Ms.

A scoop for a scoop sounds like a good deal.

Matt Treanor defends Joe Girardi's handling of the Marlins pitching staff:

But it is a subject that has not died easily. Matt Treanor, Marlins current backup catcher for Girardi and now, said, "You know I am going to get into trouble even talking about this stuff." The implication was the front office would not like it.

However, Treanor, first baseman Mike Jacobs and second baseman Dan Uggla all praised Girardi's season managing the Marlins, describing him as passionate for the game, caring for the players and -- yes -- protective of the young pitchers.

"I don't think it was cause and effect," Treanor said. "I never saw anything that anyone was abused on the mound. Joe is not that type of guy."

Joe was the manager and the pitchers got hurt. Pitchers, unfortunately, do get hurt. We'll see how he does with the new crop of youngsters.

Tyler Kepner finds an important similarity between Joe Girardi and Yoda:

Yoda's most famous quote, of course, was: "Do, or do not. There is no try." Turns out Girardi believes the same thing.

"He expects you to get the job done," Treanor said. "One time in spring training, somebody said, 'I'm going to try to do this.' I remember his comment was, 'I can get a truck driver to try.'

"So basically that means, you're out there to do it, by whatever means you have to do it."

There you have it, the distilled wisdom of the Yankees' new manager, straight from the playbook of a three-fingered puppet.

That's enough to link to a Weird Al video:

I saw Al perform this live at the old Jonathan Swift's in Cambridge, MA in 1983. He opened with this song, and really rocked. He still has the same guitar, bass and drummer he had then.

The Wall Street Journal ranks Ron Gardenhire as the best manager in baseball. The study ranks Scioscia, Francona and Torre 14th, 16th and 17th respectively. Subjectively, I would not rank those three that low, and I'm not sure how many people would. It would be neat if someone took these 20 managers and asked people to rank them 1-20 to see how they did. My guess is that this study missed something about why these managers have been so successful over the last decade.

Dugout Central relays a great story they heard John Franco talk about on radio. Bobby Valentine used the noise from the planes flying over Shea to assist in picking off runners at second. It's a good example of how Valentine could be a very clever manager.

Correction: Sorry, I wrote Julio but I meant John.

Former manager Preston Gomez was seriously injured in a car accident:

Preston Gomez, the beloved, 84-year-old special assistant to the Angels general manager, is in critical condition at a Palm Springs hospital this morning after being hit by a pick-up truck at a gas station in Blythe.

Gomez, on his way home from spring training, had stopped at a Chevron station at about 6 a.m. this morning and told his wife he was going to take a walk to stretch his legs.

According to Detective Sgt. Jeff Wade of the Blythe Police Department, Gomez "went around the pumps into the next aisle and right in front of a large pick-up truck that was driving up to re-fuel."

Gomez, Wade said, "suffered pretty major head injuries" and is believed to have suffered internal bleeding. He was taken to a local hospital, stabilized, and then air-lifted to the Desert Regional Medical Center in Palm Springs at about 10 a.m.

I remember him as the first manager of the Padres. I hope he pulls through.

Redleg Nation corrects Dusty Baker's faulty memory.

Aaron Gleeman proposes an interesting theory on who Ron Gardenhire praises and who he criticizes.

Baseball Hot Corner discusses the balance the Yankees need to achieve between keeping prospects and trading them away. New York did make those kinds of deals during the Cashman era, the most memorable for me being the Ricky Ledee trade. They trade Ledee, Zach Day and Jake Westbrook for Dave Justice. Looking back, it was probably a bad trade. That deal, however, filled an important need for the Yankees in 2000. Ledee never became a regular, Day had a couple of good seasons, the Yankees would have needed to wait four years for Westbrook to be valuable. Sometimes winning now is more important than winning in the future, however, and Justice provided a boost in 2000, the last year the Yankees won the World Series.

The White Sox are just a mess at second base.

Voros McCracken levels criticism at Kenny Williams for waiving Juan Uribe. However, we don't know if the waviers can be pulled back yet.

I suspect David Forst's comments on Bonds will help the MLBPA's investigation of collusion against Barry Bonds:

Keri: Barry Bonds! Left field is probably the A's weakest position right now, depending on which way you decide to go at the start of the season. He's in the Bay Area already, the A's are a team that prides itself on performance analysis, and Bonds still projects to be a productive hitter. Is there just an industry-wide philosophy that says, "Wink, wink, we're not going to do this"?

Forst: You expect me to answer this on the record? [laughs]

Keri: On the record, off the record, whatever you want to do.

Forst: On the record, this team has committed to young players.

You can read the whole interview at ESPN.

Mike Lawson sends this article on how the Rangers are using Nolan Ryan to try to bring back the fans:

There are pockets of doubting fans, hesitant to air their feelings publicly, who feel that Ryan's ascendancy is nothing more than a default-driven publicity stunt casting Ryan as a living, breathing mascot. But for the most part, everyone from Zonk (you can almost hear his drumbeat getting louder) to Charley Pride (you can almost hear the echoes from his annual spring training clubhouse performance) is buying what Nolan is selling. Even if the team remains the pathetic, penny-pinching Rangers. Even if it recycles the "You Could Use Some Baseball" slogan. Even if this is another season of prospects being groomed, veterans traded to contenders for even more prospects and a finish closer to fourth place than first.

Regardless, Ryan's touch is essential to pull the Rangers out of their spiral toward utter irrelevance. It was 10 seasons ago that Texas won 95 games and drew almost 3 million fans. But in this millennium, it has finished above .500 only once and last year attracted only 2.3 million. Nothing will make the boss grasp for the past like losing 23 percent of his customers.

It's a very good article about the positives and negatives of the team, and what Ryan will face as president as he tries to fix three decades of poor play in Texas.

Mark Lamping resigns as president of the Cardinals to manage the building of the new football stadium for the Giants and Jets.

After a career as prominent sports-marketing executive at Anheuser-Busch, Lamping was hired as Cardinals president on Sept. 1, 1994.

It was a troubling time for the franchise. The 1994 Major League Baseball season was shut down because of a labor disagreement, and the Cardinals were slumping on the field.

Lamping played a substantial role in the Cardinals' reversal of fortune. In 1995, Lamping hired Walt Jocketty as general manager, and Jocketty soon hired Tony La Russa as manager. That partnership was responsible for seven trips to the postseason over a 12-year stretch, and the prizes included the 2004 National League pennant and the 2006 World Series title.

Bill DeWitt III, son of the Cardinals owner, takes over the job.

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Redleg Nation uses Dusty Baker's evaluation of Homer Bailey to point out Baker's strength as a manager, handling people.

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Flotsam Media explains why Dusty Baker hates the walk. :-)

In training, I recently told young Joey Votto to give into his aggression. I wanted him to feel the power of swinging the bat, and letting the fear of a called third strike take control. Feed your anger, I told him. Feel the power course through your veins.

Incredibly, the young man disagreed with me, saying that he preferred an approach based on patience. I find his lack of faith disturbing.

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The Texas Rangers held ball girl tryouts, and they were quite rigourous:

Major leaguers will be hitting the balls they'll be fielding, so they can't be afraid to sacrifice their bodies for the sport.

During the Sunday tryouts the players bounded and lunged across the emerald grass, stopping line drives. Then, with determined faces, they each whizzed the ball back across the field.

"To catch and throw well, that's a must," said Rangers announcer Chuck Morgan, who helped supervise the tryouts. "And you've got to pay attention to whether the ball's fair or foul."

The right candidate must be able to think quickly off the field as well.

The team is expanding the ball girl program, now in its second year, to include a more visible marketing role, including making special appearances at promotional events.

Maybe Dusty Baker should hire MIckey Hatcher?

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The Brewers owner in looking to lock up Fielder and others to long term contracts:

Attanasio said the club will pursue long-term deals with many of the young players on his roster. He said those talks will be held in private, however, to avoid having the negotiations play out in the media.

"Whether it's Prince or any of the players, we're interested in signing all of our younger players to longer-term deals," said Attanasio. "At the same time, the players have to be interested in doing it. They have to make individual decisions.

"We've decided not to comment on where we are in the process. If we don't conclude any talks, we won't announce that we didn't sign anybody. We don't want to have a daily posting."

That's good to hear. There's lots of upside to signing youngsters to long term deals.

Trey Hillman very publicly reminded his team how to run the bases after their win today:

Hillman had seen too many base-running mistakes earlier in the game.

His solution was to gather the entire team at the plate for what amounted to a 15-minute lecture in full view of the Diamondbacks and the departing crowd of 5,539. Hillman then spent another 10 minutes in discussion with veteran second baseman Mark Grudzielanek near third base before initiating his postgame news conference at the dugout.

"I was just talking about running the bases," Hillman told reporters. "We had a couple of mistakes today. I'm not displeased. We won the ballgame.

"We've got to run the bases the right way all of the time. And today, we had a couple of mistakes. We could have been in a better position."

It looks like he got through to the players:

Players also said Hillman indicated the problems were an accumulation of things over the last few days. If so, that seems odd because he made a point repeatedly to compliment the club's improving fundamentals after victories Tuesday and Wednesday over the Rockies and Giants.

If nothing else, the on-field meeting put players on notice that Hillman is willing to embarrass them in public as a penalty for sloppy play.

"At least we got it done in spring training," outfielder David DeJesus said. "Now we know. We'll take it from here, and we'll change it. He won't need to do that anymore."

Trey is going to keep this team on their toes.

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Congratulations to the Reds who realized they could sign a sixteen year old Dominican star without waiting for the official signing period to start. Juan Duran is already 6 feet 6 inches and 190 pounds, and is being compared to Juan Gonzalez and Vlad Guerrero. Here's the loophole they exploited:

Players who are 16 years old are eligible to sign with major league teams during the international signing period, which lasts from July 2 to Aug. 31. Players who turn 16 years old during the international signing period are eligible to sign with teams on their birthdays.

Duran's birthday is Sept. 2, 1991, making him a 16-year-old who seemed to have barely missed the cutoff point to sign during last year's international signing period, and it appeared he would have to wait until the commencement of the 2008 period to sign. However, the rules state that for an international player to be eligible to sign, he must be 16 years old at the time of the signing and turn 17 years old by either Sept. 1 or by the end of his first professional season.

Players signed during the international signing period are not eligible to play that same year, so their first professional season comes the following calendar year. For example, a player signed during the 2007 international signing period would have his first professional season be the 2008 season.

The Reds realized that they could sign Duran if they assigned him to their 2008 roster in Billings in the Rookie-level Pioneer League, where the regular season ends on Sept. 5. Since Duran will turn 17 before the end of the 2008 Pioneer League season, he was eligible to sign before the 2008 international signing period and was eligible to sign back on his birthday last year.

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Playing off Sunday's post about ownership winning early, or not at all, John Moores sets the 2008 goal for the Padres:

Asked if the goal this year is the franchise's first World Series championship, Moores gave a measured response.

"The goal is to play meaningful games in September," he said. "Unfortunately for us, and fortunately, the West is quite competitive. I think there are going to be four very competitive clubs, and we are one of them. I don't want to leave anybody out, but I feel pretty good about us."

Now, Padres fans, wouldn't you rather have an owner who wants to win the World Series more than anything?

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The Brewers managed to upset one of their star players:

The Milwaukee Brewers renewed the slugger's deal for $670,000 on Sunday after finishing third in NL MVP voting last season.

"I'm not happy about it at all," Fielder said. "The fact I've had to be renewed two years in a row, I'm not happy about it because there's a lot of guys who have the same amount of time that I do who have done a lot less and are getting paid a lot more.

"But my time is going to come. It's going to come quick, too."

Going to arbitration after this season, Fielder has every reason to try for a monster year. Given what Ryan Howard received, Milwaukee should be ready to see their payroll increase significantly next season. The question is, will they patch this up, or continue to upset Fielder so much he leaves as soon as he's able to become a free agent? Milwaukee should study Pittsburgh and Barry Bonds and see if they want to go down that road.

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Two great quotes from Brian Cashman in one paragraph:

"Brett Gardner is not your typical Yankee-profile type of player,'' he said.

"We're trying to break that profile to some degree because there's more to this game than hitting for power.

"We think he could be a Juan Pierre who takes a walk. Here's a guy who can steal bases; he can get on base; he plays the short game. We need athleticism like that, especially when you have a bunch of these old farts filling the roster out. Those young burst-of-energy, athletic guys really stand out on a team like ours.''

Juan Pierre who takes a walk. Wouldn't that be Tim Raines or Rickey Henderson?

Bunch of old farts. It was a little over ten years ago that I realized I was an old fart. I was in Cleveland for the World Series with ESPN, and most of the production team was out at a club at The Flats. I was trying to have a conversation with the other person from our group in their 30s, and we both decided the music was too loud. Since it didn't seem to bother any one in their 20s, we came to the conclusion we were old farts, and have called each other that ever since.

It's good to see Cashman putting his players on notice. It seems to me that the veterans on the Yankees aren't being treated with kid gloves anymore.

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Capitol Punishment cites another reason to love Manny Acta. It's like he grew up reading Bill James and Baseball Prospectus. If and when this team starts spending money on players, Manny is going to be very tough to beat. Is he this generations Davey Johnson?

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Jon Weisman makes a number of good points about Larry Bowa's refusal to wear a helmet.

In addition to wearing helmets, the majors are going to enforce the coaching box boundaries:

Starting this year, first- and third-base coaches must not cross the lines toward home plate or the field until batted balls pass them. Only then can they take up other spots to guide runners.

Third-base coaches routinely stand much closer to the plate than the lines permit, trying to get a better look at where outfielders are positioned.

Maybe they can enforce the batter's box while they're at it. Here's a rule I'd like to see: Any player who wipes out the back line of the batter's box is ejected from the game, and the grounds crew comes out between innings to redraw the line.

Joe Posnanski, in his unique style, wonders why Bob Howsam isn't in the Hall of Fame. It sort of goes with this Roy White post.

The more I read about Trey Hillman, the more I like him:

"OBP," he said. "It's a no-brainer. OBP, then drive them in. On-base percentage before average. Take your walks because you are aggressively disciplined in the strike zone. But take your walks.

"If they're going to pitch around you, and try to get you to bite, be disciplined enough to take your walk."

The Royals ranked 13th among 14 AL teams last year in walks and on-base percentage.

But on top of that, Hillman is really concerned about how to drive those runs in. Without big boppers on the team, he's drilling players on situational hitting. He's working on improving their bunting, their squeeze plays, what to do in a hit and run situation. On top of that, it looks like he knows when to call for these strategies:

"When am I going to ask you to bunt?" Hillman questioned. "If you're not bunting for a base hit, when am I going to ask you to bunt? Generally, it will be the seventh, eighth or ninth inning.

"That's when you have the setup man or the closer in the game. The point is, the stuff you're facing is nasty. It's going to be high-velocity with sink, slide, split or a serious hammer.

"Those guys aren't easy to bunt off of. You'd better be fundamentally sound and plan on getting the ball down in the right location. Simplify your technique."

He knows when he needs these kinds of plays, and he wants to make sure his batters (and his fielders) are prepared to handle these situations.

Via David Gerstman, Andy McPhail pulled an assistant from the commissioner's office:

Seeking to add a young mind and a fresh perspective to the Orioles' front office, Andy MacPhail announced today that he has hired Matt Klentak as director of baseball operations.

Klentak will assist MacPhail, the Orioles' president of baseball operations, with scouting, player development, contract negotiations and the overall construction of the team's major league roster. He'll start his responsibilities on March 4.

"I think he is a very bright, capable young man who has demonstrated a good feel for the game," MacPhail said. "I think our philosophies are compatible and I think he's going to bring a little different point of view, which every organization can use. He's highly recommended from a lot of people in this game that I have a lot of respect for."

He's a Dartmouth graduate who played baseball for the Green. He was profiled in 2006 by Pursue the Passion:

At Dartmouth College, Matt played baseball all four years and was the team captain his senior year. He graduated in 2002 with a degree in economics. When he graduated he was debating on what to do with his life. He had been debating this question since his junior year in college, when he spent a term abroad in France. He wrote down everything that he liked to do, one at a time, and came up with a list consisting of travel, baseball, math, working with people and business. After looking over this list endless times Matt came to the conclusion that he'd like to work in baseball. So he started his journey to get into the business by using a baseball connection to write a letter requesting an informational interview.

Someone who lists baseball and math as two of the top three things he likes to do sounds sabermetrically inclined.

Gordon Edes posts the details of Terry Francona's contract. The contract will average $4 million a year:

The $4 million mark is a significant one, placing Francona just behind Joe Torre of the Dodgers (a reported 3 years, $13 million) at the highest level of the managerial salary scale.

Dusty Baker remains concerned about players with good OBAs clogging the bases. Of course, I think he's really concerned about too many walks without hits leaving people on base (I don't agree with that either). Players like Ichrio manage a high OBA without walking very much. It doesn't matter how a batter gets on, just that he does it often.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are looking for a sabermetrically savvy computer programmer. It sounds like a great job.

This seems appropriate for Dan Quisenberry's old team:

When sliding feet-first into a base, is your front foot straight up or sideways?

Before a game starts, what are the first two things a player should check?

Stumped? Don't fret. When first-base coach Rusty Kuntz asked the Kansas City Royals to take his quiz on outfield play and baserunning fundamentals, there were quite a few "who didn't have a clue."

But that was better than the first player Kuntz quizzed a couple of years ago in Pittsburgh.

"Out of 50 questions, the guy got five correct," Kuntz said. "And this was a starting player in the major leagues, a very well-known guy. I thought, `Oh, my gosh. Oh, my goodness.'"

So Kuntz came up with a detailed list of written questions and tried them out on a number of players. The results were encouraging.

"By the end of spring training, I gave the same player the same test, along with a bunch of other guys, and he got every one of them right," Kuntz said. "And I noticed that during the year, he responded quicker to certain situations. I thought if you can do that for outfield play, why not throw in some baserunning fundamentals?"

It's going to be an interesting summer in Kansas City. I don't think they'll contend, but I bet they play better than people expect.

The Red Sox signed Terry Francona through 2011 with club options for two more years. That's as it should be. The man led Boston to two World Series championships and handles the clubhouse deftly. At .578, the Red Sox have the second best winning percentage in the major leagues since 2004, twelve games behind the Yankees.

Congratulations, Terry!

Redleg Nation likes what Dusty Baker is saying about Joey Votto.

The Diamondbacks signed Josh Byrnes and Derrick Hall to long term deals, bringing stability to the front office for another eight years. I've liked what Josh has done since taking over the team, building a good young squad while keeping costs down. AZ Snakepit likes the president's accessibility:

Good to see Derrick Hall will be sticking around too, and committing long-term to the future. He has proven to be very approachable and 'out there', along with the fans in the trenches. Most regular attendees have seen him, or have a story of meeting him; mine is when he showed up, unannounced, at a DBBP get-together before a game, and just hung out with us for a bit. Can't really imagine Garigiola or Colangelo doing that. Kinda smart too to keep on the side of the die-hards who bleed Sedona Red. :-)

Joe Posnanski reports on Trey Hillman's training camp:

So, sure, it only makes sense to wonder how Hillman will bring East and West together as manager of the Kansas City Royals. Will he ask players to bow? Will he put them through the famously rigid training methods of Japanese baseball? Sushi?

Well, it's only been one day, but it seems pretty clear already that the answer is: None of the above. The Royals' camp on Tuesday looked, more or less, like every other spring training camp. There were a few subtle differences, of course, which we'll get to in a moment. But the most striking part of the first day of Camp Trey is how familiar it all looked. Players hit, fielded, pitched. That's all. They stayed on the field about the same length of time as years past. They did many of the same drills. If you didn't know any better, this camp would have looked like Buddy Bell's, Joe Torre's or Bobby Cox's.

Hillman is not trying to revolutionize American baseball. "I'm not that smart," he says.

Still there are things Hillman is doing differently, from having pitchers throw with dummies standing in for batters to having his fielders play catch more. I can't wait to see if it makes a difference.

By the way, my daughter is in Japan on a school trip, and I'm told she bought me a Nippon Ham Fighters hat while in Sapporo. I'll post a picture when she returns.

Ryan Howard and the Phillies likely go to arbitration today, barring a last minute settlement. Jim Salisbury talks to three arbitration veterans to get an idea of what goes on in a hearing:

Arbitration hearings have been portrayed as battlefields, but all three men say that is overblown. Just as many are civil as are contentious.

Still, the player must be prepared to hear things he might not like. Howard might hear about his record 199 strikeouts last season. He might hear about his batting average dropping 45 points. He might hear that the team believes his salary should be comparable to that of Miguel Cabrera, who needed to win his case to get $7.4 million last season.

"In every case, the player will be looked at critically, and weaknesses will be spoken about," agent No. 1 said. "You have to prepare the player for that. Whatever can be looked up statistically - even what you didn't do as well as the year before - you should expect to hear.

"These are very competitive people - not just the players, but the lawyers, too. The object is to win. You're not going to hold back valid criticism. But it can be presented softly or harshly."

Probably the best way for Ryan to approach the hearing is that no matter what happens, he's going to be a rich man.

Joe Torre talks about the end of his career with the Yankees:

His situation began to sour, he reflected, after his team blew a lead of three games to none to the archrival Red Sox in the 2004 American League Championship Series.

"The last 3 years were difficult. I think it started probably with losing to the Red Sox. Because that becomes a mortal sin," he said. "And even though the Red Sox were obviously a very good team that year, we got lucky early. They didn't play well. Then we had two leads in Games 4 and 5 we couldn't hold onto.

"Since that time, it may be a little too strong to say [the Yankees] wanted to make a change. But for me it wasn't as comfortable. It could have been self-induced. I don't know. Last season was very uncomfortable, especially with the bad start we had. There were a lot of questions and stories I had to address.

"I'm sure it took its toll on me, but when you walk into the clubhouse and all of a sudden the players aren't sure what they should say, what they shouldn't say, your coaching staff, that made it doubly uncomfortable for me. I just think over the last few years it was gradually getting to the point of not being a helluva lot of fun. The baseball was still fun, but aside from that . . . "

Jaybird's Jottings notes an omission from the San Francisco Giants 50th anniversary celebration.

Dodger Thoughts seems to be just a tad worried about Tommy Lasorda managing the Dodgers for a week.

Ray Ratto doesn't hold out much hope for the Giants, but he points out Bochy has the experience for this rebuilding:

"This isn't like if we were in the American League, where you have some teams that can go out and win the 10-9 game when their pitching isn't right," he said. "That's why we have the sense of optimism that this can happen in a year. You just see what Arizona did, and you realize that maybe we're not that far away."

Yeah, maybe. But probably not. Rebuilds are painful, especially ones that have been deferred as long as this one. The Giants are probably closer to what you think of them than what Bochy thinks of them, but as much as he was hired for a year like this, there is one other thing to consider.

He was also hired for the year after a year like this one. Bruce Bochy won't be the reason the Giants get better, when they do, or even if, and he doesn't pretend that he is. Bochy can, however, say that having done this before, he is as suited to easing the transition from Barry Bonds' backup band to a contender as any manager in baseball.

If the pitching turns out to be great, the Giants don't need to build a great offense to contend, just a pretty good one.

The Marlins are one of the few baseball teams to employee cheerleaders, but at least they understood the concept. Now they're sending the pep squad in the same direction as their won-lost record.

I agree with Where Have You Gone, Andy Van Slyke. Neal Huntington says all the right things in this story.

I like this answer by Joe Girardi:

C- How much did you follow how Tom Coughlin, at the age of 61, needed to change his approach as the Giants' coach and ended up winning a Super Bowl?

G- "Someone asked me what type of manager I would be. I said I'm a manager that's willing to adapt to the people that are around me and the type of players you have. You can't necessarily have a regimented way that you play because the parts may not fit the picture. So you have to adapt your managerial style to the parts that you have."
"I think one of the jobs of a manager is make sure it's an enjoyable place to work every day, even during the bad times. You have to find a way to make it enjoyable. Sometimes, you got to do things a little different. Sometimes, you got to be a little off the wall, as off the wall as I can be."

Drew Bienhoff wonders which of Hawpe and Atkins the Rockies should sign long term (of if they should sign both). He presents pros and cons for the two players, but I think the correct question should be, why should the Rockies sign either of them? Atkins seasonal age in 2008 in 28, Hawpe is 29. They each are controlled by the Rockies for three more years, taking them through their primes. Most importantly, both are poor defensive players, ranking the worst among regulars at their positions according to PMR. That means in three years they may both be more useful as designated hitters than position players. That doesn't work for the Rockies.

Colorado's concern should be developing talent to replace both, then letting them move on via free agency when they get the chance.

My congratulations go out to the staff of the MIT Sloan Sports Business Conference held Saturday at the Cambridge campus. They provided a star studded set of panels covering everything from owning a team to inventing new fantasy games. I especially liked Wyc Grousbeck's keynote address. He encouraged the business school students to go into a business that they love. He noted that business analysts would not have recommended he buy the Celtics. They would have valued the team between $298 million and $302 million dollars, far short of the $360 million Wyc needed to buy the franchise. Wyc, however, knew the cash flow of the club, and also knew how much he could raise in capital and how much in debt. His quick figuring told him the cash flow could cover the debt, so he bought the franchise he loved. As someone who also decided to do what he enjoyed the most, I have to agree with Wyc that it's a wonderful experience.

I was surprised that all four GMs who took part in the Defending the Title Panel gave so much weight to character. The question arose due to the various scandals that hit the major sports. However, these team architects seemed more interested in character in terms of how the player will function with the team than in the player's personal life. They want someone who is hard working and focused.

I was impressed with the cross pollination that goes on between leagues. Brian Burke of the Ducks attended the orientation session the Red Sox hold to prepare their prospects for the major leagues. Without saying what he saw, Burke called his secretary before heading back to Anaheim to make changes to the Ducks procedures. The club of GMs extends beyond their individual sports.

The most lively panel was the final one on improving the game. Bill James and John Walsh got into a lively discussion about how much broadcasters should control when the games start, both making good points. Rick Carlisle, however, appeared to be a bit out of his league. Bill was wondering if leagues really needs a strong franchise in New York, and pointed to the NBA as an argument against that. Rick categorically stated that basketball does need a strong franchise in the city. Bill asked how Rick knew that, and he said, "I just know." The audiences reaction was one of laughter. Daryl Morey noted that they were at MIT and you have to prove what you know.

Randy Vataha was quite provocative in his ideas that you need salary caps for all personnel involved in the sport. As someone who is very free market, I object to that on principle, and I was a bit surprised that in a large group of MBA students, no one challenged him on that.

Once again, the staff did a fantastic job of organizing everything from the food to the venue. I look forward to the third in the series.

Other panels covered:

• Baseball Analytics
• Gaming
• Venue and Stadium Management

P.S. For the Mets fans out there, the analytics panel was asked who was the one player that would want to start a ballclub, and Bill James named David Wright.

The final feature panel is looking at how to improve leagues:

• Rick Carlisle, ESPN
• Bill James
• John Walsh, ESPN
• Randy Vataha, Game Plan, LLC
• Daryl Morey, Houston Rockets

Update: Bill James and John Walsh had a good argument about baseball playoff games ending after midnight. John argued it was good for fans, since it maximizes the number of people who can watch games. He pointed out it's 9:30 on the west coast, which also has a large population.

Update: Randy Vataha wants to cap everything. He wants a cap on GM salaries, coaches, everything. Morey asks about the opposite, and brings up the premier league.

Update: Bill is talking about middle relievers. Using five relievers may be good for the club in the sense of winning the game, but it's boring for the sport. Should the league be able to step in and change the rules to prevent that?

Update: Carlisle wants to increase the diameter of the rim by 1/2 inch to increase scoring in the NBA.

Update: Vataha says third down is what makes football great for television. You need an interesting moment every so often.

Update: Sal Baxamusa, sitting next to me, raises a good point. Is the franchise the team, or is the franchise the league with subsets? That impacts how you think about salary caps.

Update: John Walsh asks about the secondary market for tickets. Morey says it's a failure by management to price their tickets.

The next panel brings in the stats heavy weights:

• Joe Bohringer, Arizona Diamondbacks scout
• Bill James, Red Sox
• Vince Gennaro, Author, "Diamond Dollars"
• Tom Tippett, Red Sox
• Roy Neyer, ESPN, Moderator

Update: The panelists are talking about how they went from outsiders to insiders. Tom Tippett says he missed the Moneyball revolution. So many of his friends didn't get insider jobs before Beane that he stopped trying. He ended up getting brought into the Red Sox organization by Bill James.

Joe Bohringer came out of the Sloan School here at MIT, started as an intern with the Yankees, and over time became very good at writing scouting reports.

Update: Tippett says the Red Sox are trying to get health data and scouting data into databases. He's trying to add value to that data.

Update: The Red Sox now have play by play, pitch and ball in play data down to the rookie league level.

Update: Gennaro tries to help teams figure out how much money a player will bring in to a team.

Update: Bohringer cherry picks the analytics he uses. For more veteran players, he uses numbers extensively. For the 18 year old Dominican player, he uses his eyes more to write the report.

Update; Bohringer says scouts are moving away from BA, HR, RBI to OBA and Slugging percentage, ERA+ and other stats.

Update: Neyer asks what would you like to know about baseball that you don't know. Tippett wants to improve predictions of major league performance from minor league performance, as well as predicting the career arc of a player.

Gennaro wants to quantify the value a marquee player brings to a team.

Update: Bill James wants to collect data on character. The Red Sox worry about that whenever they trade a player. We don't have any way of dealing with this in a organized fashion. We don't know how to collect that data.

Update: Bohringer wants a better way of evaluating players. It's much more inexact than we think. He says, "We're not only trying to be more right, we're trying to be less wrong."

Update: James is talking about what scouts see that normal fans can't. He didn't realize that until he started working for the Red Sox.

Update: The panel agrees that a lot more work needs to be done on injury risk.

Update: Bill thinks the increase in batting numbers may be driven by improvements in bat technology. Should players own the bats? Or should the league?

Update: Bill James says the Red Sox can't get careless with young talent because the Hanley Ramirez trade worked out.

This is the featured panel of the day:

• R.C. Buford, San Antonio Spurs
• Bill Polian, Indianapolis Colts
• Brian Burke, Anaheim Ducks
• Jed Hoyer, Boston Red Sox
• Peter Gammons, Moderator

Update: Gammons starts off asking about turnover. Pat Gillick once said to repeat, you have to turn over 25% of your roster. Jed Hoyer hopes not, since they're bringing back the same team. But Hockey and Football are forced to turn over roster due to the salary cap.

Update: Bill Polian has plenty of praise for the Red Sox, the way they bond with the fans and handle the way players leave the team. The Colts are trying to copy that.

Update: Peter asks about the character issue. Polian says it's very important. He wants focused players, not bothered by off-field issues. People with problems living life tend not to be team focused. They also have problems processing information, which is very important on the Colts. Public image is secondary.

With the Red Sox, Hoyer says they focus on character in the draft, looking for players who can handle Boston.

Update: Buford believes this generation coming through is a very poorly raised generation in terms of character. Since players are in college less, they are less mature when they get to the NBA.

Update: Burke looks for a hard working players in terms of character.

Update: Burke doesn't want twenty leaders on his team. That doesn't work.

Update: There's a discussion about depth. The hockey and football teams feel it's important down to the last man.

Update: Hoyer is talking about the short off season, adding an extra month and starting early in Japan. It's tougher for players to be durable in those conditions. He praises the Yankees of the late 1990s for surviving that every year.

Update: Gammons asks about the pressures in the other markets. Buford says the Spurs are always below high school football. :-)

Update: Hoyer says they write term papers on every more they want to make so they can defend those moves to ownership.

Update: Peter asks if the other sports do management development like the Red Sox. The Spurs say they do, as well as the Colts. The Colts have an intern program, and they've kept four of them over the years, creating jobs for two.

Update: Peter asks about the advantage of being in a big market with a salary cap. Burke makes a great point that the Montreal Canadiens can spend more on practice facilities, put more scouts in the field, and make every thing else better for the organization.

Update: Polian talked about learning from older managers as he came up through the ranks, and as he learns from his younger managers now.

Update: Hoyer says when the Red Sox start thinking like a big market team, that's when they'll fall. They'll be better off thinking like a small market team, trying to save money with young players.

Update: These teams all study other teams from other sports, and learn from each other.

Update: Hoyer says the draft is broken. He wants to fix it with slotting.

The Venue and Stadium Management panel features four guests:

• Tim McManus, AECOM
• Dennis Robinson, NJSEA
• John Wentzell, President, TD Banknorth Garden
• Tim Romani Romani Group, built new Comiskey

Charles Wu of Baynorth Capital is the moderator.

Update: Sites are very important. Wu brings up San Diego and Baltimore and examples of changing an entire neighborhood. Dennis Robinson makes the point that the facilities are just one part of bigger redevelopment projects.

Update: They're talking about who should drive design in developing a stadium. There's a good story about architects wanting to do glass atriums, but there are security risks to that, and huge window washing costs!

Update: Ben Watson of the Patriots is at the conference. He's traveled to China promoting football.

There's a good bit about arenas becoming revenue obsolete. LED signage in 1999 made a number of newer arenas obsolete in that regard.

Update: Sal Baxamusa is also live blogging the conference.

Update: How do you make stadiums green? The best way is to pick a dirty site and clean it up. Venues, by their very nature, are difficult to make green just because you have a large number of people traveling by car to the event.

The conference is about to get underway with a keynote address by Wyc Grousbeck, the Boston Celtics CEO.

Update: Here's Wyc:

Update: Grousbeck is talking about why we love sports. We love the excitement, the conflict.

He uses Ted Williams last home run as an example of the excitement of fans being part of history. The fans cheered for minutes to try to get Williams to come out, and he didn't (he read the Updike New Yorker piece). Williams never came out, but the fans knew they were part of a special moment.

Update: His second point is on decision making. Wyc wants to use data and analytics to help decision making, but he doesn't want to hide behind the data in making decisions.

Update: His decision to buy Celtics was an emotional one with 90 seconds of analysis. The cash flow worked, so he paid more for the team so the deal would go through.

Update: Wyc's third point is talking about putting this team together.

1. Hiring Danny Ainge because he was a team player. They didn't have any data on him as a GM, but they liked the way he would work with them.


2. Extended Paul Pierce. Wants him to be a Celtic for life. Another emotional decision.


3. Trading for Ray Allen, knowing they could trade for Garnett later. A data driven decision.

Data is a tool, but dosn't drive decision making.

Update: People at the peak of their performance aren't driven by the money. They love what they're doing. He gives a good example of Kevin Garnett showing up early for an optional practice, missing two shots in a row, then running suicide sprints as self-inflicted punishment.

Update: A very good keynote. I agree with his final point that you should do what you love. It worked for me.

I'll be covering the MIT Sloan Sports Business Conference tomorrow in Cambridge, MA. You can read my summary of last year's conference here.

The Pittsburgh Post Gazette looks at Frank Coonelly's todo list. He sounds like he's on the right track in turning the team around, but I don't expect it to happen quickly.

The Rangers are about to announce Nolan Ryan as their next president.

What has yet to be determined is whether Ryan will have oversight responsibilities over the club's baseball operation. No team president since Tom Schieffer left the club has had those responsibilities. Rangers owner Tom Hicks had set up his power structure to have both the general manager and president report directly to him, but kept their responsibilities separate.

Joel Sherman notes Brian Cashman might be building the Yankees team for another GM:

Cashman has just one year left on his contract. No one would be surprised if he returned again, that his love for the job and his long history with the Steinbrenner family produce another contract. But no one around the Yankees - or really around baseball - would be surprised either if VP of scouting Damon Oppenheimer, like Reese, graduates from heading a draft room to directing the big room. Oppenheimer's outstanding recent drafts have provided much of the backbone to support Cashman's vision of restoring youth and financial sanity to the Yankees roster.

But youth usually takes time. Eli Manning, after all, needed most of his four seasons to navigate from promise to promised land. Cashman is savvy enough to know that no general lessons are going to be learned from that journey. It isn't like New York fans and the New York media will find a collective patience with Hughes or Joba Chamberlain or Ian Kennedy in memory of how, just a month ago, most of the tri-state region had rendered a final, merciless report on the bust that was Eli Manning.

"There is going to be growing pains," Cashman said.

It's actually rather sad that the Yankees can't take a step back and fully reload and rebuild. The poor teams of the early 1990s set up their success later that decade. Of course, after all these years it seems strange to me that teams like the Yankees and Braves who make the playoffs every year can be considered failures for not winning the World Series.

Now we know about Don Mattingly's personal problems. I agree with Jon:

I wish each of them both the best in trying to recover from their troubles.

The signing of Girardi by the Yankees turns out to be the right move.

Evan Grant looks at the pros and cons of hiring Nolan Ryan as president of the Rangers:

For Ryan, the most attractive part of rejoining the Rangers would be the ability to have a bigger say on baseball issues. And I'm not sure that would happen. The structure Tom Hicks has used since Schieffer left the club is for the GM and the president to report directly to him, not to have one report to the other. If Ryan and Jon Daniels both report directly to Hicks, what does the owner do the first time they have a difference in opinion on a baseball issue? And if he sides with one, would human nature not leave the other one feeling a little powerless?

Of course, Hicks could always change the club's flow chart to a more traditional alignment in which Daniels reported to the president. But after years of inner turmoil (see John Hart-Buck Showalter era), the club seems to be headed in the right direction even if there is a long way to go. If Hicks inserts a level of management between Daniels and himself, he could end up unintentionally changing the team's direction. One thing this organization doesn't need right now is another change of directions.

Grant also notes that if Ryan does decide to join the Rangers in some capacity, that's a positive sign the Rangers are indeed moving in the right direction.

River Ave. Blues writes a pro Brian Cashman column. After waking up this morning and seeing the vitrol thrown Cashman's way by a number of Yankees bloggers, I almost wrote something like this myself.

I have a question for the anti-Cashman group. Whom would you rather see as GM? Please show me a GM who hasn't made bad moves. And please show me a GM who would be able to put up with Steinbrenner for so long. As well as Bob Watson performed, he was almost driven to a nervous breakdown in the job. Paul DePodesta couldn't handle Dodgers management. Theo Epstein quit over disagreements with upper management. Do you think Schuerholz or Pat Gillick or Billy Beane or John Hart would stand for that kind of interference. Do you want Terry Ryan to turn your offense into a bunch of opposite field hitters? Would you rather have Omar Minaya wasting your money?

I'm all ears.

Peter Abraham notes the Yankees and Red Sox are spending a lot of money on draft picks.

The Times has the best round up of the joint talk Brian Cashman and Theo Epstein held Friday night. I found this part on Bernie Williams and Joe Torre interesting:

Cashman took a few jabs at Bernie Williams, the popular Yankee whose exit from the team was not on friendly terms. Cashman said that Williams was terrible in 2005, but that he brought Williams back as a farewell in 2006. After Williams had a solid year, he wanted to return for 2007. But Cashman did not sign Williams. Cashman said that Williams's music career "took away from his play." Interestingly, Cashman said that Joe Torre, who was then the manager, looked for ways to play Williams in 2006 "ahead of guys who could help us win," so Cashman did not want that to happen in 2007.

Cashman got rid of Bernie rather than telling Joe how to manage his squad. That strikes me as the right thing to do as a GM. The manager is supposed to control the action on the field. If he's doing the wrong thing, either fire the manager or take away the player. (I think you saw the same thing with Miguel Cairo last season.) As Torre goes to the Dodgers, I wonder how much playing Bernie was loyalty to Williams or a desire to play veterans. Los Angeles fans should hope it's the former.

Update: Peter Abraham talked to Bernie Williams today:

Only two writers were there tonight. Told of Cashman's comments, Williams first said he didn't want to resond. But then he paused and took a deep breath.

"I don't think he has any basis to say anything like that," he said. "Let me put it this way: Questioning a person's commitment to the team is a very serious accusation, at least in my book."

I asked whether music was a distraction during the final seasons of his career. "Everybody's entitled to their opinion," he said. "I haven't really talked to (Cashman) about what he said. But I want to."

Billy Beane makes this insightful comment on rebuilding a team:

Beane said later that this "is the most energizing part of the job for me. It sounds like GM-speak, but I'll be honest, I was itchy to do this after '06. The challenge for any executive is to know when you've run your course. The quicker you act on that, the shorter the time period (for rebuilding). We've all seen franchises try to hold on to something that is not there and they cost themselves an entire decade. I don't want to do that."

Hat tip, Baseball Think Factory.

Ed Wade's contract deadline didn't work out that well:

Though they would have preferred to have more time to work out deals with the Astros, the agents for closer Jose Valverde and infielder Mark Loretta believe they can win their clients' cases in arbitration.

Astros general manager Ed Wade opted to break off negotiations with Valverde, 28, and Loretta, 36, on Wednesday in favor of arbitration. Valverde's case before a three-person panel will be heard Feb. 14, and Loretta's on Feb. 18.

"By instituting a deadline so early in the process, it obviously indicates they feel very confident in their people and have chosen that route based on how they feel their chances are in the case," said Bill Rego, Valverde's agent. "I would have liked to have had a little bit more time to try to work this thing through, but at the end of the day, we feel we have more upside than downside in going to arbitration."

There is a large gap in both cases. I suppose Wade thought he could force the other's hand, but the agents stood firm. So now the Astros have to spend time and money on arbitration cases that they might lose. It seems like a lot of effort to save $3.5 million, when they might have saved half that just by settling.

The Athletics signed Chad Gaudin, their last player eligible for arbitration. The Red Sox signed Kyle Snyder, leaving just Kevin Youkilis facing a hearing. Eleven teams are now clear of hearings.

Jessica guest blogs at The LoHud Yankees blog and likes what she sees happening between Hank Steinbrenner and Brian Cashman:

My major is Mass Communications and I have worked at a television station for few years. From a public relations standpoint, Hank does his part. Hank shouldn't refuse to answer reporters' questions. Sport is part of entertainment businesses. As an old saying goes in the entertainment businesses, no news is bad news.

I really don't think there are many conflicts between Hank and Cashman as the media implies. Some people like to face media and others don't. Cashman understands his boss and lets him talk. They also may just play their supposed roles in front of media. Cashman is acting as the one doesn't want to trade prospects. Hank is acting as the one want to make a trade with Twins. In the end, If Yankees make a trade with Twins, they may just try to lower the price they need to pay.

Via Capitol Punishment, a great quote by Manny Acta on on-base average in a story about Nick Johnson's comeback:

"Nick, even when Soriano was here, was the most productive player we had because of his on-base percentage," Acta said. "That prolongs innings, prolongs games. It wins games. It's huge. He has so much value for us."

There's lots of other good stories at the CP link.

HSAC Blog wonders if J.P. Ricciardi is an overrated GM. I've been wondering that for a while.

AZ Snakepit breaks down the 2008 Diamondbacks salary structure.

Ducksnorts presents a table showing just how much value Kevin Towers derived from his trades.

The Padres extended the contract of Kevin Towers. They'll announce the extension at a news conference tomorrow. Kevin is now the longest tenured GM in baseball.

Don Mattingly won't be on the Dodgers bench in 2008 as he attends to family matters. I hope everything works out well for Don and his relatives. However, this makes the Yankees decision to hire Joe Girardi look even better. If this family problem is serious enough to take Don away from his coaching job, it would have been serious enough to distract him while managing a team.

The Tribune Company wants to sell Wrigley Field before they sell the Cubs:

Crane Kenney told attendees of the team's annual fan convention that new Tribune owner Sam Zell wants 94-year-old Wrigley in the hands of the Illinois Sports Facilities Authority -- the same state agency that funded stadiums for the Bears and White Sox -- before he accepts bids for the Cubs.

Kenney said such a move is designed to "bind" the team's next owner to keeping the Cubs playing at Wrigley -- which also would receive maintenance and improvement funds.

If I were buying the Cubs, I'd want Wrigley, too. I wonder if Zell is going to lose money by separating the entities?

Craig Brown attended the Royals Forecast Luncheon. He likes the way it's changed.

This was my third Forecast Luncheon. To say the vibe has changed over the years would be a gross understatement. The first year I went, the mood was downright surly and when they opened the floor for a Q&A, the attendees immediately put Allard Baird on defense. The team stunk and people were out for blood.

Times have changed. Goodbye pessimism and sour grapes. Hello happiness, enthusiasm and a good dose of optimism. And better food. Can't forget about the food.

Just another example of the Royals improving.

Blez at Athletics Nation explains why Oakland has to be great, not good, at drafting players:

I would say that has to be an area of grave concern to Billy Beane as he's trading away the few successful players that the A's have drafted to try and restock a barren system. That should be an area that the Oakland A's focus on extensively. Yes, they've had Ethier and used him to get Milton Bradley and Travis Buck is turning into a great pick as well. I'm not saying that the A's scouting and drafting department hasn't done a good job. That's not it at all. They just need to be better than the other teams out there in order for the A's to remain a viable and competitive franchise. The A's rely on getting a player like Bobby Crosby to replace a Tejada when he leaves for a greener wallet (Crosby is another one who hasn't worked out as expected thus far). And if it doesn't work out, you wind up with a team that can't compete with Yankees West down here in Anaheim.

At this point, the way of drafting described in Moneyball hasn't delivered superior results.

I didn't know the Devil Rays applied this policy to arbitration:

The Rays have a policy to cease negotiations and proceed to a hearing if they don't have a deal by the deadline to exchange figures, which this year is Friday.

It seems to me, unless you're really good at winning cases, negotiating to the last second allows you to split the difference more often than not. If the Rays end up with a poor record in arbitration, this strategy is going to cost them.

Lew Wolff talks up the Athletics chances for 2008:

Fans will get something different, all right. The roster will be nothing like the one in the 2006 ALCS, let alone last year's.

"The whole thing is, looking at it passionately, I think we've improved the ballclub. We've certainly improved the probability of improving the ballclub," Wolff said. "If none of these offers came to us, it wouldn't be the worst thing in the world. At the winter meetings, Billy wanted to make clear that if a team wanted to knock his socks off, he'd be willing to listen. You're always going to feel that way.

"I kept reading the articles, and it's, 'Oh, my God, they're throwing away the season.' I don't believe that's true at all. I'm not going to go out to the game with the idea we're going to lose. We'll have a pretty good team on the field."

Wolff is more optimistic than most, but he has to be. It's his team.

I love the improving the probability of improving the ballclub line.

I'm a bit surprised that people think Wayne Krivsky is on the hot seat because the Reds hired Walt Jocketty. It seems to me Krivsky was on the hot seat already.

Rays Index doesn't think Joe Maddon is aiming high enough. I don't really have a problem with Joe setting his sights on .500 this year. When this team is ready, however, he needs to adopt the "winning is the only thing" philosophy.

Redleg Nation expresses concern about how Dusty Baker might use the bullpen.

Derrick Goold notes the Cardinals completed their front office Wednesday by hiring Gary LaRocque.

More than just new people, there are new roles and new responsibilities.

Mozeliak has asked his professional scouting staff to come up with new thinking on how they scout, and the club's analytical department is being charged with developing new concepts for evaluation. There's also been expansion into new territories for the Cardinals. The club this offseason hired Rob Fidler, who speaks Japanese, to work with special assistant Matt Slater to "ramp up our (activity) in the Asian leagues," Mozeliak said.

The analytical department could start with, "Stop signing over the hill veterans!" However, this does sound like the Cardinals are trying to move in the right direction.

It appears Brian Cashman lost some power in the Yankees transition from George to Hank and Hal:

For the first time in public, Cashman admitted what has become increasingly evident: That his job has changed since the Steinbrenner sons took control of the team.

"Things have changed here in the third year," he said. "I'm learning as I go along, too. But it is different. But one thing is that I've been with this family, the Steinbrenner family, for well over 20 years. So I'm focused fully on doing everything I possibly can to assist them in their emergence now as decision makers."

I suppose Brian could decide which brother matches his way of running the club best and try to make sure that brother becomes the dominant partner.

Joe Torre gets it right on team chemistry, but Mark from the Bronx Stop doesn't believe him:

Joe Torre had a quote on the Mike Tirico show on ESPN Radio Thursday. It went something like this, "Chemistry does not create winning, winning creates chemistry."

I'm guessing Mark is too young to remember the Oakland A's and New York Yankees of the 1970s.

Beyond the Boxscore interviews Paul DePodesta. Paul doesn't give away much, but he does explain his definition of a Moneyball player.

My definition of a "Moneyball" player is much different than the common usage. I don't see it as having anything to do with walks or on-base percentage or really any statistic. To me that really misses the point. A "Moneyball" player is an undervalued player for any reason whatsoever. So, yes, we still look for undervalued players. However, there isn't a universal scale of value in baseball, as no player holds precisely the same value for all 30 clubs. Often times "undervalued" simply means finding players who may have more value for us than they would for the player's current team. It doesn't imply that the current team has somehow overlooked the value of the player. That other team has a different composition of personnel and under that composition the player doesn't have as much value as he would have in our composition. We're all trying to manage portfolios of players that need to be somewhat balanced across various attributes as well as between short-term and long-term goals.

Nick Pietruszkiewicz levels harsh criticism at Ken Williams over the Nick Swisher deal. It seems Williams wanted Swisher, and Oakland didn't want to trade him, so Ken kept upping the bid:

"I did not plan on paying this type of price," Williams said Thursday during a conference call in which he tried to convince everybody, perhaps even himself, that this was a move that would make this coming version of the Sox contenders. "I also did not plan on getting this type of player should we have [been forced to go] down this road, which we obviously had [to]."

"Swisher was not a player that was on the market. Billy Beane and the Oakland A's did not want to move him, so we had to make it attractive enough so that they would engage in conversation."

Williams is trying to win in 2008, and brings up attitude:

On Thursday, Williams paid for attitude - make that, paid heavily - hoping to find the lost formula of 2005.

"For us, [attitude] is almost as equal to the talent, because, in our particular market, it is such that you have to be a fighter, you have to be a tough son-of-a-gun to come in and perform at a high level.

"This guy fits in perfectly with what we're trying to do."

I quote Bill James on attitude here. Give me talent any day.

Swisher does have talent, and he comes with a relatively low price tag. If a team is going to give up that much pitching talent to win this year, however, this better be the move that puts you over the top. The White Sox are a better team for 2008 than they were before the trade, but Williams put himself in the position of making his task more difficult each winter. Where are the prospects to trade for talent to win in 2009?

The Red Sox farm system is now ranked second in the major leagues.. When the current regime took over, they ranked 28th.

Squawking Baseball likes the Pirates do-nothing approach so far. The author wants Pittsburgh to spend in the draft:

New CEO Frank Coonelly spent the last few years as MLB's watchdog for draft slot bonuses, which could spell trouble. But I can't imagine this administration not realizing that this was perhaps the key area in which Kevin McClatchy and Dave Littlefield failed. Yes, there were some terrible trades and free agent signings along the way. But the Pirates simply haven't developed quality players over the last fifteen years, despite having high draft choices year in and year out. The best way to do so is to go above slot, and the old administration consistently refused. With all the fuss about Daniel Moskos this past June, I can't imagine that Coonelly and Huntington would fall into this same trap.

I hope the Pirates take this advice. Seeing the enforcer flout the rules may get everyone else to stop listening to the commissioner's office on this issue.

Correction: Changed flaunt to flout, and learned some grammar.

David Zingler complains about the Twins and Santana in a post titled, "Santana Situation shows exactly what's Wrong with Baseball." His main complaint appears to be that big market clubs are allowed to low ball the Twins.

He complains that baseball doesn't have meaningful revenue sharing like the NFL. However, I believe teams collect well over $30 million each in revenue sharing, and with the growth in revenue of major league baseball, that number is only going up. Given Joe Christensen's payroll calculation, the growth of revenue, and the Twins moving into a new stadium, there's no reason Minnesota can't afford to keep Santana. Maybe, just maybe, it's the Twins who are being greedy here, wanting to pocket rather than spend their revenue sharing money. Or maybe the Twins are just being smart, trading a player too early than too late. No one is forcing the Twins management to do anything. They can afford to keep Johan, they can afford to trade him, and they can afford to lose him via free agency. They'll go with the best deal they get, and no amount of revenue sharing, in my opinion, would change that.

Joe Christensen examines the likely salary total for the Twins in 2008. His 24 man roster comes in at $62 million with Santana, a drop of $12 million dollars. It seems the Twins could use that $12 million to raise Johan's salary to $25 million per year for five years and keep him in Minnesota for the opening of the new stadium.

Cardinals Diaspora takes Cardinals management to task for not building a decent team around Albert Pujols. I actually think this was a long term problem. For many years, the Cardinals surrounded their stars with okay talent, older players with mixed records. As some of those players aged and declined, they didn't improve the surrounding talent to compensate. On top of that, the mixed records tended to work out better than expected for St. Louis, but that bit of good luck ran out as well.

What are my options? Let DeWitt and co. earn interest so they can 'spend' the money in the right places or have them blow some cash on a big gamble like Silva or Tejada? Blow the dough. What's it matter to me? We've already spent the cash- they're the ones not. Who knows what will pan out or what won't 2-3 years from now? Nobody does. So to think that this team will have a better chance at a player or players 36 months from now is not only absurd- it's insulting- just like trying to force-feed me a pu pu platter of LaRue/Izturis/Kennedy/Ludwick up the middle on a team that features the best player in the world.

They need to replace Edmonds-Rolen-Carpenter with players of similar abilities to augment the production the team gets from Pujols, and the Cardinals just haven't done that.

Luxury tax bills went out to the Yankees and Red Sox:

The Yankees have been over the limit all five seasons and this year paid a 40% tax on all salary above $148 million. That means that when the club gave Roger Clemens a prorated $28 million deal at midseason - that equaled about $18 million in salary - the Bombers actually ended up paying him $25 million for the 18 starts during which he went 6-6 with a 4.18 ERA. Clemens then lasted only 2-1/3 innings in his lone playoff start before being named in the Mitchell Report.

"I can't imagine that was the return they were looking for on that deal," said one executive from another AL club who requested anonymity. "If his postseason - and theirs - had gone better, it might have been a different story."

The archrival Red Sox were over the tax threshold for the fourth straight season, bringing their rate to 40% as well. They owed $6 million on their team salary of $163 million. The Angels were the only other team over the limit - a first for the franchise - and owed $927,000. The bills are to be paid by the end of January.

One point of the tax structure was to try to keep teams like the Yankees from spending too much. That part of the plan didn't work. But the money diverted to other teams has seemed to things more competitive down the line, especially in the National League.

The Arizona Diamondbacks picked up Bob Melvin's option for 2009 and added a guaranteed 2010 to his contract. Melvin got Arizona to the playoffs despite being outscored by his opponents. That's a nice reward for an outstanding season.

The Big Lead suggests a new revenue sharing scheme in which teams only get money when they need it as a way to make sure these teams are not pocketing the money.

I don't mind if teams cut their payroll and rebuild if they are then saving up for a killing in the free agent market in a few years. The Big Lead's plan would seem to prevent this. Maybe what's needed is a hybrid. Baseball shares enough with these low revenue teams to make up for a shortfall in revenue, and the rest gets banked until they start spending more on payroll. That way, there's a surplus of funds when a team really needs it.

Via Balls, Sticks and Stuff, Billy Beane on the Athletics and the trade:

"There's no need to dance around the subject, this is something we think we need to do," A's general manager Billy Beane said. "We don't want to sit in the middle, going in neither direction. ... You have a chance to do something special or you have a chance to create something special, but to be in between is not a place we wanted to be."

The current construction of the Athletics didn't work. Beane's going back to the drawing board. That's good news for the rest of the AL West.

Steve Phillips just said, as a GM, that he had nowhere to go if he thought a player was using steroids. I don't believe that's true. There were provisions in the collective bargaining agreements back then that allowed a player to be test for probable cause. I'm sure it would not have been easy for Phillips to get that testing by the union, to the point that the spirit of his statement might be right, but to say he had nowhere to go strikes me as a bit of an exaggeration.

Theo's Epstein is now a proud father.

It's better late than never for Red Sox GM Theo Epstein and wife Marie Whitney, who gave birth today to the couple's first child, a healthy baby boy named Jack.

Originally due Saturday, the baby, weighing 7 pounds, 14 ounces and measuring 20.5 inches, was delivered at 10:35 a.m. at a Boston hospital. Neither Epstein, who is fiercely private about his personal life, nor the Sox had an immediate comment.

I wonder if Jack will get a ring for gestating during the championship season?

According to Peter Schmuck, the Orioles fire sale is just starting:

MacPhail was brought in to do this kind of dirty work, and there is more to do. Don't be surprised if pitching ace Erik Bedard is headed to the Los Angeles Dodgers or Seattle Mariners between now and the start of spring training. Don't be surprised if the Orioles give away Melvin Mora and Jay Payton or even pay someone to take them. Don't be entirely surprised if the Orioles pay recently suspended outfielder Jay Gibbons big bucks just to stay away.

Guess who owns FireKennyWilliams.com?

That's right.

Major League Baseball went out and snatched the domain, presumably so no one else could.

And MLB did it through GoDaddy.com, which means they're paying a mere $9.99 or less to keep someone from saying disparaging things about the White Sox General Manager.

This doesn't appear to be a case of MLB grabbing all possible fireGM names. Firedavedombrowski.com, firebillybeane.com and firenedcolletti.com are all available. Firetheoepstein.com, firebriancashman.com, firebillbavasi.com and fire omarminya.com are taken by other people.

The Boston Red Sox entertainment arm, Fenway Sports Group just bought the Class A affiliate of the Houston Astros. They'll probably make it a Boston affiliate in 2009, but I wonder if there is a conflict of interest there?

As Fire Brand of the American League points out, Fenway Sports Group is a great way to hide money from MLB:

Well, because ever since its inception, New England Sports Ventures has looked for other ways to raise capital in order to both turn a profit and invest it in the company. Since all Red Sox-related revenues are subject to revenue sharing and then invested in a MLB-wide pool which is then equally disbursed to all clubs, there is not much avenue for profit there (unless you're the Marlins).

FSG changes that, as well as the yearly concerts that are played on Fenway soil and wreck the outfield for a few weeks. (And NESN, too.) These are not Red Sox-related profits so they are not subject to MLB rules and regulations. Not only is FSG providing an invaluable service in terms of expertise in the area, they are also generating dollars for Henry, New England Sports Ventures and the Red Sox.

Without these concerts, without FSG and without the other satellite operations going on, the Red Sox would not be able to compete as extensively as they do. The payroll would be lower, the community service would be lower, the marketing (Red Sox Nation) would be smaller. This additional revenue stream is what allows the Red Sox to have an obscene payroll.

The group also sells the advertising for MLBAM, so they are indeed helping all of MLB.

Dan Le Batard blames the fans for the Marlins fire sales:

Besides, the Marlins tried to cash in on the 2003 World Series by completely forsaking their philosophy and giving long-term and guaranteed contracts to Mike Lowell and Luis Castillo. Later, they won a bidding war for Carlos Delgado. And it bought them nothing in terms of following, political support, benefit of the doubt, playoff wins or a stadium. So they tried. And failed. And now they're choosing a cheaper route. This isn't altruism or charity or a non-profit organization. It's a business, and it's as cold as cash.

South Florida is the worst baseball town in the country, and there is plenty of blame to go around for that. Blame a flawed baseball business model that demands taxpayer help. Blame god-awful rain. Blame a poor city and indifferent fans. Blame an ownership group that is hard to trust. Blame Cabrera for being too good at his job, making him too valuable, and Larry Beinfest for being too good at his. Young Devil Rays and Pirates don't seem to get too expensive too fast.

But don't blame the Marlins for behaving like what they are.

It isn't fair to tell them to spend when you aren't willing to do the same.

Baloney. In 2003, the Marlins attendance was around 16,000 per game. Winning the World Series, it jumped to 22,000 in 2004. In 2005, it went up to 22,800. Then they sold off the team and it dropped to 14,000. After the 2006 team did well, attendance went back up to 16,000.

If you win, they will come. Twenty-two thousand per game isn't going to lead the league, but 1.8 million a season is nothing to sneeze at either. The Marlins were building a fan base, then just threw them away. Don't blame the fans for that.

With the trade of Willis and Cabrera to the Tigers, the Marlins are going to come close to the minimum payroll required by baseball, 25 men at the league minimum salary. The might average $500,000 per player. Even with low attendance, the Marlins probably make enough off tickets and local TV and radio to cover the cost of the team, allowing revenue sharing money to be pure profit.

I'm sure other owners are going to be upset by this. The idea behind the distribution of this money was to make teams competitive, not be a cash cow for cheap owners. I suspect will see hard salary floors suggested, but I'd like to propose another solution. Teams that don't perform well don't get revenue sharing money. Maybe it's a hard line; the team with the worst record in each league gets nothing. Maybe it's a soft line, where any team that loses 95 games gets nothing. I don't like the idea of forcing teams to spend money they don't need to spend. If Loria and his baseball operations staff believe they can be competitive on $12 million dollars, I'd love to see it. They deserve a bonus for that. But if the team is crap, then they need to be punished. By tying money to performance, you change the dynamic of the season. A team at the bottom might not trade for the future, since they don't want to lose out on a big pay day. I'd like to see a penalty strong enough to discourage what the Marlins are doing, but not so strong that it discourages teams from looking for cheap ways to win.

Tom Fornelli expresses his displeasure with the White Sox GM, Kenny Williams:

For some reason there are pitchers available-which last I checked, the Sox need-like Johan Santana, Dan Haren, and Erik Bedard and yet I never hear the White Sox mentioned when it comes to teams who are interested. Instead the Sox are busy signing guys like Scott Linebrink (who is a nice signing, but sure isn't the answer) and trading for Carlos Quentin.

All while the Royals (the Royals!) are shelling out the big bucks to sign free agents like Jose Guillen.

Which team is in the major market again? Kansas City or Chicago? I haven't been able to tell the difference lately.

Squawking Baseball is also unhappy with the election of Bowie Kuhn.

Where Have You Gone, Andy Van Slyke likes what he's hearing from new GM Neal Huntington:

We're in a unique situation. We have lost 90-plus games each of the past three years, but we have an interesting core of guys with two years left on their contracts. We have a good young pitching staff, and an outstanding young closer in Matt Capps. We feel that we have some talent here and have an opportunity to win, but we want to be in a position to be consistently competitive every year. What we don't want to do is win 82 games next year and then go backwards because we weren't thinking long-term. If you look at teams like Colorado, Milwaukee, Arizona, and Cleveland, it has been the depth of their systems--the players they've developed--that has helped them to take a step forward. It hasn't been players they've brought in from outside the organization. They've filled needs from within, and we need to get to where we can do the same thing. Improving our scouting and player development systems is a big part of what we're looking to do.

Yes, this sounds good, but Dave Littlefield often sounded good, too.

The veterans committee elected Bowie Kuhn to the Hall of Fame. What a terrible choice, especially since Marvin Miller failed to gain entry. What did Kuhn do besides post-season baseball at night (inevitable) and screwing Charlie Finley? Sorry, that doesn't cut it.

Former Dodgers owner Walter O'Malley, Pirates owner Barney Dreyfuss and managers Dick Williams and Billy Southworth were also elected.

It's nice to see Dick Williams elected. He took Boston to their first World Series in almost thirty years, won the Oakland Athletics their first championship, and the A's franchises' first in over 40 years, and took the Padres tot the World Series for the first time. He was volatile, but a great strategist.

The Royals are on track to see a significant increase in their payroll over the next few years:

The Royals appear well-equipped to handle a major addition (or two) over the next two years. After that, their payroll figures to jump past $75 million just to retain their core of young players -- even without any major additions.

It will only go up from there. Perhaps way up. And signing Guillen and Kuroda, or making a similar investment in other new acquisitions, would push the Royals' projected payroll beyond $90 million by 2010 and 2011.

That ought to be a sobering reality for a franchise that set a club record last year by entering the season with a $58.2 million payroll -- even if baseball continues its current financial boom.

Right?

"I want to win now," Moore answered. "I'm a competitor. I feel we've got to put the best team on the field all of the time. I want to win, and I know we're going to be successful here."

Nice to see the Royals willing to spend their revenue sharing money on payroll. What we'll see is how wisely they'll spend it. Not over bidding on Torii Hunter is certainly a good sign.

Bleacher Banter doesn't want to hear about signing minor league free agents:

I'm sorry for the rant, but the Nats have been here a few years, and they keep saying we're going to have a winning franchise, and be a big market team, and just wait, when we have a stadium, we'll contend. How do these guys help us? Dennis Tankersley? Are you kidding? I only recognize the name since I am sure he's related to the Tankersley who was supposed to close for Florida last year but sucked and lost the job. How am I supposed to be excited about this?

If the Nats want to fill the stadium, and sell season tickets, they better get a recognizable name, and quick. Because when they announce stuff like this, all I hear is yawns. Please, make a trade - give us something real to write about, and to cheer about. That's when the fans will fill that nice new stadium.

My latest column at SportingNews.com looks at what the growth in revenue and the lack of growth in salaries means for the future of the game.

Dodgers fans should find this good news:

Citing the high asking prices for top players on the trade market and the lack of quality among free agents, Dodgers General Manager Ned Colletti said today that he wouldn't "make a deal to make a deal."

That would leave the Dodgers with a team that once again would be short on experience, something Colletti said he didn't mind. Manager Joe Torre echoed similar thoughts.

"There's potential for change, but as we look at the young players that we played a lot this past year, we're less likely to fill in [positions with veterans] as much as we have in the past and more likely we'll give the younger players greater opportunity," Colletti said. "I'm curious to see how our young players, who really had a chance this past year to play full-time, I'm curious to see what another year does."

The Dodgers lured Dr. Charles Steinberg away from the Red Sox:

Dr. Charles Steinberg, who dramatically transformed the fan experience in Fenway Park in his nearly six years here, is leaving the Red Sox as executive VP for public affairs to accept a top front-office position with the Los Angeles Dodgers, according to major league sources. The Dodgers are expected to make the announcement tomorrow.

Steinberg spent the Thanksgiving holiday in Los Angeles as guest of Frank and Jamie McCourt, owners of the Dodgers, and reportedly accepted the offer at that time.
Steinberg was not immediately available by telephone.

His departure ends a working relationship with Sox CEO Larry Lucchino that spans nearly three decades. He was with Lucchino with the Orioles in Baltimore and the Padres in San Diego before joining the Sox on March 1, 2002.

Steinberg seems like a man who is always looking for a new challenge. He won't make the Dodgers win more games, but he should make the experience at Dodger Stadium more enjoyable.

Lisa Gray rails against baseball owners as most National League teams decrease payroll as baseball revenues soar:

I hear tell that McLane is planning on lowering the payroll again this year to 80 mill (approximately) in spite of the fact that the Astros pulled in over 3 million fans last year and in spite of the fact that he's raising ticket prices. Let's start demanding to know why he won't sign decent bench players for a couple mill instead of the Blums and Abercrombies of the world. Yes, I know we don't have anyone to trade for Miggy Cabrera or even Tejada, so I'm not complaining about that. And yes I am GLAD we didn't sign either Linebrink or Cordero. But we can't get rid of 2 of the 5 guys on the team (Luke Scott and Mike Lamb) who actually had positive RCAA and still expect to actually score runs.

I'm not sure that the owners are just being cheap here. A number of National League teams have taken the "build from within" option, which is great for lowering cost. With the Diamondback, Phillies, Rockies and Brewers showing success with this method, other teams are going to join in. And with the National League so well balanced, having eight to ten teams competing for playoff spots keeps crowds big and interest high.

For thirty years the players exploited free agency and arbitration to keep salaries growing. Now teams are exploiting the control they have over players for their first six major league seasons. Many teams sign arbitration eligible players to contracts to take that uncertainty out of the equation and control costs even more. Yes, there are teams that are being cheap, but most are just being smart given the constraints of the CBA.

Baseball reported revenue of 6.075 billion dollars yesterday. Adding up the major league salaries reported here, I get about 2.5 billion, so 41% of revenue goes to salaries. A few years ago, salaries accounted for 55% of revenue. During the 2002 contract negotiations, players were trying to get a fixed amount of revenue, but were afraid the loss of revenue due to a strike would wipe out the gain:

In other words, if players manage to make salaries account for 60 percent of baseball revenue, up from 55 percent at present, they could still end up worse off if baseball's revenue plunges.

We don't hear players complaining about this much, however, since the growth was so big that they are very happy with the increase in their salaries. However, it does appear there's plenty of money available for salaries to go much higher.

The Braves may be spending money this off season:

The Braves hardly can claim an inability to compete financially in light of a quarterly report filed by the team's owner with the Securities and Exchange Commission. In that report, Liberty Media said the Braves generated $101 million in revenue and $34 million in "operating cash flow" for the three-month period that ended Sept. 30.

That brings the Braves' revenue to $151 million and operating cash flow to $46 million since Liberty acquired the team in mid-May, according to company filings.

McGuirk said those figures represent a "snapshot" from 4-1/2 high-revenue months and reflect a "wildly skewed" picture of the Braves' year-round financial performance.

"Liberty did not own the team from the first of the year through the middle of May, which is predominantly a huge loss period in the life of a baseball team," McGuirk said.

Just another example of baseball's health.

John Russell is putting a huge positive spin on the state of the Pirates:

Russell has already worked with a number of players on the Pirates' roster, and is convinced the club is closer to winning than its 68-94 record of last season suggests.

"I think we have a great core of players right now," he said. "We have the pieces to win now. It's just a matter of getting the passion, the accountability, the attention to detail. That's what works. My role and the staff's role is going to be huge and we're going to be diligent, but I like what we have."

Russell pointed to young starters such as Tom Gorzelanny, Paul Maholm, Ian Snell and Zach Duke, good speed and defense, and proven hitters such as Jason Bay and Freddy Sanchez as a core to build around.

I'm sorry, the Pirates aren't good because they don't have good personnel. Maybe a better manager can get more out of these six, some of whom disappointed in 2007. But the rest of the team simply lacks talent, and there's no way a manager can make up for that.

The Dodgers formally announced Joe Torre's signing today. Torre confirmed an open secret, that Mattingly and Bowa will follow him to Los Angeles.

Update: Great Vin Scully story at Dodger Thoughts.

MetsBlog notes a rumor that the Devil Rays are willing to move Scott Kazmir. Maybe the same team that picks up Miguel Cabrera and land Kazmir, too. That would be a franchise to watch for a number of years, not like the constantly rebuilding Florida teams.

Players like Cabrera and Kazmir are the players you want to acquire, not trade away. When they're 28 or 29, fine, trade them for prospects. These teams should be paying their price and building around them. That's what budding superstars are for.

The Dodgers are going all out for Joe Torre's news conference:

Joe Torre will be front and center for his first day in a Los Angeles Dodgers uniform. The new manager's introductory news conference Monday was to be held in center field at Dodger Stadium, not in some room in the ballpark's interior, a first according to team spokesman Josh Rawitch.

You night think Brian came to town. :-)

Meanwhile, I can't tell if the Pirates press conference to announce the hiring of John Russell will be in Pittsburgh or Orlando.

http://bronxbanter.baseballtoaster.com/archives/860099.htmlBronx Banter talks to Marlins fan Jacob Luft about Joe Girardi:

BB: Is he creative with his use of relievers or does he assign roles to guys?

JL: Everybody assigns roles these days, but i never had a problem with when he brought guys in. He's also a hard ass, disciplinarian, real drill-sergeant type.

BB: I wonder how much that'll change given a team of more established players.

JL: It's a weird fit, but possibly a very good one. The [Yankees] do have young pitchers that will benefit a great deal, but he's a take-no-shit kind of guy, which really worked with the '06 Marlins. Fredi Gonzalez came in [in 2007] and it was like a zoo. The other thing with Girardi is he's got a temper. The guy told his owner to fuck off. I ripped him when he left, but after seeing Fredi let the kids go nuts in the clubhouse this year, I miss the guy. Though without all the bunts our offense went ballistic this year. Girardi is also very smart, he's a Northwestern grad, so it's possible he'll learn to change his in-game offensive strategy.

Jeff Zrebiec sits down with Andy MacPhail to discuss his plans for the Baltimore Orioles. MacPhail evades most of the questions (with good reason) but he does seem to be on a five-year plan.

What is the course and when will it become apparent?

I've learned through experience that tactically it's best for me that while we can start to employ the plan and prepare for the plan, it's not something that you want to share with your competitors. I think, over time, those things become self-evident and actions speak louder than words. ... I don't think we are a signing or two away from contending for the postseason next year. I think that pretty much says it. You have to take a different approach. If you could ask me five years from now, 'What one thing could you accomplish where you'd think your time here in Baltimore was well-spent?' I would like someone to say, 'They really created a top echelon scouting and development franchise.' I think that's a principal goal for us to achieve to assure our fans that they don't have 10 more years of losing. ... If you stay diligent and you invest the time, the energy and the money, it will pay off. I think an example of that is committing $7.1 million to two draft picks [Matt Wieters and Jake Arrieta]. I think that's putting your money where your mouth is.

I would think that if the Orioles aren't winning in five years, Andy will be out of a job.

A source says John Russell gets the managerial job in Pittsburgh:

John Russell, let go by the Pittsburgh Pirates as their third base coach only two seasons ago, will succeed Jim Tracy as the team's manager, a source with knowledge of the hiring told the Associated Press last night.

Russell, who lost his previous job in Pittsburgh after former Pirates manager Lloyd McClendon's firing in September 2005, will be introduced at a news conference tomorrow. He managed the Philadelphia Phillies' Triple-A team the past two seasons.

Russell was 84-58 with Scranton in 2006, finishing in first place. He turned that around this season, going 55-88. In his playing career, he was a poor hitting catcher. Think Sal Fasano.

Soccer Dad looks at the John Hart front office family tree. Three of the four LCS GMs were proteges of Hart.

When Hart signed his young Indians to long term contracts in the mid 1990s, I thought we were going to see a new era in how teams manage their talent. Fewer teams took that approach than I thought, and there are still franchises out there that take their young stars to arbitration rather than locking them up through their peak years.

My only criticism of Hart is that he was much better developing offense than defense. His LCS descendants don't seem to have that problem.

The Pirates announce their new manager on Monday.

The five finalists to replace Jim Tracy, who was fired Oct. 5 after two seasons, are Class AAA Indianapolis manager Trent Jewett, Cleveland third base coach Joel Skinner, Class AAA Lehigh Valley manager John Russell, Los Angeles Dodgers bench coach Dave Jauss and Chicago White Sox bench coach Joey Cora.

No word on which one it might be.

Where Have you Gone, Andy Van Slyke is worried about the Pirates taking a long time to make major management decisions:

Seriously though, I have no idea what we're going to do with this whole "rebuilding the front office" thing. Huntington hasn't really hired anyone yet. Even the Dodgers have a new manager, and they weren't even looking for one. I'm trying very hard to remain positive, but a search to fill any job that goes on this long can't be a good thing. A search to fill three (four if you count assistant GM) important jobs that goes on this long is making me very nervous.

Pirate fans have to hope the new people in charge are simply being diligent in finding the right people for the jobs. The negative spin is that nobody wants to work there.

I like Joe Girardi's first move as manager:

The mission statement is summarized in the two numerals that will follow Joe Girardi wherever he goes. The uniform number of the Yankees' new manager is 27, and the reason is rhetorical.

"How many have they won?" Girardi said, knowing that the answer is 26. Joe Torre finished the last seven seasons of his tenure by chasing a 27th title in vain, and now it is Girardi's turn.

It sends a message to both ownership and players. Joe is telling the Steinbrenners, "I know you want to win." He's telling the players, "I'm here to win."

The story also gives us a view of how Torre operated with the Yankees. He communicated well with Cashman, but didn't involve himself with the development part of the organization. Cashman hopes Girardi adds that involvement to his job.

The Dodgers hired Joe Torre this afternoon:

Torre and the Dodgers finalized a three-year deal today to replace Grady Little, who resigned Tuesday. The contract is believed to be worth around $4 million a season.

"Having grown up in Brooklyn, I have a great understanding of the history of the Dodger organization and I am committed to bringing a world championship back to Los Angeles," Torre said in a statement released by the team. "I consider it an honor to be a part of this organization, which is one of the most storied franchises in all of sports."

Said General Manager Ned Colletti: "Few managers in the history of the game have accomplished what Joe has delivered. Throughout his career he has demonstrated the ability to turn a vision for success into results on the field and we welcome his passion and leadership. We have tremendous fans and they deserve no less."

If the Dodgers give Joe a good team, he'll do well managing them. Torre also wants input into personnel decisions:

Torre was said to be negotiating for the right to appoint his own coaches, among them Don Mattingly. He also wanted assurance that he would have input on player personnel moves, which could lead to the free-agent pursuit of Alex Rodriguez.

The Dodgers seem like a dysfunctional organization to me. As difficult as it was playing for the Yankees, you always knew where you stood with Steinbrenner. From reading blogs and newspaper stories about the McCourts, they seem less than honest in their dealings with employees. I wonder how Joe will react if that happens to him.

All in all, a good signing for Los Angeles. Torre is still the highest paid manager in the game, although not at the level under the Yankees.

If the Angels want to go after Alex Rodriguez, they'll be looking at a payroll of $130 million. That's what it takes to compete with the Red Sox and Yankees these days.

Buster Olney doesn't believe the Dodgers explanation for the dismissal of Grady Little:

And today, Grady Little is not the Dodgers' manager, in any language. You can choose to believe, if you wish, the organization's stance that he would still be the manager if he wanted the job. T.J. Simers is not buying it.

By the way: Friends of Little say he had no clue in recent days about what the Dodgers' plans were, and he was twisting in the wind, waiting for someone to tell him something. Then again, if he had called to ask about his job, you can just imagine the answer he got: "Grady, you are the manager of the Dodgers."

The St. Louis Cardinals hired John Mozeliak as their new general manager today. It seems outside candidates harbored reservations about how much control they would wield with the club:

As recently as Monday, Antonetti, 33, was described as the front-runner by a source familiar with the process. But the protegé of Indians general manager Mark Shapiro could not come to terms with the club on a contract and also harbored reservations about the amount of control that would be given Jocketty's successor.

Interviewed in Florida by chairman Bill DeWitt Jr. on Oct. 19, Chicago White Sox assistant general manager Rick Hahn bowed out of the process prior to the World Series for similar reasons, according to an industry source.

In these cases, an internal candidate who is used to the office politics is probably best. Brian Cashman went into a similar situation, and it took him many years to gain control of the club. Good luck to Mr. Mozeliak.

The New York Post reports that Joe Torre agreed to manage the Dodgers for three years, $14.5 million. I guess a pay cut isn't as insulting when it comes from another team. I don't quite understand this speculation, however:

And Alex Rodriguez could be following Torre from The Bronx to Hollywood. One of the reasons Rodriguez opted out of the last three years on his Yankees contract was he wasn't sure what Yankee life would be like without Torre's calming presence in the clubhouse and dugout. In the Dodgers, Rodriguez will find a club in dire need of a jolt at the plate and in the stands.

Wasn't Torre the guy who batted Alex eighth in the 2006 playoffs? I guess they patched over that difference. I can see Rodriguez playing for the Dodgers, if the Dodgers are willing to out bid other teams for his services. I really doubt they'll get a Torre discount.

T.J. Simers doesn't buy the reasons for Grady Little leaving the Dodgers:

Colletti and Little deny a published report they had a blowup at season's end, the same report also having them not talking to each other for weeks.

Take them at their word, I guess, until someone produces the facts to prove them liars.

No way, no how is the Boston Parking Lot Attendant involved in this coup, we're being told, and until recently McCourt really did have property to sell you.

If image, and the importance the McCourts place on it were not so pervasive here, maybe the spoken word could be accepted as fact.

But as long as the McCourts have been here, it's always been the spin that's manufactured, the Tipper Gore Lady certainly earning her wages.

Here's the meaning of Tipper Gore Lady. It certainly appears the Dodgers front office is not overflowing in credibility.

Joe Posnanski traveled to Japan to cover their championship series. The Nippon Ham Fighters are managed by soon to be Royals skipper Trey Hillman. Right now, the the Fighters are down two games to one.

The Chunichi Dragons scored seven big runs in the first inning - they knocked Fighters starter Masaru Takeda out after he had retired only one batter - and then finished the job by destroying Hillman's team 9-1. This was just two days after the Dragons destroyed the Fighters 8-1. So, add it up, the Dragons now have a 2 game to 1 lead in this best-of-seven series, and right now it looks like they are a whole lot better than the Fighters.

Then again, it has looked that way all year for Hillman and his team. They scored the fewest runs of any team in Japan this year and hit the fewest home runs, and still they won their league outright. So, you never know.

"Don't underestimate us," Hillman says about his team. "That's when we'll get you."

I guess Brian Cashman is supposed to be answering his cell phone 24 hours a day:

Brian Cashman fell asleep Sunday night reading a story to his son, Teddy. His cell phone, in another room, kept ringing, mostly calls from reporters trying to reach the New York Yankees general manager for his reaction to Alex Rodriguez opting out of his contract.

Cashman's wife woke him up at about 10:30 and he checked his messages.
"At 9:32 there was a voice mail from Scott Boras to call him. He wanted to give me a heads up on something, was the message," Cashman said Tuesday. "And then at 9:42 was a text message saying he was opting out."

Cashman wished he had gotten the chance to speak with Rodriguez's agent.

"If there was no public announcement from Scott Boras on that, you could still always unring the bell because from the public standpoint, the bell was never rung," Cashman said during a conference call. "I could have said, 'Hey, listen, you sure you want to do this? Let's talk, you know, you take another crack at an opportunity -- can you please, you know, give us an opportunity to sit down and have the dialogue?"'

That conversation never took place.

"Obviously the message was sent, and it was sent loud and clear, you know, through Scott Boras when he announced it the way he did, that the bell couldn't be unrung after that," Cashman said.

It wouldn't matter. Clearly, Boras wanted this to happen on the national stage of the World Series. I doubt Alex made up his mind at 9:41 that evening. And with ten days to opt out, there was no rush to make this announcement. Cashman answering the phone or not, Rodriguez was gone.

This goes back to my post last night about over worked management. Why should anyone being doing business at 9 PM on a Sunday night? What can possibly get done then that couldn't wait until Monday morning? How many managers and GMs need to get burned out before someone takes action?

Grady Little resigned from the Dodgers this evening:

Colletti said, "I wanted Grady Little back. I encouraged him a handful of times to think it through,"

The general manager said that he knew resignation was on Little's mind at the end of the season.

When asked if rumors of Torre taking over had an influence on his decision, Little replied, "None whatsoever."

"I have my personal reasons," he said.

He added: "It's nothing in particular. It's just a decision we've come to. This is all personal. There's a lot of belief I've been dealt an injustice here. That couldn't be further from the truth. My plans? To play with my grandkids."

Is this saving face? Or, like Hargrove and Bell before him, has Grady Little had enough of managing?

There's a lot of this going around. Terry Ryan in Minnesota left for these reasons, and Mike Flanagan in Baltimore skipped some meetings because he hasn't had a day off in a long time. I'm really wondering if these baseball people are working too much. The more I think about it, the more I like the idea of a two week shutdown after the World Series ends. Everyone go home. No deals, no firings, no filings. Everyone takes a break and recharges.

ESPN reports that Joe Girardi and the Yankees agreed on a contract. Joe also gets an endorsement from Torre:

"Joe Girardi is a good man," Joe Torre said Monday on "Late Show with David Letterman." "He's got a feel for this organization."

My Baseball Bias links to two articles indicating that the Dodgers are about to replace Grady Little with Joe Torre. First, Peter Abraham:

The Dodgers were 82-80 this season under Little and were beset by clubhouse unrest. Owner Frank McCourt, a Boston native, decided Torre is best suited to quell that situation.

Torre turned down a one-year offer to remain as manager of the Yankees on Oct. 18. He had been with the Yankees 12 seasons, winning four World Series championships.

I don't remember a lot of clubhouse unrest. I remember a lot of injuries and management that liked to play fading veterans instead of good young players. This is a team that gave 1249 at bats to Juan Pierre and Rafael Furcal. They gave more at bats to Luis Gonzalez and Nomar Garciaparra than they did to Matt Kemp and James Loney. How is Torre going to change this? He was the person willing to start Miguel Cairo at first!

Tyler Kepner doesn't jump to conclusions about the switch. He concentrates on Mattingly making the move with Joe:

The Dodgers, who were disappointed with their 82-80 finish under Little, had singled out Girardi as a possible replacement. Now they are focusing on Torre, 67, who said after leaving the Yankees that he was not ready to retire.

Mattingly, 46, has ties to the Dodgers' organization through his son Preston, who was a first-round pick of the team in 2006. The Yankees asked Mattingly to stay with the organization, but he said no.

So would Torre help the Dodgers? It's tough to say. No doubt, Torre is a great leader. He will deal with any clubhouse trouble, and he's very good at isolating players from the pressures of both ownership and the press. As for actual game management, I'm not sure that Torre wouldn't have handled the veteran situation any differently than Little. He gives the older players a chance to prove they can't play before moving on to a younger option. That's pretty much the Dodgers in 2007. Torre won't screw up a good team, but he's also not the kind of manager who turns lemons into lemonade.

The Yankees may have lost A-Rod, but they made the right choice in managers. Joe Girardi was offered the job today:

"The Yankees have offered Joe the opportunity to become their next manager. Discussions are ongoing." Steve Mandell, Girardi's agent, said. Yankees general manager Brian Cashman told Don Mattingly and Tony Pena that they will not be getting the job.

Girardi was in Denver for the World Series. A source said he is expected to fly to New York for the announcement, which is likely to come Tuesday. Girardi's contract is expected to be in the three-year, $6 million range.

So for less than they paid Torre for last year, they get Girardi for three. This offer fits well with the Yankees developing a young pitching staff. Girardi knows pitching. And unlike in Florida, he's likely wanted by the entire Yankees front office.

So with A-Rod gone and the Yankees saving five million a year with Torre gone, that sounds like they've already opened up $20 million. They save another $20 million with Clemens, so it seems New York is going to be rolling in cash this off season. Not a bad position when you're rebuilding a team.

The Yankees decided on a manager, they just haven't made an announcement:

"I can tell you at this point, the family and the baseball people are pretty much in agreement," Steinbrenner said. "We are close; still a few details to work out and some more thinking on it. That's about it."

Despite the fact that the team is "close" to a decision, Steinbrenner stressed that nobody has been offered the job. When an offer is made, the team will have to work out a contract with the new manager before making an announcement, which is likely to take place on Tuesday at the Stadium.

The Daily News takes some of Steinbrenner's statements as indicating Mattingly is most likely to get the job. We'll see.

Via FanHouse, Terry Francona is getting a contract extension.

Francona, whose contract was due to expire after the 2008 season, is expected to have at least two more years tacked on.

Perhaps the only surprise is that it hasn't happened already. Managers Joe Maddon, Ozzie Guillen, Jim Leyland, Ron Washington and Charlie Manuel were given extensions or had options picked up. Francona was signed to a three-year, $1.65 million deal with an option for 2007 in December, 2003, after Grady Little's contract was not renewed.

Francona manages the club house and the game very well. Apart from his use of Eric Gagne, I seldom see him make a move that makes me think, "Why is he doing that?" His lineup construction is good, and he gives players a chance to show that they are good or bad (Pedroia and Lugo, for example), rather than letting small sample sizes determine their fate. And while other managers might make a big stink out of Manny's antics, Francona somehow keeps things under control. I hope he's getting a nice raise.

I like this quote from Trey Hillman:

"I have no anxiety about that because the game of baseball is the same all over the world. There's different styles and different ways of playing it," he said. "Really, what matters is the foundational relationships that you can build with your players and putting them in the best possible position to be successful."

Managers need to know their players strength and weaknesses and put them in situations that allow them to take advantage of their strengths. It's nice to see that Hillman understands that.

The St. Louis Cardinals announced this afternoon that Tony La Russa will manage the team for two more years.

He said two years was the right length for a contract, because a one-year deal would prompt the same questions he faced throughout 2007, when he was on the last season of a three-year contract.

"One (year) is the wrong message, because from spring training on it's the same deal," La Russa said. "Two (years) lets the players know I'm back for" a longer stay.

The winningest manager in franchise history, La Russa, 63, will manage his 13th season wearing the birds on the bat in 2008.

It certainly wasn't one of Tony's more memorable seasons. He was arrested for drunk driving, one of his pitchers killed himself driving under the influence, and what should have been the feel good comeback story of the year was tainted by HGH allegations. And just when you thought the Cardinals were going to make a run at a weak central division, they folded their tent and let the Brewers and Cubs fight it out. Maybe all that is why the contract was just two years long.

There's a report that Tony La Russa and the Cardinals reached an agreement for Tony to continue managing St. Louis. Given what happened with Torre last week, I'll wait for the new conference to be sure.

According to this story, the Orioles and MASN combined are worth $800 million. No wonder there isn't a lot of incentive to put a winner on the field.

Dayton Moore lays out the case for hiring Trey Hillman:

"A lot of people view the Japanese major leagues as (being on par with) the major leagues," Moore said. "In some cases and some aspects, it's more challenging to go to a culture that is night-and-day different from how you were raised and what you grew up in.

"To go over there and develop relationships and to motivate players and keep players focused and to win -- it shows you a little bit about his guts and confidence level."

Those qualities, Moore said, made Hillman a better fit than some better-known names who might have generated more immediate fan interest.

"This guy is about relationships," Moore said. "This guy is about success. He's been a winner his whole life, and that's what fans want. Fans want a winning baseball team.

"There are a lot of guys with great bubblegum cards who aren't great managers."

Joe Posnanski love the signing:

The Royals spent $55 million to get starter Gil Meche, who up to that point had never even thrown 200 innings in a season. "Well," the presidents of Optimists Clubs said, "he has talent, and if he harnesses it, you know, that could work."

That's just how it has gone for the Royals (and I should know since I'm generally one of those glass-half-full, sun-will-come-out, Optimist Club members). Some of these moves work better than others. But the overriding feeling around here has been that the Royals -- because of their tuna-fish and ramen noodles budget, their recent history as doormat and perhaps Kansas City's perceived lack of glitz and glamour -- would have to overpay or take a chance or settle for second best and then hope for a little luck.

Slogan: Hey, you never know, it all could work out.

Friday, that all changed. There's no telling if Trey Hillman will win championships in Kansas City. There's no telling how successful he will be as the Royals manager. But here's the big thing: This time the Royals got the No. 1 guy. They got the hottest managing prospect around. They got a 44-year-old man who has been chosen the Yankees' minor-league manager of the year three times, who has won a championship in Japan and is on the cusp of another, who has worked in scouting, development, coaching management, you name it, who has wowed just about everybody in the game.

And, on top of it all, they scooped the Yankees. If New York had let Torre go right away, they might have had time to acquire Trey. But taking their time let him get away.

The Kansas City Royals hired Trey Hillman to take over the team as the new manager:

The 44-year-old Hillman has never played, coached or managed in the majors. But he was always successful as a minor league manager, and his Nippon Ham Fighters are playing in the Japan Series for the second consecutive year.

"There is not a more qualified person out there to lead," Moore said by teleconference. "He's been a winner his whole life. There's a lot of guys with great bubble gum cards who aren't great managers."

Kansas City has seen plenty of them.

Tony Pena, Tony Muser, Bob Boone, Hal McRae, John Wathan and Billy Gardner all failed to get the talent-thin Royals into the playoffs. All but Buddy Bell either got fired or quit under pressure. Bell announced last August this would be his last year after the club refused to give him a contract extension.

Now, Hillman steps into what has been a managerial graveyard. He spent 13 years managing in the Yankees' minor league system and three times was a manager of the year.

My daughter hosted students from Hokkaidō, Japan the last two years, and the Fighters success was a great source of pride for them. If Hillman can do that for Kansas City, he'll be a hero there as well.

Joe Torre minced no words talking about the rejected Yankees offer. He thought the incentives were an insult.

"The fact that somebody is reducing your salary is just telling me they're not satisfied with what you're doing," Torre said Friday at a packed news conference. "There really was no negotiation involved. I was hoping there would be, but there wasn't.

"If somebody wants you to do a job, if it takes them two weeks to figure out, yeah, we want to do this, should do this, yeah, you're a little suspicious," he added. "If somebody wanted me to manage here, I would be managing here."

He reserve praise for Cashman. I wonder if he'll catch on with another team, and how much money he'd want.

David Letterman has the answers. My favorite:

Even Yogi Berra told him, "It's over"

Selena Roberts sees weakness in the new Yankees ownership arrangement over the handling of Joe Torre:

Where there were once snap decisions by George, there is now indecision by Yankee consensus.

To be sure, Hal and Hank Steinbrenner aren't ready to slip into their father's blue blazer, to sit in the general's saddle, to inherit the light saber from Darth Vader.

Are they too soft or too green? Whatever the case, Hank and Hal have blown their transition move from the kiddie table. Ten days after the Yankees' season ended, holed up in Tampa with IHOP leftovers and Randy Levine this week, stepping lightly around their aging patriarch, Hank and Hal helped devise this ham-handed strategy: Let's discount Joe Torre's dignity.

I wouldn't be quite so harsh. My guess is the deal wasn't a consensus but a compromise. My two thoughts on Torre at this point were:

1. Anybody competent applicant can manage the Yankees to a first round exit for a lot less money than they're paying Torre.
2. Torre is uniquely qualified to manage the Yankees.

Since there is a lot of truth to both these statements, the Yankees came up with an offer the reflects that. If Torre says no, the Yankees were ready to move on anyway. If he says yes, it's a win for them. I hope they hire Davey Johnson.

There's a terrific story on Clint Hurdle's life at the Rocky Mountain News site. I must admit I didn't know much about Clint other than he wasn't much of a major league player. I like the fact he has a photograhpic memory:

Hurdle isn't just a jock. Straight-A student in high school except for one B -- in driver's ed. His office is packed with around 1,000 CDs, all different kinds, and he's an avid reader. He has a photographic memory, to the point he'll ask bench coach Jamie Quirk things like, Hey, remember back on May 4 two years ago, this guy hit a two-strike pitch the other way for a double?

"Every time," Quirk says, "I'm like, 'No, Clint, I don't remember that.'"

He's made some impressive moves in the playoffs, thinking outside the box. He finally has the baseball talent to show off his managerial skill.

Word is that Torre is going to stay on as manager of the Yankees. My Baseball Bias is providing updates.

Update: No! Torre turned down the extension!

The Yankees just announced that Joe Torre will not return as manager. He turned down a $5 million deal that included $3 million in incentives.

That's what happens when you speculate rather than wait for the news. I guess Torre didn't want to take a pay cut.

Update: I'll speculate on the decision myself. My guess is that Torre probably felt he didn't need incentives to manage well. He might have even taken that as a insult. On top of that, it's not really clear that Joe wanted to come back anyway. He's 67, and managing does take a toll on you.

However, this may smooth things over with the players. The Yankees didn't just decide to let him go. They made a fair offer to keep Joe around, and Torre rejected it. I'll be interested to see what the veteran free agents think of this.

Update: Michael Kay, on his radio show, speculates that if the public reacts badly to this move, the Yankees might revisit the contract.

The Orioles spent a year fighting over a scoreboard. Maybe they should be so single minded in building the team on the field. They'll bring in a lot more fans with a winner than with a giant HD TV.

Tony Reagins took over as the new general manager of the LAnaheim Angels yesterday. There's some speculation that the move gives more power to Mike Scioscia:

By passing over the senior assistants to Stoneman and refusing to consider candidates from outside the organization, Moreno appears to have shifted the Angels' center of power toward Manager Mike Scioscia.

Moreno cited a desire to promote from within and a preference for an "easy transition" by replacing Stoneman with someone who already enjoyed "easy communication" with Scioscia. Moreno acknowledged Scioscia, perhaps the most visible face of the franchise, would have a greater say in player personnel discussions.

"We just felt that it was really important for us to, one, move within the family, and also to give Mike more of a responsibility in making sure we're delivering what he needs," Moreno said.

I'm pleasantly surprised that the story makes no issue of Reagins minority status. Usually that's a big deal. It's nice to see the man's accomplishments rather than his skin color is driving his promotion.

Doug Haller discusses Hurdle's growth as a manager from a player's point of view:

"As we've gotten older and we have a little bit more experience, he's let us go out and play and just kind of sat back and made the moves he needs to make," outfielder Matt Holliday said.

"But at the same time, he's let us go out there and have the free will to go out and play and try to steal bases and move runners and do things positioning-wise and just play the game by instinct and not necessarily be coached so much."

Pitcher Jeff Francis agreed.

"He's grown along with the team," Francis said.

I've been impressed with two strategic moves he made. The unusual double switch he pulled against the Phillies and pinch hitting for Morales last night. Most managerial strategy actually involves automatic moves, like having the pitcher sacrifice or pinch hitting for a reliever late in the game. But both these moves required Hurdle to be thinking ahead and weighing potential positive and negative outcomes. In other words, Hurdle was displaying real strategy rather than going by some unwritten book. That's nice to see.

Bill Stoneman decided to move out of the Angels front office:

Stoneman, 62, is planning to move to a consultant's position with the club. His four-year contract expired with the 2007 season but includes a mutual option allowing him to stay beyond '07 as either a GM or a consultant.

Angels spokesman Tim Mead would neither confirm nor deny the expected impending front-office changes.

Stoneman's replacement as GM was not immediately clear, but it is believed that the Angels are looking at Tony Reagins, currently their director of player development, to succeed Stoneman.

Bill did a very good job with the Angels, putting together the team that won the 2002 World Series. They've had continued success, making the playoffs in 2004, 2005 and 2007. He worked well with Scioscia, giving him players who put the ball in play and play defense well. At 62, he probably wants to start collecting social security. :-)

Dusty Baker took over the Cincinnati Reds today:

"Let's be honest: Most of the time you don't take over a winning situation," Baker said. "Most of the time, you take over a situation where a team's not doing very well. That's why they come get you in the first place.

"When I took over the Giants, we were in the bottom. I took over the Cubs, they were in the bottom. So I plan on taking this team to the top like I've done with the other teams - and beyond. That's my goal.

"I've got to take it a little bit further and beyond, or else I won't be satisfied in my own life, in myself, if I don't bring a championship before I go home and play with my son."

Does anyone think that Roger Craig couldn't win with Bonds? I like this quote better:

"I can attract players to come here," Baker said. "You add or subtract a couple players from almost every team, and there's possibility. I looked at things, analyzed things. I loved to win. I'm spoiled by winning. I want to get back to that."

Let's see, the San Francisco players who were alienated because Bonds received special treatment? Players like Sosa who didn't get special treatment? Shawn Estes?

Dusty managed a great Giants team in 1993 and managed not to win the division. The Giants were up 3-2 in 2002, with Barry Bonds hitting well, and Dusty couldn't win the series. More than once I've seen him not prepare the bullpen so when his pitcher gets in trouble, he can't make the switch until it's too late. I don't think this hire does anything to help the Reds.

Filip Bondy asserts that it doesn't matter who manages the Yankees in 2008:

Of all the pressing matters to be discussed by Yankee officials tomorrow when the Tampa Summit begins in earnest, one of the least important topics involves the identity of the next manager. It ought to rank on the agenda somewhere below getting another setup man and somewhere above obtaining a solid backup at PA announcer.

This unconventional notion may not sell many newspapers, or feed the ever-famished flame of the hot stove league, but it's the truth. Don Mattingly, or any of the other candidates being considered for the job, will unlikely prove to be significantly better or worse than Joe Torre at winning games, big and small.

When I was first working at ESPN, Ray Knight espoused a similar sentiment. Ray said the manager's job was about media relations. When he came back to ESPN after his managerial stint with the Reds, that attitude changed. He found it was a lot more analytical than he realized.

It's a complicated job. There are people management aspects to it (which Torre does well), there are strategy aspects (which Showalter and Davey Johnson do well) and there are development aspects (which Billy Gardner did well). I'd wager there are very few managers who did all three extremely well (maybe Whitey Herzog?). And so, you may need to decide which type of manager you need. If the Yankees keep their vets, a Torre or Mattingly type would be fine. If they're going on a youth movement, Girardi might be a better fit. And if they are losing good players and replacing them with less ability, then strategy might add a few more wins. Just like players need to adjust to stay competitive, sometimes teams need to do the same thing on the bench. The strengths of the manager should match what the club needs. When the makeup of the club changes, sometimes the manager should, too.

The Rockies ignored Latin American talent during the first few years of their franchise's history.

For the Rockies' first seven years, the idea of injecting talent through Latin America was an afterthought. They paid lip service but little money. Not surprisingly, they received little help from those countries, shortstop Neifi Perez being the lone high-profile player.

And that's being generous to Perez. How can a new franchise not be interested in a cheap supply of talent? They're now starting to see the rewards for the shift:

The man responsible, in many ways, for adding this rocket fuel to the Rockies' ride is Rolando Fernandez, director of Latin operations, and his scouts. One of O'Dowd's first moves back in 1999 was to promote Fernandez, recognizing "that he was special and needed a bigger role."

Fernandez's project was daunting, digging for talent with a pickax. But the Rockies pumped more money into his scouting budget and he made shrewd decisions, signing Morales at 16 and Jimenez and Corpas at 17 for approximately $100,000 combined.

That's a lot cheaper than a first round draft pick.

George Steinbrenner decided to put his sons in charge of the Yankees:

"There's always been a succession - and that's myself and my brother," Hank told The Post in an exclusive interview.

He said he and Hal will have final say on baseball decisions as well as the running of the YES Network and the construction of the new Yankee Stadium.

"I'll pay more attention to the baseball part. The stadium, that's more Hal. But basically everything will be decided jointly."

"What's nice is the Boss is there - he's an office door away," said Levine.

Last month, Hal Steinbrenner was named chairman of the board of Yankee Global Enterprises. Hank expects to take on a new title - one that won't be decided until a board vote this week, when the team's brain trust gathers to sort out issues such as whether to bring back manager Joe Torre.

"We'll be bringing everyone together . . . to discuss those things. For the first couple of meetings, it will just be me, Hal, my dad and the usual cast," Hank said.

It sounds more like King Lear than King George. I suppose George's daughter plays Cordelia, but which of the brothers gets to poke out Howard Rubenstein's eyes?

Tom Elia notes a double anniversary for the Cubs, their 1908 World Series win and the 2003 Bartman game. To me that game turned on Dusty Baker not having the bullpen ready when Prior got in trouble. Dusty is reported to be the new manager of the Reds:

Dusty Baker was hired as manager of the Cincinnati Reds, agreeing to a three-year deal Saturday with a team coming off its seventh straight losing season and looking for stability at the top.

The 58-year-old Baker worked in television for a year after the Chicago Cubs fired him after the 2006 season. The Reds decided to go for someone who knows the NL Central and has been to the World Series as a manager.

Dusty strikes me as the type of manager who does real well with talent. I've never thought of him as someone who can turn around a franchise. There is some good talent on the Reds, so we'll see if Baker can bring out their best. I'd really be worried about young Reds pitchers like Homer Bailey turning into the next Mark Prior.

The Baltimore Orioles fired Leo Mazzone today:

After two years as the Orioles pitching coach, Leo Mazzone has been fired with one year remaining on his deal.

The club made the announcement this afternoon in a news release.

"I spoke with Leo today and told him I appreciated his efforts here," said manager Dave Trembley in the release. "Moving forward, I felt that we would be better served with someone else working with our young staff and that it was in his best interests and our best interests to give him an opportunity to look elsewhere now."

The Orioles finished 13th in ERA with a 5.17 mark. There were some success stories in the starting staff as Bedard and Guthrie showed a great deal of progress this year. But pitchers like Daniel Cabrera didn't. And I'm sure part of it is Dave Trembley wanting his own coaching staff. I wonder if Leo will go back to Atlanta?

Be sure to check out my posts at AT&T Blue Room. Click on sports, then buzz. My latest offers my thoughts on the career of John Schuerholz.

The New York Post reports that Torre might be invited to the Yankees organizational meetings next week. The Post takes that as a sign Torre might be resigned. However, the history of Steinbrenner firings is also a history of bumping people to the front office. Don't be surprised if Torre doesn't manage but does take another job with the Yankees.

From a Baseball Digest Daily E-Mail:

The Atlanta Braves are hosting a 3:30 p.m. press conference today for a major announcement. I have no idea yet what this is about, but I'm working on the details!

Maybe they'll announce the firing of Joe Torre! Wait, they already did that.

There's a non-zero chance that Bobby Cox will retire. If Cox, Torre and La Russa all leave their teams at once, the longest tenured manager will be Mike Scioscia, who took over the Angels in 2000. In the NL, it would be Clint Hurdle, who started managing the Rockies in 2002.

Update: Thanks to a reader for this link. It looks like Schuerholz will relinquish his GM powers.

Peter Schmuck traces the ancestry of three playoff GMs back to the great Orioles executive Hank Peters.

When the Cleveland Indians defeated the New York Yankees to take their place in this year's American League Championship Series, general manager Mark Shapiro quickly placed a call to the baseball executive who helped him get his start in the Indians' front office and impressed upon him the critical importance of the long-term player development strategy that has put the team one step away from the World Series.

When the Colorado Rockies staged a dramatic late-season run to capture the National League wild-card berth and then sweep the Philadelphia Phillies in last week's Division Series, GM Dan O'Dowd made a similar call. Both can trace the roots of their success to the same baseball father figure.

Peters ponders the possibility of the two facing each other in the Fall Classic with great pride and playfully rebuffs the obvious hypothetical question about his loyalties if such a scenario were to occur.

"I wouldn't want to choose," he said by telephone yesterday from his home in Timonium. "They both are great young men. I'd be pulling for both of them and happy for either."

Josh Byrnes makes an appearance as a Peters grandson-GM.

Mariano Rivera puts a little pressure on the Yankees to keep Joe Torre.

Anyone but him. His buddy Dallas Green was oh so successful there. And this, too:

One rumor being floated by Yahoo.com yesterday was that Steinbrenner would let Torre go in the next few days and hire Tony La Russa, whose contract with the Cardinals ran out after this season. This would seem a recipe for disaster for at least two good reasons. One is that La Russa's thin skin, which has rubbed raw even in the small markets where his aura has been built, can not survive the heat from the daily scrutiny of this team. The other is that La Russa has been known to deal very publicly when it comes to confronting his stars - Scott Rolen last year, and Albert Pujols this season.

Booze and steroids for everyone!

Nick Piecoro writes on the importance of building from within to both the Rockies and Diamondbacks:

"You have two choices," Rockies scouting director Bill Schmidt said. "You can build from within, or you can spend a lot of money. If you build from within and you want to sustain it, that's where patience comes in. You have to give credit to our ownership group. They had belief in us that we were doing the right thing."

It didn't happen overnight for either organization. The Rockies are in the playoffs for the first time since 1995. In between, they doled out some $175 million in contracts to pitchers Mike Hampton and Denny Neagle before the 2001 season, only to watch both struggle.

The Diamondbacks last made the playoffs in 2002 but endured three consecutive losing seasons from 2003-2006, including a 111-loss campaign in 2004.

For Byrnes to be in Tucson to watch his instructional league team - including this year's first-round draft pick, Jarrod Parker - showed the club's effort to bridge the gap between the minors and majors.

The Diamondbacks bring their instructional league players to see a game at Chase Field, to watch batting practice, to get a firsthand look at the majors. Last season, Upton and second baseman Emilio Bonifacio watched the game from a suite in right field.

"A year later," Byrnes said, "they're down here."

Bad Altitude doesn't think residents of Phoenix appreciate their team:

Here is the real kick in the face about the Diamondbacks, though, with thanks on the link going to Buster Olney: As of this morning, some 12,000 seats for the NLCS at Chase Field remained unsold. I told you Phoenix was a crummy sports town. Of course, that didn't do the Yankees much good in 2001, but that Diamondbacks team was constructed of veterans from other organizations, many of whom got their starts in cities to which big chunks of the retired community in Arizona remained loyal. Rockies fans are now completely on board with this youth movement thing; Arizona fans still seem to wonder where Luis Gonzalez and Mark Grace went. It's hard to develop from the inside in an area where half the biggest stars in the game play for peanuts right in your backyard for a month every year. Phoenix might be a market where you have to get at least a few already-famous free agents on your roster to convince fans you mean business. The Cardinals and Coyotes certainly work this angle, although look how successful they've been. The best franchise in the area is the Suns, who have mixed and matched free agent signings and player development, but I've always felt like the Suns are far more appreciated by NBA junkies out of town than the locals, who show up for the games when the team is good but will never approach the loudness of the fans of Sacramento or Denver.

I think that will change now that the start time for game two was moved to Friday evening.

During the Red Sox clubhouse celebration, John Henry talked glowingly about his team:

Red Sox owner John Henry visited the clubhouse and offered his congratulations to his ball club, upon which he, too, was subjected to a victory bath of Bud and bubbly. Asked to characterize his team, the owner answered, "Relentless. That's the word that came up today. The lineup we had out there was so perfect. When you drop Manny back into that four spot, behind Ortiz and ahead of Mike Lowell, I can't imagine anything better. And Schilling - every pitch sequence was so crisp. It was a joy to watch.

"This group totally reminded me of the teams from 2003 and 2004. But even those teams didn't have this kind of bullpen."

Barring injury, the Red Sox are as close to a flawless team as you'll find in the playoffs. The starting pitching is very good. The bullpen is great. The offense, especially with Manny and Youkilis healthy and rested, is as good 1-5 as there is in the game. And while it took a while, Ortiz seems to have adjusted to his bad knee and is hitting home runs again. On top of that, the defense is very good, giving the pitchers room for error. On top of all that, they have home field as long as they stay in the playoffs, and they compiled one of the best home records in the majors in 2007. All the arrows are pointing up for the Red Sox right now.

The Pittsburgh Pirates cleaned house today, firing Jim Tracy and three others:

The Pirates today fired manager Jim Tracy after two losing seasons, as well as director of baseball operations Jon Mercurio, director of player development Brian Graham and scouting director Ed Creech.

Tracy, 51, went 135-189, including 68-94 in the season that ended Sunday, since former general manager Dave Littlefield hired him Oct. 11, 2005. Littlefield was fired earlier in the month, and the decision regarding the manager was left up to his replacement, Neal Huntington. Team president Frank Coonelly also was heavily involved in the process.

While you always feel sorry for people who lose their jobs, this looks like the right thing to do. Whatever the Pirates were doing for the last fifteen years didn't work, and a fresh approach seems like the right move. There's a great opportunity here for bright baseball executives. And Davey Johnson is available to manage!

Jim Duquette resigned from the Orioles today.

Duquette, 41, was hired from the New York Mets after the 2005 season to work in tandem with executive vice president Mike Flanagan. However, the June hiring of president of baseball operations Andy MacPhail and the possibility that MacPhail will bring in another executive to serve as his top aide would have left Duquette with significantly less responsibility and less of a voice in the club's decision-making process.

"I appreciate the work that Jim has done here, and I also understand his decision to resign," MacPhail said. "Jim wants to continue his career with a different organization, which I understand. I wish him well."

Jim leaves on his own terms rather than waiting to be fired. I also wonder if he has another job lined up? Coming out of the Orioles front office doesn't do much to bolster one's resume.

The Baseball Digest Daily newsletter just informed me that the Pirates will announce a decision today on the future of Jim Tracy. I'm guessing a new management team wants their own manager.

The pundits weighing in on the firing of Walt Jocketty are taking the position it was a bad move by the Cardinals. Here's Scott Miller:

Under Jocketty, the Cardinals played in the postseason seven times in the past 12 seasons. And they won NL pennants in two of the past four seasons.

It is an impressive record of success.

And the odds of the Cardinals repeating that over the next decade, if DeWitt is going to persist in making knee-jerk decisions like reducing the autonomy of a smart baseball man who has only produced solid results, have just gone down significantly.

And at Fox Sports, Ken Rosenthal writes:

The Cardinals did something even more bizarre Wednesday, parting with one of the game's most successful GMs, Walt Jocketty, in large part because owner Bill DeWitt is enthralled with a younger executive, Jeff Luhnow.

Many in the industry expect the move also to lead to the departure of manager Tony La Russa, who is unsigned for next season.

Only a year ago, Jocketty and La Russa helped produce a World Series champion, the crowning achievement of their tenures for St. Louis.

DeWitt evidently is willing to sacrifice both for Luhnow, a former entrepreneur whose first year in baseball was -- drum roll, please -- 2003.

What no one addresses is why DeWitt thought the restructuring necessary. Jocketty was DeWitt's only GM, and since DeWitt bought the team before the 1996 season, he's certainly not an owner who just fires people without giving them a chance. This strikes me as a process versus results argument. Jocketty's process the last few seasons was to fill holes with aging veterans and let his core of Rolen, Edmonds and Pujols carry the team. Maybe Luhnow correctly pointed out to DeWitt this strategy was a long term loser. Look how successful Colorado, Cleveland and Arizona were this season allowing young players to grow together into a team.

Now, I agree that DeWitt treated Jocketty poorly. But Walt had a chance to embrace something new and chose non-cooperation instead. That's not very open-minded, and it appears that being to new ideas led to his dismissal.

In a surprise move, the Cardinals fired Walt Jocketty today.

Citing a widening front office split, Cardinals chairman Bill DeWitt Jr. dismissed Jocketty, the longest-tenured GM in club history, during a Wednesday morning meeting at DeWitt's Clayton home.

Jocketty had received no indication of a pending move regarding his status before DeWitt invited him to Wednesday's 45-minute meeting.

Many within the front office were unaware of the move until the club issued a press release at about 3 p.m.

"To say he was not 100 percent happy would certainly be accurate," DeWitt said.

I bet. Walt struck me as one of the better GMs in the game. I didn't always agree with the way he built his team. He liked to bring in veterans who should be in decline, but the Cardinals usually seemed to get good seasons out of them. But I guess DeWitt felt the same way:

The move, which was first reported on STLtoday.com, occurred less than one year after the Cardinals secured their first World Series title in 24 years, but was more directly influenced by DeWitt's installation of a new front office model less than 13 months ago.

Jocketty's refusal to embrace the new structure brought scrutiny that culminated in his ouster, according to DeWitt, despite a successful 13-year run highlighted by two World Series appearances and five trips to the playoffs the last seven seasons.

Reflecting greater organizational emphasis on signing and developing its own talent, an expedited search will likely focus on assistant general managers with a strong background in scouting and player development, according to the team chairman.

I'm sure some organization would be more than happy to hire Walt to run their operations. I'm sure we'll hear more about this story in the coming days.

Josh Byrnes gets kudos for assembling a winner with a low payroll:

General Manager Josh Byrnes assembled a club with a payroll of about $53 million, or about half what Arizona spent during the 2002 season.

"Josh has done a phenomenal job with the resources we've made available to him," Diamondbacks CEO Jeff Moorad said.

According to USA Today's online salary database, the Diamondbacks' payroll ranked in the bottom five of the 30 major-league teams at the beginning of the season.

Counting just the 25 players they are expected to have on their playoff roster, the figure dips to $35 million.

But the club also had expenditures on other player-related costs that nearly equaled the payroll figure.

They paid the vast majority of pitcher Russ Ortiz's $7.5 million salary, owed outfielder Shawn Green about $5.7 million and picked up $1 million of reliever Jorge Julio's contract. The all-inclusive player payroll total was just short of $70 million.

It should be noted, however, that instead of having the best record in the National League, this team should have been closer to .500. Still, even is an impressive finish for a team with such a low payroll.

Byrnes and Dan O'Dowd in Colorado developed their teams on similar philosophies. They gathered young players and let them mature together. The Rockies are populated with players near their peaks, and Arizona will be there soon. Playing so many hitters near their peaks increases the probability of a few of them having career years. That's what happened in Colorado, and I expect that in a couple of seasons the Diamondback hitters will be as good. Luck just got them there earlier than expected.

I've been listening to and reading some criticism of Willie Randolph, as you might expect after such an epic collapse. I find it interesting, however, that one is how even tempered he is. When he stands at the top of the dugout, you don't see him get emotional, good or bad. Now, this surprises me as a criticism, because I've spent most of my life listening to that kind of behavior get positive reviews. (Look at him, you can't tell if the team is winning or losing!) It strikes me that Willie is very much Joe Torre in this regard. So Mets fans, do you have any legitimate criticisms of Willie? When I look at the aggregate Mets lineup, it looks pretty solid. High OBA players at the top, sluggers in the middle, poor hitters at the bottom. The pitchers did well in close and late situations, saying to me that Randolph got the relief matchups right most of the time. I don't watch enough games to comment on in game strategy. The Mets were second in sacrifice hits, but the majority of those came out of the pitcher's spot. The Mets stole with an 81% success rate, so he called for steals with the right runners at the right time. What exactly did Randolph do wrong other than show a lack of emotion?

Update: Here's Matt Cerrone's take:

...in the end, i believe this current group of players got a bit sloth like through much of the summer, and those bad actions became habit and spilled over in to crunch time...i hesitantly blame Willie Randolph, because while i respect his confidence and believe it is ultimately a good thing, i suspect it may also have helped to create a sense of entitlement that morphed in to a sense of apathy, which led to the team's uninspired play...ultimately, however, i mostly fault the players, who are professionals, and yet who actually went on record as acknowledging their malaise, like Carlos Delgado, who in early September told reporters, "We've got so much talent, I think sometimes we get bored."

The Astros removed the iterim title from Cecil Cooper yesterday, extending his contract through 2009.

When Cooper was made interim manager on Aug. 27, McLane suggested that the final month of the Astros' lost season amounted to an audition for Cooper, a five-time All-Star during his 17-year playing career.

Cooper said the team needed to play "with more excitement, more fire." He's tinkered with lineups and encouraged more steal attempts since taking over and the Astros have gone 13-15.

"The first couple of weeks on the job, I'd look around the dugout and all eyes would be on me," he said. "I know I have to stand up and be the right kind of leader, the right kind of guy. And I expect them to follow me. So far, they have."

The whole stolen base issue is nonsense. They attempted .60 steals per game under Garner, .62 under Cooper. They stole at a poor 66% clip under Garner, a better 72% rate under Cooper, although that's not far above break even. I'd really like to see Cooper address the real short comings of the team, poor hitting against right-handed pitchers and a very poor pitching staff. What kind of player does he want Ed Wade to acquire to fix these problems?

6-4-2 Addresses the idea that the Dodgers might trade some of their young talent:

Kemp, of course, is seventh in VORP among right fielders (19.2 VORP in 293 PA), an amazing feat considering that, among the top ten, every other player has more at-bats, even the Dodgers' number two man by VORP, Andre Ethier (15.3 VORP in 499 PA). So, who are these players Colletti is planning on getting to replace that production? If the rumors of a Kershaw/Kemp for Johan Santana deal are accurate, this team deserves to fail.

Squawking Baseball provides financial analysis of the market for players. They are trying to develop an open source financial database and are looking for your help. Stop by and see if you can contribute.

There's been speculation for over a week that Neal Huntington would get the job as Pirates GM. That came to pass today. From Frank Coonelly's letter to the fans:

I am extremely excited to officially announce today that we have hired Neal Huntington as our new General Manager. After a comprehensive search for a baseball executive who can restore the culture of success within the Pirates organization, Neal is absolutely the right choice to lead our baseball operations department and to build a winning organization of which all Pirates fans can be proud.

As you get to know Neal and hear from him personally, you will see that he is extremely intelligent, analytical and driven to succeed. Neal is highly regarded throughout the game as an outstanding evaluator of talent and as one of the young executives who understands and utilizes the most sophisticated statistical and analytical tools of the trade.

I don't know much about Huntington, but the Indians are a high quality organization, and it's nice to see that the Pirates went for someone from there. It's a move in the right direction.

When it comes to managers, the Athletics seem to have things backward:

• In 2002, the Athletics win the division, tie a franchise record for wins, and Art Howe loses his job.
• In 2006, the Athletics win the division, win the ALDS for the first time, and Ken Macha loses his job.
• In 2007, the Athletics finish under .500 for the first time since 1998, and Bob Geren receives a two year extension.

The front office seems to have missed the part about rewarding success and punishing failure.

Tampa Bay decides to drop the Devil from its name. The Rays immediately traded for Ray King, Ray Durham and Ray Olmedo. It's only a matter of time before Ray Knight is managing. :-)

It strikes me that the Yankees took a page out of the Athletics playbook this season. In 2006, the A's were 45-43 at the All-Star break and ended up winning 93 games. The Yankees were 43-43 at the All-Star break this season, and will likely get close to 93 wins. Cashman made some tweaks to the team at the trading deadline without tearing apart the core, and boom, the Yankees are nearly playoff bound. Beane gets a lot of praise for making these kinds of moves. It's nice to see Cashman doing the same thing. He's taken a lot of flak for Pavano and Igawa, but this sure was a nice recovery.

Ed Wade is the new GM in Houston:

Former Phillies general manager Ed Wade is the new Astros' GM.

Wade, after meeting this morning with Astros owner Drayton McLane and other team executives, will be introduced as GM at a news conference this afternoon.
Ruben Amaro Jr., the Phillies' current assistant GM, was the other finalist for the position, but the Astros opted for the more experienced candidate. Wade was the Phillies' GM from December 1997 through October 2005.

The Phillies drafted several of their present stars under Wade's watch, including first baseman Ryan Howard, second baseman Chase Utley, left-hander Cole Hamels and right-hander Brett Myers.

I guess nobody good wanted the job. :-)

Actually, I was never sure how to judge Wade. Here are some thoughts from July of 2004:

Wade put a good team on the field. What I see when I read boxscores and listen to comments by readers is that Bowa does not make moves that increase the probability of the Phillies winning games. Bowa should be the first to go. Wade appears to me to be a weak general manager (a strong one would have found a way to keep Rolen in Philadelphia), but that may be built into the job. I don't know if Wade has the ultimate authority to hire or fire Bowa or if that resides in the owner. I have a feeling Ed Wade is caught between a rock and a hard place in Philadelphia, and is doing the best he can to survive and win.

And here were my thoughts when he was finally fired at the end of 2005:

I thought Wade made some good moves early in his tenure, but the Scott Rolen debacle soured me on the man. In a way, hiring Larry Bowa led to Wade's downfall, as that appeared to be a big reason Rolen wanted to leave, and Bowa's inevitable firing made Ed unpopular.

My guess is Wade will draft better than Pupura, but I don't know if McLane has that kind of patience to see a winner on the field.

Aaron Gleeman reviews the tenure of Terry Ryan and wonders if Bill Smith will be an improvement or another Wayne Krisvky.

Update: Kevin Towers provides some insight:

"I wasn't that surprised. Terry's one of those guys, just knowing him, he never seemed real happy [as GM]. He was like, 'Being a GM is what it is. If this is what the organization wants me to do, I'll do it.' He could have done it for 40 years, but with Terry, you figured there was a point in time where he'd say, 'I've had enough.'

"He's an honest man with a tremendous integrity, and a great evaluator. The best way I can put it is he's a baseball man."

Basically, Ryan says it's the right time to go and thanked everyone from the owner to the bat boy.

Update: Here's a roundup from the Star-Tribune on the reorganization of the Twins.

According to reports, Twins GM Terry Ryan will resign this afternoon:

The 52-year-old Ryan is resigning after 12 seasons. The Minneapolis Star Tribune, citing three unnamed sources with the team, first reported the story on its Web site. The Twins have called a news conference for Thursday afternoon to announce a "major" reorganization of their baseball operations.

Team spokesman Mike Herman wouldn't discuss details when reached by The Associated Press. ESPN The Magazine's Buster Olney and the AP also are reporting Ryan's decision.

Longtime assistant GM Bill Smith will succeed Ryan, the Star Tribune reported. Smith has been club vice president/assistant GM for the last 13 of his 22 seasons with the organization.

It's not clear if Ryan is being forced out or is leaving of his own accord. I'd be fairly shocked if he were forced out since overall he's done a very good job with the team. Maybe he's had enough of cheap ownership, and with other jobs available, he thinks he can do better elsewhere.

The Chicago White Sox front office doesn't blame Ozzie Guillen for the 2007 debacle:

White Sox manager Ozzie Guillen spoke patiently after agreeing to a contract extension that secures his services through 2012.

I don't think you should fire a manager for one bad year, but I also don't think you should be stuck with him for five more years, either. What's tough to judge at this was whether 2005 or 2007 was the anomalous year. If 2007 is the outlier, it's a good move.

According to MetsBlog.com, the Mets hired Pedro Martinez's trainer to keep the two close for the rest of the season. I hope they vetted him thoroughly. This sort of thing led to trouble in the past (see Barry Bonds).

The Devil Rays have three affiliates doing well in the post-season. That's a very good sign for the future of the organization.

According to this report in the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, Frank Coonelly will be the new president of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Here's some background on him from Bronx Banter:

Frank Coonelly may be the most powerful person in baseball you've never heard of.

Coonelly's job title is chief labor counsel for Major League Baseball. One AL executive told me that so far as he knew, Coonelly "coordinates our side on the arbitration stuff" and that he is on management's committee on salaries and relations with the union. Doug Pappas, who is the chairman of the Society for American Baseball Research's Business of Baseball Committee, puts it this way: "Coonelly is in charge of monitoring compliance with suggested draft bonuses and free-agent negotiations."

Coonelly was at the heart of the collusion allegations heard in the early part of this decade. Some thought he was a human information bank. It would have been collusion for MLB to keep that on a computer, but some feel baseball got around that by having everything go through Frank. It doesn't seem like the choice to make if you want someone who'll get along well with the players or their agents.

Bob Watson is very interested in returning to the Houston Astros as general manager.

"I have really a real feeling for the Houston Astros," he said. "As you know, and hopefully our readers know, that in 1964 I signed with then the Colt .45s, so I go a way back. I've been with this organization in a number of capacities. And I left to go to New York, and bottom line is I left a job undone. I'd like to culminate my career of some 43 years as we speak with bringing in and putting this club where it needs to be.

"And I think the other reason is I think Drayton McLane deserves to have a championship club. He has worked so hard and tirelessly. He has spent a lot of his money and energy trying to make this a championship city, and I'd like to help him accomplish that."

Bob Watson's had an extremely interesting career. He scored the 1,000,000th run in baseball history. He hit for the cycle in both leagues. He worked in the front office of teams and for the commissioner's office, breaking the color barrier for the position of general manager. I'm sure the Houston fans would love to have him back.

Geoff Young reminds us of the good job Randy Smith performed as GM of the Padres.

Purple Row examines Clint Hurdle's ability to manage in a pennant race.

Baseball Digest Daily just sent word that the Pirates fired Dave Littlefield. I'm looking for a story.

Update: Here's one from the Post-Gazette:

The Pirates this morning fired general manager Dave Littlefield near the end of his seventh losing season.

He will be replaced on an interim basis by Brian Graham, the team's director of player development.

Littlefield, 47, took the post July 31, 2001, and his teams went a combined 442-581 in his tenure, never approaching .500. That included 67-95 finishes in 2005 and 2006, and the current edition's 61-79 record.

His contract, which was extended on opening day last year, was to run through the 2008 season.

The firing was made by principal owner Bob Nutting, who already had been searching for a new CEO to replace outgoing Kevin McClatchy and now will add the general manager's post to that list.

Littlefield talked a better game than he played, much like J.P. Ricciardi. At least the Blue Jays put the semblance of a good team on the field. Littlefield couldn't even build a good farm system:

What's worse, however, is that the Pirates farm system has nothing to show for years of major league ineptitude. The farm system should be crawling with fine young talent, but the Pittsburgh AA and AAA affiliates are crawling with players in their mid 20s. That's not the age that produces stars. The Athletics and Twins showed how to build a team with a low payroll. The Devil Rays and Royals can point to talent in their systems. There's no excuse for the Pirates to be this bad. Things won't change until Pittsburgh hires a GM who knows how to build a team from scratch.

I could excuse the performance on the field if the last place finishes were being used to build for the future. That didn't happen, and whoever takes his place permanently is in for a long rebuilding period.

Via Baseball Think Factory's Newblog, all I can say is "Wow." I guess if you don't buy Mike's services, you get ripped on his blog.

Since 1999, the Athletics finished first in their division four times and second four times, winning the wild card once. That's five playoff appearances. I think most teams would be happy with that.

Jon Weisman seems a bit concerned that the Astros are interested in Logan White for their vacant GM position.

The Good Phight explains why Charlie Manuel is not the manager of the year. That was the first thought that crossed my mind when the Phillies blew the win yesterday.

Bob Melvin likely will get the nod for getting a team that doesn't outscore their opponents into the playoffs. Winning with a bad team, or winning when the voters didn't expect you to win is the usual criteria for the award. I suspect if the Cardinals make the playoffs, La Russa will garner some votes, as will Lou Piniella. Bud Black, however, has the Padres with the best run differential in the NL, and there's a lot to be said for developing both offense and defense.

Dan Shaughnessy pens a very good article on Terry Francona. Some people worry that Terry is too soft on the players, but Mike Timlin disagrees:

Veteran Red Sox reliever Mike Timlin has played for numerous big league mangers and says, "You run into a lot of guys who say they are players' managers. And then you never get to speak to them. Terry is quite the opposite. The door really is always open. He has the players' backs."

What about the perception he's soft on crimes against baseball?

"Stuff happens around here that people don't know about - stuff the people don't need to know about," says Timlin. "He handles it. On some teams the inmates run the asylum and then there's teams that are jails. Here there's cooperation. It's a team concept here."

That I would guess, is a good thing, and certainly, the results are there to back him up. However, a nickname I hadn't heard before, FranComa, reminds me of this SCTV skit:

For the second time this season, John Gibbons submitted an incorrect lineup card.

Prior to the game, Gibbons slotted first baseman Lyle Overbay and second baseman Aaron Hill into the sixth and seventh spots of the batting order, respectively, against the Mariners (73-61). That was where their names were listed on the lineup card that is posted daily inside the Blue Jays' clubhouse.

"Every day we go out, we look at the lineup card and we saw where we were," said Hill, motioning to where the card is placed near the clubhouse doors. "We'll have to pay more attention to all the lineups, I guess, instead of just this one."

Hill's last remark referred to the fact that the lineup card that was given to home-plate umpire Marty Foster and Mariners manager John McLaren had him batting sixth and Overbay seventh. Gibbons approved the lineup card before the game with his signature, but he didn't review the order first.

"My job is to go through and review that and I didn't review it," Gibbons said. "That was a screwup. The one posted out there in the room was right. The one that was printed up, I didn't review it before I signed it. That's all."

Seeing the error, McLaren waited for an opportune time to reveal Gibbons' mistake. In the second, Overbay flew out to left field, and Hill followed by pulling a pitch from Batista into left for a one-out double. With that, McLaren emerged from the dugout and pointed out that Hill had batted out of turn, according to his lineup card.

"It was our trump card," McLaren said. "When Hill got on with a double, we used the trump card. If it would have gone on the whole game, we would have kept the trump card the whole game."

This one didn't cost the Blue Jays the game, just a hit. But earlier in the year, sending Royce Clayton out to short when John Mcdonald was printed on the lineup card cost the Jays a game. I've seldom seen these mistakes made, but to have it happen twice in one season means the Jays really need to review their quality control.

The Mariners have different lineup problems as they lose 2-1. They've scored just 25 runs during the eight game losing streak.

Joe Christensen is down on the Twins future:

Today is the official groundbreaking for the new ballpark. Thoughts will drift away from this 2007 mess and toward 2010. Call me a cynic, but the way things have been handled this year -- with payroll restrictions and no progress on important contract talks -- do you see the ballpark opening with Torii Hunter (a free agent after this season), Johan Santana (a free agent after 2008), Joe Nathan (2008) or Michael Cuddyer (2009)?

On the morning of June 18th, the Orioles had lost eight games in a row and fired Sam Perlozzo. Dave Trembley takes over on an interim basis and leads Baltimore to a 29-25 record (they were 29-40 under Sam). Baltimore takes away the interim label, and the team goes on a seven game losing streak, starting with an historic double header defeat. It's almost as if someone flipped a switch; good under the interim, bad under permanent. More likely, the level of play under Perlozzo represented the real ability of the team, and now they're coming back to that level.

Whenever a team changes management, I try to figure out a clear reason. In the case of Tim Purpura and Phil Garner, I just don't see it. Tim signed Carlos Lee over the winter, and while there are concerns with the length of the contract, Carlos certainly performed up to expectations this season. As I mentioned in the previous post, playing Biggio so he could reach 3000 hits didn't help the team, but I doubt that using Craig was something Pupura and Garner would do if Biggio wasn't the face of the franchise. I didn't see Tim trading away the farm, to win now. So this year didn't work. Is three years really enough time to judge a GM?

As for Garner, he's been a mixed bag. Three years in a row he pulled off great comebacks, twice to make the playoffs and one near miss. Was that skill or luck? Was it a manager who looked at his personnel and made adjustments as the year went on, or was it just a team regressing to the mean? Maybe Phil was actually good, and just had bad luck this season.

McLane decided that the long term prospects under this management regime were poor, so he made a change. It's good in that Drayton wants to win, and I like seeing that in an owner. But it was his decisions that helped bring in Purpura and Garner. Why do we think he'll make better decisions this time?

There's plenty I don't know about the situation, but it strikes me that these two managers deserved another season. This could all just be bad luck, and it's sad to see people fired for that. Especially when Littlefield still has a job.

Update: A commenter mentions the Jennings trade. Here were my thoughts on that at the time, but it certainly turned out to be a negative for Pupura.

FoxSports is reporting that both Phil Garner and Tim Pupura are about to be fired.

The Astros have called a news conference at 3 p.m. ET to announce the change.

Owner Drayton McLane expected the team to contend after signing left fielder Carlos Lee to a $100 million free-agent contract and adding starting pitchers Woody Williams and Jason Jennings.

Instead, they're close to the worst record in the National League. More when the new conference is over. ESPNews is covering Michael Vick instead of this story.

Update: It is on MLB.TV.

Update: McLane is firing Tim Pupura over the team's performance over the last two years.

Update: Tal Smith takes over as GM on an interim basis. How much to you want to bet that they end up with Randy Smith as GM?

Update: Garner fired, also. McLane keeps talking about invigorating the team and getting them to play with more enthusiasm. Don't they need better pitching and hitting? Cecil Cooper gets the hire as interim manager.

Update: Was it Pupura's and Garner's fault that they had to play a poor offensive player at second base so he could reach 3000 hits?

Update: By the way, I'm a big Cecil Cooper fan from his playing days, and I'm glad to see him get a chance to manage.

Update: Cooper is talking about playing the game the right way. Does that mean the team isn't playing the game the right way? I can't see Garner letting the team getting away with that.

FishStripes notes an unusual report time at yesterday's Marlins game.

The Orioles are about to extend Dave Trembley's contract through the 2008 season.

Trembley was the team's bullpen coach when he succeeded Sal Perlozzo on June 18. Since then, the Orioles are 29-25. Baltimore was 29-40 and had lost eight in row when Perlozzo was dismissed.

Under Trembley, the offense improved from a OPS of .709 to .784. The pitching also allowed more offense, going from an OPS of .701 to .751. Under Perlozzo the Orioles were outscored 311 to 298, meaning their record was way below what should be expected. With Trembley, the Orioles have outscored their opponents 273-249. That should work out to a .546 winning percentage, and Baltimore is at .537. In firing Perlozzo, the Orioles were indirectly saying that their record was due to bad managing instead of bad luck. So far, the performance of the club is proving them right.

The Giants defeat the Marlins to complete a four-game sweep. The Marlins' record stands at 56-69. At the same point in 2006, they were 59-66, three games better. Considering that Josh Johnson and Anibal Sanchez combined for 41 starts last season, and this year managed only ten, Fredi Gonzalez is doing a pretty good job. I'm curious what Marlins fan think of Gonzalez vs. Girardi. Does he handle the pitching staff better? Did Joe's use of pitchers lead to the injuries to Johnson and Sanchez? Is one a better strategist than the other?

Rumors are going around that Theo Epstein and his wife will soon be parents. No doubt in a couple of years he'll trade the baby for a sixteen-year-old with a better chance of getting into Yale who then winds up at UMass. Twenty five years later the traded child takes over the Yankees and wins six straight World Championships. :-)

The Orioles called up Tike Redman recently, and the 30-year-old is making the most of his first time in the majors since 2005. He's 1 for 2 today, with three RBI on a two-run triple and a grounder that turned into an error. He's 6 for 14 overall.

What's interesting to me is how the Tigers and Orioles solved their outfield depth problems. The Tigers go with a 20-year-old top prospect, while the Orioles go with someone who couldn't even stick with the Pirates. That says something about the relative positions of the two clubs in the standings.

I guess not everyone is a John McLaren fan. He's also a pessimistic optimist:

All right, that should take care of my McLaren hostility for a while. Go Tigers! Go Jays! There's no shame in gaining ground because the competition can't help itself. Remember, "sucking less" and "being better" are just two ways to describe the same thing. So here's to the Mariners sucking less than their opponents.

MetsBlog.com wants to see more of a fighting attitude from the Mets:

...you know what, enough hat tipping...i'm tired of tipping my hat...the Mets are supposed to be the best team in the National League, why should they have to tip their caps to the Pirates, who were basically given this game to win...i dislike this thinking...the Mets should be embarassed and angry, not humble or respectuful...this is fight, guys, start acting like it...

Wally Backman can't even last as a manager in an independent league. Lion in Oil charts the decline and notes:

The biggest thing that comes to mind with all of this is: what if? What if Backman had not been fired by the Diamondbacks, and been allowed to manage? Simply said, it would have been amazing. Ozzie Guillen would have nothing on this guy, and the blogosphere would have had daily material. That being said, it probably wouldn't have been a good atmosphere for Arizona's plethora of prospects.

However, his independent league team was winning big. Wally might have turned out to be a more intense Billy Martin at the big league level, but Billy also tended to turn teams into winners. You just had to be willing to accept the negatives that went along with that, including burning out a pitching staff.

Buddy Bell will finish this season as manager of the Royals, then move up to the front office:

"It started last year when I got sick," said Bell, who underwent surgery in September to remove a cancerous growth in his throat.

"My priorities changed real quickly. Not seeing my grandkids became important. When I grew up, my dad wasn't there. When my kids grew up, I wasn't there. Now my grandkids are growing up, and I haven't seen them."

Bell planned to tell his players of his decision in a team meeting before Wednesday's game against the Minnesota Twins at the Metrodome. But he has already informed his coaching staff, and he said he discussed the matter with general manager Dayton Moore as early as April.

Cancer has a way of changing your priorities. With the way the Royals are playing this season, Bell will certainly be going out on an up note. Good luck to him!

Eric Wedge received a contract extension through the 2010 season today. With the extension to Travis Hafner, the Indians are doing a good job of positive feedback, rewarding management and players for success. The Indiansa are 14th in the majors in winning percentage since Wedge took over, .505 (373-366).

WasWatching has Terry Francona's response to Scott Boras wanting Dice-K's pitch count lowered. It's perfect. I think a minor reason the Red Sox wanted Matsuzaka was that he showed he could endure high pitch counts. Having someone who is capable of throwing 120 pitches in a game is a big plus.

Baseball Digest Daily has the press release from the Giants on Brian Sabean's extension. I have mixed feelings about this. For most of his tenure, Sabean did a good job, and along with Dusty Baker they got more out of this team than you would expect. But the recent spate of signing old position players may set them back for a number of years. I know they were trying to put together a winner quickly to get Bonds back to the World Series, but it just didn't work. If and when Bonds leaves, it will be interesting to see how Sabean tries to rebuild the team.

Albert Pujols and Tony La Russa are fine with each other after the All-Star break. And to prove the point, the Post-Dispatch provides a photo of the two about to kiss. :-)

Rumors involving Brian Sabean went from fired to hired very quickly:

Contrary to rumors that the Giants are preparing to fire Brian Sabean, ownership has decided it wants Sabean back next year for a 12th season as general manager, and the two sides have begun discussions about a contract extension, The Chronicle has learned.

Managing general partner Peter Magowan said in spring training that Sabean's fate would be decided after the season, suggesting the team's performance in 2007 would decide his fate. Even though the Giants are in last place in the National League West with a 38-48 record, Magowan apparently has had a change of heart and wants to make an effort to lock up Sabean sooner rather than later.

The reasons are unclear, and nobody involved in the discussions would comment Tuesday.

Isn't this pretty much how the Bonds resigning played out?

Hat tip, Maury Brown.

ClassicAthletes.com notes that Rickey Henderson is the new hitting coach for the Mets. I absolutely love this move. Henderson did work with Jose Reyes, and moved him from a hacker who made way too many outs to one of the best leadoff hitters in the game. Reyes walk total nearly doubled in 2006, and it may come close to doubling again this year. Rickey not only posessed a great eye for the strike zone, but surprising power for a leadoff hitter (in 1990, he finished second in slugging percentage to Cecil Fielder). And while Rickey isn't very media savvy, his teammates love him. I remember Baseball Tonight interviewing Tony Gwynn at the start of the 1997 season. He was asked what the Padres needed, and he said they needed to bring Rickey Henderson back, then showered praise on the future Hall of Famer as a great teammate. When he was playing for the Newark Bears, I heard stories about how the players loved having him around and how much they were learning from him. I can't wait to see how he does as a coach.

Correction: Fixed a typo.

The Mark Buehrle contract talks continue to mystify me.

The White Sox have rejected a suggested compromise from pitcher Mark Buehrle, making it possible the 28-year-old left-hander could break off negotiations entirely, according to a major league source.

Buehrle approached White Sox management with an alternative on the complete no-trade protection that Buehrle wanted but the team has refused to give him. The suggestion: a fifth-year player option that would kick in only if he were traded, according to the source.

Buehrle's proposed deal is worth $56 million over four years. The additional year would have been worth $17 million and pushed the total worth of the deal to $73 million, which would have equaled that of Roy Oswalt's current deal with the Houston Astros.

But the White Sox nixed the idea, and the two sides remain at an impasse over a 20-month gap in which Buehrle would lack no-trade protection in his new contract.

Buehrle pitched eight shutout innings yesterday, shutting down a Twins offense that score 32 runs the previous day. A game like that only increases his value. It's becoming clear to me that Chicago wants to do with Buehrle what the Red Sox did with Bronson Arroyo; sign him to a below market contract then trade him. They see $56 million for four years as a bargain that will bring them players if they decide they need to move Mark after the 2008 season. I don't think the fifth year at $17 million if he is traded changes that. That's Zito money in 2007. In 2012 that could be Ted Lilly money. Unless the White Sox know something about Buehrle's health that we don't I can't understand why this deal isn't done.

Pittsburgh Lumber Company rounds up the news on Kevin McClatchy stepping down from his position as CEO. I agree with this summary:

It's hard to imagine this move being a step in the wrong direction. The McClatchy-era Pirates have had little success, save 1997's "Freak Show" team, and few would rate his stint with the organization as being productive. From day one we heard about the team's commitment to winning, but so far it's been too much talk and too few results.

I assume Littlefield will be next.

The Miami Herald notes the difference in the Marlins pitching staff between this season and last. It's the injuries.

Johnson said the discomfort is located in the ''same spot'' that caused him problems last season after a Sept. 12 start against the Mets in which he came back in to pitch after sitting out an 82-minute rain delay.

He did not pitch again in 2006 and spent the first 2 ½ months of this season on the DL after arm problems developed in spring training.

In looking at the innings pitched last year by the starters, I don't see anyone that was horribly abused. But I that doesn't show in game usage. I wonder if the handling of the pitching staff was the source of friction between the front office and Girardi in 2006?

Soccer Dad notes what he'd like to see in a new Orioles manager and general manager.

Mark Buehrle continues to insist on a complete no-trade clause in his contract:

Berry also said that if Buehrle is traded, the pitcher will decline any offer of a contract extension from the team that acquires him and exercise his right to become a free agent at the end of the season.

"Mark is not going to waver on his desire for a full no-trade clause," Berry told FOXSports.com. "If he can't play where he wants, which is Chicago, then he'll re-evaluate it at the end of the year when he is a free agent."

Asked if Buehrle, a native of St. Charles, Mo., near St. Louis, would apply his position even to the Cardinals, Berry said, "I believe so."

"Anywhere he goes, he'll obviously consider it," Berry said. "But he won't be signing an extension."

Teams interested in Buehrle already expected him to be a rental; the White Sox will not grant a 72-hour negotiating window for a trade partner to sign Buehrle to an extension.

Buerhle's unwillingness to sign an extension after he is traded, however, could decrease the White Sox's leverage in trade discussions.

It's been an interesting negotiation. Usually when you go through all the other details and both sides are happy, they find a way to compromise on the sticking point. The White Sox have offered the no-trade for 2008, and then Buehrle becomes a 10-5 player in July 2010. Mark is giving the White Sox a very good home town discount. It seems to me that with Buehrle driving down his trade value by refusing to sign an extension, the White Sox should give in on this, or raise the amount of money in the contract.

The no-trade demand from Mark Buehrle hasn't totally killed the deal. Ken Williams thinks they still can get something done.

Assistant general manger Rick Hahn and Buehrle's agent Jeff Berry discussed a new deal last week, but negotiations slowed when the team did not give Buehrle a full no-trade clause, according to published reports. The Chicago Sun-Times reported the sides had agreed to a four-year, $56 million deal before the no-trade stalemate. Buehrle can become a free agent after the season.

"My gut is both parties want it to happen, so I would be hopeful that it would," Williams said Monday.

Buehrle is giving them quite a deal if the money is being reported correctly. Remember what happened when Bronson Arroyo gave the Red Sox a home town discount? I'm sure that's on Buehrle's mind.

The McLaren era is underway for the Seattle Mariners. It starts well with the Mariners scoring two off Gil Meche in the top of the first. A walk, a double and a two-RBI single by Guillen plated the runs. Guillen drove in both runs yesterday as well.

KC scores one in the bottom of the first, and they're still batting.

Okay, I really don't understand this:

Buehrle was Boston-bound last weekend before the organization had a midweek change of heart and decided to work on a contract extension. A deal appeared just hours from being completed after assistant general manager Rick Hahn met with Buehrle's agent, Jeff Berry, on Wednesday in St. Petersburg, Fla.

The sides agreed on the years (four) and dollar amount ($56 million), even though it likely was less than what Buehrle could make on the free-agent market this offseason. But the Sun-Times learned late Friday that the deal was dead because the Sox would not give Buehrle a no-trade clause.

General manager Ken Williams reiterated that in a Daily Herald story Sunday, stating via e-mail: ''I cannot build a championship team if I do. The short-term and long-term ramifications are just too great.''

What? You can't build a championship team around a staff ace who is playing for at least $3 million a year below his market value? Consider that Buehrle has no injury history. His career winning percentage is close to .600. His ERA is under 4.00 despite playing in a launching pad of a ball park. He's a lefty!

What does Williams want? If Buehrle leaves in four years, Kenny gets draft compensation. It's not a perfect world. The White Sox are getting a bargain if they simply agree to give Buehrle the right to veto a trade. That seems to me like a good deal.

U.S.S Mariner looks at what it would take for Seattle to land Mark.

The main sticking point for most people is the contract. He's a free agent at years-end, and numerous reports have him stating a strong desire to pitch in St. Louis, where he grew up. Odds are pretty good that Mark Buehrle would simply be a three month rental, bolting for another team this winter. You know what? Not only am I okay with that, but I actually prefer that. As I showed a few weeks ago, the rate of return from players taken with compensatory draft picks is essentially equal to that of players traded in rent-a-player deals, while the rate of return of pitchers given long term contracts is disastrously horrible.

The Mariners wouldn't be trading a package of prospects for three months of Mark Buehrle. The Mariners would be trading a package of prospects for three months of Mark Buehrle and another package of prospects. Yes, you push the timetable for the return back a year or two, as no one the Mariners would draft next summer will be major league ready as quickly as a guy like Balentien or Feierabend. But you cannot ignore the significant value returned by the compensation picks. Deals like this are not mortgaging the future - it's more like a home equity line of credit. You're borrowing from the future, but you're paying the debt off very quickly.

Williams is making a mistake here.

Lookout Landing answers a question on my mind in light of the Hargrove resignation:

I remember back in 2005, after we DFA'd Bret Boone and subsequently dealt him to Minnesota, my brother asked me why people were getting so sentimental over losing a guy who wasn't helping the team win, and who many of us had wanted to see go away for a long time. From an outsider's perspective, he thought that people would be ecstatic, not sad and emotional.

I think some people are probably wondering the same thing right now. And while Hargrove has never meant as much to this franchise as Boone did during his peak, to me, the answer is the same. When you have a guy who's been around for so long, he becomes a part of the team, and even if you're not a big fan of his performance, you almost always become a fan of the person himself. We're all so devoted to the Mariners that the players and coaches practically feel like teammates or even decent friends, people you make fun of from time to time but who, when it comes down to it, you're always rooting for to come through in the end. We want every single Mariner to succeed, and that's why it's been a little depressing to see Boone and Hargrove leave on terms that you know weren't really their own. Boone didn't choose to get old overnight and Hargrove didn't choose to lose his passion, but once they happened there was nothing either man could do, forcing them out of the organization sooner than they ever wanted. Seeing the end is always an unfortunate realization, and the emotion is warranted.

Tearful, heartfelt goodbyes are never pleasant, but if it's any consolation to Grover, he's probably going out on the highest note of any manager in Mariner history. While there are a lot of things I won't miss about his time in Seattle, and while the team may be better off without him, he was still part of the family, and it's too bad he doesn't get to ride this out until whatever end awaits. I wish him the best of luck. Mike, you'll never be ripped on a blog again for the rest of your life. Rejoice. There are upsides to everything.

If Hargrove had been fired after the six game losing streak, my guess is that Mariners fans would have reacted positively to that news. My guess is the Mariners will be better off without Mike, and they'll be better off without Bavasi, but right now what the two were doing was working. It's sad that Hargrove couldn't see if it was going to work all year.

I guess you can call July 1, 2007 Black Sunday. Hargrove resigns, and late last night Jerry Narron loses his job with the Reds. Not only do the Reds own the worst record in the Majors, but they are underperforming their Pythagorean projection by five games. Last year, Narron had the Reds in contention, but the team could not stay on top of the NL Central very long and faded at the end of the season as Houston surged.

Pete Mackanin will manage the Reds for the rest of the year.

This is my thirty-ninth season watching baseball, and this is the strangest managerial change I've seen. Teams have fired managers who took teams to the playoffs. Managers have stepped down due to life threatening illnesses. But I've never seen one burn out during a successful season. I wish Hargrove well, it was obviously a tough decision for him, but most likely the right one. Maybe there's something going on with his family, and if so I hope that works out. And congratulations and good luck to John McLaren. He's certainly taking over at a good time for this team.

Hargrove is facing the press right now. He says there are "no dark, sinister reasons" for his decision.

Update: Hargrove praises the organization. He says that every day he asks for 100% from his players and gets it. But lately he's found he has a difficult time giving 100% himself. So he's stepping down.

Update: He brought this up two weeks ago, and Bavasi asked him to give it some time. He did, and his feelings haven't changed.

Update: He says he's very unlikely to manage again. He really sounds burned out.

Twice now he's talked about his wife, making me think there's something going on there. For example he said he talked to his wife more in the last ten days than he has in the last ten years. He said that was neat. Maybe he discovered he just missed his family.

Update: Bavasi is saying that he and the front office are not happy he's leaving. They tried to talk him out of leaving, but Hargrove made up his mind. Bill says he's happy that Hargrove is doing what he wants, but he's upset for the team.

Update: Hargrove is off to manage the game, McLaren is on to take a few questions.

Update: McLaren says he picked up ten days ago that something wasn't right with Hargrove, but Mike didn't let on. McLaren's right arm is in a sling. He underwent surgery recently. McLaren was told yesterday by Hargrove, and John tried to talk him out of it.

Update: John is doing a good job keeping it together. He's very emotional, and it looks like he might break down.

Update: McLaren says he has a lot of Lou Piniella in him.

According to Geoff Baker's blog at the Seattle Times, Hargrove is resigning. That's hard to believe. It makes me think their is some serious illness involved here. The team is doing great right now; you don't step down unless you or someone you love is dying or you're going to jail.

Update: Baker credits Larry Stone with the scoop.

Update: Looks like MLB TV is covering the press conference. You should be able to find the link here. Click on the picture of Jeff Weaver in the main news box in the upper left corner, then on the Mariner's press conference link.

Update: Here's the story at MLB.com.

In a prepared statement released by the organization, Hargrove said he was stepping aside because his "passion has begun to fade" and it would not be "fair to myself or the team" to continue.

That's the worst reason I've ever heard. John McLaren takes over for the rest of the season.

Update: Here's the official press relase. The full quote from Hargrove:

"Over the past several weeks, I have come to the realization that to be fair to myself and the team, I can not continue to do this job if my passion has begun to fade. I want to stress how much I respect, and love, the players in the clubhouse, and the coaches and staff that we have in place here, and I can not stress enough what a tremendous place this is to work because of the people who work above me. I am very proud of the work we've done to turn this club around in three years, and I have high expectations for the team this season."

Update: This is an old story, but people are speculating that Hargrove leaving opens up the chance to sign Ichiro to an extension:

Hargrove and Mariners general manager Bill Bavasi deny a rift exists between the manager and the right fielder, but Ichiro's complaints to Japanese media about the atmosphere around the team reflect his frustration with Hargrove's leadership.

Several people with knowledge of the situation say there are philosophical differences between Ichiro and Hargrove and that Ichiro perceives Hargrove to be too laid-back, which creates an undisciplined environment. Those people say the relationship, from Ichiro's perspective, is "untenable" and "potentially irreconcilable."

Update: By the way, Hargrove will manage today.

Some praise for Mike Hargrove's use of the bullpen at U.S.S. Mariner. The Mariners have a poor GM and not the greatest manager, but they are doing well this season. It's a short term team, but if your goal is to get to the playoffs now, that's okay.

For Baseball Prospectus subscribers, my latest column explores the idea of competitive revenue sharing.

Fortune looks at the likely buyer for the Cubs, John Canning Jr.

For those who spend more time perusing box scores than M&A deal books, Canning, 62, heads the Chicago-based private-equity firm behind last month's $5.7 billion purchase of Nuveen Investments and the recent $7.3 billion buyout of computer retailer CDW Corp. (Charts, Fortune 500) Any deal for the Cubbies, however, would be led by Canning personally, not Madison Dearborn.

In Selig's mind, Canning has three things going for him. He has deep pockets to buy the team, he has Chicago roots, and, as part owner of the Milwaukee Brewers (he'd have to sell that stake), he's already a familiar face to the league's owners. He's also a big fan: Before becoming a private-equity mogul, he was a young catcher who failed in a 1962 tryout with the Atlanta Braves.

"I have enormous respect for John Canning, both as a person and as a businessman. But it's a process that will be fair and open," says Selig. "The Cubs are one of our treasures. It's a storied franchise with legions of fans all over. The only thing I would hope for is an owner who is very protective of the franchise and represents the city of Chicago well."

Including the stadium and the cable network and the bidding process for a publicly held company, the deal is likely to reach $1 billion. That's pretty good for a team that hasn't won a World Series in almost 100 seasons. If nothing else, the Tribune is going to make a tidy profit on their quarter century investment in the Cubs.

Joe Girardi refused the Orioles job:

"Baltimore is a fine organization, a fine team, and I'm flattered that they considered me to possibly be their manager," Girardi said Thursday afternoon on The Dan Patrick Show on ESPN Radio. "But the timing is not right for my family and I. That's basically it."

The Orioles' pursuit of Girardi began quickly after Baltimore fired Sam Perlozzo early Monday after his two-plus seasons as manager, and there were indications over the last 48 hours that Girardi was poised to take the job. He interviewed with the Orioles on Tuesday and was offered the job the same day, ESPN's Peter Gammons reported.

Wow. He says it has nothing to do with the Orioles and everything to do with his family. You have to wonder if he's waiting for the Yankees job, however.

Soccer Dad provides an excellent roundup of the various story lines surrounding the Orioles. I'm surprised pundits are recommending Girardi not take the Orioles job. There's downside to every job, but if Joe succeeds there, his reputation would be greatly enhanced. The bigger the risk, the bigger the reward.

Update: Baltimore ended their losing streak with a 7-1 win over the Padres. Jeremy Guthrie pitched another fine game, going eight innings, striking out nine and allowing just one run. The offense reached base 15 times, and there was a rare blowup by the Padres bullpen. Germano pitched okay, but Brocail came in and gave up four runs.

The Biz of Baseball provides the transcript of Andy MacPhail's press conference today.

Dave Stewart voices his complaints about J.P. Ricciardi and Dave Littlefield.

I'm told the Orioles will announce Andy MacPhail's hiring at an 11 AM news conference. I don't see anything official yet, however. MacPhail did take part in Girardi's interview yesterday, so it's only a matter of time.

Although the deal with Andy MacPhail and the Orioles is not completed, it appears the new COO will be given power to run the club:

The Orioles wouldn't speak about hiring MacPhail, and he declined to comment yesterday. But a baseball source told The Sun that MacPhail and the club had agreed to a deal in principle and that it probably would be announced tomorrow once minor issues were resolved.

The source said MacPhail probably wouldn't have agreed to come to Baltimore if he didn't feel he would have autonomy to run the club. And Angelos, who has been criticized as meddlesome in the past, trusts MacPhail and so desperately craves a winner that he has given assurances that MacPhail would have significant control of baseball operations, a source close to Angelos said.

We'll see. George Steinbrenner was able to cede control to Cashman. Can Angelos do the same?

Here's the press release about Trembley replacing Perlozzo. No mention of the MacPhail hiring, so that's not official yet.

I just received a tip that the Orioles are going to hold a news conference at 12:30 PM Eastern to announce a change in managers. ESPN says it's Girardi, but my source says Tom Trebelhorn. It's possible Trebelhorn is temporary until Girardi gets to Baltimore. (See update below, it's Trembley, not Trebelhorn.)

High-ranking sources have told ESPN The Magazine's Buster Olney that Andy MacPhail has reached an agreement to be the club's chief operating officer, and the Orioles also were arranging a meeting with Joe Girardi, furthering speculation that manager Sam Perlozzo is on his way out.

Update: During MacPhail's twelve seasons running the Cubs (1995-2006), Chicago's record was 916-1011, a .475 winning percentage, 22nd in the majors. Twenty third were the Orioles at 911-1014, .473. If they're going to hire someone new, shouldn't it be someone with a track record that's different from your team's own history?

Update: It looks like it's Dave Trembley, not Tom Trebelhorn getting hired.

Bullpen coach Dave Trembley, a longtime minor league skipper who has occasionally subbed for bench coach Tom Trebelhorn this season, has been named interim manager while club executives begin the search for a long-term replacement.

Update: Here's Trembley's official bio. His won-loss record as a manager isn't great but he was honored for this work:

Prior to being promoted to the big league club, Dave spent 22 years in professional baseball, including 20 years as a minor league manager...He compiled a 1369-1413 record, won two league titles and earned Manager of the Year awards in three leagues...In December 2001, Baseball America selected him as one of minor league baseball's top five managers of the previous 20 years.

Then again, how many people manage in the minors for 20 years if they're really great managers?

Peter Schmuck notes a couple of reasons why Peter Angelos allows Sam Perlozzo to keep his job:

But the situation is complicated by something that was not a problem when Johnson walked a decade ago or when Mazzilli was sent home from Anaheim in August 2005. Angelos has a personal affection for Perlozzo that has made him even more reluctant than usual to push the button on a managerial change.

Economic considerations and other contingencies also have given Angelos pause. Perlozzo has the rest of this year and all of next year remaining on his contract, which means the Orioles would have to pay him through the end of 2008. In addition, the club likely would have to buy out the contract of pitching coach Leo Mazzone, who is signed through next year and presumably would not want to stay around after the removal of the longtime friend who brought him into the organization.

Did Billy Beane fall into the trap of acquiring a pitcher that played well against his team? In May, Ruddy Lugo pitched three straight days against Oakland. While I would think the three walks in 2 1/3 innings would turn off Beane, the A's picked up Lugo off waivers on Thursday:

The last guy you'd expect the A's to sign is right-handed reliever Ruddy Lugo, who they claimed off waivers today. In May, Lugo struck out the side against the A's in the ninth and punctuated it with fist pumps (he was in some childish snit about Nick Swisher), drawing some "bush league" comments. The Devil Rays promptly sent him to the minors -- a 9.28 ERA didn't help either. But Lugo righted himself in AAA. Maybe he'll be worth getting pumped up about -- or at least not leave the A's looking red-faced.

Saturday night, Lugo was a huge part of the debacle, allowing five hits, a walk and a hit batter in 2/3 of an inning. All seven base runners came around to score as Oakland lost 15-6 to the Cardinals. Somehow, I don't think Lugo will be with Oakland very long.

Fire Brand of the American League looks at the fallout from not signing Orlando Cabrera, and call that Theo's biggest mistake. In hindsight that may be true, but at the time it made perfect sense.

6-4-2 Blames the 1997 Marlins for the demise of the Dodgers. I'd say it's more like the Dodgers not understanding the insignificance of a small sample size. If the Indians won that series (and it was just a bit of luck that they didn't), would everyone have adopted long term contracts for young players and building from within? Could one misplayed ground ball really make that much of a difference?

I was watching the Marlins game last night, and they kept bringing players from the 1997 team into the booth. The theme was that this was one of the great World Series of all time, but because it was Cleveland and Florida, no one noticed. Game seven was certainly exciting, but game three was the only other one that served any late excitement, and even that one dragged on too long as the Marlins scored seven in the top of the ninth to break a 7-7 tie, and the Indians came back in the bottom of the inning to score four. Compare that to the 2001 series, in which you had three dramatic endings, including the final at bat of game seven.

Jacob Jackson's first Hardball Times column is posted. He's trying to identify the next Jack Cust.

There's a philosophical split between Ron Washington and some Texas Rangers players:

Consider his dispute with Teixeira, which Washington describes as "nothing personal, just two competitors going at it." In Washington's view, Teixeira and the Rangers' other hitters need to demonstrate more patience at critical junctures. The Rangers rank fifth in the AL in pitches per plate appearance, but Washington laments their "swing-swing-swing" mentality.

"A lot of times we make three outs on four or five pitches," Washington says. "I just can't see that late in the game when you're four or five runs down. You're at the point where the starter is out of the game, you're in the middle (of the bullpen), these are the guys you want to get to. I've never asked him (Teixeira) to do it when the closer is in the game. But the middle guys, you want to make 'em throw.

"He feels like he's going to only get one pitch in that type of situation to do something with. He wants to take advantage of it. I've got no problem with that. But can you guarantee with that one pitch that you're going to do something with it?

"I don't think any ballplayer on earth can guarantee that. You might pop it up, miss it, roll over it, jam yourself. Then you make one out on one pitch. I want to see him get a pitchers' strike right there. Make him throw a pitch. Make him throw a first-pitch strike, then fight."

Managers face difficulty changing the approach of an established hitter. If Washington wants that kind of team, Daniels needs to get him those type of players, or train them from the ground up.

MLB suspends Lou Piniella for four games, including Sunday.

"I will serve it and I will learn from this experience," Piniella said before Monday night's game at Milwaukee. "These things won't happen again."

Sure, Lou. Meanwhile, the Cubs are beating up the Brewers tonight 6-2 in the seventh inning. So far, they've out scored their opponents 16-3 in the two games Lou missed. Maybe he should get suspended more often.

Once again, Sam Perlozzo decides that a reliever is a better option than his starter, and the reliever loses the game. Guthrie pitches well for eight innings against the Angels, leaving the game with a 3-2 lead. He did allow a run in the eighth, but he gave up two hits and came back to retire the last three batters. With just 88 pitches thrown, however, Ray came in to close the game. Why? Is it just because it was a save situation, and you have to use your closer? Figgins and Guerrero were due up, and both were hitless on the afternoon. Chone singled, Guerrero homered, and the Angels took home a 4-3 victory. I'm not sure how many more of these Orioles management can take before Perlozzo gets the axe.

Lou Piniella appears to have gone too far in his argument with Mark Wegner Saturday:

Chicago Cubs manager Lou Piniella was suspended indefinitely and fined an undisclosed amount by Major League Baseball for kicking dirt on a umpire.

It looks like the indefinite suspension was handed down to get Lou out of the dugout until MLB can make a decision about the length of the suspension. However, I wouldn't be surprised if it was a long one. Lou bumped the ump, and the whole fiasco was obviously for show, not because Lou thought the play was a bad call. Lou's out of practice at this, and he's going to pay for it.

Update: Whatever Lou did it worked today as the Cubs won 10-1. Of course, if he's out for a long time and Trammell manages a comeback, maybe he gets the job permanently.

There may be support for Cashman at lower levels of the Steinbrenner clan:

Steinbrenner put his GM in the crosshairs Friday when he said, "He is on a big hook."

Since the Yankees have lost all four games since Steinbrenner voiced his displeasure with Cashman, The Boss' frustration rises with every defeat.

"There are people trying to talk him out of it," an organizational voice said yesterday.

Since The Boss has been leaning on his sons, Hank and Hal, it's likely they are backing Cashman, whom Steinbrenner's family genuinely likes.

If Cashman's job is on the line, doesn't that make him more likely to make a real panic move? To trade away someone young and good for someone to help now? With Clemens, he just gave up some money, and the Yankees have plenty of that. Then again, maybe he should do something outrageous, like trade one of his star veterans for a bunch of prospects. Short term it won't help the club, but long term it might make them better, and it would certainly wake up everyone else. It would be difficult because the big three can reject a trade due to the 10-5 rule, but maybe the idea of trading them would be enough to snap this team out of its slump.

Although Dan comes from this point of view as a Red Sox fan, I have to agree with the last two paragraphs of this post:

Please, please, pretty please with sugar on top, let George fire Cashman. He's made some short-term mistakes as GM (I believe Cashman is officially the only person in the known universe who believed that Carl Pavano would be healthy all season -- and this includes Pavano). Long-term, however, he's started to restock the farm system and shed grumpy old ballplayers. The best thing that could happen to the long-term plans of the Red Sox is if Steinbrenner fires Cashman in favor of a Steinbrenner toady. At that point, I bet you that the new GM would trade Philip Hughes, Jose Tabata, and Melky Cabrera for Johan Santana.

In which case, there will be seven fat years for the Sox, and seven lean years for the Yankees.

Soccer Dad explores rumors that Davey Johnson or Joe Girardi might replace Sam Perlozzo soon. The Dad would rather the Orioles wait until the end of the season:

I have no idea who those two club sources are. Flanagan and Duquette refused to discuss Perlozzo on the record. Did they speak off the record too? Once names like Davey Johnson and Joe Girardi are being discussed it's not a good sign.

Perlozzo, certainly has his faults as manager. And as much as I wish that Davey Johnson hadn't been shown the door, I don't see what he can accomplish with the season underway. (He quit when Angelos refused to extend his contract.) Let Perlozzo finish out the season, then sort things out. Frankly, the Orioles have bigger problems than their on-field management.

It's interesting that both men mentioned have had problems with upper management before While I think Davey Johnson is the best on field manager I've ever seen, given the problems in the clubhouse, Girardi may be the better fit.

Steinbrenner on Cashman:

"He's on a big hook," a spirited Steinbrenner told The Associated Press in a rare interview from this Tampa office. "He wanted sole authority. He got it. Now he's got to deliver."

What's the worse that can happen? Cashman gets to work for an organizaton where's he not yelled at tall the time!

Baseball Hot Corner wants the Yankees to rebuild. He also wants to bring in a different crew to accomplish the feat:

So, where do they go from here? The answer is obvious--Cleveland. Yankee dynasty architect Buck Showalter is languishing as a consultant for the Indians. Re-unite him with Gene Michael and ask them to do it again.

The problem, of course, is that Buck and Gene had a free hand to rebuild because MLB suspended George Steinbrenner. The two great rebuilding periods for the Yankees came during Steinbrenner suspensions, in the early 1970s and early 1990s. No one is going to be able to build long term as long as George is alive.

And besides, isn't that what Cashman did this winter? The author didn't like the Sheffield trade, but the point of the Sheffield trade was rebuilding. Right now, the Yankees are a good team going through a period of bad luck. Maybe they don't make the playoffs this year. That's okay. When it's July and their still 11 games back, that's the time to trade for the future. It's a little early to throw in the towel.

Sam Perlozzo's job appears to be in jeopardy:

If the ax hanging over Sam Perlozzo's head is going to fall, as the speculation grows stronger that it will, it might as well fall sooner than later. No, it isn't all his fault. It never is all the manager's fault. But no one can, or should, survive pushing every wrong button for such an extended period of time, even if it has become increasingly obvious that he doesn't have many buttons to push.

Danys Baez is one of his buttons, and when he pushed it in the eighth inning yesterday at RFK Stadium, after the tying run came to the plate with one out, it practically detonated in his face. Again.

Twice in a week he pulled a starter for no good reason other than the pitcher was close to 100 pitches. And for the second time the team blew the lead. So in this case, there is an actual managerial strategy to criticize. Of course, if he leaves Bedard in for another 20 pitches, and he breaks down in his next start, they'll want his head as well.

Perlozzo's troubles go deeper, however:

Nor can Perlozzo survive the lack of support he's getting in the clubhouse. Somebody, anybody with clout, needed to have the manager's back yesterday, or anytime in the past week. Someone in uniform could have shouted down the shouting for Perlozzo's scalp after the Boston debacle; someone could have soothed the fans' wrath in the week since then, speaking up the way some key New York Yankees have publicly stepped up for Joe Torre as their season circles the drain.

Instead, the silence was deafening, the mood grim, nobody even giving much credence to the idea that the Orioles can shrug this off, bounce back, go get 'em next time. Miguel Tejada offered a little bit of that. It wasn't convincing.

It was hard to experience that, especially a day after Perlozzo expressed his support for the struggling, scuffling, yet still sinking players. "I love them to death," he said.

When they don't seem to love you back, though, it's time to pull the plug.

Bring back Davey Johnson! That was the last time the Orioles were good.

It looks like the Braves sale will go through today:

The sale was agreed to by the corporations in February, and baseball officials have said the transaction values the team at $461 million.

That seems a bit low for a successful franchise with a National TV audience.

John Romano talks to Stuart Sternberg and offers analysis of why the Devil Rays are playing in Orlando this week:

"We can survive barely and we can do okay if we get the support of St. Pete and Tampa, " Sternberg said. "We can thrive - which is what everybody in St. Pete and Tampa wants - if I do my job expanding to become a regional franchise. From Port Charlotte up, and Orlando in.

"We have to be a regional franchise."

Look, the man is not a fool. He does not expect three games against Texas in the middle of May to turn the fortunes of a franchise forever stuck in neutral. Attendance will not be goosed at Tropicana Field because Orlando, Lakeland or Kissimmee suddenly became Rays towns.

But, really, that was not the purpose of this series. Sternberg's plan is grander. He sees advertising dollars. He sees demographics. He sees marketing.

And he sees lots and lots of television sets.

Before the Rays moved into Orlando's ballpark, they invaded Central Florida's airwaves. The Rays increased their TV package from around 25 to 67 games.

This means a market that was the 27th largest in the United States, according to the latest census, has Rays games on TV several nights a week all summer long.

"Would I rather have 30, 000 people in the stadium or 1-million watching on TV?" Sternberg said. "I think I would probably rather have 1-million people watching on TV. It's more important to know that 1-million people do care. And, from a money standpoint and the advertising, there's more revenue derived there.

Sternberg is not making the mistake baseball made in the early 1950s, when television hurt attendance. Television gets people interested in the team, so when the team gets good, the fan base is there to come to the ballpark. From a marketing perspective at least, the Devil Rays are in good hands.

And providing an exciting win sure helps.

Earlier today I criticized J.P. Ricciardi:

Of all the Moneyball GMs in baseball, Ricciardi is the most disappointing. He never seems to have the extra piece in the minors or the ability to make the trade for that player with the overlooked skill.

Which is exactly what Billy Beane did with Jack Cust:

Jack Cust hit a ball about as long as his minor-league resume and helped turn a tense Friday night at the Coliseum into a rollicking A's victory.

Cust, whom the A's acquired from San Diego in a minor-league deal May 3, unloaded on a C.C. Sabathia fastball with two outs and a runner aboard in the seventh inning. Cust's two-run blast to right broke a 1-1 tie and was his fourth homer in five games, and third in two days, for Oakland. The A's tacked on three more runs in the inning and rolled to an 8-2 win over Cleveland.

A first-round pick of the Diamondbacks in 1997, Cust made it to the big leagues with Arizona in 2001 at age 22. Since then, though, his baseball life has been much more Colorado Springs than Colorado, much more Sacramento than Oakland.

Cust through 2006 posted a .429 OBA and a .514 slugging percentage in the minor leagues, and somehow only received 144 major league at bats. In his 19 AB with the A's this season, he's hit four homers and drew four walks.

Jim Tracy changed the top of the Pirates lineup yesterday, and it worked:

In the first six games of this trip, the players who started in the top three lineup spots -- primarily Duffy, Wilson and Sanchez -- were a combined 14 for 82 with three walks. They scored five runs, one of those on Duffy's home run Sunday in Milwaukee.

Yesterday, Sanchez, Bautista and Jason Bay reached base a combined six times and scored four runs.

To his credit, Tracy doesn't see the lineup shift as something long term, although Freddy Sanchez belongs up there.

"It's not the lineup you want to stick with. There are flaws to this one, too. There isn't any base-stealing speed up at the top. Is it perfect? No. But it's something else to try.

"We're just trying to get something going at the top of our lineup [and] see if we can't get something going offensively. It's the one thing right now that is holding our ballclub up."

If it scores runs, however, steals at the top aren't all that necessary. And given the overall stats of the team, there really isn't a good lineup available.

The Yankees joined the Oakland Athletics in banning beer from both home and visiting clubhouses. Frankly, I think it's an over-reaction. If someone gets drunk in the clubhouse, the teams have the resources and the power to drive the player home safely. It's what happens outside the clubhouse that usually causes the problems.

Phillip Baudrand takes issue with Ron Guidry's coaching of the Yankees' pitching staff.

The Biz of Baseball organizes a round table of economists who discuss a number of baseball issues related to the economics of the game. Well worth the read.

I asked Bob Sikes at Getting Paid to Watch to weigh in on the Yankees firing Marty Miller:

I saw that story late last evening when I arrived home from spring football practice. I didn't know Miller, but was rather surprised to learn he'd been hired from a health club. Another thing I'm coming to realize is just how separate strength coaches are from the athletic trainers (ATCs). The Yankees have two of the very best in the business in Gene Monahan and Steve Donahue. I believe that Monahan may currently be the dean of athletic trainers in the major leagues. Donahue and I worked in the International League together during the early 80's.

At any rate, strength coaches did not begin becoming a fixture for major league teams until the late 80's and its wasn't until the 90's that all teams had them. Conditioning and strength training as it was had been handled by the ATCs and coaches. For example, pitching coaches ran the pitchers and pre-work-out stretching was handled by the ATCs. Until the Mets brought in Keith Cedro before the 1987 season, I lead team stretching prior to spring training work-outs. Once the season began, Davey Johnson preferred to let players handle their own warm-up activities. Only when Buddy Harrelson took over did the Mets start stretching as a team before games. Only a few teams in the National League actually had weight rooms.

This is far less involved than what teams do now. And strength coaches that MLB teams bring in have a wider variety of philosophies than does the NFL. They also have autonomy that's separate from what the traditional medical staff's - ATC's and team physicians - operate under. I've found this to be an unsound development in the politics of the game as the professional educational and professional development of ATCs includes all principals of conditioning. I'm going to get hate mail on this, but unless a strength coach has a master's level degree in Exercise Physiology and a certification by the National Strength and Conditioning Association , his or her preparation is not that of what ATCs have. I've felt that baseball executives have never really given ATCs the respect they deserve nor leaned on them in medical matters.
However, major league players have long appreciated our work and generously includes ATCs in their benefit package. Perhaps this is what's caused the schism as management perceives ATCs as part on the Player's Union.

Someone asked me to respond to the high number of abdominal injuries that seemed to be occurring. Although this is anecdotal, I agreed with the general observation. How I replied was that in previous years it seemed that these types of injuries occured mostly among pitchers. I hypothesized that that perhaps players trunks were being over-trained and trained for one-rep power. Most activities in baseball are done multiple times.

The hamstring has its own unique role in biomechanics. Running involves the hamstring to fire both types of contractions-concentric and eccentric. Or in laymen terms, shortening the muscle and then lengthening it under stress. Weight room activities are designed to supplement and athletes ability to run. If Miller desired to decrease the amount of running in favor of something else, he made a decision that's ended up burning many professionals.

Thanks, Bob.

The Yankees did fire somebody today:

The Yankees fired first-year strength and conditioning coach Marty Miller on Wednesday, on the heels of yet another hamstring injury to one of their players.

The players didn't like Miller's approach:

Though the rash of similar injuries possibly could be explained by bad luck, Cashman determined that cause and effect could not be ruled out. Sources say Miller's methods were not popular with the Yankees, and the players were in near-revolt over the situation. Miller's approach included a de-emphasis of running as a way to build leg strength.

Does anyone in the training community have any insights into running vs. other leg exercises? I don't know if this is a bad idea that didn't work or incompetence on Cashman's part.

Russell Roberts at Cafe Hayek writes on the lack of economic competition in baseball:

My claim is that baseball, while competitive (in the everyday sense of the word), is not a very good testing ground for the power of competition as economists use the term. It's not a very good measure of how competition works in markets even though there is a "market" for baseball players in the everyday sense of the word.

The biggest problem with generalizing from baseball to the rest of the economy is that if you do a lousy job in baseball, you still make a lot of money. That is hard to do in most markets. In most markets, if you fail to keep up with your competitors, if you use outdated technology, if you fail to please the customer, you don't just make less money than your competitors. You go out of business.

In baseball, you can have an inept owner who hires an inept general manager, who signs inept players (or who doesn't bother signing ept ones), who fails to spend sufficient money on the fundamental assets necessary to excel, who signs players who do the little things and the big things badly, who neglects the team's farm system. You can perform poorly, year after year and you can not only survive, you can thrive.

Since 1998, the Kansas City Royals have been horrible. They have won more games than they've lost only once in that span. The other years, they've been dreadful. They've lost 100 games or more four times since 1998. Yet according to Forbes, the value of the franchise doubled between 1998 and 2005.

There are ways around this within the structure of major league baseball. MLB should want each of their fanchises to be as strong as possible, because that's best for the growth of the game overall. This is something I'll discuss in a future Baseball Prospectus column. My latest is up here (subscription only).

No one is going to fire Torre or Cashman:

"The season is still very young, but up to now the results are clearly not acceptable to me or to Yankee fans," Steinbrenner said in a statement. "However, Brian Cashman, our general manager, Joe Torre, our manager, and our players all believe that they will turn this around quickly.

"I believe in them. I am here to support them in any way to help them accomplish this turnaround. It is time to put excuses and talk away. It is time to see if people are ready to step up and accept their responsibilities. It is time for all of them to show me and the fans what they are made of.

"Let's get going. Let's go out and win and bring a world championship back to New York. That's what I want."

The Yankees are basically in the same situation they were two years ago, except they're trailing the Red Sox instead of the Orioles. The starters lasted longer in games that season, but they were getting hammered, too.

In my opinion, the Yankees need to rethink bullpen use in light of their starters' short outings. More innings per appearance, less repeat appearances. It goes against conventional wisdom right now, but the Yankees are in far from a conventional situation.

A new form of league revenue sharing sprung up around Daisuke Matsuzaka:

The Rangers are among several Major League Baseball teams capitalizing on the Sox's $103 million investment in Japanese pitcher Daisuke Matsuzaka by selling ballpark advertising to Japanese companies. Those firms, which include a chain of men's day spas, are trying to get their message across to fans watching broadcasts of Major League Baseball games back in Japan. The Rangers and Kansas City Royals have already sold ad space worth hundreds of thousands of dollars inside their own stadiums, though neither team has a Japanese baseball star. Several other teams have also gotten inquiries from Japanese firms about advertising when the Red Sox are playing.

"Teams like the Kansas City Royals are benefiting from the Red Sox," said Sam Kennedy , Sox vice president of sales and marketing.

The Sox, though, won't see much new revenue from Japanese sponsors at Fenway Park because most of the advertising space was sold long ago to American companies. It's also far more expensive to advertise at Fenway compared to other baseball venues.

Don't you just love global communications?

Soccer Dad doesn't like Forbes ranking of the top ten baseball GMs. He feels there's too much business, not enough baseball in the calculations.

Bruce Bochy's desire to stretch out his pitchers in games concerns John Perricone.

Last night whle we were talking to Bill James, I asked about insurance on long-term contracts. It was my understanding that insurance companies wouldn't go longer than three years anymore. Bill thought that was right. He also told us the Red Sox talked about insurance on Matsuzaka, but he never heard how that worked out. He gave us two reasons why so many long term deals were offered over the off-season.

1. The GMs who made the deals probably won't last until the end of the deal, so it's going to be someone else's problem.
2. The Red Sox expected the cost per season to go up more than it did. Instead, teams extended contract length. Bill's feeling is that many of these teams don't expect to get contributions from these players toward the end of their contracts. Instead of paying the same money over five years, they're paying it over seven or eight.

Charlie Manuel blew up at a critic last night:

Most of the time he answers those critics amiably and with little animosity, but last night was not one of those times. On the heels of a lifeless, 8-1 loss to the Mets, with his most incessant critic prodding him to throw a clubhouse tirade, Manuel instead unleashed a profanity-filled 10-minute tongue-lashing toward the critic inside his office, adding an extra dose when their eyes met in the clubhouse minutes later.

"I think they see me angry more than you think [they] do," Manuel said as his emotions heated up. "I think maybe you don't see me angry. I can show you that I can get angry."

"Maybe if you did that to a player, you think that would work?" taunted the critic.

The rest was not for family consumption.

It's not fair, but part of a manager's job is to deal with the press. Manuel did that poorly last night. The other thing that bothers me is this:

As Manuel said before last night's game, "Here, they are going to blame the manager. And if that's the way it is, that's OK. But look: I don't strike out and I don't miss a popup and I don't make baserunning mistakes. And we're talking about major league players."

Those were sentiments expressed often by Bowa, especially amid his final season.

Manuel was also not on the field in the sixth inning when the Phillies recorded three outs on the Mets - and needed to be waved into the dugout by the umpires. This offseason, coaches were hired ostensibly to firm up the fundamentals this team is so often lacking. Nothing has changed. They still stall going uphill.

So Charlie is blaming the players. That isn't leadership. There's another part of the story where Manuel talks about being the same manager he was in the minors. That's fine, but he was a teacher. I'm not sure this team needs a teacher as much as they need a leader.

The Phillies are in the Goldilocks situation. Bowa was too tough. Manuel is too nice. They need a manager who's just right. I hear Davey Johnson's looking to get back in the game.

Bob Melvin made the right choice at first base yesterday:

Manager Bob Melvin sounded pained before the game when asked about his decision to start Clark over first baseman Conor Jackson for a second day in a row. Melvin explained that he wanted another left-handed bat in the lineup against Rockies starter Byung-Hyun Kim, emphasizing that Jackson still should be considered the club's everyday first baseman.

You can't argue with the results. Clark blasted a towering, 420-foot, two-run home run to the left of the batter's eye in center field in the first inning, then connected for a solo shot to lead off the fourth.

No reason to feel pain. Jackson hasn't shown much power vs. righties yet. The more he sees, the better he'll get, but the Diamondbacks need to win games as well. It's a selective platoon, and that's fine.

The Braden Looper experiment continues to work as the former reliever picks up his second win as the Cardinals defeat the Brewers 10-2. He struck out three in six innings, but he allowed just five hits. Still his strike percentage was low, and you have to wonder how long this will last.

What's more worrisome is Ben Sheets. In his five innings of work he walked three and struck out just two. And since his complete game on opening day, he's been hittable. Ben Sheets at 100% makes the Brewers a much better playoff contender.

Jerry Narron removed Edwin Encarnacion from the game last night. The third baseman did not run out a pop fly. It appeared to be an honest mistake, but Narron sent the proper message:

Narron said the 24-year-old Encarnacion, in his third big league season, has always hustled for him. He added that Encarnacion likely would be back in the lineup when the Reds open a three-game series against the Chicago Cubs in Wrigley Field Friday.

"I love him," Narron said. "I think he's going to be a great player. He messed up. But doggone it, you can't be messing up in this game like that by not hustling. If you don't know where the ball is, you run until you find out where it is.

"He has never dogged it," Narron said. "It was probably an honest mistake, but it was a mistake."

Good for Jerry. He didn't get mad, he talked to the player, and sent a message not just to Edwin, but to the whole team.

After Braden Looper's fine outing, Get Up, Baby introduces the Dave Duncan Geniusometer.

It's never his fault when something goes wrong.

Nick Piecoro examines how the Diamondbacks plan to control costs by keeping their farm system stocked:

Young players eventually get expensive through arbitration and free agency, which makes constantly replenishing the talent supply vital. Ken Kendrick, the Diamondbacks' managing general partner, said the club has made this a focal point the past few years.

"The money that maybe some teams have spent on major league payroll, we've spent in the development side of the business, which encompasses the scouting director, assistant scouting director, scouts, player development, all of those things," Kendrick said.

"There are a number of additional staff on board with the Diamondbacks now than in the years when I first got involved. That budget has increased pretty substantially and we think if you get the right people and spend a certain amount of money and do a good job, that's a way that you can continue to be competitive for a long period of time."

That's the right idea. The next couple of seasons will show if they can execute on the plan.

The police busted Tony La Russa for drunk stopping:

Police arrested St. Louis Cardinals manager Tony La Russa on a charge of driving under the influence of alcohol, a misdemeanor, after he was found sleeping at a green light in his running Ford SUV about midnight at Frederick Small Boulevard and Military Trail.

Police on Thursday said they grew suspicious because the running SUV was stopped at a light that went through two cycles of green. A driver behind it had to go around, police said.

Rough day at the ballpark? The Cardinals pitching staff owns the best ERA in spring training, so it's not like there's a lot of pressure on Tony right now. Maybe he's just part of the long history of hard drinking, successful managers.

I wonder if he'll serve as his own attorney?

Update: There's a great map of the incident scene at Deadspin.

On the last day of winter, Jeff Euston rounds up the renewed pre-arbitration players. I hope someone follows this for a few years. I'd love to see a study of how renewing or taking players to arbitration effects that player leaving for free agency or staying.

One interesting thing this year is that teams took the increase in the minimum salary as part of a player's raise:

Complicating matters this off-season is a significant increase in the minimum major-league salary, which jumps from $327,000 last season to $380,000 for 2007. Player agents see the new minimum as a starting point, while clubs tend to view the $53,000 jump in the minimum as a significant pay raise by itself.

The Marlins, who lead the league in young players, renewed 12 players on their 40-man roster, nine of them at the $380,000 minimum. Florida renewed Hanley Ramirez' (contract) deal for $402,000, a $75,000 raise over 2006. Yet Ramirez's 2007 salary will be just $22,000 more than the 2007 minimum, making him just the second Rookie of the Year to make less than $25,000 more than the following year's league minimum (Oakland renewed 2005 AL Rookie of the Year Huston Street (contract) for 2006 at $339,625, just $12,625 more than the minimum).

So a number of good second year players are just making over the minimum, because they are seen by the clubs as getting a big raise anyway. Eventually, it this will work itself out, but this particular class of second year players is taking a hit due to the change. I suspect it will take a couple of season to work itself out as well. As this class gets a bigger raise next season, the 2007 first years will be behind that.

The Cleveland Indians extended the contract of GM Mark Shapiro through the 2012 season:

After winning only 68 games in 2003, the Indians jumped to 80 wins in 2004. The following season Cleveland went 93-69 but missed the playoffs when they collapsed in the season's final week. However, Shapiro was named baseball's top executive by the Sporting News.

The Indians were expected to contend last season, but a poor start coupled with baseball's worst bullpen resulted in a 78-84 record and fourth-place finish in their division.

The Indians are a trendy pick to win the AL Central this season. I'm not sure I buy that. They've underperformed their Pythagorean projections two years in a row. Last year, they outscored their opponents by 88 runs, but still posted a losing record. Was this:

• A run of bad luck?
• Poor in-game management?
• Poor construction of the team?

The contract extension indicates that the Indians ownership doesn't think it's the last option. It's may be number one, but if we that happen again, I'd suspect Wedge's job will be on the line.

Jason McAdams sends along this story of how teams lose money on spring training. What's interesting here is in this instance, the local merchants do well, while the clubs and municipalities lose out.

Ned Yost reads sabermetric books. And why not? Information is vital for success, and even if he doesn't use everything, he at least is making an informed decision. I suspect a lot of the younger managers are up on this, even if they keep the books locked away at home.

Baseball Musings is holding a pledge drive in March.

Peter Schmuck points out that the Orioles positioned 2009 to be a key year for them.

The Orioles are close to a deal to extend Brian Roberts ' contract through the 2009 season. Melvin Mora 's contract extension, signed last May, also runs through 2009. Aubrey Huff signed a three-year deal in January. Top young pitcher Erik Bedard has three more seasons before he will be eligible for free agency.

So, if it appears that the front office is targeting 2009 as the year when the long-struggling Orioles must reach their full potential, appearances are not deceiving.

Perhaps you noticed that Miguel Tejada was not among the aforementioned class of 2009, but that was no oversight. Tejada's six-year contract also runs out in 2009, which isn't a coincidence.

The Orioles plan is to keep it's core together through 2009 and build it into a winner. If it doesn't happen, I'm guessing they jettison those players and start over with lots of money on hand. This will make the 2009 trading deadline in Baltimore quite interesting.

Kevin Seizter took over as batting coach for the Diamondbacks this year, and is getting positive reviews. This article, however, doesn't go far enough as to why Seitzer is so good. For example:

Outfielder Dave Krynzel was hitting off a tee one morning early in spring training when he barely mis-hit a ball, the noise echoing off the bat slightly different. Then Krynzel heard Kevin Seitzer's voice behind him: "Keep your stomach tight. Don't open up."

Seitzer, the Diamondbacks' new hitting coach, was correct in his diagnosis, but that wasn't what surprised Krynzel.

"He didn't even see it," Krynzel said. "Me and (Tony Clark) look at each other, and we're like: 'Was he even looking at me?' "

I'd love to hear Seitzer explain what he heard, and why he reacted that way. He coached Raul Ibanez privately, and the Mariner posted a career year in 2006. I'd like to hear from Raul just what Seitzer taught him. It sounds like Seitzer is a great combination of pattern recognizer and teacher. He can not only recognize what's wrong with your swing, but can also verbalize it. That sounds like the perfect coach to me.

Baseball Musings is holding a pledge drive in March.

Billfer at the Detroit Tigers Weblog makes a good case for extending Carlos Guillen through 2011:

Most importantly, the Tigers have a window of opportunity right now. They have a mix of secured veteran talent who have a couple years left in them, as well as some young talent under club control for the next couple years. There is $66 million already committed for 2008 and $58 million for 2009. But after that existing contracts lighten as the Tigers prepare for the impending free agency of Bonderman in 2011 and Verlander in 2012. I know the Tigers don't want to hurt themselves with a bad contract, and that they already have one in Magglio Ordonez, but they will have flexiblity come 2010.

The Tigers need to capitalize on the next few years. If it means paying Carlos Guillen in 2010 and 2011 to keep him a part of the team in 2008 and 2009 I think it the Tigers have to do it. There just aren't alternatives available, unless you want to put all your eggs in a potential Alex Rodriguez basket.

The other option would be to find a team that's willing to trade a prospect that's close to major league ready for pitching, similar to the deal the Marlins and Red Sox made last year. Of course, the result of that deal may make teams a little gun shy about pulling the trigger on such a deal again.

Baseball Musings is holding a pledge drive in March.

Jeff Zrebiec explores the adjustments Sam Perlozzo made as he heads into his second season as the manager of the Orioles:

An epiphany hit Perlozzo toward the end of the 2006 season, when the Orioles went 70-92, extending their franchise-high streak to nine straight losing seasons. Things had to change, he realized. Too much time in the clubhouse was being spent worrying about how much better the New York Yankees, Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays were than the Orioles.

There was too much of a sense of resignation that the club was going to be a fourth-place team in the American League East and nothing was going to change that. There were too many issues -- players being late, not running out ground balls, complaints about playing time -- that were indicative of a losing team. Players simply weren't holding each other accountable.

"You have to change the losing mentality in some way," Perlozzo said. "The first part is to add better players. The second part is to get them to play as a team and trust each other. We added better players, we have a good staff and now it's up to us to have a better team.

"I am not going to relax. There were times last year where I knew that we were just as good as we were, but the worst thing you can say is that, 'It is what it is.' That's what breeds losing. 'It is what it is' makes you a loser."

He's become more demanding of his players and his coaches. Time will tell if this leads to more wins.

Strong words against Ozzie Guillen at Getting Paid to Watch.

Patrick Sullivan interviews Red Sox assistant GM Jed Hoyer at The Baseball Analysts. If you think he leads an exciting life, there's this:

Pat: So from the day you were hired until now, can you share the most mundane task ever assigned to you and the best, most impactful and high-profile work you have done?

Jed: The other night Brian O'Halloran, our Director of Baseball Operations, and I were at a Kinkos in Phoenix putting together arbitration binders until 4:30 in the morning. It doesn't get more mundane than sticking each individual number on a divider while the guy behind the counter is listening to a sci-fi book on tape - and somehow trying to stay awake. That task is up there on the list - and is certainly the most recent.

However, he does get to do exciting work, too:

I have had a ton of great projects too - heading out to Arizona to try to sign Schilling and spending two days in NYC with ARod in December 2003 were great experiences because it is so rare to negotiate without the filter of an agent. I think the most fun I have ever had working for the Red Sox has been preparing for the post-season advance scouting meetings. Every single time I wind up nearly pulling an all-nighter to get all the materials and video ready for the meeting - and it never feels like work. Preparing for a playoff series - and watching how Varitek devours the information and asks incredible questions - is an amazing experience.

The interview is well worth your time.

Baseball Musings is holding a pledge drive in March.

Jacob Jackson looks at an underappreciated aspect of the Athletics' success, their management of the forty-man roster.

It seems Joe Girardi lent Jon Lieber a hand last summer:

Lieber said his season with the Philadelphia Phillies turned around shortly after he was roughed up by the Marlins last July 31, and he credits a phone call from Girardi, a former major league catcher. They played together with the Chicago Cubs from 2000-02.

"He just mentioned that the hitters said everything that was coming in was just very flat," Lieber told the Philadelphia Daily News. "I wasn't on top of the ball like I should have been."

Both teams contended for the NL wild-card berth, and Lieber beat the Marlins twice in September.

If the Marlins knew about this, I'd say that would be a good reason to fire Joe. That doesn't appear to be the case. I understand wanting to help a friend, but at least wait until the off-season.

Athletics Nation is soliciting opinions on the owners of the Oakland franchise.

MetsBlog.com links to two articles on what makes Rick Peterson a fine communicator.

Evan Grant documents the changes at the Texas Rangers camp under Ron Washington:

This year, the shrubs are gone, and fans have been invited some 30 feet closer to the pitchers. The assigned seating is gone. The flag poles are bare. Washington walks everywhere. And the pre-camp meeting lasted all of 20 minutes.

"The message he gave was short and sweet," Young said. "It was, 'I'm here for you guys, and we're all here for each other.' It was basically, 'Let's make sure we have each other's back.' It's a great feeling knowing the manager has your back."

Said reliever C.J. Wilson: "His talk was so personal. When he speaks, it's all completely original and from the heart. He put the responsibility in the middle of the [clubhouse], and now it's our responsibility to take him up on that."

Though Washington's speech lacked theatrics, its message was remarkably similar to the one Bob Brenly delivered the Arizona Diamondbacks as Showalter's replacement in 2001. Brenly dropped a large player development manual written by Showalter on the ground and pulled out a cocktail napkin to show the team. The team went on to win the World Series.

It almost as if Buck, in all his jobs, stored a lot of potential energy in his teams, but someone else was needed to convert that potential to wins. Showalter would the players into tight springs, and the next skipper was able to channel the unwinding into winning baseball.

John Gibbons received a one year extension and a raise from the Blue Jays. I guess finishing second in the division out weighed his run-ins with players.

Aaron Gleeman lists the Twins top forty prospects. They're very strong on pitching, but not too many bats are on the list.

Ned Yost is exuding confidence:

Ned Yost is an energetic, ultra-optimistic type by nature who brings a passion to his job that is refreshing in the often jaded world of professional sports.

That focused approach, combined with Yost's unwavering confidence in his method of operation, makes even the most cynical of observers take note when the Milwaukee Brewers manager presents his vision of the not-so-distant future of the franchise.

"Are we going to get there and win a world championship? I'm 100% convinced of it," said Yost, who is beginning his fifth year at the helm of the club.

"I think it's set in stone, in my mind. When? I don't know. It could be this year, it could be next year. But, for me, it's written in stone. And I'm going to work every single day to try to accomplish that goal."

I have no idea if the Brewers will win soon, but I like Ned's attitude.

Detect-o-Vision wonders if the Mariners might bring in Cito Gaston if Hargrove and the team falters early. He also wonders why Gaston never got another job:

I don't buy for a second the idea that Cito is frozen out because he's black, and doubt that many D-O-V readers would either. There are any number of black managers who get as many go-rounds as the average white manager, including black managers with very strong personalities, such as Frank Robinson. In America 2007, white-bread people like Tiger and Bernie Mac and Wesley Snipes more than black people do. My wife has seen that Guess Who movie at least 30 times...

You can be sure there is something behind the scenes on Gaston. Not necessarily something sinister, but something that makes him extremely unappealing, competency-wise or personality-wise or private-life-wise or whatever.

Well, this was the man who wasted John Olerud's talents. Cito benched John in the World Series so Molitor could stay in the lineup, and then decided Olerud was a platoon player. With Toronto, in a hitter's park, during his peak years Olerud's averages were .296/.397/.471. You'd think a manager would want a player like that in the lineup every day. After John left, those number were .296/.400/.466. And that's playing home games in Shea and Safeco, neither the hitters havens that was Skydome.

No, Gaston won despite himself. I don't know if there's a deep, dark secret about him, but not recognizing Olerud's talent is enough to keep him out of my club house.

Ron Washington is going to try to keep the Texas pitching staff stable this year:

For Washington's part, he plans to show faith in the pitchers by giving them more opportunities to prove themselves. He expects to use spring to make decisions about a pitching staff, then try not to mess around with it on a weekly basis.

In the four years under Buck Showalter, the Rangers averaged more than a pitching move per week (either an option, a disabled list assignment or designation for assignment for the purpose of removing the pitcher from the roster) during the regular season. Last year, the Rangers made 28 such moves from April through August. Oakland, beset by injuries, made 23. The Los Angeles Angels made 15 such moves and Seattle 14.

"I want to develop stability in the starting rotation," Washington said. "I don't want those guys looking over their shoulders. It's my job - every manager's job - to build confidence. I'm going to let them know from the very beginning that they can do it and that we expect them to do it. But we also know there are going to be some bumps, and I want them to know I'll give them a chance to show me it's just a bump. I want them to keep us in games and I'm going to give them every opportunity to do that."

I remember Bill James writing about managing pitching staffs in a high run envirornment. He felt that too many pitching changes was bad for a staff. Every time you take a pitcher out of a game (at least back then), you're communicating failure. Sometimes, they just need to take their lumps and learn from the experience. Sounds like Washington is taking a similar approach.

Bill Livingston calls into question Eric Wedge's skills as a manager:

Eric Wedge gets to the ballpark be fore the alligators in Lake Lulu graze for breakfast. He reconfigures his lineup. He consults with his coaches. He listens to new consultant Buck Showalter's take on his team. He probably deconstructs the infield fly rule.

Then, all too often, he sends the Indians out to have a pie fight.

Seldom has anyone prepared so meticulously and gotten such chaos in return. Something must be getting lost in translation because Wedge's workload is real, not exaggerated. Yet the results often seem minimal when the Indians run amok on the bases, fail to get a bunt down, or let a rundown play peter out like a battery out of juice.

Overall, this is pretty fair criticism. Does Wedge not communicate his vision to his players? Is there a lack of clarity coming from the manager and coaches on how to execute during the game? Or is Wedge just putting the wrong personnel on the field? When Eric took down Milton Bradley, I thought he was showing strong leadership. Was that just a moment of clarity for Wedge? Livingston concludes that Wedge's job should be on the line:

The feeling here has been that Shapiro is reluctant to admit a mistake in hiring Wedge. All his supportive gestures during slumps might be better spent on instilling a sense of urgency in the manager. Five years is a long time in sports. The Indians need to play October baseball again.

It looks like the Twins have enough money coming off the books next year to pay to keep their star players around:

Entering the offseason, it appeared the Twins had a good chance of locking up all three players to multiyear deals. They had just completed a season in which they had a windfall in ticket and merchandise sales, $18.5 million was off the books with veterans Brad Radke and Shannon Stewart gone, and the team held true to its philosophy of not going after big-money free agents.

But then the market skyrocketed, and it became apparent in mid-January that a 3-for-3 offseason was a long shot when Mauer, Morneau and Cuddyer each filed for a salary of at least $1 million more than the Twins offered.

"I'm never going to have everything that I want," Ryan said. "But we took a pretty good run at" trying to sign Cuddyer and Morneau to multiyear deals.

After this season, the Twins could have more money to make a run at signing Cuddyer and Morneau to multiyear contracts. The contracts for veterans Torii Hunter, Luis Castillo, Carlos Silva and Ramon Ortiz are set to expire at the end of the season, potentially taking $25.2 million off the books.

With $8 million going to Mauer, that leaves $35 million to divvy up between Santana, Morneau and Cuddyer. Seems that's plenty to raise Santana to $25 million a year (from $10 million) and give the other two long term contracts, especially if revenue keeps rising. Twins fans, time to get out to the park and support your team!

Nick and Nick make a supply and demand argument for signing Mauer long term and Morneau short term:

Another potential reason for locking up Mauer while hesitating to do the same for Morneau actually has nothing to do with the performance of those two players. The fact is that the Twins pretty much need Mauer to be around for the next several years, whereas that may not be the case with Morneau. Why do I say that? Well, the Twins have almost no catching prospects in their entire minor league system. The most promising backstop in their organization could very well be Chris Heintz, and he's 33. That's probably an overstatement, but you'd be hard-pressed to find a catcher at any level of the Twins' minor league system who has real major league potential at this point. Mike Redmond is a nice player, but he'll be turning 36 this season and will be gone soon enough. Once that happens, the Twins would be in very bad shape if they lost Mauer.

Meanwhile, the organization's lower-level minor league teams feature three promising first-base prospects.

Or, if you have a problem at first base, it's usually easy to solve.

There's a report the Braves are about to be sold. However, I'm not sure I understand the pricing:

The deal, which must still be approved by Major League Baseball, would involve Time Warner transferring the Braves, a group of craft magazines and $1 billion in cash to Liberty in exchange for about 60 million shares of Time Warner, the Journal reported, citing an unidentified person familiar with the deal.

Based on the closing price of Time Warner's stock Monday, the market value of those shares would be about $1.27 billion.

Does this mean the Braves are being valued at less than $270,000,000? That seems pretty cheap for a bad franchise these days. Either that, or Time Warner thinks its stock is going way up in future.

Where Have You Gone, Andy Van Slyke is concerned that he still doesn't have a handle on Jim Tracy.

It's been over a year since Tracy's hire and I still don't know what I think about him, which has to be a bad sign.

It's a good read about a manager whose actions during last season make it difficult to evaluate him.

The previous post praised the Twins management team. Another organization on the right track is the Arizona Diamondbacks:

"I think that's fair to say," Moorad said. "Coming off 111 losses in 2004 wasn't easy. But at this point, as we look at a retooled future and a healthy, competitive team in '07, we think we have a chance to win this season as well as into the future.

"The division has improved as a whole, but if we stay healthy, I think we have an excellent chance of winning the division."

Arizona's "retooled future" includes a rotation buoyed by the acquisitions of left-handers Randy Johnson and Doug Davis. They'll join reigning Cy Young Award winner Brandon Webb and workhorse Livan Hernandez to form a rotation that appears to be dependable and, if all goes well, could be among the National League's best.

For General Manager Josh Byrnes, it was a second consecutive winter in which he refused to part with the club's better prospects - and didn't sign any free agents to long-terms deals - yet managed to shore up weaknesses. And he kept the payroll in the mid-$60 million range, where it has been in the franchise's post-Colangelo years.

"We felt like we met most of our objectives in the off-season," Byrnes said. "We're anxious to see how it plays out on the field."

The team is developing a good, young core. Their filling in the holes with short term veterans. It's a great way to put together a winner without breaking the bank.

My thanks go out to the staff of the MIT Sloan Sports Business Conference, especially Patricia Favreau for the press credential. The group staged informative sessions with high powered executives and decision makers. The logistics were excellent, from the food to the classrooms and lecture halls used for the presentations. They're to be congratulated!

The conference left me hopeful for the future of the sports industry. Given the attendance, there are a very large number of young business people looking to make their mark in the world of sports. Unfortunately for them, there are only a limited number of jobs. With supply outstripping demand, the sports industry gets to hire the most extraordinary applicants and pay them ordinary wages (at least as entry level employees). I hope this means we're in for an era of business innovation among all sports.

It also means some of these students will create new businesses to complement the sports world. Creating markets for tickets, predictive modeling and data visualization are some of the niche companies already selling their products. So through further infiltration of the management ranks and entrepreneurship, smart young business men and women are going to change the landscape of sports over the generation.

One thing that was disappointing to the students, however, was that there's not a clear path to take to a job in sports. The people who led the career panel, and others the students spoke with all talked about how their careers were not planned, they came about by a series of lucky coincidences (that's certainly the case with me).

Ricciardi's keynote session was very good. He mostly talked of Toronto's successes in the last few years, mainly bringing a large financial loss down to near break even, even profit in some years. Interestingly, the biggest reason he gave for that was the purchase of the Rogers Center. By owning the stadium, the Jays control all the revenue generated by the park, with works greatly to their advantage. Maybe other teams want to think about that before they have the public build them a stadium.

He also spoke of some of the successes and failures they've had bringing players to Toronto. Kerry Ligtenberg was a pitcher that the stats loved. He failed in Toronto, however, because his makeup wasn't suited for the AL East. Scott Shoenweiss was a pitcher the Blue Jays analyzed and decided he should be a lefty specialist. That worked well for the 2005 season. Mike Bordick was at the end of his career. Ricciardi loved Mike from their time in Oakland, and brought Bordick over to finish his career. He was a huge help to the young players, especially Orlando Hudson, and Ricciardi said the other players on the team were begging him not to retire. And finally, there was Frank Catalanatto, who they saw as a solid hitter and were able to sign inexpensively. Ricciardi called him the gift that keeps on giving, as his signing by the Texas Rangers yielded the Blue Jays two draft choices.

Ricciardi also had the best line of the day when asked about clutch hitting. He talked about how there are players who don't panic in certain situations, who can "slow the game down." He mentioned how David Ortiz and Manny Ramirez were like that and added, "I've known Manny since he was 15, and I don't think he knows the game is on the line." The Boston crowd loved it.

The Personnel Decisions Panel featured Bill James, and for me the most important idea to come out of that panel didn't involve players. When asked where the research was going next, Bill felt that (at least in baseball), we're spending lots of time looking at the details. Mr. James feels that someone needs to go back to the big picture. Twenty years ago he would sit down and compose letter to teams about what they were doing wrong (although he never sent them). Now he finds himself composing letters to the commissioner. He was trying to answer big questions about what makes teams win and lose back then. Now he wants someone to ask the questions about what make leagues successful. This was driven home during the cocktail hour, when a consultant for an NBA team was explaining how the current salary cap and luxury tax created perverse incentives for teams. It's time to start developing stats on how teams and leagues operate.

The Sports Technology panel provided insight into where the entrepreneurs are heading in the world of sports. I was most excited by yOOnew, a new company that sells ticket futures. Right now, it's just selling hedge tickets. That is, the company offers tickets for major sporting events at a discount, with the risk that you may not go. So, for example, you buy a ticket for the final four that good if UConn makes it that far. The risk of the ticket is spread out among all the fans of teams that might make it that far. So you pay a low price, to go if your teams makes it, and only lose a little if your team doesn't go. What's cool to me is that this company is creating the infrastructure for moving this to a full blown futures market in all tickets.

PROTRADE is a stock market for players. Right now, it's all in virtual dollars with prizes for the people who do the best, but it could be turned into a real market someday. These kinds of markets are great for checking your view of a certain player against what others think. There's great wisdom in crowds (the average of many guesses is better than any one guess). So teams and fantasy players might watch the tends here to get a clue as to how the player's future looks. Looking at the ticker right now, for example, Chien-Ming Wang and Kei Igawa are selling at the same price of about $125, although their move to those prices are by very different paths. People can't make up their mind about Wang, but as it becomes clear Igawa gets the fifth slot, his value is steadily rising. Meanwhile Matsuzaka's price sky-rocketed recently.

I hope this conference continues. Given that it was sold out this year, there's room to grow. I'm looking forward to next year's panels to see where the latest innovations and research are taking us.

Links to other panels attended:

• Minor and Emerging Leagues
• Jamie McCourt Keynote

On this panel we have Jeff Ma from ProTrade, Matthew Marolda of StatBridge and Gerry Wilson of yOOnew. yOOnew is interesting because you can buy tickets below face value.

Update: yOOnew is a futures market, so people can trade futures of seats! This is a great idea, one that I've advocated here before.

Update: ProTrade is developing sports stock markets. They want to enhance the way people watch and think about sports.

Update: There's a real lovefest for STATS, Inc. here.

Update: Here's the yOOnew page.

Rob Neyer is moderating this Panel, and Bill James is one of the panelists. Sam Presti and Daryl Morey are also speaking.

Update: What tools do you use? James uses simulations, win shares, scouting reports, and online sources for the low minors. Bill says most of the trades they consider are for players in the low minors, and that area needs a lot of development.

Update: Here's a picture of the panel:

Bill is talking about the future of sabermetrics. He's saying we're moving more toward fringe ideas since the big ideas have been done. Sabermetricians now need to step back and look at an even bigger picture, how the sport is run, since now sabermetricians have access to clubs.

Update: Here's Rob Neyer looking very professorial.

Update: How do you balance long term and short term deals? Bill says humans don't think long term. Bill sees his job as making people look at the long term. If you go to a resturant and the food is bad, you don't say it's a small sample size. If your rookie shortstop doesn't play well for two weeks, you have to be aware of the small sample size.

Update: Bill is asked about rule changes. He says baseball is poor at getting rid of selfish rules, rules that benefit the team but hurt the game. One of these is unlimited pitching changes.

Update: I asked if the growth of size of the pitching staff should lead to a larger roster so that teams can carry more offensive and defensive specialists. Bill said that if we go past 25 men on a roster, we'll end up with lefty specialists entering in the fourth inning instead of the sixth.

Jamie McCourt is giving the keynote address during lunch. Her thesis here at MIT Sloan was on building stadiums.

Correction: Sorry, she wanted to do her thesis on building stadiums, but she couldn't find anyone to advise her.

Update: Here's Ms. McCourt at the podium.

And even the lunch looks nice.

Update: Ms. McCourt's speech starts with a "how baseball relates to the American dream" section, but she's getting into analytics now.

Update: She says winning is their equivalent of producing shareholder value.

Update: There's been a lot of talk today about getting to know players and their character. McCourt is expanding on that, how each level of the organization knows the player differently, and how that gets communicated through the organization.

Update: McCourt used to score games when she went to see the Orioles with her dad.

Update: "Players are part of our sales force." MLB as an organization needs to realize that.

Update: As part of remodel of Dodger Stadium, they want to shorten concession lines.

Update: Speech was short on analytics but long on platitudes. We'll see what the questions are like.

Update: How will the Angels name change effect the Dodgers? The Anaheim fans are more annoyed than the Dodgers. Dodger fans thought it was hilarious, because Anaheim is so far away in both distance and culture.

Update: Asked about what women get from baseball (40% of attendance at Dodger Stadium is women), McCourt says it's a romantic game.

Kevin Goldstein of Baseball Prospectus is leading this discussion. Judy Scarafile of the Cape Cod Baseball League is on the panel. Jason Chandler of lacrosse, Chris Alpert of the NBA development league, and Doug Homer of the US Soccer Foundation are also on the panel.

Update: Cape Cod Baseball League is going to start streaming video of their games. Their doing so to stay ahead of the New England Collegiate Baseball League, who first decided to start streaming their games.

Update: NBA Development League is not only feeding players and refs to the NBA, but executives to all leagues.

Update: MLB funds all the collegiate summer leagues.

J.P. Ricciardi is about to start his keynote address to the MIT Sloan Sports Business Conference.

Update: Here's a crowd shot.

Update: Here's J.P. talking Rockets assistant GM Daryl Morey.

Update: J.P. is giving Sandy Alderson a lot of credit for his development. He notes that in his 16 years in Oakland they won with both low and high payrolls.

Update: Ricciardi notes that the business is tough because everyone criticizes you all the time. He mentions blogs!

Update: Ricciardi stats vs. scouts is a silly line in the sand. He values OBA, Runs, OPS, BB per 9, etc. But he uses his scouts to gather information about the makeup of players. Sometimes the stats tells you things the scouts don't see. Sometimes the scouts can tell you a player won't succeed in the AL East.

Update: Bonds signing, good or bad? Because fans come out to see Barry, it's good for business, but he'll pass on the ethical question.

Update: J.P. says DirecTV deal is a good money deal, but bad for business. Doesn't help game.

Update: I was able to get a question in:

How easy or tough is it to get the field manager to buy into the analytics for strategy?

That got an "excellent question" from J.P. He says that the manager has to be on board with the analytics. The front office provides them with lots of information before the game, but once it starts, it's in the field manager's hands. Ricciardi says he and Gibbons used to be roommates, so they have a great relationship in this regard.

I'm at the Sports Business Conference at MIT. I'm in a career session right now with Len Perna and Steve Bergin. I'm looking forward to a session later today with Bill James and Rob Neyer on personnel decisions. And I'm sitting next to Sal Baxamusa of The Hardball Times.

Update: This is a session for business undergrads and grads. Len Perna suggests to start in tickets. He says it will be below your abilities, but it's a good way to generate revenue. Generating revenue gets you noticed.

Update: Steve Bergin says it's important to get a mentor at your job. Daryl Morey notes his mentors were Bill James and Billy Beane.

Update: A question about women in sports management leads Steve to remark that teams are looking for diversity and are creating opportunities for women. However, the demographic is going to skewed toward men.

Update: Lots of growth in digital content. Madison Square Garden just created a new executive position for digital content, according to Steve.

Is Joe Maddon going to paint the ceiling of Tropicana Field?

Maddon's quote reminds me of Polonius' advice speech in Hamlet. Taken out of the play, it's quoted as some kind of eternal truth, but in context, it's just an old man jabbering.

The verdict is in.

It seems it's about time.

The Sports Business Conference takes place at MIT on Saturday. I'll be attending and live blogging. If you have any questions you think might be interesting to ask, let me know and I'll see what I can do.

The Baseball Economist disagrees with Mark Bowman over Leo Mazzone.

Some commenters wondered why Theo wasn't so involved in the Todd Helton negotiations. He's been busy:

The Red Sox general manager threw a shutout at the paparazzi, gossip columnists, nosy sportswriters, celebrity bloggers, and any other potential wedding crashers by sneaking off earlier this month to marry Marie Whitney, and also managed to keep their honeymoon a secret.

...

Epstein and his wife are out of the country this week, and his track record suggests that the topic of matrimony will be off-limits when spring training convenes next month in Fort Myers, Fla. -- other than perhaps a little private gloating at his coup in keeping it a secret.

They got married in front of Nathan's hot dog stand at Coney Island. No word if Nathan's also did the catering.

Update: See the comments, the Coney Island part of this story was debunked. It turns out Theo's father was making a joke, or maybe it's just another example of Professor Epstein being a jerk.

The owners of the Boston Red Sox are getting involved in NASCAR racing.

For Roush Racing, before the ink so much as congeals on John Henry's John Hancock, Roush will have unlocked doors for his Nextel Cup program that have largely been sealed to NASCAR team owners, namely those blocking sponsorship opportunities and fans in the Northeast.

"The Boston Red Sox have 14 million dedicated fans to their brand alone across the country, and most of it in New England," Smith said. "Any penetration into either that fan base, or a baseball fan base in general, that aren't already NASCAR fans, would be a really huge boost to our brand.

And for the Red Sox:

"They likewise see that the sponsor-base in NASCAR is broad and might give them some access for marketing activity," Smith said. "They do marketing activity for golf, for basketball, for colleges, for private clients and so forth, there's extra access to sponsorship.

One thing you have to say for the Red Sox management team, they're always finding creative ways to increase revenue.

DRays Bay thinks the Tampa Bay payroll is just fine this season:

Now, one thing he left out is that a player and the organization have to mutually agree to a contract that benefits both parties. Given what we have seen organization like the Blue Jays spend unwisely the past year, does spending money guarantee success? Given the quality pitchers that has come available on the free market that could help this team, do you really see Barry Zito signing on to become part of the Devil Rays who are a work in progress? It remains to be seen once the franchise is further along in there plan, what free agents this franchise will attract. But, in year one the wonder twins did a good job in collecting talent for players that they were not going to keep around. In doing so, contracts like Toby Hall's and Aubrey Huff's and several others came off the books and reducing the payroll to a figure we see today. So, I have no problem with how the Rays have spent this off-season. Give this group a chance for their plan to get further along. When the time is right, I'll accept the criticism. Like next year at this time, is more appropriate.

I agree. The Devil Rays did not spend wisely in the past. Now they have a chance to see who develops amongst their youngsters. The real question for me is, will they pay to keep their best players around?

Lisa Gray notes the Astros avoided arbitration battles for the 12th year in a row.

Jason Lane - 1.05 mill (up from 454K last year.) Amazing that a player can perform so badly and yet receive double his salary. Of course, if he is cut in ST, he will only receive a small pro-rated portion of the salary.

Adam Everett - 2.8 mill (up from 1.9 mill last year. He can't make much for being a defensive genius - the bucks come from the bat, and Adam is not on the field for his bat.) He can also earn another 150K in incentives.

Morgan Ensberg - 4.35 mill (up from 3.95 mill last year. I guess he must feel pretty guilty about not being honest about his injured shoulder last year, as he didn't ask for much of a raise.)

It is, what, a dozen years since an Astros player last went to arbitration. This is a very good thing, because all arbitration accomplishes is really establishing bad feelings between team and player. Compromise is a MUCH better solution.

Indeed.

Dan Fox wonders why the number of mid-season managerial changes fell off in the last 15 years. Do managers get guaranteed contracts, like players? That would be a good reason not to fire someone. Or, it could be that managerial salaries are so high now, you don't want to be paying two people for half a season.

At least Joe Girardi was on time for spring training! Hats off to Fredi Gonzalez, however, for doing his civic duty.

The Mets are about to lift Willie Randolph's lame duck status:

Randolph and the Mets agreed to a three-year deal yesterday that is expected to lift the manager's salary to $2 million for the 2008 season, sources familiar with the pact told the Daily News.

The deal will take effect immediately. That means Randolph will get a raise from the money he was due this year under the terms of a three-year contract that was set to expire after this season - double that $700,000 sum, in fact.

Another good move by the Mets. Minaya recognizes that taking care of the good people on your team, whether players or staff, is well worth the money.

We have our first owner complaining about high salaries:

"What concerns us the most at the moment is the free agency signings that have been occurring the last 90 days and could take baseball out of control", said Lerner, whose family took ownership of the Nationals last July.

Welcome to the big leagues, Mr. Lerner. That's what happens when the game does well, players reap the benefits.

Cliff Corcoran takes an indepth look at the signing of Miguel Cairo:

Of course the big concern over the Cairo signing is, "what if Jeter or Cano get hurt and he has to start." Well, Jeter missed almost a month and a half at the beginning of the 2003 season, the Yankees replaced him with Erick Almonte, who has since fallen all the way to the independent leagues at age 28, and went 26-11 in his absence, building up a three-game lead in the AL East. In 2000, Chuck Knoblauch missed more than a month and the Yankees went 25-15 with Luis Sojo and Jose Vizcaino filling in, doubling their three game lead in the East over that stretch. Last Year, Robinson Cano missed a similar amount of time and the Yankees went 23-11 with Cairo and Green at the keystone and turned a 2.5 game deficit in the division to a 2 game lead. That's not to say that those players aren't valuable, but that, as the above attempted to illustrate, it's not a disaster to field a replacement level player in the middle infield for a while.

Besides which, the Yankees happen to have one of the best keystone combinations in baseball. Derek Jeter was a legitimate MVP candidate last year and is a sure-fire first-ballot Hall of Famer and Robinson Cano is the best second baseman in the American League and likely second only to Chase Utley in all of baseball. The Yankees are not going to be able to properly replace either of those players regardless of the quality of their backup. The best they can do is hope to maintain some baseline level of ability in their absence. Miguel Cairo is the definition of that baseline.

My only comment is that Cliff left Alberto Gonzalez off the list of possible farm hands that could move up. He came over in the Randy Johnson deal.

Metsblog.com notes that compared to Utley, the Mets locked up Reyes and Wright for a very good price. However, note that both of the Mets infielders are four years younger than Utley. So they're going to hit the free-agent market very close to their peak (age 28) while Utley would be in his early 30s. Reyes and Wright are going to be much more valuable as free agents than Utley would have been, simply because of age.

Both Dayn Perry and Phil Rogers rank the baseball GMs today. I thought I'd combine the two to get a consensus. Rogers doesn't rank everyone, so I'll just give you the top 10. I combined the ranking by adding together the place on each list. Here's the resulting order:

Rank	GM
1-T	John Schuerholz
1-T	Terry Ryan
3	Billy Beane
4	Walt Jocketty
5	Dave Dombrowski
6	Brian Cashman
7	Kenny Williams
8	Pat Gillick
9	Larry Beinfest
10	Theo Epstein

Beane would be at the top of my list. Does anyone think there should be another GM in the top ten here?

Darnell Coles is optimistic the changes at the top of the Nationals' organization will lead to winning at the bottom. He's the manager of their A affiliate in Burlington, VT.

Coles said Washington Nationals president Stan Kasten, who was president of the Atlanta Braves for 17 years, is committed to rebuilding the organization into a respectable franchise from top to bottom.

"As far as staff goes, he has made some major changes. He has made changes as far as the draft and how they go about looking at the players they want to get and go out and get," Coles said.

"This organization is going to turn around in a hurry. They did it in Atlanta and they're going to do it again here."

We'll keep our eye on the Washington low minors to see if they improve this year.

The Detroit Tigers Weblog excerpts Jim Leyland being extremely candid about Neifi Perez. In fact, Jim's brutally honest.

Here's FishStripes take on the Miguel Cabrera arbitration situation:

The Marlins can negotiate with Miguel right up to the hearing, but if history is any indicator, they won't. Not that it matters that much. Cabrera will be with the Marlins one way or the other.

Now that Cabrera has reached his arbitration years expect that he and the club will go before the panel every year. That is assuming he keeps putting up similar numbers. Also expect him to break the "record" every year for years of service.

Here's an idea. Why not throw Cabrera into the negotiations for a new stadium? The government supplying the money should demand a long term contract for the third baseman as part of the deal. We'll build you a stadium, but you need to give us a star.

I was actually thinking of this over night in regards to the Twins and Johan Santana. The Twins are about to get a new ballpark thanks to the good taxpayers of the Twins Cities. In exchange, maybe Carl Pohlad should infuse some capital into the club so they can sign Santana, Mauer and Morneau long term, say the next five years. Give Santana a three-year extension at $25 million each. Offer Mauer and Morneau $12 million a year for five years. That way, the Twins get all of their best seasons, they still get to cash in on free agency, and the ballclub gets a chance to win a World Championship with this core. And the ownership can spin it as a thanks for the new stadium! Seems everyone wins.

With both Joe Mauer and Justin Morneau filing for arbitration, the Twins are going to see quite an increase in payroll this season. Even if the Twins feel they can't keep both long term, it would be wise to at least lock these two up through their arbitration years. Baseball appears to be in the sweet spot right now in terms of revenue growth, so it's likely that those two will get significant raises the next two years as well. While the best thing would be to lock in their stars for a long time, a three-year deal at least gives the front office some certainty as to payroll, and avoids these arbitration conflicts.

Also, just how old are the Giants?

The San Francisco Giants were the only team that did not have a player file for arbitration.

Robert Nutting officially took over as owner of the Pittsburgh Pirates yesterday, although it doesn't appear that much changed. Where Have You Gone, Andy Van Slyke responds to the letter:

Still, I'm a reasonable person and I think I'm a pretty fair guy. In fact, a lot of Pirate fans will read this letter I'm writing and tell me I'm too fair. I read the stuff you say to Dejan Kovacevic in the Post Gazette and I want to believe you. "It's my expectation to win." That's what you said. As a fan, I hope you'll forgive me if I say I have ample reason to think otherwise. Still, there's no way around the statement you've made. It's not open ended like "We Will." It says pretty clearly what you want to do with the team and it's hard for me to argue with that, because I want to see the Pirates win and I should hope that you do too. But you know what? Words don't mean anything anymore. I don't care if you say you want to win or expect to win every day. I want you to show me that you want to win. Fire Dave Littlefield. Talk to any reasonable baseball person and they'll tell you that Littlefield is an awful GM. Guess who's helped turn us into a punchline? Littlefield. If you want to win, I'd suggest you start by firing him. Next up, fire Ed Creech and Brian Graham. You profess to want a strong farm system to operate like Oakland and Minnesota. We don't have that and no one is more responsible for it than Creech and Graham.

As noted yesterday, the Pirates are doing a poor job of fixing the team this off-season, giving some justiication to the above desires.

Dave Littlefield is still looking for a first baseman:

From accounts on both sides, the Pirates and Atlanta never have gotten as close to a deal as they did Dec. 6, when Braves general manager John Schuerholz backed away from a proposal to swap LaRoche for closer Mike Gonzalez.

Since then, the sides have exchanged other proposals, with Atlanta's wish being Gonzalez plus another player, possibly center fielder Chris Duffy. The Pirates' position on that, as one team official put it, was that "we'd be creating two holes to fill one." The Braves also might entertain taking a starter for LaRoche, but the Pirates are highly reluctant to part with any of their top four: Zach Duke, Ian Snell, Paul Maholm and Tom Gorzelanny.

As someone inside the industry but outside either organization put it, "Doesn't look like there's a match."

And that seems to be the problem with all Pittsburgh's possible trading partners. There's not good match of talent. I'm sorry, this problem shouldn't be that difficult to solve. Littlefield is spending much too much time on an easy to fix position (first base) when the rest of his club isn't very good. It's like spending days trying to fix a leaky faucet when there's a hole in the roof. Why not give someone like Adam Boeve a shot? Or instead of going after a 27 year old major leaguer with an iffy career, scour the minors for someone stuck behind an established veteran (think Ryan Howard two years ago). Putting the organization on hold because you need to land a first basemen is a very poor strategy for running a team.

Update: Ross Hooten writes:

Indianapolis Indians fans would also remind Mr. Littlefield that one of our own is still available to play regularly in PNC Park: Brad Eldred Unfortunately for the Indians, Eldred was lost for the 2006 season in April with a wrist injury. The Pirates might recall that Eldred hit 12 homers in 55 major league games in 2005. http://pittsburgh.pirates.mlb.com/NASApp/mlb/team/player.jsp?player_id=434660 I'm a Reds fan so I guess the Pirates are thinking with Eldred that they'd rather not have an Adam Dunn style player in the middle of their lineup.

Here's a link with Eldred's complete minor league stats. There's lots of things you can do to fill a first base hole. Sometimes even in your own system.

Gary Peterson notes the Giants addiction:

Interestingly, this news occurs even as the Giants and Bonds' legal team are wrangling over the terms of the one-year, $16 million to $20 million contract that was announced last month. One of the hang-ups is said to be the size of, and privileges granted to, Bonds' posse. It doesn't take the dreamer long to connect those dots and come up with the delicious possibility of Bonds' return to the team being scuttled before it begins.

Don't hold your breath. Although Magowan may have talked bravely at the end of last season, the Giants never have demonstrated by their actions that they are interested in anything other than prostrating themselves before the great Bonds, accepting whatever public relations atrocities he commits off the field for whatever he can give them on the field.

In fact, they offered him far more money than was necessary to secure his return to the team, given his declining skills and the industrywide lack of interest in his services. Magowan explained he didn't want to "humiliate" Bonds. The feeling, clearly, is not mutual.

On top of that, one Bay Area talk show host notices a shift in attitude by the fans.

Gary Radnich, who hosts the station's 9 a.m.-noon slot, said the tone of callers and e-mails shows that Bonds may have few defenders left.

"In the past, the calls and e-mails would say we are all picking on Bonds, and everyone else does steroids, anyway," Radnich said. "Now you can just tell the way this stuff is going, Bonds' defenders are few and far between. They're not saying he's the worst guy in the world. They're just shrugging their shoulders and saying that they are tired of this."

The Giants kick Felipe Alou upstairs, making him special assistant to the GM:

"There will come a day I put that suitcase on a shelf," the 71-year-old manager said in September.

That day hasn't come yet. The Giants replaced Alou with manager Bruce Bochy, but they officially welcomed back their former All-Star player and skipper as a special assistant to general manager Brian Sabean.

The title is not ceremonial. Sabean said Alou would assist with scouting and player development while traveling extensively. Alou will have a voice in trades and other player acquisitions. And he might even wear a uniform in spring training.

"He's going to spend a lot more time on the West Coast than the East Coast," Sabean said. "We're going to have a lot of fun with the working relationship. It's going to be very unique after working together in the other capacity."

Alou joins the front office when Sabean most needs his experienced eye. Club officials are still reeling from the sudden loss of special assistant Pat Dobson, who died Nov. 22.

If you're going to be old on the field, why not have a crotchety old man in the front office as well? Of course, relieved of the stress of managing, Alou might turn into a nice guy.

Billy Beane's success as a GM earned him a place on a software company board:

NetSuite says it's changing traditions in the way software is being sold and likes the philosophical link.

"Billy's outrageously successful approach in changing the game of baseball by using facts to supplement instinct is very similar to the transformation our customers undergo when they move their business to NetSuite," said Evan Goldberg, chairman, co-founder and chief technology officer of NetSuite. "We are all excited about the insight Billy will bring to NetSuite and our customers."

But picking Beane isn't all about star power. The company already has some of that. It's majority-owned by software mogul Larry Ellison, the chief and co-founder of Redwood Shores-based Oracle Corp.

Beane said he was attracted to NetSuite because of Ellison, as well as the company's nonconforming approach of selling software as a service delivered via the Web instead of on software disks installed on company computers.

I understand Python is undervalued in the market place today, so expect NetSuite programmers to start writing in that language! :-)

One reasons the Yankees and Diamondbacks are a good fit for a trade is that neither team offers incentives in player contracts:

Because they are so concerned with "cost certainty" after the franchise rang up a tab of $270 million in deferred contracts under the direction of former managing partner Jerry Colangelo, the Diamondbacks, as an organizational philosophy, do not include contract incentive clauses for such things as winning a Cy Young or MVP award.

Most clubs -- but not all -- do.

"I know our awards bonus policy is modeled after the Yankees'," said Jeffrey Moorad, a managing partner in Arizona's ownership group. "Neither of us believes philosophically in awards bonuses.

"The no-incentive approach is a byproduct of a policy that stems from our desire to have certainty of payroll from the expense side. We've found that at times it has cost us a little more money because we're not in the incentive business."

The policy was "crafted" by Moorad and former general manager Joe Garagiola Jr. shortly after Moorad's arrival in 2004, according to Moorad, "and Josh Byrnes and his staff furthered it."

So because Johnson's contract does not contain incentives, the Diamondbacks are willing to assume it, if the Yankees help.

Red Reporter notes that Wayne Krivsky's words and actions don't match.

Lookout Landing changed its logo, and explains why they're down on Bill Bavasi:

A long time ago some guy once said we shouldn't judge GM's by their moves, but by their philosophies. I don't remember who said it, or where, or in what context, but it's absolutely true. How many transactions does one GM make before he gives way to another? 10? 20? 30? Willie Ballgame hit .455 over 33 at bats five years ago, and everybody knows that's a meaningless sample, so why should it be any different for executives? Sometimes good moves don't work out (Freddy Garcia trade) while bad moves do (dealing Jeremy Giambi for John Mabry). GM's just aren't around long enough for their level of success to be a direct measure of their ability.

And so it is with that in mind that I've come to be deathly afraid of Bill Bavasi's gameplan. So much so that I think it would be in the organization's best interests to send him packing now and start rebuilding the front office as soon as possible. Allow me to explain.

It's worth reading the whole article.

Ken Rosenthal discusses the possible long-term sale of the Orioles to Cal Ripken at FoxSports.com. What gets me is this:

Ripken, 46, would need significant financial backing; the combined price for the Orioles and their new regional television network could exceed $800 million, according to one industry analyst.

Angelos paid $173 million for the team in 1993. I don't know how much debt he's taken on over the years, but with the success of the team for most of that time, Angelos probably earned about $400 to $500 million in equity. In other words, the Orioles have more than enough money to easily compete with the Yankees and Red Sox. The Orioles, however, don't spend their money wisely. From what I've read, a lot has to do with Peter micromanaging the front office. No matter the excuse, there's no reason for the Orioles not to go after the best players in the game, just like New York and Boston do. They have the money to make it happen.

Johnny Almaraz seems to be the latest Reds official to leave as Wayne Krivsky passively pushes inherited personnel away:

When Barton's resignation came to light during baseball winter meetings in Orlando last week, Almaraz indicated to the Dayton Daily News that he, too, was not happy and that he might follow Barton's lead.

"I'm not included in any of the discussions and, in fact, when I walked into the suite during the winter meetings Wayne and his people would lower their voices to a whisper or take their discussions into the bedroom," Almaraz said.

I'm sorry, this just isn't right. It's perfectly fine for a GM to bring in his own people, but don't jerk people around. If you don't want their input, let them go. Krivsky may need to deal with these people in the future, and they're not going to be friendly toward him.

The Giants are getting very close to their salary budget:

The Giants have budgeted a payroll of about $85 million, with some wiggle room. If Bonds were to maximize his incentives and defer nothing, the Giants would have $86 million already committed to just 15 players. The club's payroll has never eclipsed $90 million.

Looks like they'll pay a number of players close to the minimum this season.

It's not clear how well the Devil Rays are developing their on-field talent, but off field they appear to be making the right moves:

This week, the team is expected to announce plans to move a regular-season series from St. Petersburg to Orlando, part of a territorial expansion that has seen their Single A affiliate move from Southwest Michigan to Vero Beach, while the team completes plans to shift its spring-training home from St. Petersburg to Port Charlotte by 2009.

''We do have a strategy to become a team that can draw upon the strength of the region,'' team president Matt Silverman said. ``And we have targeted initiatives to reach . . . out of the Tampa Bay area. Orlando and Charlotte County are two pivotal positions in our regional strategy.

``But we have many other ideas that we're going to roll out in the coming months and years to create that sense of attachment to the region.''

They're outreach to Orlando last year helped them increase attendance by 25%. If they can do that again, they'll be over 20,000 per game, which isn't great but it's acceptable. The article shows this management team is taking a slow but steady approach. With luck, that will work better on the field than the earlier "sign vets to try to win now" gambit.

U.S.S. Mariner started a campaign to replace Bill Bavasi, the Seattle GM with Chris Antonetti of the Indians.

Antonetti is going to be labeled as a "Moneyball" executive by the media, as he did not play professional baseball and has advanced degrees from elite universities. He got a bachelors in business administration from Georgetown and a masters in sports management from Massachusets, learning the academic side of how to be a successful manager. From there, he took a low level job with the Montreal Expos in their minor league operations department before joining the Indians organization in 1999 as, essentially, an intern. From 1999 until now, he has worked his way from the title of Assistant, Baseball Operations to Assistant GM (a position he earned in 2002), and has held numerous roles during that time. The Indians have had him work in both administrative and player development positions, and he's spent numerous hours working with both scouts and statistical analysts.

No one understands how to use both subjective scouting information and quantifiable statistical data together as well as the Indians, and Antonetti has been successful in both sides of the baseball operations department. Under the leadership of John Hart and now Mark Shapiro, the Indians have become baseball's most well-oiled machine. Antonetti has been a vital cog in that machine for the past seven years.

6-4-2 Is worried about Antonetti's press skills:

Having watched while the lazy, prejudiced LA media filleted Paul DePodesta from without (starting on the very first day), and very likely, Tommy Lasorda busied himself undermining DePo from within, I note in passing the author presents no evidence to support this assertion. While I imagine the Seattle reporters are far tamer than the abject hacks and character assassins masquerading as newspaper writers down here, at some point, the wins have to flow or else blood will.

Some of that is always chance; if you get lucky, your opponents have their own afflictions, and worse than yours. But Seattle is uniquely unlucky now, in that Arte has a big bankroll and is plying his trade in ever-wider swaths of the largest media market in the division, the A's hope to harvest the fruits of their new park soon, and the Rangers have a sort of idiot Roman emperor as an owner, willing to spend with or without result. The hook, no matter who they haul in to replace Bavasi, perhaps as early as the middle of next year, will be shorter in coming than it was for the job's current occupant. Giving that to someone of unknown press relations skills is perhaps asking for even more trouble.

Press skills can be learned. The difference between ESPN and Fox on air personnel is that Fox tends to take people who know television and teaches them sports, while ESPN takes people who know sports and teaches them television. Whatever Chris' abilities are right now to handle the press, he can learn how to deal with them. The Mariners, if they are going to make a change, should concentrate on hiring someone who knows baseball inside and out. Then send them for a crash course on talking to the press. Antonetti's smart enough to learn that.

Lou Piniella appears to be the person who encouraged Jim Hendry to go to the hospital:

A friend of Hendry's told us that the GM hadn't been feeling very good for the past few days. Gary Hughes, Hendry's special assistant, said that Hendry thought he had indigestion Tuesday night at dinner and that Hughes and Piniella discussed taking the GM to the hospital then.

No, no, Hendry told them, and by later Tuesday night, he was feeling better. But the discomfort was back when he woke up Wednesday morning.

"We drove him over to the hospital," Piniella said. "We were concerned. It turned out to be the right decision."

Maybe it will be the most important decision Piniella makes as Cubs manager, and he nailed it. If even 75 percent of his decisions in the manager's chair are this on the mark, maybe this really can be the Cubs' year.

Scott Miller also notes that the Cubs have spent more money on players this off season than Tampa Bay spent in Piniella's entire tenure.

The Dodgers may file a grievence against the Red Sox over J.D. Drew:

The Boston Red Sox might still view the New York Yankees as the Evil Empire. But other Major League Baseball people apparently think of the Red Sox as a team that can operate outside of the rules, according to a report in The New York Times.

One unnamed general manager told the newspaper that several people at the recently completed winter meetings urged the Los Angeles Dodgers to file a tampering charge against the Red Sox after veteran J.D. Drew signed with them.

"We haven't reached a decision yet," Ned Colletti, the Dodgers' general manager, told The Times before leaving the winter meetings in Orlando, Fla.

Theo denies the charges. It seems to me Drew opting out of his contract made perfect sense.

The Winter Meetings left Bill Bavasi with a bad feelings:

"This was one of the more miserable winter meetings I've ever been to," Mariners GM Bill Bavasi said. "Between the lack of activity and the volcanic (free agent) market, it was tough."

Was there any upside at all?

"We're not done," said Bavasi, who hopes to land another starter, and who might go after a right-handed reliever now that Soriano is gone.

At least they weren't horrible:

I feel that life is divided into the horrible and the miserable. That's the two categories. The horrible be like, I don't know, terminal cases, you know, and blind people, crippled. I don't know how they get through life. It's amazing to me. And the miserable is everyone else. So you should be thankful that you're miserable, because that's very lucky, to be miserable.

Of course, it's possible that miserable meetings lead to horrible teams.

The Winter Meetings left Bill Bavasi with a bad feelings:

"This was one of the more miserable winter meetings I've ever been to," Mariners GM Bill Bavasi said. "Between the lack of activity and the volcanic (free agent) market, it was tough."

Was there any upside at all?

"We're not done," said Bavasi, who hopes to land another starter, and who might go after a right-handed reliever now that Soriano is gone.

At least they weren't horrible:

I feel that life is divided into the horrible and the miserable. That's the two categories. The horrible be like, I don't know, terminal cases, you know, and blind people, crippled. I don't know how they get through life. It's amazing to me. And the miserable is everyone else. So you should be thankful that you're miserable, because that's very lucky, to be miserable.

Of course, it's possible that miserable meetings lead to horrible teams.

Peter Schmuck rakes Peter Angelos over the coals for being too controlling. He nixed a good trade, and then did this:

The Orioles are back at odds with the Maryland Stadium Authority over the installation of a new video scoreboard at Oriole Park, and the team might go to arbitration to prevent the authority from purchasing the Mitsubishi DiamondVision screen without club approval.

That might seem reasonable enough, considering the Orioles' stadium lease calls for the team to be consulted on such matters, except that there were three Orioles officials on the committee that unanimously approved the selection.

Don't laugh, because this isn't funny anymore. This is the way Angelos has been doing business for most of the past decade, and he is probably the only person inside or outside his organization who doesn't realize how much his disjointed management style has hurt the team, the fans and every merchant who is trying to make a living in the area around the stadium.

Since he pays the bills, he has the right to make the decision. But why hire people to do a job if you're not going to listen to them?

Brian Cashman is more interested in keeping his young talent than trading it:

Of course, Jeffrey Loria, the Marlins' owner, never will completely shut the door on potential Willis suitors. "Not if someone wants to really overwhelm us," is what he says, which, translated, means, "Who's to say if someone is willing to do something really stupid like trading three can't-miss prospects?" Not the Yankees or the Mets.

What's interesting from the Yankees' standpoint is that, for the first time in recent memory, they are actually in a position to put together that sort of package as a result of Brian Cashman's determined restocking of the once-barren farm system with blue-chip prospects such as pitchers Philip Hughes, Humberto Sanchez, Tyler Clippard, Jeff Karstens, Ian Kennedy, Joba Chamberlain, Dellin Betances and Kevin Whelan and outfielders Jose Tabata and Brett Gardner.

The George Steinbrenner of yesteryear would be telling Cashman to call Loria and make precisely that sort of overwhelming offer for Willis. But as Cashman reiterated yesterday, the Yankees are doing business in a different way now.

"We're trying to build from within to the point where we have a lot of choices so we're not forced to go into the free agent market which is typically unproductive," he said.

The scary thing for the rest of the AL is that both the Yankees and Red Sox are pursuing this tactic. The Twins and Athletics showed how you can stay in contention developing young talent. Add a ton of money to that, and you have a chance to build super teams.

Before Cashman made his deal to gain more control of the Yankees, his merits as a GM were hotly debated. I'd say so far he's used his power wisely.

It's officially time to throw J.P. Ricciardi out of the Moneyball club.

Ricciardi also would like to sign a middle infielder this week. He planned on having Aaron Hill play shortstop but said he'll probably play second now.

"We like Royce Clayton. We like a lot of guys," Ricciardi said. "We're going to address that in the next few days."

We like Royce Clayton? Please excuse me while I go bang my head against the wall.

Update: The Jays actually signed Clayton:

Clayton's career on-base percentage is .313, and he has little power. However, the Jays should be formidable enough offensively after signing free-agent designated hitter Frank Thomas - presuming they keep center fielder Vernon Wells.

Clayton no longer is an elite defender, and his weaknesses could be highlighted playing on artificial turf at SkyDome. He still makes the routine plays, but had the third-lowest zone rating among the 15 qualifying National League shortstops last season.

So he's a lousy offensive player, and he's not a great defensive player, but at $1.5 million at least he's a cheap lousy player!

Larry Dobrow puts the problems of the Pirates squarely on Dave Littlefield's shoulders:

The Pittsburgh Pirates might be one of baseball's two or three franchises truly beyond resuscitation, and I can tell you why in three words: Dave Motherbleepin' Littlefield.

In his five tragic years as the team's executive zookeeper, Littlefield has committed the following offenses against common sense, among others: dealing away Aramis Ramirez for a bag of hair, dealing away Jason Schmidt for a bag of combs, prematurely giving up on Bronson "Brandon" Arroyo, and tying up the team's admittedly limited resources in negligible vets like Joe Randa, Jeromy Burnitz and Benito Santiago.

Amazingly, Dobrow notes the Pirates still have a chance to win the division, since the NL Central is so bad.

Just how smart do the Cardinals look right now? In February 2004 they sign Albert Pujols to a seven-year, $100 million dollar contract. Otherwise, he'd be a free agent right now. Can you imagine what kind of money Albert would command in this class? Ten years, $300 million?

And just how foolish were the Fish not to try to sign Miguel Cabrera to a long term deal? When he's a free agent at the end of 2009, how much money will he command? If the Marlins offered him a 10-year, $80 million dollar contract last winter, do you think he would have taken it? Do you then think in this market, the Marlins could trade him at any time for loads of prospects? With this market Miguel would be silly to sign anything longer than three years. And he won't be a Marlins in 2010 at the peak age of 27. He'll eclipse A-Rod's contract.

It won't be official until Friday, but Bob Geren appears to be the new manager of the Oakland Athletics:

A's closer Huston Street said he heard Thursday from Geren, who told the pitcher he got the job.

"I'm really excited," said Street, the 2005 AL Rookie of the Year. "He's already called me and we've spoken a little bit. I spent my first full year in the big leagues with him in the bullpen. He was the first professional coach I got a feel for and got to understand. What he brings is someone dedicated to the team and dedicated to his players. He's got a good feel for the team and that's a real positive for all of us."

Beane promoted Macha from the bench as well. I hope someone asks how much Geren is on board with the front office approach to managing the game? Maybe someone will ask at the news conference. Since Beane and Geren are such great friends, I wonder what it's going to be like when Billy needs to fire Bob someday? That would be rough.

Manny Acta officially became the manager of the Washington Nationals today.

Acta has managed in the minors and in the Dominican Winter League, and he led the Dominican Republic to the semifinals at the World Baseball Classic this year.

During that tournament, Acta benched a struggling Alfonso Soriano -- the All-Star who hit 46 homers and stole 41 bases for the Nationals in 2006 and has filed for free agency.

Acta said Soriano was the first player who called to congratulate him on being hired by the Nationals -- although the new manager indicated he figures the size of a contract offer will have more to do with where Soriano winds up.

At 37, Acta becomes the youngest manager in the majors.

The Padres reached an agreement with pitching coach Darren Balsley. Their was a report of trouble between San Diego and the Knoxville native recently.

The Padres and Balsley, whose staff led the league in ERA this year, have reached agreement on a two-year contract that will be announced today. Negotiations took a detour after Balsley retained an adviser/agent, but Towers and Balsley worked through it after new manager Bud Black endorsed Balsley.

The GM Meetings get underway today. With the free agent market thin, I expect there will be more trades than usual. Also, watch out for the Matsuzaka winner coming to light today.

Kevin Towers and San Diego pitching coach Darren Balsley are involved in a heated contract dispute. Towers is upset Balsley hired an agent, and Balsley is upset the Padres want him to live in San Diego full-time:

Towers insists Balsley live in the San Diego area year-round so he can work the pitchers during the offseason in exchange for a multi-year contract Balsley deserves.

That's a hang-up for Balsley, who was born in Newport Beach, Calif., about halfway between San Diego and Los Angeles, and grew up rooting for the Padres while attending Mt. Carmel High School in San Diego.

Balsley prefers Knoxville, where he has lived for the past 10 years.

"Working for the Padres and living out there would be ideal, but it's just not that easy," he said.

Balsley and wife Carrie are the parents of three children: Allison, 10; Sarah, 7; and Jacob, 5.

"At this point it would be difficult to move my family there," he said.

Balsley enjoys living in East Tennessee.

"My wife is from the South," he said. "I played here, I love Knoxville and it's a nice place to live."

There is another factor.

"The cost of living out there is outrageous," Balsley said.

I'm coming down on Balsley's side here. First of all, you hire an agent because they have expertise in contract negotiations. Sure, the GM doesn't want to deal with that, but too bad. And secondly, how many Padres pitchers live in San Diego full time? I would suspect many make their home somewhere else. I agree with the author of the piece that Towers wants to bring in new blood without looking like he just fired a successful coach.

It looks like the Washington Nationals are set to hire Manny Acta as their new manager. He's pulled out of an interview with the Oakland Athletics:

A source with knowledge of the negotiations confirmed that Acta's deal with the Nationals is "almost done."

He would be the fourth hire this year getting his first chance at managing a major league team.

Dodger Thoughts thinks about how the LA press would treat the JD drew story differently if DePodesta was still the GM:

I'm probably going to regret saying this, but if Paul DePodesta had been caught off guard by Drew's departure in the exact, exact same fashion as Ned Colletti was, however innocently, however insignificantly, with that month going by without a phone call, we would be hearing all about how rotten a communicator DePodesta was.

"I told [Colletti] there was a strong demand in the marketplace for guys with J.D.'s skills," said Scott Boras, Drew's agent. "They never made any proposals to us. I let them know we would be open to listening."

But I expect Colletti will be let off the hook - which is fine, just different.

Paul was a rotten communicator because he didn't talk to the press well. Therefore, he must be a rotten communicator overall. Ned is great at talking to the press, so this couldn't be a lack of communication.

It looks like the Cleveland Indians are thinking of hiring Buck Showalter for what he does best:

Former Rangers manager Buck Showalter is talking to the Indians about an advisory position, FOXSports.com has learned.

Showalter, fired last month by the Rangers with three years remaining on his contract, would assist both Indians general manager Mark Shapiro and manager Eric Wedge.

Buck's a great details guy. If he did nothing else but work on the best way to position fielder for each hitter, he'd help the Indians. With Texas paying his salary, it's a cheap way to bring a load of talent into both the front office and the dugout.

An excellent post at U.S.S. Mariner on why teams should budget wins rather than money.

The San Diego Padres hire Bud Black to manage the team:

Black will be introduced at the team's awards banquet Thursday night, the official said, speaking on condition of anonymity because an official announcement hadn't been made.

Black, who lives outside San Diego, has been the Angels' pitching coach for the last seven seasons. He played at San Diego State with Tony Gwynn and pitched in the big leagues for 15 seasons, helping the Kansas City Royals win the 1985 World Series.

Dusty Baker, considered the leading candidate, said he was told Wednesday morning that he didn't get the job.

"Life's full of disappointments sometime and you have to deal with them," Baker said.

During his tenure as pitching coach, the Angels compiled the second best ERA in the American League (behind the Oakland Athletics), and the seventh best in the majors. Black also took the job of the dugout interviewee during ESPN Sunday Night Baseball and Fox broadcasts. It looks like the Padres are trying to maximize their strength, which is pitching.

Jamie Quirk describes what it's like to be interviewed for the Oakland Athletics manager's opening:

Quirk, who interviewed for the Arizona job two years ago, described Tuesday's interview as unlike any that he's ever done. "It was just sitting around and shooting the breeze," Quirk said. "It was not a quiz of who knows more baseball. Just bouncing ideas off each other. I felt real comfortable with it. I thought it went well."

I find that fascinating. I'd expect the A's to test if the managerial candidate possessed sabermetric knowledge. Even challenge him to a game of Strat-o-Matic. It sounds like the type of interview you should conduct with a candidate.

The Nationals fired broadcaster Tom Paciorek:

Paciorek, a former outfielder for six major league teams, was hired by the Mid-Atlantic Sports Network as an analyst before this past season, joining longtime Cardinals broadcaster Bob Carpenter. By most fan accounts, the tandem worked well together, and both men said they became close friends while covering the Nationals for 162 games.

MASN executive producer Chris Glass notified Paciorek he would not be retained, although the decision was made by officials from the Nationals, not the network. Paciorek said he was originally told that the rationale for his dismissal was that the team simply "wanted to move in the right direction."

"I'm thinking, I've been in this business for 17 years, and I think I deserve better than that," he said.

When he pressed MASN officials further about the reasoning, Paciorek said he was told the team was interested in an analyst more knowledgeable about pitching and catching.

MLB Extra Innings carries most MASN broadcasts, and that duo was fine. It seems with the manager firing and the hiring of new scouts, the new ownership is putting its mark on the team. Some good news for Harold Reynolds fans:

A replacement for Paciorek has not been named, but there are several high-profile broadcasters who could be looking for work, including former ESPN baseball analyst Harold Reynolds and Hall of Fame pitcher Don Sutton, who was dismissed by TBS and the Atlanta Braves last month.

Given that they're looking for someone more knowledgeable about pitching, Sutton seems the logical choice.

Evan Grant reports Ron Washington will be hired as the manager of the Texas Rangers:

He is viewed as an excellent communicator full of positive energy. Daniels made it clear during the news conference announcing Showalter's dismissal that he was searching for better communication.

That's always been Showalter's downfall. He's a fine strategist, he just doesn't manage people well. The article notes that as a coach in Oakland, the Athletics posted very good fielding percentages. Their DER was very good in 2005, good in 2004 and middle of the road in 2006. The Rangers DER was no where near as good over the same period. If Washington can get the Rangers to turn a few more balls in play into outs, he'll improved the pitching staff without changing a thing.

For an example of how Washington motivates, check out the section in the book Moneyball on how he taught Scott Hatteberg to play first base.

The Padres invited Dusty Baker for an interview:

Such a man does not normally consent to courtesy interviews. Such a man would not allow himself to be used simply to illustrate the Padres' commitment to diversity. If Dusty Baker is going to be a party to this process - if he's going to go through with a Monday interview as the sixth candidate under consideration to succeed Bochy - he has to believe he's the front-runner.

That all of this flies in the face of everything the Padres have done so far only makes it that much more intriguing.

In failing to offer Bochy a contract extension, in allowing him to depart for a division rival, and in drawing up a list of possible replacements who have mostly induced shrugs and elicited yawns, the Padres had encouraged their fans to be cynical.

Their strategy appeared focused on finding a field manager who would both know his place and accept a salary substantially lower than Bochy's. They seemed to be screening candidates based on potential cost and prolonged obscurity: Bud Black, Trey Hillman, Jose Oquendo, Tim Wallach and Ron Wotus.

This was the business model Walter O'Malley used when he ran the Dodgers (at considerable profit), one in which he equated employees to a row of peas in a length of pipe. By squeezing a low-cost pea into the near end, O'Malley would cause a high-cost pea to tumble out the other end.

"That, gentlemen, is how you make money," O'Malley said.

I believe it's simply a diversity interview. Oquendo is the only minority among the five. By interviewing Dusty also, the Padres keep the commissioner off their back.

Rays of Light posts a lengthy transcript of a radio interview with the Rays management team. Lots of interesting things, with highlights for those of you looking for a quick read.

George Steinbrenner's grand daughter gave a knock-out performance in Cabaret on Sunday.

Pauper Players' Sunday afternoon performance of "Cabaret" was cut short when Department of Public Safety officials responded to a call that a man was suffering from chest pains, DPS spokesman Randy Young said.

Sophomore Emily Riehl, who was in the audience, said the man was New York Yankees principal owner, George Steinbrenner.

Steinbrenner, 76, was in attendance to watch his granddaughter, junior Haley Swindal, perform the lead role of Sally Bowles.

Young said the man was "conscious, alert and breathing" when DPS officials arrived at Playmakers Theatre between 3:30 and 3:41 p.m.

The incident left some audience members shaken and forced the company to cancel the performance.

Steinbrenner is reported to be fine and at home. Hat tip, Deadspin, which is interested in your taste in Broadway show tunes.

It's nice to see Bruce Bochy has a little Earl Weaver in him:

While not considered a "Moneyball" manager -- he was accused of relying too heavily on veterans in San Diego -- Bochy subscribes to some of its stat-based tenets. Over the past five seasons, the Padres had the fewest sacrifice hits of any National League club.

"I don't like to give away outs," he said.

That's good news for the Giants. San Francisco was fourth in the NL in sacrifices last year, the Padres 14th. Of the four teams that made the playoffs in 2006 from the NL, the Mets with 77 sac bunts ranked sixth in the NL. Giving away outs in 2006 wasn't a great way to win.

Tony La Russa sends Weaver out for the 8th inning, but the broadcast notes that no one was warming up in the St. Louis bullpen. That's how Dusty got in trouble in game 6 of the 2003 NLCS. After an out, Flores starts warming.

Update: Weaver still going strong, strikes out Monroe.

Update: Jeff strikes out Guillen for the third out in the 8th. That's nine strikeouts for Weaver through eight innings.

There now appears to be a line of succession in the Yankees clubhouse:

Guessing Joe Torre's successor has long been a parlor game for Yankees fans. But never in Torre's 11 years as Yankees manager has a plan for succession seemed as clear as it does now.

Don Mattingly learned yesterday he will replace Lee Mazzilli as bench coach, several people familiar with the situation said, moving him one important step closer to the manager's seat.

So Don is now Prince of Wales?

PENELOPE: (Flirting vigorously) Do you know you look like the Prince of Wales.

CHICO: Better.

PENELOPE: In fact you have a very distinguishé appearance.

CHICO: Him I no got.

PENELOPE: Tell me. What are you doing tonight?

CHICO: You got idea?

PENELOPE: Don't you dare come to room three hundred and twenty at eleven o'clock.

CHICO: All right. I'll be there at ten-thirty.

(Both exit. PENELOPE and HARPO enter)

PENELOPE: Did anyone ever tell you that you look like the Prince of Wales? (Business) Tell me, do you know who I am? (Business) Do you know where my room is? (Business) Well, I'll be there about eleven o'clock, but of course that would not interest you.

(Business. They exit. GROUCHO and MRS. POTTER enter)

GROUCHO: Did anyone ever tell you that you look like the Prince of Wales? Of course, I don't mean this Prince of Wales. One of the old Wales. And believe me when I say Wales, I mean Wales. I know a whale when I see one.

I don't know how good a manager Don Mattingly might or might not be. But it's not like other clubs in need of a skipper are going out of their way to interview him. My guess is that when Torre leaves, the Yankees will interview four or five candidates like everyone else. Mattingly might have a leg up, but that doesn't mean he'll get the job.

Bruce Bochy agreed last night to become the new manager of the San Francisco Giants.

Sources said late Thursday night that San Diego Padres manager Bruce Bochy has agreed to a three-year contract to replace Felipe Alou and will be introduced as Giants manager at a press conference today. The deal is believed to be worth between $6 million and $7 million.

Bochy, 51, met with general manager Brian Sabean and others in the front office in San Francisco on Thursday and accepted an offer to manage the Giants and move north after 24 years with the Padres as a catcher, minor-league manager, major-league coach and, since 1995, major-league manager.

He was the second longest tenured manager behind Bobby Cox. Mark Sweeney, who played for both, describes the differences between Alou and Bochy:

Asked to compare Bochy to Alou, Sweeney said, "Felipe was a players' manager. He just wasn't a communicator like most players' managers are. There are just two different styles in communication. I think Bochy just has an understanding of how hard it was as a player just playing the game.

"With Bochy, everybody pretty much knows where he stands and he lets his coaches coach."

I wonder when Brian and Bruce will be heading for Sonoma?

During his twelve years at the helm, the Padres were about as middle of the road as you can imagine. Bochy's record with the team is 951-975. They made a trip to the World Series in 1998, and won division titles the last two seasons. His lineup selection is fine. He uses the stolen base well, and he doesn't bunt too much. In other words, you give Bochy talent and he's going to maximize that talent. It's just that the Padres haven't had that much during his tenure.

But they do have more talent than the Giants right now. A couple of more good acquisitions might put the Padres over the top, while the Giants are in a rebuilding mode. It makes you wonder if Bruce was really welcome in San Diego any more.

Joe Girardi withdrew his name from the Washington Nationals' manager pool:

Former Florida Marlins manager Joe Girardi, considered for weeks the favorite to become the next manager of the Washington Nationals, took his name out of consideration for the job yesterday, saying it was a decision based on keeping his young family together but simultaneously saying he could still end up on a baseball field next season.

Girardi had two meetings over the last three weeks, one with General Manager Jim Bowden and the other with Bowden and team president Stan Kasten. Girardi said the talks went well and that the decision to pull out was "very, very difficult."

I hoped Girardi took this job so he could manage against the Marlins next year. My guess is that Joe's been away from his family for a long time, between playing, coaching, broadcasting and managing. If someone is going to pull him away from that, it's going to need to be the perfect job or a whole lot of money. After all, he's getting paid to sit on his behind for the next two years, why not enjoy the new baby and the best Miami has to offer?

Lou Piniella hired Alan Trammell to coach the Cubs.

In a related note, Trammell autographed a ball for Jim Storer before game 2 of the World Series. Jim's impression of Trammell was that he's a very quiet and shy man but very nice. Good luck to Alan in his new job!

Via Red Reporter, a Mercury News reporter remembers just how badly Billy Beane treated Ken Macha. Beane took over Macha's office for an interview, and a few minutes later Macha came in:

I started asking, but a few minutes later Macha and Curt Young came back, with plates of food and just in their underwear, obviously looking to eat, change clothes and relax.

They stared at us, I stared at them, Billy just kept eating and talking.

Macha tenatively sat down behind his desk for a few seconds. Very uncomfortable. Shot another glance at Beane. Glared at me. I shrugged, said to Beane, "Umm, maybe we should do this somewhere else."

Beane looked up like this was the first he'd noticed Macha was there-or cared that he was there-dropped his plate, then just waved at Macha, pointing him out the door. Remember, this was Macha's own office. After winning for something like the 33rd time in 40 games.

"Ken, you can let us do this, right?" Beane said as he waved.

Beane turned back to me and never looked at Macha again as Macha and Young sighed, got up, and moved out.

That was the relationship. Right there. Beane is the man. Macha always knew it, even when he was in his own office.

Ken Macha tells Carl Steward that the problem leading to the manager's dismissal was with the front office, not with the players:

What Macha did do was grant an interview to MediaNews to clarify a few things.

First was the notion that his firing was a direct result of published statements from his former players.

"What I want to do is take the high road," he said. "Let's focus on the eight years that I was there, the four years I was the manager, and what we did, all the success and the rookies of the year and the players we developed and all the other stuff. Let's not just look at the last day. Don't judge me by that. Don't do that. I know why I was fired and Billy knows why I was fired.

"I wasn't fired because these players were upset. I know that. Billy Beane knows that. And I'm OK with that decision."

So why was he really fired?

"I can't come out and say that, because Billy didn't come out and say it," he said. "I think you can figure it out, though."

What's clear is that Macha's relationship with the front office, and not so much with the players, had become untenable.

Macha makes the case that he communicated just fine:

In September, following an incident at home plate when Macha had to restrain outfielder Milton Bradley from going after an umpire, Bradley made a voluntary trip into the manager's office.

"He came in and sat down, and while he had a hard time saying it, he told me, 'Thanks for stopping me from hitting the umpire or running into him," Macha recalled. "I said, 'Milton, that's no problem. I did what I thought was best for the team, and as I've told you all along, 'I've got your back.'"

Macha said the manner in which he managed Payton, Bradley and Frank Thomas, who had myriad issues as a member of the Chicago White Sox, speaks closer to his true abilities as a communicator.

"Lost in this whole cloud is that I had these three supposedly problem players this year," he said. "I had those three guys, they were probably my three most productive guys. And I handled 'em. That gets lost in the fog here."

As I've noted before, the Athletics exceeded their win prediction, run prediction, and allowed fewer runs than expected under Macha. He must have done something right.

Andrew Baggarly looks at the strengths and weaknesses of the candidates for Giants manager. He also mentions this:

But general manager Brian Sabean is looking beyond the resumes. He wants a manager who has strong opinions and knows how to run a game. He also wants a baseball mind with whom he can collaborate over a glass of wine.

I wonder if this was something he did with Baker and Alou? Take a drive up to the Russian River valley, taste the newest offerings and talk some baseball. Sounds like a perfect weekend to me.

Hendry on Piniella, sort of. :-)

After the announcement, Cubs GM Jim Hendry praised Piniella's sound judgment and pure baseball instinct, saying that "his ability to make quick, smart decisions like this one is exactly why we hired him."

Apart from the manager search, the Oakland Athletics are pretty much set for next season:

The A's have three free agents. Barry Zito is gone, Frank Thomas is probably coming back, and Jay Payton's status will depend on his asking price and what else is available.

"We've only talked briefly about some of our personnel issues," general manager Billy Beane said. "We haven't got really in depth at addressing some our key needs yet."

The key decisions: a starter to replace Zito, an outfielder if Payton isn't brought back, and which players already under the team's control to offer a multiyear contract.

Approximately $44.5 million is committed to nine players: catcher Jason Kendall; outfielder Mark Kotsay; infielders Eric Chavez, Mark Ellis, and Bobby Crosby; and pitchers Rich Harden, Dan Haren, Jay Witasick and Esteban Loaiza.

Last year's payroll was in the mid-$60 million range, but many young players are due significant raises.

Nine are eligible for salary arbitration: outfielders Milton Bradley and Bobby Kielty; infielders Antonio Perez and Marco Scutaro; backup catcher Adam Melhuse; and pitchers Justin Duchscherer, Kiko Calero, Kirk Saarloos and Joe Kennedy.

Of course, if market inefficiencies appear, expect the front office to try to exploit those.

The Giants received permission to speak with Bud Black, the pitching coach of the LAnaheim Angels. I'm wondering how Jeff Weaver's turnaround should reflect on Bud. Jeff was so bad with the Angels he was released. He didn't pitch great for the Cardinals, but he was much better and in the post season he's been excellent. If San Francisco interview Black, should the first question be, "Why didn't Jeff Weaver respond to your coaching?"

The Red Sox held a news conference yesterday but refused to talk about specific issues.

The Red Sox front office declined to answer questions yesterday concerning a number of topics, including payroll, their interest in Japanese righthander Daisuke Matsuzaka, whether they were going to deal Manny Ramírez, their free agents, and pitcher Jon Lester, who was stricken with cancer during the season.

Lucchino and Henry both declined to speak about threshold tax and the team's payroll because both of them indicated there are currently ``sensitive" basic agreement issues being discussed in New York. The basic labor agreement expires at the end of this year.

What is clear is that Theo's philosophy, the thing that caused the rift last October, took hold:

Watching the success of the World Series-bound Tigers struck a chord with Epstein. ``The primary goal of ours is to be able to develop home-grown talent and integrate it on the major league roster," said Epstein, who will turn 33 Dec. 29. ``There's an additional challenge in certain markets, including here, where there's a strong desire to have a competitive team every single year. It's a little more difficult to be patient. It doesn't make it any less important. For us to be the organization we want to be, we have to be good at being patient.

``It doesn't mean ever giving up on any one season. It doesn't mean lowering your goals because we're trying to get to the playoffs every single year. It means being good at being patient. We've had a good track record at being patient in some respects, but we've also had some missteps. It's clear going forward what we need to do to being better at it and we're all committed to it."

Lucchino, on the other hand, is just too clever:

Lucchino, asked whether the team would consider lowering prices if they knew they were in a rebuilding mode, said, ``We're pretty mindful of the escalation of ticket prices. If you've seen what happened since we've been here, you see a declining trend in levels of increases.

Why not just tell the truth. As long as every game sells out, the Red Sox will keep raising prices. Because if every game sells out, the tickets are probably priced too low.

Lou Piniella officially took over the Cubs today:

"Urgency is important," said Piniella, who was introduced today as the team's latest manager. "We're going to win here, and that's the end of the story."

Piniella agreed Monday to a three-year contract worth nearly $10 million, with an option for a fourth year.

"I'm just a little piece of the puzzle. My job is to come in here and unite this team," he said at a news conference.

Piniella said he was assured by general manager Jim Hendry that the Cubs would make moves necessary to improve the team. He brushed off a report that he wanted the Cubs to acquire embattled Yankees star Alex Rodriguez, saying there hadn't been "any discussions about A-Rod." Piniella was Rodriguez's first manager, with the Seattle Mariners in the mid-1990s.

I assume, however, Piniella and Hendry discussed the kinds of players they'd like to acquire. It will be interesting to watch as the two make moves this off season.

Ben Kabak looks at the possibility that Tony Pena moves to Washington to take over the Nationals while Joe Girardi becomes bench coach and heir apparent to Joe Torre in New York.

The Red Sox hired John Farrell as their new pitching coach yesterday. Farrell leaves the front office of Cleveland to become a professional pitching coach for the first time:

Farrell has never been a pitching coach in the minors or majors, but he was at Oklahoma State from 1997-2001. His organization and pitching knowledge were seen as keys in helping Boston's younger pitchers.

``We wanted someone who could take a very broad view of the job and be able to make a real impact on our pitching staff in terms of wins and losses," Epstein said. ``John has a really good feel for what makes pitchers succeed from a mental standpoint as well as a physical standpoint.

``He's faced a lot of those challenges himself both as a player and as a collegiate coach and as a farm director. He's well-qualified to work with our pitchers on making the adjustments necessary to succeed."

Farrell was never a strikeout pitcher, but in his four good seasons he kept his walks low and the ball in the park. If he can help Beckett with the long ball, he'll be worth it.

The Phillies hired three ex-managers as coaches yesterday, and Jim Salisbury sees this as putting Manuel on the hot seat:

If Pat Gillick's lukewarm endorsement on the final day of the regular season wasn't enough to make you believe that Charlie Manuel's seat will he hotter than a waffle iron come April, then this little bit of mathematics should be.

The new members of the Phillies' coaching staff have a combined 4,305 games of big-league managerial experience.

Gillick says that Jimy Williams, Art Howe and Davey Lopes are here to help Manuel and the 25 players who will try to break an embarrassing 13-year playoff drought next season. We believe Gillick. We really do. He is personally fond of Manuel - it's difficult not to be - and would like nothing more than to see his good-guy skipper ride down Broad Street with confetti on his shoulders and a contract extension in his hand.

But if the 2007 Phillies get off to another slow start... Watch out, Charlie. You may be flying in first class with your replacement.

Let me suggest something else. Maybe these three are better coaches than managers. The Yankees did the same thing when the hired Pena, Bowa and Mazzilli, three failed managers, but pretty good coaches. Just because you're a good coach doesn't mean you can be a good manager:

The employee's incompetence is not necessarily exposed as a result of the higher-ranking position being "more difficult" -- it may be simply that the position is different from the position in which the employee previously excelled, and thus requires different skills, which the employee may not possess. An example used by Peter involves a factory worker whose excellence at his work results in him being promoted into a management position, in which the skills that got him promoted in the first place are no longer of any use and even prevent the employee from successfully performing his duties as a manager.

I think of Ray Knight and Don Zimmer here. Each had qualities that made them great coaches, but when given full control of the team they faltered. Maybe Gillick is hiring them for their ability to coach, rather than as possible replacements for the manager.

Dusty Baker would like to manage the Athletics:

The A's need a new manager, and former Giants skipper Dusty Baker says he'd "be interested."

"In the Bay Area, oh, yeah. It would be nice for me and my family." Baker said by telephone Monday.

Ken Macha apparently didn't communicate enough in the A's clubhouse. Communication is Baker's strong suit. He is the consummate player's manager, a natural leader.

"My best is yet to come," Baker said. "Whoever gets me is gonna get a manager who's on a mission to win. I'm a better manager because of what happened the last couple of years."

Cubs fans will warn you, however, beware mixing Baker with young pitching arms.

The players who got along with Macha talk about the problems with the manager:

Third baseman Eric Chavez, the longest-tenured member of the team, said several times in a phone interview on Monday evening that he likes Macha and got along with him well personally, but he had seen enough going on around him to realize there were problems.

"The whole thing was a weird situation for me because ever since he came here we had a pretty good relationship, but over the last couple years, I could see things unfold, and I kept hearing things,'' Chavez said. "He's always been very open and communicative with me, and with some other players that wasn't true. I heard some things that were kind of disturbing. I think there are going to be a lot of guys who are happy about this.''

Many of the players felt that the tone set by Macha was gloomy, even when the club was playing well.

"The atmosphere wasn't positive, for some reason,'' Chavez said. "That was hard for us to deal with -- here we are, winning the division, we're banged up but we're still doing what we should be doing, and every time he spoke to us, he'd say how much appreciated the effort, but then you'd read things where he was always smashing people. ... This negative cloud was just eating at everybody.''

Barry Zito concurs:

Some of the players had the impression that Macha was miserable in his job. Starter Barry Zito, who is a big believer in the power of positive thinking, said that Macha dwelled too much on what might go wrong and that that was detrimental.

"The fact is, when you have someone leading people, you want them to be a visionary, to forge ahead and be on the front lines,'' Zito said. "We felt like we were on the front lines, and he might have been with us but he didn't have the same conviction or faith. I think it was a fear of failure. He was a little more focused on the pessimistic stuff than on success.''

It's tough being around a negative person all the time. Still, it really didn't show up in the statistics of the A's. Think what they might do if they have a manager who actually motivates them! They had Jimmy Carter and they want Ronald Reagan.

Thanks to Philip Michaels for the link to the article.

With Ken Machia fired, I'm trying to figure out his faults as a manager. It's proving difficult to find in the statistical record. The Athletics under Ken posted the 3rd best record in the American league from 2003-2006 (.568), trailing the Yankees and Red Sox. Not only that, but the Athletics exceeded their Pythagorean projection, which would put them at .557, a difference of seven wins. They exceeded their runs created estimate by 19 runs. That's not much over four seasons, but it is a positive. Quick and dirty DIPS puts their ERA at 4.22. The team actually posted a 4.00 ERA. The A's outperformed expectations at every turn. Maybe the front office takes credit for that, putting together a group of players that were greater than the sum of their parts. But Macha certainly didn't hurt anything. If he handled the pitching staff poorly, or handled players injuries poorly, why doesn't it show up in performance that's below expectations?

Billy Beane's competitive nature pushes him to want to win, but sometimes it manifests itself in blaming someone else. He did this after Howe lost the playoffs in 2002, and he's doing the same thing to Macha now.

Another managerial job opened up as the Atheltics fired Ken Macha.

FOXSports.com has learned that the A's have fired Macha.

The A's averaged 92 wins and captured two AL West titles in Macha's four years as manager. Macha, however, had an uneasy relationship with general manager Billy Beane and, according to the San Francisco Chronicle, also had problems communicating with players.

Well, he communicated well enough to get them to put on a great season-ending push to the division title. I saw a rumor about this earlier, but I expected it to be like last year, when the A's and Macha broke up and then got back together. Funny that Joe Torre survived a drubbing by the Tigers and Macha didn't.

Please, please, please, hire a manager that understands the Moneyball approach to the game. Davey Johnson is available!

Update: A search for Ken Macha on Baseball Musings brings up mostly negative comments.

FoxSports.com is reporting that the Cubs reached a deal with Lou Piniella and he'll be introduced tomorrow as the new manager. The deal is for three seasons.

The Texas Rangers are set to interview five candidates for their managerial opening.

Jeff at Brew Crew Ball is happy the Cubs are spending a lot of money on Lou Piniella.

I'm getting off-topic here, but I wonder if this shouldn't be the next way in which "smart" teams keep payroll down. True, the difference between a nobody and Piniella/Baker is only $2-$2.5 million, but if there's no real performance difference between a decent manager and a famous one (note I don't say "good") that's money down the drain. After all, the Devil Rays spent a lot of money paying Piniella to lead them to the cellar.

I'm not sure about this. You can do this with players because skills decline over time, and you also have three to six years in which you control a players' salary. But if something works for a manager at age 40, it's probably going to work just as well at age 60. So, if you actually find someone who is good, you're not going to jettison him just to save money. Whereas you can let a 30-year-old all-star go and spend a lot less money to make up most of the lost production.

I remember when these signings weren't thought of so warmly:

The Tigers' pitching is excellent, but the position players have distinguished themselves with clutch hitting and resilience. One of Dombrowski's investments was Magglio Ordonez, who left the Chicago White Sox for a five-year, $75 million contract in Detroit. Ordonez had two home runs in the decisive Game 4 of the Tigers' sweep of Oakland on Saturday night, including a game-ending three-run homer.

He was worth every cent.

Catcher Ivan Rodriguez was overpaid with $40 million over four years, but his handling of the pitching staff, especially the younger pitchers, has been flawless.

No one has complained about the money.

When Ordonez played just 82 games in 2005, fans complained about the money. Why would Dombrowski spend so much on an oft-injured player? When Ivan's weight and offensive production dropped in 2005, people complained about the money. Both those deals took a while to pay dividends.

Gary Peterson explains why the Athletics are not likely to change course and sign Zito.

Look, you don't fix what isn't broken. As we speak, the A's are less broken than they've been since the first George Bush was president. Beane's methodology works better than it ever has.

Likewise, there was a reason the A's were so attractive to Wolff and Fisher in the first place. It was that reason that led them to hand Beane a sliver of sweat equity in the franchise, asking for nothing in return aside from more of the same.

If you understand this, you understand that nothing the team did this season is likely to change the way the franchise does business. In fact, it's likely to have just the opposite effect, since successful ends tend to justify the means.

Zito, then, is a goner, given that the money it would take to keep him would account for a disproportionate amount of the payroll ownership will choose to commit to next season's product. And also because Beane, as always, has a fall-back plan -- in this case a post-Zito rotation of Rich Harden, Esteban Loaiza, Dan Haren, Joe Blanton and Kirk Saarloos (as this is written).

It's not a sure thing, given Harden's iffy medical history. But it's a rotation most other teams would prefer to have with them than against them. And it is supported by setup man Justin Duchscherer and closer Huston Street.

Beane is good at letting players become other people's problems. The Yankees dealt with Giambi's drug problem. The Orioles deal with Tejada's personality. The Cardinals deal with Mulder's injuries, and the Braves deal with Hudson's decline. Sure, some good ones like Dye and Damon got away. But for the most part, Beane's let other people spend the money (or players) on headaches.

I like this quote by Jim Leyland:

"Early on in spring training, we had a lot of good players, we didn't have a good team," an emotional manager Jim Leyland said. "Today I can make the statement that we've got a good team and that's the thing that I'm proudest of."

That's certainly one job of a manager, to get a number of individual talents to play as a team. Leyland certainly did a fine job of that this season.

Scott Miller at CBSSportsline rounds up the latest news on the search for four new managers.

The Yankees fired their advance scouts. What's interesting is that they're in no hurry to replace them:

The Yankees have fired their advance scouts, Chuck Cottier and Wade Taylor. This did not result solely from Cottier's and Taylor's work in preparation for the Yankees' American League Division Series against the Tigers, which Detroit won in four games. The move had been in the works for some time.

'I have no animosity toward the organization,' Taylor told Newsday. 'That's baseball.'

Taylor said Yankees general manager Brian Cashman informed him Wednesday that he and Cottier won't be retained and that the Yankees will enter 2007 without advance scouts. Cashman confirmed the decision on the two scouts but said the Yankees will use advance scouts next season.

There are statistical services that now provide pitch charting synced with video. This makes me wonder if the advance scouting the Yankees say they'll do next year is going to me more high tech.

Without doing so directly, Lou Piniella just made a very good argument against the designated hitter. He noted that it's easier to keep utility players ready, since double switches bring them into the game more often. Not that it's more strategy, it just keeps everyone in the game.

6-4-2 Links to a post at Gaslamp Ball about San Deigo encouraging other clubs to talk to Bochy about managing. Bruce is one of the longest tenured managers in the game, second to Bobby Cox in years with one team. He's finished first four times, and two years in a row. I wonder who Alderson would want to bring in?

Red Reporter doesn't like the way the Reds are turning Chris Chambliss into a scapegoat. Redleg Nation agrees.

The Marlins are once again allowed to grow facial hair. FishStripes wonders if they're old enough.

Redleg Nation notes that the Reds fired hitting coach Chris Chambliss:

Do you suppose that having 1/4 of his starting offense traded away for middle relief had anything to do with the offensive decline?

Indeed.

Chicago White Sox games will start at 7:11 for the next three years. Guess why.

The Big Lead has the story. Here's more at FoxSports.com:

Torre spoke with Steinbrenner on the telephone Tuesday, shortly before he walked into the interview room at Yankee Stadium and made the announcement. "He gave me his support," Torre said. "I'm just pleased I'm able to stay on and do this."

The two also spoke on Monday.

"I talked to George yesterday for probably 15, 20 minutes, and we discussed a lot of things: the team, what we do from here and things like that," Torre said.

During the season I thought this was one of Torre's better jobs. He kept an injured team together until Cashman could find the replacement parts. He didn't deserve to be fired for bad luck in the ALDS. Maybe there are other reasons he should go, but I'm glad that others in the Yankees organization were able to cool off Steinbrenner's emotional reaction.

Ben Kabak links to a New York Post story that Torre will stay. From the article:

By the time Torre meets with the press at 1 p.m. today at Yankee Stadium he will have been assured he will be coming back for his 12th season as Yankees manager.

While Steinbrenner left Manhattan for Tampa yesterday afternoon, general partner Steve Swindal, Steinbrenner's son-in-law, is in New York today. It's believed Swindal and Torre, who have a solid relationship after negotiating Torre's latest contract, will meet in the morning.

"It looks good for Joe,'' a source said.

It must be tough to own a story and get it wrong.

The Cubs appear to be the first to enter the Joe Girardi sweepstakes.

Known for his gritty play and catching skills, Girardi began his career with the Cubs in 1989 and spent his first four seasons with the team. He returned for three more years in 2000 and made the All-Star team that season. His teammates in that second stretch included current Cubs pitchers Mark Prior, Kerry Wood and Carlos Zambrano.

General manager Jim Hendry, who was not available for comment, plans to interview two internal candidates this week: Triple-A manager Mike Quade and Double-A manager Pat Listach.

Listach is best know for beating out Kenny Lofton for Rookie of the Year, then having his career fizzle.

I was just on Yankees Fan Club Radio, and my suggestion for the Yankees is to hire Buck Showalter as bench coach. Allow Torre to continue managing the club house as well as he does, but hire the best Xs and Os manager out there to take the place of Zimmer. Let Buck be his workaholic self without needing to deal with the personality of the players. Joe and Buck each have strengths that complement the other's weakness and should make a great team.

Was Watching provides a link to George Steinbrenner's statement on the LDS loss.

Rest assured, we will go back to work immediately and try to right this sad failure and provide a championship for the Yankees, as is our goal every year."

It's good and it's bad. No mention of the great season the team put together. No accolades for overcoming so many big injuries to get to the playoffs. But that pure commitment to winning every year is right out in front. That's why they're always in the playoffs.

Andrew Baggarly details the work Brian Sabean faces this off-season:

Sizing up the monumental task he faces this winter, Giants general manager Brian Sabean said he must make the club younger and healthier while acquiring players who can make long-term contributions.

He was describing all the tenets of a rebuilding process, though that term is verboten at 24 Willie Mays Plaza.

To dismantle an old roster, infuse young talent -- and simultaneously field a winning team? It's a non sequitur, even when you remove the leaden weight of Barry Bonds' $90 million contract. Yet that's the task Sabean faces.

The Marlins accomplished that in the winter of 2005/2006. But the Marlins had a much younger veteran base to trade; they owned talent that could help other teams now. How many players do the Giants control that anyone else really wants?

The Daily News picks up on Ken Rosenthal's speculation that Torre would be fired. They at least use anonymous sources:

After winning four World Series titles in his first five seasons but failing to win the Fall Classic over the past six, Torre is expected to be fired, sources said, and his replacement is expected to be former Yankee Lou Piniella.

Unless other team officials can talk The Boss out of it, or unless Torre, 66, agrees to resign in order to save face, sources said principal owner George Steinbrenner will replace the manager who was credited with returning the team to its fabled glory. Yankees General Manager Brian Cashman is expected to keep his job, as are most members of the front office. Torre may be offered another position within the organization.

Bill Madden spells out the reasons:

In deference to Torre's four World Series trophies, Steinbrenner obliged Torre when the manager told him in their Tampa summit last November that he had to butt out and stop the jibes. In a series of meetings with the fractured Yankee front office last fall, Steinbrenner extended unprecedented power to both Torre and GM Brian Cashman. Ordinarily when things go badly in Yankeeland, no one escapes Steinbrenner's blame. But other than the $17 million spent on Kyle Farnsworth, Cashman's acquisitions - Bobby Abreu and Cory Lidle from the high-end shelf and Brian Bruney and Aaron Guiel from the bargain-basement counter - were important contributors toward winning the AL East.

Even though Steinbrenner lived up to his pledge of silence and support, it was "on Torre" this year.

Torre wanted no interference, no second-guessing or behind-the-scenes sniping from Steinbrenner or any of his minions, and that's what he got. Total support, but it came with a price - winning it all.

If this is going to remain a veteran team, Piniella could be the right man. If they decide to tear down the team and start again, Lou showed in Tampa that doesn't fit his style. The age and contract status of the team makes the latter difficult, however.

I have mixed feeling about Torre. I've never thought he was a good strategic manager. But he managed that clubhouse perfectly. If (and I still think it's a big if) Torre is fired and Piniella takes the helm, they'll be back to the Bronx Zoo. This will be very good for the press, as George, Lou and the players all snipe at each other, but I remember the Yankees in the 1980s. They were a good team that never won a World Series and only made the playoffs once. They had Mattingly, Henderson and Winfield and couldn't win a division with those three. Torre's Yankees are many times more successful.

There's some surprise that the Nationals are looking at two older managers to replace Frank Robinson:

Since the Washington Nationals formally parted ways with Manager Frank Robinson earlier this week, most familiar with the search for Robinson's replacement figured the club wanted a young manager to take over what will, in all likelihood, be a team that struggles through the 2007 season.

But yesterday, a source familiar with the search said the Nationals have interest in at least speaking with veteran managers Dusty Baker and Lou Piniella about the opening. Baker and Piniella join former Florida manager Joe Girardi and Atlanta hitting coach Terry Pendleton -- and, no doubt, others who have not been publicly identified -- as potential candidates.

The Nationals are holding the search process quiet, but I rather see Frank stay than either Dusty or Piniella come in.

Winning doesn't seem to have changed Billy Beane:

As the wild celebration continued in the A's clubhouse late Friday afternoon, the A's general manager and part owner stood at the entrance of the clubhouse -- very dry -- with the same tone and reflection he felt before the series began.

"It wasn't going to be part of my self-esteem, whether we got through the first round or not," Beane said. "I'm glad we're not in the division with the Minnesota Twins. I wouldn't want to play them in a seven- or nine-game series.

"They have a very good team. They won more games than we did. The short series helped us out. That's why when you get a chance, you have to close it out. We've proved that winning two games gets you nowhere."

Maybe he likes experience a little bit more, however:

"I do think experience helped us a little bit," Beane said. "There's been times where I've discounted that. I'll always take talent over experience. But I do think it had an impact on how we prepared for the games and how we flew back from Minnesota.

"It was a very quiet plane. Everybody was disappointed because of Mark (Ellis')broken finger. But they were very business-like. Of course, that's why we brought in (Esteban) Loaiza: to keep everybody in check."

Of course, the experience players Beane brough in had talent as well, as Loaiza, Thomas and Bradley all contributed to the sweep of the Twins.

Buck Showalter was indeed fired by the Texas Rangers last night.

Showalter was 319-329 with the Rangers, his best season 89-73 in 2004 when they were in playoff contention until the final week after Alex Rodriguez was traded. They backtracked last year with only 79 wins.

"It's not about me, none of this," Showalter said after Sunday's game. "That's something I've always known. It's about the players and the fans and the people I work for."

Showalter didn't last longer than four years in his other managerial jobs. Those teams prospered after he left.

The season after Showalter's four-year tenure ended in New York in 1995, the Yankees won three of the next four World Series. That dominating streak was snapped in 2001 by the Arizona Diamondbacks, the expansion team Showalter had built the three previous seasons.

So the betting money is on the Rangers to win the World Series next year. :-)

Buck's strength as a manager is strategy. He does a great job of knowing how to use players to maximize their chance to succeed. But he's also a micromanager as far as I can tell. He'd be a great bench coach for a manager whose strength is in the personal aspects of the job. As I've written before, Torre and Showalter would be a dream combination. It's too bad Buck can't over come the weakness that causes him to wear out his welcome after a few seasons.

XM MLB Chat notes that Bill Madden of the New York Daily News believes Buck Showalter will be fired by the end of the day.

Update: Here's some background on the story.

It didn't take long for the Marlins to replace Joe Girardi, hiring Freddi Gonzalez:

Gonzalez, the third-base coach for the Atlanta Braves the past four years, interviewed with the Marlins a year ago after Jack McKeon resigned.

Gonzalez, 42, was born in Cuba and raised in Miami, becoming the first manager in the Marlins organization when they hired him to run their first minor-league team in Erie, Pa., in 1992. Beginning in 1999, he coached third base for 2 ½ years under Marlins manager John Boles.

I wonder if they expect Gonzalez to bring more Cuban fans to the ballpark? It really seems to me that this was the front office not getting their way last year, and looking for an excuse to get rid of Joe. Joe was just stubborn enough to give them an excuse. In a way, I hope he gets the Nationals job, so he can go head-to-head with the Marlins for years to come.

As expected, the Marlins fired Joe Girardi.

Girardi said he was fired during a brief meeting in his office with team president David Samson, general manager Larry Beinfest and assistant general manager Mike Hill. Loria did not attend.

"They came in and said, 'We're going to make a change,'" Girardi said. He said no reason was given.

"To hash over what happened doesn't make any sense," Girardi said.

Joe's not burning any bridges. There are three teams out there right now who can use a good manager, so Joe will get a chance to show if 2006 was a fluke or not.

The Giants parted ways with Feliple Alou today. Alou made sure no one thought the Giants record was his fault:

"I'm proud of my behavior, my respect to the game, people, to the cities and countries, the flags," Alou said. "I don't like .500. A .500 man to me is mediocrity. You don't choose your tools."

The Giants are just too old. Sabean faces a tough task trying to make this team younger. Unlike the Marlins last year, he doesn't have much valuable talent to trade to build a team of hot prospects.

Bud Selig must be having a cow. One of the most admirable things Bud's done in his tenure as commissioner is encourage minority hirings. With Robinson, Baker and Alou the first three managers to go, that doesn't leave too many minority managers in the game. My guess is Baker will get a job with another club, but Robinson and Alou probably won't due to their age. I wonder if there will be pressure on clubs to fill this void?

The Cubs and Dusty Baker officially parted ways today:

Dusty Baker is out as the Chicago Cubs' manager following a last-place finish and a failure to take the team to the playoffs in his four years.

The Cubs made the announcement Monday, a day after team president Andy MacPhail resigned and the club finished with a 66-96 record.

My biggest problems with Dusty were not having anyone ready in the bullpen in case Mark Prior tired in game 6 of the 2003 NLCS, and his desire for middle infielders who can't contribute offensively. We'll see how well he does with his next organization.

The first changes in the Cubs organization came this afternoon:

The final day of the 2006 season brought massive changes to Wrigley Field on Sunday, as the Cubs turned a page on one of the worst years in recent memory.

Team president Andy MacPhail resigned after 12 years on the job, and John McDonough, senior vice-president of marketing and broadcasting, was named interim president, with no timetable offered for when the promotion might become permanent.

And while Dusty Baker appears to be gone, it looks like Hendry will stay:

"These are the greatest fans in the history of sports," McDonough said. "We have not won the World Series in 98 years. We have a terrific general manager in Jim Hendry. Jim will get all the resources that he needs, and it's time to win."

Why not clean house all together? Is a combination of another manager and Hendry going to do any better? It seems the Cubs believe that Baker got the players and just couldn't manage them to a winner. Has Hendry really gotten him the players, however? Yes, he brought in Derrek Lee and Aramis Ramirez, drafted Mark Prior, but he still goes out and gets players like Neifi Perez, low OBA guys who drag down the offense. Not many managers can win with too many players like that. Maybe a better manager will tell Hendry he doesn't want that type of hitter.

ESPN is reporting:

Despite a season that far exceeded expectations, the Florida Marlins will move quickly this week to dismiss manager Joe Girardi and name a successor, a source familiar with the Marlins situation told ESPN Insider's Jerry Crasnick.

According to the source, the chances are "99 out of 100" that Girardi's replacement will be Braves third-base coach Fredi Gonzalez.

I really can't wait to hear Girardi's side of this story. It will be very interesting to see next year how Joe does with a new team vs. how Beinfest does with a new manager. My gut here is that the Marlins are making a mistake.

The Nationals made it official that Frank Robinson manages his last game for Washington tomorrow. He deserves a lot of credit for keeping that franchise going when others were trying to tear it apart.

I wonder who else goes? I'm actually surprised there haven't been more firings announced.

Felipe Alou is sending mixed messages from San Francisco. On one hand:

"I believe I was the perfect man to make a transition when Dusty was let go," Alou said before the Giants played the rival Los Angeles Dodgers. "And I also believe I am the perfect guy now for the transition again."

On the other hand:

On Friday night, Sabean said he would sit down with the skipper before season's end, yet Alou said Saturday that was unnecessary.

"I really don't want to talk to anybody," Alou said. "I don't want to talk (about) next year. It's kind of too late to talk. ... This is a friendly thing. It is also my call, too."

I guess Felipe's feelings are hurt. Either that, or he wants out, but he needs an excuse to resign.

Andrew Baggarly gives us two stories in on in his Giants notes. The first is Bonds is going to get less money if he signs with the Giants next season:

The Giants will have about $35 million to fill holes at first base, second base, third base, two outfield spots and one starting pitcher while also covering themselves in case catcher Mike Matheny and closer Armando Benitez are unable to perform.

Bonds is making $18 million this season.

"Barry aside, that type of chunk of money probably won't be dedicated to any one individual player because of our relative needs," Sabean said. "We're going to have to spread the wealth or the moneys available throughout the roster."

That means the Giants probably won't be among the front-runners for the few super-premium free agents on the market, including Alfonso Soriano.

Unless the Giants own a lot of hot talent in the minors, the last few season of trying to win one for Barry comes home to roost in 2007.

On another note, Matt Morris is scheduled to make the start in the makeup game on Monday if the NL Central isn't decided. This is actually the one thing that's gone wrong with the massive tie scenario. To tie both Houston and Cincinnati, the Cardinals need to lose on Monday. With Morris starting, that doesn't seem likely.

Moneyball changed the way clubs value OBA.

Update: Here's a more direct link to the post.

Update: Here's a follow up post as well.

It looks like Frank Robinson won't be back in the dugout for the Nationals next season:

"Let me say this: I had my say. We sat down, each one, and I had my discussions with them. And I'm very comfortable with what ... I wanted to say about the situation here and my situation. Other than that, I just don't want to go into depth on anything said behind closed doors at this time."

Robinson spoke with Kasten for 20 to 25 minutes, and Bowden for a little less, and the manager said: "We agreed to make the announcement later on. ... In the very near future."

Robinson is a giant of the game, and I hope he stays involved in baseball in some capacity. However, he record as a manager is less than stellar. None of the teams he skippered had a .500 record under his tenure.

Mike Berardino's sources say Joe Girardi is gone:

On a scale of 1 to 10, Girardi's chances of returning next year are "zero," according to a source who has spoken with the Marlins' front office.

"I don't think there is any chance," the source said.

At least now they are citing managerial moves as opposed to personality conflicts:

The last straw for Girardi, 41, apparently was his ill-fated decision to bring back prized right-hander Josh Johnson after an 82-minute rain delay at Dolphin Stadium on Sept. 12.

"Not one of the smarter moves of the year," said the source, adding the Marlins' decision makers were "shocked" Johnson returned to the mound that night.

With the Marlins still clinging to wild-card hopes, Johnson tried to stay loose by playing catch with Dontrelle Willis in an indoor batting cage. That Johnson left four innings later with cramping in his forearm and was subsequently shut down for the year with a strained ligament did not help Girardi's case.

Sunday's 10th-inning meltdown in Atlanta was another strike against Girardi, who had never managed at any level before this season. Marlins management was disappointed Girardi inserted little-used center fielder Reggie Abercrombie as a defensive replacement instead of the more polished Eric Reed.

Since the source here is inside the organization, I expect to hear a lot of negatives about Joe over the next few days. If he is indeed fired, I can't wait to hear his side of the story.

Based on this story, Bleed Cubbie Blue makes a case for not hiring Joe to manage the Cubs:

Now, re-read that and replace the name "Marlins" with the name "Cub", the name "Joe Girardi" with the name "Dusty Baker", replace the name "Dolphin Stadium" with the name "Wrigley Field" and replace the name "Josh Johnson" with the name "Carlos Zambrano", and how loud would all of us be screaming?

Pretty loud, I'd think.

I don't know that the Jason Johnson decision was obviously stupid. It was a gamble. Johnson pitched well when he came back from the delay as the Mets didn't score a run off him in five innings of work. And it's not like it's cold in Florida when it rains. There should have been a reasonable expectation he could stay loose. It's clear the Marlins wanted him to make the other decision, however.

Talking Baseball is back and finds the flaws in Peter Angelos' response to the protest yesterday.

Update: Bill Ferris attended the game and writes:

I flew in from Detroit to go to the O's-Tigers game yesterday. If you're interested, here is a picture of the prostestors. They were quite vocal in support of the team for that first hour and were very civilized. That support that they showed for the first hour definitely lends their cause more creedence, in that they're pissed off because they care. Once they left things were certainly quieter as the stadium was depressingly empty and quiet.

David Gerstman sends this article and comments:

Since the stadium was built with taxpayer money, I wonder if the taxpayers of Maryland would qualify as a class to sue Angelos for abandoning his fiduciary duties. (Better team potentially more revenue for the state.) There'd be some poetic justice in that.

The Yankees are relocating their AAA affiliate to Scranton:

Cordaro also announced that California's Mandalay Baseball Properties will manage the franchise, which will likely be renamed. Mandalay agreed to replace the artificial surface at Lackawanna County Stadium with natural turf and will have the option of purchasing the team for $16.4 million.

The arrangements with the Yankees and Mandalay will solve the financial woes of the franchise, which is owned by the county through a stadium authority. Cordaro said the franchise has lost about $10 million over the last six years.

"We've been trying to reverse that and this gets it done in one fell swoop," Cordaro said.

Luis Gonzalez met with the Diamondbacks yesterday, and he's not getting the Bernie Williams deal.

It wasn't his call, but Luis Gonzalez's tenure with the Diamondbacks will end after this season. Club officials informed the popular left fielder on Thursday they have no intention of bringing him back for 2007.

Gonzalez, 39, who is in the final year of his contract, will go into the off-season as a free agent in search of an everyday job.

I can't argue with the move. The chance for a big decline for Luis is high at his age. Given his 2006 numbers, he'll get a job somewhere, although probably not for $10 million. The Diamondbacks are going younger:

Byrnes said the starting left field job in 2007 will go to Eric Byrnes, the popular, energetic outfielder with 23 homers and 21 steals in his first season with the Diamondbacks. The rest of the outfield will feature rookies Chris Young in center and Carlos Quentin in right.

Moorad also said the club made clear to Gonzalez that it would like him back in the organization when his playing days are past, perhaps as a broadcaster or a coach.

A very good move. Maybe that money saved can be spent on improving the pitching staff.

The Diamondbacks sit down with Luis Gonzalez today to discuss his future with the team:

"It's important that we sit down and see where everybody is at," Byrnes said. "We might already know what their position is - and we might not - but we'll get together and have a meeting of the minds and talk about things."

Today is expected to mark the first time the Diamondbacks officially inform Gonzalez, 39, they are not planning to exercise their $10 million club option on him for next season. Byrnes isn't likely to let Gonzalez twist in the wind, however.

Because of Gonzalez's successful eight-year tenure and his second-half surge since the All-Star break, it is believed the team will consider bringing him back for another season, possibly two, but only for a much more affordable price than the $11.5 million he is making now.

That could be anywhere from $3 million to $5 million.

Gonzalez's seasonal age will be 39 next season. He's declined from his peak, and his numbers aren't bad, they're just not great anymore. His peak and decline came much later than most players, so he's likely to be productive next year, more productive than Bernie Williams, I'd bet. I wouldn't be surprised if the Diamondbacks offered him a deal like that.

FishStripes rounds up news stories on a rumor he heard two months ago, that the problem with Girardi isn't Loria, but Beinfest. From the Miami Herald:

Baseball officials close to the situation say the main issue has been this: Loria likes his organization run collectively, with the front office having input beyond player procurement. And too often, Girardi has resisted those suggestions, causing a significant strain between him and the front office, including GM Larry Beinfest.

''It has been a constant fight,'' one of the officials said.

Heres what Craig at Fishstripes heard:

The rumor is that Joe has been stubborn, loud and rude when dealing with front office.

Since Girardi was hand picked as manager by Loria, when the problems started he was acting as referee to try and smooth over the conflicts.

When Girardi told Loria to sit down and shut up at the game when the owner was barking at the umpire. Well, he hollered at the ref and the ref wasn't even going to pretend to be neutral after that.

Hopefully it won't come to this, but if it is a one stays and one goes situation: Girardi will be looking for a new job next season.

Beinfest and his scouts are gold to this franchise.

This is one situation where the owner, instead of acting as referee, needs to be the boss. Beinfest this year did a great job judging young talent. Joe Girardi did a heck of a job forming that talent into a winning team. It's time Loria told them to stay out of the other's business. Unless Girardi is doing something that might physically harm a player, let him manage the team. Unless Beinfest is about to trade Miguel Cabrera for a bag of balls, let him make his moves. Should they communicate? Sure, but suggestions not orders. I believe that's how it worked in New York. Girardi should be used to that model.

If there was ever a time to be upset with the play and/or management of a team, now is the time for the Toronto Blue Jays. They came into Boston Thursday night, two games behind the Red Sox for second place in the AL East. They weren't really in the playoff hunt, but not really out of it either. The Red Sox lineup is being held together with crazy glue and duct tape. Their two best hitters are out, and one of their young pitching prospects has cancer. They just traded one of the few starters performing well over the last month. They're starting Julian Tavarez and Kyle Snyder in games one and two. It's time to move up!

But your ace gets hit in game one and you lose. Kyle Snyder looks like Pedro Martinez for a night a you lose. You put your best lineup on the field, your 1 and 3 starters and your team gets outscored and out-pitched, and dropped out of the playoff race! And what does Ricciardi say (love the title, by the way)?

"I think they're playing their butts off," Ricciardi said before last night's 2-1 loss to the Red Sox. "They're trying real hard. I think the harder we try, the worse we get."

No, if you get shutout by Kyle Snyder for seven innings, striking out eight times, you're not playing your butt off. And this:

"I don't think you're going to win this division on $70 million," Ricciardi said. "I don't think you're going to make the playoffs in this division on $70 million. You can be competitive and I think you can have some good years.

"But I just think those two teams (New York and Boston), with what they drive payrolls (to), it's going to be really tough to catch those guys if we stay at a $70 million payroll. It doesn't mean we can't be good and we can't compete. But I just don't think you're going to see a chance to win 95 to 100 games."

Tell that to the Marlins. The argument just doesn't fly. This Toronto team should have walked all over the lineup the Red Sox put out there the last two nights. There's no excuse for that.

Maybe, in fact, it is Gibbons. Maybe the Billy Martin manager doesn't work anymore. It failed for Lou Piniella in Tampa. It's failing for Gibbons in Toronto.

In Bill James' wonderful book, The Managers, he talks about families of managers, and how most managers today are descended from Ned Hanlon (the mentor of John McGraw). He goes into great detail about this family, but also mentions another, the Branch Rickey family. We may be seeing some evolution involving these two families, and the focal point is Joe Torre.

Torre, like so many working today, played baseball under Hanlon managers. But his MVP year was under Red Schoendienst, and Schoendienst managerial history can be traced back to Branch Rickey. Joe's bench coach was Don Zimmer, who came out of the Branch Rickey Dodgers (where Bill considers the Rickey family to have started). That duo produced two managers so far, Willie Randolph and Joe Girardi. Willie played for Billy Martin, but coached for Joe for years. Joe Girardi came up under Zimmer, but had great success under Torre. I wonder if we're seeing a new family being born, the Joe Torre family, which is a combination of the best of the Hanlon and Rickey families. Certainly Torre, Randoph and Girardi are experiencing great sucess in 2006. (Ron Gardenhire played for Torre early in his career, so you might include him in this group as well.)

Maybe it's time for the Jays to move away from the Hanlon managers (especially the confornational kind embodied by Billy Martin) to a Rickey/Hanlon hybrid. Francona has a little Rickey in him. Wedge, Scioscia, Maddon, Melvin and Baker are purer Rickey descendants. I don't hear much player griping about any of these men, and when they do have problems with players (Sosa, Milton Bradley), they seem to handle the situations with dignity. Maybe it's a direction Toronto should try.

Here's the best reason I've seen for firing Dusty Baker. (Hat tip, Al's Ramblings.)

Sean Holland at Firebrand of the American League offers a detailed analysis of Theo Epstein's moves and wonders if the GM can handle the duel responsibilities of winning now and building for the future:

I love this team, just like I have since I was young. But I'm afraid that the brilliant young GM we've hired has gone two years without any noteworthy moves, wasting the primes of David Ortiz and Manny Ramirez. Until we find a GM who can use performance analysis to sniff out the Renterias and Clements of the world, or one with the ability to decide whether to go for the now or wait for the future, we'll always be second fiddle in the AL East.

Unfortunately, I don't believe the decision about win now vs. win later belongs to Theo. If it did, I have no doubt the Red Sox would take a big step backward to build for the future. But the owners spent a lot of money to buy this team, and feel they need to win to keep the cash flowing. That makes running this team a very difficult task, and truthfully, Theo's and his staff are doing a decent job. Looking back, it's easy to say they shouldn't have made the Burkett deal, for example. But halfway through the season, that looked like a great move for both teams. In a purely win later scenario, however, the Sox keep Rameriz and take their lumps with him at shortstop, give Sanchez the chance to pitch at the major league level. Maybe next time a deal like this comes up, Theo can say, see, that didn't work out. Let's keep our talent and win for the next ten years.

John Gibbons and Ted Lilly appeared to fight last night.

The Toronto Blue Jays coughed up all of an early 8-0 lead last night but they didn't go down without a fight.

Unfortunately, the fight -- or near-fight, or scuffle, or whatever the Jays want to call it -- involved manager John Gibbons and his evening's short-lived starter, left-hander Ted Lilly.

And this one -- unlike the untaken challenge to fight that Gibbons had issued the soon-gone Shea Hillenbrand four weeks back -- at least had a little meat on it. Again, though, apparently no punches were thrown.

"Nobody got hit," said Gibbons, some 20 minutes after the Jays had tumbled 12-10 to the Oakland A's. "We've talked it out (meaning he and Lilly) and everything's good. He's a competitor, I'm a competitor. It's over and we move on."

Lilly agreed that no punches were thrown:

"It was verbal," said Lilly. "I'm certainly glad and I think he's glad it wasn't physical but we were on the verge of something regrettable happening. We were yelling at each other face to face.

"It's an embarrassing situation," Lilly said calmly. "I said something to him I shouldn't have said and it kind of got out of control. I was already upset enough and didn't handle it very well. I handled it in a way that I think I'll regret."

Did that mean he thought there could be some discipline headed his way? When Hillenbrand allegedly wrote the "ship was sinking" on a clubhouse bulletin board, he was designated for assignment during the game and shipped off to the San Francisco Giants two days later.

"Hopefully not," said Lilly. "I guess I'll find out."

Shea Hillenbrand got to spin this event to his benefit:

"Ted Lilly's a great guy. Ted Lilly's an intense competitor," Hillenbrand said. "He was a great teammate when I was over there. So I'm surprised that confrontation happened with Ted Lilly."

He added: "Stuff like that's been going on all season over there. I had my issues with the manager. ... They say I'm the cancer of the team and things are still happening, so I don't know how you can make that assumption or that statement. Things like that begin to come out when times get tough."

Unlike Hillenbrand, Lilly seems to be well liked. You've never heard anything negative about his personality:

Oakland's Eric Chavez, who played with Lilly in Oakland, was surprised.

"It's a little strange to seen that happen," he said. "I liked Ted. He was a good teammate when he was here."

Gibbons appears to be an old style confrontation manager. That type of style worked over the history of baseball, although most modern ones don't fight their players. Felipe Alou and Jim Leyland fit this mold, but they limit their physical intimidation to the other team. Gibbons seems to be more like Billy Martin and Lou Piniella, although I only remember Lou getting in one fight with a player.

I hear Davey Johnson is interested in managing again. All he ever did was win.

People are starting to gang up on Theo:

I'd say that right now The Eye of Sauron that is Red Sox nation is ominously focused on young Theo Baggins and one World Series ring isn't going to render him invisible.

And from the more traditional media:

Maybe the Red Sox are correct in their belief that they must step back to go forward.

Maybe in three years they'll resemble a mini-dynasty and the Yankees will collapse from age and excess once and for all.

But the transition is a tough sell, to put it mildly.

The Yankees go all-out every season, remaining a powerhouse while incorporating young players like second baseman Robinson Cano, left fielder Melky Cabrera and right-hander Chien Ming-Wang

It isn't beyond the Red Sox to follow suit.

We're not talking about the Kansas City Royals; the Sox's ticket prices are the highest in the majors. And while team executives seem preoccupied with managing future payrolls, Curt Schilling, David Ortiz and the rest of the Sox's $130 million-plus roster want to win right now.

The fans deserve better. The players do, too.

And the reason is Theo is blaming payroll disparity:

``Since I've been GM, we've never focused exclusively on the now, and we never will," Epstein said. ``We're not going to change because of a tough month. We are not the Yankees. We admire the Yankees. I admire the Yankees. I respect them. We have to do things different.

``Our approach is a little bit different, given our resources relative to the Yankees; we feel our best way to compete with them year in and year out is to keep one eye on now and one eye on the future and to build something that can sustain success.

``They're also very good at that," Epstein continued. ``We've gone toe-to-toe with those guys taking that approach. I think we're, what, one or two games under .500 against them, and since '03 have won one more World Series than they have taking that approach. We've been in the playoffs every year, just like they have.

``We're not going to change our approach and all of a sudden try to build an uberteam, and all of a sudden win now at the expense of the future. That's not an excuse. I'm not trying to throw some sort of a cloak over the clear holes that are on this team by sort of talking instantly about the future. I'm not. Our goals are now and our goals are to put ourselves in a position to win every single year."

This is exactly the kind of thing Theo worries about in Feeding the Green Monster, the promise of a winner every year and what happens when you don't deliver. I still think the Red Sox should have taken the step back in 2005. They had enough residual support from winning the World Series, that telling fans, "We're going to step back and rebuild so we can compete efficiently every year," would work. Now, in the middle of a season where they were leading most of the way, it sounds like an excuse.

I didn't stay up to watch the end of the game, but were the Fenway faithful chanting, "MVP, MVP," when Jeter hit the game tying single off Papelbon?

Drew Olson pens an excellent piece on what the quiet over the new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) means:

This year, a strike or lockout seems about as unlikely as a Brewers-Royals World Series. The silence has been both deafening and revealing.

"It's a sign that they've begun the process and they're doing things the right way," said Astros manager Phil Garner, who was active in labor negotiations during his playing days. "The less noise there is about it, the better the chance that they can get something done.

"If one of the sides says something to the media, that causes the other side to dig in their heels. It doesn't matter which side it is. As long as they can be quiet and have discussions, you can get some small stuff out of the way. Believe it or not, some the small stuff is what can kill the deal down the road. You can agree on the big things and get in the biggest arguments over the simplest of things, like meal money."

In the past, baseball commissioner Bud Selig and union chief Donald Fehr would use the media to lob threats at each other like verbal grenades. There has been none of that this year. Negotiations have been taking place away from the spotlight, but they still are taking place. The fact that Selig recently canceled a quarterly owner's meeting -- with the official reason being a lack of things to talk about -- was a pretty good indicator that acrimony is running low these days.

The last time a deal was in negotiations, you saw a lot of doom and gloom in the media because it was going down to the last minute. They always go down to the last minute:

Garner agreed. "The truth of the matter is you're really not going to get a deal until there is a time crunch," he said. "It's naïve to say "Well, let's just get in a room and get it done, a month before the deadline." People who say that simply do not understand the process. People that would do that simply would get their ass handed to them on a platter if they did that.

"If you're in a negotiating posture for anything, you always feel like if you settle two months ahead you're doing it from a position of weakness. If both sides feel pretty strong, then you should be able to get to a deal. It will come down to the end. There will be some posturing, but I think it's a good sign that they've started the process."

If you want to know if there's going to be a work stoppage, look at differences in the money they're talking about. In 2002, the difference was small, and the deal was settled. If the difference is big, or they start jousting in the press, that a sign of trouble. At this point, both sides are doing well so I don't see why just don't keep the same basic structure.

Heard in the Red Sox pressbox during game 1:

Johnny Damon just reminded Fenway of the kind of grabs he can make in center when he robbed Alex Gonzalez of an RBI single, making a sliding catch to his right.

"You get what you pay..." muttered one writer on press row.

Bleed Cubbie Blue wonders why Dusty Baker still uses Neifi Perez.

Maybe Baker's pissed at Neifi! for the dramatic game-winning HR he hit on September 27, 1998, a walk-off job that prevented Baker's Giants from winning the wild card outright (never mind that the Giants blew a 7-0 lead in that game), and forced the dramatic tiebreaker game the next day, which the Cubs won, and thus went on to the postseason, while Dusty and the Giants stayed home -- and so maybe Baker's taking out his anger on that eight-year-old homer on us Cubs fans.

I know, that's ridiculous, but so is any other explanation of why Neifi! continues to bat second. Incidentally, the day he hit that walk-off job in Denver? He was batting second.

Bob McManaman recognizes the good job of Josh Byrnes in his first year with the Daimondbacks:

Many of Byrnes' key acquisitions that have helped Arizona remain in contention in the National League West were calculated, low-risk, high-reward moves that banked on players bouncing back from subpar half-seasons or injury.

Case in point: He traded for an All-Star catcher and former Silver Slugger in switch-hitting Johnny Estrada, who is hitting .309 and was leading all NL catchers with 57 RBIs.

Estrada was coming off a difficult season with the Atlanta Braves, which included lingering effects from a June concussion, but parting with a pair of non-spectacular relief pitchers (Oscar Villarreal and Lance Cormier) to get him now seems like a steal.

He makes a similar point about Eric Byrnes:

"I've seen Eric since he was a sophomore in college, so it was not overreacting to two or three bad months," Josh Byrnes said, "it was having a longer view of the player. And like him, it was the same thing with DaVanon."

It appears Josh doesn't get fooled by small sample sizes.

It looks like Jeff Maier didn't get drafted, as he's joined the front office of the New Haven Cutters, an independent league team.

Maier, then a precocious 12-year-old, appeared on a series of talk shows including The Late Show with David Letterman and was awarded the key to New York by then-mayor Rudy Giuliani. The Old Tappan, N.J. native enjoyed an outstanding baseball career at Wesleyan and now is embarking on the next stage of his life -- one that begins Sunday when he starts his new job as a special events coordinator for the Cutters of the independent Can-Am League.

"There are a number of different things he will be doing," Cutters General Manager Marie Heikkinen Webb said. "There will be a lot of variety (in Maier's duties) for the remainder of season. He will be involved in community relations, promotional research here in the community, take part in special events and he will be traveling to other ball parks. He'll be pretty busy."

He's getting his foot in the door of baseball management.

FishStripes follows up on the Girardi/Loria flareup. Bottom line is they're happy with each other.

FishStripes supplies the links and details of an apparent verbal fight between Jeff Loria and Joe Girardi. It seems Loria was stepping into Joe's territory on a 3-2 call that went against the Fish. The blogger's take:

Did something happen? Looks like it did but no one seems to know for sure what exactly happened. The "eyewitnesses" have different stories and the articles contradict each other on several points.

In short, no one knows what transpired between the two men, except them.

This I do know: it's Tuesday and Girardi is the manager of the Marlins and Loria is the owner. Best I can tell nothing is different and I seriously doubt this will turn into a Steinbrenner-Martin relationship.

I'm a little more willing to speculate. Girardi, at some point, either resigned or was fired. I'm leaning toward resignation. My guess is that Loria's been interfering with on-field activities for a while, and Joe had enough on Sunday. I can see where he would give Loria an ultimatum, and how Jeff might accept it in the heat of the moment. Somehow, cooler heads prevailed, the Girardi is back at the helm of the Marlins. We'll see how long he lasts. I don't think it will turn into Steinbrenner-Martin, because once Joe is gone, he's not coming back.

Update: Included the link.

The Boston Red Sox officially did not make a move at the deadline.

ArmChairGM looks at flipping players, trading for a player who is going to be a free agent in order to trade him for more down the road, as a new way of exploiting market inefficiencies in baseball.

Richard Griffin explains the dizzying circumstances that led to an unusual roster for Toronto yesterday:

The one-day roster aberration demonstrated just how jangled the Jays' roster manipulations have been on this trip, as Ricciardi tries to find the right combination to reinvigorate his team into a playoff hunt. How confused was Ricciardi? Consider this pre-game exchange with the media.

"Is there a possibility you could go with 13 pitchers today?" an intrepid columnist asked the GM, less than an hour before yesterday's contest. "No," the general manager said brusquely.

"Is (infielder Ryan) Roberts here, yet?" the reporter pressed. "He's in the air," Ricciardi said, speed-walking down a nearby hallway, ending the interview.

Less than 15 minutes later, the Jays' travelling P.R. man Mal Romanin announced in the A's press box that, contrary to what the GM had just said, the Jays were indeed going to go with 13 pitchers. It seems some circumstances are even beyond Ricciardi's control.

Jim Hendry decided to keep Dusty Baker as manager the rest of the year.

"As far as the rest of the season goes, I let Dusty know today that he would be staying the rest of the year," said Hendry. "There won't be any discussions or questions to be asked about extensions now or anything like that. But I let him know that the next couple months, I felt it was best for the club that he complete the season and not worry about that."

Obviously, anti-Baker fans need a site like this.

The Cubs are playing well tonight as Walker and Barrett go deep back-to-back off Jeff Weaver to give the Cubs a 2-0 lead in the bottom of the first.

Sabernomics notes it's a good day for sports economists:

"When I wrote about public finance and designed fiscal policy that would work, no one really called," Bradbury says. "I get calls from reporters all the time now. ... The market is giving me a signal."

He also offers advice for those interested in the field.

The Washington Nationals now belong to the group headed by Ted Lerner. The deal was finalized today. The new ownership made their first personnel move, hiring Mike Rizzo as assistant GM.

I wish this group luck and hope this marks the start of a turnaround for an abused franchise.

Update: In other Nationals news, Jose Guillen needs Tommy John surgery. With his contract expiring at the end of the season, it's tough to know where he'll be next year, if he can even play in 2007. My guess is he'll need to take a pay cut to prove he can hit and field once again.

USA Today presents an interesting profile of Dave Dombrowski, focusing on his incredible memory:

Dave Dombrowski knows what the words mean. He has been a baseball executive for three decades, and over time, he has demonstrated his own tool -- his memory -- one his friends and employees describe as astonishing, intimidating and just plain freaky.

"Well, it's not photographic," said Dombrowski, who turns 50 on Thursday. "I do forget things."

Dombrowski, the Detroit Tigers' president and general manager, has between his ears a version of the Baseball Encyclopedia, Tigers scouting manifest and this morning's box scores. In speaking with scouts, he has been known to quote, word for word, from reports they wrote about some Double-A lefthander several years before.

"The thing is, he doesn't just remember the report," said Tigers scout Mike Russell, who worked for the Florida Marlins during Dombrowski's tenure there. "He remembers the exact conversation."

"Phenomenal," said Gary Hughes, a Chicago Cubs executive and close Dombrowski friend. "That's his thing."

Think about it: Would you want your boss to remember all the details of something you did five years ago?

"It's just something I was blessed with," said Dombrowski, who is under contract with the Tigers through the end of next season. "You take advantage of things you have. Some guys hit a baseball. Some of them run fast. I've always been blessed with that.

Before the expansion draft in 1992, Dombrowski addressed the ESPN crew covering the event. I was extremely impressed with his intelligence, composure, and command of the audience. It looks like he's going to get the chance to build a long term winner this time.

Bob Sikes calls on his experience with John Gibbons to defend the Blue Jays manager.

Naturally there are naysayers out there who say that it could have been handles differently. Hillenbrand has the chutzba to say it was unprofessional of Gibbons to call him out that way. It was Hillenbrand who wrote things on the team bulletin board as "play for yourself" and "this is a sinking ship". No. The gutsy Gibbons took matters into his own hands, didn't let a boil fester, and lanced it.

The Blue Jays may or may not make the post-season. If they do they can point to an incident where their manager unselfishly went outside himself and confronted the bully. And the bully left town.

Ivy Chat finds a Dusty Baker quote and makes this comment about it:

If only there were a job on a major league team that could order players to practice?

There's something for a smart GM to invent!

Dodger Thoughts notes Ned Colletti is practicing patience, while WasWatching finds the same thing going on in the Bronx.

Colletti:

Colletti acknowledged the possibility that the deadline could pass without the Dodgers making another significant move to follow their June 27 trade with Tampa Bay, when they acquired left-hander Mark Hendrickson and catcher Toby Hall.

"I'm not inclined to trade away players who I believe can have a strong impact on this franchise in 2007, 2008 and 2009 for a player who isn't going to make a significant difference for us over those last two months and isn't going to be of value to us next year," Colletti said.

Cashman:

"Patience might not be the right word," he says. "We have a game plan, and we're sticking to it. If circumstances present themselves that fall into what we're trying to accomplish both short term and long term, then we'll become very aggressive. If not, we'll pass."

This reminds me, never buy a car the first time you talk to the dealer. The less interested you seem, the better price you'll get.

Bleed Cubbie Blue links to an article pushing for Baker to stay for two more years, because the Cubs need stability. There's an excellent discussion of this in the comments.

Ducksnorts looks at the improvement of three young Padres since Merv Rettenmund replaced Dave Magadan as hitting coach.

Merv was very well known in his time as a player as an excellent person to platoon or use as a pinch hitter. He had a great OBA but not much power. I only remember positive things about him as a hitting coach over the last 25 years. His success with the three Padres chronicled above may tell why. He's not trying to get the three to do the same thing. He appears to look at each player, find his strength, and exploit that. This always struck me as the right approach. Find what the player can do, and teach him how to leverage his ability.

Brew Crew Ball offers thoughts on the dismissal of Astros hitting coach Gary Gaetti.

I would imagine that this move, more than anything else, is about trying to replicate the effect of changing managers in 2004, trying to trigger something like last season's 2nd half run. Gaetti was the obvious choice because the Astros offense is so putrid. I doubt it's about the hitting coach, though. That is, unless it was GG's decision to start the year with Brad Ausmus, Adam Everett, and Willy Taveras in the starting lineup.

It's also interesting to note why the Astros promoted Sean Berry into the spot:

The Astros promoted minor league hitting coordinator Sean Berry to replace Gaetti. Purpura said Berry would be the hitting coach for the rest of this season, then be evaluated at the end.

"He brings a real fresh approach," Purpura said. "He's very computer literate, very conversational with the hitters and has a real plan for hitting we hope to implement."

We'd all love to see the plan. I'm glad to see that the Astros consider computer literacy a plus for a coach.

The Red Sox hired Allard Baird as a scout:

"The Red Sox expect to win every day," he said. "This is a club whose goal every year is to win the World Series. That's exciting."

It's certainly quite a change for the former Royals GM.

Phil Garner name Chuck Tanner the honoary coach for the All-Star game:

Chuck Tanner was back in the limelight Monday, telling engaging stories of when baseball really mattered in the Steel City and how tough ballplayers were back in the day.

Yes, in his day, players just snorted cocaine to make them strong. And even if they were usings steroids, Tanner would have no clue.

Garner wanted Tanner, whom he considers his mentor, to be the center of attention and provide him another chance to relive the glory days of the Pirates' magical 1979 World Series championship.

Tanner didn't tell reporters how he also was the model for managers to ignore drug abuse. He turned a blind eye to the dealing going on in the Pirates club house, much as Tony La Russa did in Oakland and St. Louis. Garner could have made a better choice.

Carlos Zambrano thinks Dusty's in the wind:

"I think most people in Chicago figure Dusty will be fired," Zambrano said. "He's a good man and he's trying the best way possible to win. Nobody likes to lose. But when you have a whipping, you take it and there's nothing you can do about it."

What will Zambrano's thinking be if the Cubs do let Baker go?

"Just move on," he said. "Move on and make the next step. There's nothing you can do about it. You're there to do your job and to play. Anything else, you have to go to the general manager."

The Kane County Chronicle looks at the reason why:

The problems in this latest Cubs debacle are no secret - and not at all new.

Wood is done for the year after it was revealed he has a torn rotator cuff that has put his career in jeopardy. Mark Prior and Derrek Lee missed extended time. The starting rotation, not protected from the inevitable injuries of Prior and Wood by general manager Jim Hendry, were forced to rely on young - (Sean Marshall, Rich Hill and Carlos Marmol), old (Greg Maddux) and ineffective (Glendon Rusch and Jerome Williams).

The other issues - lack of hustle, problems running the bases, disturbing trouble with fundamentals - are the indictments against Baker. After all, the Cubs struggled in the first half, but not even a team without Prior and Wood and Lee should have been this bad, in this league and in this division.

"[The players] have a responsibility to play the game the right way and to play as hard as they can every day," Hendry said last month. "Effort is not a choice, it's a given. There is no excuse to be this far under .500 no matter who we have hurt."

For those who say this is Hendry's fault, I agree. But a manager usually has input into the makeup of the roster. If I heard stories that Dusty was marching into Hendry's office asking for high on-base guys, I'd be more in the give Dusty another chance camp. But my feeling is Baker and Hendry are on the same page in terms of roster selection. I'd like to see them both go.

It's looks like Jim Hendry's recent vote of confidence in his manager was short lived:

Cubs general manager Jim Hendry told Chicago reporters Tuesday he would use the four-day All-Star break to decide whether an overhaul, which could include firing manager Baker, is in order.

"I'll spend a lot of time over the break not just with the way the situation is, but with your own players. I'll sit back and reflect on the first half," Hendry told reporters.

"You are getting ready to go into a month where you have to evaluate what you have. You want to give everyone a fair chance to succeed," he said.

Actually, this story would be a lot stronger if it actually quoted Hendry talking about Dusty.

Update: Bleed Cubbie Blue has much more, including the idea that Razor Shines might be the next manager. Razor Shines is one of the great baseball names, along with Drungo La Rue Hazewood that just never made it in the majors.

Jim Hendry isn't interested in conducting a fire sale:

'To be successful by next year, a blowup's not in order,' Hendry said. 'You need to go back and look at how we might have done things that haven't been successful, and keep the parts that we think are going to be successful.

'If you look at it constructively, you still have a lot of people who are quality major-league players and are not old. That can help you next year.'

Notice he doesn't say young. So what is not old? Let's look at the Cubs current roster, including players on the DL.

Age	Number of Players
<25	5
25-29	11
30-34	8
35-39	2
40+	1

That's not a bad distribution of talent. However, if you accept that 27 is the peak age for athletes, 18 of the 27 players on the roster are 28 or older. There are seven players in int 25-29 group who are seasonal age 28 or 29. That's a group that ripe for trading for youngsters. Other teams can expect to get something out of this group, while the Cubs can pick up good prospects. Pierre, Ramirez and Barrett are all in that group. It's a good set of players to trade.

The Cubs are old enough that one would expect this squad to be more likely to get worse, not better next year. Going for prospects might mean winning is two or three years down the road, but done properly it may also mean steady winning for a number of years.

The Nationals signed a 16-year-old Dominican shortstop yesterday, and say they are going to be active on the international stage:

"This lets other teams know we are a player," Kasten said by phone. "We will take a back seat to no one -- repeat: no one -- when it comes to pursuing talent."

The Nationals have been under the stewardship of Major League Baseball since 2002, but their sale to a group led by Theodore Lerner will be completed later this month. Kasten said scouting and signing players from abroad is essential to building the Nationals' operations, adding that the Nationals will soon establish a presence in Asia.

"You have to out-scout and outbid people," Kasten said. "And you have to build relationships. To make these signings, the appropriate relationships have to be in place."

This is a very good sign things are changing for the better in Washington.

Jon Weisman notes a rare criticism of Ned Colletti. It's a good one, too.

After losing to the Royals last night, the Cardinals may be headed for a shakeup:

Moments after the Cardinals loaded the bases with none out and failed to score in the 10th inning, Jason Isringhausen allowed Royals third baseman Mark Teahen a leadoff home run to begin the 11th. The Royals, who dropped leads of 6-0 and 7-6, held on for an 8-7 win that sent general manager Walt Jocketty, manager Tony La Russa and pitching coach Dave Duncan behind closed doors long after a subdued clubhouse cleared.

The Cardinals remain percentage points ahead of the Cincinnati Reds in the NL Central but have retreated to seven games over .500 (43-36) for the first time since May 8.

"It's not a dangerous thing to know you can play better baseball. But if you wait to fix things, it could be dangerous," said Jim Edmonds, who gave the Cardinals 7-7 tie with a one-out, ninth-inning pinch home run.

That Edmonds quote is interesting. I'm not sure how to interpret it? Is he saying management might make things worse if they try a fix? Or that individual players might make things worse by trying fixes? Maybe Edmodns, whose power is way off this year, is worried about himself.

Cardinals Diaspora offers advice on changing the rotation.

The Padres hired Paul DePodesta on Friday:

Paul DePodesta, a former general manager of the Los Angeles Dodgers, has joined the Padres as a special assistant for baseball operations. He will report to CEO Sandy Alderson, the club said Friday.

DePodesta, 33, was fired by Dodgers owner Frank McCourt after L.A.'s injury-riddled, 71-91 season in 2005. The previous year, which began with DePodesta receiving a guaranteed five-year contract from McCourt, the Dodgers won their first National League West title since 1995.

They have a real interesting mix of former GMs in the organization:

The Padres' front office now includes four former major-league GMs: Alderson, who held the job with Oakland from 1983-97; director of international scouting Randy Smith, a former GM with the Padres (1993-95) and Detroit Tigers (1995-2001); Ed Wade, a former Phillies GM (1998-2005) now serving as an assistant to Towers; and DePodesta, who joined the A's shortly after Alderson left Oakland to work in the commissioner's office.

I thought Randy Smith was rather useless as a general manager. Ed Wade made some good moves for the Phillies, but overall his tenure there was nothing special. I would expect Alderson, DePodesta and Towers to be a formidable brain trust. It's good to see Paul back in the game.

Sell the Phillies is a new blog devoted to getting new ownership and management for the Phillies. Stop by and say hi.

Scott Palmer, the Public Affairs point man for the Phillies gives a very frank interview on the Brett Myers situation.

"Generally, were there mistakes made?" Palmer said. "Any time you have an issue like this in which a decision has to be made as quickly as this one, and with as many parties as were involved - the agent, the lawyer, court system, the Phillies, Brett, Kim - with that many parties involved in a decision of this magnitude... were mistakes made in that entire group? In my opinion, yes."

Myers, 25, was arrested early Friday morning. He pitched the next day at Fenway Park and received a verbal flogging from fans, who booed every time he walked to the mound. Since then, the pitcher has taken a leave of absence, but both he and the organization continue to be vilified, Myers for his alleged actions, the team for not benching him immediately.

"We were forced to make a very serious decision in a limited amount of time without as many facts that came out 48 hours later," Palmer said. "We had to take into account a number of things, including Brett's wishes [to continue pitching].

"As far as the criticism that started Monday [after Myers pitched], I understand. Eyewitness accounts came out. There was access to new information that we didn't have at first.

"If we knew as much at the beginning, we certainly would have recommended he not pitch. Once we understood the magnitude, we did everything we could to address the matter and help Brett put his life back in order."

Update: I have to disagree with the Phillies on the T-Shirt issue, however:

From about 11:30 a.m. to 5 p.m. yesterday, readers of the Web site could buy merchandise that included T-shirts, thongs and even shirts for their dogs that had "wife beater" and "39" written on them.

Myers wears No. 39 for the Phillies.

"The Phillies find it extremely offensive that any person or business would make fun of the very serious issue of domestic abuse, much less attempt to make money from it," the Phillies said in a statement.

Maybe if more wife beaters were publicly humiliated there might be fewer of them. They're not making fun of domestic abuse, they're just abusing the abuser non-violently.

Political correctness caught up to Ozzie Guillen today.

On Tuesday to reporters, White Sox manager Ozzie Guillen referred to Chicago Sun-Times columnist and Around the Horn contributor Jay Mariotti as a derogatory name for a homosexual.

Angry with a recent column by Mariotti critical of Guillen's handling of recently demoted relief pitcher Sean Tracey and upset with Mariotti with columns of the past, Guillen said to reporters when referring to Mariotti before Tuesday's game with the Cardinals, "What a piece of [expletive] he is, [expletive] fag."

Ozzie says the word fag is used differently in Venezulea.

Guillen said that in his native Venezuela, that word is not a reference to a person's sexuality, but to his courage. He said he was saying that Mariotti is "not man enough to meet me and talk about [things before writing].''

Guillen also told Couch that he has gay friends, attends WNBA games, went to a Madonna concert and plans to go to the Gay Games in Chicago.

"I called that of this man [Mariotti],'' he told Couch. "I'm not trying to hurt anybody [else]."

I thought he was calling him a cigarette, myself. The problem of course, is that Ozzie didn't finish the insult with, "Not that there's anything wrong with that!"

And how is the stereotyping going? WNBA? Madonna concerts! I bet he likes Barbara Streisand albums and Judy Garland movies, too. Just keep digging your own grave, Ozzie.

Geoff Young at Ducksnorts uses the Padres situation at third base to explore why people are risk adverse when they are winning, more adventurous when they are losing. He's looking for help with the answers:

We need to find a way through this "mental tunnel." We need to challenge our own thought processes and continue to innovate despite the potential risk to current success or else we risk "losing" additional future success. I'm mostly talking about baseball here, but it could be anything.

How do we get to that point? How do we avoid the trap of mindless risk aversion when all is going well -- especially when millions of dollars are at stake?

I don't have an answer to these questions. Like I said, I'm not smart enough to figure it out on my own. But I'm sure folks have some good ideas.

Okay. So, what are they?

He wants to know why choices are different in this situation:

He houses his discussion in the context of wagers, submitting that we will choose a sure gain over a probable gain, but choose a probable loss over a sure loss, even when the amounts -- the "calculus of expected values" -- are identical. The example provided, from studies conducted by pioneering researchers Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman, is as follows:

1. Sure gain of $75.
2. 75% chance of winning $100, 25% chance of winning nothing.
3. Sure loss of $75.
4. 75% chance of losing $100, 25% chance of losing nothing.

Given the choice between A and B, more subjects chose A. However, given the choice between C and D, the majority chose D. This doesn't make sense because both A and C represent certainty, while B and D involve risk with no additional overall reward. Either A and C should be preferred, or B and D. There would be consistency of thought here. Preference for A and D violates any concept of rational decision-making.

Let me give this a try. The 75% scenario represents probability over a long time. In other words, if you play the 75% win game thousands of times instead of just taking the $75 dollars, you come out about the same. You might come out a little better, but you also might come out a little worse. Taking the $75 each time puts a floor on the minimum you can pick up. It cuts off half of the possible outcomes of playing the game, all more negative than taking the $75 dollars. The fewer games you play, the more you're decreasing your risk.

In the other situation, the exact opposite takes place. You're going to lose money. By playing the game, you're giving yourself a 50% shot of losing less. If you play a lot, you won't lose a lot more than $75 per time, but you might actually save some money. And if you play just a few times, you might get lucky and save a lot. It seems to me it's a perfectly rational decision in terms of the probabilities.

This quote is from a couple of day ago, but still worth repeating:

Bowden, the general manager of the Washington Nationals, believes there are 11 teams with which the Nationals might be able to trade one of their veterans for prospects. The Yankees, who boast pitching prospect Philip Hughes in the minors, are included in that group, as are the Los Angeles Angels, the Los Angeles Dodgers, the New York Mets, Boston and Toronto.

"I've never seen the Yankees' farm system completely dry," Bowden said. "Every time I look in the big leagues, they keep bringing them up there, and everyone always says it's dry. It's not that dry. It's wet enough for me."

My take is the Yankees are better off getting their system flooded than trading for short term success again. But with all the talk of how poor the Yankees minor leagues are, they have come up with some decent players the last two years. If you can produce one major leaguer starter a year, you're in pretty good shape.

Pat Gillick is sticking with Charlie Manuel:

Manuel "can't go out there and play for them," Gillick said. "There's been inconsistency with our pitching, and pitching kind of sets the tone."

But Gillick has noticed that pitching isn't the only problem. He characterized his team's poor play of late as "a lack of concentration," and said his manager and coaches "have kept the guys focused as much as possible."

It strikes me that getting players to focus is the manager's job. What Gillick appears to be saying here is that no one could get the players to focus more. I find that tough to believe. If it is true, however, maybe it's time to make a "you're not so good that I won't move you" trade. Send one of the good, non-concentrating vets to a team like Kansas City to make the others take notice. If it's not the manager, maybe it's time to remake the club. As the Marlins showed over the winter, there's plenty of prospects to be had for good talent.

Dayton Moore does not want prospects to jump from AA to AAA.

"They're still in Double-A," general manager Dayton Moore said, "and I've always been a firm believer that it's important for guys to move throughout your system in a very natural way.

"And that natural way is going to Triple-A and going through the grinds of the Pacific Coast League and some of the adjustments they'll have to make against a different style of pitcher. That's always been my belief."

That marks the first evidence of a firm philosophical change since Moore replaced Allard Baird. Under Baird, the Royals regularly promoted prospects from Class AA Wichita while preferring to stock Omaha with older, borderline veterans as a taxi squad of sorts for the big-league club.

"It's a different style of play at Triple-A," Moore said. "It's a different mind-set that a player has at Triple-A. It's an older-player league. It's a different style of baseball, and (a prospect) needs that experience to draw from later in their careers."

The Rockies are innovating, using iPods to allow their players to watch videos of pitchers and hitters any time, any place. I recently bought one for my daughter after finding out college students are using these to rewatch and rehear lectures. Something designed for entertainment is finding myriad educational uses.

Randy Knorr replaced John Wettland today as the Nationals bullpen coach:

Wetteland lost his job Thursday. Manager Frank Robinson said he asked Wetteland several times to get the team's relievers to focus more and cut down on pranks, such as lighting firecrackers.

Sounds like having a blast in the bullpen is over. The Nationals relievers are walking almost a batter every other inning. I can see why Robinson wants them to concentrate more. My guess, however, is they need to find the ringleader of the pranks and get rid of him. There's obviously some disrespect for authority in the relief corps. In that case, this might be a better choice for the bullpen coach.

Friar Faithful doesn't like the way Bruce Bochy handled the pitching staff the last two days.

I've been wondering what Paul DePodesta is doing. Here's the answer:

For the better part of Paul DePodesta's adult life, the 7 p.m. hour meant it was five minutes from first pitch.

These days, that's bathing time for his 2-year-old son and 5-month-old daughter, and DePodesta is happy to spend the time with his family in their Los Angeles home.

He's also building houses:

He's exploring what his next career move will be, and is happy to do some volunteer work for Habitat for Humanity in the greater Los Angeles area, doing mostly construction.

About once a week, DePodesta hammers nails, pours concrete, puts up dry wall, or "whatever else they tell me to do."

Nobody around him knows he used to run the Dodgers.

"I'm just like anybody else," DePodesta said by telephone from Los Angeles. "Just another guy wearing a baseball hat and safety goggles."

Good for him. It sounds like this break came just at the right time. He gets to help around the house, help others and recharge for the next job.

If this story is true, Ozzie Guillen and Ken Williams go into the baseball jerks category:

White Sox rookie pitcher Sean Tracey got into hot water with his manager Ozzie Guillen -- for getting an out.

Tracey was summoned to start the seventh inning and got Hank Blalock to ground out, but getting an out might not have been the reason Tracey was brought into the game. White Sox catcher A.J. Pierzynski was hit by two pitches in the game and a source told the Chicago Sun-Times that Tracey was told to hit Blalock as retaliation. Tracey threw two inside pitches to Blalock before getting him to ground out.

After getting the out, Tracey was removed from the game. Guillen slammed a water bottle to the ground when Blalock grounded out and the manager then brought Agustin Montero in to pitch. Guillen was then seen in the dugout barking at Tracey, who pulled the collar of his jersey over his head.

Guillen's explanation makes no sense:

Guillen didn't address why he screamed at Tracey and had a different explanation why he took the rookie out of the game.

"I tried to get Montero ready [to face Blalock] and wasn't able to. It was a little late," Guillen explained. "It was my mistake. I didn't get him up quick enough. I didn't want Tracey in that situation."

Pierzynski gets hit by pitches a lot. Maybe it's the way he stands at the plate. If a pitcher doesn't want to hit another human being with a deadly object, that should be fine. He got the out, after all, and when you're trying to win a ball game, that's a tad more important.

Update: South Side Sox has more on this. It seems Tracey did try to hit Blalock, he just wasn't very good at it.

There was speculation a couple of days ago that the Diamondbacks would release Russ Ortiz. It's now happened.

Ortiz is believed to be the most expensive player to be cut loose in baseball history.

The club designated the struggling right-hander for assignment, which means it has 10 days to trade, waive or release him. The team is on the hook for the balance of the $33 million, four-year contract Ortiz signed in December 2004, a figure general manager Josh Byrnes said was close to $22 million.

It's a gutsy move. Ortiz is not helping them win.

"We're like most clubs: Every dollar counts. You want to spend them as effectively as possible," Byrnes said at a Chase Field news conference. "That affected the decision, but we also were true to ourselves, and we want to put our best 25 on the field and try to win games. That led us to our decision.

"We have to spend all our dollars wisely, and obviously we owe Russ a lot of money going forward," Byrnes said. "The flip side is we probably have more young talent than anyone in baseball, and that's a good thing as managing the payroll."

In other words, they have a few years before their young talent is able to demand a lot more money. This move stands in stark contrast to the Angels and the Jered Weaver situation. Of course, it's an easier move for Byrnes to make since he didn't make the original mistake of signing Ortiz.

The Kansas City Royals made a very dumb move by revoking the press passes of two reporters after their questions at the press conference to introduce Dayton Moore. Now the Press Club wants them re-instated.

At the news conference Thursday, the two reporters grilled owner David Glass over his handling of the dismissal of former general manager Allard Baird.

A release from the Kansas City Press Club states, "The questions asked at the press conference were tough, but fair. The game played at Kauffman Stadium is hardball, not softball, after all."

"Decisions made in the heat of the moment often lead to mistakes," the statement reads. "But now that time has elapsed, the Kansas City Press Club trusts that cooler head will prevail, credentials will be reinstated quickly, and the focus will return to where it belongs: getting the Royals back to winning form."

The Royals need all the help they can get to turn this franchise around. An angry press doesn't help. It just make Glass and his team look immature, and gives these two radio host more publicity than they probably deserve. If you're going to be in the public eye, you're going to get questions about your every move. And when the process was confused as the Dayton Moore hiring, you deserve a lot of them. Banning reporters isn't going to stop that; my guess is others will take up the slack.

The Argus Leader takes Terry Ryan to task over his off-season moves. From not trading Lohse to picking up White, Batista and Castillo, nothing worked out. I wonder if this is one of those situations where Terry's strength is the draft, not the trade. He's great at recognizing good young talent, but not so good at evaluating mature talent. (After all, he did let David Ortiz go.) So when the Twins were playing poorly, low draft picks allowed him to play to his strength and build a club from within. But with the Twins winning the last few years, even that job is tougher. I'd be interested in hearing from Twins fans on this.

The Washington Nationals hired Davey Johnson as a special consultant through July 31st. And while people will speculate he's being groomed to replace Frank Robinson, that doesn't seem to be the case. Bowden worked with Johnson in Cincinnati and wants his opinion on minor league prospects as the Nationals work toward the trade deadline.

I'm just glad to see Davey working his way back into professional baseball. He was jaded for a while, working for a college. He said he didn't want to manage again. That still may be true, but I wonder if Davey would be willing to be a general manager. He's smart, knows talent and given his success as a player and a manager could execute a Moneyball strategy without much criticism. Maybe it's Bowden he'll be replacing.

Andy Phillips went deep tonight to cut the Orioles lead to 2-1. The first baseman is starting to hit, something he did well in the minor leagues. He's another example of a first baseman that probably was available and could have solved someone's problem over the last few years.

For a team that's not supposed to posess minor league talent, the Yankees are doing a good job of bringing along youngsters. Cano, Wang, Cabrera and now Phillips are all contributing (granted, Phillips isn't that young). That's not a bad two years for any team.

Gary Peterson notes the success the Giants enjoyed under Brian Sabean's management, and compares his job to Billy Beane's (seems here's a lot of beans in the Bay Area):

Not only that, we keep coming back to the tightly focused mission statement Sabean has been expected to fulfill. If it can rightly be said that Sabean hasn't exactly stocked the farm the past 10 years, it can also rightly be said that it hasn't exactly been an organizational mandate. Bonds, and the window of success he has represented, has been the top priority.

Thus, Sabean's task has differed from that of say, Oakland's Billy Beane, who for years was asked to groom replacements for the fabulous players the A's were going to have to let slip away when their contracts expired.

Sabean could not serve the Bonds window with players who would be on top of their game three years from now. He has needed known quantities, veteran players who already were as good as they were going to get. He needed players who would complement Bonds' skills, and who would work for wages that would complement his hefty salary. The older Bonds has gotten, and the higher his salary has soared, the more exacting Sabean's task has become.

Which brings up the question, will Sabean adjust once Bonds is gone? Will he know how to build a team from within without years of practice? Or when Bonds goes, does Brian go with him?

According to the Onion, the Royals hired Tom Emanski as a new coach, entrusted with teaching the team fundamentals.

"Of course, even if you master all the fundamental drills—the Bare Hand Drill, Soft Toss Creep, 'V' Drill, 'X' Drill, and Rocket Relay—there is still the issue of talent," Emanski added. "I'm no miracle worker. But, with a lot of hard work and a little luck, I truly believe that a few of these Royals will someday have the skills you need to play in the major leagues."

Royals Authority links to the story.

Sources say Moore is getting a five-year contract and complete control over baseball operations in a commitment to turn around a franchise that has lost 100 or more games in three of the last four seasons.

Moore, 39, is expected to take control, officially, next week upon completion of baseball’s two-day draft. Sources said assistant general manager Muzzy Jackson will replace Baird on an interim basis.

Something had to be done, why it took so long is anyone's guess. Dayton now gets the chance to reach his potential. I wish him good luck, the Kansas City fans need it.

Rick Maese of the Baltimore Sun notes that the Orioles pitching staff regressed from last year despite the addition of Leo Mazzone:

The signing of Mazzone was still a good one, much better than throwing money at A.J. Burnett, Esteban Loaiza or Jeff Weaver. (And never mind the Cubs' trade proposal - Mark Prior for Miguel Tejada . Jim Hendry should face fraud charges for even floating that one.)

But it's reasonable to expect a return on the investment before the All-Star break. Last year at the break, the Orioles had a 4.41 ERA. With four of the five same starters, it's currently at 5.61, trailing only the woeful Royals.

Maybe Tim Hudson was right.

Joe Posnanski continues his great writing on the Kansas City Royals GM situation. Today, he looks at Johnny Damon and how he was lucky to get out of a world where wins are few and cherished to a world where a one-run victory over the Royals has to be defended.

Joe Posnanski continues to pound Royals owner David Glass over his treatment of Allard Baird:

Actually, watching Royals general manager Allard Baird at work says it all. Let's be honest, Baird was publicly fired almost four weeks ago. David Glass told three different news operations that he was going to make major changes. When pressed, he left no doubt that Baird was going to be fired. Not that this was wrong: The Royals have lost 100 games in three of Baird's five full seasons. They’re going to lose 100 games this season.

Baird had to be fired. That’s sports. That’s life.

But here's the thing. Glass did not fire Baird then. He did not fire Baird after a week or two weeks either. He still has not fired Baird. According to Baird, David Glass has not even called. The amateur draft is in about a week, and Glass has not given Baird a budget. People throughout the organization call Baird every day to ask him what's happening. Baird does not know what to tell them.

“I say, ‘Look, we've got a job to do,’ ” Baird says. “Let's do it.”

But there's a big positive in the story, too. Glass is talking to Dayton Moore:

David Glass has done one impressive thing. He has offered his general manager's job to Dayton Moore. True, you would have liked to see Glass mention something about this to his current general manager first. But in any case, Moore is admired throughout baseball. He would make a terrific choice. Many people around the game are impressed (and stunned) that Glass was even able to get Moore to listen to a Royals offer.

Of course, even here there is trouble lurking. Moore is reportedly nervous about taking the job because of … well, David and Dan Glass. He apparently needs assurances in writing that he will be given complete control of baseball operations. The fact that one of the best young minds in baseball needs assurances that he will be free of meddling from Royals president Dan Glass — who prepared for his baseball career by working in jewelry retail and real estate development — just about says it all.

Posnanski goes so far as to say the league should step in if Moore refuses the job because he won't be in control:

I do know this: If David Glass loses Dayton Moore because he refuses to cede all baseball authority — and I mean all baseball authority — well, the league office should step in, as the NBA did when former owner Ted Stepien was running the Cleveland Cavaliers into the ground. Because if the Glasses aren't smart enough to realize they're not smart enough to turn this team around … there’s no hope.

This whole article makes me wonder if the Royals problems are a result of Baird doing a bad job, or Baird being forced to do a bad job.

Jim Hendry unequivocally stated yesterday that Dusty Baker won't be fired.

'I've been hearing every time we lose a ballgame that Dusty is going to get fired,' Hendry said Saturday. 'People were reporting that he would be fired if we lost three to the White Sox, that he was going to get fired after the last Marlin game [Wednesday]. That is not going to happen.

'Dusty is going to get every opportunity to manage the club and get us out of this hole and get the opportunity to manage the club when it gets healthy here in the next couple of weeks.

'I'd like to put that speculation--that every time we lose a ballgame [his status is open to] public discussion every single day--to an end.'

Of course, if Hendry fires Baker and the team keeps losing, then you start to wonder if it's not the manager's fault. Maybe it's the GM who put the players on the field.

A great post on pattern recognition and Ken Macha at Catfish Stew:

Sometimes Ken Macha drives me nuts, and sometimes it's because I think he's making an irrational decision, but I think the ones that drive me the most nuts are the ones that seem too rational. It's like Macha won't trust his pattern recognition tools at all, and requires rational, empirical proof that X is Y before he'll act on it.

Barrett and Pierzynski come up in this post, and A.J. made it into a my thoughts on pattern recognition last October.

Via Baseball Primer Newsblog, Dejan Kovacevic wants to know why the Pirates don't give the starting third base job to Freddy Sanchez? Littlefield keeps saying Randa starts once he's healthy. Not even Randa agrees with that:

When it was mentioned to Randa this week that the Pirates say he will reclaim third base once healthy, he quickly retorted: "Oh, I wouldn't be too sure about that. I don't know how this is going to play out, but Pittsburgh has to be just ecstatic with what Freddy's doing."

Randa, hitting .221 before his injury, pointed to the team's 14-33 record as a possible sign that management could wind up discarding veterans or reducing their roles.

Maybe Randa has more sense than the Pirates front office. Look what happened to the one person who thought Sanchez could do the job:

The subject was third base.

Was there anyone good enough in house?

Should they trade?

Try free agency?

One member of management spoke up in favor of the player who batted .291, second best on the team, and flashed a fine glove in his first full season of Major League Baseball.

"My vote was for Freddy Sanchez," that official, now employed elsewhere, recalled recently. "He hits for contact, catches everything. Great attitude, too. I told them: You could win with Freddy Sanchez as your everyday third baseman."

Employed elsewhere. If Mark Cuban buys the team, find out the name of this source and hire him back.

With the Tigers in first place, Jim Leyland discusses his expectations for the team this season:

"My goal is to get people in the seats and get them interested in Tigers baseball, that's the goal for the year," he said. "I don't have any goals for wins, and I don't have any goals for losses, and I don't have any goals for where we finish. I just want to play well and get people back interested in baseball. Whatever happens, happens. That's how I'm looking at it.

Update: Billfer is less happy with other comments.

"At the end of the year, I'm going to say, 'Did we have a good season, a bad season, or a mediocre season?' I'm interested in a good season over the long haul, and that's what we're trying to accomplish here. We want to be competitive on a daily basis, and the rest of it will take care of itself."

Currently the Tigers rank 10th in home attendance and 12th in road attendance. Time to snap up those Tigers tickets!

Craig Brown at Royals Authority pens an open letter to David Glass.

Did you happen to see any of the baseball this weekend at the Stadium? I ask because I know you spend much of your time in Bentonville, and rarely make it to Kansas City to actually watch the team you own in person. And since I took in the games, I just wanted to fill you in on some of the things you might have missed.

The Cardinals weekend is the best drawing series of the season, and for good reason. Everyone loves to have a rivalry, even if it’s as contrived as this one. But when your stadium is filled almost to capacity for three days and the crowds at those games are roughly 80% for the visiting team, then something is horribly wrong. Yeah, I know those Cardinal fans are the self-anointed best fans in all of baseball, but I saw almost as much red in the K on Saturday as you normally see at Arrowhead on a Chiefs game day. After the Pujols home run on Saturday, my brother commented to me that it was the loudest he had heard the stadium in almost 15 years. Does that embarrass you, Mr. Glass? It should.

Brown wants to see a full change over in the front office and scouting departments, including the departure of Glass' son from day-to-day operations of the team.

The Tampa Bay Devil Rays are facing a May 31 deadline to change the team's name. There's an interesting discussion in the article of how it used to be very common to change team nicknames, even from year to year. But this is incorrect:

When those changes are announced, probably after the All-Star break, the Rays will become the first major league team to change their name without moving to another city since the Houston Colt .45s became the Astros in 1965.

The Houston franchise was renamed after three seasons to coincide with the opening of the Astrodome and to link the ballclub with NASA's space program centered in the city.

Three other franchises moved to other cities and were renamed to better identify with the new locale. The Seattle Pilots moved to Milwaukee and became the Brewers. The Washington Senators moved to Arlington, Texas, and became the Texas Rangers. The Montreal Expos moved to Washington, D.C., and became the Washington Nationals, which was a tip of the cap to Washington's place in baseball history.

The left off the other Washington franchise. The original American League Senators moved to Minnesota in 1961 and became the Twins.

Update: One commentor feels the article is correct. He makes the point that the three movements spoken of in the above paragraphs were after 1965. I'll buy that, but it's not clear from the way the article is worded. And lots of people don't realize there were two Senators franchises.

Where Have You Gone, Andy Van Slyke looks at how the indecision of Dave Littlefield hurt the Pirates over the years.

Dusty Baker acknowledges his troubles:

''It's been harder lately because I lost Steve Howe, who was a friend, and another longtime friend of mine [died] a few days ago,'' Baker said. ''The hardest part is going home to yourself or going out and knowing people are going to bombard you with negatives. It's hard because some of it is justified.

''This has been a tough 17-game stretch, and I knew it would be. It started tough and went downhill.''

That's what happened to King Lear. Just when you think it can't get any worse, it does. If you're looking for negatives, here are the Cubs batting splits since 4/20, the day after Lee's injury. Apart from the right fielder, nobody is hitting. The most damning thing in my mind, however, is the lack of production from first base. Lee's replacements averages are .193 BA, .272 OBA, .229 slugging. I don't expect them to find another Derrek Lee, but it shouldn't be that difficult to find someone who can hit to play the position. Where is Chicago's Ryan Howard? Don't they have a slugger at AAA or AA who can hit .250 with a .450 slugging percentage? Take the best bat in your system, put him at first and see what happens. It has to be better than this.

The Cub Reporter is taking comments on possible Cubs firings:

Dusty

Hendry

Everybody

The Cub Reporter has 15 questions for the next manager of the Cubs. They're pretty good ones for any manager.

Billfer is pleasantly surprised by how well Jim Leyland handles the Tigers pitching staff.

Royals Authority collects David Glass' quotes over the last two weeks to show how slow he is to change the front office. He also launches The Royals Incompetence Counter.

The Yankees won their fifth straight game 8-5 over the Texas Rangers. For Joe Torre, it's his 1000th win as manager of the club. He joins Joe McCarthy, Casey Stengel and Miller Huggins as the Yankees managers with 1000 wins. He did it in just a little over 10 seasons, so he's averaging 98 wins a season with New York. Given the revolving door to the managers office before Joe arrived, it's a pretty amazing accomplishment.

David Glass is finally upset at the Royals constant losing:

Glass' tone was distinctly different from what it had been two weeks earlier, when he said that before making changes he preferred to "give this thing a chance to play out."

Now, he says, "What's happened is just unacceptable. We're going to change some things to make it better."

Glass declined to specify what moves he is contemplating or when he might act. But there has been a public clamor for a change in general managers.

Allard Baird, who became GM of the small-market operation on June 17, 2000, has acknowledged his job could be on the line.

"I've got a bunch of balls in the air right now and I'm going to catch some of them," Glass said.

It's about time. With a number of GMs finding success in small markets this decade, Glass might have realized sooner than the Royals were doing things backward, wasting money on free agents before the talent was ready.

Of course, the fact that they let so many good players go, rather follow the Indians path of signing them long term when they're young reflects badly on Glass himself. A little more money a few years ago would be paying a big dividend now.

Bill Conlin gets it right on Pat Gillick and Cole Hamels:

Hamels is in Triple A, waiting to get roughed up, so he can prove his manhood. Gee, Pat, I thought Cole had already done that when he covered a teammate's back in an ugly Clearwater parking lot dust-up. Cole, the designated driver, broke a finger on his pitching hand on some guy's skull. Of course, if the Phillies are really waiting to see how he responds to replicating a Vicente Padilla outing, we might not see him for years. He's thrown exactly three homers in three-plus truncated minor league seasons. Two came last year when his back was ailing.

The Phillis are only five games out of first. Maybe Hamels makes the difference. It would be sad to see the Phillies fall farther from first before they make this move.

Edgar Renteria extended his hit streak to 19 games tonight. He's batting .367 with a .405 OBA. Hanley Ramirez drew two more walks so far tonight, and his OBA is up to .379, and he's hitting a respectable .287. Alex Gonzalez is 0 for 1 as the Red Sox play in the third inning. He's batting .178 with a poor .271 OBA.

I can't argue with the moves the Red Sox made this off-season. Ramirez helped bring them Beckett and Lowell; so far Mike's worked out better than Josh. Renteria brought them Crisp. A freak injury put him on the DL. But using hindsight, it looks like the Red Sox would have a better team if they:

• Trade Renteria for Marte and let Marte play third.
• Don't trade for Beckett and let Arroyo pitch.
• Let Ramirez play short.
• Pay Johnny Damon and let him play center.

They really didn't seem to have a good plan at shortstop, and now it's hurting them. It's one thing to have a weak hitting shortstop, it's another to have one that hits like a pitcher.

Soccer Dad notes a reason the Orioles lose out on top free agents; they're not aggressive enough.

Jon Weisman offers an excellent critique of Grady Little's handling of Odalis Perez last night. Watching things unfold in the fifth inning was a little like watching game 7 of the 2003 ALCS again, as Lisa Gray pointed out in the comments here.

Are we starting to see some anti-Gardenhire sentiment in the Twins Blogosphere?

It looks like the Braves are about to be transferred to a new owner:

JOHN Malone�s Liberty Life has swapped almost his entire 4% stake worth $3bn (�1.68bn, E2.43bn) in American media giant Time Warner in return for ownership of the Atlanta Braves baseball team, some cash, and a 50% holding in American cable network Court TV. The deal is expected to be announced this week.

How much are they valuing the Braves? Court TV is supposed to be worth $1 billion, so that leaves $2.5 billion to be divided between cash and the Braves. Forbes values the Braves at .38 billion. So that leaves 2.1 billion is cash, which seems like more than "some." I wonder if the deal includes TBS and Turner South?

This is just too funny, except if you're a Mets fan.

Hat tip, MetsBlog.com.

The latest Forbes report on baseball's finances is out, and things are looking good. And the reason is the New York Yankees:

Revenue sharing also had a profound impact on operating income. The Yankees and the Red Sox lost $50 million and $18.5 million, respectively, before interest, income taxes and depreciation. By not using their subsidies to boost player payroll (which was the intent of revenue sharing), the Pittsburgh Pirates, Royals and Twins each earned more than $20 million.

But the league's reliance on Steinbrenner's Yankees goes far beyond revenue sharing. For example, a visit by the Yankees can increase a home team's ticket sales by as much as 25 percent. And the Yankees account for 27 percent of all league merchandise sales, the profits of which get shared equally throughout the league to the tune of more than $3 million per franchise. In effect, much of the league operates as subsidiaries of the Bronx Bombers.

The Yankees are now worth $1 billion dollars. A nice return on a $20 million dollar investment in the early 1970's. It's about 12.2% a year.

Thom Loverro gets conflicting information from sources on which groups are most likely to win the Washington Nationals:

But after rounding up the usual suspects in an exercise that has gone on way too long, the consensus is the selection is down to two groups. But there is no consensus over which two those are.

Some believe it is down to the Washington Baseball Club and the Lerner family-Stan Kasten merger. But many others think it is between the Lerner-Kasten group and Jeff Smulyan.

Since Lerner-Kasten is a finalist in both scenarios, it would appear to be the choice.

"Bud is very comfortable with the Lerners," said one baseball insider familiar with the process.

But he also is comfortable with Smulyan. And, perhaps just as important, his lieutenant, Chicago White Sox owner Jerry Reinsdorf, considers Smulyan a close friend.

Loverro then sums up the political advantages and disadvantages of each group. It may come down to congressional power vs. district power.

Update: I forgot to include the link earlier.

Baseball Primer Newsblog notes Joe Girardi criticizing his team over mistakes and comments:

That�s pretty mild as team-ripping goes. Maybe a 0.5 on the Larry Bowa/Billy Martin/INSERT NAME HERE scale.

Which is the right level. He's upset, but in a constructive way. The "we're young and inexperienced" excuse isn't going to work with Joe, but he's not tearing down individuals either. I particularly like this part of his quote:

�This was our first chance that we had to win a series and we should have won the series,�� Girardi said. �And the way you make the playoffs is by winning series. You don�t give series away.��

Here he is with an awful team, and he's talking about making the playoffs. It's clear Joe wants to win, and he's going to drill that into the players, too.

Larry Lucchino and George Steinbrenner are more alike than I imagined. They both do nice things for people with illnesses.

Peter Angelos claimed Friday that the Orioles lost $15 million in 2005, but Peter Schmuck is skeptical:

I don't know what the truth is, but I do know this. Many years ago, when Angelos came home the conquering hero after paying a record price to keep the Orioles under local ownership, he told everyone who would listen that the team was a public trust and that the club's finances would be an open book.

Too bad for him that we live in the age of the Internet search engine, because I was able to set the way-back machine to Nov. 18, 1993, and pull up this Angelos quote from The Washington Post:

"I expect to be quite open about the Orioles' finances," he said. "I want the media and the public to know the financial picture of the team. I want them to know what the profits are and what the expenses are. I think the more the public knows, the better."

Now, all we get is an angry pronouncement that the club is losing a fortune and absolutely nothing to back it up. Pardon the skepticism, but I seem to recall that the Orioles spent the late 1990s with one of the highest payrolls in baseball and Angelos claimed at the time that the team was breaking even.

Good for Peter to find those old quotes. We'll see how quickly Angelos keeps his word.

Thomas Boswell discusses the blowup between Jose Vidro and Nationals president Tony Tavares being an outgrowth of management not knowing what will happen when a new owner enters the picture. Boswell ends with praise for Tavares, Robinson and Bowden:

Someday, all three, whether they stay or go when new ownership arrives, will be always be remembered here warmly for '05 -- the season that set the stage for a ballpark lease, for a $611 million construction project that may revive Southeast and for a $450 million sale price for a team that was worth barely half that much the day they dragged the ex-Expos to town.

To all of them, and to assistant GM Tony Siegle, the ego-free endlessly competent shrink to the whole franchise, there is a thanks due that far outweighs the disappointments and, at times, embarrassments of recent weeks. They all deserve better.

Tom Bridge at Metroblogging Washington picked up some information at the Washington Nationals opening day. It seems the ushers were fired from their DC jobs and hired directly by the Nationals:

This says a few things to me. It says that Selig and his cabal have settled on an owner, first of all. Secondly, that they're down to the brass tacks in terms of negotiations if they're talking about stadium personnel and not payroll, prices, and other large ticket items. Lastly, it means they're getting to the stage where they're involving people not typically into honoring non disclosure agreements. We're close to a deal here, folks, and we could see one possibly before the homestand is over, but I'm betting it will be closer to the All-Star Break before anyone in Major League Baseball shows DC any love.

It's my opinion that the owner was picked a long time ago. Baseball has to go through the process of making it look like there's bidding, but as the Boston transaction showed us, the people Bud likes the most are going to get the team.

Balls, Sticks and Stuff notes the Phillies bad start doesn't give fans a lot of hope for the season. He's calling for Charlie Manuel's head:

Time after time last season, I defended Manuel. While he was challenged to make good tactical decisions, he got players heads in the right place to play, a big improvement over the previous regime. And it showed, the team won 88 games and got closer to the playoffs than any Phillies team since 1993.

But this year, he has regressed as a manager. His tactical decisions are worse than last year and his lineup cards are perplexing.

The Phillies' problems are bigger than Charlie Manuel, firing him won't make them a World Series team, those issues are too numerous to name here. But if there is any hope of slavaging 2006, the time to make a change is now.

It looks like the Altobelli Effect wore off.

MetsBlog.com points out Willie Randolph's skills at motivating players, using Cliff Floyd as an example.

I wonder how many other mangers read Malcolm Gladwell?

Maddon never runs out of room for books. He reads books like Devil Rays outfielder Carl Crawford steals bases.

One of his recent favorites: "Blink," by Malcolm Gladwell, a book that examines thinking.

Maddon sounds like the kind of person who'd be interesting to know no matter what his profession.

Jim Tracy received good reviews from his new charges early this year. Jim and his coaching staff were approachable. They didn't rant like former manager Lloyd McClendon. The Pirates pitchers liked the atmosphere Tracy created.

In Detroit, Jim Leyland wanted more of a killer instinct from his players. So far, the Tigers take no prisoners mode is working much better than the open and approachable Jim Tracy. The Tigers are undefeated. They've outscored their opponents 39 to 12 in five games. The pitching staff has a 5 to 1 strikeout to walk ratio! On top of that, no unearned runs crossed plate yet.

The Pirates, on the other hand, have an OBA that's equal to their opponents batting average! (.328) Their opponents are getting on base at a .424 clip, so those great preseason camps did nothing to improve the control of their pitchers. They've been outscored, however, by just ten runs, four of them unearned. They're in every game, having lost three times by one run and never by more than three. They need a day when the offense and pitching are good together.

Update: I had forgotten that Lloyd McClendon is now a coach for Jim Leyland. The Tiger broadcast just reminded me.

Paul Hagen takes an in-depth look at how the Phillies were built, and the mistakes made along the way.

FishStripes notes that Gary Tuck makes out the Marlins lineup cards in calligraphy. The cards are very popular among the players. Maybe they can auction some off to fans!

John Klima at SABRScouts sends along this article about the Atlanta Braves scouting for amateur talent in Japan. Unfortunately, it's for the wrong reasons:

While many teams have tapped the Japanese major leagues to find finished products, the Braves have been hustling to find amateur players to develop in their own farm system. In an era when power will often be questioned, there is no way to question players who play the game the way it was designed.

Listen to Dayton Moore, Atlanta's director of player personnel, and it's evident why the Braves were so eager to solidify their foothold in Japan.

"These players are technicians," Moore said from Kissimmee, Fla., this week. "Do they have the power, the strength, that you see in the athletes in the States and other countries? No. Baseball is a game of fine motor skills. Asian players possess that. These are very good fielders, accurate throwers, hand-eye coordination guys, hit-and-run guys. They execute and that's how the Atlanta Braves win baseball games."

Really? It had nothing to do with Chipper, Marcus and Andruw getting on base and hitting for power? Secondly, isn't the part about strength a bit racist? I saw nothing in the WBC that indicated that the Japanese players didn't have power or strength. Klima then makes this incorrect observation:

If the World Baseball Classic taught us anything, it's that the best player in the world is Ichiro Suzuki, because there is no other player who can beat you in as many ways as he can. Other hitters may produce greater home run numbers, but Ichiro can still drive the ball and beat you with an extra-base hit. And good luck finding a power hitter who also can beat you by making contact, can beat you with a bunt, can beat you by running the bases, can beat you with his arm, can beat you with his glove.

Sorry, Barry Bonds standing like a statue in left field is a better player than Ichiro. Bonds doesn't need to hit behind the runner because he'll either score him from first with a homer or walk to move him to second, rather than grounding out swinging at a bad pitch. And if you don't like Barry, there's Alex Rodriguez, Albert Pujols, Manny Ramirez, Vlad Guerrero, Derrek Lee and Miguel Tejada, and that's just scratching the surface.

There is baseball talent in Japan. There are power hitters who swing and miss. There are contact hitters and speedsters who beat out infield hits. There are glove men who don't contribute offensively. Just like everywhere else. There are also great players like Ichiro, not because Japan does anything special training their players, but because he possesses great talent for the game.

I'm glad the Braves are in Japan scouting talent. More teams need to start looking for amateurs there. But there's no magic over there. It's just untapped talent, and the team that gets the best of that talent first is going to have an advantage.

MetsBlog.com notes the contradictions in stories about the makeup of the Mets roster. In fact, it appears to be the case that the Mets aren't going to decide until the last minute who is going north.

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Brian MacMillan at Off the Facade raises an interesting question about Joe Girardi's scouting reports; who owns them? Girardi compiled them with the Yankees, so shouldn't New York own those books? Usually, when you do work for a company, your work belongs to that company.

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Now that the Dominican Republic is out of the Classic, the Nationals get to make a decision about Soriano. With the injury to Guzman, the idea of moving Soriano to shortstop makes more and more sense. Yes, he's going to be terrible defensively, but he's going to hit a lot better than the Nationals other options.

Another injury that night inpact this decision is the Mets injury to Kaz Matsui. Might the New Yorkers and Washingtonians find a swap to send Soriano back to New York?

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Peter Schmuck comes down on the side of Melvin Mora in his contract negotiations with the Baltimore Orioles:

Technically, Mora is signed for the 2006 season, but everybody knows the chances of a pending free agent's remaining with the same team after playing out the final year of his contract are pretty slim. Just ask new Toronto Blue Jays closer B.J. Ryan - or New York Yankees pitcher Mike Mussina if you want to pull out the most glaring example in Orioles history.

That's why the Orioles need to end this staredown, even if it means they have to blink first.

Mora wants to stay in Baltimore, and he has done everything in his power - both on and off the field - to make the case that he is the kind of throwback player and organizational asset the Orioles cannot afford to lose.

I disagree. Mora is indeed an asset to the community, but he just turned 34 years old. In his seven year major league career, he's had two outstanding seasons, and last year he fell back to just good. The fact is the $10 million a year Mora is looking to earn is better spent elsewhere. The Orioles, instead of trying to find a place where both are happy, should tell Melvin to go try the free agent market and spend the year finding someone young to replace the third baseman.

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The Nationals settled their trademark lawsuit. Of course, a new owner my decide to change the name anyway.

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The Red Sox extended Terry Francona's contract through the 2008 season:

The Red Sox gave Francona a bonus for 2006; his salary in 2007 and 2008 will be $1.65 million and $1.85 million, respectively, ESPN's Peter Gammons reported.

Francona's done a good job of both managing the clubhouse and the game. He's managed to let Manny be Manny without it causing rancour among the batters who do run out every ball. From what I've read and heard, he seems to use stats intelligently and effectively. Nice to see the Red Sox recognize his effectiveness.

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Ivy Chat has an Arte Johnson moment reading stock tips. It seems the fifth biggest investor in the Tribune Corporation thinks the company should sell the Cubs and Food Network. Can you imagine the Cubs with an owner that really cared about winning?

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Sam Perlozzo replaced the joke that was the Orioles second half of 2005 with a daily funny:

Newcomers Kevin Millar and LaTroy Hawkins have stepped up. Batting practice pitcher Orlando Gomez made the most of his turn. And pitcher Bruce Chen and bullpen coach Rick Dempsey have been mainstays.

Their only responsibility in delivering the Joke of the Day has been to get people to laugh - at any cost.

"It just kind of happened one day and I said, 'You know what? I like this, we're going to keep doing it,'" Perlozzo said. "When you talk about chemistry on our ballclub, the fact that somebody can stand up in front of a bunch of people, that's another leader. We're bringing guys up that aren't afraid to do that. It's a big roar of a laugh before you walk out of the door. I don't know if it is going to make you win any games, but it is fun. The game is supposed to be fun."

Sam also gained the respect that Mazzilli lost early:

Several of the Orioles credited Perlozzo for creating a loose environment. This spring, he has leveled few rules - cell phones need to be off for team meetings, tardiness earns a fine - but enforced them to the violators. If players are late for meetings without notifying a team official, they aren't allowed to enter the clubhouse until the meeting is over.

Several players said that it was hard to take certain rules seriously, especially after manager Lee Mazzilli's cell phone went off - to the theme song of The Godfather - during a meeting two days after he established the rule punishing cell phone violators.

"He's treating us like adults, but you screw up, you're going to face the consequences," Gibbons said.

Perlozzo's off to a good start managing the people. If he can manage them to wins as well, the laughter will be even heartier.

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Jim Brockman notices how much the Tigers management pulled from the Pirates:

Jim Leyland wore his for 11 years as manager of the Pittsburgh Pirates (1986-96). Gene Lamont skippered the Pirates the following four years - after two stints over seven seasons as Leyland's third base coach.

Then came Lloyd McClendon. Before managing the Pirates the past five seasons, he played for four years in Pittsburgh and was Lamont's hitting instructor.

When the Pirates paid a recent spring training visit to Joker Marchant Stadium, the past 20 years of Pittsburgh's managerial history were on the other team with Leyland as the new manager of the Detroit Tigers and Lamont (third base coach) and McClendon (bullpen coach) rejoining him.

But we're only getting warmed up with ex-Pirates in Detroit's new regime.

There's former Pirates star center fielder Andy Van Slyke (1987-94), the new first base coach for the Tigers. Ex-Pirates catcher Don Slaught (1990-95) is Detroit's new hitting instructor, and former shortstop Rafael Belliard (1984-90) is the infield coach.

Ladies and gentlemen, the brand new Detroit Tigers are the old Pittsburgh Pirates.

Given the Pirates lack of sucess over the last decade, I'm not sure that's a good thing.

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In the early 1990's, the Cleveland Indians put together a good young team and signed most of them to long term contracts. This gave the organization the stability and price protection to dominate the Central Division of the AL. It looks like they're at it again.

Jhonny Peralta, who hit 24 homers last season and helped the Cleveland Indians contend in the AL, signed a contract extension that could keep the shortstop with the team through the 2011 season.

The Indians said Friday the 23-year-old player signed a five-year contract through the 2010 season with a club option for the 2011 season.

"Adding Jhonny Peralta to the current group of players already under contract solidifies a strong core of position players that will help to ensure a championship future," general manager Mark Shapiro said.

The article doesn't mention money, but the Indians don't need to worry about arbitration, and they will control Peralta through his peak seasons.

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It sounds like a trip to see the Gateway Grizzlies is in order.

We kid you not. The Gateway Grizzlies of the Frontier League promised to create "Baseball's Best Burger" in time for the team's opener in late May. And they appear to have succeeded.

The ballpark sandwich will include a hamburger topped with sharp cheddar cheese and two slices of bacon -- all between a "bun" of Krispy Kreme Original Glazed donuts.

Two of my favorite foods!

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Marcus Hayes describes how sloppy play by the Phillies is getting to Charlie Manuel:

He held a hat-waving, gesticulating meeting before yesterday's pregame practice, which preceded an 8-3 loss to the Yankees.

"I usually don't have meetings unless I get kind of upset," Manuel said. "I want us to play better."

His team was 5-2 in the Grapefruit League, but it was a messy 5-2; as messy as the team's drills have been.

"We were having trouble running the bases. We were having trouble throwing the ball. We were having trouble executing in general," Manuel said.

He stressed sharp play in his team meeting that opened spring training 2 � weeks ago. His words were not heeded, though he continued to harp on that theme with his players and in the press.

There's no criticism of Manuel in the article, but it's certainly doesn't make Manuel appear to be much of a leader. Two and a half weeks into camp and your team is still not executing basic plays correctly? It seems they're not responding to coaching. Charlie Manuel should be very worried about his job right now. If this team gets off to a slow start, stories like this put the blame at the feet of the manager.

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Leo Mazzone and his replacement, Roger McDowell received much attention over the winter, but the Arizona Diamondbacks hired a new pitching coach also. Bryan Price is getting rave reviews:

All of them have said Price has already helped them in one way or another, from isolating a problem with their mechanics to just being a positive influence and making sure they stay prepared and focused.

"He just makes you feel important," Halsey said. "It doesn't take long for you to realize that his goals are the same as your goals. As much as we want to become better pitchers, he's trying to make us better pitchers.

"That's what you want, somebody who's there to diagnose anything that might be going wrong, a guy that wants to help you improve yourself because that only helps the entire team."

We'll wait to see if it translates to better performance.

Update: Lookout Landing talks about Seattle's new coach, Rafael Chaves fixing Dave Burba's mechanics. It makes you wonder if Price is really that good.

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Jim Bowden's received a contract extension today, making him the GM of the Nationals through the end of the season. It's likely bad news for two reasons:

1. He's still the GM of the Nationals. This is the guy who thought trading for Soriano was a good deal.
2. It may mean that a new owner won't be in place by the end of April, when Bowden's contract was set to expire

I suppose it's just MLB rewarding Jim for doing a thankless job. This way, even if the new owner fires Bowden, he still gets paid.

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Andrew Koch points to a terrific tool for comparing the salaries of AL teams.

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Bob Sikes points out that the honeymoon is over between Willie Randolph and the press.

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I'm not impressed with Zack Duke's journal so far, but he does have a nice take on the Pirates new motto today.

I've got this new T-shirt and hat in my locker with the 2006 slogan, 'We Will,' on them. So, the obvious question is, 'We Will what?' Well, I have the answer: the little things -- those are what we will do. Jim Tracy is always saying the little things matter to clubs that win championships, so we will do those little things, I guess, or we won't ... play. It's all a matter of what you will -- if you will.

I have this personal slogan: "DOMINATE!" So, I guess I will dominate. I'll try, at least.

One of our favorite players from the 13th Floor Strat-o-Matic league was Rob Wilfong. Every time he came up to bat, you could say with certainty that he was going to fong. If the Pirates offense will fong this season, Zack Duke will have an easier time dominating. :-)

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The Yankees apologized to fans today because their stars are away at the World Baseball Classic.

"The New York Yankess," the sign went on, misspelling the team's name, "did not vote to support this event. Any comments you have regarding the World Baseball Classic should be directed to the commissioner of Major League Baseball or the Major League Baseball Players Association."

That has to make Bud happy.

Carl Pavano made some progress today, pitching off the mound for the first time since last August. He threw 30 pitches. Carl is competing for one of three slots at the back of the Yankees rotation with Wright, Chacon, Wang and Small.

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Thomas Boswell notes the difference between spring training this year and last year for the Washington Nationals:

You'd have to be insensate as a commissioner to miss the point. How many of the empty seats here Thursday afternoon were a mirror image of the vacuum in the hearts of first-year Nats fans. After a horrid offseason of bad-faith betrayal by baseball's brass and the District's politicians, they feel like they've been kicked in the guts. Last spring, fans flew down from Washington to hang over the fence to talk to pitchers in the bullpen. Chad Cordero called them "awesome" that day, then sprinted into the game and fanned the side. This week, no fans have chatted up the bullpen. Against the Koreans, the 47-save Cordero, the symbol of the Nats' thrilling first season, gave up four runs in one-third of an inning. "It was ugly," said one Nats official.

It's sad. Instead of having a new owner to build on an over-achieving team, MLB is riding the former Expos into the ground again. One wonders if the attendance at RFK this season will make it look like Stade Olympique.

And that could be a problem for the owners of the team:

And, if disillusionment grows, what will happen to the value of a franchise that drew 2.73 million fans last season? Now, it's worth $450 million to eight different bidders, all lined up begging. What will it be worth, and who will still want it, if baseball's stubborn brass and D.C.'s feuding council manage to contaminate Washington's nascent baseball love affair?

There is an easy solution, which is to sell to buyer who is willing to help build the stadium. That doesn't fit in Selig's plans to blackmail other cities into constructing new buildings however, so the Washington fans suffer.

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Anaheim takes it's case against the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim to Orange County judge Peter Polos. This is not an appeal of the case just lost; they're asking for an injunction against the team. I'm not sure why you can lose a court case and then ask a judge to intervene, but I'm not a lawyer.

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According to this report on MLB.com, the Cleveland Indians are working on a long term contract with Jhonny Peralta.

Rego would not get into specifics as far as the number of years or the figures being discussed.

"It would be right in the neighborhood of what the Indians have historically done in the past, as far as multitude of years," he said. "If you look at the C.C. Sabathia deal, the Victor Martinez deal and the Travis Hafner deal, it's within the realm and within the protocol of those three."

In April of 2005, Sabathia was signed to a two-year contract extension through 2008, Hafner was signed to a three-year deal with an option for '08 and Martinez was signed to a five-year deal with an option for 2010.

By locking up their young talent with long-term contracts, the Indians are following the same blueprint that helped them put together two World Series teams in the 1990s.

I thought that was a great strategy back then, and it's a great one now. You avoid arbitration with your young players, saving both the monetary and emotional costs of that process. You also insulate yourself against salary inflation, making these players tradeable down the road. I'm still amazed that more clubs don't follow this model.

The Kansas City Royals only need four pitchers for the first couple of weeks of the season, but Bell doesn't like having an extra position players around:

�The tough thing in the American League,� he said, �is you don�t use a lot of guys on your bench. So guys get (ticked). You don�t want guys just sitting around.�

A projected four-man bench includes backup catcher Paul Bako, first baseman/DH Matt Stairs, a utility infielder (Esteban German or Joe McEwing) and a backup outfielder (Chip Ambres, Aaron Guiel or Kerry Robinson).

The Royals starting nine is just so talented that Bell would never want to:

• Platoon two players.
• Burn a pinch-hitter to get the platoon advantage.
• Make a defensive replacement for one of the old players signed this winter.
• Carry three catchers for more flexibility.
• Pinch run in a one-run situation.

Nothing of use there.

Joe Girardi is really showing his players how it's done:

With temperatures in the 80s on Tuesday, Marlins pitchers lined up for one of the most grueling drills of spring training: "running poles," a series of 14 sprints across the outfield grass from foul pole to foul pole.

That's when left-hander Scott Olsen looked over at manager Joe Girardi and said with a sneer, "Why don't you run with us?"

To the surprise of Olsen and his teammates, Girardi replied: "All right."

In the clubhouse a few minutes later, Olsen wrapped a cold towel around his head and marveled at how Girardi, 41, outpaced many players.

"He ran, like, 12 poles and he wasn't even fazed," Olsen, 22, said. "He might have run more than 14. I ran my 14 and got out."

It's a great incentive for the players to be out run by the manager. Especially one who is a former catcher. I like this idea, also:

Girardi, who lifts weights alongside his players in the training room, said he'll probably put on some catcher's gear in the coming days to get a closer look at some of his pitchers.

That's upclose and personal.

Eric Wedge's approach to managing is compared favorably to Walter Alston in this AP article. This, however, reminded me of another coach:

"When you have to manage 25 guys you have to be on the same page," Indians reliever Rafael Betancourt said.

"Eric is always telling us that we have to respect each one in the room. He is a quiet person, one who doesn't talk too much. But, when he does, you listen."

That reminds me of oarsmen describing Harvard Crew coach Harry Parker. Harry seldom talks. When he does, however, it's such a rare event that everyone pays rapt attention. It's worked very well for Harvard crew over the years, and it looks like it's working for Cleveland.

The Yankees are going aggressively after other teams waived pitchers in hope of finding the next Aaron Small. This strategy highlights the changes in the front office this year:

Of course, as Cashman noted, when a pitcher who'd been as highly rated as Rasner suddenly shows up on the waiver wire, your first inclination is to wonder what's wrong with him. You also wonder why so many teams ahead of the Yankees in waiver wire pickings passed on him.

"This time of year, most of the rosters are full," the GM explained, "and because a lot of GMs are on vacation or have already set their rosters, it's easy to miss a guy. We're just trying to be aggressive."

"These are not scrap heap guys we're bringing in here," insisted Michael. "They're better than that and they're not just guys we signed as a favor to the agents. They're here because we wanted them."

Still, under the old "split world" order with the Yankees, Tampa invariably nixed the GM's attempts to bring in other organizations' pitching rejects. All the minor league signings had to go through Tampa and, in effect, Cashman didn't have control of the 40-man roster. It was no small thing, and just one of the conditions Cashman set down before agreeing to come back as GM last November.

It's a low risk, high reward strategy. It costs the Yankees very little money to look at these pitchers. If they find someone with a strength the team needs, they can try to develop that in the minors. Most of the time it won't work, but if you can find a gem like Small once in a while, it's probably worth it.

Ivy Chat details the things Dusty Baker can't do.

LargeBill reflects on Wayne Krivsky's first week on the job. He's not as unhappy with the Timo Perez signing as Aaron Gleeman.

John Henry comes out against high luxury taxes:

�Baseball has to address the disincentives created by large scale transfers of revenue from successful clubs to less successful clubs,� Henry said. �At high enough tax levels the incentive is to invest somewhere other than in baseball. The disincentives are just as powerful for the lower revenue clubs as for the higher revenue clubs. The Red Sox have taken an aggressive stance in investing in all aspects of the franchise. But one has to wonder how many teams will do so when the financial risks often outweigh the potential financial benefits. �The commissioner and the union have radically altered the game of baseball for the better over the last few years by transferring enormous amounts of dollars. But as with all taxes, there is a point at which taxation discourages effort and investment to the point that baseball clubs one by one come to the same, unfortunate conclusion. Looking ahead the Red Sox have to take it on faith that investment in baseball on behalf of our constituency -- the fans -- will make sense. But we cannot ignore the fact that it is their hard-earned dollars we are sending to other cities.�

I'm impressed on two levels. First, he sounds like Arthur Laffer. Second, Henry is the owner of the Red Sox because he's Bud's man. Revenue sharing is Bud's big baby. Even though Henry goes out of his way to praise Selig in the article, he clearly doesn't like throwing money at the Blue Jays. He clearly wants a change in the next agreement. It's great to finally see some difference of opinion between the owners and the commissioner, especially from the inner circle.

Selig should listen to the Red Sox owner. Henry doesn't strike me as a person who wants to do away with the concept of revenue sharing. He knows it helps the game. Henry might develop a more competitive system that rewards success rather than failure.

The AP talks with Washington team president Tony Tavares about his to do list:

"We've got to get the accounting department here," team president Tony Tavares said Thursday. "We've had too many problems with getting bills paid, bills getting paid late, and what got lost in the mail between Montreal and here."

Hiring number crunchers to work in the RFK Stadium offices is one of about 20 things on Tavares' to-do list, which fits onto one page of a white legal pad. In many ways, his list is as important as any lineup manager Frank Robinson will make during spring training, which starts for the Nationals when pitchers and catchers report Saturday to Space Coast Stadium in Viera, Fla.

A year ago, Tavares' list became a well-known chronicle of the enormous task of relocating a major league franchise -- it was 90 items long at one point -- and this year's list, while shorter, has essentially the same underlying theme: Nothing is permanent with the Nationals, a team still in flux and at the mercy of haggling between baseball officials and politicians.

He also speaks about the problems the stadium negotiations are causing:

"We pretty much go with the flow," Tavares said. "Even if everything moves right, my guess is that we don't have a firm deal with the city in place until the end of March, beginning of April. It'll take 60 to 90 days to bring the sale to closure. My guess is the All-Star break [for a new owner], and that's a best-case scenario. And a new owner's not going to come in here at the All-Star break and say, 'OK, I want that GM out of here."

Tavares' uncertain future hasn't kept him from being active in the stadium lease talks. Council chair Linda Cropp recently said the city may "not be able to do a Cadillac stadium, but we could do a Buick." Tavares is concerned the council's cost-cutting will strip the ballpark even further.

"I'm not going to say it's substandard right now, but I think if we go much further it'll be substandard," Tavares said.

Sell the team and let the new owner resolve the stadium issue. A partnership between the owner and city is going to result in the best built facility.

The Balitmore Sun offers a biography of Leo Mazzone's youth in Maryland. I love the story about wrestling a nun:

"All of us were crazy about sports, but baseball consumed everything Leo did," Ord said. "Others had more natural talent, but Leo worked harder. He was feisty too; he always stood up for himself."

On one occasion, Mazzone tangled with his eighth-grade teacher. Her name was Sister Veronica Marie, and she wielded the stingingest steel ruler at St. Peter's.

"She caught Leo goofing off in class," said Ord, who witnessed the incident. "When she went to hit him [with her ruler], he wrestled her to the floor."

Aghast, students gathered round the pair.

"Sister Veronica Marie had her habit on," Ord said. "We were kind of hoping Leo would knock that thing off her head so we could see what was under it."

From the article it's clear where Leo's philosophy of always throwing comes from:

"Leo liked to walk around the neighborhood throwing rocks," his mother said. "He'd get right out here on Rock Street -- the name matched him very well -- and just start pitching rocks. He was 8 or so. He didn't care where the rocks went."

Windows took a beating. Too often, Tony Mazzone came home from his job at the mill in nearby Luke to find busted glass on a neighbor's lawn and his son's left arm to blame.

The City of Anaheim continues the effort to remove Los Angeles from the name of the Angels:

Attorney Michael Rubin said Monday the city's lawyers would make the request at a March 2 hearing before Superior Court Judge Peter Poulos.

Rubin said city officials believe they have a good chance of prevailing based on Poulos' previous rulings concerning language in a stadium lease agreement signed by officials with The Walt Disney Co. when it owned the team. The lease required that the word Anaheim be included in the name.

I guess I don't understand the law. Didn't the city just lose a trial? Didn't a jury of their peers say everything's okay? Isn't that supposed to be the end of things? As far as I can tell, this isn't an appeal. Would someone with some legal knowledge please fill us in on why Anaheim can make this plea?

Management by Baseball likes what he's seeing from the Devil Rays new ownership:

Most turnaround efforts might have gotten that right. But it's the universally powerful and rarely-used supercharge technique, one of my own favorites, that I suspect will make the most difference in their effort to gain respectability.

According to a story by Alexis Muellner in the Tampa Bay Business Journal, executive management are finding out all the turnaround knowledge stored in the heads of the Devil Ray line staff.

The new owners are listening to long time employees who never before had a voice. They're generating ideas, ways to improve the organization. With luck, some of them will be good ones.

Sheldon Ocker notes an extra card up Indians GM Mark Shapiro's sleeve:

Keep in mind that Shapiro still has cash to spend, possibly as much as $10 million. That means he can make adjustments to the roster during spring training or any time before the July 31 trading deadline.

In the recent past, the GM didn't have this kind of flexibility. He does now, and he might need it.

With Cleveland in contention the last two seasons, I expected a deadline deal from the Tribe. It didn't happen. Now, however, if a club wants to dump a big contract, or get rid of a potential free agent, Cleveland can take on the salary for half a season. That certainly should make a deal easier to complete.

Bob Sikes comments on what Rickey Henderson does for the Mets. He also see Rickey possibly putting on the Mets uniform at some point:

But getting back to Henderson, what may materialize is a silent commitment from Minaya to him that if he's unable to find the employment he's looking for, a player-coach role might be in the cards in Tidewater. And then the potential is there for Randolph and Minaya to summon this legend should need arise.

Rickey Henderson will be with the Mets in Spring Training as an instructor. It looks like his prize pupil will be Jose Reyes:

Omar Minaya, the Mets general manager, sat next to Henderson during a game of the 2002 World Series and brought up the topic of instructing young players. Dave Stewart, Henderson's former Oakland teammate, let Minaya know during the offseason that Henderson was ready.

Minaya mentioned Jose Reyes and Carlos Beltran as players who will work with Henderson, learning tips on baserunning and getting on base.

"In my opinion, Rickey is the best leadoff hitter in the history of the game," Minaya said.

I agree with that last statement, but Willie Randolph was also an excellent leadoff man. I'm not sure what Rickey can teach Reyes that Willie can't. Maybe Jose will start referring to himself in the third person.

Still, it's great to see Rickey back at the major league level. From what I've heard of Henderson's time in the independent leagues, his teammates loved him. My guess is he's been doing a lot of coaching just there in an unofficial capacity. You might as well learn from the best.

The jury decided in favor of the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim, letting the team keep the lengthy name as it's official moniker. They'll be the LAnaheim Angels forever more on this site.

There's a discussion starting at the OCRegister if you'd like to voice your opinion of the verdict.

Frankly, I'm surprised. I thought the Angels had a good case. It looks like the jury respected the letter of the agreement, rather than the intent.

The Angels city name is now in the hands of a jury. I'm still pulling for LAnaheim.

WasWatching smells a rat.

The Dayton Daily News now reports that Wayne Krivsky is the new Reds general manager. I guess the sources for this morning's story weren't very reliable.

Krivsky has served as Minnesota general manager Terry Ryan's right-hand man in a similar market with a similar payroll. He has been assistant GM since Nov. 30, 1998, and assisted Ryan in negotiating contracts for major-league players, including salary-arbitration cases.

He helped negotiate multi-year contracts in Minnesota for Torii Hunter, Joe Mays, Corey Koskie, Jacque Jones and Shannon Stewart. He also worked on pitcher Brad Radke's first multi-year deal.

Krivsky has been in baseball operations for 30 years and also serves as a Major League Scout for the Twins.

Congratulations to Mr. Krivsky!

Jeff Passan details the arbitration hearing process:

�There are seldom any players who go in there and it doesn�t affect them in some way,� Baird said. �Some positive. Some negative. Some where they question their abilities. The one thing I remember about Carlos Beltran was as soon as he came to spring training, he said to me, �These are the things I�m going to be better at this season.� They were all the things we discussed in arbitration.

�Now, they know that kind of stuff. But the way it�s presented in an arbitration hearing, you have no choice but hearing it. Because it�s not said nicely. It�s not said with much tact. It�s highlighted with colors and reiterated with facts.

�It�s dissected to the degree that you�re surprised you�re even allowed to wear a glove.�

The Dayton Daily News connects the dots from various sources and predicts Jim Beattie as the new Red general manager.

Nine candidates were interviewed and several have been told they wouldn't get the job, including interim GM Brad Kullman, Reds special advisor Leland Maddox and Philadelphia assistant general manager Mike Arbuckle.

It would not be surprising.

Beattie was the first person new owner Bob Castellini hired, naming him a special advisor the same day he officially took over as the team's CEO. And he immediately named him as a candidate for the GM's chair.

In addition, Castellini has told friends he preferred a person who had been a general manager. Only Beattie and Atlanta assistant general manager Frank Wren have GM experience among the candidates.

Beattie did a good job with very scarce resources in Montreal. He didn't do a good job with greater resources in Baltimore, however. How much of that was Jim and how much was Angelos I'll leave to the commenters.

Mike Carminati wonders why the Rockies management team received contract extensions:

This is a team that has witnessed one winning season in the last eight and that hasn't made the playoffs in the last ten. They have seen their attendance slip from first in the NL in their first 7 seasons (and as high as 4.5 M in their inaugural season) to fourteenth in the 16-team NL last year with their first attendance mark under two million for a season.

O'Dowd has held his job over six seasons and has job for over six seasons and has registered one season (barely) over .500 and that was over five years ago (82-80 in 2000) and has never had a team finish higher than fourth in a five team division. Since O'Dowd took over no Rockie team has finished within 15 games of first and his teams have finished on average 21 games out. And it should be mentioned that the Rockies fell from first in attendance in his first full season as GM and have been falling steadily since.

The Reds search for GM candidates is over. Hal McCoy lists the nine candidates.

The Colorado Rockies signed their two managers to one-year extensions, giving manager Clint Hurdle and GM Dan O'Dowd at least another year to turn their youth movement into winners.

Bob Sikes remembers the summer of 1980 and two ballplayers who became fast friends.

A few years ago, then Cubs catcher Joe Girardi was complaining about a Marlins celebration after a walk-off home run. John Boles then put the classic curse on Girardi:

To which Boles replied: ``Anybody who criticizes that, well forgive me for feeling good about ourselves for six seconds after a walk-off victory. Joe Girardi has been playing for the world champion Yankees and, without having been in our shoes, he might want to hold off on criticism.''

Boles went on to say that he hoped Girardi never had to endure the misery that the Marlins had gone through.

Of course, Girardi gets to manage a team that's been stripped to the bone. The new manager is looking to win, however.

''It's amazing,'' Girardi said. 'A lot of people are like, `Good luck, but I can't believe what they did to your club.' And I'm thinking, what a great opportunity. I have an opportunity to build a club, watch them grow and win.

Maybe Joe can prove Ozzie Guillen wrong. :-)

I'm back from the UConn Baseball Banquet and had a wonderful time with Randy Sabia and his crew. We had great seats, as you can see from this picture of Ben Cherington (my phone does not have a great camera).

Walt Dropo and Charles Nagy were both honored with distinguished alumni awards. Dropo's family accepted on his behalf, and Nagy flew in from California with his family. You could tell Nagy was very moved by the recognition.

Brian Cashman and Ben Cherington each made a short speech, Brian on the state of the Yankees, Ben more on playing college ball. Cherington refered to Theo as "The Gorilla" during his comments. He also said that the Red Sox front office has a lot of respect for the Yankees front office and that the competition between the two "makes us better."

The two then sat together on stage and took questions from the audience. I was impressed by the intelligence of both men. Cashman was very forthcoming in answering all questions, whether it was about working with Steinbrenner or how the lack of a farm system limited their moves this off season.

The two were asked about big versus small markets. Cashman pointed out that have resources allows a team to have many more choices in putting a team together, but it also gives you more chances to make a mistake. Cherington added that it's nice working for a team with resources, but sometimes he thinks working in the cocoon of a small market would have benefits also.

Cashman was asked about how he manages to work with Steinbrenner, and he gave what I thought was a very interesting answer. The people who came before him all had resumes. Each one came into the job with the idea that things would be different for them. Cashman never worked for another organization. He has not point of comparison with Steinbrenner, so he didn't have expectations that things would be different.

He told a story about Woody Woodward. Steinbrenner forced Woody to trade Joe Niekro to the Twins, and the next week Niekro shut out the Yankees for seven innings. Cashman was sitting with Woodward, listening to Steinbrenner say that Woody had to take responsibility for the deal. Cashman said he thought to himself, "I never want to be GM of the Yankees."

Cashman praised the Red Sox management team for the job they did rebuilding the farm system. Cashman couldn't go the trade route to fix the Yankees because he doesn't have the depth of talent in the minors the Red Sox do. He went with free agency because that was the one avenue open to him. He wants to get the Yankees to the point where they are continually producing young talent.

Cherington was asked why the Red Sox didn't re-sign Pedro Martinez last season. I loved his answer. The organization never wants to fall in love with a group of players. He pointed out that the Red Sox made Pedro a good offer, but due to circumstances the Met valued Pedro more than Boston. Management is looking four or five years down the road when they decide how much to offer a free agent.

All in all, an enjoyable evening. Good food, good friends, good conversation and good information.

Orel Hershier didn't last long at his new job in the Rangers front office. He resigned yesterday, with no comment from him or the team. Hershiser had some success in the second year of coaching, as the pitching staff posted an ERA below 5.00 for the first time since 1997 and contended for the AL West title. Last year, however, the team's ERA rose again, and the Rangers chances for an AL West title sunk.

The mayor of Anaheim testified today to wrap up the city's case against the Angels:

The mayor of the city of Anaheim said when he returned from a long New Year's Day weekend last year he was shocked to learn that Angels owner Arte Moreno had changed the team's name.

Mayor Curt Pringle said he had a friendly discussion with Moreno five days before, at which both men agreed they would continue to discuss a possible name change. Nothing was finalized at that meeting, Pringle testified Wednesday.

"It was a punch in the stomach," he said.

I don't know which side is going to win this case, but Arte Morneo lost stature with the people of Anaheim during this trial.

As Roger McDowell takes over the Braves pitching staff, do I detect a little anti-Mazzone sentiment?

Hudson said McDowell made a strong impression.

"Everybody knows him as pretty easy going and a practical joker when he was a player," Hudson said. "I think it will be a little more fun in the bullpen area. It's going to be about learning how to pitch and having fun while you're doing it, not so much walking on eggshells down there."

That's two days in a row that Hudson said something slightly negative about Leo. I wonder if the two got along?

Paul Schaffer of the Dayton Daily News endorses Paul DePodesta for the position of Reds GM.

With his approach, Beane consistently keeps his team in playoff contention with a small payroll.

In 2004, DePodesta tried to bring these ideas to the Dodgers, but he got ripped in the L.A. media, especially when he dared to trade catcher Paul Lo Duca, a fan favorite. He ended up fired at the end of 2005, when the injury-ravaged Dodgers finished with a 71-91 record after making the playoffs in 2004.

The unfathomable aspect of baseball is why the Moneyball model for success isn't more popular. The National Football League is noted for being a copycat league. Teams often embrace new strategies in their efforts to stay competitive.

Logically, other teams should try to emulate Beane's blueprint. Instead, the baseball establishment is so resistant to change that Beane is called "lucky" and his brethren are vilified as "statheads."

Well, here's one stathead who wants a DePodesta, or at least a Krivsky, for the Reds. I don't want the produce man to hand us a lemon.

Gordon Edes pens a moving article about Tommy Harper finally feeling at home in Red Sox Nation. He gives all the credit to the new owners:

But on this morning, as Pat Williams, the former Orlando Magic executive who cut his teeth in baseball, told the kids about the lessons he drew from Robinson's life -- lessons of courage and self-discipline, character, competition, and leadership -- Harper declared that at long last, the Sox are emerging from the shadows of their past.

''When John Henry, Tom Werner, Larry Lucchino bought the team, yes, there was a definite change," he said. ''There are changes that maybe you can't see, but I see. There's a different attitude. There's a feeling of genuineness. Nobody had to pressure John Henry to change things. He didn't need anyone to tell him to change. He changed things because he wanted to."

Harper possesses a tremendous amount of credibility when it comes to the Red Sox and race relations. It's good to see this owner did not continue that particular legacy.

Roger McDowell opens the Braves early pitching program today, his first official act since taking over for Leo Mazzone. Tim Hudson is glad Roger is there:

"I think it's going to be great having his personality around the team," said Hudson, who agreed with pitcher John Smoltz that replacing Mazzone wouldn't be as difficult as outside observers believe.

"I don't think it's going to be a big deal at all," Hudson said. "Leo was great; don't get me wrong. But at this level, there's not a whole lot of coaching going on. It's more like a lot of brain massaging.

"If you have a guy who understands the game, who understands what it's like to be out there, understands the struggles and the things pitchers go through, that's what you want from a pitching coach."

It's a tough act to follow for someone in his first job as a major league pitching coach.

Arte Moreno finished his testimony today.

Moreno also testified that he was unaware of the �emotional curtain� that divides Orange County and Los Angeles when he thought about the name change.

Arte just continues to endear himself to the people of Anaheim. It's too bad, because in regards to trying to win, he's a very good owner.

The Pirates announced a new way to increase attendance: more mascots!

The Pittsburgh Pirates will introduce a new staff member April 16. Joining the Pirate Parrot will be another team mascot.

"He will not replace the big green chicken because everyone loves him," said Tim Schuldt, vice president of marketing, sales and broadcasting for the Pirates. "The new mascot will be warm and cuddly with one gold tooth. He looks like a Pirate. One will work the one dugout and the other will work the other. Fans will love him."

Adding another mascot is one of many things the Pirates' front office plans to do to attract more fans this season. The goal is to reach the 2 million mark in attendance, which has been achieved just three times in the team's 120-year history.

"Honey, the team has a cuddly pirate as a mascot this year! Let's buy season tickets!"

They might want to try winning.

Arte Moreno testified in the Angels name case, and I'm not sure he won over a lot of Anaheim residents with this:

He compared Anaheim's relationship with Los Angeles to Queens or the Bronx and New York City. Anaheim is about 30 miles south of downtown Los Angeles in Orange County.

My guess is that Anaheimites (Anaheimians?) don't think of themselves as a burrough of Los Angeles.

The Devil Rays are going to change their nickname for the 2007 season. For some reason, people have a negative connotation of the word, "Devil."

After talking with fans in focus groups, the team learned there was a "negative association" with the terms, "Devil Rays," and "devil," Silverman said.

"When they liked something we did, they would refer to us as the Rays. If they were discussing a complaint or gripe, we were the Devil Rays," Silverman said.

Of course, that might be the same as your parents using your middle name when they're upset with you. :-) Of course, the team runs the risk that no one will notice.

Jeff Passan in the Kansas City Star covers all the angles on revenue sharing today. He quotes economists, small market owners, large market owners, agents and the union. Here's Andrew Zimbalist:

�This was a system that�s supposed to create competitive balance,� said Andrew Zimbalist, an economist who has consulted with Major League Baseball. �If all it does is take $20 million or $30 million from one team and give it to another, it might make David Glass happy, but it doesn�t do anything for competitive balance. The system right now penalizes success and rewards failure. It might sound clever, but it�s true.

�The Royals are an example of a team that has benefited from the dole in baseball. Insofar as if you can say there�s welfare abuse from laziness anywhere in our country, they�d be a potential candidate.�

Scott Boras proposes something I like:

And sometime, while revenue sharing is on the table, a large-market owner could make this point brought up by agent Scott Boras: If an owner purchases a small-market team at a fraction of the price of a big-market team, why should the smaller team be entitled to an equal share of revenues?

�We have a responsibility,� Boras said, �where there should be a platform that says if an owner is unsuccessful for a long time, there should be a mandate given to him about his ability to stay in the league. That may give him (the incentive) necessary to stay competitive.�

Gordon Edes sums up damage control day at Fenway yesterday.

Oprah could have had a field day. Fact, fiction, or to use John W. Henry's word, ''mythology," Ms. Winfrey could have advised all of Theo Epstein's adoring fans to disregard the inconsistencies of the million little pieces involved in his departure from the Red Sox and focus on the ''underlying message of redemption" in his return. That worked for America's most famous self-proclaimed crackhead author, James Frey, why not for a fractured front office?

And of course, there's the hug:

Sunday night, at the Brookline home of Larry Lucchino, in the presence of principal owner John Henry and chairman Tom Werner, Lucchino and Theo Epstein agreed that Epstein would reclaim his rightful role as general manager. And then they did something that photographers throughout New England would have paid a hefty sum to have captured for posterity.

They hugged.

''At one point," Henry said, speaking by phone late last night, ''we started to celebrate. Then we said, 'Let's execute, as opposed to celebrating.' Though I did see those two hug. Maybe that was my imagination. But I'm sticking to it."

I remember Michael Corelone hugging people. From Edes article:

Truer words were spoken by Blue Jays general manager J.P. Ricciardi, who never bought into the idea that Epstein was more bent on becoming a roadie for Pearl Jam or taking the same humanitarian path as brother Paul than he was on running the Red Sox. ''It's like a Mafia hit," Ricciardi had said after Epstein bolted. ''You don't believe it until you see the guy at the funeral."

It's not in Lucchino's makeup to stay out of Epstein's way. In a month (or as soon as Theo tries to make a deal Larry doesn't like), they'll be back to the, "real, not imagined, fissures in their relationship."

Same as it ever was in Boston:

The Boston Red Sox today announced that Theo Epstein has returned to the club with the title and responsibilities of Executive Vice President/General Manager. President/CEO Larry Lucchino made the announcement. Terms of the agreement were not disclosed. Jed Hoyer and Ben Cherington, who shared the role of General Manager during much of the time Epstein was away from the club will stay on in key leadership positions within the Baseball Operations Department. Hoyer has been named Assistant General Manager, and Cherington has been named Vice President/Player Personnel.

No press conference, no explanations, we don't even know if Theo got the raise he was after. What brought him back? Here's speculation from the Herald:

That assumption has apparently been erroneous, however, and there is, according to sources both on and off the ballclub, a less complicated rationale for Epstein�s return. He has now become convinced that the work environment has improved to the point where there is more listening, more cooperation and more of an ability to compromise when there are differences.

Sure. And in the end, Lucchino still has the final word, and will do things the way he wants. People don't change that much or that quickly.

New Reds owner Robert Castellini surprisingly fired Dan O'Brien today. In Castellini's news conference on Friday, he seemed prepared to work with O'Brien:

Major-league owners approved the Reds' sale to Castellini last Thursday. In a news conference a day later, he indicated he was impatient with losing and was planning to make changes as he learned more about how the team operates.

Castellini's first move was to put chief operating officer John Allen in charge of the business side of the franchise, with O'Brien reporting directly to him. Under previous owner Carl Lindner, O'Brien reported to Allen.

Whatever he learned about Dan O'Brien in two days, Castellini obviously didn't like it. I wonder if he'll hire DePodesta?

Contrary to Dan Shaughnessy's column yesterday, the current management of the Red Sox is happy to be working with Theo again:

"The entire department is very excited," Hoyer said Friday, a day after the team announced that former general manager Theo Epstein will return. "Not only is Theo a great friend, he is a great talent. Having him back only makes us stronger, and our goal is to have the strongest department possible."

...

"I am thrilled, as I believe most of Red Sox Nation is, that Theo is back," manager Terry Francona said Friday in an e-mail to the Associated Press. "It is only right. He grew up in Brookline. This is his job. Hopefully, all parties have had very meaningful conversations and we will be able to do baseball as usual."

John Thorn, author of The Hidden Game of Baseball testified on Thursday in the Angels name trial.

On Thursday, baseball historian John Thorn testified that Anaheim has disappeared "about 99.9 percent of the time" from public reports on the team. He said such Web sites as Yahoo Sports and ESPN.com use "Los Angeles" or "Los Angeles Angels" when reporting scores.

Angels attorney Todd Theodora said "Anaheim" has continued to appear in several publications including the Ottawa Sun, The Missourian and a paper in the Virgin Islands. Also, Major League Baseball for the first time is selling a calendar with the full team name, he said.

It seems to me that Todd Theodora did not make a very compelling counter argument. I'm disappointed that on one's brought up LAnaheim yet.

Dan Shaughnessey is not kind to Theo Epstein in his analysis of the comeback:

Unfortunately, there wasn't much honor or glory in Theo's comportment after he left Fenway in that gorilla suit Oct. 31. Rather, he undermined the credibility of the entire Boston front office by straddling the fence regarding his place in the organization. He repeatedly refused offers to return, but would not rule out coming back. He revealed himself to be every bit the cutthroat politician Lucchino is. He's been at best, immature and at worst, duplicitous.

With his silence and refusal to take himself off the map of Red Sox Nation, Epstein allowed himself to be put in a no-lose situation -- at the expense of everyone else currently toiling in baseball operations at Yawkey Way. Through his unofficial spokesman from ESPN (the inimitable Gammons), we heard Theo was behind deals the Sox made. He got credit for the good transactions, whether he deserved it or not, but would never be blamed if any failed.

Like a character from Camelot, Theo remained forever young, forever brilliant, forever the man who brought a championship to Boston. And as long as he operated in the shadows, or allowed us to believe he was still involved, he couldn't lose. This dynamic made Theo less than popular with some of his hard-working friends in baseball operations.

Tony Massarotti in the Boston Herald (in my opinion, the definitive voice on this story from the beginning) also sees the downside for Theo:

On the surface, it would be easy to celebrate Epstein�s return as a glorious reconciliation, but it would be foolish to do so. We already know too much. When Epstein walked away from the Red Sox on Oct. 31, his departure was looked upon nobly. In part because Lucchino diddled around during contract negotiations, Epstein thumbed his nose at the Sox and walked out the door. He had his whole life in front of him. Who needed the Red Sox? Now, Epstein is returning, and we cannot help but wonder: Why? Epstein is young and smart, and he (along with Lucchino and Henry) built the Red Sox into champions generally by making shrewd decisions. The Red Sox played the percentages during their run to the world title, yet it certainly seems now � for Epstein, in particular � the chances of failure are much greater than chances of success.

The Red Sox keep turning into the Yankees. This is the Billy Martin saga in the front office. Here's Shaughnessy on John Henry (emphasis added):

Henry and Lucchino were in Phoenix yesterday at the owners' meetings. I spoke with Henry late in the afternoon before he boarded a jet to fly home to Boston. I told him the same thing I had told him in December. I thought it looked as if he could not make a decision. I thought he should either fire Lucchino or tell Epstein to get lost. Nobody was going to buy the idea of Theo walking back into the same situation he walked away from in October. Why was Theo still hanging around, talking to co-GMs Ben Cherington and Jed Hoyer? Why was the light still on if there was so much friction between Epstein and Lucchino?

Steinbrenner and Martin. I hate you you're fired. I love you come back.

Boston's front office is a soap opera. New York's front office is the calmest and quietest I've seen it since George took over. Who'd have thunk it?

Ozzie Guillen is about to take the citizenship oath:

Ozzie Guillen, the Venezuelan-born manager of the World Series champion Chicago White Sox, will celebrate his 42nd birthday Friday by becoming a U.S. citizen.

Guillen, his wife, Ibis, and their son Oney will be sworn in by a U.S. District Court judge at a ceremony in Chicago, the White Sox said Thursday.

"He always has said that he wanted to be a citizen," White Sox spokeswoman Katie Kirby said. "He's really made his career and a second life here."

Congratulations to Ozzie, and welcome to the club!

The Boston Herald reports that Theo Epstein is rejoining the Red Sox as a full time employee.

Epstein, the ballclub�s former general manager who escaped the zoo that was Fenway Park on Halloween by donning his now-famous costume and strolling across Yawkey Way, last night issued a joint statement along with Red Sox principal owner John Henry, team chairman Tom Werner and club president/CEO Larry Lucchino announcing that he was rejoining the Red Sox.

The statement read:

�As you know, we have spoken frequently during the last 10 weeks. We have engaged in healthy, spirited debates about what it will take over the long term for the Red Sox to remain a great organization and, in fact, become a more effective organization in philosophy, approaches and ideals.

Ironically, Theo�s departure has brought us closer together in many respects, and, thanks to these conversations, we now enjoy the bonds of a shared vision for the organization�s future that did not exist on Oct. 31. With this vision in place, Theo will return to the Red Sox in a full-time baseball operations capacity, details of which will be announced next week.�

Also according to the statement, the Red Sox and Theo Epstein will have no further comment until next week.

So is he going to be somewhere between Lucchino and the co-GM's? Will he get a seven-figure salary? Are the differences smoothed over? Join us next week for another episode of As the Sox Turn. :-)

Richard Griffin looks at the Blue Jays payroll and sees Toronto is still underbudget. His advice to the Jays:

It's a manageable conundrum, but here's some advice for Mr. Rogers. Instead of signing another catcher to get to $75 million, the Jays might be better served to save the cash and spend it in July if they're in the wild-card hunt.

It's also possible that if the Blue Jays are in the pennant race come July, attendance and revenue will be up. And that may allow them to spend money at the deadline, even if they sign Bengie Molina now.

Pat Gillick discusses where he'd like to improve the Phillies:

The biggest questions surround the starting rotation. Gillick has tried to get a No. 1 or No. 2 starter since his arrival in Philadelphia, but hasn't been able to finalize a deal. The Phillies reportedly offered Bobby Abreu to several teams, though they may have overvalued the All-Star right fielder.

"We're looking for a top-of-the-rotation guy, someone who can strike people out and stop losing streaks," Gillick said. "I'm optimistic we can find one. They're available. It just depends on what you have to give them. You may have to overpay."

Lisa Gray calculates the money flowing from the Houston organization to its players and finds that even without an insurance payment on Bagwell, the Astros are right in line with 2005.

Jim Tracy gets rave reviews from the Pirates attending the team's mini-camp. The new manager runs things very differently than Lloyd McClendon and the players like it. Here's Zach Duke:

"(This staff is) making sure that the personal relationships are established," Duke said on a special edition of "The Tim Benz Show." "When I came to the Pirates last year, it kind of felt like I didn't want to step on any toes or ruffle any feathers. Here, it's an open door policy and it really feels that way.

"When it came to (the previous) coaching staff, I didn't feel like I could come to them with whatever I had on my mind. It was all business. It seems that I can come to (this staff) with some more personal stuff this time."

In the interview, Duke described the motivation methods of McClendon and Williams as "a tear-down process."

"They were going to bark at you this way and if you didn't do it right they were going to yell at you," Duke explained.

Neither Tracy nor any of his coaches yelled at their players during this mini-camp. Such professionalism, amongst other things, did not go unnoticed by Duke and his teammates.

Ryan Vogelsong had this to say:

"It was great," pitcher Ryan Vogelsong said of mini-camp. "It was more structured than in the past. There was more detail. The workouts were definitely a little more intense than normal.

"Before, we would get the instructions, but it was more like we were just going through the movements. At this camp, we were getting the instructions and going through the drills, but things were crisp.

"I almost felt like it was two weeks into spring training, not mini-camp."

And John Grabow:

"Not to rag too much on the last manager, but in the past, if something was wrong, you didn't necessarily find out about it right away. With these guys, you hear about it immediately. It's like they instantly detect something that's wrong and let you know how to go about fixing it.

"Plus, they listen to you, too. That seems like one of the strengths of this manager and these coaches -- listening to the players and getting to know what guys can do. It's not, 'This is the way it's going to be,' like it was in the past. As a player, it seems like you're going to get a chance to work through your problems with the coaches. That kind of communication and working environment starts with our manager."

We'll see if this leads to better results on the field.

Theo Epstein is hanging on in his valiant effort to stay unemployed by the Red Sox.

Chris DeLuca of the Chicago Sun-Times takes Dusty Baker to task for the failure of Corey Patterson to develop as a ball player.

With each boo fired at Patterson last season, it was tough not to wonder how Baker was going to rescue a player he had compared to a Hall of Famer just months before. Keep in mind, before starting his managerial career with the Giants in 1993, Baker was a respected hitting coach. Why couldn't he get through to Patterson?

Patterson was accused of being stubborn. Late in the 2005 season, the Cubs were frustrated because Patterson resisted making a commitment to play winter ball. Where was Baker, with his top-shelf people skills?

The answer to all these questions depend on how well Patterson does with the Orioles.

The Boston Globe provides a list of players who filed for arbitration. Kudos to the Dodgers, Padres and Giants for avoiding arbitration altogether.

With the Orioles signing Kevin Millar, Mike Flanagan takes another step toward an old team weighted toward the offensive side of the defensive spectrum.

Millar said he's not sure exactly what his role with the Orioles will be, but he'll likely play a combination of left field, first base and designated hitter -- sharing time with newly acquired Jeff Conine and displaced starting catcher Javy Lopez.

Conine and Millar are similar players -- veteran right-handed hitters who play the same positions -- but team executive vice president Mike Flanagan said there is room for both.

"I don't think we see it as being redundant," Flanagan said. "I think they are different players and different people, but I think they are both assets."

And what asset does Millar bring to the team?

The Orioles were intrigued not only by Millar's past successes and playoff experience, but also by his off-the-field reputation.

"We feel like we are building from the clubhouse out," Flanagan said. "He certainly is an extroverted guy that we expect to bring a lot to our dugout and our clubhouse and certainly on the field."

Millar will enter a fractured Orioles clubhouse that grew apart while dealing with losses, injuries, spats and a steroids scandal in 2005.

"I can't stand cliques. I'm not a very good player, but I will bring a presence that there is not going to be any cliques," Millar said. "If there is an intangible, I bring that intangible."

That's a coaches or manager's job. A player's job is to put wins on the board. Why don't the Orioles have a young lefty first baseman in the minors who they can pay league minimum? That and Millar or Conine would be a more cost effective and likely productive way to go. Flanagan's off to a very poor start as a solo GM.

Dayn Perry at FoxSports.com pens a common sense piece on revenue sharing.

The goal of the Yankees, Dodgers or Red Sox � unlike, say, the goal of Wal-Mart or IBM � isn't to drive the competition out of business. The Yankees want to pummel the Royals on the field of play, but they need them to at least otherwise stick around. At a base level, baseball, or any sports league, is a collaborative business, and teams should be compensated for any native market disadvantages they endure. So, next time around, owners should abandon the bid to re-establish payroll luxury taxes, completely forgo any pointless notions of a salary cap and instead focus on bringing revenue-sharing opponents to heel. What baseball needs is to share 50 percent of all local revenues. However, that alone won't be enough.

When you give money to teams with no sense of accountability, you inevitably get reprobates like Carl Pohlad, the billionaire owner of the Minnesota Twins, who have a history of gleefully pocketing shared revenues rather than reinvesting them into the team.

The answer really isn't forcing teams to boost payroll � that's a scenario that lends itself to late-hour, asinine contracts doled out solely for the sake of meeting a salary floor. Rather, teams should be held to account to ensure they're plowing these revenues back into the team in some form. Whether that's by retaining a home-grown free agent who otherwise would've signed elsewhere, increasing the scouting and development budget or keeping a talented front office in place, it doesn't really matter � so long as the money is being spent to improve the organization.

Salaries are driven up or down by the revenue of the teams. As we saw this year, with revenue back up, players are pulling in bigger contracts. Dayn's ideas are good ones; I hope someone is listening.

Correction: Fixed the spelling of Dayn.

Update: Dan Lewis had a similar column a few years ago at NRO. I've discussed the idea of competitive revenue sharing before as well. Don't' just spilt the gate, but split the local TV and Radio money based on game ratings. The viewership for every game is calculated. Instead of just dividing 40 or 50% of local revenue equally, give more to the teams that bring in more fans.

JD Arney notes that the new owners of the Reds take over in a couple of weeks, and he has a suggestion:

No, my suggestion is something else entirely. Something that would have the power to make you beloved by Reds fans, despite the losing, despite all the broken promises of the past ten or eleven seasons. Something that would immediately mark you as one of the most forward thinking owners in the sport, in all of sports actually.

What is this panacea you ask? Blogging.

He notes that Mark Cuban blogs. I'll also point out that John Henry, while not blogging, does post on Red Sox bulletin boards. I hope Robert Castellini hears the suggestion and takes it seriously.

The Angels and the city of Anaheim are going to court over the name of the team. The city wants the name changed back to the Anaheim Angels. Arte Moreno wants to market the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim:

Filed shortly after the name change became official last January, the suit claims the team violated a 1996 contract that required "Anaheim" be featured prominently in all team-related merchandise and advertisements.

The city spent $20 million fixing up the stadium and leased valuable land to the team with the understanding Anaheim would get international name recognition out of the deal, said Andrew Guildford, the city's co-counsel. The city wants the name change reversed and is seeking damages, arguing that lost income from the leased land and publicity the city would otherwise get each time the Angels play - so-called "impressions" - is worth at least $100 million.

The court should see the obvious compromise and change the name to the LAanaheim Angels!

Dodger Thoughts looks at DePodesta and Colletti and decides they aren't that different.

One of the arguments I've been making this offseason is that the biggest difference between former Dodger general manager Paul DePodesta and his successor, Ned Colletti, is not in philosophy, but how the media has covered them. Despite the perception that Colletti is a 180-degree reversal from DePodesta, my belief has been that in reality, the two are much closer in approach than we've been led to believe. Both prize the Dodger farm system. Both relied on veterans from other organizations - including veterans with considerable injury histories - to carry the Dodgers until the farm system matured.

Doug Padilla looks at the talent in the Angels pipeline as a reason for no big moves this off season:

General manager Bill Stoneman admitted that his No. 1 off-season priority was signing free-agent Paul Konerko, and there was disappointment when the first baseman returned to the Chicago White Sox. Plan B does not involve spending the $60 million-plus earmarked for Konerko on somebody else.

Maybe the Steve Finley signing caused them to re-think signing veterans.

Where Have You Gone, Andy Van Slyke claims Dave Littlefield is the smartest GM in the National League, comparing him to Michael Corleone. He's going to explain why he believes this over the next few days, but I wouldn't be surprised if he turned out to be Fredo.

Jack McKeon already wants to get back into baseball. He's bored by retirement:

''I'm a turnaround specialist,'' said McKeon, the most successful manager in Marlins history. ``I would probably like evaluating talent or being on the field. I wouldn't mind being a bench coach. Something I can do where I don't have to sit around and make a lot of reports out.

``So if someone calls, I'll listen. I'll go back.''

Maybe he should start a blog. :-)

Tracy Ringolsby points out that in addition to having one of the lowest payrolls in the majors, the Rockies are shedding a good deal of money owed to former players:

The Rockies will have only minimal demands on their payroll the next couple of years for players no longer on their roster.

They owe Florida $2 million in 2006 and 2007 and $2.5 million in 2008 to offset the Mike Hampton contract, and then, from 2009-2012 they owe Hampton $1.5 million annually for his buyout.

If and when their current crop of players develop, Colorado should have the money to keep the good ones around.

Bob Keisser of the Press Telegram in Long Beach tells us why he likes Ned Colletti:

There are two reasons why so many members of the local media approved the hiring of Ned Colletti as the Dodgers' General Manager, despite his having spent so many years among the pinot lovers in 'Frisco.

1. He's a regular guy because he's a former sportswriter.

2. He's a smart guy because he got out of the sports writing business.

If nothing else, the move to hire Colletti was a great public relations move after having DePodesta ripped for two years in the press. Keisser likes Colletti's moves so far because Bob believes Ned's improved the team without sacrificing the farm system:

He didn't have to trade a single prospect to restock the lineup for 2006, and in fact got one back from Oakland in the Bradley and Antonio Perez deal.

How is this different from what Keisser believes DePodesta would have done?

If McCourt hadn't made the change, DePo probably would have hired Terry Collins as manager, and would have stuck Sergio Robles at shortstop until Cesar Izturis was healthy, and asked that Antonio Perez, Willy Aybar and Norihiro Nakamura compete for the third-base job, and that Choi and Saenz split playing time at first-base, and McCourt find it in his heart to keep Bradley.

There probably isn't a single player Colletti signed that DePo would have pursued certainly not Furcal, Nomar or Lofton.

The DePo Dodgers of 2006 would have looked a lot like the 2005 Dodgers, and also been cost-efficient. Colletti's signings gives the team better brand name parts and he got McCourt to open his wallet in the process.

And it didn't cost the Dodgers their future. Baseball America, the ultimate arbiter of prospects and minor league player depth, says the Dodgers system is flush with talent that is due to arrive between 2006 and 2008.

To sum up, according to Keisser, DePodesta wanted to wait for the minor league talent to develop, keeping money in the owners' pocket while that happened. Colletti's hired stop gaps until that happens. Bascially, both are working toward a good, young team in 2008.

But Colletti's a regular guy, so his plan is better. :-)

Tony Massarotti continues to be the leading voice on the Red Sox front office:

For Red Sox ownership and upper management, in particular, there are some bad trends being established, particularly during the last two offseasons. Pedro Martinez left. So did Derek Lowe. Now Damon is gone, too, his departure coming after negotiations with Theo Epstein also resulted in an ugly divorce between the Sox and their young general manager. When it comes to negotiating with their high-profile personalities � Jason Varitek is the exception � the Sox generally seem inclined to let the market dictate the price, then decide they do not want to pay it.

The rule of thumb is that anyone who wins an auction over pays, since the winning bid is beyond what anyone else is willing to pay. And that's a perfectly good way to run a ballclub. Cleveland is doing that right now, but they've been developing young players for a few years. As Massarotti points out later in the article:

Of course, while all of this has been going on, the Sox have been throwing away money in other areas. Last winter, even when Epstein was the GM, the Sox overpaid for Matt Clement. They forked over $40 million for Edgar Renteria, then decided he wasn�t worth it (after one year) and shipped him to the Atlanta Braves. They ate $11 million of Renteria�s remaining contract and took on the $18 million due Lowell. In the same trade that brought the Marlins third baseman, they shipped away Hanley Ramirez, a highly regarded prospect who seemed part of their long-term plan.

The Sox plan appears to be "win now and rebuild." Maybe you can't do both.

I see that the Marlins are working on a one-year deal for Dontrelle Willis. I'm more surprised by this, however:

Cabrera, 22, has not yet qualified for arbitration. The Marlins have the right to renew his contract. Cabrera is expected to make about $475,000 this season.

Here's a thought. Give your two stars decent contracts! The Marlins cut their payroll to next to nothing already. Cabrara and Willis are the only reasons to come see the team this year. Why not send a message to them and the fans that they're going to stay a while. Broker a deal for a three-year contract for Willis at $15 million. Give Cabrera a 4-year, $22 million deal. This accomplishes a number of things:

1. Neither player nor team needs to deal with arbitration.
2. The two Marlins would still be eligible for free agency at the earliest possible time.
3. The fans would know that the Marlins are serious about winning in the future.
4. If the team is going to move, they may get a city to build a stadium if the city believes people are actually going to attend games. With Cabrera and Willis, that's more likely.
5. Given the ability of these two players, the contracts are still cheap for what they can deliver, so if the Marlins decide to trade them, they can still get good value in return.

Paying Cabrera less than $500,000 is certainly the right of the club given the structure of the CBA. But Cabrera isn't a run of the mill ballplayer. He's been something special since he arrived in the majors, and the Marlins would be wise to recognize that and treat him accordingly.

The Sports Economist reports on interest in buying the Braves.

A franchise broker warns that Braves fans shouldn't be that happy that the Braves are on the block:

�The best I think you can hope for is you get somebody almost as good,� said Sal Galatioto, who sells sports teams for a living. �And maybe you won�t. Look, everybody who buys one of these things thinks they�re smarter than the seller, clearly, or else they wouldn�t buy it. But, oftentimes, they find that they�re not.�

A veteran who has helped broker 60 pro franchise transfers in all four major pro sports, Galatioto, of New York-based Galatioto Sports Partners, is amused by how gladly the news of Time Warner�s selling has been received in Atlanta. If anything, he sees any potential new owner taking on a serious potential for failure.

�It�s not as if they�ve mismanaged the team,� he said. �Why is everyone so happy? How much better is a new owner going to do than winning 14 years in a row? The odds are better that he�s not.�

Just to be clear, Time-Warner owned the Braves since 1996, so their not responsible for the whole 14 year run. And although they were part of a business conglomerate before that sale, you always got the feeling Ted Turner was very involved with the Braves.

I did think the AOL takeover would kill the team since after that the company seemed more interested in the bottom line than a winning team. It just shows the skill of John Schuerholz, that even with fiscal restraints he's still able to deliver a winner.

George Southrey writes:

As for MLB and competitive balance, I believe the draft pick compensation idea is way overrated. Most small-market teams can hardly even sign top draft picks these days, with agents like Scott Boras dictating terms that almost always lead his clients to big-market teams. In the long run it doesn�t help much, and a cinderella season every 10-15 years hardly qualifies as competitive if you�re a Brewers, Royals, Devil Rays, or Pirates fan. When you look at the FA listings on the various baseball websites every offseason, you always see the same 4-5 teams listed as the probable destination of every top FA: NY, NY, Boston, LA, Chicago, maybe Atlanta or Baltimore.

One radical thought is something that is used by multinational corporations to balance out overseas assignments. It�s basically a hardship allowance (HA), an �Equalizer�, and it is usually calculated by an independent firm. They establish the HA for every location around the world, and employee compensation is adjusted accordingly.

Suppose MLB did something similar? After all, few Latin players want to live and play in a city like Milwaukee, or Denver. Those cities are not attractive from a weather standpoint, from a cultural diversity standpoint or from an endorsement $$ standpoint. Most Free Agents won�t go there unless they are fringe players or the money is irresistable. This puts the Brewers at a competitive disadvantage, having to overpay for FA, which can lead to a vicious cycle of being a losing team that no one wants to play for, and having to overpay more, and so on.

An independent firm assigned by MLB and the MLBPA would evaluate each franchise based on stadium, cultural diversity, weather, market size, endorsement opportunity, state income tax, and so on. Each team would then receive a HA, either positive or negative, the net total being 0. So, for example, New York might be rated as having a HA of (-)12, Boston (-)7, while Kansas City is (+)8, Milwaukee (+)9. The HA would be updated every 2 or 3 years, or even annually, or whenever a franchise moved or built a new stadium, etc.. Any future franchises would be evaluated in a similar fashion as a condition of acceptance.

In the above example, when a player plays for the Royals, he receives an additional 8% over his salary as an adjustment. This money is paid by a MLBPA Hardship Fund. When a player plays for the Yankees, his salary is �taxed� at 12%, the money going to that same MLBPA fund. Now, in fact, players would not be paying this tax, the team would because a FA would negotiate a net salary rather than a gross salary if the team had a negative HA. If most of the higher-paid stars went to negative HA cities like NY, which is likely, the fund would have a surplus.

What impact would this have? Using the Royals and Yankees, let�s say they are both looking at signing the same FA, whose asking price is $20 mil over 4 years, or $5 mil/yr. For the Royals, the cost would be about $4.6 mil, with the other $400k coming from the HA Fund. Or, they could in fact pay $5 mil, with the player receiving an additional $400k over that, taking home $5.4 mil/yr.

The Yankees, on the other hand, would have to pay $5.7 mil/yr to land that same FA, $700k of which would go to the HA Fund, the player getting $5 mil.

So the difference between NY and KC signing the same player for the same salary is actually $1.1 mil more for the Yankees than the Royals. Over time and over many signings, this provides a sizeable balancing effect on the teams� costs. If Billy Wagner wants $10 mil/yr, it costs the Mets $11.4 mil, while it would cost the Brewers $9.2 mil. That�s significant, because Milwaukee could offer Wagner $11 mil/yr and still spend less than the Mets, and for the Mets to match that $11 mil would cost them $12.5 mil, and so on.

Trades would not effect a player�s salary, only the Fund. A player making $4 mil in NY that is traded to KC would still receive $4 mil. The Royals would receive a $300k subsidy from the Fund. The Yankees would save the $545k HA that they would have paid. This makes it easier for small-market teams to acquire higher-salaried players in trade.

Why would the Yankees or Dodgers accept such a scheme? Because it would replace the current payroll tax and revenue-sharing schemes, which do nothing to help competitive balance and just provide cheap franchises with more money to keep without investing. A small-market team under the HA program would get no money. They only benefit by paying less than big-market teams for the same players.

The fact is that all franchises and teams are not created equal in terms of the ability to attract players. Most players come from warm climates, from Japan, California, Latin America, etc.. They don�t want to live and play in Milwaukee. Most stars want to be in NY and LA, Boston or Chicago, not Cincinnati. There�s nothing you can do about that: some locations are sexier than others, some cities bigger, some have more off-the-field opportunity.

Multinational companies recognize this, and know that employees would rather live and work in London or Paris rather than Lagos or Mumbai. To get talented employees and managers to go to those places they have to make it worth their while. Otherwise, only marginal or entry-level staff will go. And so many companies �equalize� by taking from the people in the choice locations and giving to those in the hardship locations. MLB might do well to look at their various teams a similar way.

I send this to you via email rather than posting on your blog because it�s a bit long-winded, and it�s also a bit off-the-wall, perhaps too outside-the-box. But I haven�t seen any suggestions that really address the inherent differences in the current lineup of teams, cities and ownership groups in MLB (other than the verboten salary cap) that would improve competition without killing the game itself (lower entry requirements for the playoffs!).

It's an interesting idea. I could be wrong, but I thought compensation for taking a job in an undesirable location came from the company, not a tax on other employees (but it probably amounts to the same thing). My guess is the union would not go for it, because it's in the union's best interest to have the high spending clubs drive up prices.

Trent McBride looks at a complicated playoff structure at Catallarchy.

For some reason, the Washington Nationals gave Frank Robinson a contract for another year. I suppose if D.C. decides to drag out the lease negotiations, MLB may continue to run the team. The Nationals also fired four coaches:

First base coach Don Buford, also a longtime Orioles player, won't be back. Neither will hitting coach Tom McCraw, bullpen coach Bob Natal and third base coach Dave Huppert.

Returning with Robinson will be bench coach Eddie Rodriguez and pitching coach Randy St. Claire - the two coaches who seemed the least expendable to Robinson.

Robinson, who boasts that he doesn't use computers, leans on Rodriguez to crunch numbers used in making lineups and substitutions. Meanwhile, St. Claire oversaw a pitching staff that included two All-Stars, Livan Hernandez and Chad Cordero, and posted a 3.87 ERA.

If the team is sold, the new owners can decide they want to bring in their own people, so the new contracts don't guarantee anything. I'm guessing MLB is trying to show the DC City Council, as the vote on the lease approaches, that they are willing to keep a new owner out until a deal is done.

The Atlanta Braves may be for sale soon.

Forbes magazine estimated the Braves' value at $374 million in 2004.

I suspect that price went up this year. With the Washington Nationals about to sell for $450 million, one would think the Braves and their national sports network would be worth a lot more. It's Time for Time Warner to cash in.

Does anyone know if any of the following former players are scouts?

• Mark Clear
• Bud Anderson
• Mike LaCoss
• John Fulgham

Jon Weisman excerpts his article from the The Hardball Times Baseball Annual 2006 and presents some charts that didn't make the book. They show Paul DePodesta did a very good job of acquiring players.

The Boston Red Sox made it official that two former assistants will share the job of general manager:

Hoyer will control the organization's major league operations, including free agent signings and trades, while Cherington will oversee the farm system, player development and scouting.

Basically, they'll continue the jobs they've been doing, except they'll answer to Lucchino instead of Theo Epstein. I'm not surprised by this. It saves the Red Sox money and no one under Lucchino has too much power. Boston fans have to hope it works better than Baltimore's Beattie/Flanagan partnership.

Larry Lucchino received a vote of confidence from John Henry yesterday:

"People currently speculating about a reduced role for Larry Lucchino don't know what they are talking about," Henry said in an e-mail to The Associated Press. "It's completely absurd."

When a field manager gets a vote of confidence like this, he's usually gone in a couple of weeks. What's really interesting is the last line of the letter to the AP:

As if to stress his vote of confidence in Lucchino, Henry concluded his two-paragraph e-mail by saying, "Larry is commenting on all GM issues."

Commenting? Wasn't Lucchino the person interviewing the candidates? If he just gets to comment on them, it seems to me Lucchino is already less powerful.

I've been reading a number of unconfirmed stories in the Boston media about the quest to create order out of the chaos that is the Red Sox front office.

First the Herald reports that the Red Sox are going to have co-GMs. The Boston Globe picked up on the story the next day. Now, to add a wrinkle, the Herald is reporting that Theo will advise the pair of kings.

Very telling in this whole misadventure is that Lucchino's candidates are losing out.

Lucchino has been leading the search process for a replacement for Epstein, yet by all accounts, the team president�s first choice - Jim Beattie - and fellow interviewees Jim Bowden and Dan Evans have not exactly been greeted with enthusiasm by Henry. The owner is known to be fond and trusting of both Cherington and Hoyer, and the indications in recent days that Henry wants them to lead the baseball operations department does not so much signal a repudiation of Lucchino�s efforts but a realization that for whatever reasons, some related to Lucchino�s management style, the search for external candidates was not only unsuccessful but also unnecessary.

Lucchino interviewed Beattie three times. I'd say it's pretty clear that Larry wanted to hire Jim, but Henry doesn't. My guess is Henry appreciates the sabermetric aspects of the GM job more than Lucchino, and realizes that he really wants Theo, or someone very much like Theo, running the baseball operations of the club. When this restructuring is finished, I wonder if we'll see Lucchino isolated from the baseball side of management, with more power given to whatever GM arrangement is employed.

So far, the Florida Marlins fire sale makes sense. The team has two young stars and is building toward making a run with a great pitching staff in a couple of years. But David Samson said something yesterday that may change that:

Samson said he could not rule out adding Dontrelle Willis and Miguel Cabrera to the team's payroll purge.

"We've never guaranteed that," Samson said. "What happens if a call comes tomorrow, we could get five Yankees, all paid for, for Dontrelle Willis? It's highly probable that they will (return), though."

The Marlins are in a very bad public relations situation right now. They're tearing down the team and threatening to move. This can be tolerated if Willis and Cabrera are going to be playing when (and if) the trades pay off. My guess is that talking about trading these young stars is only going to alienate more loyal Fish fans.

The Dodgers are about to announce the hiring of Grady Little as their new manager. Given the five choices under consideration, Grady was the best one. If the Dodgers were going with a bunch of youngsters, one of the rookie managers would be fine. Each had spent a number of years in the minors and knew how to deal with up and coming talent. But the Dodgers are a mix of vets and youngsters, so Little fits better with that talent. He's worked with both, having spent a number of years managing in the minors and two years on the stage in Boston. He's also a manager that got fired over not using statistical information supplied to him by a young, Ivy League GM, so the LA Press should just love Grady.

Even if you don't like Little that much, just be glad they didn't choose Jim Fergosi.

Joseph Reaves recaps the first day of the winter meetings. The big rumor of the day was a three-way deal between Boston, LAnaheim and Arizona:

The Diamondbacks were mentioned in one of the biggest rumors swirling about. That one had Arizona's Troy Glaus headed to the Red Sox, Boston's Manny Ramirez off to Anaheim and the Angels packing up a slew of prospects to the Diamondbacks.

One general manager said he knew the Red Sox were working hard to meet Ramirez's request to be traded, but he doubted a deal was close. Arizona GM Josh Byrnes specifically denied late in the day that he was working on any three-way packages.

Since the Red Sox acquired Mike Lowell and his big contract, I assume they'd want Glaus to play first.

Chad Finn posts his wish list for the Red Sox at Touching All the Bases.

Two interesting links concerning the state of finances in major league baseball. Benjamin Kabak frets that the Yankees debt is going to cause them to cut back on spending, hurting other clubs as their luxury tax goes down. I've seen the Daily News articles on this subject, and frankly I think the whole thing is overblown. The Yankees are only in debt if you consider the pure baseball operation. Revenue from the YES Network appears to make up for the loss.

The Yankees debt is not a problem, since it's backed by a $1 billion dollar asset, the New York Yankees. Since Steinbrenner and his group paid a mere $20 million for the franchise, they have a ton of equity in the club. I have no doubt the Yankees could get a $500 million credit line tomorrow at a reasonable interest rate (if they don't already have one).

The Yankees debt is not a problem, since they can easily go from red to black by cutting payroll. As the White Sox, Athletics, Braves, Twins, Cardinals and Indians have shown, it's quite possible to put a competitive team on the field for under $100,000,000. It would take the Yankees a few years to get to that point, but at that level they would make a profit and most likely have a winning team.

The luxury tax was put in place to slow the growth of player salaries. The Yankees ignored it in order to win, and it ended up benefiting the rest of baseball. As it turns out, baseball found new streams of revenue, and teams are spending again. It turns out the only way to keep MLB salaries down is to make the sport unpopular so there's less revenue coming in. Looks like the lords of baseball failed at that, too.

The second article is by Neil deMause at Baseball Prospectus (subscription required). He talks about what's coming up in the new CBA. If the CBA renews for one year, no one pays luxury tax in 2006. My guess is the luxury tax doesn't make a comeback. It didn't work. Most teams never came close to spending near the trigger, and the teams that did blew by it without batting an eye. It's not needed.

Neil reminds us of something more ominous, however:

Luxury tax shenanigans, though, pale in comparison to what could be the baseball bombshell of 2006: The return of contraction. When Bud Selig & Co. agreed to shut their yaps about eliminating teams during the 2002 labor talks, they exacted an enormous concession from the labor side: Starting in 2006, MLB owners are free to eliminate two teams if they so choose--without needing the approval of the players' union. Owners have a three-month contraction "window," from April 1 to July 1, in which time to notify the union that contraction is imminent for 2007. And--this is the key part--they don't need to identify which two teams are on the chopping block.

Given what we know about Bud and his gang of Seligians, it's easy to see how this would play out. Sometime next spring, probably a moment conveniently picked to coincide with the Florida and Minnesota legislative sessions, the baseball cabal puts out the word that two teams will get the axe the following year. Immediately, panic ensues on sports pages across the nation, as baseball writers fearful of being consigned to the high-school field hockey beat send up the alarm that Something Must Be Done.

He also points out that there are very good reasons why this would be nothing but a bluff by MLB. There's just too much money involved in buying out the teams. When this happens, let's hope everyone calls the bluff.

No wonder the Royals aren't signing any free agents:

Naturally, a stigma attaches itself to a team with consecutive 100-loss seasons. As free agents have visited Kansas City this offseason, though, the Royals have talked about the future � about their core of young players and the need for veterans to complement Mike Sweeney and Matt Stairs.

Who wants to sign a contract that makes you say, "Matt, you look very handsome today," or "Mike, that's a lovely swing," every time you run into one of the veterans? :-)

The Tribune-Review posts an interview with Pirates GM Dave Littlefield:

Question: What are the areas that you most need to address before Opening Day?

Answer: Right field, first base, third base and the right-handed side of the bullpen. Clearly, we'd like power, people who get on base and defense. Those are three areas that stand out -- that we need to improve in. Defensively, we did not perform well over the course of the year. We need to tighten up.

Dave Littlefield is the opposite of Sparky Anderson in my mind. Whenever I heard Sparky interviewed, my reaction was, "What an idiot." But if you actually watch Anderson manage the game, the season, the players, it was clear he knew exactly what he was doing. He just didn't want to tell us.

With Littlefield, when I read an interview it seems he understands the importance of getting on base and hitting for power. He just does a poor job of putting personnel on the field who get on base and hit for power. He talks a good game, but doesn't produce.

Nick Piecoro of the Arizona Republic looks at what the Diamondbacks might do at the winter meetings:

Byrnes said he has been in contact with about eight to 10 teams regarding Vazquez, noting that talks with some clubs were so advanced that a deal could be only a phone call or two away.

Washington and the New York Mets have surfaced most often in trade rumors.

"We're getting close to arriving at a deal that we like," Byrnes said. "We want to use that trade to set up improvements that we'd like to make with the roster."

Both the Mets and Nationals play in parks where Vazquez should flourish, as both cover one of his weaknesses, allowing home runs.

Thomas Boswell takes Major League Baseball to task for dragging it's feet on finding new owners for the Washington Nationals:

Hardly a day goes by that the Nats' hamstrung front office doesn't get whiplash from watching some NL East rival improve itself. Yesterday the Mets signed super southpaw reliever Billy Wagner away from the Phils. Last week, the Mets gobbled up Carlos Delgado from the Marlins. Last year, the Nats finished two games behind the Mets. Next year, Washington will need divine intervention to get within 10 games of New York.

And that's a baseball crime. Because if ownership had been in place on any decent timetable, the Nats would have been in position to greatly increase their budget for '06 and might have been in the hunt for almost any player in the game they desired.

He also points out that this protracted search is hurting the fan base:

The loss of Loaiza is just the latest of many indignities for Washington fans in the last year. All the goodwill that baseball -- the game -- has engendered in this area is constantly undermined by the ill will that is bred by baseball -- the business.

Here's a nice profile of Joe Maddon, the new Devil Rays manager. I've often wondered why Moneyball GMs don't hire a Moneyball manager. Maddon seems to fit the bill perfectly.

Maddon, 51, has been one of the game's best-kept secrets for years. He was this gifted, even-tempered guy sitting on the Angels' bench just waiting for someone to give him an opportunity.

"Joe is the most prepared person I've ever seen," Manager Mike Scioscia said.

With the Angels, it was more than Maddon just lingering there next to Scioscia, providing wise counsel. He also was the team's numbers- cruncher, studying tendencies on one of his many computers. And no one on the staff knew how to soothe a young player's feelings like Maddon, who also managed to provide reporters with the liveliest quotes in the clubhouse.

This article paints Maddon as intelligent and open minded, someone who would be comfortable with the unconventional. I'm going to watch the Devil Rays very closely this year to see how Maddon performs.

From a Nov. 1 post:

I have no doubt that Lucchino's a smart guy, but if he knows so much about running a baseball team, why hire a GM? Why not just do it himself? Call what was Esptein's job assistant GM, have him do the same work, make the phone calls, negotiate the trades, but the give the final approval to Larry. Then the guy knows where he stands, and won't insist on having the power that goes with the position. And you won't need to pay him like Brian Cashman.

That seems to be what's happening. The Red Sox have interviewed candidates, some twice, and still haven't hired a GM. Instead, with the winter meetings a week away:

A far from streamlined Red Sox crew � with Bill Lajoie, Jeremy Kapstein, Jed Hoyer, Craig Shipley, Ben Cherington and, last but not least, Larry Lucchino running the show � will be there in some combination and without a general manager.

This crew already executed a blockbuster trade. And going with this committee saves money, as whoever they hire is going to get at least the salary of two rookies.

Joe Girardi is not upset by the Marlins moves:

"My coaches are excited about the players they're getting," Girardi said. "They knew the team was going to change a little bit.... I do know that if they don't get the people they want in return, they're not gonna make the trade. "

Girardi laughed at the suggestion that the Marlins hired him, then gutted the nucleus of his team.

"I'm not ticked off," he said. "I'm excited. I love being around young ballplayers because they are very easily influenced and full of energy."

If nothing else, Girardi is going to get a chance to develop a number of young players into a winner. That's a pretty good challenge for a first time manager. I like the way he's holding off on some coaching hires until the team takes better shape:

Girardi said he'll probably hire a batting coach, bullpen coach and bench coach next month after the Marlins continue to mold their 2006 team.

"I want to know exactly a sense of what the landscape of the team is. Then I'm going to pursue some coaches just because I want to know the type of coaches I'll need to fit the personality of the team. But I know I can't wait forever to fill my coaching staff," he said.

Different coaches have different strengths, and some may be better teachers, which is what you probably want with a young team. It's pretty cool that Joe wants to tailor his staff to the team, rather than the other way around.

Josh Byrnes removed another piece from the Red Sox management pyramid by hiring Peter Woodfork as an assistant in Arizona.

"We have certainly upgraded our already-talented baseball staff with the hiring of Peter," said Byrnes, who was the Red Sox assistant GM the past three seasons under Theo Epstein. "I have had the honor of working with him and have first-hand knowledge of his experience, intellect and passion."

Woodfork, 29, spent two years working in the labor relations department with Major League Baseball before joining Boston's front office in March 2003. He holds a degree in psychology from Harvard, where he played baseball for four years before graduating in 1999.

That's three major players gone from the Boston front office gone in a month. Who's next?

Jon Weisman at Dodger Thoughts is wondering if Tommy Lasorda was used as a pawn to get rid of Paul DePodesta, and now has no power.

Will Lasorda now go around Dodger general manager Ned Colletti to voice his concerns about Colletti's interest in Black to Dodger owner Frank McCourt, the way he went around former Dodger general manager Paul DePodesta's last month?

Or was the entire controversy over DePodesta's managerial targets a smokescreen for a general desire by the anti-Depodesta contingent to push DePodesta out? The timing of DePodesta's firing suggests that it was his managerial search that was the final straw (reportedly his interest in in-house candidate Terry Collins). But once DePodesta was fired or replaced, did that render Lasorda irrelevant? And did Lasorda know it?

Of course, there's nothing about this at Tommy's blog.

It looks like the Mets and a couple of other teams are going to have more money to spend this season than they thought.

And this was the compromise: No matter how much tax a team paid in 2003 or 2004, if it dipped under the threshold in 2005, it was safe from the tax man in 2006.

"I admit it's kind of quirky," says one baseball man who was involved in those talks. "But that's the compromise we came up with."

So now here we are, more than three years later. And here's that compromise, ready to take hold for this, the final year of the labor deal. But when we polled high-ranking officials of four teams last week, only one had ever even heard of this rule.

Why? Because MLB never mentioned it at the time the deal was done -- and hasn't advertised it since, even now that the time to apply that rule has arrived.

Matter of fact, MLB has never even advised the Mets (or the Angels or Phillies, either) that it could directly affect them -- and save them millions of bucks. Why? Because it obviously was hoping nobody would bother to read the fine print.

Oops. Somebody did. We didn't mean to blow anybody's cover. But someone needs to read this stuff -- and let the world know the rules. Sorry about that.

So the Mets can buy all the players they want, and it won't cost them anything extra in 2006. And if the contract is extended, 2007. I know which way the Mets will be voting on that deal!

The Marlins are denying the Daily News story that there is a power shift in the Florida organization.

The Daily News posted an article on how the Mets might benefit from a Marlins fire sale, but I hadn't seen this bit of information before:

Marlins president David Samson, the son of owner Jeffrey Loria's ex-wife, has taken over control of the club from Loria and ordered the payroll be slashed by 25-30%, with speculation it could be as low as $40 million in 2006, an organization source said.

I keep seeing that Loria can't be reached for comment in other stories, and what little is coming out of the Marlins front office is from Samson. Does anyone have more information on this?

Is Lou Piniella being courted for the manager's job in Cincinnati?

Orel Hershiser is being kicked upstairs.

Out of the running for the Los Angeles Dodgers' general manager and manager positions, Hershiser stepped down as Rangers pitching coach after three-plus seasons and will move into a sales and marketing role that will include some broadcast duties. He will also be available to the baseball operations staff on an as-needed basis.

The position he is moving into, which carries the title of executive director, is similar to the one former Ranger Jim Sundberg has. The biggest difference is that Hershiser, 47, will help fill in when a TV or radio broadcaster is absent.

It's probably a good move for the Rangers to get Orel out of the dugout. Hershiser had some success with the pitching staff in 2004, but couldn't build on that success in 2005. Instead of becoming a manager or GM, however, he's going to be learning management from the ground up.

In other Rangers news, there's a rumor in Florida that a deal is in the works to send Josh Beckett and Mike Lowell to the Rangers for Hank Blalock and a top pitching prospect. The Marlins get younger and improve their offense, but at the price of weakening their rotation. The Rangers get someone to become the ace.

I'm not sure how I feel about the deal, although it's my impression Florida would come out better. Beckett is injury prone and the Texas ballpark isn't as forgiving as the one in Miami. Lowell may very well be done. Blalock is just coming into his prime. If the Marlins get a prospect that's a year away or less, it looks like a very good trade for Florida.

Ken Arneson says something positive about Ned Colletti, I think.

The Red Sox are finding it very difficult to field a replacement for Theo Epstein. Tony Massarotti continues his excellent coverage of the GM debacle in the Herald:

The writing is on the wall now, in big bold letters for the entire baseball world to see. Not a day seems to pass without someone else withdrawing his name from consideration as the next general manager of the Red Sox. It cannot help but make you wonder if anyone really wants the job. Welcome to the club, Dayton Moore. A long and distinguished group of predecessors has embraced you. Two weeks after Theo Epstein proudly walked away, the Red Sox have been turned down by more potential prom dates than a desperate high school senior. Kevin Towers and Doug Melvin withdrew their names from contention. J.P. Ricciardi, Brian Sabean and Terry Ryan didn�t want the job. Even young hopefuls like Chris Antonetti and Tony Lacava have said no to the headless body that is the Red Sox baseball operations department.

This is the Boston Red Sox. This is a job people should covet. A storied team, an historic ballpark, plenty of resources and intelligent people on staff. What more could you ask for?

For Dayton Moore, it wasn't enough.

So really, what do you think the Red Sox had in store for Dayton Moore? All signs pointed to Moore being the leading candidate as Epstein�s replacement, until Moore woke up and decided he wanted to stay in Atlanta. Or maybe he just didn�t want to come to Boston. Moore told the Herald�s Michael Silverman that Braves GM John Schuerholz helped talk him out of the second interview with the Sox, yet another shrewd decision that explains why Schuerholz is the best GM in the game.

As Massoratti points out, the only people who want the job are two guys the Red Sox could have hired already if they were the front runners; Bowden and Beattie. As I've said before, let Larry Lucchino be the GM, let the four assistants do all the work and Larry can say yes or no at the end. Then there will be no confusion about who is in power.

Dontrelle Willis' agent isn't optimistic about a long term contract as Willis becomes eligible for arbitration.

"I'm expecting it to be a one-year deal,'' he said Tuesday. "They don't have a history of doing these types of (long-term) deals (to arbitration-eligible players). My guess is if they haven't done it before, they won't do it now.''

Sosnick, who said he hasn't had any recent conversations with the Marlins, said he has been reading media reports about the team trying to trade key players because of financial problems. Sosnick expects to talk with the team after Thanksgiving, but he said it is too early to determine if he will reach a one-year contract without taking Willis' case to an arbitration hearing.

This is exactly the kind of situation the Cleveland Indians handled so well in the early 1990s. The offered long term contracts to their young players, locking in salary rates early. They avoided arbitration and the costs associated with that. They avoided losing their players to free agency in their primes. Cleveland was able to trade contracts for talent rather than dumping money, because the players were paid a reasonable amount of money.

According to the article, Willis will earn about $4 million next year if he goes to arbitration. Why not offer him $30 million for five years now? The risk, as the Marlins see it, is that Dontrelle blows his arm out and they pay out a lot of money for nothing. But if he continues to pitch well, they end up shelling out a lot more money in 2007 and 2008 as arbitration ratchets up his value, then they lose him to free agency. If the bet pays off, they get a very good pitcher cheap.

It's a good deal for Dontrelle as well. Even if he blows his arm out, he's set for life. And if he puts together five good years, he'll be young enough to get an even bigger payday as a free agent.

Can Cabrera go to arbitration also? If so, the Marlins should work a similar deal with him. Lock up these two budding superstars for the next five years and the team has a very good chance of great run in the NL.

Ned Colletti is the new Dodgers GM.

Dodgers spokeswoman Camille Johnston confirmed the hiring of Colletti, who has served under Giants general manager Brian Sabean for the past nine years.

The 50-year-old Colletti is considered a good negotiator and a good communicator, attributes owner Frank McCourt said he wanted in a GM after he fired DePodesta on Oct. 29.

At least they didn't call him a good handler of pitchers. :-)

Jon Weisman is not inspired, but will give the new GM a chance.

More background here from Steve Henson of the Los Angeles Times at NY Newsday.

He moved to the Giants in 1995 and became assistant GM in 1997, the year the team began a run of successful seasons that ended with last season's disappointing third-place finish.

"There were all sorts of messes in San Francisco, and not all of them became public," said an agent who has had several clients play for the Giants. "Ned dealt with all of them."

Sounds like the Harvey Keitel character in Pulp Fiction, The Wolf.

The Wolf: You're... Jimmie, right? This is your house?

Jimmie: Sure is.

The Wolf: I'm Winston Wolf. I solve problems.

Jimmie: Good, we got one.

The Wolf: So I heard. May I come in?

Jimmie: Uh, yeah, please do.

He has quite a mess to clean up in Los Angeles.

John Hart is no longer interested in becoming the Dodgers' general manager.

�I want to thank [Dodgers owner] Frank McCourt for the opportunity to speak with him regarding his opening,� Hart said in a news release issued by the team Monday. �I enjoyed speaking to him; however, I have indicated to Texas owner Tom Hicks my desire to remain with the Rangers."

Dodger Thoughts updates us on the latest GM news.

ESPN is reporting that Joe Maddon is the new Devil Rays manager. An official announcement will be made on Tuesday. What we know for sure is that it won't be John McLaren:

Devil Rays bench coach John McLaren, the other finalist for the job, told ESPN.com that he received a call Sunday from team officials telling him that the franchise wanted to go "in a different direction."

According to the Tampa Tribune, Maddon's deal is believed to be for three years. Financial terms have yet to be finalized between the Rays and Maddon's agent, Alan Nero, the Tribune reported.

Maddon has quite a bit of managerial experience at the minor league level, but none since 1986. He never had a winning season managing in the minors. I know almost nothing about him, but here's a bio. Angels fans, please add any information in the comments.

Gordon Edes compares the Red Sox situation to Cleveland in 2002.

Imagine this: A perennial contender, one that sells out every game year after year, loses in the first round of the playoffs, and the general manager quits after the season. The new GM trades maybe the team's most indispensable player for a journeyman big leaguer and three minor league prospects. The GM justifies the deal by saying, ''It's a very difficult thing to do, transition and contend. We couldn't."

Teammates of the traded player are stunned and disappointed. The next day, a fan in the upper deck is spotted holding a sign directed at the owner that says, ''Jump, Larry, Jump."

That's the Indians he's writing about, and the Larry is Larry Dolan. But the Red Sox face a similar situation; the team is getting older. Unless they start going to their farm system, they're going to end up like the Yankees, filling holes with old free agents every year.

I do disagree with this statement when it comes to Manny Ramirez (emphasis added):

Ram�rez is reaching the stage in his career when he is securing his place in Cooperstown. Ortiz could be named the American League's Most Valuable Player tomorrow. There is no reason to believe there will be any dropoff in production next season from Ram�rez, who has averaged 40 home runs and 122 RBIs in his five seasons in Boston. There is considerable cause to worry what impact a lineup minus Ram�rez might have on Ortiz.

There's every reason to believe there will be a dropoff in Manny's production, especially after putting up a lower OBA and slugging percentage than the previous season (his OBA has dropped three straight years). That's not to say he won't still be great, but at Manny's age, the probability is that he'll get worse every year.

Rocco Baldelli just became set for life:

Baldelli, 24, dealt personally with Friedman during the negotiation and has employed New York-based agent Casey Close to check the language of the contract, which is believed to be worth a potential $33 million if the Rays exercise three team options for the 2009-11 seasons.

The Rays avoided arbitration with Baldelli, who missed all of this past season while recovering from surgeries on his left knee and his right elbow.

I have very mixed feelings about this contract. On the good side, the Devil Rays are locking up a player through his arbitration and early free agency years. They will have Baldelli through his peak seasons. That's the sort of cost management the Cleveland Indians undertook in the early 1990's, and it paid off in a decade of achievement.

However, the Indians were giving contracts to pretty good players. Baldelli has a career .326 OBA and a .425 slugging percentage. He also just missed a season due to injury. That seems like a long contract for someone who hasn't proved himself at the plate and now has a serious injury history.

That said, it's not a lot of money by today's standards. If Rocco can get his OBA up in the .350 to .360 range, the Rays will have a fine defensive center fielder who's contributing at the plate for less than $6 million a year.

It also sends a message to the fans that the DRays aren't going to part with their young players. All in all, I see this as an overall positive for the team. If they can lock up some of their better talent like this, we'll see some long term improvement.

The Boston Herald reports that there's still the possibility that Theo Epstein might return as general manager:

Multiple Red Sox personnel, several prominently placed in the organization, have quietly been trying to talk Epstein into rejoining the ballclub he left on Halloween when he rejected a three-year, $4.5 million offer. Retaining credibility for Epstein in case he changes his mind remains a significant hurdle to overcome, plus a multitude of organizational issues would have to be resolved.

Giving this some credence is the return of Bill Lajoie to the team. Lajoie resigned right after Theo, but a little over a week later is back with a new title. What's not clear from the article is what made Bill change his mind.

If the Red Sox really want Epstein back, they need to give in on whatever issue wasn't resolved in the negotiations. Theo strikes me as the type of person that will stick to his principles. Any changes that bring about a return will give us a better clue as to why he left. If the issue was indeed trusting Lucchino, I don't see how that one is easily resolved.

The Detroit Tigers Weblog notes a positive sign for the team; the Tigers are investing in scouting for the second year in a row.

Terry Ryan is looking to make some deals, and has a commodity that's in demand.

Will they add offense through a trade?

Probably.

The Twins have a surplus of pitching, something most teams still need.

But Ryan's answer regarding Konerko suggested the Twins are trying to avoid taking on big contracts.

That would be a strike against Jim Thome or Carlos Delgado, even though their respective teams, Philadelphia and Florida, are looking to dump their salaries.

Still, even with Joe Mauer and Justin Morneau in the lineup, Ryan did not sound opposed to adding another lefthanded hitter.

"It doesn't matter if they're lefthanded or righthanded," Ryan said. "It doesn't matter if it's for the top of the order, or the middle or the bottom. If we can find some people who can swing the bat, that would be our objective."

The Washington Post is running a series on the various bidders for the Nationals. Today's entry focuses on Albert Lord. Other profiles can be found here, here, here and here.

It looks like the Mariners have some money they can spend on free agents:

The major league general managers meetings take place this week in Indian Wells, Calif. Bill Bavasi once again finds himself with a nice allowance under next season's budget (about $20-$25 million) and several weeks to determine how best to spend it.

As noted in the previous post, the Royals have about $22 million to spend this off-season. Toronto's budget is going up as well, in the range of $20 to $30 million. Too bad there are few big names this winter. For the first time in a while, it looks like the money is there.

Of course, the money could be spend on trades. A team willing to pay $20 million a year and trade a pitcher can probably have Manny Ramirez. :-) But in general, it's much easier to trade for a player to fill a need if you have the money to pay his contract.

Sheldon Ocker interviews Cleveland GM Mark Shapiro about his off-season wish list. Not suprising, pitching is at the top of the menu. Shapiro, to my surprise, seems unwilling to trade his young talent to acquire his needs:

It�s possible but unlikely that the Indians can fill a key position through a trade. Why will it be so difficult to make a deal?

Teams almost surely will ask for Shapiro�s best young players - Grady Sizemore, Cliff Lee, Jhonny Peralta, Victor Martinez, Coco Crisp - because they are both talented and affordable.

"Making a trade for a cornerstone guy is unlikely but not out of the question," Shapiro said. "If teams ask for one of our eight or 10 core guys, it doesn�t make sense to rob Peter to pay Paul."

I'm all for developing youngsters (see previous post) but at some point the Indians need to make the jump from being a good young team to being a winner. It's approaching 60 years since the Indians won the World Series. Which would the fans of Cleveland rather have at this point, a good young team that keeps falling short of the playoffs, or a couple of veterans that might put the club over the top? One reason to develop good young talent is to have currency to pick up the players you need to complete the team. Shapiro should be more open to trades than he's indicating here.

Farid at The Beltway Boys points out why Major League Baseball is hurting the Washington franchise:

If the Nationals had an owner in place, the new coaches, manager, general manager and players the team signed would have come from the other major league teams. This would have bettered the Nationals at the cost of the rest of major league baseball. Remember, those other teams own the Nationals. Now, someone is going to pay $450 million for the Nats regardless of who the players are or how much better they'll be next season. Why would the other owners allow their teams to be "raided" when it doesn't enhance the value of the Washington franchise? They wouldn't.

And therein lies the problem.

Farid believes the new ownership hasn't been named so the 29 other clubs (who now own Washington) can get their pick of managers, coaches and free agents with one less team competing against them. I can't say I'm surprised.

The Arizona Republic lists the many items on the plate of new GM Josh Byrnes. Shortstop is an interesting situation:

What to do at shortstop? The Diamondbacks have prospect Stephen Drew waiting in the wings, but they may not feel comfortable with the former first-round pick making the jump straight from Double-A to the majors and carrying the responsibility of being the club's Opening Day starter.

There was talk of Royce Clayton returning, but the free agent hasn't seemed interested in the one-year deal the Diamondbacks were floating and the club may turn its sights to Neifi Perez or perhaps Pokey Reese.

From his college and brief minor league numbers, Drew looks like a very good hitter. All the other choices are pretty bad, and no doubt will cost more money than Drew. Spend less on Drew, let him develop in the majors, and at worst the twenty-three year old might surprise you. Unless his defense is terrible, I'd rather have a guy who at least can take a walk than Perez, Reese or Clayton.

It looks like Theo Epstein will have no shortage of job offers, from consultant to team president. This is my favorite one:

If none of those come through, the New York Mets could even seek him out as an adviser or television analyst.

Theo in the booth would be very cool. I guess it's only a matter of time before Baseball Tonight calls as well.

According to MLB.com, Kim Ng is a candidate for the Dodgers general manager's position. If the Dodgers promote Ng, she'd be the first female general manager.

The Yankees hired Tony Pena as their first base coach, bringing to three the number of ex-managers on the staff. This might work out very well. Sometimes people who are very good coaches get bumped upstairs to a job that doesn't suit their talents. This happened to Ray Knight. Ray was a good coach but a poor manager. He's back coaching now, which is where he belongs.

Of course, one wonders if this isn't a competition for the big job when Torre's contract runs out in two years.

The Devil Rays moved Gerry Hunsicker into their front office today. So far I haven't seen GM in front of his name, but he appears to be doing that job.

The reconstruction of the Tampa Bay Devil Rays continued Thursday, when Gerry Hunsicker was named Senior Vice President of Baseball Operations.

Andrew Friedman, who has been involved with the team since new owner Stuart Sternberg bought majority ownership of the team in 2004, was officially announced as Executive Vice President. Hunsicker will work directly with Friedman and team President Matt Silverman.

Jose de Jesus Ortiz looked at Hunsicker's strengths and weaknesses yesterday in the Houston Chronicle. Based on the Ortiz article, Hunsicker comes across as a good GM with character flaws. Tampa will likely tolerate those if Gerry can improve the quality of players on the field.

Tony Massarotti continues to be daily must read on the Red Sox GM situation. As a bonus, he works in an excellent Welcome Back, Kotter reference. Maybe Robert Hegyes could take over as GM and Gabe Kaplan can play the outfield!

Just when did we start caring more about general managers than managers? Branch Rickey and others were certainly famous, but I don't think fans cared all that much about GMs in the past.

Part of it was that the job of the general manager was a bit easier before free agency. Your roster wasn't ripped apart at the end of each season. The executive's job was to figure out who to keep, who to trade and who to cut. He owned the players lock stock and barrel.

Fantasy baseball allowed fans to design their own teams, and brought many to think about how to best build a winner. It was couple with the computer, statistics and internet boom, where anyone can now have access to detailed information about every player.

We see very little innovation by field managers these days. Everyone knows when the bunt is coming, or the stolen base, or the Williams shift. Managers don't carry enough hitters to make platooning worthwhile anymore. The real innovators are in the front office, and that has attracted our attention.

And finally, there's a battle going on there, and battles grab out attention. The old boys club is fighting the young boys club, and we don't know who's going to win yet. Enjoy the skirmishes.

Red Reporter keeps us up to date on the ownership shift in Cincinnati:

That will be Lindner's legacy as an owner. Not that he was cheap, and not that he didn't care. Just that he blew a huge opportunity, one that doesn't come along very often for any franchise. At best the Reds will open a new stadium every 30 - 40 years. Every time they do there will be a potential surge in fan support and interest. But Carl Lindner tossed away the goodwill generated by GABP, because he cared more about keeping the Reds from moving than he did about their success. It wasn't about payroll, because $60 million a year is enough to win. It was about hiring people who knew what the hell they were doing. Carl didn't do that, and Cincinnatians are probably always going to despise him for it.

You had to wonder about the front office when they said they were going younger but went out and acquired a bunch of players in their 30's. I can see why the fans were not happy.

The Cincinnati Reds are changing hands. Red Reporter will on the story as it develops.

Here's the quote I wanted to re-read (emphasis added):

Q: Do you have a good relationship with Larry (Lucchino)?

Yeah. My relationship with Larry is one that spanned about 14 years. We�ve had a very successful working relationship. I think Larry and I like each other. As with any long relationship, there are complexities, there are ups and down, there are occasionally times where you have philosophical differences. But in the end, I want what�s best for Larry. I wish him well in the future. When I look back, he�s done a lot for me. I owe him quite a bit, and I take that to heart. In the end, 30 years from now when I look back on my relationship with Larry Lucchino, I�m gonna see it as a positive influence in my life.

Since Theo is a lawyer, and lawyer's tend to be precise in their public utterances, I wonder if this means that at the moment Theo doesn't see Lucchino as a positive influence in his life.

"I want what's best for Larry." Why wouldn't Theo continuing as GM be best for Larry?

"I think Larry and I like each other." After 14 years, you're not sure? And are you not sure if Larry likes you or you like Larry?

This was the one exchange in the whole press conference that even hinted at Theo's leaving being some difference of opinion between Epstein and Lucchino. And I'm really stretching the meaning of the exchange to extract that. It was a very good job by Theo of being positive in a very negative situation.

In his press conference (link to audio at the link, Gillick looks at having Thome and Howard as a positive for the team. It's good to have depth, and that gives you the ability to trade.

Theo Epstein is about to hold a press conference at Fenway Park. You can see it on NESN, or listen on WEEI.com. I would guess one of the ESPN networks is covering it as well.

Update: Theo is saying that the Sunday Globe column had nothing to do with his leaving.

Update: There was never an agreement in principle.

Update: He keeps saying it wasn't the right fit for him, that he couldn't give his heart and soul to the organization. But he's not saying what didn't fit.

Update: Theo says he's not burned out, and he sees himself in a leadership position in baseball in the future.

Update: He's saying that Larry didn't meddle, there was no power struggle.

Update: Theo wants fans to be patient with the team as they bring in young players.

Update: One team contacted Theo for a job, but he's not talking to anyone until next week. He's trying to get the Red Sox through the transition right now.

Update: Theo's done, John Henry is speaking. Theo was very classy, but didn't shed a lot of light on what happened.

Update: Henry is defending Lucchino. He's taking full responsibility for losing Theo. He says people who blame Lucchino should blame the owner.

Update: Henry thought Theo would be his GM forever. He says he was involved, it wasn't just Lucchino. Henry won't say why he thinks Epstein is leaving.

Update: The conference is over. It didn't really answer any questions. Henry said he blew it, but didn't say how. Theo said it was a bad fit for him, but not why. Everyone's moving on without burning bridges.

I hope there's a transcript later. There was one quote about Lucchino I'd like to reread.

Josh Byrnes is considering bringing Theo Epstein and/or Paul DePodesta on board in Arizona. I'd love to see what kind of teams that trio would produce.

It looks like the Esptein resignation is having consequences outside of Boston (with the caveat that this comes from an unnamed source):

Based on calls to executives and agents around baseball, there was unanimous shock that Epstein had declined to accept a long-term deal with the Red Sox on Monday. One industry source said the team�s reputation had taken a serious dive. �Boston�s taken a dramatic hit in the last couple weeks from players,� the industry source said. �If you can imagine how high their reputation had risen, you can imagine how low it has fallen. It is known now as a difficult place, an acrimonious place. They need to put stabilizers on the Titanic. They have to do something drastic."

Correction: Theo was not fired, he resigned. Sorry.

Tommy Lasorda still hasn't commented on the Dodgers doings at his own blog, but he pens a piece on the DePodesta firing at Yard Work. He's also has great suggestions for the Dodgers this off season:

This off season is a key off-season for the Dodgers, and it�s important that they go into it with a fresh start and fresh blood. There are plenty of free agents out there that can do right by the glory and greatness of Dodger baseball. That kid in Chicago, Paul Konerko, for instance - he�s a great hitter! I�d sign him for 10 years, though the White Sox would be stupid to let him go. No one can resist the glamour of Los Angeles, though. I�d also sign Johnny Damon, Billy Wagner, Reggie Sanders, Rafael Furcal, Bill Mueller, B.J. Surhoff, Bernie Williams, and former Dodger greats Brian Jordan, Jose Vizcaino, and Lenny Harris. You need veteran leadership and depth up the middle to play LA baseball! Maybe I can get Pedro Guerrero to come out of retirement. He was a great hitter, and smart, too!

I�d also get rid of anyone that DePadsoda signed, because those guys aren�t true Dodgers. Goodbye, J.D. Drew and your brittle bones! Go back to your agent! Goodbye, Jeff Kent and your pickup trucks! Goodbye, Hee Seop Choi and your bad swing! And goodbye to all those awful starting pitcher. You chumps couldn�t hold Don Drysdale�s jock strap�s jock strap! I�d keep Jason Phillips, Ceaesar Iztouriz, and Scott Erickson, because they�re gamers and they play the game right. I�d also talk to Eric Gagne about sucking it up and taking one for the team - you can�t have your best pitcher sitting on the sidelines with an injury while the rest of the team�s out there trying to win a World Series! That�s not how it works!

I didn't know Drysdale' jock strap had a jock strap! :-)

Soxblog defends Larry Lucchino in his Farwell Theo post. He believes the top of the pyramid is more important than the GM:

REGARDLESS OF WHY EPSTEIN LEFT, the franchise will be okay. What made the Sox special the last few years wasn�t Epstein as much as it was the guys who had the sense to hire Epstein. Ultimately the people at the top determine the long term direction of any organization. Theo Epstein did a great job here and will doubtlessly be missed.

But the principal difference maker in this franchise has been Larry Lucchino. He�s not going anywhere, and as a consequence all will remain well in Red Sox Nation.

I agree to a certain extent. With John Henry owning the team, we're likely to see someone with the same philosophy as Theo take over the team (as opposed to what will probably happen with the Dodgers). I have no doubt that Lucchino's a smart guy, but if he knows so much about running a baseball team, why hire a GM? Why not just do it himself? Call what was Esptein's job assistant GM, have him do the same work, make the phone calls, negotiate the trades, but the give the final approval to Larry. Then the guy knows where he stands, and won't insist on having the power that goes with the position. And you won't need to pay him like Brian Cashman.

Phillies Nation links to an Inquirer article indicating Pat Gillick will be the new GM of the Philadelphia National League franchise. Let's hope the Inquirer is doing a better job than the Globe. :-)

This is excellent news for the Phillies. Gillick does a good job of combining talents into a winning unit. He sees strengths and weaknesses and is able to trade or sign players to improve the team. Phillies phans should be very happy at this development.

Chad Finn posts his take on Theo Epstein's departure, and finishes with what it's like to be a Red Sox fan:

Today, sadly, we saw, and now the Red Sox are scrambling to recover. Maybe it's the first step of a public relations campaign geared toward saving face, or maybe they simply fear that a tar-and-feather-toting mob might be gathering outside of Fenway at any moment, but word is that Red Sox management - the remnants of it, anyway - is devastated by the turn of events. Really? Devastated? Well, now I feel better. I mean, c'mon, they'd damn well better be upset. Maybe now they'll understand that being a Sox fan isn't all about patronizing membership cards and getting a chance to buy used sod and bleepin' Stones concerts during the stretch run and milking every last nickel out of the old ballyard.

Maybe now they'll realize that being a Red Sox fan too often comes down to this: Recognizing the right thing to do, believing it to be so obvious that not even the biggest numbskull in a suit could screw it up - then being overwhelmed with shock and anguish when those in power do just that.

Amid all the firings, someone actually was rewarded for his success. Phil Garner's contract was extended by the Astros:

With his trademark mustache and occasionally unexpected moves, Garner has guided the Astros to a 137-99 record over 1� seasons, plus two major postseason feats. Houston won its first playoff series last year and then made it a step farther by reaching the World Series this season.

The Astros hope the progression continues.

Sheriff Sully presents his take on the Theo Epstein resignation, and Dan Shaughnessy and the Globe comes off pretty badly.

This comment at Soxaholix is the best fan reaction I've seen so far:

God Damn! They are now just another team. Here's the thing, kids. Here's what's different about Boston. Yankee fans are frontrunners, we all know that. They root for the 27 World Championships. Angels fans want to play with their thunder stix and Rally Monkey(r). Cubs fans want a party; the team is the medium for that. Sox fans aren't fans of the team. Rather, every Sox fan thinks he/she is ON the team. Theo was our guy who was ON THE TEAM. They could sell dirt from the '04 field, or blow up Fenway Park,or sell those silly membership cards, we didn't care. They could jam that effin' Sweet Caroline down our gullets every day (twice on the split admission day-nighters).

We didn't care. We were ON THE TEAM. Theo was our surrogate. He got Papi; he had dinner with Curt; he got rid of that pain in the ass Nomar.

We have all been kicked off the team. God Damn.

In reading the news stories and opinion pieces about Theo Epstein's departure, fathers keep popping up. Tony Massarotti uses the simile in his takedown of Larry Lucchino.

So now Lucchino, like Lucille Ball, has some serious �splaining to do. How could you let this happen, Larry? How could you chase away one of the best things to happen to Red Sox management in its frequently misguided history? How could you take a young man with so much energy and passion and competitiveness and destroy his spirit like some unrelenting, overbearing father? Tell us, Larry: How did you do it?

As it turns out, Theo didn't need another overbearing father (quote here on page 3):

''We were in the playoffs every year," Ortiz said. ''He put the pieces together. They should iron things out with Theo. He's the man, bro."

That was an opinion shared by many in Boston. Epstein, though, has long considered his twin brother, Paul, a social worker, the real success in the family. The day Epstein was announced as GM his dad, Leslie, said, ''Whatever Theo accomplishes, even if that includes winning the World Series, cannot equal what Paul already has accomplished. He has saved lives."

That comment undoubtedly stuck with Epstein, who has indicated that the possibility of taking a year off entirely would allow him to do less glamorous but potentially more fulfilling work.

Theo's dad is a jerk. When your children accomplish something great, you should be proud of that. Instead, the elder Epstein fuels sibling rivalry? So he's getting, "Theo, you're not good enough," from his father and "Theo, you're not good enough," from his mentor. It appears the younger Epstein found it necessary to turn one of them off.

The text of Theo Epstein's exit statement is at MLB.com.

My decision not to return as General Manager of the Red Sox is an extremely difficult one. I will always cherish the relationships I developed here and am proud to have worked side-by-side with so many great people, in and out of uniform, as together we brought a World Championship to Boston.

In my time as General Manager, I gave my entire heart and soul to the organization. During the process leading up to today's decision, I came to the conclusion that I can no longer do so. In the end, my choice is the right one not only for me but for the Red Sox.

Jon Weisman spells out quite nicely what traditions the Dodgers hold dear:

The record shows that DePodesta did not put the Dodgers in the playoffs again in 2005. Shocking, I know. Do you know what the Dodgers' record for consecutive postseason appearances is in their 121-year history? Two. It is a Dodger tradition, like it or not, to have disappointment and then regroup.

Smith, perhaps the Dodgers' highest-profile outside acquisition from the 1970s, missed 301 games in his six seasons with the team. Kirk Gibson, perhaps the Dodgers' highest-profile acquisition from the 1980s, played 71 games the season after his great home run - one fewer than J.D. Drew - and was soon unceremoniously dumped. It is a Dodger tradition, like it or not, for key players to get hurt and stay hurt.

The Dodgers traditionally win when they rely on their farm system and the farm system produces. To be sure, the farm system doesn't always produce. But in their entire history in Los Angeles, the team has made only one playoff appearance with fewer than five home-grown players in the starting lineup. That team was the hallowed 2004 team at whose breakup everyone is so aghast.

DePodesta bet his future on the Dodger Way, transforming the team into one that was going to rely on the farm system, supported by a few outside acquisitions. He had not finished the job - a 71-91 record indicates that - but he was doing exactly what people have been asking for since 1988. He was doing exactly what the Dodgers have been doing almost forever.

I've been reading the many comments left about the firing on this blog, trying to decide how I feel about DePodesta's departure. The main argument in favor of the firing is that Paul didn't build on last season's success; when he had a team to put together, it ended up with a poor record.

His defenders site that he didn't have enough time. He was building toward a sustainable model that would put the Dodgers in contention for a number of years.

I can't say there were many moves I didn't like. Signing Lowe didn't sit well with me at first, but the more I read the reasons for the contract, the more I could accept it. Kent isn't as bad a defensive second baseman as some would suggest. Choi is a good hitter, if someone would let him play every day.

What tips me against the firing, however, is that DePodesta was hired for five years. He was trying to win today, but my guess is he was more interested in winning tomorrow. Sometimes, you do need to take a step back. Paul wasn't going to make rash moves due to injuries; that wasn't the plan. He was willing to eat this season to be better in the future. He's not going to get the chance, and that's a shame.

If the Dodgers hire Gillick, I expect Pat to do very well. While Gillick paints himself as the anti-Moneyball GM, he's not. Gillick does with his head what DePodesta does with a computer. Look at the teams he created in Toronto and Seattle. His offenses were built around players with great OBAs. He knew when to replace high priced stars with cheaper ones who also had talent. His trade of Fernandez and McGriff for Alomar and Carter made the team younger and better, especially as he was able to move Olerud into the first base slot. It was a great Moneyball deal.

Gillick will win with the foundation laid by Evans and DePodesta, and we'll hear no end of how much better his style does.

The Boston Herald reports that Theo Epstein resigned from the Red Sox this afternoon. Theo shows he's no Brian Cashman:

Epstein had done some agonizing soul-searching the past few days, torn between staying at the job he had always coveted since his childhood days in Brookline and leaving because of intra-organizational politics and power struggles that he ultimately decided he could not live with any longer.

Money and length of the contract were not issues in the past few days for Epstein, who had lobbied hard for an annual salary of more than $1 million a year.

Epstein had come close to agreeing to a deal Saturday evening but had not officially conveyed acceptance of it. On Sunday, he began having serious misgivings about staying on. A leading contributing factor, according to sources close to the situation, was a column in Sunday�s Boston Globe in which too much inside information about the relationship between Epstein and his mentor, team president and CEO Larry Lucchino, was revealed -- in a manner slanted too much in Lucchino�s favor. Epstein, according to these sources, had several reasons to believe Lucchino was a primary source behind the column and came to the realization that if this information were leaked hours before Epstein was going to agree to a new long-term deal, it signaled excessive bad faith between him and Lucchino.

Good for Theo. He stuck to his guns and when it wasn't going to work out, he left. It's the Red Sox loss. Theo can go home knowing his the only living person to put together a championship in Boston.

I'm sure Paul DePodesta's phone will be ringing soon, although given his situation with management in LA, he might not want the Red Sox job either. I suspect the line is forming on Yawkey way for the job right now.

It looks like the Herald, not the plugged in Globe, had the better story today. A great job by the Herald on this whole story.

The Daily News is reporting that the Yankees are interested in hiring Tony Pena as a coach.

The second benefit to adding Pena is that the Bombers currently are without a specialized catchers coach. Bench coach Joe Girardi worked with Jorge Posada, John Flaherty and the other catchers during spring training and continued that responsibility during the season, but he has left to become the manager of the Marlins.

Typically, a team might look for a catching specialist to be its bullpen coach, but the Bombers are leaning toward giving that job to Joe Kerrigan - who has been a pitching coach for three teams - so they'd need to address the need elsewhere. That's where Pena, who won four Gold Gloves and played 1,950 games at catcher during his 18 seasons, comes in.

A Large Regular evaluates each of Paul DePodesta trades and signings and concludes the Dodgers GM did a pretty good job.

The Boston Globe has a different take from the Herald, reporting that Theo Epstein will sign for three years. Since the Globe has a vested interest in the Red Sox, you'd think they had the inside line on the story.

It is believed that Epstein, who made $350,000 last season, ranking him near the bottom of baseball's GM pay scale, will have the chance to make close to what he was seeking ($1.5 million per year). That would position him among baseball's best-compensated general managers.

I hope this news is true, if for no other reason than it makes this post look really good:

On Oct. 31st they'll split the difference and Theo will get around 1.4 million. There's no reason to sign before the deadline for either side. They'll each see who blinks first.

I just wonder who did the blinking.

It looks like the World Championship resulted in a big increase in value for the White Sox franchise:

Forbes, using available business data and expert analysis, annually estimates the worth of major league teams. In the spring, it pegged the value of the team at $262 million, calling it "among the most poorly managed franchises in baseball.'' Forbes noted low attendance and general failure on the field in citing a worth 21 percent lower than the league average.

Winning changes everything.

"All told, the boost in revenue should propel the value of the White Sox to more than $300 million by next season,'' writes Michael Ozanian, who covers pro sports for Forbes. He cites an increase in demand for tickets and a hike in sponsorship fees.

The team was purchased for $20 million dollars in 1981. That's means the team is appreciating at over 10% year, and good return for any long term investment.

The Boston Herald's Michael Silverman reports there are no signs as to which way Theo Epstein will decide his future with the Red Sox.

According to sources close to the talks, Epstein had neither reached a decision nor indicated which way he was leaning late last night. He planned to sleep on it and reveal his answer sometime today. The contract for the services of the 31-year-old Epstein expires at midnight. While conventional wisdom and common sense were pointing toward Epstein accepting a deal for at least three years and more than $1 million annually, the nearly equally realistic scenario in play last night was that Epstein would ultimately decide to walk away from the job.

Silverman points to one thing that might bring Theo back:

Demanding his colleagues to build a scouting and player development �machine� when he took the reigns in November 2002, Epstein has the opportunity in the next few seasons to oversee the integration of those young players into the current veteran-laden squad. Perhaps the greatest achievement of any general manager, beyond pulling off a blockbuster, one-sided trade or landing a top-shelf free agent, is to produce a steady (and cheap) supply of young, productive talent that would make his team a highly competitive and efficient ballclub for years to come.

This is what DePodesta was not allowed to do for the Dodgers. What this new breed of GM realizes is that young talent is just as good as old talent and a lot less expensive. Epstein, unlike Towers and Ricciardi, took over a good team and was able to tweak it into a champion while still rebuilding the farm. You've seen what this approach can do in Atlanta, Oakland, Minnesota and Cleveland; playoff contenders without sky rocketing payrolls.

Unlike the Dodgers, however, the loss of Theo won't change the Red Sox philosophy much. John Henry agrees with this method, so the new GM is likely to be in the same mold. Losing Theo won't be a disaster for the Red Sox, but it would be nice to see Epstein take his plan to fruition.

One thing we'll need to deal with next year is an expiring collective bargaining agreement. The current CBA runs on on Dec. 19, 2006. I don't know the time tables for striking vs. locking out vs. declaring an impasse, but my feeling is the 2006 season is in no danger. Anyone who knows more about labor law might want to argue that in the comments.

I'm really not sure if there are any sticking points between the union and the owners now. Given the last agreement, the owners appear to have accepted the current structure of arbitration and free agency. They'll argue about the drug testing policy, but I suspect it will get tougher, especially the penalties for the 2nd and 3rd offenses.

The real problem facing MLB is that revenue sharing isn't working. As Andrew Zimbalist points out in his book, National Pastime, the current system discourages low revenue teams from getting better. Basically, if they spend more money on players to increase revenue (fans in the seats, e.g.) they lose money on revenue sharing. The increased revenue cuts down on their share of the pot, to the point that they make more money by not trying to improve the team. That's what you're seeing in Tampa Bay and Kansas City. These teams are living on welfare, and there's no reason for them to get off the dole.

What seemed to work when the US government instituted welfare reform were rules that required work, but did not penalize recipients for working. The Earned Income Tax Credit makes it worthwhile to work instead of collecting assistance:

In 2003 more than 21 million working families claimed this tax credit. The purpose of the program is to reduce the tax burden on low income working people and to supplement their wages. Workers with dependent children usually receive refunds of $1,000 or more for each year in which they are qualified for the program. In some cases, the refunds are equal to�or even exceed�federal income tax payments withheld from these taxpayers� paychecks.

Workers whose earnings are too low for them to pay income taxes can get cash back from the EITC program by filing federal income tax forms. This is true even if they have no tax liability and no money was withheld from their paychecks for taxes. The EITC also is available retroactively for up to three years for qualified taxpayers who file amended returns or who were not required to file but later learned that they were eligible for the credit.

The EITC program is credited with helping more children escape poverty than any other government initiative. Yet many researchers and advocates believe that the EITC is under used by qualified taxpayers�15% to 20% of eligible taxpayers may fail to claim the credit.

MLB needs something like this. If we want Kansas City and Tampa Bay to be successful franchises, then money from revenue sharing needs to be spent on making their clubs competitive. MLB needs to implement rules that allow the revenue of poor clubs to grow as they improve, and support them until they can support themselves. But the clubs must be required to work toward improvements. Basically, if a club receives money and spends it to improve the club (better record or more gate receipts, e.g.), their share of revenue won't go down the following year. Likewise, a club that takes money and cuts payroll should have their level of support drop as well, and shared money should go to zero in a short time if the practice persists.

All sides should want such an agreement. Low revenue teams doing better means a healthier game. That's better TV and Radio ratings all over, more money for the central fund, more money for salaries, and an increasingly popular game. The current system flushes money from one set of owners into the pockets of others with little impact on improving the sport. Rather than abandoning the system, it's time to put incentives in place to force teams to better their play and grow their markets.

Roger McDowell gets the nod as Atlanta's new pitching coach.

"We are absolutely thrilled to add Roger to our staff," Braves manager Bobby Cox said. "Roger was a great competitor as a player -- he started, he relieved and he even fought through arm problems, so he comes in a with great level of experience that our pitchers will learn from."

McDowell's worked in the Dodgers farm system as a pitching coach. The Las Vegas affiliate finished last in 2005, and the pitching stats looked really bad.

McDowell's great strength as a pitcher was keeping the ball in the park. In his career, he allowed just 50 home runs in 1050 innings. We'll see if he can pass that skill on to the Braves pitchers.

Steve Henson writes the news article for the LA Times. With all around him chaos, DePodesta manages a dignified quote on his way out the door:

DePodesta learned that he would be fired from a reporter Friday. McCourt did not speak to him until Saturday morning, but by the afternoon DePodesta seemed to have come to terms with losing his job. He has three years left on a five-year contract and will be paid about $2.2 million.

"I truly believe that this franchise is poised to begin the next great era of Dodger baseball," DePodesta said. "I have a tremendous amount of affection for the players, staff and front office and I wish everyone the best of luck. Most importantly, I want to thank the fans for their unparalleled support of the team."

We also find out that being a Dodger is very important:

Now Hershiser is considered a candidate for a front-office position as well as for manager. A source said Dodger special advisor Tom Lasorda twice met with Hershiser in Texas about a month ago.

"He obviously keenly understands what it means to be a Dodger," McCourt said. "We want to restore the glory and we want to achieve greatness. The Dodgers are a special franchise and we want Dodgers here."

Look for the team to have great pitching and an overrated first baseman in the future.

Bill Plaschke doesn't attempt to hide his glee at the computer geek getting fired:

Some will say this means the Dodgers are in chaos. I say this means they are finally seeking order.

Some will say DePodesta wasn't given a fair chance. I say he never should have been hired in the first place.

Some say this makes Dodger owner McCourt look like a man who has lost control. I say this is about him finally taking control, however clueless and callous he appears.

Some say, a hasty firing. I say, a smart trade.

DePodesta and his strange managerial candidate list have been dealt into our memories for Pat Gillick, Orel Hershiser and Bobby Valentine.

T.J. Simers goes to the source to see what Tommy Lasorda had to do with it:

A FEW months ago, Ken Rosenthal, a writer for the Sporting News who has since moved on to Foxsports.com, reported disharmony in the Land of the Clueless, suggesting Tom Lasorda was sticking a knife in DePodesta's back and badmouthing him to McCourt.

I don't know where these guys get that kind of stuff. Lasorda called it a "lie," but with DePodesta lying in pool of blood at McCourt's feet Saturday, I asked Lasorda again � you know, just to make sure � was there any truth to it?

"That is the biggest lie; in front of God, it's a stinking, no good lie," Lasorda shouted, and I noticed he shouted a little louder when he saw a TV camera rolling. "He has absolutely no proof of that. I never said anything bad about Paul DePodesta. I have never, ever said a bad word about Paul DePodesta to Frank."

Why not? I asked. Everybody else has been critical of the guy from Day 1, which makes you wonder why McCourt's top baseball advisor wasn't knocking the guy who was in over his head from the outset.

Maybe McCourt could just see it in Lasorda's eyes.

It also appears that Lasorda will be picking the new GM.

I (Simmers) don't know anyone who has been working harder than Lasorda, at times the only one in town praising two people who can't seem to do anything right.

"I might be a lot smarter than you guys," Lasorda said when asked to explain why he seems to be alone in his assessment.

I know he was the only one paid by McCourt standing in our group � and although he was quick to point out, "I didn't pick the last GM" � name me someone else in the Dodger organization you'd like to see pick the new GM.

"I've mentioned my selection to Frank, and you'll know as soon as we get a new GM if he was listening to me," Lasorda said with that smug smile he gives when he already knows the answer.

Lasorda's blog, however is quiet right now. Come on, Tommy, if you're going to blog, give us the inside scoop!

Here's the official firing story from the AP.

He had been an assistant to Oakland GM Billy Beane since 1998 when he was hired by McCourt at age 31. DePodesta worked for the Cleveland Indians for three years before joining the A's.

Beane, under tight payrolls restrictions in Oakland, lead the revolutionary change in player evaluation that valued statistics over gut instincts. Author Michael Lewis wrote the 2004 bestseller "Moneyball" about Beane's approach to the game, which was adapted by DePodesta.

The technique has been criticized for underestimating the importance of team chemistry.

DePodesta signed loners Kent and Drew in the offseason and there was an ugly clubhouse feud in August between Kent and Bradley. Bradley, who is black, accused Kent of a lack of leadership and an inability to deal with black players.

You see, the ability to get on base strike out batters or catch fly balls in the gap doesn't matter if you don't have chemistry. You remember the great team chemistry the three time World Champion Oakland A's had in the early 1970s. Yep, give me chemistry, or give me death.

DePodesta has three years left on his contract which I assume the Dodgers have to honor. Paul, if you'd like to take some time off and live off the Dodgers for a couple of years, you're more than welcome to join me blogging here at Baseball Musings.

The LA Times is reporting that DePodesta is on his way out as Dodgers GM. I'm a bit surprised by this and am taking the report with a grain of salt. After all, why fire the manager because he doesn't get along with the GM, then fire the GM?

On Oct. 3, the day after the season finale, the Dodgers announced they had "parted ways" with Tracy, who was hired to manage the Pittsburgh Pirates eight days later. DePodesta soon announced a list of five managerial candidates, and it became clear that the leader was Collins, the Dodger farm director.

McCourt gave DePodesta a vote of confidence during an interview with The Times on Oct. 6, but he also made it clear he would not tolerate another losing season.

"The tremendous success we had last year and the huge disappointment this year just reinforced that it is a path, a plan, an overall approach to win consistently," McCourt said. "You can't get too high with the highs and too low with the lows. We're not as smart as we seemed in 2004 and not as dumb as we seemed this year.

Whenever there's a big story about the Dodgers, I check Jon Weisman's Dodger Thoughts. He sums up the situation well:

Like Jim Tracy or not, like DePodesta or not, the firing of first one and then the other proves that the McCourt ownership is incompetent.

I have to agree with Jon on that one.

Update: ESPN is reporting that DePodesta is indeed fired. The story mentions a 5 PM news conference, but not the time zone.

Update: Buffalo's Best Blog (eventually) sees the hand of Tommy Lasorda in this. Which once again reminds me of my favorite quote from Fletch.

[Fletch sees a photo of Karlan with Tommy Lasorda]
Fletch: Hey, you and Tommy Lasorda!
Karlan: Yeah.
Fletch: I hate Tommy Lasorda! {punches glass out of picture frame.}

I thought this was interesting:

Negotiations have at times grown strained and awkward between Epstein and president/CEO Larry Lucchino, a situation that has not been helped by the club not allowing Epstein to use an agent. However, no new snags were believed to have developed yesterday.

What did the Red Sox say, "If you get an agent you can walk?" The whole idea of having someone negotiate for you is that it shields you from the personal things said in the heat of the moment. The agent glosses them over for his client, so if the client does sign, there are no hard feelings. With Theo and Larry being as close as they are, this was the perfect situation for an agent.

It's being reported that the Arizona Diamondbacks are hiring Josh Byrnes to replace Joe Garagiola Jr. as general manager. Byrnes currently is assistant GM to Theo Epstein in Boston.

The evolution of the baseball GM continues. We're seeing a version of mammals replacing dinosaurs. At first, there was one tucked in a corner. Then a couple scurrying about. Now the the old style GMs are quickly having their niche filled by young executives schooled in taking advantage of the information explosion. Sure, some dinosaurs will survive for a while, but it's only a matter of time before they're the ones hiding in the corner.

Brian Cashman not only negotiated himself a big contract, he also negotiated himself a power boost:

During negotiations, Cashman said, he wrote out a "document of philosophy" explaining how he believes the chain of command should be and got full agreement from those above him, including team president Randy Levine, chief operating officer Lonn Trost, general partner (and Steinbrenner's son-in-law) Steve Swindal and, finally, The Boss himself. Without that assurance, Cashman said, he was willing to walk away.

"I'm not naive," Cashman said in a press conference at the Stadium. "I do know I'll be challenged with splintering (factions). ... Am I going to bat 1.000 on this? I think it's safe to say the answer to that is no. ... But I think this is a system that will work."

There is no contract language describing the restructuring, Cashman said, and no "out clause" for him to fall back on if things should revert back to the way they were. But Cashman, who had not spoken publicly since the Yanks were eliminated from the playoffs on Oct. 10, decided he has faith in what has been discussed - most of his negotiations were with Swindal - and opted to stay with the club he's been a part of since 1986, when he was an intern.

"There's no contractual way I can (guarantee) it," Swindal said. "But I'm here (in Florida), and I think everyone here wants to make this work."

I'm impressed. The Yankees must really like the work Brian does if they're willing to commit to him being the focal point of baseball decisions. It's possible Tony Womack had a lot to do with that:

New York-based executives frequently pointed this season to Tony Womack as the perfect example of a Tampa-faction wish gone awry. In the future, Cashman said, everything should be "filtered" through him. It's not that he doesn't want to hear ideas - he does - but he doesn't want to have to constantly publicly defend moves that he had little to do with, either.

Cashman now has the money, the power and the budget. I'm excited to see what he can do, but he'll also have no excuses if he fails.

One thing working in the Red Sox advantage in these negotiations is that it should be pretty easy to find a replacement for the young GM if he decides to leave. I would imagine the line for the job will be longer than the queue for opening day Green Monster seats. There must be a few Harvard grads with combined MBA and law degrees that would love to run the Red Sox.

If they really want to save money, I'd be happy to do the job for just half a million a year. :-)

As the Yankees wind up securing Brian Cashman for three more years, things seem to be falling apart in the hallowed halls of Red Sox Nation.

Theo could be gone soon, Red Sox followers. It may be just a matter of time now. Negotiations between Epstein and club president Larry Lucchino long ago became personal, so Lucchino and friends have launched into spin control, full speed ahead. Young Theo Epstein, it seems, has been ousted from the circle of trust as if he were a hardball embodiment of the unraveling Gaylord Focker. The truth? Epstein is outgrowing the Red Sox, though maybe he is just outgrowing Lucchino. It was bound to happen sooner or later. Epstein is young and smart and likable, and it was only a matter of time before he recognized he could be a lot more in life than just another sheep in the great Lucchino's flock.

It seems Lucchino has a spin machine at his disposal as well:

That said, some things need to be made clear. The first is that the media is a very dirty business; on some level, we are all compromised. The second, as one longtime observer once pointed out, is that Lucchino is a political animal. The Globe owns the Red Sox which means the Red Sox own the Globe, which is not a criticism as much as it is a statement of fact. The same is true of WEEI, or at least parts of it, which is currently in negotiations for Red Sox broadcast rights and compensates Lucchino for a weekly radio segment. So, for an assortment of reasons, the two most powerful media outlets in New England are not about to challenge the words or methods of Lucchino and the Red Sox. (Not really.) And that is OK so long as we recognize there are conflicts of interest everywhere now and the truth will be distorted as a result of it. That is why, as much as ever, we should hope this remains a two-newspaper town.

Yes, thank goodness for competition.

But back to the main story. Brian Cashman is more willing to work for George Steinbrenner than Theo Epstein is willing to work for Larry Lucchino. That has to hurt the feelings of Red Sox fans. As my dear friend at Soxaholix points out:

No way, instead we've got Steinbrennah, of all friggin' people George Steinbrennah saying we'll rue the effin' day Lucchino was hired.

Yes, it's a revelation to find out that the evil emperor was under your nose all along!

Things can go one of two ways. The Red Sox ante up and pay Theo to tolerate Lucchino, or some other club gets a real good GM. I agree with the Soxaholix that I'd rather have Theo than Larry. Red Sox Nation is pretty strong. If you agree now's the chance to make your voice heard.

Someone thinks Cashman is a good GM:

New York Yankees general manager Brian Cashman has been offered a three-year contract worth more than $5 million, and the team hopes he will decide in the next few days to stay.

...

The New York Post reported on Wednesday that Cashman will return and is contemplating two offers: four years for $8.8 million; the other for three years at $5.6 million.

There is plenty of speculation that Larry Bowa will be the new third base coach of the Yankees. Larry Bowa is interested in the job:

At the World Series as an ESPN analyst, Bowa said he's spoken with both Yankees manager Joe Torre and general manager Brian Cashman. Before Bowa's deal can be finalized, Cashman must decide whether to accept a new contract from New York -- his current deal expires Oct. 31.

"Brian and I talked. We're pretty much on the same page," Bowa said Monday as the Houston Astros took batting practice. "Nothing's been finalized."

This move strikes me as the Yankees preparing for Joe Torre's departure in two years. If they are thinking of replacing Joe with Larry, the result won't be fine. Bowa is a protege of Dallas Green, and we remember how well he worked as a Yankees manager. Bowa won't insulate the players from the press and upper management the way Joe Torre did. It will be back to the Bronx Zoo days of Billy Martin with Bowa at the helm. The Yankees can do better than that.

The Daily Lancer compares pitching coaches.

The AP is reporting Leo Mazzone is moving to Baltimore to join his friend Sam Perlozzo as pitching coach. It looks like the Orioles problem last year was not having enough people with double zz's on the coaching staff!

Could this move shift the landscape of the two eastern divisions? Will Atlanta pitch as well without Leo, or will they finally fall out of the division lead? Will the Orioles improve to the point where they compete for a full season with the Yankees and Red Sox? If those shifts happen, especially due to the pitching, Mazzone will go from legend to icon.

Joe Girardi is the new manager of the Florida Marlins. The official announcement won't come until Thursday, so anything can happen.

I was very impressed with Joe as a catcher. The Rockies one great pitching season featured Girardi as the regular catcher. When Torre had a choice in the post season between Girardi and Posada, he usually went with Girardi's ability to call a game. I hope he does well in his new endeavor.

Joe Torre will return to manage the Yankees next year:

``I still want to manage here and I am satisfied that George feels he still wants me as manager,'' the 65-year-old manager told reporters at news conference at Yankee Stadium today.

It's amazing to me that Torre lasted this long with Steinbrenner. In the first 20 years of George's ownership, he changed managers as often as Mickey Rooney changed wives. Often, the managers just didn't want to take anymore from the boss; that's pretty much what happened with Showalter. Torre's been at the helm for ten seasons and wants more. Working under King George for that long without being fired should qualify anyone for a place in the Hall of Fame.

There was a report in the Boston Globe that the Red Sox and Theo Epstein are far apart in money and years as they work out a new contract.

So?

I'm always amazed that reporters don't understand contract negotiations. The article spends time speculating on what Theo might be asking for, what the ownership might be offering, and what other GMs make. My guess is that Theo asked for a salary near the top of the range of GMs ($2 million). The Red Sox low balled him with Chuck LaMarr ($750,000). Now, LaMar was payed that much, not because he was good, but because he was in the job a long time. Theo knows the Red Sox finances well. The Red Sox know what kind of job Theo is capable of doing. On Oct. 31st they'll split the difference and Theo will get around 1.4 million. There's no reason to sign before the deadline for either side. They'll each see who blinks first.

By the way, I like this paragraph:

Public information on GM salaries is sketchy. The Sox were prepared to make Beane the highest-paid GM in baseball history, though the cerebral Beane, working under far greater payroll constraints in Oakland than Epstein, has yet to win a World Series. His team fell short of a playoff berth for the second straight season this year after four straight seasons in which the Athletics averaged 98 wins and won three division titles and a wild-card berth.

(Emphasis added.) I don't think of Beane as cerebral. Beane's a great salesman who knows the value of the goods he's trading. He's a smart guy, but he pays people around him to be cerebral.

Ken Macha is going to manage the Athletics after all.

The A's announced that the club reached a three-year agreement that will keep Macha under contract through the 2008 season.

Not much detail here as to what was keeping the sides apart or how they resovled the issue. Maybe Ken looked at the other jobs available and decided there's no place like home. Nick Swisher was happy Ken's coming back:

"It's good to have him back," right fielder Nick Swisher said in a phone interview from his home in West Virginia. "Macha's a great manager and he knows the game. I'm excited for next season to get started. Billy knows what he's doing. Just like everyone else in this organization, he's always going to push us in the right direction."

Without any winter moves, the roster should be pretty much the same, a young set of players a bit more mature. They should be getting better.

It's a bright day for Yankees pitching as Mel Stottlemyre resigns. Mel never saw a strikeout pitcher he liked. His philosophy was to induce ground balls. Not the kind of pitcher you want on the mound with the poor Yankees defense behind him. Maybe Joe Girardi will stick with the team as the new pitching coach.

Sam Perlozzo is in as the Orioles manager. What's more interesting, however, is the discussion of psychological testing, and how Beattie and Flanagan disagreed on its use:

Beattie denied that he and Flanagan had philosophical differences in running the team. But numerous team sources say that Beattie thought Dave Ritterpusch, the Orioles' director of baseball information and Flanagan's close friend, had been too heavy-handed in the decision-making. At issue is Ritterpusch's strong belief in psychological testing and quantitative analysis, a philosophy Flanagan has embraced, perhaps too much, according to some in the organization.

"I think it's a little unfair how much attention it's gotten," Flanagan said. "You're not doing your due diligence if you're not accumulating as much data as you can."

Beattie said the information he received from Ritterpusch was useful but said the practice of using such techniques to determine player transactions was "not well-defined" and not the only way to judge talent.

But several internal Orioles memos obtained by The Post show that Beattie did not stop the use of psychological tests to determine player signings, because, many close to the team say, of Flanagan's relationship with Ritterpusch and Angelos.

I'm very interested in seeing how this psychological testing pans out. It looks like with Flanagan in charge, they'll go full bore with the model.

Mike Flanagan is now in charge of the Baltimore Orioles. In making the move, Angelos channels Pee Wee Herman:

The change in front office leadership is basically what Angelos said he envisioned when he replaced Syd Thrift in December 2002 with what is now commonly referred to as the Orioles' two-headed general manager. At the time, Flanagan, a longtime consultant to Angelos and one of the winningest pitchers in team history, had no front office experience.

Beattie, a former general manager for the Montreal Expos, was hired to provide that expertise and effectively share the job with Flanagan - with the thought that Flanagan eventually would become the solitary GM.

"That was our original intent, and we made that fairly clear when Jim and Mike came on," Angelos said. "There's nothing different from that, except that it was disclosed."

So there will be very little change in the Orioles management, as Sam Perlozzo is likely to stay as well.

As expected, Jim Tracy is the new manager of the Pittsburgh Pirates.

With the Pirates, Tracy takes over a team coming off 13 consecutive losing seasons, three short of the major league record, and a 67-95 record but one that broke in a half-dozen promising rookies during the second half of this season, including left-handed starters Zach Duke (8-2, 1.81 ERA) and Paul Maholm (3-1, 2.18 ERA).

It's a good time to be taking over the Pirates. He has one of the premier hitters in the league in Jayson Bay, and a developing left-handed rotation. And it will be fun to compare the Pirates progress with the Dodgers over the next few seasons.

Why don't we hear or see stories about Bobby Cox getting fired when the Braves lose every year? Or how Chipper Jones isn't a true Brave when he bombs in the post-season? Or how if they didn't let Glavine and Maddux get away, the Braves would have won?

The searches for "Bobby Cox fired" yield stories of Cox talking about Hudson in game one.

"He was just too fired up, I think," Cox said of Hudson. "He was really wanting to pitch a shutout tonight, I think."

Hudson is obviously not a true Brave, either. Atlanta fans just don't know how to handle this whole losing thing. :-)

Update: Okay, Braves fans don't want Cox fired, they just want him to resign.

Update: I guess I didn't write this post well. Judging from the comments, people think that I'm calling for Cox to be fired. I'm really making fun of Yankees fans who go off the deep end everytime they lose a series. I though the comparison was obvious, but I guess not.

I do wonder, however, if the Braves should have another manager for the post-season. Maybe bring in a Billy Martin type for the month of October.

Their corpses are not even cold, and newspapers are speculating about the moves the Yankees will make in the off season. If there's any validity to their center field plans, don't look for much improvement:

Of course, the Yankees must pay Matsui and he likely will command more than $10 million per year. It seems like a lock they'll re-sign him. They'll also need a center fielder, and if they sign Boston free agent Johnny Damon, they'll have to pay around the same, which will cut into their payroll savings. Damon is 31 years old and could want a five-year contract.

They might fill center field by trading for Mike Cameron, if the Mets are willing. They might compete with the Red Sox there. Or they could explore whether free agent Brian Giles would fit. "There aren't a lot of center fielders out there," a Yankee bigwig said.

None of the options here are a young player. They need to replace Bernie with the next Bernie Williams, someone who will fill the role for the next 10 years. If the Yankees go for a player in his mid-30's, they'll just be going through the same thing every other year.

Here's an idea. Give the job to 21-year-old Melky Cabrera.
He's 21, and he'll make the minimum. It may take him a couple of years to develop, but it took Bernie three years before his OBA and Slugging were something to notice. Don't waste the money on someone who's likely to decline. Spending little money on someone who's likely to improve is a much better option.

Update: A good use of the money might be to sign Bernie as a player/coach. He could DH, spell outfielders, pinch hit and more importantly serve as a mentor to Cabrera and Cano.

It's a bad day on the I-95 corridor, as Jim Beattie was fired by the Orioles. It was noted earlier in the day that the Orioles were looking for a new GM.

Ed Wade is out as general manager of the Philadelphia Phillies.

"This was a very difficult decision. No one works harder than Ed, and he has served this organization extraordinarily well for over 16 years," Montgomery said. "At the same time, we have not been able to achieve the goals we have set for the Phillies. As a result, I believe we have reached a point where a change is necessary."

I thought Wade made some good moves early in his tenure, but the Scott Rolen debacle soured me on the man. In a way, hiring Larry Bowa led to Wade's downfall, as that appeared to be a big reason Rolen wanted to leave, and Bowa's inevitable firing made Ed unpopular.

Joe Girardi appears to be in demand as both Florida teams asked permission to talk with the Yankees bench coach about the manager's job.

I was very impressed by the job Joe Girardi did catching in Colorado, being the regular catcher the one year Colorado made the playoffs. It was the team's best year pitching. The Rockies usually have a terrible road ERA to go along with their high altitude ERA. But in 1995, they were great on the road, and Girardi deserves credit for that. It fell apart the next year when he moved to the Yankees. So if I'm looking for a manager that might be able to turn around a pitching staff, I'd take a long look at Joe.

It appears the Orioles front office is going to be rearranged. According to Mike Boehm at Orioles Magic, Baltimore is talking to Tim Wilkens and Jim Duquette. I wonder how the active GM's feel about this?

Greg Gagne wants the Dodgers to spend more money on better players.

"You need to add a 40-home-run guy and a guy who hits .310, that's two hitters," Gagne told The Los Angeles Times. "You need to re-sign Jeff Weaver, the innings he gives us are priceless.

"The Dodgers make money. The fans show up. You have to give back. As a business, you have to make money. But you have to take risk to make money and in baseball that means paying for players."

McCourt told The Times he was disappointed Gagne chose to go to the media rather than to him with concerns.

McCourt, however, emphasized to The Times he has authorized Dodgers general manager Paul DePodesta to spend what it takes to put a winning team on the field. The Times said DePodesta is in Italy for his sister's wedding and was unavailable for comment.

"We want to win as much as Eric Gagne does," McCourt told The Times. "We will spend what it takes to win. I've said it over and over and over again, so all our fans hear it loud and clear."

I like this attitude. If I'm an owner, I want players who desire to win at any cost. My problem is, didn't the Dodgers do that last season? It seemed to me that the players they brought in played well. Drew was good before he was hurt, Kent was fine all year and Lowe was better than I expected. And it's not like Beltre and Green lit the world on fire. I suspect some of this is sour grapes over Tracy leaving:

Gagne also said he isn't happy Tracy was let go.

"Tracy is a great man, a great manager and I thought we should have kept him," Gagne told the newspaper. "He built something here. Now they have to rebuild it. It doesn't happen overnight. Now, whoever comes in has to get to know everybody.

"We didn't lose because of Tracy."

Gagne should realize that DePodesta came from an organization that was pretty good at trading seemingly good closers for even better ones. Gagne may end up on another team sooner than he thinks.

Chuck Lamar is out as general manager of the Tampa Bay Devil Rays.

Stuart Sternberg is expected to take control of the Devil Rays today, ending Vince Naimoli's decade-long tenure as managing general partner of the franchise.

The immediate impact of Sternberg's takeover was felt Wednesday, when Rays general manager Chuck LaMar and several members of his staff were fired.

Given Tampa's poor record of acquiring and developing players, this move was long overdue. LaMar certainly was given time to try new ideas, but nothing seemed to work. With luck, this will be the start of a new and better era for Tampa Bay.

Thanks to Kirk Hoyer for the tip.

Peter Gammons just reported on Baseball Tonight that Ken Macha and the Athletics parted ways. The two sides were negotiating a new contract and were reported to be far apart. Gammons said Beane would not meet Macha's proposal, so the two broke up.

I'm not surprised Beane didn't budge. He knows the value of every player, and I'm sure he knows the value of every manager. If he's not going to pay a great player, he's not going to pay a manager.

I'm mixed on how good or bad a job Macha did. You might argue he got the more wins out of these teams than were expected. You might also argue that the A's choked the last three years; in 2003 to the Red Sox and the last two years to the Angels.

In the final analysis, the manager of Oakland doesn't matter that much. He just needs to implement the plan of the front office and offer leadership to the players. I still wish Beane would get someone who is as talented strategy-wise as Beane is wheeling and dealing.

The Ivy League infiltration of baseball front offices continues. John Hart retired from the Texas Rangers today. He'll be replaced by Jon Daniels, a 28-year-old Cornell graduate.

Hart, whose teams won six division titles and twice went to the World Series in his last seven years in Cleveland ending in 2001, will be replaced by Daniels, who at 28 years, 41 days, is about 10 months younger than Theo Epstein was when he became Boston's GM on Nov. 25, 2002. Daniels was promoted from assistant GM and Hart will remain a team consultant.

"He's got a truly brilliant mind, he's a walking baseball encyclopedia," Texas owner Tom Hicks said of Daniels. "I think his youth is an asset to us. ... I did my first leveraged buyout when I was about that age. Young people can kind of do things in this life."

Leveraged buyouts are probably easier than building a pitching staff in Texas. Hart was great at building offenses, but his pitching staff rarely came together. Cleveland was very good in 1995, but they were based on two veterans, Dennis Martinez and Orel Hershiser. He's never built a young, long term staff. It will be Daniels job to do better.

It looks like Jim Leyland will be the new manager of the Tigers. Detroit is going to hold a news conference this afternoon.

It's a good choice. And it's also a positive sign for the Tigers, as I don't think Jim would be going to Detroit unless he thought they were ready to win.

Jon Weisman's prediction from the other day came true last night as DePodesta and Jim Tracy decided to part ways. Jon has more Dodger Thoughts on the press conferences.

From what I can tell, the philosophical differences don't seem to be over on-base average or DIPS, but about keeping familiar players on the roster. From Weisman's prediction piece:

Tracy told the press that the only way you win a division title is with familiar faces on the team. That's the Jim Tracy Secret to Managerial Success. It's a fallacy, he told the Daily News, to think that a manager should mold together the talent he has been given.

What in the world else is left for you to do, Jim?

So what kind of manager will DePodesta hire as a replacement? The main attribute of the skippers hired by the Moneyball GMs is that they'll do what the front office tells them. They don't seem to go for the Earl Weaver/Whitey Herzog/Davey Johnson types that know what to do with players who get on base and/or hit for power. It seems the obvious combination to me and I'd love to see someone like DePodesta work with a smart manager.

The Detroit Tigers fired manager Alan Trammell today.

With a lineup and bullpen that seemed upgraded, the Tigers thought they had a chance to have a winning season in 2005. The Tigers were 42-44 at the All-Star break and 61-62 in late August before losing 29 of their last 39 games.

"You will not find a more dedicated, hardworking and respected individual that cares more about the Tigers and his coaching staff," Tigers president Dave Dombrowski said in a statement. "However, for the Tigers to reach the next level, I feel it is appropriate to make a change at this time."

On top of all that, there was a huge fall off in production from Ivan Rodriguez. How much of that can be blamed on the manager is unknown. Ivan lost a lot of weight over the off season, and his batting eye appeared to go with it. He drew only 11 walks and his OBA dropped nearly 100 points.

What finally ended Trammell's tenure was the poor performance by the team down the stretch. The Barbara Feldon Royals swept the Tigers and the team appeared to be going through the motions at that point. If they fought hard and lost, maybe Alan would still be the manager. Like Lloyd McClendon, I'd like to see what Trammell could do with a good team.

Jack McKeon called it quits today. Florida had a disappointing season, and Trader Jack took responsibility for that:

"The last couple of years I haven't had as much fun as I'd like," McKeon said. "Since I'm the leader, I'll take full responsibility for the poor year we had."

Here's a job Lou Piniella that ought to interest Lou Piniella. There's a solid core here that. Cabrera, Delgado, Willis and Beckett would be a great lead four on any team. Plus, it's close to home, which is why Lou wanted to move to Tampa in the first place. I would not be surprised to see Piniella in teal next season.

Lou Piniella is officially leaving the Devil Rays at the end of the season. There's plenty of opportunities for Lou with interim managers in Baltimore, Cincinnati and Pittsburgh. And the post-season firings haven't started.

With the Marlins winning just two of their last thirteen games to fall hopelessly out of the race, negatives undercurrents rising to the surface. A.J. Burnett got himself sent home and freed from a future with the team over comments about the negativity of the organization. Young superstar Miguel Cabrera got himself benched for being late for the job, and he lashed out as well.

Cabrera bristled at the prospect of a lecture.

"(Forget) the veterans," he said, momentarily breaking into English to deliver an expletive. "They haven't told me anything and they better not come tell me anything, either.

"I don't want to hear anything else. I want to play baseball, give what I have to give on the field of play, and win. That's all I want. . . .

"Everyone here is a grown man," he continued. "Everyone knows what he's doing. And I'm not going to go crazy worrying about these things."

Cabrera stopped, his indignation ebbing.

"Look, I just don't want to talk about it anymore. I'm sorry," he said. "Just leave that alone."

It seems there's plenty of blame to go around on both sides here. Burnett and Cabrera should be mature enough to realize what their jobs require of them, and perform them without complaint. If that means not getting positive feedback and showing up on time, so be it. Even players not eligible for arbitration or free agency are doing quite well.

Is the Marlins management not very good at managing people? To be where they are with Dontrelle Willis, Miguel Cabrera and Carlos Delgado putting up great numbers is a shame. The selfish acts by these two players indicate to me that this team isn't properly motivated. How much of their losing this season came from a lack of caring?

McKeon doesn't appear to be Larry Bowa. I don't hear about him yelling at players. He gave veterans Lowell and Pierre plenty of time (maybe too much) to work out of slumps.

I find this Fish season very puzzling without these problems. How much poor people management contributed will now be part of the review of 2005 in Miami.

ESPN has a report that Lou Piniella will not return to the Tampa Bay Devil Rays next year.

According to the Tribune, the Devil Rays will buy out the remaining year of Piniella's four-year deal. Piniella will receive $2.2 million of the $4.4 million he was to have received in 2006. The Rays will also pay $1.25 million in salary deferred from Piniella's first season in 2003.

Piniella, 62, will be free to take another managerial job next season, but has hinted he may take the season off, the Tribune reported.

When asked about his future by the Tribune, Piniella said only, "I can't talk about it."

I'm sure Lou will find another job. There are a number available, and given talent Piniella can direct his players to victory. Tampa Bay is the only team he's managed that wasn't well above .500.

Matt Welch is not impressed with Mike Scioscia's playing of useless veterans down the stretch.

This blurb:

Construction is finished and the new Major League Baseball Western Operations Office will be up and running at the Camelback Esplanade in Phoenix later this week.

Laurel Prieb, head of the new office, has hired Valerie Dietrich as his special assistant and office manager. Dietrich was Joe Garagiola Jr.'s former assistant with the Diamondbacks and worked with the National League offices in New York for five years during the 1990s.

Made me wonder what this western office is all about. Here's the story from the July 29th Arizona Republic:

"We're here to make the world smaller for teams in the Western divisions of the two majors leagues and to be more responsive than you can be from New York City," said Laurel Prieb, who heads the office.

Prieb, a longtime executive with the Milwaukee Brewers and son-in-law of Commissioner Bud Selig, has been shuttling to and from the Valley for months with his new duties, but only recently settled his family in Scottsdale.

"I've been out here since mid-February and I've had great dialogue with all the teams in the West working out of the Valley, but to finally have the physical office will certainly take things to a level where baseball should be in the Western region of the country," Prieb said.

Seems like a good idea, although truthfully, in the internet age it doesn't really matter where you're located. You just need to have someone awake in New York until 2 AM, which seems to be fairly common in that city. I wonder how much of this is driven by Bud needing to get his son-in-law a job since the family is out as owners of the Brewers. It seems that if you're going to have people with responsible positions in Arizona, why not just put Garagiola in charge there? Joe's was more successful at running a ballclub than Laurel.

Lloyd McClendon no longer manages the Pittsburgh Pirates.

When Lloyd McClendon was summoned to PNC Park on Tuesday morning for a meeting with Pirates general manager Dave Littlefield, he didn't think he was going to be fired. Like a lot of people, McClendon thought it might happen after the Pirates had played the final 26 games of their season. But not yesterday.

"You could say I was surprised," McClendon said.

With the Pirates spiraling toward a possible second 100-loss season in five years, Littlefield decided to make a managerial change, relieving McClendon of his duties and replacing him on an interim basis with bench coach Pete Mackanin.

Upper management is blaming it on a lack of player development:

Managing general partner Kevin McClatchy, who was actively involved in the search process that led to McClendon's hiring Oct. 23, 2000, agreed that a change was necessary. He didn't think McClendon was developing the team's core of young players.

"There was concern there," McClatchy said. "I'm disappointed in some of the lack of improvement. Dave wanted to make sure we had the right manager in place so these players could continue to improve."

It's always difficult to judge whether there's a lack of talent or a lack of coaching when youngsters don't improve. I like the way McClendon is concerned about pitch counts, both from the batter's and pitcher's perspective. Maybe his failure was convincing his players to these things. I'd also suggest McClendon is the type of manager who would do very well in a situation where the whole organization appreciates this approach. I hope he gets another chance to prove himself.

The New York Mets are busy purging their scouting department.

Unhappy with the production from their farm system, the Mets quietly conducted a purge of their organization over the past two days. Vice President Gary LaRocque, who joined the organization in 1997 and oversaw the minor leagues and draft during his tenure, was the highest-ranking employee to take a hit, though he likely will remain in some scouting capacity, deputy GM Jim Duquette said. The Mets have fired or demoted at least nine other members of the scouting department.

"It's still ongoing, so I don't have a number for you," Duquette said. "But there have been a fair amount of scouts fired or reassigned on the amateur side."

You would think that an organization that produced David Wright, Jae Seo and Jose Reyes would be fairly happy with their scouting department. There's a good case it's not the scouts' fault:

One person intimately familiar with the team's inner workings pointed to the number of draft picks the Mets have forfeited in recent years in order to sign free agents. The Mets had no first-round pick in 1999 and no second- and third-round picks in 2002 (for signing David Weathers and Roger Cede�o), '03 (Cliff Floyd and Tom Glavine) and '05 (Pedro Martinez and Carlos Beltran).

In 2001, the year the Mets had a rare extra pick after Mike Hampton signed with the Rockies, they used it to draft Wright 38th overall. Meanwhile, the Braves were compiling extra picks for losing free agents.

The Braves and the Athletics realize the value of the compensation picks, which is why both teams are willing to let players go. They can save money in the long run by stocking their minor league systems with the extra picks. Players on reserve make a lot less money than veteran free agents.

Jim Bowden let the Washington Nationals have it after the loss today.

Bowden issued a challenge to his players, noting that rosters can be expanded Thursday.

"They all know by the last game in Atlanta there's going to be enough choices for Frank that he doesn't have to play any of them if he doesn't want to," Bowden said.

"Be a man, wake up and do some damage or guess what? After that, Frank can do whatever he can do. By the time it gets to Thursday, they're not hitting, he might as well put other people in there. There's a lot of guys who can score no runs a game."

(Emphasis mine.) My roommates and I used to joke that we could play shortstop badly for a few million dollars a year. Looks like Bowden has heard that joke.

Jack McKeon moved Miguel Cabrera is replacing Mike Lowell at third for the Marlins. Jeff Conine moves to left to replace Mike in the batting order. Conine's power is pretty much gone, but he's doing an excellent job of getting on base. With Castillo injured, Conine is batting 2nd.

I like this move. Much as I like Mike Lowell, he was given ample opportunity to break out of his slump. The cost in defense if likely worth the boost in offense. Now, if they just move Pierre out of the leadoff spot when Castillo comes back...

Don Surber looks at baseball payrolls and standings and extracts three lessons. I like this one:

Lesson No. 1 is: Spending a lot is not as big a factor as spending too little.

There are many different ways to win in baseball. Young quality players are cheaper than old quality players. That's how the Twins and Athletics keep winning, and the Indians and Blue Jays seem to be on that track as well.

(Hat tip Instapundit)

It looks like the advertising industry is having it's own Moneyball vs. Scouts battle.

Dave Campbell of the AP reflects on Carl Pohlad's 90th birthday tomorrow.

But Pohlad, a billionaire who built his fortune in banking and bought the club in 1984, has always believed in the people he pays to run the front office, scout for talent, make decisions in the dugout and take the field.

"He's never been one to micromanage," Ryan said. "Yet he's about as competitive a guy as I've seen."

Pohlad seems to be the anti-Gene Autry. Gene spent lots of money trying to win with the Angels, but his baseball people were never able to deliver a winner. Part of it was Autry's insistence on getting stars. The problem was that the stars were usually past their prime. Pohlad has good baseball people running his club. It seems that an extra $10 million dollars could go a long way to making the Twins a winner. At some point, maybe Pohlad decides he wants another championship before he dies and opens up the purse strings.

Paul Snyder became the newest member of the Braves Hall of Fame over the weekend. He's he scout that's most responsible for the talent that kept the Braves on top of their divisions for so many years. Of course, the article has to mention Moneyball.

In this �Moneyball� era, where some clubs have begun to place statistical analysis over the word of scouts in the field, Snyder describes the traditionalist value of the trained and experienced eye. He took part in some seminal moments that redirected the Braves.

Here's an example:

Snyder went to Curacao to watch a 15-year-old Andruw Jones and experienced a transcendent moment, when the kid sprinted around first before skidding to halt. Snyder could not rid himself of the image � �Oh, my God, that looks like Roberto Clemente!� � jamming his spikes to the same abrupt stop.

Both Snyder and statistical analysis GMs are trying to solve pattern recognition problems. They analyze data, compare it to data from the past, and based on those comparisons try to predict the future. There are situations where people do this just as well if not better than a computer. There's a passage in Juicing the Game describing how Barry Bonds wowed his all-star teammates one year by calling the type of each pitch as it left the pitcher's hand. Wayne Gretsky could stand behind his team's net, see how the players were arranged on the ice and know where to skate and where to pass to score a goal. People can be very good at these problems.

What we don't know about Snyder, however, is his failure rate. Gretsky and Bonds reside at the pinnacles of their sports. We can measure their pattern recognition success. What this article doesn't tell us is how many time he saw someone who looked like Clemente that turned out to be a dud. I'm willing to bet, however, that John Schuerholz does know the answer, and that's why Snyder received this honor.

According to Evan Brunell, there are calls to fire Terry Francona. I find that amazing. Evan breaks down the arguments and believes Terry should be praised, not fired.

My guess is that as long as Terry sticks with upper management's game plan, he's not going to be fired. That, after all, was Grady Little's biggest flaw. Francona handled the Manny situation well. The Red Sox are in first place. They're playing better than their Pythagorean projection. The idea that they would be better with someone else has little validity.

Rob Parker of the Detroit News lays the blame for the Tigers' season at the feet of Alan Trammell:

When Trammell was hired, he promised that the Tigers would play a better brand of baseball, that they would play sound fundamentals and better defense. It just hasn't been the case.

The Tigers, who led the AL in errors the previous two seasons, are still near the bottom this season.

If the Tigers don't finish strong and get to .500, Trammell will be sent packing. After all, Trammell would have had three years to make this team better. And since the roster has improved dramatically since he first took over, the only place to find blame is with Trammell himself.

Parker, however, overestimates the strength of the Detroit offense by using batting average as the measure. They're fifth in batting average, but tied for 10th in runs per game in the AL. That's not a good offense.

Correction: I forgot the link.

The Dallas Morning News looks at the options the Rangers have with Alfonso Soriano over the off season. I thought this was a bit funny:

Keep him: Given the dearth of pitching, perhaps the easiest way to make the Rangers better for next year is to keep every offensive weapon they have in case they have to try and outscore opponents again.

While grammar mavens are recoiling from the "try and" construction, I'm wondering when in the past the Rangers won games by not trying to outscore their opponents?

Brian Hipp writes:

I remember a post you made last season criticizing Joe Torre for simply inserting a star's replacement into the same lineup spot as the sitting star. I think you wrote something like "This is managing?"

Well, I some dude named Roberto Petagine (309 career ABs) is playing for ManRam today, and he's hitting clean-up. In the first, Carrasco walked two guys but Petagine hit into an inning-ending double play. In the third, Renteria doubled in a run, advanced to third on a wild pitch, Oritz walked, and Petagine hit a weak grounder to second to end the inning.

It seems that this is an instance in which a managerial decision directly affect a team's chances of winning. Why not hit Varitek fourth? Are today's players so mentally fragile that batting in a different spot in the lineup will make them forget how to hit?

Silly. Go Royals.

It is indeed silly. But I hear from players that they want to know their role on the team, and for some reason the role of each batting slot is different than every other batting slot. I always thought the point of every plate appearance was to get on base.

Of course, given the strength of the Red Sox offense, Francona could randomly pull names from a hat and do okay. Right now, the Red Sox are up 10-7 in the seventh. If they lose this game, it will be the fault of the pitching, not the lineup.

There have been 15 walks issued in this game so far, five my Matt Clement in five innings. It's good to see Matt back on the mound, but with all the head injuries the Red Sox have received in the field, maybe they all should start wearing helmets like the catchers.

Lee Mazzilli is gone as the manager of the Orioles.

The Orioles have made bench coach Sam Perlozzo the interim manager for the remainder of the season.

The announcement was made just two hours before Baltimore's game at Anaheim.

I thought something like this might happen if the Orioles got in trouble, as Lee didn't seem to have the players behind him. One thing Mazzilli appears not to have learned from Joe Torre is how to manage people.

Joe Garagiola Jr. accepted a job with Major League Baseball today, becoming vice president of baseball operations. He takes over the job vacated by Sandy Alderson.

"To me, Joe has been the heart and soul of the Diamondback franchise," general partner Ken Kendrick told The Associated Press from his summer home in Aspen, Colo. "He signed on as general manager before there was a team and he's been a force in the organization ever since."

Kendrick said the MLB appointment "speaks very well of who he is. He is an absolute first-class person."

It looks like Joe Garagiola will be moving to Major League Baseball.

Diamondbacks General Partner Jeff Moorad, traveling with the team, said Friday the club was not in position to confirm or deny that Garagiola has already been hired by MLB, along with Mike Port, vice president of the Boston Red Sox.

Garagiola is said to be moving into a senior vice president position, which was created when Sandy Alderson left MLB earlier this season to help run the San Diego Padres. Garagiola's move, widely speculated for weeks, was reported by several sources Friday.

Given the way the Padres are playing, I bet Alderson wishes he had stayed. :-)

I find Garagiola a very interesting study as a general manager. He's been with the DBacks since the beginning. He got them to a World Championship as fast as any expansion team. He has a talent for taking a veteran player that seems to be going nowhere and getting some good out of him. Who would have thought a 29 year old Luis Gonzalez had his best seasons in front of him? Or that Steve Finley, 34 and coming off the worst season of his career would still be playing today? He was smart enough to bring in Johnson and Schilling, two pitchers great enough to handle a hitter's haven in Bank One Ballpark.

Not everything worked, of course. The trade for Sexson was a disaster. But the DBacks recovered quickly and are once again in contention for the NL West. He turned Randy Johnson into two good young pitchers and picked up the G-Men to solidify the offense.

He's had a very good run as a GM (especially compared to his counterpart in Tampa Bay). I hope he does as well with major league baseball.

Frank Robinson doesn't usually make out the Washington lineup card. He leaves it to coach Eddie Rodriguez who loves working with numbers and computers.

The numbers dance for Rodriguez. He sees them when he drives home from the ballpark. He twists them around in his sleep, looking for an elusive, never-discovered combination. Then, after a fitful rest, he rises with the morning sun, pours a cup of coffee, tears open the paper and begins the daylong process of trying to make the Nationals' offense come to life.

There is honesty in the numbers, and Rodriguez plays them well.

It's a nice example of a manager delegating authority to someone who may be stronger at the task.

Yard Work brings on Seymour Hersh to uncover a 30-year conspiracy to prevent pitchers from winning 20 games. Part 1 is here, and links lead to parts two, three and four.

For years I thought the lack of 20 game winners was due to the constant decrease in the the work load for starters over time. Little did I know that it was all Gene Autry's fault!

The Baseball Crank shares his ideas on how the Mets should approach the trading deadline.

As a result, perhaps the best posture for the Mets entering the deadline is to listen to offers - I wouldn't hesitate to deal any of those three guys - but not feel the need to trade them. In other words, rather than letting the desire to win now panic you, use it to convince people they need to make it worth your while to drop out of the race.

I remember hearing once that if two Samuri faced off against each other, the first one to move lost. (I can't vouch for the accuracy of that statement. I think I heard it on thirtysomething.) It's time for the Mets to be the Samuri that doesn't move.

When my wife was pregnant, the doctors told her to drink a lot of water. If she was thirsty, they said, she was already in distress. The idea was to prevent thirst and dehydration by constantly drinking.

Billy Beane makes a similar point in this article about the Athletics resurgence:

"If you're sitting around watching your team struggle and decide that you have to rebuild, it's too late, you have to be preemptive,'' Beane said. "It's possible that this year we've clipped off a year or two in our rebuilding.''

If you allow yourself to become thirsty for young talent, it's too late. You end up like the Yankees, needing to rebuild but having no materials available.

The Yankees brass conducted their big meeting this afternoon, but nothing much was released to the public. There was a little excitement during the meeting, however:

A lightning bolt from a strong thunderstorm struck the roof at Legends Field while the meeting was taking place. The strike impacted some electrical systems at the Yankees' spring training park.

Was someone sending George a message? :-)

Murray Chass of the New York Times reports a change in the attitude of the Yankees upper management toward Joe Torre's asssessment of the team:

A couple of weeks ago, in a conference call, Steinbrenner asked Torre if there was anything he needed to help get the team going, and Torre said the team would be O.K. The front office accepted Torre's answer then but doesn't now.

As Chass points out, there's not much they can do internally, however:

The Yankees brain trusts in New York and Tampa are not satisfied with the effort of some of their high-priced players, though no one will identify any of them, and are poised to make changes, if only they could figure out what to change. What they can't do is bolster the team from within, from the ranks of minor leaguers.

They tried that route when their $64 million rotation was wracked with injuries, many of them predictable given the healthy history of some of the starters, and they needed a replacement. They got Sean Henn, who in three losing starts has allowed 11.12 earned runs and 23 base runners per nine innings and a .360 opponents' batting average.

Henn, a 24-year-old left-hander, was presumably the best pitcher the Yankees had in their system because this wasn't a time for tryouts. But after Henn's last start, against the Mets on Saturday, the Yankees conceded that he wasn't ready for the major leagues.

Needing outfield help, the Yankees yesterday summoned Kevin Reese, a 27-year-old minor leaguer who wasn't even on their 40-man roster. If Henn and Reese are the best the Yankees had in their system, why haven't they developed anyone better?

The development question does not fall on Torre's shoulders. Joe was given a good team this year. This may be the first time in his tenure that he wasn't given a great team. So far, Torre hasn't managed them to perform above their abilities. You can choose your favorite culprit for the farm system, but in the end it's the desire to win everything now that drives the Yankees to deplete the youngsters and get old. Contrast this with the Braves, who don't win the World Series often, but slowly and steadily bring along talent from their minors that gives them a chance to win every year. Even with all their injuries to key personnel, the Braves are leading the wild card in the NL and only three games back in the division.

It's posts like this that make me believe that Dan O'Brien won't be far behind Dave Miley on his way out of Cincinnati.

The Cincinnati Reds fired Dave Miley today. This doesn't come as a surprise:

Earlier this month, Reds chief operating officer John Allen traveled to Denver to meet with Miley. Allen called the Reds' performance "unacceptable" and hinted that changes could be made if there was no improvement.

The Reds went 5-9 after Allen's remarks. Cincinnati has already had four straight below-.500 years -- its longest such streak since 1945-55 -- and has not reached the playoffs since 1995.

There were really no excuses this season. The offense is as healthy as it's ever been. The pitching is horrible, and Gullett and Miley did not turn it around. One could argue that the off-season signings weren't the best, but the axe fell on the manager rather than the GM.

Jerry Narron takes over on a interim basis. Until they find a staff that can pitch, however, they're not likely to get a lot better.

WasWatching makes the Yankees payroll seem reasonable.

It looks like Lou Piniella wants to get fired from his job in Tampa Bay.

The former Yankees, Reds and Mariners manager suggested he is tiring of constantly giving excuses for the Devil Rays' poor play. Their 20-42 record going into Sunday's games was the worst in the majors.

"I'm not going to take responsibility for this," Piniella said in pregame remarks to reporters. "If I had been given a $40 million or $45 million payroll, I'd stand up like a man and say it's my fault. Well, I'm not going to do it. So if you want answers about what's going on here, you call the new ownership group and let them give them to you."

Lou wants to win now. He's in his third year, and after a season of improvement in 2004 Lou doesn't want to slip backwards.

I happen to agree withe the new management group on this. The DRays were not building with the kind of hitters who are going to make a difference. Their youngsters tend to hit well but not get on base well. Until they change that philosophy, they're not going to win at all.

It seems a few players are not happy with Jack McKeon.

This season, as the Marlins have underachieved, no players have gone out of their way to bring their displeasures to my attention.

But after asking the same questions over and over � about a lack of timely hitting, about poor fundamentals � a different question brought some issues to light: Could Jack McKeon be part of the problem? That's when some players � certainly not a fair representation of the overall mood � opened up a bit.

They suggested the manager's abrasive approach might be making the players and staff uncomfortable and affecting their abilities to perform to their potential.

Three seasons appears to be about the limit on a McKeon tenure. In three of his four jobs, McKeon's best winning percentage came in his first year as a manager. Different managers have different abilities. Maybe if you have a team that's on the cusp of winning, Jack's the man to drive them to a winning record. But when a team is fading, McKeon is not the man you want to be around.

It looks like there's going to be a shake up in Cincinnati. Red Reporter has the details, including this quote from Reds COO John Allen:

Asked why he was in Denver instead of general manager Dan O'Brien, he said, "Dan is just a notch above the food chain, while everybody knows I represent Mr. Lindner and ownership and we want it known it goes all the way to the top that we're concerned."

It looks like Steinbrenner isn't the only owner who knows how to rattle his team.

Eddie Murray lost his job as the Indians hitting coach yesterday.

The move did not come as a huge surprise. Murray is not known to seek out players to offer advice unless they come to him and ask.

"I'm not going to get into specifics in terms of our relationship. I've got a tremendous amount of respect for Eddie," Wedge said. "This isn't about anything today or the last couple of weeks. It's more of a long-term decision."

General manger Mark Shapiro said the decision was a difficult one.

"It's a tough one for me as a leader," he said. "Because anytime you have to make a change, it's a leadership failure.

I'm sure Eddie's style worked for some players. I wonder if Murray was asked to be more pro-active with the team and couldn't do it. He was a great batter, and should have a lot to teach young hitters.

Dave Miley's days in Cincinnati may be numbered. His players aren't afraid to criticize him to the press. He kept Griffey and Dunn out of the lineup against Jeff Francis yesterday, and neither liked it.

"I came to the park early, all happy and smiling after a day off, ready to take some extra hitting," Griffey said. "Dunn said, 'Why are you so happy? You're not in the lineup and neither am I.' "

Griffey visited Miley's office to lobby for his spot, but Miley wouldn't budge. Dunn didn't try.

"I had a day off Thursday and don't need (another one), but I can't say anything because I suck," he said.

This is one of those times when a player should say, "I want to play, but it's the skipper's decision," and leave it at that. The fact that both would talk negatively to the press about it shows a lack of respect for Miley. That's never a good sign.

Redleg Nation is drawing the same conclusion.

Joe Torre is always the diplomat:

Torre said it has become an increasingly rare occurrence in recent seasons for The Boss to include him in such discussions, but this was a rare situation.

"It's happened a number of times, but not in recent times," Torre said Friday before the Yankees opened a three-game series against the Minnesota Twins. "This was sticking to why we're having a tough time. All of the same questions I ask myself.

"He was unhappy. If I tried to tell you anything other than that, you'd be questioning if I was telling you the truth, and I'm not going to lie to you," Torre added.

Of course, this is one of the reasons the Yankees keep winning over the years:

As soon as he heard about the call, Torre knew it wasn't going to be a pleasant conversation. Torre has gotten used to outbursts from Steinbrenner during his 10 years in New York. When the Yankees are winning, their owner wants them to win bigger; when they are losing, look out.

"It's a long season and George isn't a very patient man and we understand that," Torre said. "In dealing with George, when you lose and you're supposed to be winning, it's not a happy time. But when you win, he's constantly driving you to improve, so the tone doesn't change much."

Torre did say he hoped Steinbrenner, who has a reputation for firing employees in a heartbeat, would exercise a little bit of restraint and keep his staff intact while it tries to right the ship.

I'm going to disagree with Joe on that last bit. It's quite possible that the Yankees do need a shakeup. Has Mattingly been that great a hitting coach? Mel Stottlemyre certainly hasn't turned any careers in the right direction. I appreciate Joe's loyalty, but maybe he doesn't have the best people on his bench. I'd actually like to see Girardi given a chance at pitching coach. He got a lot out of a pitching staff as a catcher. Maybe he could do the same in the bullpen.

Laura Vecsey echoes a comment to this post. Vecsey writes:

But something else was lost yesterday at Fenway. Something maybe smaller, or maybe bigger, depending on what happens down the line between Mazzilli and his team.

Once again, Mazzilli decided against arguing a call, just like the time he didn't bother to argue a suspect balk called against Kline last month.

Once again, it left open the door for some players to wonder if it's really all about Mazzilli's "low-key" style that he hasn't argued or been thrown out of a game yet, or whether he's got the back of only a handful of star players.

Once again, a scenario presents itself that leaves some players to wonder: Are the Orioles doing what they're doing, winning, despite their manager?

Maybe Lee needs to attend classes here.

I can understand players wanting their manager to back them up. However, arguing is pretty useless in general. It's very seldom that a call gets overturned. It's possible that Mazzilli is saving it for when it's really needed so it's most effective. When Lee does come out to argue a call, the ump will think, "Lee doesn't argue, I really must have blown it." That's just my guess.

Ben in the comments makes a more important point:

Two games in this series, Sal Fasano came to the plate in a crucial spot in late innings with runners in scoring position. There's a reason Sal Fasano is a 32-year-old, fat journeyman catcher -- he's no good. Both times, Fasano killed the rally. Does Mazzilli even consider pinch hitting for him? An injured Brian Roberts, Jeff Fiorentino or Geronimo Gil are much more enticing options at that point. The O's have left a ton of guys on base this season, and Mazzilli's lack of tactics sure don't help.

In the top of the eighth yesterday, Foulke came in and gave up a single to Chris Gomez. I turned to my nephew and said, "That's okay, ow Foulke gets to pitch to the worst hitter on the team." Another reason to carry fewer pitchers; that way you can have someone pinch hit for players like Sal.

The Giants extended Felipe Alou's contract through the 2006 season, with an option for 2007. I guess they think he makes the players on the team feel young.

Billy Beane on the Athletics losing streak:

"Temporary irrationality aside, I think this is the kind of situation where I need to be very rational,'' Beane said, subduing the impression left by his flushed cheeks.

The Kansas City Royals hired Buddy Bell as their new manager today.

The 53-year-old Bell managed at Detroit from 1996-98 and Colorado in 2000-2002, compiling a record of 345-462. He is the first Royals manager in about two decades with previous experience as a major league skipper - something owner David Glass insisted upon after Tony Pena resigned May 10 to help guide the young club.

"I think it's critically important at this stage of our development," Glass said Tuesday. "We haven't hired an experienced major league manager since Dick Howser."

Of course, it would be nice if the experience included a winning record. This is Bell's third job, and all were with poor clubs. The Tigers improved a great deal in his 2nd year with them, but still did not have a winning record. His only finish over .500 was in his first year with Colorado, when the team went 82-80.

Bell has not shown the ability to get a poor team winning. Maybe the third time's the charm.

Update: With a little more research, a clearer picture of Buddy Bell comes into view. He's a bunt and run man. In his two full seasons with the Tigers, he was 2nd in the AL in Sac Hits + Caught Stealing, or outs invested in one run strategies. I can understand that, since despite playing in a power hitter's park, the Tigers were 12th in total bases over that time. But he shows the same thing in Colorado. In his two full seasons with the Rockies, the team was 2nd in the NL in Sac Hits + Caught Stealing, despite having the most total bases in the NL during that time period. He likes to give outs away, especially via the caught stealing. He's doesn't appear to be a good judge of when to send base runners.

Update: Fixed a typo.

What would Branch Rickey do?

Roch Kubatko of the Baltimore Sun looks at how the Orioles personnel have changed since the departure of Mike Hargrove.

Hargrove remembers everything being so different in his four seasons as Orioles manager, a tenure that ended in 2003 after another fourth-place finish. He remembers ground balls rolling between Tony Batista and Deivi Cruz on the left side of the infield, Rule 5 pick Jose Morban, a raw Single-A shortstop, serving as the designated hitter four times in six games, minor league third baseman Jose Leon playing first, Brook Fordyce catching, Jack Cust trying to run the bases, Damian Moss posing as a starting pitcher.

None remains in the organization.

Neither does Hargrove.

In the first of a two part series in the Boston Herald, the Red Sox explain how they train their hitters as they come up through the minors:

The Red Sox want the hitters to know the pitcher, to know what he throws on certain counts and where he likes to throw it. If they get the pitch they're looking for, they are going to put a good swing on it and if they do not get the pitch, they will remain selective and try to wait for it. And with two strikes, Red Sox hitters will know that rather than giving up, it is time to bear down. Expand the strike zone some but do not concede the at-bat. They have already seen the score, and know how many outs there and how many runners are on the bases. The situation determines what they have to do, whether it is get on base, knock in runners or move them along. That is the plan. Executing the plan will determine the players' rise or fall within the Red Sox system.

It sounds like the ghost of Ted Williams is roving the Red Sox minor leagues. Actually, it's Orv Franchuk:

``When players first start with us, it's almost like they think the philosophy means you need to take pitches and you need to walk,'' Red Sox minor league hitting coordinator Orv Franchuk said. ``To us, that is just a byproduct of our system. If you're selective, the on-base percentage and the walks are going to be there. But for me, the whole thing boils down to the batter being aggressive and the batter getting on base.

``When you get on base,'' the former Oakland A's [stats, schedule] roving instructor added, ``you're going to score runs and when you score runs, you're going to win ballgames.''

I love the plan. The question is can they find the talented players who can learn and execute what's desired?

Joe Starkey has some positive comments about Pirates GM Dave Littlefield.

More to Littlefield's credit, he said when he arrived that he would stock the organization with pitching. He has. The Pirates own a wealth of talented, young left-handers (Perez, Sean Burnett, Zach Duke, Tom Gorzelanny, Paul Maholm), which are akin to gold nuggets in the baseball world.

We need to see more moves like the trade that brought in Bay and Perez, and a little less of the stop gap one-year players.

I was just looking at the standings and wondering how long Tony Pena was going to last when I see that he has resigned as manager of the Royals.

Bench coach Bob Schaefer, 60, will replace Pena on an interim basis in the first managerial change in the majors this season. Schaefer also managed the Royals for one game on an interim basis in 1991 between the firing of John Wathan and the hiring of Hal McRae.

General manager Allard Baird said a permanent replacement would be found as quickly as possible.

"We'll take as long as we need to hire a new manager," Baird said. "The timetable to fill this position is secondary to finding the right individual to manage this ballclub."

The Royals were 2nd to last in runs scored and ERA in the AL. That's a deadly combination for any team. Pena's a good cheerleader, and his enthusiasm led to a good finish by the Royals in his first full season with the team. Compared to other AL managers, he doesn't use his roster much during a game. During the 2004 season, he used the fewest pinch hitters per game and made very few defensive replacements. He also had a low platoon percentage, according to the The Bill James Handbook 2005.

Will it make a difference? Look at how the KC lineup has performed by slot. With five slots having OBA's under .300 (way under .300) it's hard to see how you can rearrange things to score more runs. Defensively, the team falls apart with men on base. Opponents are slugging .500 with men on base, .349 with none on. The Royals are giving up the long hits exactly when they do the most damage. Whoever is hired for this postion will not have an easy job ahead of him.

Looks like the Giants have a new theme song:

Aaahh Freak out! Le Freak, C'est Chic Freak out!

It seems Bonds is being investigated by MLB. As if he needs someone else looking at his life.

Update: From the comments:

ESPN's Pedro Gomez reported on Sunday Night Baseball that MLB is not conducting an investigation into Bonds' tax problems, but is simply monitoring the progress of the Federal investigation - no surprise there. As usual, the NY Daily News proves to be a font of misinformation, complete with an unnamed, unaccountable source from "another club."

At this point, maybe MLB should be looking into the matter. If nothing else, this is a good object lesson in how a team should not handle a star player.

MLB security officials are convinced that Bonds may be at risk of imprisonment over allegations of tax fraud, and are conducting their own probe into Bonds' relationships and activities. One official from another club said the San Francisco Giants' front office "is starting to freak out" over Bonds' mounting problems.

Between his knees and legal problems, Bonds may not get to the record. It's difficult to hit a ball into the bay if you're in jail.

Jason Rennie passes on this fascinating study at Sabernomics. By comparing pitching results in Questec and non-Questec parks, Sabernomics shows that La Russa's appears to be very influential with the umps. In other words, in parks where the umps are not being judged by a machine, the Cardinals pitchers gain an advantage which Sabernomics is attributing to La Russa's ability to argue with umpires.

Mike Veeck wants the Baltimore Orioles to fight for the Washington fans.

"The first thing I'd do is start a range war with the Nationals," said Veeck, laughing. "I'd start doing advertising in their back yard. I'd go directly after them."

Orioles promotions outside RFK Stadium, flyover banners (homeland security issues aside), billboards - very little would be out-of-bounds in Veeck's border war.

"I'd have a night at Camden Yards honoring the surviving members of the Senators teams - Mickey Vernon, Roy Sievers, Frank Howard. I'd have conversion night where you turn in your Nationals cap, you've seen the error of your ways, and I'd give you a ticket to the Orioles," Veeck said, clearly warming to the task. "Hey, the Nationals don't have an owner yet? I'd have a 'I want to own the Nationals, too' contest, and give out stock certificates.

The Orioles better hope that Veeck doesn't become owner of the Nationals.

U.S.S. Mariner has a link to an interesting article on the Mariners scouting organization.

Jay Jaffe has an excellent post on the problems Mel Stottlemyre brings to a pitching staff. Here's a quote from one of his sources:

..."Mel had this thing about strikeouts," said Ed Hearn, the Mets' backup catcher in 1986. "He wanted Ron [Darling] to throw more breaking stuff. He did, and he was never quite as good afterward as he was in '86."

Mel thought the Mets pitchers were striking out too many batters. As we now know, striking out lots of batters is a really good thing to do. Mel had it backwards with the Mets, and it's not clear that anything has changed.

Bleed Cubbie Blue links to an article on Dusty Baker's lack of use of young players.

When Dusty Baker took over as manager of the Cubs, he protested the �bad rap� he got in San Francisco for not �liking� young players.

Baker even said he wished he had a whole team of young players.

The Cubs don�t have a whole team full of young players, but they have had one of the most productive farm systems in baseball.

So has Baker beaten the rap? Hardly.

Baker has a perfect opportunity to work a pair of youngsters into important everyday situations, but he just won�t pull the trigger.

As veteran left fielder Todd Hollandsworth has struggled in the early going, Baker stubbornly refuses to give rookie Jason Dubois much more than a sip at a time.

The Cubs management could make it difficult for Dusty to use veterans by not signing them.

This just made me laugh out loud. :-)

John Perricone uses Micheal Lewis' NY Times Magazine article as a starting point to criticize Brian Sabean's 2005 construction of the Giants.

A team that a year ago was plagued by poor relief pitching and grounding into double plays got older, and slower, replaced one single guy in the bullpen, and is now plagued by poor relief pitching and grounding into double plays.

Former speedster Marquis Grissom is tied for 2nd the ML in grounding into double plays. No wonder they lead the NL with 22 team GDPs.

When do you start believing a trend is more than a trend? When do you start believing a player or a team has some intrinsic ability to accomplish a feat?

The White Sox are off to a 9-1 start in one-run games (they're 6-3 otherwise, still very, very good). But last year they also did very well in one-run games, going 28-18, 2nd in the AL behind the Oakland Athletics (33-19). That makes them 37-19 in the closest of games under the guidence of Ozzie Guillen, a .661 winning percentage.

We're very close to this not being just luck. It all depends on what you think the White Sox intrinsic winning percentage is. One can argue that in one run games the winning percentage of any team should be close to .500. In games that close, the teams are by definition evenly matched, and the contest can turn on a bad hop or a single mistake by a pitcher (see Joe Blanton last night). If teams should play .500 in one run games, then we would expect the White Sox to win between 21 and 35 games given 56 opportunities (the 95% confidence interval).

If instead, we base it on the White Sox 2004-2005 combined winning percentage, .541, we get a 95% confidence interval of 23 to 38 wins. The White Sox are in this interval, but very close to the high end.

A better way to get a team's intrinsic winning percentage over this period is to figure what their winning percentage should be based on their runs scored and runs allowed. The White Sox under Guillen have scored 951 runs and allowed 895. That works out to be a winning percentage of .530 under Bill James, Pythagorean Formula. At .530, the 95% confidence interval is 22 to 37 wins in 56 games. Guillen's right at the top.

At this point the White Sox record in one-run games sits on the fine line between luck and skill. I had my doubts about Ozzie Guillen's skill as a manager when he took the job; I have to give him lots of credit for the success so far.

Michael Lewis, the author of Moneyball, has an excellent piece in today's NY Times magazine. It's about how the quest for power can corrupt players, moving them from what they do well (getting on base, hitting to the opposite field), to what they do poorly (small players trying to hit for power).

It's one of the best written articles on baseball I've read all year. It's long but it's more that worth the read. At the heart of the story is the idea that power hitting can be learned. I have a copy of a study by Sig Mejdal, a NASA biomathematician. Sig was able to discern the effects of age and experience on offensive stats. Sig's work shows that players reach peak HR age at 27. But experience (how long you've been in the majors), keeps adding to a player's ability to hit home runs, even after ten years. So maybe we shouldn't be so surprised about Roberts and Belliard. Maybe baseball should just let good hitters develop, and see if the home runs come with time.

Make sure you look at the picture of Steve Stanley. Take a good look at the size of his arms. Here's a person who's never used steroids, and look at the size of his muscles. He's a 5' 7" monster. Looks to me like you can grow a lot of muscle with a good exercise regimen.

Sandy Alderson is moving from the MLB front office to the San Diego Padres front office:

Sandy Alderson, one of Major League Baseball's top executives, has been hired as CEO of the San Diego Padres.

The hiring will be announced Tuesday, a Padres official, speaking on condition of anonymity, told The Associated Press on Monday night.

Alderson, who signed a five-year contract with the Padres, immediately will leave his post as executive vice president for baseball operations in the commissioner's office, a post he's held since September 1998, MLB.com reported.

Alderson is expected to be in charge of baseball operations with the Padres, who haven't been to the playoffs since 1998, when they were swept by the New York Yankees in the World Series. Dick Freeman, currently the president and CEO, will remain as president.

There's no mention of Towers in the article, so I assume he's staying on as GM. Alderson and Towers should make a very potent front office duo.

I'm wondering if someone will bring up the steroid issue at the press conference. Alderson was in charge of security for MLB, yet he had players using steroids under his nose while GM for the Athletics. I wonder if that's part of the reason he's leaving MLB.

Update: There also is a new Pope for real. Now the Cardinals can go back to concentrating on baseball. :-)

Statements like this are why the Yankees keep winning:

"Enough is enough. I am bitterly disappointed as I'm sure all Yankee fans are by the lack of performance by our team," Steinbrenner said in a statement issued immediately after the game.

"It is unbelievable to me that the highest-paid team in baseball would start the season in such a deep funk. They are not playing like true Yankees. They have the talent to win and they are not winning. I expect Joe Torre, his complete coaching staff and the team to turn this around."

I don't see statements like this coming out of Colorado or Pittsburgh.

Of course, there's the real possibility that the Yankees can't be turned around by coaching. The team over the last few years kept making itself older; instead of picking up good, younger players like Guerrero or Beltran, they went for older all-stars like Sheffield, Brown and Johnson. Add to that their own aging stars in Williams, Posada and Rivera, and the Yankees find themselves slow in the field, slow with the bat, and in some cases slow with the fastball. It's not a good combination.

My good friend Jim Storer asked me this morning if this was the end of the Yankees. I'd say at this point it's the middle of the beginning of the end. They had a poor start last year also. If they're playing like this come the end of May, we'll be a lot closer to the end of middle of the end. :-)

Congratulations to Tony La Russa who won his 800th game as the Cardinals manager today. He fell just two shy of that mark with the Oakland Athletics.

Ben Kabak at Off the Facade takes a look at the Yankees finances and what could have been. He brings up the point that the Yankees may be out of compliance with the major league debt rules, and it's a constraint that hasn't been factored in properly.

I disagree. The rule, quite frankly, should not apply to the Yankees. The rule ties debt to cash flow only; that's fine for someone who just bought a franchise and has little equity. But the Yankees have more equity than they know what to do with. Ken links to this piece in the Washington post on the subject; on page 2 there is this telling quote:

One source with knowledge of the Yankees' finances, who spoke on the condition of anonymity, downplayed the rumors, saying the Yankees' total debt was close to $100 million. "That's very little debt, relative to the value of the franchise," the source said, "and they could wipe it out by writing a check. People overestimate this issue."

Debt is not a problem for this team. It will simply be a matter of moving money around to come into compliance. The Yankees should get the rule rewritten in the next CBA to take equity into account.

As to the rest of Ken's piece, I agree whole heartedly that the Yankees have done a poor job planning for the future. They are headed back into the era of the early 1990's when spending on has beens in the 1980's came back to haunt them. Maybe someone will suspend Steinbrenner again; New York always grows a dynasty when he's out of action. :-)

The AP has released salary information for 2005. Not surprisingly, the Yankees and Red Sox are 1-2, with the Devil Rays bringing up the rear. I was a bit surprised to see the Phillies fourth. The Atletics have gone back to a low payroll, ranked 21st in the majors, just behind the Twins.

Goat Riders of the Apocalypse publishes the second installment in their GM-a-palooza series, my critique of Brian Cashman.

A reader sent this story about a scout for the Red Sox trying to recruit an Australian cricket star:

Former test captain Ian Chappell, who was an all-Australian baseballer in the 1960s and as a teenager flirted briefly with the idea of trying his luck in the US before his father told him to "shut up" and get on with cricket, provided a reality check. Even Gilchrist, Chappell said, would struggle to make it in the major leagues at his age.

"At 33 it's already too late, but after his retirement you can forget about it," said Chappell, whose nephew Jon, the son of Greg Chappell, is a talented baseballer who was recently released by the Toronto Blue Jays after a series of injuries.

"They want to get Australian kids over there in the college system for the simple reason that they want them over there young so they can teach them the game as the Yanks play it.

I have to agree. It's one thing for Japanese baseball players to come to the United States in their late 20's or early 30's; they've been playing the game their whole lives. But to try to learn the game at 33 just won't work.

A few years ago I had lunch with an Australian professor and we talked about baseball. He had played in college because he wasn't good enough to play cricket. :-)

A lesson in how to motivate players by Lee Mazzilli.

ORIOLES PITCHER Rodrigo Lopez didn't know what was going on. He was sitting behind the desk in the manager's office at Bricktown Ballpark in Oklahoma City on Thursday and wondering why Lee Mazzilli had put him there.

"It was weird," Lopez said. "He told me to turn around and open the cabinet. There were two doors and I opened them up, and there it was."

Inside was a neatly folded jersey bearing the number - 13 - that Lopez had surrendered to the new Orioles manager last year along with his identity as a starting pitcher.

Nice move by Maz, and he's rewarded with a shutout.

Goat Riders of the Apocalypse is running a series on the best GMs, having various bloggers write about their favorites and what makes them good. Today, Evan Burnell of Fire Brand of the American League pens a piece on Theo Epstein.

The Athletics have signed Rich Harden to a four year deal. That will keep Rich and Oakland together until he's ready to become a free agent, and the A's never have to worry about his salary being driven up by arbitration. With the premium being placed on starting pitchers right now, that's a good thing to avoid.

Staying in Oakland has turned out to be very rewarding for Billy Beane as he will be a part owner of the Athletics with Lewis Wolff.

Lewis Wolff was introduced as the new managing partner of the A's at a small ceremony in the Coliseum and then announced that Beane and Crowley will have small ownership stakes in the club. It was a reward for the two men who have built the small-market team into a perennial playoff contender and a profitable business.

Beane also received a lucrative contract extension through 2012, while Crowley's deal was extended through 2008, although their salaries weren't disclosed.

"I'm excited about the future, and one of the great things now is the stability it brings," said Beane, who has led the club to four playoff appearances and the AL's second-best record during his seven years as GM. "(Ownership) is something I always hoped would become a possibility. ... We're partners, so Lew has said that when it comes to operating the franchise, he's going to give us a free hand."

The exciting thing here is that the A's have the third richest ownership group in baseball. That doesn't mean they'll spend lots of money, but it looks like they will be more flexible. And it also appears they have the means to build a new stadium.

The Orioles and Nationals (MLB) have reached a deal for co-ownership of a regional sports network. The Orioles ownership will be guaranteed $365 million if they sell the team as part of the settlement. At the moment, no Nationals games are scheduled for local cable broadcast. I assume that can change. Seventy games are scheduled for over the air viewing.

Correction: It's $365 million.

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The writers of Faith and Fear in Flushing were looking for a reason to be upset with the Mets lineup that has David Wright batting 8th. They found one.

"Experience-wise, too. It will be his first full season..."

Ah. Here's the outrage.

I mean, is this a baseball team or a frat initiation? Wright is straight outta Boys' Life -- it's not like he's a bad seed who needs to be put in his place. If this is about Mike Cameron's psyche, as the Daily News suggested, I don't want to hear it -- Mike Cameron is a fabulously well-paid adult, and Wright shouldn't be punished for being a team guy. And Randolph and Down's Yankee teams won because they worked counts, wore out pitchers and played solid situational baseball -- not because Jeter and Rivera were fetching Gatorade for veterans. If they aren't clear on this point, I've overestimated them.

Wright's minor league numbers suggest he'd be a better top of the order hitter than either Matsui or Reyes. I'm willing to give Reyes the benefit of the doubt because at his age anything is possible. I'm not impressed at all with Matsui as a hitter; Reyes-Wright 1-2 is much better than the two middle infielders setting the table. Randolph can base the switching of Kaz and David in the lineup based on their spring training numbers. If it doesn't work out, he can always make a change.

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New research shows that Cuban baseball has less competitive balance than the major leagues:

"The organization of baseball in Cuba offers a stark contrast to that of baseball in the U.S.," said Katie Baird, an economist at the University of Washington, Tacoma, and author of the new study on Cuban baseball. "Cuba's system makes a great case study of how organizing sports through non-market rules has unintended consequences."

It's an interesting study. It also strikes me the Cuban government can easily solve the competitive imbalance problem by simply moving around players. Just force top teams to trade a good player to a lower ranked team. The fans may not like it, but you don't complain much if you can be taken out and shot.

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Bryan Smith at Baseball Analysts has high praise for Doug Melvin. I'm not quite as high on Melvin as Bryan; he's been at it a while with not a lot of success. But there's a lot that can go right with the club, and I've liked the moves the team has made the last two winters. With the NL Central being pretty weak below the Cardinals, it's possible the Brewers could finish second or third.

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Via Palmball.com, Willie Randolph's rules for the Mets appear to reflect his years in the Yankees organization.

Personal Appearance and Travel Rules and Regulations:

Minimum standards of attire when traveling to out-of-town games are as follows: dress shoes, casual shoes, tennis shoes, shirt with collar, jeans, wash and wear pants, jogging suits. No sandals, T-shirts or shorts.

Hair and mustaches are to be kept neat. No beards. Earrings are NOT permitted while you are in uniform.

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Dave Sheinin has taken over Nationals Journal for a few days and shows that Frank Robinson understands both on-base average and how to motivate players:

This was Manager Frank Robinson this morning talking about prospective leadoff man Endy Chavez, whose attempt to learn the finer points of batting leadoff is one of the primary storylines of the camp:

"I certainly like what I see so far. He's trying to bunt. He bunted safely in [Saturday's game in] Fort Lauderdale for a base hit. He tried to bunt the other day. He's working the count a little bit. He's not swinging from his heels as much. He's stealing a base or two. He is starting to do some of the things we've asked him to do."

On whether a player can learn to be selective at the plate:

"It is something that some guys are born with. But you can learn it. I think it comes from experience and having confidence in your own skills and abilities. That's why you see a lot of guys who swing early in the count all the time, because they don't feel confident that they can hit the pitches they're going to see with two strikes. You see some guys come up and take a strike, because they have confidence in their skills to hit with two strikes. It can be taught, but it's easier if you bring it to the table in the first place."

I asked Frank if it was reasonable to expect Chavez to have a .350 or better on-base average after hovering around .300 thus far in his career.

"I want him higher than that," Robinson said. "I want him around .380. I don't want it to be realistic. I don't want it to be easy for him. But I want to give him something to think about. He knows he really has to work at it to be able to achieve that. But one of the keys for him is, I want him to score over 100 runs. If he does that, he's been on base a lot."

Way to go, Frank. He wants him around .380, because .380 is where a leadoff man should be. If Robinson pushes Chavez toward .380 and gets .350, it will be an impressive improvement and a great bit of coaching.

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Via Athletics Nation, baseball in Japan appears to be in trouble.

Baseball's popularity has fallen as other sports, like soccer, which kicked off here in 1993, draw more fans.

"Considering its long history both before and after World War II, its power of influence has become relatively small because of a multiplication of [other types of] entertainment," says Mr. Nagai.

As top homegrown talent like Hideki Matsui and Ichiro Suzuki have moved on to US teams, empty stadium seats have become more obvious. While Matsui has won acclaim with the New York Yankees, his old team, the Yomiuri Giants, recorded last year their worst average TV ratings since 1965.

The decline in Japanese baseball also stems from the public's weariness with the Nippon Professional Baseball administrative organization, which is seen as stifling change. A number of bribery scandals have led to calls for reform of the draft system, while problems with the free-agent system and inflated attendance figures at ball parks have also hurt the game's image.

Some new owners are suggesting internet polls be used to help decide when to pull the pitcher. I think that's ripe for abuse, but I do like this idea:

And the Rakuten Golden Eagles - which debut this year as the first new team to join Japan's pro leagues since 1954 - may allow viewers to watch players off-field in the dugout, the bullpen, or the locker room, simply through a click of the mouse as part of plans to webcast games live.

I really like the idea of being the director. Watching old games on ESPN Classic, I'm reminded of how much we don't see anymore. Directors used to stay on the centerfield camera between pitches, so you saw batter, catcher and pitcher preparations. Now, we get lots of cuts to the dugout, where we see the manager's stone cold stare. I'd like to watch the preperation between pitches. Or go to a shot that shows me the positions of the fielders. Better yet, have all the cameras recorded, and give the audience the ability to go back and watch replays from all the different angles. After all, disk space is cheap, and just keeps getting cheaper.

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Via Baseball Crank, Dave Konig tells of working with Wille Randolph on a commerical and how he came away impressed with Randolph's leadership qualities.

Not wanting to push my luck, but looking to keep the conversation going, I threw Willie another soft ball. "As a manager, how do you deal with these players with all their big money and big egos?" It was a generic, banal question that deserved nothing more than a generic, banal answer. Which would have been perfectly fine. But then this charming, amiable, pleasant man did something completely unexpected. He got really close to me, looked me right in the eye, and for the next ten minutes spoke calmly and with great passion about respect and teamwork and responsibility. He talked about eternal, manly qualities of hard work and sobriety and meeting expectations. He got very specific and he got very serious.

By the time he was finished I was ready to follow him into battle. This guy is a leader.

Konig believes Willie is the next Gil Hodges. That's high praise.

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Mark Attanasio addressed the Brewers yesterday and stressed the importance of teamwork.

As he began formulating his remarks, he hit upon the idea of talking about how teamwork helped him overcome rough times in the financial industry - the interest-rate increase in 1994, the Russian currency crisis in 1998 and the recession that hit the U.S. in 2000.

"Wall Street doesn't always go in one direction and baseball doesn't, either," he said. "In my business career, all the success I have achieved has come by being part of a team. When you're part of a team, it enhances the chances of your success. When things get tough, if you all pull together it helps you ride out the tough spots."

Attanasio got a pretty good deal on a major league team ($220 million). It will be interesting to see how he goes about building his equity in the franchise. In other words, how will he attempt to build a winner?

I never realized Frank Robinson was just a prankster. He always seemed so serious to me.

Alex Belth points out why Joe Torre is such a good leader.

Wille Randolph is one of my favorite players from my youth. George Vecsey is there as Willie takes command of the Mets. I have no idea how good a manager he'll be. My gut is that he'll be a strong leader for the players. I don't know how he'll do strategically. Having Pedro and Beltran should make this first year easier, however.

James Click has an excellent article at Baseball Prospectus in which he tests different theories on how to construct a lineup (subscription required). One caveat; his charts don't match the data in the tables. (I don't know if that makes a difference, but I'm waiting to hear from Click to see why there's a discrepancy).

Interestingly, the data he has shows that descending OBA is about the best lineup you can construct:

Now it�s time to start mixing things up and having a little fun. In an effort to generate an optimal lineup structure, the first step is to verify some of the basic underlying principles. First, the idea that players with higher AVG, OBP or SLG should be higher in the lineup can easily be tested. To avoid tainting the results, each player will have the same stats except for the stat being tested. For example, when testing AVG, each player will have the same OBP and SLG. The program will be given six different lineups, two for each of three �teams." Each of the three teams will have one statistic in which they all differ and the other two will remain the same. These three teams will be analyzed twice, one with the variant statistic in descending order and once in ascending order. Further, the range of the difference in the variant statistic will be closely mapped to actual major league distribution. So despite the occasional Bonds, the program won�t have anyone with a .605 OBP.

After running each lineup, the program produced the following results. Below are the minimum number of runs, the mean, the maximum, and the 25th and 75th quartiles. From the numbers, a fair idea of the curve of each lineup can be gathered.

Lineup    Min  Quartile  Mean   Quartile   Max

Avg Desc  672    752      780     806      923
Avg Asc   662    755      782     808      919

Obp Desc  705    790      818     846      947
Obp Asc   660    762      792     821      926

Slg Desc  676    762      790     816      912
Slg Asc   656    747      777     805      926

Great work here, and one more positive for OBA.

Update: The charts were incorrect and have been fixed. The data in the above table is correct.

Via Dodger Thoughts, Paul DePodesta will be chatting on MLB.com at 3 PM EST, 12 PM PST. I'm not going to be around to ask a question. I hope someone asks how he quantifies defensive ability.

Update: A reader points out this will be happening next Tuesday, the 22nd.

Lynne Kiesling is one of my favorite bloggers on economic and energy issues. She has a great post wondering why tickets still have face value.

Teams make money from attendance in two ways; the money they glean from the ticket sale, and the money the fans spend at the park. If teams could put more fannies in the seats with a double auction system, why not? Maybe they make back the money lost in ticket prices with increased parking and hot dog revenues. For teams that do sell out, they would make even more money, since they haven't hit the price point where people are unwilling to attend games. (Just look at a ticket broker sometime for the price of Red Sox tickets.)

It will be interesting to see if one of the Moneyball GMs figures this out and starts selling all their tickets on E-Bay.

Jeff Passan profiles Allard Baird, the Royals GM, in the Kansas City Star.

For the next few years, Allard Baird hopes, this scene won't replay itself.

Last year, in the same Starbucks, a man bought his coffee and waited by the door. He waited for Baird to slink by, then stopped him, then begged for the Royals to keep Carlos Beltran. Baird assured him the Royals would try to do everything they could, which was simultaneously disingenuous and truthful. They wanted to; they wouldn't.

Now the Royals boast of a new core, a younger nucleus, a rehash of the youth movement that twice in recent Royals history has been stunted. This time, Baird thinks the Royals got it right. A handful of top prospects emerged concurrently, giving the Royals a four- to six-year window to win before the best players seek riches elsewhere.

Or, he can use this season to determine who is going to be good long term and see if he can sign those players to six or seven year contracts, as the the Indians did in the early 1990's. The Royals would then insulate themselves against inflation due to both arbitration and free agency. What's more, the contracts will make those players tradeable, since their costs are fixed. They could actually trade talent for talent rather than dumping for prospects.

John Perricone of Only Baseball Matters takes a look at the moves Brian Sabean has made and is none to happy. I, for one, am always a bit surprised at how good the Giants play every year. The Giants should have a .558 winning percentage since 1997; instead, they have a .586 winning percentage. When a team has that much luck over a long period of time, you have to wonder if someone is doing a good job of organizing the group. I don't like Sabean's moves this off-season, but I'm willing to give him the benefit of the doubt and will wait to see how the 2005 season plays out.

Update: Alex Lash writes:

I'm the guy who wrote the post that touched off Perricone's rant on Brian Sabean. If an OBM reader only read what John excerpted from me, and didn't bother to click over to my post, said OBM reader would get the impression that I was praising Sabean's tenure to sweet heaven based solely on his trading record (roughly put: first six years = excellent, last two years = crap).

What John fails to mention is that my trade-record examination is only part one of a total evaluation of Sabean. Parts 2 and 3, which will examine his free agent choices and more, are still to come. I'm on the fence about Sabean -- which is why I've embarked on what I hope will be a more level-headed evaluation of his tenure. If you don't mind, please post this note as an addendum to your note about John. And here's a direct link to my post:

http://leftymalo.blogspot.com/2005_02_01_leftymalo_archive.html#110739425928468635

Jon Weisman notes a story about an MIT undergraduate mocking Paul DePodesta because Paul attended Harvard. Typical of a #2 school. There's a bridge that connects Cambridge to Boston over the Charles River on Massachusetts Avenue. It's the Harvard Bridge. As you can see from this picture, the bridge bisects MIT (top of picture). This so annoys the MIT students that they call it the MIT Bridge, or make jokes about the real name.

Besides, don't these engineers know anything about numbers? I would have expected a great sabermetric article from a techie, but instead we get the typical reporter rant about how money is ruining the game! Somebody from Yale could have written that one. :-)

Sabernomics is looking for information on calculating the true value of a replacement player. He argues that it should not be league minimum.

Regardless of exact magnitude of the exploitation, certainly we can say the that teams receive more in value from reserved players than the wage they pay out to these players. To acquire a replacement-level player from another team will require compensating the team with reserve rights for the value lost. Therefore, it is incorrect to say that the purchase price of a replacement-level player is equal to the league minimum. Raul Mondesi is not reserved, and therefore does not suffer from the monopsonistic exploitation of a particular team. He is going to receive more compensation for his services than a reserved player. The question is, with the exploitation removed, how much should he be paid for the services (MRP) he will provide? While I don't have an answer, I have some ideas of where to start looking but have not thought it through. I would like to ask readers to lend me your suggestions in the comments section on a way to estimate the actual price of a replacement-level player.

If you have any thoughts, leave a comment on his blog.

Alex Belth at Bronx Banter links to an article about the four young men working with Theo Epstein to help mold the Boston Red Sox. I'm sometimes asked what to study in college if you want a job in sports statistics. Given the diversity of the backgrounds of these four people, I guess my answer should be, "Whatever interests you. Just do it well."

A huge conflict of interest was removed yesterday when the owners approved the sale of the Milwaukee Brewers to Mark Attanasio. Maybe Bud can be a commissioner for everyone now, not just the small market clubs.

These small-market, mis-managed teams are a real bargain. Attanasio gets the Brewers for $220 million; if he can build the team into a winner like the Athletics, the value of that franchise will grow tremendously. There's a lot of room on the upside in Milwaukee.

Dave Isaacs once again taps into the general manager's chat room to discover how the Mets lured all those free agents to Shea. :-)

Brad Dowdy at No Pepper has a link to a debate between two scouts and two statistians moderated by Alan Schwarz of Baseball America. Eddie Bane, Gary Hughes, Voros McCracken and Gary Huckabay compare and contrast the ways both sides evaluate players. If you only have time to skim, be sure to read the sections on seeing fear in players and predicting major league numbers from triple A results.

The Sports Economist has an interesting take on why the no-trade non-offer from the Astros caused them to lose Carlos Beltran.

A no trade clause is worth little to a player if the team is winning. It has value to a player if the team is losing and they need to restructure the roster. Beltran's request can thus be viewed as a request from McLane for a commitment to win, and should that commitment not be there, to allow Carlos some choice among teams in a future trade. In effect, Carlos was saying to Drayton, "I want to win, badly. Do you?" Unfortunately for Houston fans, Drayton's answer was negative.

I've never thought about no-trades in that context before. I always looked at them as security for the player's family, a way of knowing where they will be for the next few seasons. (In Carlos' case, a no-trade would have kicked in sometime in the 5th year of the contract when he became a 10-5 man.) It seems there are other economic motives as well.

Alex Belth sums up my feelings about the Randy Johnson deal nicely in this post.

Bud Shaw of the Cleveland Plain Dealer uses the signing of Juan Gonzalez to a minor league contract to look at the Indians finances.

Attendance took a hit in 2001, then another in 2002 when the payroll diet hit a $78 million plateau. Dolan is still trying to make up the deficit spending of those two seasons. He waits for the Indians to seriously contend before giving into buyer's lust. Hopefully, he still has some of that lust for the kind of hitter Gonzalez was in 2001, but there's a catch to even that.

Dolan will have to spend serious money first to make serious contention happen.

The Indians aren't going anywhere you'd identify as a dream destination with the 25th or 26th highest payroll.

I have to disagree with Shaw here. The Indians are in a weak division. They have a good offense and a few good pitchers. Shapiro's plan for the winter didn't work out:

Just the hint of a slowdown in player salaries prompted the union to mutter about collusion. Salaries readjusted accordingly over this past winter, making General Manager Mark Shapiro's only available strategy of striking early in the pitching sweepstakes obsolete within the first week.

"There were a lot of bad contracts signed and a lot of teams that lost flexibility," Shapiro said of the brief economic slowdown. "What we thought would happen this winter and what did happen is that most teams shed those contracts.

"It was simple Economics 101. There wasn't a whole lot of supply and there was a whole lot of demand. We had the right idea but we weren't able to get something done."

Which may be a good thing in the long run. The Indians have maintained payroll flexibility. Their minor league system is intact. Last year, they didn't make the big trade to try to put the team over the top. I believe this year they will pull the trigger. Remember this statement by Shapiro from the start of the 2004 season:

"We're much further than last year," Shapiro said. "We have core players identified. We have a group of other guys we think potentially can be core players that we didn't know about a year ago. We're within 12 months [of contending]. We hope sometime in July or in the offseason, we'll be adding players with the intent of winning our division.

"I understand that it's a weaker division, but that's part of the strategy, and the first step for us, clearly, is to win our division and then the next step is to build a championship team by any standard. So the first step we have to take is to contend for and win our division, and I feel like that step, knowing the Central Division is an ally for us in the plans, is going to happen for us, either this season or next season."

Mark was right about his team's ability. He has Billy Beane's ability to get the team good at a low cost. This is the year they want to win the Central. Will he have Beane's ability to make the big pickup that actually puts the squad in the playoffs? Their first plan failed to bring in the players they need. What's the backup plan, and will it work?

It looks like Tony La Russa will be managing the St. Louis Cardinals for the next three years.

The club is expected to announce next week a three-year agreement that will keep manager Tony La Russa in place through the 2007 season, when he will rank as the third-winningest skipper in the game's history. The deal is the longest signed by La Russa since being named Cardinals manager in October 1995 and would put him second to Red Schoendienst for the longest stay in the position should he serve its complete term.

I was impresseed with La Russa when he was with the Athletics, less so with the Cardinals. He's coached for two great general managers in Alderson and Jocketty, so he's often had good teams on the field. He's certainly won with them. But watching him the playoffs, he does little things like giving away outs that really annoy me. Yet he wins, and he's being rewarded for that.

Anaheim is going to court to try to block the Angel's name change.

Anaheim officials claim the name violates a stadium lease agreement that has provided nearly $30 million in public subsidies to renovate the club's ballpark.

Anaheim argues that the change hurts its ability to market itself as a tourist destination -- a key issue in a city that depends on a hotel room tax as its largest source of income.

My good friend Jim Storer just called me to complain about the Angels name change. He feels it's wrong to have a preposition in a team's name, especially when it confuses the reader. Where exactly do the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim play? Do they play in Los Angeles but live in Anaheim, or the other way around?

It looks like there's going to be a fight over this:

But the American League club's latest in a series of name changes could provoke a fight with the Anaheim City Council. Anaheim officials claim the change breaks the terms of the team's 33-year lease with the city.

The Angels have been an unusual team in that they've changed their location designation four times while only moving once. Other teams (especially in the early days) experimented with nicknames, but the Angels can't decide where they are. Los Angeles, California, Anaheim and now LA-Anaheim. They should have finished the deal and called themselves the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim, California!

Maybe the Nationals should be called the Montreal Expos of Washington! And we can rename both the Twins and Rangers the Washington Senators of (Minnesota/Texas). Or, to get as many prepositions in as possible, The St. Louis Browns of Baltimore in Orioles Park at Camden Yards!

They'll always be the California Angels to me. Jon Weisman has more.

The Yankees got the bill for their share of the luxury tax yesterday, and it's a whopper.

According to figures obtained by The Associated Press, the Yankees, whose payroll was a record $187.9 million, must pay $25,062,352 in luxury tax. The Yankees also estimate a $60 million revenue-sharing payment they must send to the commissioner's office by the end of next month.

The Red Sox and Angels will add another $4 million to the luxury tax pool. According to this summary of the CBA:

Luxury tax money to be used for player benefits, the industry growth fund, or player development in countries lacking organized high school baseball. The owners had originally demanded a 50% luxury tax on payrolls over $98 million.

That's a good chunk of money to promote baseball. I bet if the money had gone to clubs at the lowest end of the payroll spectrum, the Boss would be less willing to pay the tax.

The $60 million revenue sharing payment will go to other clubs, but I'm not sure how much. What I don't know is if that includes shared local revenue as well as Central Fund Revenue sharing. But it looks like clubs at the lower end of the financial ladder will be receiving a few million dollars each, enough to keep a few good youngsters around.

The Book of Mike has an anonymous source (so take it for what it's worth) that says DePodesta was responsible for the trade debacle.

Our source, a professional sports agent, spoke to The Book of Mike on the condition of anonymity, tells us that DePodesta originally leaked details of the trade to Ken Rosenthal of The Sporting News. Interestingly enough, part of DePodesta's statements yesterday include comments about the media over-playing the likelihood of the trade. As it turns out, this was actually Paul's own doing.

It also appears that DePodesta tried to back out of the Marlins trade for Lo Duca at the last minute.

If true, it's possible that Paul is now serving as a living example of the Peter Principle:

The original principle states that in a hierarchically structured administration, people tend to be promoted up to their "level of incompetence".

Paul's forte may be crunching the numbers and devising plans. He may not be that good at executing. Beane and DePodesta may have been Torre and Zimmer; Zimmer is a lousy manager of people, but knows baseball. Torre is a poor strategist, but players will go to war for him. Together, they're a really good manager.

Together, Beane and DePodesta were a really great GM. Paul, it looks like, doesn't have Billy's skills in dealing with others on these trades. He's a smart guy, so maybe he can develop those skills. If he does fail in this job, some smart GM will be glad to have him crunching numbers for his organization.

The Baseball Savant has a very well researched column on the recent ( and not so recent) moves by the Athletics.

Al's Ramblings gets an aspect of Billy Beane's tenure dead wrong in this post praising the Mulder deal.

Mr. Beane doesn't care if he wins 69 games in 2005, or if they miss the playoffs by one game, like they did last year.

Beane does care if they win. By winning, he brings in fans that build revenue that lets him better compete with the big boys. From page 122 of Moneyball:

He told the Blue Ribbon Panel that the Oakland A's inability to afford famous stars meant that no matter how well the team performed, the fans stayed away -- which was the opposite of the truth. All the A's marketing studies showed that the main thing the fans cared about was winning. Win with nobodies and the fans showed up, and the nobodies became stars; lose with stars and the fans stayed home, and the stars became nobodies. Assembling nobodies into a ruthlessly efficient machine for winning baseball games, and watching them become stars was one of the pleasures of running a poor baseball team.

A 69 win season would be looked at as a failure by Beane and the A's. They may be retooling for the 2006, but they want to be competitive in 2005.

John Perricone takes note of all the money that being thrown around and wonders why the Giants aren't spending much of it.

Arizona was on the verge of bankruptcy. They put out some feelers, got a bunch of investors to pony up, and boom. Instead of being $100 million in the hole, they "find" $260 million dollars.

...

A bigger question for Giants fans, (particularly as they watch game-breaking free agents sign everywhere but here), is how come the Giants can't pull something like this off? What is preventing Magowan's partners from either getting some new investors to pony up a little scratch, or doing the ponying up themselves? Anybody got an answer to that one?

The Giants value, (according to this 2002 Forbes piece), was $333 million, and had risen 40% in the previous year. In this year's Forbes piece, we see that the Giants value has risen to $368 million dollars, an increase of over 10% in just over two seasons, and that their revenue stream has risen from $138 million to $153 million. Also noteworthy is that the team's debt/value (which includes stadium debt, a finite aspect that will end in 15 years) has dropped from 59% to 46%.

The SF Giants were purchased for $100 million dollars back in 1992. Here's the Forbes' 2004 Giants' page. That's a difference of $268 million dollars, from what Magowan & company paid for the team, and what it's worth today. If the D'backs could scrape up $260 million to land the players they feel can carry them into contention, why can't the Giants?

When A-Rod signed for $25 million a year, I told people that in a few years that would seem cheap. I was wrong about that. For the first time in the history of free agency, the market took a step backward. It hit bottom last year, but is clearly on the way up again.

And franchise value has a lot to do with it. Every so often someone writes about how the Yankees must be near the point where they can't spend any more money. Baloney. Steinbrenner's original group bought that franchise for $20 million. It's worth a billion now. The Yankees have cash flow, and they have equity. George could walk into any bank tomorrow and get a loan for $400,000,000 and no financier would blink an eye. He could turn around and sign Beltran, Delgado and trade for the Big Unit with money in the bank.

I suspect the Giants have pretty good cash flow numbers, also. They fill their park and Giants jersey's and hats have always been popular. With interest rates low, I suspect they've greatly reduced their debt service over the last few seasons. San Francisco has never had a world championship in baseball, and the franchise has not won a title in 50 years. The new Red Sox ownership knew they had an obligation to their fans to deliver a trophy to the town; the Giants, Indians, White Sox and Cubs have that same obligation to their long suffering fans. It's a good time for the Magowen and company to take out that home equity loan.

Dave Isaacs has found the AOL chat room for general managers. Who knew that all the trades and signings were going on there? Check out GM Chat.

Doug Melvin is thinking about an interesting strategy for the winter meetings.

Melvin said one tactic might be to sit back and see which teams dive into the top-tier free-agent market for players such as Carlos Beltran and Adrian Beltre, and then investigate if those teams are looking to free up money to pay for their new players by trading established players on their rosters. That could solve the position-player issue.

Let teams overspend, then Milwaukee could act as a safety valve. Not an aggressive strategy, but one that might be okay. Especially if the Brewers are aiming for next year.

Melvin thinks he might be able to address the offense via trade and the pitching through free agency. He figures the cream of the Brewers' minor league crop - offensive-minded players such as Prince Fielder and Rickie Weeks - is still a year away. But J.J. Hardy, who is playing in Mexico this winter, will be given every chance to win the job at shortstop during spring training.

I don't know if they both need another year. Weeks and Fielder both have good OBAs in the minor leagues. If they come out hitting like gangbusters this spring, bring them up. It will be exciting for the fans, and a sign that the two will have long, productive careers.

By the way, why is Prince Fielder trying to steal bases? It pretty obvious he's not good at it (16 for 28 in his career). Why risk an injury of a future star player and decrease your run production at the same time?

Update: It's Doug, not Bob Melvin.

The Seattle Mariners have hired a full time scout for Japan. I thought this bit was interesting.

Yamamoto, who starts his new job Jan. 1, will scout both pros and amateurs in Japan.

So it looks like the Mariners might go after young Japanese players, not just established veterans who have done their time in the Japanese major leagues. If the US majors start picking off the best Japanese youngsters, this could really hurt the level of play in Japan, or drive the price of ballplayers way up in that country. Of course, it could also lead to more people from all over the world playing in Japan, which would help improve their game. (Free trade among athletes. We get to bid on the best young Japanese players, they get to bid on ours.) It may not be long before there can be competitive World Series between the Japanese Leagues and the U.S.

The Tigers must be doing something right. Troy Percival met with the team management, looked around the city and signed on the dotted line.

The whirlwind courtship caught even Dombrowski by surprise. Percival stayed Monday night at Birmingham's Townsend Hotel, ate breakfast with manager Alan Trammell, Hall of Famer Al Kaline and owner Mike Ilitch on Tuesday morning, and by Tuesday afternoon was taking a precautionary physical to prove his various ailments -- past shoulder surgery, a hip ailment and last season's forearm injury -- were fine.

"I'm as good right now as I've ever been," Percival said.

By dinner with Trammell, Dombrowski and upper management, Percival was sold, telling the brass to call his agent and make the deal. According to Dombrowski, the agreement came somewhere in the middle of the entr�e and while Percival's agent -- also surprised by the news -- was on his way to a Los Angeles Clippers game.

"I know what I want when I want it," said Percival, who said he turned down more money elsewhere to sign with Detroit.

Only time will tell how big a deal this becomes. The Tigers now have insurance if the tragedy in Urbina's life keeps him from pitching in 2005, and depth if Urbina can pitch. UU strikes out more batters, but Percival walks fewer. No matter who is used in the setup/closer role, the Tigers have a good chance of reducing games to 7 innings.

The other benefit of signing Percival is that he may bring in Troy Glaus.

The Percival benefits are far-reaching. Not only did the closer discuss his desire to lead the bullpen and help the younger pitchers, but he has a strong friendship with one of the Tigers' other free-agent targets, Anaheim third baseman Troy Glaus.

Close enough that the players speak daily. "We may have our best salesman in the closer," Dombrowski said, smiling.

When the Tigers were putting up the worst record in 40 years, I wondered if Dombrowski had lost the magic that worked so well in Montreal and Florida. It looks like he's gotten the owner to open up the purse strings, and while I doubt we'll see a 30-game improvement this year, even a 15 game surge will put the Tigers in contention.

The GMs are talking about bringing instant replay reviews to baseball.

"I think there seems to be some level of understanding that getting the play right is what underscores this thought process," Reds GM Dan O'Brien said. "I don't think any of us have any idea of a timetable."

Said Brad Kullman, the Reds' director of major league operations: "It doesn't make sense that you might have a million fans out there watching on TV and knowing what happened while the umpires huddle without that benefit."

There are definitely pros and cons to the issue. The pros, of course, is that it would help umpires get plays right. The cons, however, are many.

• It would make a slow game slower.


• Not all broadcasters have the same number of cameras. Some parks would not be able to give the umpires good angles.


• Not all games are broadcast. What happens in games without TV?


• I'm seen lots of replays over the years. Sometimes they are conclusive from one angle, and conclusive in the other direction from another. Which do you believe?

Now, on the pro-side, if this were adopted, we might get all baseball games broadcast. And those broadcasts might all need to be made with numerous camera from numerous angles, which should improve the game on TV.

However, I'm not sure it's really needed. We saw during the playoffs what happens when umpires are willing to seek help from each other. If more of that cooperation were seen during the regular season, there would be fewer calls that needed replay to fix.

Mike Hunssinger e-mails to tell me Wally Backman was fired as manager of the Arizona DBacks before he even signed the contract. (See this post from yesterday.)

The management group acknowledged they failed to do a criminal or financial background check but initially indicated they would stand by Backman.

"It's obviously a mistake on our part to have made a decision without having done the proper background work," said managing partner Ken Kendrick. "I take full responsibility for that."

Backman was offered a two-year contract but had not signed it, so there were no financial repercussions for the team.

"I'm stunned, so is my family, so is everybody," Backman told the Arizona Republic. "I'm not prepared to say anything today but I will definitely have a statement [soon]."

Bob Melvin was hired to replace Backman. I thought he was a victim of circumstance in Seattle. It's good he's getting another chance to prove himself as a manager.

The Phillies make a safe choice for manager, going with former Cleveland skipper and Thome friend Charlie Manuel. It looks like the fans wanted Leyland.

As for passing on Leyland, team sources say Wade expects a lot of outrage from fans, and it's already begun.

With rumors circulating that Manuel would get the job, several angry Phillies fans emailed Wade on Wednesday threatening to drop their season tickets if Leyland isn't hired.

"Nothing against Charlie Manuel, but how can you pass up on Leyland?" said Samantha Bloch, a Center City resident and Phillies' season-ticket holder since 2002. "This is a gift opportunity to get a guy that wants to come here and who has won a World Series. It's having it put in your lap and throwing it away.

"The second Jim Leyland wanted to come here, all other options should have been closed in my eyes and in a lot of fans eyes."

I'm not sure there's all that much difference. The history is that if you give either of these men a good team, they win. That will be a big change from Bowa.

Congratulations to Willie Randolph, named the new Mets manger late last night. Randolph was one of my favorite players of the 1970's Yankees. As a hitter he had no power, but did an excellent job of setting the table and scoring runs. He was a fine 2nd baseman who was a great at turning the double play. He always struck me as a smart player. I remember one game against the Red Sox in the 80's that showed this. He was facing Bob Stanley with the bases loaded, bottom of the inning in extra innings. On every pitch, he fell away from the plate as if the pitch was going to hit him. Each one was called a ball by the ump (even though at least one was close enough to be a strike), walking in the winning run. Randolph knew the situation, and his reputation for selectivity worked to his advantage.

How he'll do as a manager, I don't know. He has no experience in that job, but he's been around a good one for a while. Minaya had some interesting requirements for the job:

From the beginning, Minaya maintained consistent criteria for a manager. He wanted someone with leadership qualities who is willing to work 12 months a year, can communicate daily with players and the front office, understands how to delegate to assistants, is open to performing community service, is excited to interact with the minor league system and will travel to winter leagues and the instructional league in the off-season.

He might have included, "Has a clue about strategy," or, "Wants to win more than breathe," but that's just me. It's a great opportunity for Willie, and I hope he succeeds.

It appears that Wally Backman has been in trouble in the recent past.

Backman acknowledged that he was arrested in 2001 after an altercation with a female family friend at his home in Prineville, Ore. He said he agreed to plead guilty to fourth-degree assault. He was placed on 12 months' probation, ordered to undergo an anger management evaluation and donated $1,000 to the local Boys and Girls Club.

Backman was arrested on a charge of driving under the influence in Kennewick, Wash., in 1999, when he was manager of the Tri-City franchise of the independent Western League. He said he fought the charge for two years before pleading guilty.

He also has had financial problems, and filed for Chapter 7 bankruptcy last year, The Republic reported. Backman said many of the financial problems, including several tax liens he said he has paid, were caused by dealings of his then-wife that he was unaware of.

(Emphasis added.)

Maybe the DUI is actually a positive indicator. Bill James wrote in the introduction to his marvelous book, The Bill James Guide to Baseball Managers:

Managers are fascinating people. Of the twenty-five greatest managers of all time, at least eighteen were alcoholics. Is this a coincidence, or is there a reason for it? Should we, in looking to hire a manager, make sure he has Betty Ford on his resume?

I'd like to think not.

Gerry Hunsicker has resigned from his post as general manager of the Houston Astros. Richard Justice of the Houston Chronicle sees this as a bad move for Houston.

He gave the Astros credibility. He gave them a conscience. He contributed more to their success than any of us may ever really know.

He didn't cry Monday when he announced his resignation, but he came close a couple of times.

If you love the Astros, you're the one who should be crying. Your favorite baseball team is far worse off than it was before Gerry Hunsicker stepped to a microphone on Monday morning at Minute Maid Park.

It appears that Gerry no longer wanted to tolerate McLane acting like, you know, a boss.

Hunsicker is no longer general manager of the Astros because he had finally had enough of McLane.

He resigned because their relationship had run its course and because he was worn down by the constant budget battles and by dealing with an owner who wanted a hand in virtually every decision.

Yes, they disagreed over McLane's decision to bring back Craig Biggio for 2001. That wasn't the reason he quit.

It wasn't even about McLane's latest slashing of the player-development budget. McLane has asked his baseball people to do more and more with less and less for so long that cutting the budget became the norm.

It was all those things and more. It was a desire for more freedom, to maybe answer to someone who trusted him a bit more and who understood that building a team is more art than science.

Actually, it's a lot of science, but that's an argument for another day.

Hunsicker is going out on top after doing a very good job for the organization. I'm sure he'll get a good job somewhere else, and with any luck, a less meddlesome boss.

John P. Lopez looks at Hunsicker's successor, Tim Purpura.

There's no reason to believe Purpura will falter. Eminently qualified in ways not even Hunsicker was when he stepped in, Purpura paid his dues as an intern, rose through the player development ranks and ultimately became one of Hunsicker's most important sounding boards.

But never has Purpura felt the burden and responsibility of being a GM.

"It's sort of like molding a great Triple-A player," McLane said. "He's hitting great in Triple A, and you bring him up to the big leagues. You think he can be good. But until he gets there, you don't know."

Make no mistake. This is one of the most crucial junctures in club history, and Purpura will face pressures like never before. There is a manager to hire, a decision to make on Kent, negotiations with Lance Berkman and Roy Oswalt looming, that 1 percent chance Roger Clemens will return, and a momentous call on how much to offer free-agent outfielder Carlos Beltran.

Lisa Gray has her thoughts here.

Here's a very positive article about the Dodgers. If the minors are as good as this article implies, DePodesta should be able to build a winning, low-cost franchise that can sustain the debt that so worried some people when McCourt bought the team.

It looks like Wally Backman will be named the new manager of the Arizona Diamondbacks today.

Known for his fiery temperament during his 14-year career as a major league infielder, Backman apparently is just as intense as a manager. As he managed Lancaster to the best record in the California League � the JetHawks lost in the deciding game of the championship series � he reportedly had six ejections, two suspensions and some clubhouse tirades.

So is he going to be another Larry Bowa?

But he also won strong reviews for his managing ability and relationships with players. The Sporting News named Backman its minor league manager of the year, and Baseball America cited Lancaster as its team of the year and Backman as the top managerial prospect in the league.

Backman, 45, has never managed or coached in the majors but worked his way up from independent leagues to affiliated ball.

Before joining the D-Backs organization earlier this year, he spent three seasons in the Chicago White Sox organization, going to the Class AA Southern League playoffs twice and winning one title. His overall record is 410-396.

He has a history of sucess and good reviews. I remember liking Backman as a player. He was the left-handed part of the Mets 2nd base platoon in 1986, a year he posted a .376 OBA. The manager who gave him a steady job after four years as a part time player was Davey Johnson. If Backman turns out to come from the Earl Weaver/Davey Johnson mold, the DBacks will do just fine with him at the helm.

Seth Hackbarth at Sportblog.org asks an interesting question.

Does this championship vindicate sabermetrics?

My answer is no, sabermetrics was vindicated long ago by GM's like Branch Rickey and managers like Earl Weaver. For the last 10 years, the Yankees and the Braves understood sabermetrics in putting their teams together, in deciding who to trade and who to sign. They don't always force their managers to play sabermetric ball, but they do give them sabermetrically sound teams.

If this championship shows anything, it's the value of information. I'm an employee of Baseball Info Solutions (BIS). The Red Sox are one of our major league customers. BIS supplements Theo and his crew with fine details of the game. With this information, the Red Sox know the probability of Albert Pujols hitting a ball down the third base line. They know the probability of Jeff Suppan throwing a high pitch on a 3-1 count. They know what pitches a batter will chase, and what pitches he'll lay off. And more importantly, they appear to have found a way to communicate this to their batters and pitchers.

I don't know how the Red Sox use the stats they receive. Theo Epstein has stated that the Red Sox have many sources of information. My guess is that he uses one source to confirm another. I was watching the afternoon edition of Baseball Tonight yesterday, and the analysts were discussing Manny's HR off Jeff Suppan. They showed how the Astros were swinging and missing at Jeff's low pitches, but Manny laid off those. When Manny refused to swing, Suppan came up in the strikezone, and Manny walloped the ball. This is exactly the sort of thing that a scout can notice and data can confirm.

And consider this. The Red Sox played three teams in the post season. The Angels and Cardinals are not consumers of BIS information. They were swept. The Yankees are clients of BIS, and they nearly beat the Red Sox.

So while the World Series victory wasn't needed to vindicate Sabermetrics, it has vindicated an approach to the game where minute details matter. The Red Sox have a competitive advantage in information vs. most teams in the league, and they did an excellent job of exploiting that advantage this year.

Update: Check out this link, mentioned in the comments below. It gives you a good idea of how the front office, manager and players interact with the information available to them.

Mike Hargrove has been hired by the Mariners.

"He has a tremendous resume and is battle-tested in every facet of leading a major league club," general manager Bill Bavasi said in a news release.

Hargrove replaces Bob Melvin, who was fired Oct. 10, a day after Seattle ended the season with its 99th loss, the second-most in the American League.

When Hargrove was at the end of his stint with Cleveland, I heard from the grapevine at ESPN that there was a lot of carping by the players about Hargrove not being communicative. Or outright lying. Telling someone he's going to play and then not playing him. I don't know how true that was.

Hargrove is a safe choice for the Mariners. He's not going to do anything new or innovative. He'll bunt when he's supposed to bunt and change pitchers when he's supposed to change pitchers. Give him a great team and they'll win. Give him a bad team and they'll lose. I don't believe Grover adds anything to the mix.

This has to be one of the strangest firings of all time. Bob Melvin is out as manager of the Mariners:

During a 55-minute news conference, Bavasi spoke highly of Melvin and insisted the Seattle organization liked him.

"To the untrained eye, I'm talking out of both sides of my mouth," Bavasi said. "We just let him go, but I'm recommending him. In this crazy business, that fits because he will do things differently the second time. He had some bad luck here."

Bavasi insisted there were no relationship or communications issues with Melvin, and he acknowledged that Melvin probably didn't have enough talent on the field to win this season.

He candidly said team officials recognized holes in their aging lineup as early as March. They privately predicted other AL West teams would need to slip for the Mariners to be competitive.

Bavasi emphasized that the front office wasn't assigning sole responsibility for the rough season to Melvin, saying there was plenty of blame available and listing the front office, scouts, the manager and the players.

They don't have anything negative to say about the guy. They don't even say we need to go in a new direction. I'm confused. Here's the U.S.S. Mariner view of things, but it doesn't help much either. Any thoughts?

Larry Bowa has been fired as manager of the Phillies. That's what he gets for asking:

"When I got to the ballpark this afternoon, I got a call from Larry Bowa asking me to come see him," general manager Ed Wade said at a news conference. "He said he's been getting inundated with questions about his job status and wanted to know sooner or later."

"After a lengthy discussion, I decided the fairest thing to do was make a move at this time," he said.

It should have happened last year. I just wonder if Ed Wade will be around to select the next manager.

Omar Minaya is not moving with the Expos. Instead, he's been hired as head of baseball operations for the NY Mets. East Coast Agony comments here.

What the Mets have done is added another level of management between Wilpon and the the GM. In general, I don't like to see management pyramid getting higher. Now there's just one more person who needs to sign off on every decision. I don't know how much power Omar will have, but my first move would be to start firing the people below him who made the season's bonehead moves.

The Mets don't need a bloated bureacracy. Maybe Omar can stream-line management. I don't think he's a bad GM, but he may be in a bad position.

Jon Heyman sums up last night's Yankees-Red Sox game in Newsday:

Like water torture, the games can even look like encores, the re-living of a nightmare. This was one of those times.

Of all the classic Yankees-Red Sox encounters, beleaguered Boston had the misfortune to recreate Game 7 of the 2003 American League Championship Series Friday night. A few of the details were left out or slightly off, but enough of them were the same - including the main one, that Boston's great starting pitcher, Pedro Martinez, remained in the game too long.

The inning - the eighth - was the same. The final Pedro pitch count of 117 was in the same range as 2003. Two of the Yankees who delivered clutch hits off Pedro - Hideki Matsui and Bernie Williams - were the same.

One big difference is, Boston's manager will get to keep his job this time. For today, anyway.

I didn't see the game last night, but TIVO captured it for me. As I watched the NESN broadcast of the 8th, the Boston announcers didn't see to have anything to say about Pedro coming out for the 8th. Even after the Matsui HR, there was no second guessing. It was Eckersley on the post-game show that made the point:

It's a win-win situation to take him out after the 7th inning and nothing good could come out of him pitching in the 8th inning, and it didn't.

And Francona didn't help himself with this quote:

That's when Francona came out of the dugout to retrieve Martinez. At the very latest, Francona should have removed Martinez after Matsui's home run.

"If I run out there after two pitches, it would have looked like I wasn't making a very good decision before the inning," Francona explained.

Of course, if you lose a game that you should win, that even makes you look worse. At least Francona made the decision, rather than asking Pedro.

The Yankees magic number is four. They are going to win the AL East and have home field throughout the playoffs. The only good news for the Red Sox is that both Anaheim and Texas lost, so Boston's wild card magic number went down as well. Their magic number is four, and finishing against the O's and DRays, they should be able to win the WC with very little help from others.

Art Howe has been fired by the Mets, but will finish out the season. I'm not an Art Howe fan, but this was unfair. It was not Howe's fault that the Mets had a ton of injuries, then traded the farm system for a doomed shot at the pennant. I don't think Davey Johnson could have won with this team.

It looks like Larry Bowa's days are numbered in Philadelphia.

Bowa Ball has struck out.

Larry Bowa, whose intensity and toughness has been admired by legions of baseball fans in Philadelphia for 35 years, will be fired as Phillies manager after the 2004 season, multiple team sources have told Calkins Media exclusively.

...

Informed of the news, Bowa contacted Phillies general manager Ed Wade to discuss his job status. Wade later issued a statement to the media regarding Bowa.

"Larry Bowa will remain as Phillies manager through the end of the 2004 season," Wade said in the statement. "As is the case at the end of every season, we will sit down at that point to review and address the status of our players, our manager and his staff.

"Until that time, our sole focus will be on our performance on the field, and the Phillies will have no further public comment on this issue for the remainder of the season."

It just seems like Bowa grates on his players:

According to sources, Wade, whose job is safe, has conducted several one-on-one meetings with veteran players to discuss Bowa and the coaching staff in recent weeks. At least one player reportedly told Wade that he doesn't want to play in Philadelphia next season if Bowa returns. Team president David Montgomery also has been discussing Bowa with team employees. From these discussions and internal meetings, Wade and Montgomery came to a joint decision that a managerial change cannot be avoided, sources said.

Interestingly, knowing he's on his way out seems to have relaxed Larry.

In recent weeks, it appears Bowa has accepted his fate. When he talks about moves the organization may make in the coming offseason, he's often referred to the Phillies as "they" instead of "we." He's also shown a different side of himself to reporters, going from being cranky several days a week to being in a great mood on a daily basis before games, sometimes even cracking jokes.

I thought Bowa should have gone a long time ago. I wonder if Mike Schmidt is going to be his replacement?

There's speculation today about how long Larry Bowa will be the manager of the Phillies. It's based on Ed Wade not giving Larry a ringing endorsement, although Ed is far from saying that Larry's days are numbered.

Phillies general manager Ed Wade is one person tired of talking about it. He said several times in a pregame meeting with reporters that Bowa is the Phillies manager but declined to guarantee that Bowa would finish the season or continue to manage the team next season.

"I understand when teams struggle, and the way we are struggling right now, fingers get pointed and people want to discuss the pros and cons of all kinds of issues," Wade said. "Job status. Effectiveness of the club. Over-evaluation of personnel. All that kind of stuff comes into play. So I understand that.

"But at the same time, I don't think it makes a whole lot of sense to be out there just because it's sort of the topic du jour to have to put an official face on it all the time. My position hasn't changed. 'Bo' is our manager."

If Wade had given Bowa a complete vote of confidence, then I'd say he'd be gone by the end of the week. :-)

Jack McCaffery sees a different scenario; keeping Bowa around keeps Ed Wade's job secure.

But even as Bowa graciously engaged in job-security questions, something abnormal was beginning to take shape --- a strange-bedfellows dynamic that just might keep him employed into next season and beyond. In the oddest way, Ed Wade needs Larry Bowa now ..for protection. Just think about it: If Wade allows Bowa to play the injury card what else does it do? Why, it allows him, too, to play the injury card --- doesn�t it? More, it allows Wade to play the injury card while preserving the job of one of the most popular individuals --- still --- ever to wear a Phillies uniform.

"I�m not giving daily updates on Bo," Wade said. "He�s the manager. I�m not getting into the subject matter, with all due respect. I�m just not doing this every day."

During the Phillies� most recent road trip, leaks from responsible media outlets gushed that Bowa�s firing was imminent. Then, the Phillies won five of their final six on the trip and Bowa survived. Now, the odd alliance: Wade and Bowa protected by the same injury shield, with both reciting a familiar talking point. Can this team win? Bowa: "The key word: If they play to their expectations." See?

While a convenient approach to the disappointing season, it is not altogether absurd. Frankly, the players did not play to their capabilities, and that was not just according to management, but to the national baseball media and, proof of all proof, Las Vegas, which predicted greatness for them in the National League. Why? Some players just dipped. Others were injured. Billy Wagner barely played at all, causing irreparable harm to the bullpen rotation. But Wade might get away with playing a similar roster hand next season --- with a quasi-cosmetic change or two --- if he also brings back the popular manager. And Bowa remains popular, if evidenced only by the response at the defeat-ALS carnival Monday, even if it is a captive audience of charity-minded Phillies fans in no mood to be critical.

Frankly, I thought Wade should have fired Bowa after the Rolen fiasco. The fact that he didn't leads me to think that both should go.

Update: Tom Goodman believes that Rolen would have left no matter what. He just didn't want to be in Philadelphia.

Here's a good article from the Arizona Republic on Jeff Moorad's move from being an agent to being in a baseball front office. The union is wary:

His new job, however, does not sit well with the players union, which is concerned that Moorad has confidential information from his two decades of representing players.

Last weekend, Gene Orza, chief operating officer of the Major League Players Association, said the union wanted to investigate Moorad's appointment. Moorad said the two have talked, and he respects the union's position. Moorad declined to elaborate.

I get the feeling that there is a conflict of interest here as big as when Bud Selig moved into the commissioner's office as an owner. And it appears Moorad's advocacy for players skirtted the edges of being on the up-and-up. Remember Raul Mondesi?

I would think that MLB in the form of the owners has an actionable tort here. They should be complaining to the commissioner that Moorad and Mondesi, by simple virtue of soliciting bids for a new contract, are invalidating the breach of the original contract. After all, if he was going to be able to play three weeks after he went on leave, there are negotiated procedures in place to protect his and the team's rights. If he gets away with this, then every team is going to be hit with Operation Shutdown (I know that was different but the game's the same), and this case will give the player precedent to get his contract terminated.

However, I understand why he wanted to do something different. I've met quite a few lawyers who would rather be doing something else. Moorad is getting his chance.

Only Baseball Matters looks at the issue of the Giants losing money and concludes that it's unlikely.

Why have they been lying? What is the purpose of all this disinformation? That's what I don't understand. And more importantly, why take a championship team apart? For more money?

When the Florida Marlins dismantled their 1997 World Champion team, (many of whom ended up here in SF), owner Wayne Huzienga was widely derided as the worst kind of owner. He did it for the money, and he was honest about it; and the press and the fans vilified him. I know this isn't exactly the same, but three quarters of a championship-contending team has been lost in some 18 months, ostensibly because of financial burdens that appear to have been exaggerated, if not completely made up.

From a pure baseball fan standpoint, I stand by my original point: You absolutely have to take advantage of Barry's last seasons to get a ring. The Giants have not, to this point, and they've been telling us it's because they can't afford it, and it looks like they've been lying about that. Why?

The Giants are one of five teams (Cubs, White Sox, Red Sox and Indians) who have gone the longest without a World Championship. These teams have an obligation to their long suffering fans that when they have a chance to win to go all out to win. I agree with John, the Giants should be putting a team around Bonds that can win the Series.

I like this vignette from Gibbons first game:

Gibbons wanted to calm down closer Jason Frasor, something he'd done for years with pitchers as a catcher in the major and minor leagues. One could hardly fault Gibbons for some concern, considering the New York Yankees had drawn within a run and had the tying marker at first base with nobody out.

But Gibbons insisted with a straight face that neither he nor Frasor was the least bit nervous.

"I just told him, `No big deal. You've still got a one-run lead so just make your pitches and don't worry about it,'" Gibbons said after Frasor got the final three outs for a 5-4 victory in the series finale.

Frasor had looked up at his manager with surprise, despite having just surrendered a two-run homer to Hideki Matsui and walking Jorge Posada to get the Yankee Stadium crowd of 49,853 roaring.

"I guess I was more surprised to see him instead of (pitching coach) Gil (Patterson)," Frasor said. "He just said, `Relax, we're still up by one run.'"

It's always good to hear your boss say that he trusts you to do your job. Nice move by Gibbons.

Dr. Manhattan has more thoughts on the managers Moneyball GMs hire at Blissful Knowledge.

The Globe and Mail have a very good article about J.P. Ricciardi today, describing him as facing a consumer confidence issue. I find this quote amazing:

There are some managers with major-league track records who are available, such as former manager of the year Jerry Manuel and Davey Johnson, who played for Earl Weaver and was fiddling with computer printouts before most other managers knew how to find the power button and has always stressed on-base percentage. There has not been a situation Johnson hasn't faced, and he was interviewed for Blue Jays jobs in the past.

But Ricciardi said: "I just don't know Davey Johnson. I don't know if it's right to say that the next guy we hire is the guy who has to take us into the postseason."

"I don't know Davey Johnson?!!?" This is someone who uses computers to scout players. How many players did he draft whom he's never met? To know Davey, just look at his record. Look at the record of his teams before and after he managed them. J.P. wants a teacher? Davey brought the Mets of the 80's throught the minors and into the majors! What can't you know about Davey Johnson that a little research can't tell you? Ricciardi supposed to be a smart guy. Maybe he's not as smart as we think.

Carlos Tosca was fired yesterday from his job as manager of the Toronto Blue Jays. Former Mets catcher John Gibbons will take over for the rest of the season.

I liked the moves the Blue Jays made in the off-season. I thought they had improved the team. What the team couldn't afford, it appears, is to have its superstar, Carlos Delgado, fall to very mortal levels of production. I don't know how much the rib cage injury caused this performance; he's been hitting better in August. But if your plan for winning is to surround your superstar with a group of okay players, the superstar needs to produce.

On top of that, the pitching has been just awful since the break. In 205 innings, the Blue Jays have struck out 133 while walking 84. They've also allowed 33 HR. All those stats are near the bottom of the AL.

The question that must be asked on a Moneyball team is, how much of this is the manager's fault? Riccardi put this team together. Those of us who support this type of management would certainly be giving him credit if the Jays were succeeding. We need to assign Riccardi some blame for the failure as well. And what I want to know is why Moneyball GM's do such a poor job of hiring managers?

When Ricciardi hired Tosca on June 3, 2002, he lauded his new skipper's abilities as a teacher, a reputation Tosca honed in a lengthy minor-league career in which he managed 1,759 games. Ricciardi said the entire coaching staff will be under evaluation for the rest of the year and did not rule out the possibility of hiring another "teacher."

But with Ricciardi eyeing a timetable of 2006 or 2007 for the Blue Jays to be a serious contender, he may decide he can't afford to hire an unknown commodity for next season.

Why do they go for teachers like Tosca, or player's managers like Francona, or people with a presence like Art Howe? Why don't they go for someone like Earl Weaver or Whitey Herzog or Davey Johnson, who basically agree with their philosophy of running a baseball team without being obvious about it? Are these GMs afraid to share the limelight with a strong manager?

In Foundation and Empire, Isaac Asimov posits that a weak empire cannot have both a strong emperor and a strong general. That sort of group dynamic seems to be going on with Moneyball managers. There must be a Casey Stengel out there. Beane and his ilk are very good at finding undervalued players. Maybe they should find an undervalued manager to go with them.

Stephen Smith in the Philadelphia Inquirer wonders on whom the blame for the Phillies phall should be placed.

He bobs and weaves like a prizefighter, perpetually dodging bullets, a shrapnel-proof vest at the ready. Larry Bowa doesn't concede easily. The same could be said about how he absorbs blame. So go ahead and chide his belligerence, his penchant for limiting his own accountability and passing the buck. Just don't forget to add Ed Wade to the hit list.

It's time for these two to officially tie the knot. They've been living together for quite some time.

Bowa may be the lone ranger managing this crew, the one who can't find a consistent quality starting pitcher to save Philadelphia's postseason aspirations, and probably his job. But he isn't the one who went out and spent a franchise-record $93 million on this roster.

That would be the general manager.

The problem is, Smith doesn't try to present any evidence that the Wade has mispent the money, or that Bowa has mismanaged the team. The article comes across as a Bowa fan trying to blame someone else.

Wade put a good team on the field. What I see when I read boxscores and listen to comments by readers is that Bowa does not make moves that increase the probability of the Phillies winning games. Bowa should be the first to go. Wade appears to me to be a weak general manager (a strong one would have found a way to keep Rolen in Philadelphia), but that may be built into the job. I don't know if Wade has the ultimate authority to hire or fire Bowa or if that resides in the owner. I have a feeling Ed Wade is caught between a rock and a hard place in Philadelphia, and is doing the best he can to survive and win.

The White Sox re-acquired Carl Everett from the Montreal Expos. Maybe they should just sign him so they don't have to keep giving up players. :-)

All kidding aside, I'm glad to see the White Sox want to win. They've gone out and picked up Garcia and Everett, both significant moves. It's my opinion that teams like the Cubs, White Sox, Red Sox, Indians and Giants have a responsibility to their fans to try to win a World Series as early as possible. When one of these teams have a chance to win, they need to make moves to improve their teams, to go the extra mile to win the world series, even at the risk of losing something in the future. The White Sox, the last two years, seem to realize this.

Reports are that Jimy Williams has been fired and replaced with Phil Garner. Williams downfall appears to be related to the disapperance of power from Bagwell and Berkman. Since June 1st, the dynamic duo have hit .233 combined (58/249) with on five HR. The Astros are 17-21 over that time.

I'm not sure what Williams could have done better. I've always heard that Bagwell and Biggio took it upon themselves to be the motivators on that team. I find it hard to believe that Garner will be able to light a fire under Jeff, since he's so competitive anyway. If his right shoulder is hindering his ability to hit, then the Astros need to put Bagwell on the DL and find a first baseman who can hit. Phil Garner motivational skills won't put the strength back in Bagwell shoulder.

Bob Brenly was fired today as the manager of the Diamondbacks. This has been in the air for a while. I thought that with managing like this, he deserved to go.

Al Pedrique is his replacement. Al was not a great hitter. In 174 major league games, he post a .298 OBA and a .298 slugging percentage. I guess he won't be a hitting coach. :-)

Soccer Dad takes a look at just how popular the Orioles are in the Washington area:

The other thing to keep in mind is that in the Washinton area the Orioles went from being broadcast on WTOP to WTEM to WTNT. In other words (according recent Arbitron ratings) went from a station with a 3.7 share to a 1.6 share to a .2 share. By this reckoning Orioles games in the DC area reach less than 1/18 of the audience that they used to! Clearly it wasn't a moneymaker for all news WTOP. It wasn't even a money maker for all sports WTEM!

It's my feeling that there's more than enough fans in the Washington area to support two teams. I agree with Soccer Dad that a little competition might make the Orioles better.

In looking at the first round selections in today's draft, the one that surprised me the most was Los Angeles' first pick. They took Scott Elbert, a left-handed pitcher out of high school. Now, it was my belief that DePodesta thought you didn't draft pitchers out of high school, especially in the first round. So either this pitcher is exceptional, or DePosdesta doesn't have as much control of the draft as Beane had in Oakland.

Back in February, I noted an article about the Orioles using psychological tests to help determine who would make good pitchers, and what in what roles those pitchers would be most comfortable. Almost two months into the season, I thought it would be interesting to go back and revisit that story. Unfortunately, the Baltimore Sun link has expired, and you have to pay to get to the story. Nonetheless, so far, I'd say this method isn't working. The Orioles are last in AL in ERA, and are trailed only by the Colorado Rockies. Now, it could be that this method is great, and the Orioles haven't had time to implement it fully. But from the original story, they have used it some over the years. In fact they used it to make Arthur Rhodes a set up man.

Well, Rhodes was moved into the closer role with the A's this year. He's doing okay. He's saved 8 of 11, which is okay. His ERA is about the same as last year. He's striking out more batters, but he's also walking more and allowing more HR. But overall, he hasn't been a disaster as a closer.

So far, the scorecard has the Orioles psychology 0-2. When you introduce a new method, it's not good for it to be a miserable failure in it's first season. It tends to make others think it doesn't work.

In their 1991 Major League Handbook, STATS, Inc. first offered projections for the next season based on Bill James' work, including projections for minor league players who might make the big team in 1991. When Peter Gammons reviewed the book, he noted that STATS had predicted that Jeff Bagwell would win the NL batting title in 1991. Bagwell didn't win the batting title, but he had a great rookie season. As Bill James told me later, if Bagwell hadn't played well in 1991, no one would have believed in the validity of the system.

So my guess is a lot of baseball people are going to be pooh-poohing the Orioles use of these tests. That's too bad, because I believe it's going to take a while to see if these really work.

Doug Pappas has a post on the flow of revenue sharing money. Not surprisningly, the Yankees are by far the biggest donors. And, with the exception of the Milwaukee Brewers, the teams receiving the money appear to be using it to develop their farm systems. As the A's and Twins are showing, the way for a low revenue team to stay competitive is to let free agents go and keep a steady stream of good talent coming out of your minor league system, while filling holes with "bargain" players.

I saw this article about Ralph Nader complaining about advertising on baseball uniforms yesterday, and said to my wife, "I think Ralph has finally gone senile."

Presidential candidate Ralph Nader called the advertisements on uniforms during Major League Baseball's season-opening series an "obscene embarrassment" and sent a letter of protest yesterday.

If Ralph thinks that's obscene, he hasn't surfed the web much. :-) I grew up thinking Ralph was the only honest man out there, someone who was really interested in protecting me. That started to fall apart when I read an article in the New Yorker a few years ago on how Ralph and his cronies pushed through air bags on cars, even though improvements in seat belts would be cheaper and safer. (Note: It's funny how all the good New Yorker articles I remember are written by Malcolm Gladwell.) Somewhere along the way Nader started believeing his own publicity and went from useful agitator to useless megalomaniac. I thought it was unusual for Bush to complain about steriods in his SOTU address, but at least those are illegal and Bush does have a solid connection to sports. As far as I know, it's perfectly legal for people to sell advertising for display at events like baseball games.

Doug Pappas discusses Nader here.

I hereby apologize to all the self-righteous columnists whose one-note rants about steroids have come in for so much mockery here. When it comes to self-important, factually challenged Grand Pronouncements to no real purpose other than to proclaim the speaker's moral superiority to his audience, no one compares to Ralph Nader. Yes, the man who could best serve his stated causes by blowing his brains out with a shotgun has turned his pen, and his ego, back to the world of baseball.

Of course, Doug doesn't like this form of advertising, and he appears not to like what baseball will be doing soon:

According to a report by Brian Steinberg and Stefan Fatsis in today's Wall Street Journal (no link yet, maybe later):

"Under a design nearing approval by MLB, the center of the top of first, second and third bases will be adorned with a 7.5-inch-square 'Spider-Man 2' logo consisting of black and yellow webbing against a bright red background. Home plate will remain white." Pitching rubbers and on-deck circles will be similarly decorated.

Of course, decorating the rubber and the bases is against the rules (emphasis added):

1.06
First, second and third bases shall be marked by white canvas bags, securely attached to the ground as indicated in Diagram 2. The first and third base bags shall be entirely within the infield. The second base bag shall be centered on second base. The bags shall be 15 inches square, not less than three nor more than five inches thick, and filled with soft material.

1.07
The pitcher's plate shall be a rectangular slab of whitened rubber, 24 inches by 6 inches. It shall be set in the ground as shown in Diagrams 1 and 2, so that the distance between the pitcher's plate and home base (the rear point of home plate) shall be 60 feet, 6 inches.

Frankly, I'd rather see a big Spiderman Logo painted in centerfield. And to tell the truth, if painting a big Coca-Cola sign in the outfield, or wearing Ford patches on their sleeves helped the Royals compete with the Yankees, I'm all for it. In fact, I welcome it. I'm sick of commercials. Baseball games are 15 minutes longer than they need to be because TV stations need to sell more ads to pay for broadcasting the games. Television as a whole should go to product placement within shows to give us more content. Broadcasters can now superimpose any image they want on the screen, from 1st down lines in football to lead lengths in baseball. ESPN puts up ads on wall behind home plate. Let's see more of those and faster baseball games!

Racing is covered with ads. The cars are covered, the drivers are covered, and it's the most popular sport in this country. (ESPN used to make all it's money on auto racing, and if they pre-empted a race with an important pennant deciding baseball game, the switchboard would light up.) Ads on the field and ads on the uniforms (think how much Randy Johnson is worth) are not going to change the excitement of the game or the fans enjoyment of the game. With the potential to cut down on between innings advertising, they might even make the games go faster. I wonder how much they'd change to put a Baseball Musings logo on the catcher's chest protector?

First, I want to send my best wishes to Mike Port and his family. Mike is in the hospital recovering from a heart attack. Let's hope he's recovered and back to work soon.

And on the contract front, Manny Ramirez says he's willing to defer salary to keep Pedro and Nomar in Boston. That's very generous, especially as the Red Sox tried to dump his contract over the winter.

When asked after Sunday's game if he were joking, Ramirez reiterated his offer.

"I am serious," he told a reporter. "I want Pedro to stay. Pedro's the heart of the team. He's been here so long. I think it's going to be a sad moment to see him leave. That's why I said what I did. It's really no problem for me. Hey, how much money do I need?"

Ramirez told the Herald that he was also willing to defer money to keep Nomar Garciaparra in a Red Sox uniform.

Bernie Williams, in the same article, takes a pretty good dig at the Boston team:

"I'm just glad that I don't get paid to make those decisions," Bernie Williams was quoted as saying in the New York Post. "He's one of the great pitchers of his generation and it'll be interesting to see where he ends up next year. ... It's hard for me to talk about Pedro, but I think he would want an opportunity to play for a team that wins."

Ouch.

There appear to be cheerleaders at the Marlins game. I really like the Marlins, but cheerleaders would be a big negative in my mind. There seems to be some discussion of it here.

When I'm scoring games, I'm using a Tivo to record while I score the earlier innings. That way, I can go back if I have to and get an accurate read on what's happening. One thing I do, of course, is fast forward through the commericals. And I noticed something interesting. Last night I was watching the KC broadcast of the Royals game, and the network always had about 20 seconds to kill when they came back from commericals between innings. I'm watching the Devil Rays broadcast today, and they are constantly missing the first pitch of the inning. Do the Devil Rays really get more advertising dollars that the Royals? Or is it that the DRays are on Fox Sports Net, and have to absorb all the Fox promos?

A funny thing happened on the way to the Angels domination of LA. The Dodgers started winning. They have the largest lead of any first place team in baseball. Granted, they aren't any better than the Angels; so far they've just been luckier (Dodgers have outscored their opponents 75-73; the Angels have outscored their opponents 93-92). But the Dodgers winning at the start of the season will keep their fans in their ballpark; long term, the Angels may be better off with Moreno at the helm. But the Dodger have DePodesta, so even if the Dodger's debt makes them cut salary, DePodesta knows how to put a low price, quality product on the field. All in all, it looks like a great time to be a baseball fan in LA.

Patrick at the house that dewey built links last night's Red Sox game to game 7 of the ALCS.

Allen Barra gets it right on Steinbrenner.

Idiots Write About Sports writes about the political contributions by the owners and executives of MLB teams.

This list does not surprise me. During the 50th anniversary celebration of Jackie Robinson's debut, I asked Bill James why black baseball players had not been as radical in the 1960's as their counter parts in football, track, boxing and basketball. Bill's explanation is that baseball is a very conservative game. The people who run and play the game tend to be to the right politically.

Mariners Wheelhouse has a devestating post on Bavasi's use of statistics when it comes to minor leaguers:

The quotes by Bavasi from both Thiel and Ryan Wilkin's (via Jay Jaffe) dovetail nicely. Bavasi simply does not believe that minor league statistics mean anything.

Thus, we see the Mariners pattern of acquiring toolsy toolsy minor leaguers and young players who haven't done squat. I like the last part of the Bavasi excerpt: "I have a hard time answering the question of how statistical analysis helps you below the majors. I'm going to return to squat -- veteran scouts, not younger scouts." Bavasi gets squat from squat.

Bavasi, the anti-Beane.

The New York Times has an excellent article on how the Yankees are preparing themselves for the trip to Japan.

Scott Brown of Florida Today has an excellent article on Omar Minaya. He explores his history and his philanthropy. Also, be sure to check out the portrait Zach Day drew of Omar.

I haven't been following the Dodgers very closely, so I was surprised to see how much animosity the McCourts have generated since buying the team.

In his first day on the job, Frank McCourt said, "I want to re-energize the relationship between the community and the Dodgers."

Since then, he has done nothing but damage that relationship with hollow rhetoric and public personnel battles that have threatened the beloved opening day buzz.

And the fans are writing in with their opinions (via Doug Pappas):

I can't agree with Bill Plaschke's March 17 description of the McCourts as "more naive than nasty." Ever since this pair of Boston carpetbaggers managed to leverage and finesse their little deal with Fox and Major League Baseball, they have shown themselves to be consistently arrogant in their posturing and empty talk.

They make only the slightest pretense of being here for any purpose other than putting our baseball team to sleep so that they can further their real estate plans for Chavez Ravine. There seems to be a real meanness to Frank and the not-so-charming Jamie, in the classic sense of that word.

Maybe it's time for them to start listening instead of talking so much. Perhaps then they'd realize that we don't really like what we've seen of them so far, and don't believe that they like or respect us, the baseball fans of Los Angeles.

Aren't the baseball fans of Los Angeles the ones who leave Dodger Stadium in the 7th inning?

The McCourts have not connected with the fans, and they look even worse when compared with Arte Moreno in Anaheim. I'm somewhat surprised that they haven't made a deal for a hitter yet. The McCourts coming in and giving the impression that they wanted to win this year, and then not doing anything to improve the team is poor public relations. Still, he hired DePodesta, and I find it hard to believe you'd hire someone that good if you weren't interested in winning.

Joe Nossek was supposed to be Ozzie Guillen's bench coach. He was going to be Zimmer to Guillen's Torre; the guy who would whisper in the manager's ear to remind him of strategy and personnel changes. But Nossek is gone for health reasons, and the White Sox are scrambling for a replacement:

Guillen indicated he wants to stay within the White Sox "family." The most logical choice is Jeff Torborg, who managed the Sox in 1989-91 and was Guillen's boss with Montreal in 2001 and Florida in 2002 and part of `03.

Torborg might not know the American League like Nossek_no one does_but the former catcher has managed almost 1,400 big-league games and watched perhaps another 1,400 as a broadcaster.

Carlton Fisk, who talks about getting back into baseball as a manager or coach, would be a big risk-big reward type of hire. He has a brilliant baseball mind but, like Guillen, never has run games.

Is there anything Guillen could do that would be more popular with the fans? It's true Fisk and Reinsdorf are not on good terms, but Reinsdorf probably could fix that with a one phone call (albeit a long phone call).

Fisk's presence on the bench would be huge. He certainly could tutor Miguel Olivo and probably help the pitching staff along the way. He has said he's not sure if he wants to tackle the grind of a 162-game season, but this would be a chance to take the job for a test drive.

Harold Baines, who serves as a special-assignment instructor, would be an easier choice. He already knows the Sox players, and vice versa. He and Guillen have a bond. But, as with Fisk, his lack of managerial experience is a drawback.

My feeling is that Torborg would be the best choice of the three. Fisk or Baines would be so popular that they would overshadow Ozzie.

Kay McFadden reviews the new Mariners TV ads. I like the clapper, myself. :-)

Colby Cosh links to two interesting articles here. The first is on Coleman Griffith, the first baseball psychologist and his tenure with the Cubs. The second is an interview with the last living pitcher to face Babe Ruth.

I accidentally deleted this post. Here it is again.

Glenn Berggoetz and Jeff McBride have done some research on managers and found what is to me a suprising result. They've asked me to publish this on my website. Here's the article.

Do Catchers Really Make the Best Managers?

For the last hundred years, the baseball world has accepted as fact that former catchers make the best managers. But do statistics prove this out?

Adding up the wins and losses of every manager from 1871 to 2003, and categorizing the managers into eleven groups based upon the position they played the most games at as a major leaguer (the tenth and eleventh categories cover outfielders as a whole and those managers that did not play in the majors), reveals the following winning percentages by position:

              Pos          WP
               LF         .510
               1B         .506
               3B         .506
              DNP         .503
               2B         .502
               OF         .502
               P          .502
               RF         .499
               SS         .497
               CF         .496
               C          .490

As you can see, the statistics reveal that catchers make the WORST managers. In fact, catchers are far and away the worst managers, with the largest gap from any one position on the list to the next coming between centerfielders in tenth place and catchers in last place.

But maybe straight-up winning percentage paints a false picture. Not hardly. Catchers rank low just about any way the numbers are broken down. For instance, when comparing the percentage of managers that managed at least 1000 games and posted a winning percentage of .500 or better, catchers come in last - again, far out of tenth place. Here's the breakdown in this category:

               Pos     .500+       %
                P       4/5      80.0%
                1B      7/9      77.8%
                3B      7/9      77.8%
                LF      5/7      71.4%
                SS      6/9      66.7%
                OF     17/26     65.4%
                CF      7/11     63.6%
                RF      5/8      62.5%
                2B      8/13     61.5%
               DNP      7/12     58.3%
                C      11/24     45.8%

Catchers also rank low in many other categories. When it comes to the percentage of all managers that have posted a .500 record or better, catchers come in seventh (leftfielders are first). Catchers come in sixth for number of games managed per World Series championship (rightfielders are first). They also only place sixth for percentage of managers by position that captured a World Series title (secondbasemen come in first here).

Yet catchers dominate in other categories. They are first in total number of games managed. First in total number of managers. Fourth in length of tenure (secondbasemen lead this category). All this despite their consistently poor performance.

The only stat catchers can be even mildly proud of is the total number of World Series they have won as managers, where they place second behind the outfielders. Considering, however, the number of games catchers have managed compared to the other positions, it's hardly a stat catchers can brag about.

For example, firstbasemen and rightfielders have combined to manage 22 World Series championship teams, while managing a total of 48,949 games by 94 different managers (an average tenure of 521 games). Catchers have managed 20 World Series winners while having 111 managers manage 71,208 games (an average tenure of 642 games). Once again, catchers display nothing special when directing a team.

An interesting comparison to make comes when comparing catchers' managing statistics against the position that is generally accepted as making the worst managers - pitchers. Let's compare the two positions in six major categories: total number of managers, total number of games managed, average tenure (in games), winning percentage, percent of managers with a winning record, and percent of managers that have managed at least 1000 games and posted a winning record.

                           Pitchers       Catchers
   Number of managers         53             111
   Games managed            24,454         71,208
   Average tenure             461            642
   Winning percentage        .502           .490
   Percent with winning 
        record               43.4%          35.1%
   Percent with winning 
        record (1000 games 
        managed)             80.0%          45.8%

For the last 133 years, pitchers have consistently outperformed catchers in the managing arena, yet pitchers are routinely overlooked for managing posts (not a single former pitcher managed even a single game in 2003 while ten former catchers led teams), and are fired sooner while winning more often. A look at the numbers leaves little doubt that the belief that catchers make the best managers is a myth. The obvious fact is, catchers make the worst managers.

Given this data, my question is, why did catchers become so popular to hire as managers? Was there a great early manager who was a catcher? Do catcher just talk a good game?

My other question is, how much does Connie Mack, as a managerial outlier, effect this research? Mack is credited with managing 53 seasons. His record in that time is 3776-4025, a .484 winning percentage. So he's going to drag down catchers by giving them a boost in longevity while taking down their winning percentage. From looking at the charts presented, I don't think it makes a big difference. Connie, of course, couldn't be fired because he owned the team. I would be interested to see what the first chart looks like with Mack taken out.

Ozzie Guillen is definitely trying the positive thinking approach to winning ballgames:

Getting off to a good start may be even more important considering it's Guillen's rookie season at the helm.

"It's a period for me to learn to show myself and my team," Guillen said. "I want to show them what kind of team we're going to have."

Not only does Guillen want to instill a winning attitude in the Sox, he also wants that attitude to spread all the way to Chicago.

"It's special for the fans to start to believe what kind of team we have," he said. "This year we came here to win as many games as we can and get the people excited back in Chicago."

Winning in Arizona is important to Guillen for this reason. It that way he seems to be taking a page out of Tony Pena's book. Pena and the Royals had a great record in the Cactus league last year (best in the majors), and turned that into a strong start and a winning season. However, I do worry about Guillen's baseball strategy.

Nonetheless, Guillen has shown glimpses of how he plans to manage. He's going to put runners in motion and try to make something happen at every opportunity.

"I'm excited. I'm already seeing hit-and-runs and bunts," Wunsch said. "That stuff pumps me up because that's what makes baseball exciting."

Exciting yes, but will one-run strategies win games?

Mike Thompson at Mariners Weblog points out that the Mariners are the fourth richest sports franchise in the US in terms of revenue. Maybe they could have afforded to keep A-Rod after all.

Scott Jeffries sends me this article on signing young players to long term contracts to avoid arbitration. When it worked so well in Cleveland, I was surprised other clubs didn't adopt the strategy. Good to see Hart is still employing it.

Greg Auman of the St. Petersburg Times look at how the Blue Jays are getting better despite spending less money.

In a division that is home to baseball's biggest spenders, the Blue Jays have spent the past two seasons going in the opposite direction of the Yankees, Red Sox and Orioles.

Not in the standings, but rather in the checkbook. The Yankees' payroll now tops $180-million, the Red Sox also clearing nine figures, and the Orioles spent big to bring in free agents Miguel Tejada and Javy Lopez.

The Blue Jays, meanwhile, have trimmed their payroll from a projected $88-million when J.P. Ricciardi became general manager in 2002 to a svelte $50-million for this season. And despite those cuts, last year's Jays finished 86-76, eight games better than a year earlier.

"This is probably going to sound foolish, but we don't really pay attention to what the Red Sox and Yankees do," Ricciardi said. "We pay attention to addressing the things we need to do, and we think we have a better club than last year."

Ricciardi appears to be patient enough to wait for good things to happen:

"We'd like to be better than the year before, and every year if we can do that, it's all we can ask at this point," Ricciardi said.

"Hopefully, we're good enough that when that little break happens, we can take advantage of that opportunity."

Ricciardi knows that luck can play a big role over the course of a season. If he can keep the Blue Jays near the 90 win level, luck can take that total to 95. And that's in the range where injuries to the Yankees or Red Sox would put his team in the playoffs.

ESPN is about to interview Paul DePodesta. I'll let you know if he says anything interesting.

Update: DePodesta was asked what would be the difference between LA and Oakland, and Paul said that moving to LA opened up a world of opportunity because the whole poplulation of players was available to him. He was also asked if he was going to use the pitching depth to acquire a right-handed bat. He said that was a possibility, but would not commit to that strategy. He also praised the scouting and player development of the Dodgers for laying a good foundation for building the team back.

Another example that signing big free agents helps the ball club at the gate:

In the week following Feb. 7, when tickets went on sale, the Orioles sold 1,200 new season ticket packages. That adds up to about 60,000 tickets and already puts the club near the amount sold for all of last season. In the next week, overall ticket sales will approach 1 million, Brightman said.

Meanwhile, the season ticket renewal rate is almost double that of last year, and the number of new season ticket sales is more than double that of last year.

Interest in tickets has been so high the team had to hire temporary staff to handle the call volume, said Don Grove, senior director of sales and fan services.

"The phone volume is out of control," he said. "The level of interest is comparable back to when the team was in the playoffs -- of the big years when there was a lot of Cal events going on."

When free agency first hit baseball, some people thought it would destroy the game. Instead, fans wanted to come out and see what these high priced players could do, and interest in the game (and revenue) grew. Once again, fan interest is following the movement of the big names (and salaries).

There are lots of great posts over at Doug's Business of Baseball Blog. Start here and keep scrolling.

To comment on a couple of Doug's posts, I find it interesting that in the article on the Minnesota stadium proposal, the extended tax isn't a new tax. The tax was going to disappear. As a voter, I would be upset if a politician tried to pull that on me.

Doug also comments on HBO's Milwaukee's Best which aired the Brewer's dirty laundry. Doug doesn't believe the Brewers management has been corrupt of venal, just imcompetent. I say, why not all three?

The Bench Coach links to an interview with Paul DePodesta on Baseball America, and comes away with the impression that DePodesta will be more flexible in drafting high school players than the Oakland A's were. I found something very interesting in the article also (Emphasis added):

Whether Los Angeles outdrafted Oakland in the last two years and has a better farm system�we rank the Dodgers second, the A's 17th�is, for now, a subjective opinion. DePodesta prefers cold, hard facts.

Which is fine with White. He believes in analyzing data from past drafts to find ways to do his job better. The Dodgers have done studies similar to the one Baseball America did last spring, which showed that high school picks yield a higher percentage of above-average big league regulars and stars than college choices.

"Paul likes research and reasons, and I'm into statistics and analysis too," White says. "He's open if you can prove to him what you're saying is accurate. I'll have information to show him."

Now, the draft is not one of my strong points, but the way I understand the research I've seen, is that it's perfectly fine to draft position players out of high school, but high school pitchers are a huge risk. In general, the younger a hitter is when he gets to the majors, the more likely he is to have a terrific career. But pitchers seem to do better in the majors when they've gone through college. So it's perfectly reasonable to have a mixed draft strategy.

Dave Metz of Talking Baseball has a much more complete look at why ticket prices are going up. (Here was my brief take on the subject.)

Juan Vilafane makes, I believe, a flawed argument in his comment to this post on baseball economics:

I'm a yankee fan, but what there doing is ridiculous. when does the roof come in to play? higher team salaries mean higher ticket prices. Higher ticket prices mean less and less middle and poor people being able to attend games. that cant be good after all there is a hell of a lot more middle class and poor people than there is rich. isnt there? put a 100 million dollar cap for every team and bring prices down. after all how many good to great games have you seen since teams began passing the 100 million mark?

Juan has this backward. Higher salaries don't drive ticket prices higher. Higher ticket prices drive salaries higher. And what drives ticket prices up? Higher demand. As long as the Yankees are drawing over 3 million fans a year, their ticket prices seem about right to me. If the Yankees were to cut the payroll to $100,000,000 and still have a winning team, they would not cut their ticket prices one bit. There is no reason to do so. They would just make more money. It seems to me the Yankees make so much money that they can just concentrate on winning. Lower ticket prices with the same demand would just mean the scalpers would make more money.

Ralph Nader accuses John Henry of being a puppy squasher! :-) Good thing Boston Dirt Dogs is all grown up. There goes the all-important Green Red Sox vote!

John Geer sent me the link to this fascinating story on how the Orioles are using a psychological test to help them choose players to draft and trade.

Frank Marcos, head of the Major League Scouting Bureau, said, "As popular as [psychological testing] is, I'm not sure many teams go as in depth as Baltimore. They're at the forefront."

Why have the Orioles jumped in so deep? They believe Ritterpusch's conclusions are a breakthrough.

"The test isn't new, but the interpretation is new," Flanagan said.

Personnel executives have long believed that desire was a key to success; teams that used psychological tests did so primarily to identify that quality.

But Ritterpusch startlingly contends drive is less important than several other qualities.

"The old cliche about 'the guy who wants it the most will get it' - it's a myth," he said.

Winslow, the test's godfather, is surprised and impressed.

"Dave has taken this beyond what anyone else has done in baseball," Winslow said. "It's a step beyond conventional research. He has found specific and valid correlations between the data and why pitchers are succeeding and failing. And not just pitchers in general, but starters and relievers. He has broken it down that far.

"I have seen what he has done. It isn't a hypothesis."

It appears that the Orioles have done with this test what Beane and DePodesta did with batted ball locations. They have figured out which psychological attributes are most important for success. So given two players with the same overall ability, the Orioles are now going to take the one with the higher psych scores.

This underscores my point about there being many different ways to win baseball games. This is sabermetrics of a different form. It's another way to find good young talent, and young talent is cheap talent. How long the Orioles will have this edge is unclear, but it seems to be working for the Twins and the Braves.

The AL East is certainly becoming the test bed for how to win. You have the Blue Jays, Red Sox and Orioles all trying new things. In front of them is the prize, the New York Yankees. If one of these upstarts can unseat the king, acceptance of these methods won't be far behind.

It keeps growing. Billy Beane has appointed David Forst assistant GM to replace Paul DePodesta.

Forst graduated from Harvard in 1998 and was a four-year baseball letterwinner, earning third-team All-America honors in 1998.

"David is one of the bright young minds in the game today," said Beane, whose club reports to spring training Saturday. "This is his next step toward what promises to be a long and successful career as a baseball executive."

There's something I want to add to this post. Moneyball isn't acquiring slow players with good OBA's, or pitchers with strange deliveries who strike a lot of people out. It's about acquiring undervalued talent. There's a big difference between the two. I believe, as Beane and others continue to succeed with the strategy, other teams will adopt the perceived strategy, not the actual stratgey. So teams will start signing high OBA players, overvaluing them. That is going to leave a different class of players undervalued. So in five years, the undervalued players in baseball might be high batting average, low OBA players. They might be speedy centerfielders. They might be pitchers who get a lot of ground balls but don't strike out many batters. And at that point, the real moneyball players will exploit those players. And because there are many ways to win ballgames, they will continue to find a way to win.

Aaron Schatz pens his first piece for The New Republic Online on the spread of sabermetrics in baseball front offices. He the adpotion of these methods by teams with great resources (Dodgers and Red Sox) will make it harder for teams like Toronto to compete.

No, the real losers in the Rodriguez trade are the Toronto Blue Jays, who also play in the AL East and are run by Ricciardi, another Beane disciple. The division has reached the point where Toronto has almost no chance of making the playoffs--despite managing its resources in an ultra-efficient manner--because it is competing with two other teams that also have relatively intelligent management, plus more than double (the Red Sox) or triple (the Yankees) its resources. Yes, the regular season can always produce some surprises, and every year some team outperforms expectations. But the AL East's five teams (New York, Boston, Toronto, Baltimore, and Tampa Bay) have finished in the exact same order for six years in a row. And one can understand why: No matter how smart Ricciardi is, how many chances for arbitrage can he find that Epstein or Yankees general manager Brian Cashman won't find as well?

Unfortunately, thanks to the mainstreaming of sabermetric techniques that DePodesta's hiring signifies, the future of Major League Baseball probably looks a lot more like today's AL East than the league Michael Lewis brings to life in Moneyball. In the end, the revolution pioneered by Billy Beane and the Oakland A's may make the market for baseball players a lot more efficient. But it won't make the game any more competitive.

Aaron had written me with some questions before submitting the piece, but one answer that didn't make the final edit was on the subject of Toronto being able to compete with New York and Boston. Here's my take on it:

I have to say yes. The way the system is set up, players don't cost you an arm and a leg until they become free agents, at which point they've played six years. Unless you are like A-Rod or Robbie Alomar who came up at 19, most players are not free agents until they are past their prime. So in general, the team that drafts a player is going to get that player's best years.

Now it's a lot easier, given unlimited resources, to hire good players rather than draft them. So teams with lots of money will tend to spend their resources on free agents rather than the farm system. That's pretty much what has happened with the Yankees. Teams without a lot of cash will do the opposite; they develop players, bring them to the majors, get their six years out of them, and let them go. If you do this well enough, you will always be able to have a decent team on the field. In addition, you'll have resources you can trade for veterans when you need to fill a hole to put you over the top. You just have to stay close, and let luck work it's magic.

Remember, there are many different ways to win in baseball, none much better than the others. Some just require more work.

Update: JC at Old Fishinghat also disagrees with Aaron.

Eric Neel of ESPN.com has a spot on article about how to win against the big boys in baseball. My favorite paragraph:

You market your small-market: Sell the underdog story. It's the oldest, truest, most inspiring tale in the big book of sports stories. You're the rag-tag band of rebels, and A-Rod, Jason, and Jeter are manning the Death Star. Saddle up. Make every seat sold a slap at the overfed overlords in Gotham. Hand out Steinbrenner voodoo dolls with every paid admission. Let the people inflict some pain and defy some odds. Let them in on the revolution. Then buy some ad time and have your players read underdog speeches on TV: The "St. Crispin's Day" speech from Shakespeare's Henry V -- "We few, we happy few, we band of brothers; For he today that sheds his blood with me shall be my brother!"; Kennedy's "Ask not what your country can do for you" speech; Rockne's "Gipper" speech; and so on. Rouse the masses. Make loving your outgunned-but-plucky crew the hip thing to do. It'll be good for revenue, and good for creating enough good will and latitude to try some unorthodox drafts, signs, and trades.

He might have included George C. Scott's opening speech from Patton. This paragraph is a close 2nd:

You ignore the so-called competitive imbalance: This is old-school. It's Norman Vincent Peale and the power of positive thinking. Whining about what the Yanks can do and what the little guys can't do is just that: whining. It poisons the well. Kills fan interest and short-term revenue, gives players a reason to be satisfied with less, and most important, distracts from the mission of finding combinations on the field and in the farm system that will work. The Twins have been better at this than any other small-market team. From GM Terry Ryan to manager Ron Gardenhire to the guys in the locker room, the message and mood are consistent: "This is the hand we're dealt. Now let's go play."

The whole article is well worth the read.

Joe Torre will be interviewed on CNBC in a few minutes if you can tune in.

Julie Jette reports on a speech by Michael Moritz in which he puts forward the thesis that Billy Beane is a model venture capitalist. (Hat tip to Steve Timberlake.)

There's a lot of things I like about the Red Sox organization, but statements like this aren't one of them:

"One thing is certain the status quo will not be preserved," Henry wrote.

"There must be a way to cap what a team can spend without hurting player compensation ... without taking away from the players what they have rightfully earned in the past through negotiation and in creating tremendous value. There is a simple mechanism that could right a system woefully out of whack."

Oh boo-hoo. Cowboy up the money, John. Or stop whining and use your sabermetic brilliance to beat this team with a cheaper payroll. This is just typical Red Sox negativity. I thought this group would be above that.

The San Diego Padres have picked up the option on Bruce Bochy's contract, giving him at least one more year with the Padres.

Bochy has the most wins of any manager in team history and has compiled a career mark of 694-746. With six more wins, Bochy will join Atlanta's Bobby Cox and New York Yankees skipper Joe Torre as the only active managers with at least 700 wins.

Well, that last statement isn't true, unless you mean with their current team. But Bruce is now the 2nd longest tenured manager in the NL behind Cox. Not bad for someone with a below .500 record.

A big story in LA, there are four articles about DePodesta in today's LA Times. The first is the basic news story. It's interesting that Paul is trying to allay the Moneyball fears.

"I'm not looking to make changes in scouting, I'm looking to change the way we do business," DePodesta said. "I'm open to new ideas � that's how we became successful in Oakland�. What we'll try to do is take everything into account when we make a decision. We're not going to only rely on statistics or only rely on scouting reports. It's all going to play a part in the process�.

"The games are not played by computers. It comes down to whether players can perform in critical situations. There's a human element to this that is not measurable. You have to mesh everything into the decision-making process."

"A part in the process." Notice he doesn't say how big each part will be. He's being a good politician, ambiguous enough that everyone can think what they want to think.

Ross Newhan looks at the way DePodesta might be unconventional, comparing him to Beane and Ricciardi. When he talks about Dan Evans stocking the Dodgers farm system, Beane gives him a great quote:

Under the deposed Dan Evans and scouting director Logan White, a long-fallow Dodger farm system improved from 28th to 14th to fourth among the 30 teams in annual rankings by Baseball America. DePodesta saluted the work of Evans and White in that regard and said there are now some "real studs" in the system.

However, it was Evans' refusal to trade any of his elite prospects for the needed power hitter that may have contributed to his firing, and DePodesta seemed to be making a point in that regard when he said a farm system serves two purposes: restocking the major league club and providing trade fodder.

From Oakland, DePodesta's former boss was even more pointed.

"The object is to win games at the major league level," Beane said by phone, "and not to run around waving a flag and saying how great your farm system is and how much it has improved."

Bill Plaschke is somewhat dismissive of DePodesta, based on his age and his mathematical accumen.

The Dodgers have a new voice, and it speaks in megabytes.

Meet General Manager.Com, otherwise known as Paul DePodesta, a 31-year-old computer nerd who was hired Monday to rid the Dodgers of their, um, virus.

"I'll admit, there's some boldness to this," said owner Frank McCourt. "But that's exactly what we need to do to change things around here."

Change it they have, from Branch Rickey to Little Rickey, from Buzzie Bavasi to Bill Gates, from wise old men who trusted effort to a kid who relies on � equations?

Finally, T.J. Simers is downright hostile. He seems to be dismayed that the Dodgers only got the 4th best GM prospect as rated by Baseball America.

BEYOND THAT, I know the Dodgers called a news conference Monday to tell everyone they had just hired the fourth-best GM prospect available in baseball to run their storied franchise. "We got No. 4, We got No. 4, We got No. 4."

I found it interesting the Dodgers would quote such a thing from Baseball America in their own Paul DePodesta news release, so I asked the Boston parking lot attendant who borrowed everything to buy the Dodgers if there was a reason why he hadn't hired Nos. 1, 2 and 3 on Baseball America's list of top GM prospects.

And there was. He had no idea who they were. Some exhaustive search.

However, if you look at the list, DePodesta is at the top in terms of people who use statistical analysis as the basis for their decisions. So if you believe in that, Paul would be your #1 choice.

I think he's going to be great, just as Theo has been great for Boston and Ricciardi has been great for the Blue Jays. Paul will find a way to keep the Tommy Lasorda wing of the Dodgers happy, while building the team his own way. LA fans should be very excited about this move.

The AP reports that the Pirates are nearing deals with Raul Mondesi, Randall Simon and Urgeth Urbina. This appears to be the second year in a row where the Pirates waited until the last minute to pick up some decent veterans, who will be tradable to a contender come July. It appears that Littlefield's plan is to sign veterans cheap, but a decent enough team on the field, then trade for prospects once the Pirates are out of contention. That, coupled with low draft picks from a few years of poor finishes should be giving the Pirates a pretty good minor league system. Does anyone have info on what the Pirates AA team looks like this year?

There has been speculation in the A-Rod trade post about who will play 2nd base for the Yankees. Of course, the Yankees have a MLB second baseman under a minor league contract, Homer Bush! This would be great for HR record fans. A-Rod would chase Hammerin' Hank, while Homer Bush chases Homer Summa!

John Harper of the NY Daily News writes that Lenny Dykstra is back with the Mets as a special-assignment instructor and scout. I always thought Lenny had a lot of Pete Rose in him. But unlike Pete, Lenny seems to have changed:

So already he's beaten the odds that some former teammates would have given him. It was no secret that Dykstra ran as hard off the field as he did on it during his heyday, which once prompted fellow scrapper Wally Backman to predict privately, "It'll be a miracle if he lives to see 40."

Oh, he's living, all right. Has a house at the Sherwood Country Club in L.A., home to Tiger Woods' high-profile charity tournament every December and one of the most exclusive golf addresses in the country. Such is the payoff not just for Dykstra's career with the Mets and Phillies, but a line of successful car washes and real-estate holdings that have catapulted him into a business world where he's doing deals with Fortune 500 companies such as the Penske Corp.

As a player, Dykstra was always motivated by money, or glue, as he called it. What has changed, he says, are his priorities. He's a family man now, as happy being a husband and father of three sons these days as he was driven to chase glory and good times as a Met.

"I've changed, I've grown up," Dykstra said. "I'm a man. I'm not afraid to say it - I was wild in those days. Hey, I had great times. I was blessed to be able to live that life, but I've moved past that. I've dedicated myself to my family. I'm doing what's right."

And Dykstra actually offered an insightful comment on the game today:

Dykstra as a shrewd talent evaluator no more jives with his old "Hey, dude" image than Dykstra as a business tycoon. But he always had an instinctive feel for the game that made him far savvier as a player than he liked to let on.

Or as he puts it, "I was always dumb like a fox. I liked to set pitchers up, and I knew how to work the umpires. I'm not saying I'm smarter than anyone else, but you've gotta know what you're doing to succeed in this game. You have to know situations.

"I don't see that anymore. I see guys up there, down two runs in the ninth inning, hacking at a 2-and-0 pitch with no one on base. You can't hit a two-run home run with no one on. A lot of it has to do with money, I know that. But if you want to win, there are ways you have to play the game."

I hate those 2-0 swings in that situation myself, especially when the pitch is out of the strike zone. Maybe Lenny can teach the youngsters a thing or two.

Correction: Fixed broken link.

Robert Targorda is giddy that ESPN is reporting that Paul DePodesta will be named GM of the Dodgers this weekend.

Of course, I think it's a great move. I do wonder, however, how much splitting up the Beane/DePodesta team will hurt both. They complimented each other perfectly. Beane's a great salesman. DePodesta's a great number cruncher. Will Paul be as good selling players to other clubs? Will Billy be able to find another creative mind like DePodesta? We'll see if and when the deal is final.

Eric McErlain of Off Wing Opinion set me a link to this article by Paul DePodesta, the assistant GM of the Athletics. It's not published as a baseball article. It's title is "The Genesis, Implementation, and Management of New Systems." He discusses how the A's challenged everything they thought they knew by asking the question, �If we weren't already doing it this way, is this the way we would start?�

He also quotes from The Structure of Scientific Revolutions by Thomas Kuhn. I've talked about that book in reference to the A's before, so it's nice to see I'm on the same page as DePodesta.

Read this article, not just because you're interested in baseball, but because it applies to so many things we do in life.

Also, be sure to follow the link to Off Wing Opinion for an article on how Rick Peterson is applying biometrics to the Mets pitching staff.

Update: The above link no longer works. It appears the speech was pulled when DePodesta got the LA job. However, you might be able to find it here.

Looks like the signing of Ivan Rodriguez by the Tigers is already paying dividends:

The Tigers sold a single-day team-record $160,000 worth of tickets Monday, the day they announced signing the 10-time All-Star catcher to a four-year, $40-million contract.

Tuesday, the Tigers did even better, and Wednesday topped $100,000 again.

"Hall of Fame players don't drop on your door step every day," senior vice president Jim Stapleton told the Associated Press. "There's no question he's made a significant impact."

And each one of those tickets is going to bring in additional revenue when the fans come to the park and by food and other items. And if the Tigers put on a good show, more might even come out on game days. The best scenario is that I-Rod jumps starts them to more revenue, which allows the team to continue to develop, obtain and keep better players.

John Fay breaks down the Reds payroll and finds it's back to the level at Cinergy field:

The club's victory over Chris Reitsma in his arbitration hearing put Reitsma's salary at $950,000, meaning the team has $42.25 million committed to 13 players. The guess here is Adam Dunn will make around $700,000, and Austin Kearns will make around $500,000.

That puts the payroll at $43.45 million. The other 10 players will be at or near the big-league minimum of $300,000. So let's say they'll make a total of $3.5 million. That makes the payroll roughly $47 million. Throw in another million for about three guys on the disabled list, and you get $48 million.

The Opening Day payroll for the final year at Cinergy Field was $48.5 million, if you count all of Ken Griffey Jr.'s $12.5 million salary (as the Reds do), even though nearly half of it is deferred.

Last year, the Opening Day payroll was bumped to $59.3 million.

Now is the time for the Reds to lock up Dunn and Kearns for the long term. Both will be seasonal age 24 this year. The best six-years of their careers are ahead of them. Given continued improvement, their salaries are going to skyrocket next year with arbitration. Offer them six or seven million dollars a year for six years. The Reds and the players will both save arbitration costs and the bad will that goes with that. And if they turn out to be great ballplayers, the Reds will have gotten them cheap.

Jay Mariotti of the Chicago Sun-Times rips into the White Sox management for not signing Magglio Ordonez to a long term contract. Part of his screed is due to a fanfest gone bad, where Jay was accused by Hawk Harrelson of being negative.

Is signing Ordonez long term a good idea? Here's what Ordonez wants (from the Jay Mariotti column):

Basically, he wants a contract in line with recent deals signed by comparable players -- Vladimir Guerrero's five-year, $70million deal in Anaheim and Miguel Tejada's six-year, $72 million deal in Baltimore. Considering Ordonez has stayed healthier than Guerrero, never has hit below .300 and is good for 30 homers and 120 RBI every year, his demands are more than fair. He's 30, in the prime of his career and sure to be productive another five seasons. As South Side no-brainers go, keeping Maggs is right up there with ordering the kosher dog without onions at the stand behind home plate.

"I think I have market value similar to that of Vladimir and Tejada,'' said Ordonez, apparently not bummed about his proposed role in the aborted Nomar Garciaparra trade. "It could be even more if you take into account that the market is going up again. I want a five- or six-year contract so I can relax and be in one place for a long time. I hope that can be in Chicago, a city that I like a lot.''

There are some assumptions here that I think are incorrect. First of all, a 30 year-old player is not in his prime, he's just past it. I would think it is more likely that you are going to see Ordonez's production decline over the next five years. Magglio is very good, so that decline may still leave him a productive ballplayer, but you can't depend on his numbers staying this good for that period.

Tejada and Guerrero are two years younger. That makes a big difference. Both are better ballplayers than Ordonez, and they still have a few years before their declines are likely to set in. Given that, I'd set Ordonez below $12 million a year.

Also, I don't understand why Ordonez thinks the market is going up again. I assume he means the market for player salaries. With insurance difficult to get and management realizing the value of flooding the market with free agents, I don't see a lot of upward pressure on salaries.

Given these caveats, however, I agree with Jay that the White Sox should sign Ordonez. I'd make it $40 million for four years. That's a fair price, and it does appear that White Sox fans need something to make them believe this team is committed to winning. Ordonez is an excellent player and a fan favorite, so it's worth the money to keep the base intact. If Jay is right, and Mags remains highly productive during that time, and Mags is right and the market rises, he'll be able to get another big contract when this one is up.

Update: One of commentors below disagrees with my assertion that Tejada is a better player than Ordonez. Bascially, over the last three years, Ordonez is over 100 points better in on-base+slugging than Tejada. He asks the question, "How much is playing SS worth over playing OF?"

Win shares gives a clear advantage to Tejada:

Win Shares by Year	Tejada	Ordonez
2003	25	23
2002	32	26
2001	25	25
2000	23	22

The best that Ordonez has been able to do in the last four years is be even with Tejada. So defense at shortstop can make up for 100 points in OPS.

Eric Herman of the Chicago Sun-Times details the Cubs lobbying efforts in 2003:

Most of that money went to Piper Rudnick, a La Salle Street law firm that collected $100,000 in fees from the Cubs in 2003. The remaining $13,000 went to Jasculca/Terman and Associates, a politically connected public relations firm.

The Cubs' city lobbying expenditures doubled in 2003 from the previous year, records show. In 2002, the ball club paid $35,000 to the law firm Shefsky & Froelich and $17,500 to the Jasculca firm -- a $52,500 outlay.

The Cubs organization hired the firms to push four pieces of City Hall business, each designed to bring in more revenue for its Tribune Co. parent, which also owns the Chicago Tribune and WGN-Channel 9. The team sought to increase the number of Wrigley Field night games to 30 per season from the current 18; to add 2,000 seats to the outfield bleachers; to keep Wrigley Field from being designated a landmark, and to add about 200 premium seats behind home plate.

So far, the team is batting one-for-four.

The Cubs lost the landmarking fight, limiting the owner's discretion about changes to the historic structure. But the designation allows the team to build the seats behind home plate -- something contractors will do in time for the 2004 season, if possible. And though the Cubs still have not secured permission to add bleacher seats, the landmarking does not prohibit it. A deal for more night games foundered in the City Council last year, but one person involved said a deal could happen before Opening Day.

$113,000 To get what you want from city hall? That's a lot cheaper than a rookie sensation, and probably a whole lot more profitable.

Nick Schulz and Robert Tagorda each comment on this post about the relative importance of OBP and Slugging. Each brings up the use of speed on the Oakland A's. Nick thinks speed is more important in the post season than the regular season. Robert wonders why Beane doesn't make better use of the speed he has (emphasis added):

Nick's right to suggest that the speed debate is much more complicated than the A's approach indicates. On the one hand, Billy Beane seems right to argue that speed is overvalued, and as a low-budget team, Oakland should probably take advantage of this "market glitch." On the other hand, he seems too reluctant to use speed even when he has it. This raises a question: if you're giving a fast player a certain salary, and the amount reflects his attributes, shouldn't you get the most out of your investment by turning him loose, especially since you're financially strapped?

I don't agree that Beane is reluctant to use speed. Yes, the A's only attempted 62 steals last year, tied with the Blue Jays for last in the majors. But they were successful 48 times! That's 77%, a very good percentage. In other words, the A's are using their speed when it has the best chance of being successful. My guess is that the A's set the threshold for attempting a steal at an 80% chance of working. If you set it there and get 77%, you're still doing fine. If you set it at 75%, and attempt a lot more, you may wind up with a 72% success rate, and now you're close to breaking even. I beliieve if the A's were presented with 200 chances a year of an 80% success at stealing, they would attempt 200 steals. It's good percentage baseball.

As for Nick's point that speed matters more in the post season, that's something I'll have to explore. Little things can get magnified in the post-season. Someone like Orel Hershiser or Gene Tenace can have a much bigger impact than they ever would over a whole season. So it's quite possible that speed can have a bigger impact in a post-season series, but I'm not sure that it will have that impact as a rule.

It looks like the Altoona Curve will lose their manager, Dale Sveum, to the Boston Red Sox. According to the Altoona Mirror, Sveum will become the new third base coach of the Red Sox.

Sveum is one of those players who had a long career based on a great 1987 season. That was the year HR jumped temporarily, and Sveum hit 25. He stayed around until 1999 despite never being any good again.

Doug's Business of Baseball Blog has a link to DugoutDollars, a new site that is tracking salary information. I've always found salaries a bit difficult to find on the internet, and Michael Sirhari is doing a bang-up job. This will be a very valuable resource for future discussions. Stop by and say hi.

Here's an excellent article by Dave Sheinin of the Washington Post on the changing landscape of baseball economics.

With baseball's free agent signing period almost over, the size and length of player contracts have fallen for a second straight offseason, threatening to upset the tenuous labor peace the sport has enjoyed since its new collective bargaining agreement was signed 16 months ago.

The owners' strategy of flooding the market with players and exercising financial restraint has created a new economic climate in Major League Baseball that is forcing players to accept deals that are shorter and less lucrative than those signed by free agents in previous winters.

It also has intensified the union's examination of the owners' negotiating practices and resurrected suspicions that the owners are conspiring to keep salaries low. "We may not be very far from raising charges" of collusion, one union source said.

Sheinin makes some good points as to why this is happening:

• It's tough to get insurance.


• Owners are aware that past huge contracts have been mistakes.


• Bargain hunters. (I'll call this the Billy Beane effect.)


• The flood of free agents.

The last is a point I've made in the past. Here's Sheinin's take on it:

Suddenly, the supply of players is outrunning the demand.

"We've had a role reversal," said William B. Gould IV, the former chairman of the National Labor Relations Board who helped broker the end of the 1994-95 strike. "In the 1970s when free agency was first established, the clubs were very anxious to limit the number of free agents. . . . Now, the clubs are anxious to create 'more' free agents because they realize the laws of supply and demand will cause prices to drop."

This winter, a record 211 players filed for free agency. Teams added another 58 players to that marketplace on Dec. 21 by declining to offer contracts to, or non-tendering, their arbitration-eligible players. With teams willing to wait for prices to drop after the non-tender date, some free agents felt pressure to sign early so as not to be shut out when the extra players hit the market.

"For second-tier players and below the market has changed," said Baltimore-based agent Ron Shapiro. "The teams seem to wait longer and have moved themselves from a bidding process to a buying process."

I love the way he sums up the article with these quotes:

"There have been some clubs that have been very aggressive, and some not very aggressive due to their financial situation," said Dombrowski, whose team is trying to recover from a 119-loss season. "Some players have made lots of money and some haven't. It's a free market, and decisions are made on individual basis. I always chuckle when I hear [talk of collusion] because, frankly, some players we've pursued are not even interested in talking to us."

The players and their agents have a slightly different take. "What has happened over the last two years, unfortunately, is vindication for the union [for saying] that the owners didn't need new a system. They needed to use the current system more effectively," Berry said. "The question is, are they using it too effectively?"

A more effective use of the system. The free agent system worked for the players for so long because owners wanted to get rid of it and go back to the old days of the reserve clause. They spent so much time trying to figure out how to destroy it they never bothered to figure out how to work it to their advantage. Now they are seeing the light. I don't know if the union will be able to prove collusion. I don't even know if it exists. But for the first time in my memory, the teams have figured out how to use the system as well as the players.

Over at the raindrops, Avkash looks at the sale of the Dodgers and a bit of a scandal at the Great American Ballpark.

Jon Weisman at Dodger Thoughts has much more on the McCourt purchase of the Los Angeles National League franchise. He strikes a very cautionary tone. (Hat tip: Priorities and Frivolities)

Frank McCourt makes me feel powerless.

He could be the next great disaster for the Dodgers. Or, he could be a hidden treasure of, well, adequacy.

But how disturbing is it that after Thursday's press conference to discuss his purchase of the team, there is nothing that actually inspires confidence? Every potential positive statement made by or about McCourt had to be qualified.

Whatever the future holds, good or bad ... today, the Dodgers really seem to belong to someone else. Maybe this feeling will go away, but they don't feel like the city's team right now. They don't feel like our team.

McCourt compares his ownership to that of the Red Sox. However, the Boston ownership moved immediately (and consistently) to impress upon Red Sox fans that they were running the team for the fans. From Jon's post, McCourt failed to do this.

Also, congrats to Jon on being tapped for a radio interview about the purchase! I've believed for a while that weblogs and radio have a natural synergy, and I hope more of my fellow bloggers will be finding their way onto the airwaves soon.

Frank McCourt has been approved to buy the Dodgers:

"Welcome to a new era of Dodger baseball," McCourt said during a news conference at Dodger Stadium. "I intend to restore the glory days of Dodger baseball with a team worthy of support from our fans."

The price is the second-highest for a baseball team, trailing only the $660 million paid for the Boston Red Sox two years ago. The highly leveraged purchase, likely to be finalized within a week, probably will set off the third change in management in six years for the marquee franchise, which hasn't advanced to the playoffs since 1996.

He's missed most of the good free agents, so I wouldn't expect the Dodgers offense to get much better this season. My guess is that by the end of the season, this will be a very different Dodgers organization.

I saw this link at Bronx Banter about Stuart Sternberg buying a controlling interest in the Tampa Bay Devil Rays. However, Vincent Naimoli remains the managing partner:

Sternberg, 44, is unknown to Major League Baseball. A former executive of the options-trading firm of Spear, Leeds and Kellogg, which Goldman Sachs bought on Sept. 11, 2000, for a reported $6.5 billion, Sternberg does not have an option to buy out Naimoli and become the team's managing partner, a baseball official said.

There's a man after my own heart. If I made 100's of millions of dollars in a business deal, I'd go out and buy a baseball team. My guess is that Naimoli has a price, and eventually Sternberg will find it.

Rob Neyer pens a superb column on why Ivan Rodriguez and Greg Maddux are still looking for jobs. He also includes this interesting tidbit:

It's a risky bet, though. And more now than ever. Because -- as Bill Madden reported in Sunday's New York Daily News -- insurance companies are significantly more conservative these days than they used to be, when insuring the contracts of baseball players. Before 2002, the sky was the limit and you could insure just about anything. That terrible Mo Vaughn contract? Insured, and so it wound up costing the Mets relatively little (which is something, by the way, that we almost always fail to consider when we're talking about a team that's wasted a great deal of money on a player who got hurt).

Anyway, no more. According to Madden, the insurers won't cover any contract that runs more than three seasons, and even when they will insure a contract, it's "only for injuries unrelated to any previous injuries."

Here's the Madden column. So the insurance companies have done something the owners were never able to do themselves; drive down the value of players contracts. The effect is two fold. If the owners can't insure the contract, they will offer less money and/or a shorter time period, so they are not stuck with a long-term guarantee. If players are getting short term contracts, they become free agents more often, meaning that you have a high supply of free agents every year. High supply drives down prices. (Why sign I-Rod if Javy gives you a better deal?)

So it may not be smarter GM's or owners or collusion that's causing the soft free-agent market. It may just be that insurers are unwilling to take on the risk. Who would have thought it?

Twins' GM Terry Ryan made a tour of central Connecticut, where the Twins' AA team, the New Britian Rock Cats are located. Ken Lipshez of the Middletown Press has the story. Ryan is very high on Joe Mauer:

The Rock Cats� player pipeline to the big leagues was a major topic of conversation with Joe Mauer at the forefront. Mauer, the minor league player of the year who will still be just 20 come opening day, is the heir-apparent to the catching position vacated when Ryan dealt former Rock Cat A.J. Pierzynski to the San Francisco Giants.

"We think Mauer�s about ready and we�re going to put him on the fast track," Ryan said. "I didn�t think it was healthy to have Pierzynski and Mauer together. Joe Nathan (12-4, 2.96 ERA with SF in �03) is a good pitcher and losing (Eddie) Guardado and (LaTroy) Hawkins, we had to beef our pitching up.

"I think everybody who�s been around Joe Mauer thinks he�s mature beyond his years. Every place he�s been he�s been a winner."

The Selig family is selling the Brewers. Good. That will end the conflict of interest Bud has commissioner. The team has a low payroll and makes money and plays in a new stadium. I would suspect you could buy the team cheap; maybe someone as smart as Arte Moreno will turn up in Milwaukee.

Eugene Volokh looks at the Cubs case against the remaning rooftop owners, and thinks the misappropriation claim is stronger than the copyright claim. He also cites a case that involved STATS, Inc., and a product I helped program.

I saw this link at Baseball Primer about the Reds instituting pitch counts for their minor league pitchers. Part of it is to try to prevent injuries, but a more interesting part comes from Tim Naehring:

Although the prevention of injuries is expected to be a fringe benefit of the new plan, Reds player development director Tim Naehring said that isn't the primary reason for it.

"Coming out of college, with aluminum bats, these guys are used to pitching away from contact," Naehring said. "We're trying to teach these young pitchers at an early age to pitch to contact, which means trying to command the fastball and get the hitter out early in the count. When you only have 75 pitches, you better be pretty effective with the way you use your pitches if you want to stick around until the fifth and sixth innings."

Another aspect of the program is that each pitcher will be required not only to develop a changeup, but to use it on at least 10 percent of his pitches in every game, regardless of whether he has perfected it. And finally, pitchers at those levels will be presented with a list of requirements they must meet before becoming eligible for promotion to the next level.

"It's sort of like elementary school, where you have to pass first grade before you can go on to second grade," O'Brien said. "I'm not saying it will be that way in every case, because you might have an injury that necessitates an individual being promoted when he hasn't mastered all the ingredients at that level. But by and large, the program we have put in place is going to make it clear to the athlete what is expected at that level. After that, it's up to him."

I like this idea. It's like the A's rewarding minor leaguers who get on base well. It will be interesting to see how it develops over time.

Last year the Brewers' slogan was "It's Coming Together." It didn't. Since they didn't win last year, you might think they'd spend their money on new players. Nope. They have a new slogan.

Now after a tumultuous off-season in which the team's top executive resigned and the franchise's credibility sank to a new low, the Brewers are stressing a dual work ethic that emphasizes the team's desire to play aggressive baseball and the way Brewers' fans like to have fun at Miller Park.

"It's The Way We Play" is the new Brewers slogan and will be the centerpiece of the team's print, radio and television advertising, promotion and marketing beginning in February.

The new campaign was developed by the Zizzo Group Inc., a Milwaukee marketing communications agency brought in by the Brewers late last year.

The Brewers might want to try winning. That does more to bring fans to the stands than the best slogan.

Update: I think the first comment below says it all.

The MLB owners will be meeting in Scottsdale, AZ today. Here's a look at what's on the agenda.

Owners also may discuss a proposal to start a baseball channel, similar to networks started by the NFL and NBA.

Eighty years after the introduction of radio made gave baseball the opportunity to bring live games to a mass audience, baseball has finally realized that mass media helps, not hurts the game. Rather than resisting the internet, baseball has come up with a good coordinated policy that allows people all over the world to listen to games at a pretty low price. They also are allowing most games to be seen in all markets for about $150 a year, also reasonable for a baseball nut like me. I like the idea of a baseball channel, although, like the reports on MLB.com, you have to wonder if the reporters will really be objective.

The Cubs and rooftop owners have reached an agreement where the Cubs will get a share of rooftop revenue:

While the settlement does not affect the team's continuing wish to add about 2,000 bleacher seats at Wrigley, the rooftop owners argue that by taking a cut of the profits from each seat, the Cubs in effect get their expansion, a source familiar with the rooftop owners' side told The Tribune.

"This deal does not mean we are letting down our opposition to an expansion or that it paves the way for an expansion. Our view is, with this agreement, the Cubs have gotten their expansion," the source told the newspaper.

Another source close to negotiations said: "It's an amazing deal for the Cubs. They are just handed $2 million for doing nothing."

Maybe they should use the extra money toward signing a premier free agent. Seems both sides really win in this. The rooftop owners continue to get a view into Wrigley and rake in millions of dollars, and the Cubs get a nice piece of the action. Now, if the owners could just start acting this way with the players...

Jay Jaffe writes:

Jon Weisman (Dodger Thoughts: http://jonthoughts.blogspot.com/)
linked this LA Times article today (http://www.latimes.com/sports/printedition/la-sp-
angels12jan12,1,4698224.story?coll=la-headlines-pe-sports ) which contains this quote buried fairly deep:

With major league owners scheduled to vote this month on whether to approve the bid of would-be Dodger buyer Frank McCourt, a source said Sunday that McCourt asked Commissioner Bud Selig whether some owners might vote against him if he spent freely to acquire Guerrero yet presented a financing package heavily dependent on loans. Selig offered no assurances, the source said, and McCourt sent word to General Manager Dan Evans to cease talks with Guerrero.
- Bill Shaikin, Los Angeles Times

While Weisman says this article casts doubts as to whether McCourt can afford the Dodgers, I think the real question is whether Selig blackmailed him out of the pursuit of Vlad, and whether that can be seen as some form of collusion.

I'd be interested in seeing the flames fanned on this one, so I'm passing it around...

I don't know about collusion, but it appears to be that in order to get into the club, you can't appear to want to be George Steinbrenner. So, if McCourt goes into the purchase saying he's going to do whatever it takes to build a winner, the "players are bleeding us dry" crowd isn't going to be too pleased. I suspect right now, they are not very pleased with Mr. Moreno, although in no way, shape or form did he over pay for Vlad. But there's not a lot the owners can do now that Arte is one of them. You have to be careful until you're a member, then you can go wild.

There's some speculation that Shawn Green will be moving to first base this year.

The workout began with all the attending players running and playing catch in the Dodger Stadium outfield except Green, who was taking grounders hit by coach Glenn Hoffman at first, with manager Jim Tracy providing instruction.

"There is a possibility we may move him to first base," Tracy said. "I don't make out my lineup on the ninth of January. We're venturing in that direction a little bit to see if we go there. Let's go over there and take some ground balls, let's just introduce this.

"The only reason I'm over there is I made a transition fairly similar. If we do go in that direction, I think he'll do a tremendous job. If it's best for Shawn Green to play first base, he'd be willing to do that."

Green had surgery on his right (non-throwing) shoulder Oct. 14. He said he feels fine and should be 100 percent by spring training.

The Dodgers have been fairly quiet in the free agent market this year, but that may be changing soon:

A vote on the sale of the Dodgers from News Corp. to Boston real estate developer Frank McCourt could take place next week when baseball owners meet in Scottsdale, Ariz.

Evans acknowledged the pending sale has complicated matters a bit during the offseason.

"I'm not saying adversely complicated," he said. "Our goals haven't changed, and our targets haven't changed. We're aware of what we have to fix -- we know we have to improve ourselves offensively. Our pitching is pretty much intact from last year."

If the sale does go through next week, it will be interesting to see if the Dodgers get involved with the remaining free agents. You would expect LA to have the money to go after some of the big names. With a private owner, I would not be surprised to see the Dodgers spending more money.

Martin Fackler of the Wall Street Journal has an interesting article on semi-pro Japanese ballplayers coming to the United States (link requires subscription). If you don't subscribe to WSJ.com, see if you can pick up a print copy, it's worth the read. It seems the economic downturn in Japan is causing business to close down their corporate league teams.

As Japan's big companies undergo drastic restructuring to weather the long economic slump, many of them are shutting down their cherished corporate baseball teams. Only about 80 corporate teams are left today, compared with 237 in the early 1990s. More than 100 former industrial-league players have reluctantly left for the U.S. in the past five years, according to Japanese and U.S. officials.

These players are a different breed from the big-name Japanese pros, who arrive in America with fat contracts and their own interpreters. Eleven Japanese played in the major leagues last season, part of a rush that began in the mid-1990s when pitching star Hideo Nomo joined the Los Angeles Dodgers. The former industrial leaguers are more like Japan's legions of salaried workers who are seeing the certainties of lifetime employment vanish and are thrust into a new, more competitive global stage.

This could be a boon for the independent minor leagues in this country:

"We see a lot more Japanese players coming over now, many in pretty dire straits," says Mike Marshall, director of operations for the Northern League, one of nine independent minor leagues in the U.S. and Canada.

In Japan, the demise of the industrial leagues is causing worry that Japan is losing an important means of nurturing young players for its professional baseball league. But for the U.S., it is a boon, especially for the farm clubs and independent-league teams below the majors. Eager to tap this new lode, Mr. Marshall in November held his first tryout in Japan's western city of Kobe, jointly with scouts from the Seattle Mariners and the Minnesota Twins. After watching more than 130 players, he chose six potential candidates.

With all the news you hear about American jobs going overseas, it's nice to see the National Pastime is bringing foreign workers here.

Dan Duquette is back in action running a team. This time, he'll be running a collegiate summer team:

Duquette told the Berkshire Eagle that he's received preliminary approval from the New England Collegiate Baseball League to move the Thread City Tides of Willimantic, Conn., to the Dan Duquette Sports Academy in Hinsdale.

NECBL officials did not return telephone calls seeking comment, but said earlier this month that an owner of a sports camp in the Pittsfield area wanted to bring a team to the Berkshires.

Pittsfield lost its independent league team to New Haven, so at least there will be some baseball in the area this summer. I had never heard of this league before, I'll have to check it out this summer.

Jan from Wellesley send a link to this NY Times article by baseball business expert Andrew Zimbalist:

"The Brewers made it clear that if we built a modern, state-of-the-art stadium, it would provide them with the resources to field a winning baseball team," Thompson, now the secretary of health and human services, said. "The Brewers need to put an end to the games. They need to invest in a winning team."

Other politicians are more outspoken. Referring to the family that owns the Brewers, State Senator Mike Ellis said, "The Seligs just scammed the living dickens out of the people of this state."

They not only scammed the state, they appear to have scammed the rest of baseball:

Meanwhile, the Brewers' ownership has decided that the team cannot be competitive in the near term. The opening-day payroll was reduced from $52.7 million in 2002 to $40.6 million in 2003 and to a projected $30 million for 2004. (The Brewers have dumped the salaries of seven of their higher-paid players from last season.) Fans want to know what happened to the promise of a competitive team.

Fans might also want to know what the Brewers are doing with their revenue-sharing money from Major League Baseball. During the labor negotiations, Bud Selig, who put his 30 percent interest in the Brewers in a blind trust after becoming commissioner in 1998, reportedly insisted that the new agreement restructure the revenue-sharing plan so that the third quartile of teams receive a proportionately larger benefit than the bottom quartile.

His family's Brewers just happen to be in the third quartile and just happen to have increased their net revenue-sharing receipts by more than any other team. It rose from $1.5 million in 2001 to $9.1 million in 2002 to an estimated $18 million in 2003, according to a financial analysis the Brewers provided to potential investors in July.

The labor agreement is clear that each club must use its receipts "in an effort to improve its performance on the field" and that the commissioner "shall enforce this obligation." Thus, the Brewers appear to be violating their covenants with the people of Wisconsin and with the players' union, as the commissioner seems to be idly standing by.

Selig, as commissioner, has not acted in the best interests of baseball. He's acted in the best interest of his pocketbook. I don't know why the other owners have allowed him to continue in this job. I've assumed it was one of two reasons:

• Selig knows incrimnating things about enough owners that he can't be touched.


• The other owners don't care that much, and since Selig is willing to do the work, they let him be commissioner.

I guess we're stuck with him for a while. When he's replaced this is the system I'd like to see used. Maybe then we'll get someone who is more interested in an owners-players partnership than stealing from his fans and peers.

Alex Belth at Bronx Banter pens a thoughtful piece on what's going on with the Yankees, partly in response to Buster Olney's piece, and partly in response to the Nick Johnson trade. He's much more upbeat about things than I am. He quotes the 1988 Baseball Abstract and comments:

Does any of this feel familiar? Yes, the Yankees have essentially given up on developing players for the next few years. The players they have developed are now veterans. But the old Columbus shuttle isn't as frequent as it used to be. If this were the old days, Jeff Weaver's head would be spinning more than Jim Beattie's did. Yes, George is acquiring proven stars to lead the way, a ploy that ultimately failed during the eighties. But from what I can tell, the Yankees are doing a relatively good job of identifying their needs. They needed a right fielder, and are going after the best--OK, maybe the second-best--one available. They needed to upgrade their bullpen, and went out and signed Gordon and Quantrill (who are a far cry from the likes of Osuna and Acevado). They need starting pitching, they traded for Javier Vasquez.

I don't see a Steve Kemp or a Jack Clark yet, although if they sign Kenny Lofton he would fit that category just fine.

He also points to a John Harper Daily News article that shows Cashman still has power.

Where I would disagree with Alex's analysis is that the Yankees don't have to crash and burn. As an example of this, I'll point to Atlanta. Every year, Atlanta seems to be able to point to their weaknesses and address them. And every year (expect 1994) they've won the division. They don't let the team get old and stale. They improve with a combination of free agent signings (Pendelton, Sheffield) and bring up youngsters (Justice, Millwood, Lopez, Furcal, Giles). And they don't seem to destroy their farm system doing it either. If everything works out, the Yankees win the division again this year. But Jeter, Williams, Giambi and Posada become bigger question marks every year health wise. It doesn't take much bad luck to see those four hurt , and then where is the offense?

I agree the moves the Yankees are making aren't as bad as the moves they made in the 80's, but I think the treadmill is moving, and it possible that it will reach high speed very quickly.

The Reds hired Dave Miley as their manager last night, removing the interim title from his name. I think the most interesting part of the story is the last paragraph:

Miley's minor league teams won 1,115 games and lost 841.

That's a .570 winning percentage. You would think that if a team's minor leagues had been that successful, it would have translated to success at the major league level. Miley's record leads me to believe that at the major league level, the Reds have squandered opportunities over the years. It also makes me believe that Miley is a pretty good manager, and I look forward to watching him closer this year.

On the other hand, Lonnie Wheeler of the Cincinnati Post wonders why he only received a one-year contract:

Could the puzzling delay in Miley's hiring have had anything to do with the rumors of Pete Rose's reinstatement? Could Miley's one-year contract -- a curious arrangement for an organization that vows to have a plan and stick with it -- have anything to do with the possibility that Rose will be reinstated with a one-year probationary period, which might mean that he could manage a big-league team in 2005?

For Miley's sake, and baseball's, let's hope not. There are plenty of swell jobs that the Reds could make available to Rose, but manager is not one of them. You might recall that he was managing the Reds when that pesky little betting thing came up.

We'll see.

The Red Sox have made it official, Terry Francona is the new manager.

Francona said he knew it was a perfect fit as soon as he came to Boston to interview with general manager Theo Epstein.

"I went home knowing this was a place I wanted to end up," Francona said. "All of the things they seem to believe in - communication, open and honest communication, the way you treat people, their view on the game of baseball, it just seemed like a terrific match."

I commented on Francona earlier.

Bambino's Curse gets the quote wrong in the title, but the concept is correct. Quoting Bryant in the Boston Herald (requires subscription):

The Red Sox, Larry Lucchino especially, may like to point to the Yankees as the ultimate, dangerous free-market machine. But the personality during the brief Henry Era has been to collect stars not necessarily through barter, but by simply crushing the rest of the field with greater financial resources. It is, of course, very much a Yankee way of doing business.�

If the Yankees are indeed the Evil Empire, then the Red Sox are its Evil Twin. It is no coincidence that most of the individuals above were targeted by both teams

Baseball Musings had this metaphor and the correct quote in October. Hard to see, the dark side is. :-)

I received a couple of letters regarding my earlier post on the Sexson trade. The first is from Joe Duellman:

I detected some not-so-subtle jabs at Bud Selig and the Brewer's decision to cut payroll in your post on the Sexson trade. While I'm certainly not a fan of Bud Selig or anyone on the board of directors for the Brewers, I think to point out that they were the most profitable team in baseball and go on to imply that they are being either greedy or foolish not to put those profits into building a more competitive team is not entirely fair (please forgive me for the run-on...it's easier to type this apology than revise that sentence). Mistakes have obviously been made in the way that this franchise has been run from both a financial and competitive standpoint. However, those mistakes are in the past and, unfortunately for Brewer fans, cannot be taken back. Yes, this team (supposedly) was the most profitable in baseball. However, this team is also in over 100 million dollars of debt. That's a staggering amount. Who could blame them for cutting payroll in an effort to cut down on this debt, especially with uncertain and dwindling revenues? My question is, what would you have them do? Would adding an additional 20 million dollars to the payroll lead to a winning season in 2004? I highly doubt it, and any success they might have would most certainly lead to even greater pains down the road. Rather than looking at this process pessimistically as yet another chapter in a decade long history of mistakes and poor management, one can look at this as part of a plan grounded in patience and common sense. Personally, I think the decision to cut payroll is the right move for the Brewers. They can work on cutting down on debt and will have more money to spend on free agents and such when it will actually mean something. They are waiting on a steadily improving farm system to provide the influx of talent that will lead them to a level of success where spending money takes them to the playoffs, rather than simply mediocrity. The smart move is to have faith in player development and save the money for when it will count. Of course, one has to trust both Milwaukee's ownership (a tall order, I admit) and Doug Melvin and the rest of the front office (a much easier task - at least in my opinion). As with most issues, I think one has to look at the big picture and understand that the Brewers may actually be looking to the future at the expense of the present, as opposed to simply swindling their fans. I think we'll see how this all works out in a few years, when highly regarded prospects such as Prince Fielder, JJ Hardy and Rickie Weeks (hopefully...) move on to the Major Leagues.

The second is from Bryan Johnson:

As a Brewers fan I'm upset that they had to deal Richie Sexson...Besides being a great hitter he plays hard and played every inning this past season, which I think is something that gets overlooked...It would be quite easy to take a day (or inning) off when you're team is virtually out of the playoff race on April 1 (some might argue earlier). The deal though, given the financial situation of the Brewers isn't bad though...They get a lot of quality players and a few prospects. I don't know why they need all those middle infielders (I think Keith Ginter deserves a starting job, and he's cheap) and I don't know if they plan on Counsell playing shortstop or not...

As for your claim that Bud Selig is somehow pocketing all of this money, nothing could be further from the truth. The Milwaukee Brewers are estimated to be $110 Million dollars in debt. As much as I'd like to see them keep the payroll around $40 million, I realize that its not really that big of a deal. With or without Sexson the Brewers have no shot at competing in the next few years, so I'd rather have them pay off that debt and maybe create a situation where they can spend money down the road when it actually might make a difference between 80 wins and 90 wins rather than 60 wins and 70 wins.

According to this editorial, the Brewers have $110 million in debt.

What conditions have been set by Citibank, which recently refinanced the Brewers' debt of $110 million? The Brewers pay a floating interest rate pegged to something called the London Interbank Offered Rate, which is currently about 1.5%, based on an adjustment every 12 months. The team's debt service right now, Quinn says, is $8 million a year. How much of that pays down principal, and how much covers interest charges?

What we don't know here is the length of the loan. If we assume the $8 million a year includes both interest and principle, then the length of the loan is approximately 15 years. Anyway, the Brewers have a great interest rate, meaning they are paying off principle pretty quickly. It also means that the Brewers debt isn't that big a deal. If they didn't have the debt, they would only have another $8 million dollars a year to spend! That's half a super star. My experience with debt is that when the interest rate is low, keep the debt and invest your profit in something that will make you even more money.

The Brewers drew 1.7 million in 2003. If they took their profit and invested it to make the team competitive, they might draw 2.5 million. If you believe they can make $20 a head, they'd have a $16 million profit. The could then reinvest that, have a payroll of around $70 million, very competitive team, fans in the stands (maybe 3 million?), enough money to pay the debt and enough to give investors a profit.

So you see, I don't buy the we have to cut to make money in future. If you are making money now, you have to reinvest to grow the team. Cutting payroll will just lead to more defeats and fewer fans, and more cuts to the payroll in the future.

This Daily News article sketches out the Yankees plans for the off-season. The big idea now is to corner the Matsui market and put Kaz at second, move Soriano to the outfield, move Bernie Williams to DH, Hideki to center and Sheffield to right. The odd man out in this scenario is Nick Johnson, and that's too bad.

Of course, I would put Kaz at shortstop, since that's where they need the most defensive help and move Jeter to 2nd. But at least the Yankees realize that Bernie can't cut it in centerfield anymore.

I'm also not crazy about signing Sheffield. I'm not a big fan of right-handed power hitters in Yankee Stadium, even one as good as Gary. And if you are going to sign a righty to fill that role, why not sign Vlad who's still young and has more good years in front of him?

Excellent column by Peter Gammons on the challenges facing baseball.

But whether or not they are colluding is part of a larger issue -- that after the 10 months of aborted contraction and messy labor negotiations (on both sides) when they finally did reach an agreement, they had an opportunity to move forward and try to grow the game in a partnership between owners and the human product that the owners need to sell. When it was suggested that their be a private, weeklong brainstorming session with representatives from ownership, GMs, agents, players and creative people outside -- or on the periphery of the game -- to try to come up with ideas for moving forward, Selig promised he was going to initiate some serious efforts to that end.

Nothing has happened, and the trust between owners and players is in reverse, headed back to the courthouse. Is this all Selig's fault? No, he has to corral 28 owners, many of whom have that Wal-Mart mentality that lives for union-busting and burning down the landscapes of family and small businesses across America. The Players' Association leadership, too, lives in a fiery NLRB world where they never dare lay down their arms for fear the enemy will strike at dawn.

I have felt for years that the owners and players have to form a partnership. There's more than enough money out there for everybody in this game. And there will be even more if the fans think the two sides aren't trying to destroy each other.

Through Bambino's Curse and Boston Dirt Dogs I found this article about a Terry Francona interview. It's from a couple of weeks ago, but it looks like Francona is going to get the job. I found a couple of quotes impressive.

Francona touched on many of the key points stressed by Red Sox ownership. He admitted a predilection for preparation, which doomed predecessor Grady Little. He credited his year as Ken Macha's bench coach in Oakland for opening his eyes to the workings of a statistically oriented franchise. And he said he doesn't believe in his way or the highway.

Throw in a post-Phillies stint as a scout, and Francona feels his varied perspectives have enlightened him and increased his knowledge of the game.

"I believe in taking a team's strengths and adjusting," Francona said. "If I don't have guys who can run, we won't try to steal bases. I don't think the players should conform to my way of thinking."

A lot of people think sabermetricians don't like the stolen base. The truth is, they don't like the caught stealing. Not running players who can't steal is the adjustment few managers make.

Regarding the use of statistics to inform decisions, Francona feels he managed with an intuitively analytical eye. "As technology grows, different answers do arise," he said. "We believe the same thing here. It's not important how you get the right answer, as long as you put the players in a position to be successful."

I always thought this was Buck Showalter's strength with the Yankees, using players in situations in which there was a high probability of them succeeding. If that's Terry's philosophy as well, he'll do well with the Red Sox.

However, Larry Dierker is getting an interview. I'm surprised Dierker didn't get called in earlier. He'd be a very good fit.

The Mariners have hired Bill Bavasi to serve as their general manager. The authors over at U.S.S. Mariner are not happy about it. Start here and keep working backward in time.

Pat Gillick does not buy into Billy Beane's approach to the game. I don't quite understand this, as Gillick does intuitively what Beane does with a computer. But I think that rejection of the Beane method influenced Gillick, and he went with a more traditional GM. I was never impressed with the Angels under Bavasi, so I see no reason to be impressed with him in Seattle. And this quote makes me feel no better:

He cites San Francisco Giants GM Brian Sabean as a model, admiring Sabean's ability to carefully control the makeup of the clubhouse. Sabean values good people and hard workers but also keeps players with "enough of a mean streak" -- a trait some have said is missing in Seattle.

I admire Sabean because he's able to keep good role players around his two superstars. Mean streaks are well and good, but having a player with a .500 OBA is much better.

Eric McErlain of Off Wing Opinion posts about the Mets looking to hire a statistical analyst and very nicely suggests that I should get the job. :-)

I think this is an important move for the Mets. They realize there is a better way of evaluating talent, and that they might be able to win with a smaller payroll. It will be interesting to see who they hire.

Lee Mazzilli has been hired to manage the Baltimore Orioles:

Before that, Mazzilli managed for three years in the Yankees' farm system. He played for five major league teams over 14 seasons, including a stint with the Toronto Blue Jays, where he became friends with Mike Flanagan, currently Baltimore's vice president of baseball operations.

Flanagan and Orioles vice president Jim Beattie interviewed eight candidates to replace Mike Hargrove, who was fired after four straight losing seasons.

After emerging from his interview with Beattie and Flanagan last week, Mazzilli referred to the Orioles as "us" while speaking to reporters. He quickly corrected himself -- but the gaffe proved to be prophetic.

"This is something I've wanted for a very long time," Mazzilli said at the time. "You put your apprenticeship in, you pay your dues. Now is the time to do it."

As a player, Mazzilli wasn't a great hitter, but he was very good at getting on base. He finished with a .259 BA, but also had a .359 OBA. If he manages like he plays, he'll likely stress plate discipline with his hitters. Mazzilli also walked more than he struck out as a player (642 BB, 627 K). I'll be interested to see what he says at the news conference.

The Yankees have hired Don Mattingly to be their hitting coach (thanks to Shawn Bernard):

Don Mattingly, one of the most beloved Yankees despite captaining the team at a time when it was mired in one of its longest postseason droughts, will be named as the team's new hitting coach at a Tuesday afternoon news conference.

The Yankees will introduce their 2004 coaching staff at the 1 p.m. EST news conference and are expected to announce that third base coach Willie Randolph will replace Don Zimmer as manager Joe Torre's bench coach.

Sounds like they are grooming Randolph for the manager's job.

Mattingly is an example of a successful impatient hitter. For the years STATS kept the stat, 1988-1995, Mattingly saw only 3.34 pitches per plate appearance, a low number (the leaders are usually above four). Since the most important job of the Yankees hitting coach will be to teach Soriano to take a pitch, I'm not sure Don is the right man at the right time.

Mattingly did know how to make contact, however, so if he can get Soriano to cut down on his strikeouts, it should be worth it. Yankees fans, of course, will be happy to see him back in action.

Ozzie Guillen has already put Frank Thomas on notice:

"As long as Frank has fun and he plays the game right, I'm not going to (say anything),'' Guillen said. "But (if) he does stuff on the field, he doesn't respect the team and he doesn't respect himself. For example, if Frank hits a flyball and doesn't run the bases, then Frank's not going to get another at-bat.

"We might fight. I'm not going to fight with him because he's to big, but I'm going to make sure we're on the same page. I'm not talking about just Frank. I'm talking about everybody. I'm not here to make friends.''

My biggest concern about Guillen as a manager is that he might be too much fun to be around. Ozzie is so easy going, I don't know how well he'll enforce discipline. The above statement is a good start.

According to this report on ESPN.com, Ozzie Guillen will be named the new manager of the Chicago White Sox.

I really don't know what to make of this. As far as I can tell, Ozzie is one of the nicest guys to have played the game, and he obviously has a great relationship with Jerry Reinsdorf. The fans will love this, but I have no idea what kind of manager he'll be. Now that he's hired, I want to see what he says to the press about the makeup of the team.

I guess Bobby Valentine won't be available for any of the managerial vacanies in the US. Time to apply for the vacant seat on Baseball Tonight!

The Pittsburgh Pirates are lowing prices on their cheaper seats. They are also giving a discount to season ticket holders:

The Pirates also are offering $3 off every seat for full-season ticket holders, meaning that every full-season ticket will cost at least $243 less than last season. Also, partial-season ticket holders will be offered a $1 per seat reduction for the first time.

"It's critical we work toward growing our season-ticket base," Pirates managing general partner Kevin McClatchy said Thursday.

I still think the Pirates are headed in the right direction as a team, so it's good to see they are trying to grow the fan base now, so when the team does get good they'll have the means to keep good players and continue to grow the organization. And with the discount, seems like the perfect time to get a season ticket.

Rob Neyer weighs in on the waiving of Manny Ramirez, and he thinks the move is very interesting (my thoughts here):

What makes all this so fascinating isn't that the Red Sox have placed Ramirez on waivers. That's just common sense. What's fascinating is that the Red Sox are essentially offering a great player to their sworn enemies, gratis. The reports I've seen mention a number of teams that might be interested in Ramirez, but unless the Red Sox are willing to send a significant sum of money with Ramirez, there's only one team, one owner, that might have serious interest.

Will Steinbrenner take the bait? Probably not. Sure is fun to think about, though. And you have to admire Theo Epstein for making the first move.

Rob goes on to discuss how claiming Ramirez would ruin the Yankees ability to remake their defense up the middle:

Ramirez is a great player, of course. If the Yankees had Ramirez, they might reasonably be said to have four of the dozen best players in the league (along with Giambi, Posada, and Soriano). But I suspect Cashman has plans to remake the Yankees' defense up the middle, and the arrival of Ramirez would make that impossible.

With Giambi and Nick Johnson set at DH and first base (and rightly so), Ramirez would have to play left field, which means Hideki Matsui has to play right field, which means Bernie Williams has to remain in center field, which means there's no way of moving Soriano or Jeter to center field (and you can forget about trading for Carlos Beltran or signing Vladimir Guerrero, too).

The other day, I was discussing the Yankees lineup with Irina Paley, and here's what I think New York should do.

• Move Jeter to third.


• Swap Matsui and Williams in the outfield.


• Move Soriano out of the leadoff slot into a power slot, but leave him at 2nd base.


• Sign Vlad Gurerrero to play right.


• Trade for or sign a no-hit, slick fielding shortstop.

Then the Yankees lineup would look like:

1. Jeter


2. Johnson/Williams (platoon)


3. Vlad


4. Giambi


5. Posada


6. Soriano


7. Williams/Johnson (platoon)


8. Matsui


9. Shortstop

If the Dodgers sign Miguel Tejada, then Cesar Izturis would be available to fill the hole at SS. Izturis had about 9 more fielding win shares at short than Jeter did last year. And because he can't hit, he'll be cheap.

Whenever I mention moving Jeter to third, I get one of two reactions:

1. What makes you think he can play third?


2. He'll never agree to move from shortstop.

Since shortstop is the toughest non-battery position, I assume that moving anywhere else will be easier. Jeter's problem at short is that he doesn't cover enough ground. At third, you don't need to cover much ground, just react well to the ball. Also, even if Jeter's defense was bad at third, it's going to do less damage than bad defense at short, and Jeter's offense at third would rate among the best in the league (he had more offensive win shares than Hank Blalock, for example).

As for the 2nd point, when has Jeter ever shown himself to be anything but a team player? I just did a google search for "Derek Jeter selfish" and found articles saying that selfish players should be more like Jeter. Here's an example:

"The guys who struggled in the postseason were the selfish guys, plus Aaron Boone, who just panicked," another club official said.

Most notable among the "selfish guys" are Giambi and Alfonso Soriano, who have yet to grasp the team concept embraced by Derek Jeter, Jorge Posada, Mariano Rivera, Bernie Williams and Andy Pettitte, the core five whose hopes for a fifth ring were undermined by the "efforts" of others.

So if the move is presented to him as a way to get back to a World Series Championship, I think Jeter will do it.

The Red Sox seem to be banking on the Yankees making a bad move. Cashman may not be in charge, but I believe he and Torre and Gene Michael still get to voice their opinions, and I can't believe any of them would be in favor of acquiring Manny now. The next 36 hours should be very interesting.

The Red Sox have put Manny Ramirez on irrevocable waivers, according to this report in the Boston Herald. This means any team can claim Manny's contract by midnight Friday, and the Red Sox will lose him along with all the money they owe him. The Red Sox will neither confirm nor deny this story, making me wonder how it got out. Waiver moves are supposed to be a secret unless they are executed. The leak will make it difficult for the Red Sox to keep Manny even if no one claims him.

The strategy, obviously, is to lose Manny's salary to give the Red Sox more flexibility to sign other players and make deals to improve the team. Is this the right move? Manny earned 28 win shares last year, tied with Beltran, Giambi and Posada for 4th in the AL. That's not easy to replace, but you would think that the $20 million the Red Sox would save in the deal could be spread around in the pitching staff to pick up the win shares there. If that's true, it gives the Sox a more balanced team, and the reduced offense should be able to win more games for a better pitching staff. So I think it's a reasonable move to get rid of Manny.

Should some team take him now? No. Now that the deal is public, the Red Sox have no choice but to trade Ramirez, since he won't want to play for the Sox now. This gives teams more leverage in dealing with Theo, since they'll be able to demand the Red Sox pick up a larger part of Ramirez's remaining salary. The problem with waiting for the trade, of course, is that you might have to bid against other teams.

While I think Manny is probably worth the money for the next couple of years, he's at the point in his career where a decline can be expected. So if I'm a team that wants Manny, I'm going to hold out for a trade and try to get the Red Sox to pick up at least 1/2 of his salary.

By the way, with all the articles about how heads are going to roll in NY, all the Yankees have done is fire their hitting coach. The Red Sox have fired their manager and tried to dump their best hitter! Maybe those stories are being written about the wrong team. :-)

Here's a good background piece on Reds GM Dan O'Brien.

Jeffrey Loria is promising to keep the Marlins together:

"This isn't going to be 1997," Loria said. "No way 1997. ... These guys have been spectacular, and we'll do everything we can to have as many of them back next year as possible. We are not doing 1997."

That's good. I suspect that season ticket sales will be up next year. They would have been up if Huizenga had kept the '97 team together. The payoff in fans is after you win.

Ira Berkow in the NY Times pens an inner look at Joe Torre. Ira asks Joe about inner peace, and Torre talks about his rough childhood and how he fights against abuse now.

So parental love may be, for Joe Torre, more important than victory. Human consideration may be, for Joe Torre, more important than victory. Helping those who need help may also be, for Joe Torre, more important than victory.

Which isn't to say that victory isn't important to Joe Torre. Ask any of his players and they'll tell you that few hate losing as much as Joe Torre, and few want to win as much as Joe Torre. It's just that, unlike Steinbrenner, apparently, Torre doesn't issue dire statements that, for example, there will be hellfire to pay just because a team goes to Game 6 of the World Series and loses to the Marlins. Steinbrenner wasn't as preposterous after this year's Series loss as he was in 1981 when he "apologized" to the people of New York after the Dodgers beat the Yankees.

This is why I think not only Torre has been successful with the Yankees, but why the team as a whole has been successful. You have the Boss, the bad cop, yelling and screaming and scaring. And you have Torre, the good cop, soothing and caring. But both want exactly the same thing, to win. And between the two of them, the players win.

We have another convert.

Update: The permalink is working right. Scroll down to the entry entitled, "SHHH."

Ozzie Guillen wants to manage the White Sox.

Oh, how Ozzie Guillen hungers for that White Sox job now. Talk about icing on the cake.

"Like I was telling my wife and my kids the other day," the 39-year-old Florida Marlins third-base coach said over the weekend at Yankee Stadium, "I don't want to be a manager for a couple of years. I want to be a manager like Bobby Cox, Tony La Russa. I want to be a manager for a long, long time."

And not just any team's manager.

"I belong to the White Sox," he declared.

Not just belongs with, but to, take notice.

I remember taking a tour of the new Comiskey Park in the mid 90's, and hearing how everyone who worked there loved Ozzie Guillen. He used to go to the reception desk and answer the phone for fun. I don't know if a fun loving guy like that has the right temperament for managing, but his connections with the White Sox are certainly going to get him an interview.

Despite all the speculation about Grady Little being fired for his game seven decision, Gordon Edes, I believes, nails the real reason:

The Sox no longer want to discover, to their dismay, that the manager, according to a team source, failed to hold a hitters' meeting before the Oakland playoff series, wasting countless hours of traditional scouting work and sophisticated video and statistical analysis that was done ostensibly to give the Sox an edge.

Sabermetric manager Whitey Herzog wants to run the Red Sox. I'd love to see that. Here's my thoughts on Whitey from yesterday.

It's going on right now. You can hear it at MLB.com. They have officially released Grady Little.

Update: The Red Sox are saying that Grady wanted a long term contract with full support of management. The Red Sox were unwillingly to go long term with Grady, so they didn't renew.

Update: Unfortunately, I can't hear the questions, so I can't tell if the Red Sox upper management is answering the questions straight or spinning.

Update: Adrian Wojnarowski thinks the Red Sox are making a big mistake.

Yes, Little let his stars run the Sox too often, all the way to the end. Pedro wanted to stay in Game 7, so Pedro stayed in Game 7. The manager needed to make a decision with his eyes, not his heart. Had Dave Wallace been the Sox's pitching coach for a longer period of time this summer, perhaps the interim aide might have felt more comfortable pushing Little to make the move on his ace. These are still areas in which a manager can grow on the job.

Yet, Grady's touch in the clubhouse, his ability to get the most of the Sox's over-achieving personalities, isn't so easily available and identifiable on the managerial market. The bottom line: The Sox are taking a far greater risk firing Little, than they ever could've by keeping him.

There was something right about the chemistry of these Red Sox, something someone else will have an impossible time duplicating. Ownership could've worked to re-program Little's late-game decision-making process, stocked his bench with stronger coaching presences and counted upon the fact that one more year of living and learning on the job would've made him a better bench manager.

It was interesting that in the new conference Theo Epstein noted that the new manager would have a lot of Grady Little in him, especially in the way he ran the club house. I guess the Red Sox think that quality is easy to find.

The Cincinnati Reds hired Dan O'Brien as general manager today. The move was expected and reported by the Cincinnati Enquirer yesterday. They also give some background on why O'Brien was hired:

O'Brien's accomplishments before going to the Rangers probably sold the Reds on him. The Astros have consistently competed in the National League Central, relying heavily on homegrown talent, particularly when it comes to pitching. O'Brien set up Houston's Venezuelan academy, which has produced 16 big-league players in 15 years.

It looks like the Reds want O'Brien to rebuild the farm system. Having low draft picks this year will certainly help that.

ESPN.com is reporting that Grady Little will be fired today and the announcement will be made at 3 PM EST. Stay tuned.

I'm not impressed with most of the candidates listed as possible replacements. Two I do find intriguing are Willie Randolph (because I've always felt he was a smart ballplayer) and Jerry Remy, who's impressed me with his knowledge of the game from the broadcast booth. I don't see Dierker's name on the list, however.

Edward Cossette at Bambino's Curse writes today about the impending release of Grady Little and how the Boston media is reacting to it. They are especially afraid of the sabermetric manager. He quotes Michael Gee of the Boston Herald:

Your new skipper will manage the Sox according to a 150-page order written by Epstein and Bill James. He'll be a cipher. If he's a passive cipher, guys like Pedro and Manny will run roughshod over him. If he's an abrasive cipher like Bobby Valentine, there'll be knife fights in the clubhouse by Mother's Day. Either way, good luck.

I wonder if Gee ever read a Bill James Abstract? If you do, you'll find that the two managers James has the most respect for are Earl Weaver and Whitey Herzog. Both were sabermetric managers, even though I doubt either would admit it. Here's Davey Johnson on Weaver:

"While I never thought I'd become a manager, I always paid attention to choices managers made: when they took out pitchers and how they set up defenses," says Johnson. "The consummate innovator and genius of the human psyche, Earl regularly tried to seize advantages, so I tried to convince him to computerize his notecards. I'd say 'Earl, do you know anything about predictability, standard deviation charts?' He probably looked at my stuff at night, but first he'd throw it in the garbage, and order me back to second. That's how I wound up being called 'Dum-Dum.' "

See, Earl knew how to survive. If the players and media people of the day saw him looking at charts like that, they'd run him out of town. But if you look at the way Earl managed, it's clear he was a big believer in OBA and Slugging, and he didn't like giving outs away with one-run strategies.

But David, you may ask, Herzog loved little ball! Yes, but the teams Herzog managed played in parks where little ball was the appropriate strategy. And Herzog used the stolen base right; in his tenure in St. Louis, from 1980 to 1990, the Cardinals led the NL in stolen base percentage at 74.2%. The next closest were the Reds at 71.9. That's a bigger lead than the Reds had over the 6th place club!

The other sign that Herzog used little ball properly was that he didn't bunt much with his #2 hitter. The Cardinals were 10th (out of 12 teams) in sacrifice bunts by the #2 hitter during his reign, while they were third overall in sac hits. Herzog wasn't wasting an out in the first inning.

So the question I've been asking myself since reading Moneyball is, "Why don't these teams hire someone like this to manage? Why put so much control in the hands of the GM? Why not hire someone who understands your plan and has the intelligence to implement it?"

In the 2nd book of Isaac Asimov's Foundation trilogy, he posits that it's an unstable situation to have a strong emperor and a strong field general, since the success of the one will threaten the stability of the other. Maybe that's the case in Oakland. But I don't think Boston really wants that. Maybe they'll hire Larry Dierker. He strikes me as perfect for the situation.

Don Zimmer resigned quietly after the Yankees lost last night. He showed off his great math skills:

For 25 years, (the Yankee owner) has called me 'Zimmer,' and for 25 years, I've called him the Boss. Well, tonight, he's not the Boss; he's Steinbrenner."

Wasn't Zimmer the manager of the Red Sox 25 years ago? So that explains a lot. The Red Sox blew the lead in 1978 because Zim was being paid by Steinbrenner. Will wonders never cease.

And, he's no longer Zimmer's boss, though Zimmer stopped short of saying he was going to retire.

"I'm going home -- we'll see what happens," said Zimmer. "I'm 72 years old; I don't know who would want me -- I'm not Jack McKeon (the World Series winning manager, who's also 72). But for 55 years, this has been my livelihood. And I'm going out the way my wife wanted me to go out."

Say, aren't the Red Sox looking for a new manager?

Chris Green points out this article on Grady Little's feelings about returning as manager of the Red Sox:

"Right now I am disappointed that evidently some people are judging me on the results of one decision I made -- not the decision, but the results of the decision," he said. "Less than 24 hours before, those same people were hugging and kissing me. If that's the way they operate, I'm not sure I want to be part of it."

A reasonable statement. What gets Chris, however is this:

If he had to do it again, Little said he would keep Martinez in to pitch the eighth inning, when the Yankees came back from a 5-2 deficit to tie the game.

Chris' reaction is:

After reading about how Little seemed to be an important part of the team's success (the change in attitudes and career years from half the starters, etc.), I was ready to say, "okay, fine, if he can learn from that mistake, then I guess he doesn't need to be fired; what I want isn't his head, but the assurance that that decision, or something similarly inexplicably dumb, won't happen again." But I don't see the Sox hearing him say that, and inviting him back -- if he means it, they shouldn't trust him, and if he doesn't mean it, they shouldn't trust him.

Grady doesn't realize he made a blunder. Instead of defending what he did, he should take the Rumsfeld position and question everything.

John Harper of the NY Daily News has figured out how lucky Joe Torre is:

It was looking like another one of those October nights when Joe Torre could do no wrong. Like so many over the last eight years.
His gambles in the ninth inning - pinch-running for his catcher, pinch-hitting a lefty for a lefty - paid off in the form of another dramatic comeback.

And then he pushed his luck too far.

Jeff Weaver? Torre must have been feeling bulletproof. If he were playing blackjack, he'd have asked for a hit on 19.

You had to hear Yankee fans hustling for the exits at Pro Player Stadium here the minute Alex Gonzalez beat Weaver with a home run in the 12th inning last night to give the Marlins a 4-3 victory and even this World Series at 2-2:

"I knew it, I knew it," one guy with a Yankee cap was screaming at two friends as they ran for the door. "He does it every time."

I was just surprised that it didn't happen in the 11th. Torre defended Weaver's presence in the game:

And all of the Marlins' big hitters are righthanded, which is why the Yankees preferred to stay away from their lefties.

Still, it's awfully hard to justify Weaver at that point in the game. Never mind his season of self-destruction; he hadn't thrown a single pitch in these playoffs.

Yet Torre made it sound as if the circumstances dictated the decision, that he needed a pitcher who could give the Yankees a long stint, if necessary, in case the game stayed tied.

"We're going to go with our long man there," said Torre. "That's why you need a long man, for instances like this."

In that sense, it was a move right out of the manager's handbook, but in this case, you can't ignore all the reasons for not using Weaver there.

I was a bit surprised when Weaver took the mound in the 12th. I thought the Yankees would consider themselves lucky not to have lost in the 11th and brought in someone else at that point. Of course, I'm surprised that Weaver lasted the whole year on the team.

Edward Cossette gets it.

Stephen Rittenberg has an excellent post on a subject I've been thinking about based on this post season; why can't teams like the A's and Red Sox, who are very good at picking players, are not very good at choosing managers.

Kirk Gartside points out that the Red Sox can't fire Grady.

He's not under contract for next year, I believe they have an option. Which I pray they don't pick up!

As I wrote this last night:

Fox just pointed out that there is no action in the Cubs bullpen. I think that's a mistake this late in the game. You have to be ready for anything.

I got the strange feeling of Deja Vu, as if I had written this before. Well I had.

Here's a post from last year's World Series. Here's another. And here's one that summaries the whole thing and compares Baker's moves to the 1965 World Series.

Finally, to show Dusty didn't learn his lesson, this from August 24th of this year:

As I watched the Cubs-Diamondbacks game, it struck me that Dusty Baker did not do a good job of preparing for things going wrong. He brought in Kyle Farnsworth, but Farnsworth was wild. After he had gotten in trouble, Dusty started the bullpen working. But why didn't he have someone up right away? The DBacks are a good offensive team at home; in this day and age, when few teams can trust their relievers, Dusty needs to have someone ready when his pitcher is in trouble. He wasn't prepared today, but he was lucky it didn't cost him.

The whole idea behind making mistakes is to learn from them. For some reason, Dusty has not learned from his.

Steven Wine of th AP has this article on the Miami Herald web site praising Dave Dombrowski's job in building the Marlins:

Dombrowski decided against quitting. Instead, under his direction, the Marlins brought up Luis Castillo and then Alex Gonzalez from their farm system. They acquired Derrek Lee, Mike Lowell, Brad Penny and Braden Looper in trades, drafted Josh Beckett and outmaneuvered the New York Yankees to sign a 16-year-old Miguel Cabrera.

That means the Marlins can thank Dombrowski for their infield, a top reliever and their starting pitchers in Games 1 and 2 of the NLCS.

Among those traded during the breakup of the '97 team was Al Leiter, the starting pitcher in Game 7 of the World Series that year. He went to the New York Mets in a deal that yielded A.J. Burnett, a talented right-hander now recovering from elbow surgery.

"There are so many fingerprints of Dave that are still here," Leiter said as he watched the Marlins take batting practice at the NLCS. "He put together a world champion in five years. With the dismantling he could have taken it in a negative way, but five or six years later, this is the product. He put the core together."

Wine also addresses the concerns of Tiger fans:

Tigers fans can be forgiven if they view such commendations with cynicism, because they have yet to see evidence of Dombrowski's winning touch in Detroit.

"We're trying to build an organization here that will be successful, and it's a painful process," Dombrowski said. "Sometimes you have to take a step backward to go forward. The Marlins' success shows it can be done."

What we'll need to see is how Detroit's draft choices work out in the next couple of years. Being bad four or five years in a row is certainly a way to stockpile talent. The Mets team of the mid 80's and the A's team of the late '80s were both built this way. So there is hope for the Tigers.

I wish I had found this before the playoffs started.

Mariners Weblog is reporting that Billy Beane is unlikely to go to Seattle, but Paul DePodesta has both Beane's and A's owner Steve Schott's blessing to go.

Do you think Billy Beane called up Theo Epstein and did his best Laurence Fishburne?

Morpheus: What are you waiting for? You're faster than this. Don't think you are, know you are. Come on! Stop trying to hit me and hit me!

The Red Sox are the A's with money. In a year or two they'll crush Oakland, but for now, the master holds sway.

The Orioles are looking at Eddie Murray as a possible replacement for Mike Hargrove.

Shapiro thinks Murray would be an excellent big league manager after seeing him develop as a coach with the young Indians, who used 21 rookies this season and finished with 18 first-year players on their roster.

"He evolved and grew as a hitting coach," Shapiro said. "He had seven, eight and nine rookies in the lineup every day. By the end of the year, he had the majority of them making improvements."

Hard to say I agree with that last statement, but Cleveland batted 1 point higher post break, but their OBA was down 12 points. Maybe I'll look at this more carefully later.

Eddie Murray was a tremendous hitter and a good defensive first baseman to boot. He got on base and he hit for power. He played for one of the best managers of my lifetime, Earl Weaver. He seems to have been well respected by his peers. So there's a lot of positives that I can see in having Murray as a manager. But there's also a negative, as this 1995 article demonstrates:

Eddie Clarence Murray, 39, having long since wrapped himself in the thick insulation of a pathological distrust of the media, is left to convey the story of his wonderfully rich career through the expressions of his eyes. But they're not up to the job. Most of the time, they merely convey intensity in equal measure toward pitchers and reporters.

Says Jim Palmer, another of Murray's old Baltimore teammates and a former Oriole broadcaster, "He has the glare of Samuel Jackson in Pulp Fiction. They talk about [Oakland A's pitcher] Dave Stewart's glare. Nobody can glare like Eddie."

When a Baltimore writer approached him last weekend seeking comments on Ripken, Murray leaned his head back, narrowed his eyes disdainfully and declined by replying, "I don't even know you." When approached by SI, Murray provided his more typical response, saying, "No thank you, sir," with the sincerity of a child turning down a helping of lima beans. The rejection included no eye contact whatsoever.

According to Indian officials, Murray recently also blew off USA Today, The New York Times, the entire press corps from Baltimore and a Cleveland television reporter whom Murray remembered as being guilty of once, while a student at Towson (Md.) State, working two or three Oriole games for the campus TV station.

One of the jobs (and I'm sure not the most pleasent job) of a manager is talking to the press. Eddie's not very good at it because he's never practiced it. And as a manager, it's good to have the press on your side.

Eddie was a smart, intense player. His quiet intensity would contrast well with the wild intensity of Larry Bowa up the road. The fans love him. I'd like to see him get the chance to manage.

Update: Jon Weisman recounts a press incident with Murray here.

Pat Gillick has resigned as the GM of the Mariners.

Gillick will remain in his position until a successor is found, then become a consultant for the team.

"After much thought I've decided to step away from my current role with the Mariners," Gillick said in a statement released by the team. "I've had four chances at the brass ring here and think maybe it's time for someone else to take a shot at taking this team to a higher level.

"I believe we have a core of players in place, especially pitchers, that will allow the Mariners to contend for the next several years, at least, and I am looking forward to remaining involved with the Seattle organization," he said.

During Gillick's four years as general manager, the Mariners won more games (393) than any other team in Major League Baseball, appearing in the American League Championship Series twice. He was named the league's Executive of the Year in 2001 when the Mariners tied a record for wins in a season at 116.

Nothing over at the Mariners Weblog yet. Gillick is a great GM, but he's 66 and probably wants to take it easy. It's also possible that he didn't feel he had enough flexibility late in the season.

Jerry Manuel was also fired today.

"We have nothing but the highest regard and respect for Jerry Manuel, the person and the man," General Manager Kenny Williams said in a statement. "However, since reaching the playoffs 2000 and despite high expectations, this team has not won enough baseball games. It remains our goal to reach the playoffs and, ultimately, the World Series.

"At this time, we have reached the conclusion that a new direction is necessary."

The talent-laden White Sox led the AL Central by two games on Sept. 9, but then fell apart and finished four games back.

Manuel was 500-471 in six seasons, the fourth-most wins for a White Sox manager. Chicago was .500 or better in each of the last four seasons, and finished below second place only once under Manuel, in 2001.

The White Sox won the AL Central in 2000, earning Manuel AL manager of the year honors. But Chicago was swept by Seattle in the playoffs, and hasn't been back to the postseason since.

"I understand the industry. I understand the business," Manuel said after Chicago's home finale Wednesday. "I'm not in this thing blindfolded."

He won, but didn't win enough. The GM tried to give him a pretty good team this year, and they fell apart just when they needed to win the most.

Mike Hargrove's tenure with the Orioles is over:

The Orioles fired manager Mike Hargrove today in a morning meeting, ending his four-year run with the team.

Hargrove, 53, guided the team to a 275-372 record after winning five consecutive division titles and advancing to two World Series in his final five seasons managing the Cleveland Indians.

His contract, which paid him $1.25 million this season, will expire Nov. 1, and the club told him today that it doesn't plan to bring him back.

"They said they weren't going to offer me another contract," Hargrove told the Associated Press in a telephone interview. "I guess they wanted a different personality."

Four years? It doesn't seem like he's been there that long. But four years is more than enough time to show some improvement, and that's something the Orioles haven't done.

Sam Donnellon of the Philadelphia Daily News is starting the criticism of the Phillies management:

The Phillies are a loss away from elimination from a wild-card race they once owned, a loss away from the frustrated finger-pointing that has followed their last three seasons. And like the previous two, it will start with management. Where was Tyler Houston in the eighth inning of last night's 6-5 loss, Jim Thome standing on second as the tying run with one out? Would that have even been needed if it was your team, not the Marlins, who traded a touted prospect for ace reliever Ugueth Urbina back in early July? Needed if it was your team that added a player like Jeff Conine (can you say, Brian Giles?) for the stretch run?

For the third loss in a row, the Phillies found themselves in desperate need of Houston's .448 lefthanded bat, instead putting the fate of a ballclub they spent $118 million to upgrade in the bats of utility man Tomas Perez and promising promoted rookie Chase Utley. For the third loss in a row, they desperately needed their leftfielder to do something, anything.

They desperately needed Rheal Cormier to enter the game two innings earlier than he did, desperately needed the kind of closer the Marlins got in the Pentium-chip Urbina while the Phillies bought a less-dependable processor, Mike Williams.

You build people's hopes up like the professor in "The Music Man," you have to expect the vitriol. You double-clutch at the trade deadline and in late season again, especially while the Marlins pick up two guys who have beaten your butt over the last 10 days, especially while you are using public money to build a new ballpark, you invite it.

You dump a productive pinch-hitter who could have won you a few games down the stretch, you invite it.

You hire a manager whose body language garners as much attention as the Harry Potteresque bat of your $85 million slugger, you invite it.

I'm real interested to see if Bowa survives this.

Josh Schulz is tired of Tony La Russa:

Remember his weird rotation in Oakland? 4 pitchers going short with a long bullpen, I don't remember the specifics. His pitcher 8th bit. Those are all La Russa side tracks that he takes because he's earned some leeway from the general public. But instead of using that leeway for something interesting, like using Izzy and Kline where they'll help the team most instead of in roles defined by a statistic, or moving Vina out of the leadoff spot and replacing him with a player with a decent OPB. Or working his pitchers gently so Williams and Morris don't break down in the midst of a penant race.

The veil has fallen, I've had enough of La Russa. He's not helping anymore, he's hurting. I want out of Tonyville.

Tony seemed like a much better manager in Oakland. I wonder if Sandy Alderson had more control of the lineup than anyone let on?

Jon Weisman at Dodger Thoughts has his thoughts on a Tracy-Evans split here. I thought my east coast bias had caused me to miss this, but it appears to have taken Jon by surprise also.

Bill writes:

Today's Astro lineup raises an issue I've often wondered about. Every manager will take a night game followed by a day game as a cue to rest some regulars. This makes sense but what I don't understand is (a) resting three or four guys in the day game as opposed to one or two in the night game and one or two in the day game and (b) not taking into account who the opposing pitchers will be in the two games. Today, Jimy Williams has Kent, Ensberg and Biggio all sitting against the Brewers' ace. That doesn't strike me as a formula for winning the game. Only the Astros 3-4-5 hitters have OBP's over .310!

And in fact, the Astros lost the game, missing a chance to gain on both the Cubs and the Cardinals. Maybe Williams felt that Villone was good enough to shut down the Brewers. But probably Williams thinks, so they're tired, I'll rest them today, rather than thinking ahead and resting them last night.

The other thing is that ballplayers tend to party at night, so even if they sat out last night's game, they still might be tired for the day game. :-) But Bill raises a good point. I remember reading in an old Baseball Abstract that Earl Weaver would rest his regulars in the first game of a double header. That way, if he won the first game, he was much more likely to sweep because the opposition would rest regulars in the 2nd game. And he also gave himself a better chance at a split. But not many managers think like Earl.

Barry Rozner of the Daily Herald chides the Twins for not going for Mark Prior in the draft:

It was well known in baseball circles prior to the 2001 draft that the Twins couldn't afford Prior's $10 million asking price, so they never entered negotiations with the USC star and instead took catcher Joe Mauer with the No. 1 pick, handing the Cubs the gift of a lifetime at No. 2.

It's the kind of unpleasantness that leaves a GM tossing and turning at night, pondering the nightmare of a small-market budget.

Still, Ryan is too loyal to his owner and too practical a man to worry about things he can't change, so he insists now that he got the man he wanted in that draft.

"We got a terrific, left-handed hitting catcher, and they're extremely valuable and hard to find,'' Ryan said of the 20-year-old Mauer, who had a big year in Double-A. "Five years from now I think we'll better be able to discuss whether it was a good choice for us.''

I'm on Ryan's side here. I saw Mauer play last week, and loved his approach to hitting. He's eaten up every level of the minor leagues in which he's played. I'm surprised that given the talent the Twins have developed in the minor league system that Pulido was the best they could find, but to think that the Twins made a mistake taking Mauer over Prior is ridiculous.

As I watched the Cubs-Diamondbacks game, it struck me that Dusty Baker did not do a good job of preparing for things going wrong. He brought in Kyle Farnsworth, but Farnsworth was wild. After he had gotten in trouble, Dusty started the bullpen working. But why didn't he have someone up right away? The DBacks are a good offensive team at home; in this day and age, when few teams can trust their relievers, Dusty needs to have someone ready when his pitcher is in trouble. He wasn't prepared today, but he was lucky it didn't cost him.

The Phillies are losing 3-2 today, and are in danger of being swept by the Brewers. The Pillies are an underperforming team this year; based on their runs scored and allowed, they should have a .583 winning percentage instead of a .552 winning percentage. I blame Larry Bowa.

I don't like Larry Bowa as a manager. The main reason I don't like him is that he's one of the people who drove Scott Rolen out of Philadelphia. Rolen didn't fit his firey brand of baseball. Forget for a minute that Rolen is one of the best third basemen in the game; he had to go because he didn't mesh with Larry. Now, this year, since I've heard little complaint from Bowa about individuals on the team, I assume everyone is with the program. Bowa has the kind of players he wants. And he's not winning as much as he should.

So Bowa's strategy doesn't work. They can sweep the Cardinals, but can't carry the energy over to beat the Brewers. Why? Shouldn't they be just as fired up for this series? Doesn't Bowa require nothing less? This team should be running away with the wild card. Bowa can't blame his players this year. Their failure rests squarely on his shoulders.

Those of you old enough might remember a 70's TV series called Kung Fu. This was a famous scene. A young Caine wants to know when he'll be able to leave the temple. His master instructs him:

"As quickly as you can...snatch the pebble from my hand." [Caine tries and fails]
"When you can take the pebble from my hand, it will be time for you to leave."

Do you get the feeling Billy Beane is doing that to Theo Epstein this week?

"Snatch a victory from my team." [Espstein tries and fails] "When you can beat this team, then you can go to the playoffs."

Maybe Theo should shave his head. :-)

Peter Gammons has an interview with Lou Piniella. I've been cheerleading for the Devil Rays lately, and the Rays winnings ways are having an impact on the media:

The Devil Rays have played so hard and so competitively in close games that Piniella says newspaper and talk-show coverage has turned to positive. Oh, sure, there are realities: they're last in homers, their pitchers lead the league in walks and have a dreadful 5.46/4.08 K/BB per 9 IP ratio.

It's important for fans to know their team is trying hard to win. Piniella instills that in his players, and the media is catching on. I hope the fans will, too.

Philip Michaels disagrees with the notion that Bowie Kuhn acted in the best interest of baseball by disallowing the Oakland A's sale of players to the Yankees and Red Sox in the mid 70's. I commented on this here and here.

The people of Cincinnati are none too happy with what went on this last week. John Erardi and John Fay cover it for the Enquirer:

"I'm so disgusted," said fan Alfred Joseph, 47, of Oxford, who attended Thursday's game. "They take taxpayer money with the assumption that they are building a competitive team, and that doesn't seem to be the case."

The Reds players weren't any happier than the fans.

"It's a joke," Reds pitcher Ryan Dempster said. He said Reds chief operating officer John Allen "came down here (to the clubhouse after the firing of Boone and Bowden) and told us they were not going to throw in the towel. I guess the best way to do that is to go out and trade your two best players and your closer."

Said team captain Barry Larkin: "It's a salary dump. We've been told it's not, but they got rid of two salaries."

I think John Allen has lost the trust of his players, and that's a real bad thing. However, I don't think trading Boone and Guillen is a long term disaster. Guillen's season could be a fluke, and Boone is past his prime. They still have Kearns, Dunn, Casey and Griffey, which if all are healthy would be a solid nucleus of an offense. They have Claussen, who could turn out to be their ace this year. And they have a little more money for the GM to work with next year. Obviously, they aren't trying to win this year, but I don't think they are in all that bad shape for next year, especially if they get a GM who knows what he's doing. Short term this is bad; long term it could be okay.

Read David Duncan writes in response to this post. He starts by quoting the post.:

"As a Red's fan, I say good riddance. Unfortunately, I doubt that the penny-pinching owners are going to bring in anyone dramatically different. They'll find someone who can manage the bottom line, not someone who understands building an organization."

Big Fan of the site and big Red Sox fan. I disagree this Reds fan. The Reds have an excellent choice to replace Bowden, Tim Naehring. I believe he is in charge of player development or something similar. Very well respected and thought of highly. In the mold of the good up and coming young GM prospects. Easy choice for the Reds to make. Mistake if they don't promote Naehring.

Naehring is indeed in charge of player development. Unfortunately, I can't find much about him in this role on the internet. Here's an article from the start of the 2002 season about how Naehring is putting prospects in AAA rather than keeping them in AA.

Most Triple-A teams aren't home to loads of young talent. Many organizations prefer to groom their prospects at Double-A while keeping their Triple-A club stocked with journeymen.

''It's the equivalent of guys in the NBA who sign 10-day contracts because of injuries,'' said Jim Callis, executive editor of Baseball America. ''That's where you see 30-year-old veterans, incase-of-emergency guys. A lot of teams aren't as hesitant anymore to bring up young guys straight from Double-A.''

The Reds sometimes have chosen that path. Dawkins twice has been called up to Cincinnati from Double-A and returned there without stopping in Louisville. Four Chattanooga pitchers underwent a Triple-A bypass en route to the big leagues last summer.

But Tim Naehring, in his second year as farm director for the Reds, has tried to change TripleA from what he calls ''a holding zone for players who can be used as insurance for the major league team.'' The emergence of Adam Dunn last season and the two productive months he spent in Louisville proved to Naehring that prospects have a place here.

''It's no longer taboo to put a prospect next to a so-called 'recirculated' sixth-year free agent,'' Naehring said. ''We have some older guys who know how to play and who will be a great influence on these (younger) guys.''

At least he's willing to go outside the box. A decision won't be made for a while. This article by John Fay sums up the candidates.

Red's fan Matt Rumbaugh writes:

Bowden was a classic "tools" guy. Under his tenure, the Reds stocked up on supposed "five-tool" outfielders. Almost every trade seemed to involve one. The current roster has Reuben Mateo, Reggie Taylor and Wily Mo Pena. All may be fine players at some point, but Bowden seemed to think they all were Willie Mays. He has no concept of plate discipline.

For pitching, his approach was even worse. Basically he picked up guys off the scrap heap of other organizations and hoped that pitching coach Don Gullet could do something with them. He loved guys coming off injury. I can't think of a single Reds prospect that developed into an effective starting pitcher in Bowden's tenure.

As a Red's fan, I say good riddance. Unfortunately, I doubt that the penny-pinching owners are going to bring in anyone dramatically different. They'll find someone who can manage the bottom line, not someone who understands building an organization.

Or they could get someone like Billy Beane, who understands both.

This is what I get for looking at the scores and not the news wires. Bob Boone and Jim Bowden were fired today (thanks to Daniel Shamah for the heads up). Shamah was surprised Bowden was fired, but I can't say I am. Bowden has been there 10 years, and the Reds have done very little in that time. He was smart enough to hire Davy Johnson as manager, but he also hired Ray Knight to replace him. More importantly, I never discerned an overriding plan in Bowden's work. What type of hitters did he like? What type of pitchers did he like?

Bowden became the youngest general manager in major league history, only 31 when he took over before the 1993 season. He immediately built his reputation as an impatient boss by firing manager Tony Perez only 44 games into the next season.

Impatient, I think, is right. He was about outcomes, not process. I have a plan, but if it isn't working, abandon it and come up with a new one. Maybe with an organization with more money, he'll do better. But I have never been overly impressed with Bowden.

Update: The Reds win on a bases loaded single by Kelly Stinnett in the 10th. Nice job by the bullpen, 4 1/3 innings of one hit ball. Okay Marlins fans, one more big reason to get out and support the Fish tonight. A win puts your team one game out of the wild card!

Eric McErlain at Off Wing Opinion has a good roundup of criticism of the Ralph Wiley piece on Bill James.

On a more interesting note, I received an e-mail today which was also addressed to a number of baseball bloggers from Steve Sailer, UPI National Correspondent. The piece is titled Analysis: Baseball's hidden ethnic bias and is inspired by the Toronto Star's claims of racisim in the way the Blue Jays are run. The piece is thoughtful and well researched. He does call Beane the first Jamesian GM, although Sandy Alderson may fit that bill more precisely. But his historical research points to the long tension between power and speed:

Strikingly, the dispute between the baseball establishment and the sabermetricians is in essence a continuation of baseball's first great argument over strategy, the one between Ty Cobb and Babe Ruth. Cobb, the greatest star of the early 20th century, believed baseball revolved around line drives and stolen bases. Ruth won the hearts of fans by bombing previously unimaginable numbers of home runs. Yet, in the minds of many baseball insiders and sportswriters, Cobb's cunning, elegant style remained preferred over Ruth's seemingly vulgar, showy antics.

What the elite didn't understand, however, was that that Ruth had a second arrow in his offensive quiver. By intimidating pitchers with his power to slam out of the park balls thrown down the middle, he forced them to try to nibble at the edges of the strike zone. When they missed, he'd accept a walk, earning as many as 177 free passes in a season. Batting behind Ruth, Lou Gehrig ran up enormous RBI totals.

Although Cobb's career batting average of .366 was the highest ever, significantly better than Ruth's .342, Ruth's on-base percentage of .474 substantially beat Cobb's .433.

Please read the whole article.

The other thing I want to note is that this is the first time a national writer has sent me a link to an on-line article, I assume, in order to get broader attention for the article. Bloggers send things to each other all the time in the hope of getting linked and reaching a broader audience. But now professional writers appear to be discovering blogs as a way to get their work seen by an audience interested in the work. That's great news for the blogosphere.

Mike Naftolin points me to this post at Mike's Baseball Rants, taking down much more strongly than Rob Neyer the Wiley piece on racism among sabermetricians.

I just got around to reading this Rob Neyer piece on why Sabermetrics is color-blind. He's trying to refute the Toronto Sun article and a more recent Ralph Wiley column. Ralph Wiley is my favorite Page 2 columnist, and his column is typically excellent. Rob takes issue with this paragraph:

It is usually the American-born blacks' records and place that are resented instead of celebrated. For example, it's the stolen base that is denigrated as a weapon by baseball sabermaticians like Bill James, at precisely the time when a Rickey Henderson steals 130 bases in a season. There are sour grapes when a baseball man uses stats to tell you a stolen base isn't important. Any time a baseball manager will give up an out for a base, as with a sac bunt or groundball to the right side, any time a base is so precious, then it goes without saying that the stolen base must be important. Not the CS, the caught stealing, or stats of success rates, but the stolen base itself.

To which Rob replies:

Let's start with Bill James, and his supposed disdain for Rickey Henderson's game.

In 1982 -- before Henderson stole 130 bases in a season -- Bill James wrote, "The greatest lead-off man in baseball, Henderson might be on his way to being the greatest lead-off man in baseball history."

In 1983 -- after Henderson stole 130 bases in a season - James wrote, "Henderson ranks as the best lead-off man in the league, which is not news."

In 2001 -- (apparently) near the end of Henderson's career -- James wrote, "Somebody asked me did I think Rickey Henderson was a Hall of Famer. I told them, 'If you could split him in two, you'd have two Hall of Famers.'"

But as I remember it, Bill did make a disparaging comment about Rickey's 130 steal season. His blurb about Henderson in his 1983 Baseball Abstract basically points out that Henderson's stolen base record did little for the team. He estimated that it only added 4.5 runs to Oakland's offense. He finishes the Henderson article with this:

Four and a half goddamn runs, and they want to give him an MVP award for it. But is it even that? What about Dwayne Murphy's hitting 0 and 1 or 0 and 2 all year? What about closing up the hole on the right side 172 times? Rickey Henderson's stolen base attempts didn't mean anything to the Oakland A's -- nothing at all. He's a great young ballplayer, but his selfish pursuit of the stolen-base record did not help the Oakland A's. It hurt them.

Rickey's 42 CS that year were also a record, and James is focusing on that, instead of the positive of the SB record. Wiley suggests that it is racist, but I think James would have made the same argument if Brett Butler had done it.

Rob's piece doesn't work for me because it's basically, "I have (choose your race) friends, so I'm not a racist." It's even weaker when he selectively quotes Bill James positively, without including his negative comments. I think his defense should be stronger than that.

Also, there is a misconception about the Sabermetricians and the stolen base that I want to clear up. Sabermetricians don't think the SB is bad. What they recognize is that the stolen base is a high risk play. Therefore, if you are going to use it, you better be in a situation in which the SB has a high likelihood of working. So you need a high percentage base stealer like Tim Raines, or be facing a team that can't throw out runners, like the Toronto Blue Jays. I believe, in those cases, sabermetricians would say, "Go wild!" But it's a secondary skill, and if you are choosing between Vince Coleman and Wade Boggs, don't take Vince Coleman simply because he can steal bases. Take Wade Boggs because he doesn't consume outs getting to first. Stolen bases themselves are not bad baseball; valuing them too highly is.

Lou Piniella will dye his hair blonde today to celebrate Tampa Bay's first three game winning streak of the year. Of course, now he has to endure the jokes.

Eric McErlain of Off Wing Opinion comments on an article that appear in the Toronto Star that focused on the racial makeup of the Toronto Blue Jays. You can find the original article here. I think Eric does a very good job of taking down the article, so I won't add any criticism of my own.

Let me, instead, take a different tack. Part of this is a backlash against something new and successful. Baseball writers, agents, managers and GMs have fed us a lot of hokum for years. And now, with Beane and company starting to prove them wrong, they are in a tither that the general public is going to start seeing them as naked emperors. Too bad. And as the Beane doctrine spreads, I'm afraid the Dominicans may be hit the hardest. Here's why. In a recent article about Soriano's slump:

Soriano said Jackson, who also has worked with Raul Mondesi this season, talked to him recently. "He wants me to wait on the ball," Soriano said. "See the ball and wait."

Patience is not a common trait for players from the Dominican Republic. That oft-quoted adage is: "You don't walk your way off the island." So Torre knows that Soriano will always be a free swinger, and even though he bats leadoff, he will never fit the traditional profile of a top-of-the order hitter.

The reason Dominicans don't walk their way off the island is that the scouts haven't looked for that. If that mentality doesn't change, they may no longer be able to hit off the island, either, and those same scouts that brought these players to the attention of the baseball world will have done them a long term disservice. I hope the examples of Sammy Sosa and Manny Ramirez show the islanders that walking has its benefits, too. They would be better to follow their examples of selectivity, rather than players like Tony Fernandez and George Bell. Otherwise, the scouts who will be working for the likes of Beane and Ricciardi will keep signing white guys who get on base.

My local paper is the Springfield Republican. Their senior sports writer is a man named Garry Brown. I don't read Garry much, but today's headline caught my eye, Scout's instinct must count. It's a direct challenge to the ideas in Moneyball.

Has the evaluation of young players become too sophisticated?

Veteran baseball scouts say yes, although they'd rather not talk about it out of respect for their bosses.

And out of fear of their jobs.

Those bosses are the general managers of today, most of whom believe that on-base percentage and other such statistics tell all they need to know about the players they pursue at draft time. So it was with the June 3 selections of college and high school players. In many cases, scouting directors felt uncomfortable with the restrictions placed upon them.

What were these restrictions? You can't draft a player because he looks good in his uniform? You mean you can only draft players who actually showed signs of being able to play baseball?

Statistical analysis certainly has its place in rating players, but general managers would do well not to underestimate the value of good old-fashioned scouting.

Stats have their place, and it's in the garbage can.

In that regard, they might consider the career of Bill Enos, who spent a lifetime scouting New England for the Boston Red Sox.
Enos scouted by sight and instinct. He sometimes would recommend players that other scouts might overlook, simply because he saw something he liked about a kid.

But isn't this exactly what Billy Beane is doing? Finding kids with good stats that the scouts are overlooking because they don't fit the image of a ballplayer? Anyway, I'm sure Garry is going to give us lots of example of Enos' outstanding finds.

Case in point would be Rich Gedman, who was drafted and signed by the Red Sox at the insistence of Enos. When Gedman played high school and American Legion ball in Worcester, he was way overweight. He had no speed and seemingly no chance of ever playing professional baseball.

Enos thought otherwise. There was something about Gedman that caught his attention. He had a nice left-handed swing, and pretty good arm strength. Gedman did a lot of pitching in junior ball. Enos thought he might do better as a catcher.

Why? How many other players had Enos seen with that swing that turned in ML ballplayers? How many fat high school pitchers turned out to be ML catchers?

As Enos followed Gedman, he did what the scouts call "projecting." That means trying to envision what kind of player a kid might be in five years. He believed Gedman would lose the baby fat as he matured. He also took into account the fact that Gedman really hadn't played much baseball, given the New England weather during the high school season. Let him play, and maybe he'd learn to hit with power.

Ahh, I've heard of this system before. Prof. Harold Hill used it in The Music Man. He called it the think system. You didn't have to take music lessons, you just had to think a song, and you could play the song. Needless to say, Harold Hill was a con man.

As Red Sox fans now know, Enos had it right. Gedman made it to the major leagues in 1980, and he had an 11-year career highlighted by a 1986 season in which he helped the Red Sox win their last pennant. He caught Roger Clemens' first 20-strikeout game, hit some dramatic homers during the stretch drive and did an outstanding job of handling the pitching staff.

As non-Red Sox fans know, Gedman had two good years, 1984 when he hit for power, and 1985 when he got on base and hit for power. He was declining in 1986, and it would be his last year as a full-time starter. So Enos' think system had gotten the Red Sox a three year starting catcher, with a career OBA of .304. Now I like Rich Gedman, and I thought the Sox treated him poorly in 1987, but I would not hold up Rich as a shining example of old-time scouting. Not when the fastest rising star in the A's system is a fat catcher who no one else in the majors even thought of drafting!

I just looked at the Red Sox lineup, and Damian Jackson is playing CF today instead of Johnny Damon. He's also leading off. This reminds me of when John McNamara managed the Red Sox. Every once in a while (like when a tough lefty was on the mound) Wade Boggs would get ill and couldn't play. Ed Romero would play third instead. And leadoff. The worst hitter in the lineup, and he would leadoff because McNamara didn't want to upset the rest of the order!

Jackson has a .292 OBA. No one else in the lineup has an OBA under .349. How about moving Trot Nixon to leadoff for a day (.384 OBA), moving Mueller and Varitek up a spot, and batting Jackson 9th? Would that really upset a lot of people?

Update: Of course, Jackson leads off with a double. Billy Beane would say it's the process, not the result.

Brian Hipp, a Royals fan, writes:

As one of the 13k+ at the Royals-Twins game last night, I'll tell you where the buzz is.

Everyone out here is a Chiefs fan. In general, the Royals are regarded with pity, disdain, but mostly indifference. No one takes the Royals seriously. And for good reason. Even now, as we are finally playing well and challenging the Twins for first place, management is openly shopping our best player, Beltran, who is not even a free agent until after next season. Keep that in mind about the ownership of this club. No team starts unloading their best players two years before free agency, but the Royals do! And given Allard Baird's track record (Johnny Damon for Blake Stein, Jermaine Dye for Neifi Perez), fans don't have a lot of faith in his ability to get anything of value for Beltran. Just don't trade with the A's!

Also consider that Mike Sweeney can walk after next season if we don't reach .500, that mythical plane of baseball nirvana we haven't attained since 1994. People recognize that if we lost 100 last year with Sweeney and Beltran, we might become the Tigers without them. Most reasonable people think that trading Beltran for prospects will greatly diminish the chance of locking Sweeney in. But then again, maybe that's David Glass's point in trading Beltran.

We haven't sniffed the playoffs since 1985 when we won it all, and we just lost 100 last year. I wish we'd get more fans out there at the K, but no one takes the team seriously. And it's hard to. We look across the state at hated St. Louis, see a real baseball franchise, and it makes us jealous. We look at the Chiefs, a team that despite its recent problems was very successful throughout the 90s, signs free agents, and signs its own players. The Royals haven't done any of those things. It's just hard to get too fired up when you only trust the team to do wrong thing.

The Royals are kind of like your kid's tee-ball team. It's fun go watch a game every once in a while because it's cheap, baseball is fun to watch, and there are a few exciting players. But most parents don't take it too seriously because pretty soon the season will be over, the players will soon be on different teams, and there's no chance of winning anything meaningful at the end of the season.

Here's a link to the KC Star article by Jeffrey Flanagan about trading Beltran. If they pulled a deal this year, it would be a team and public relations disaster.

Greybird didn't like Grady Little's moves in the ninth last night.

When me.. a woman who does not play baseball... knows that when a team walks the bases loaded to change pitchers to pitch to a guy STRUGGLING against lefties you really should pinch hit that player. Especially when sitting on your bench is a man who is stroking everyone.. lefties, righties.. it does not matter.

Dan Lewis has two posts on Steve Phillips. Start here, then scroll up.

A source of mine in the media confirms that there will be a news conference at 4 PM at which the Mets will announce they will fire Steve Phillips.

Update: Here's an ESPN.com story on the subject.

There's an extensive story in the Wall Street Journal today on the Yankees-Nets-Devil partnership and the problems they are having. Unfortunately, you have to have a subscription to read the on-line version.

Besides these problems, the Yankees and Nets owners have had a rocky time working together. They field a strong lineup: the always-powerful Yankees plus a basketball team that is in the NBA finals for the second year in a row and a hockey team that won the Stanley Cup this week. The value of YankeeNets' teams and its network stake is estimated at about $1.5 billion. But from the start, the team owners have been warring over several issues: whether to buy all of the Devils or just an interest, how to manage the teams, and even the formation of the sports network itself.

Salting this mix is the famously combative style of Mr. Steinbrenner. The parties now find their interests so divergent, and the personality clashes so severe, that the group is in danger of breaking up, according to interviews with four YankeeNets owners and numerous others who have worked closely with the teams and described the past four years' dealings.

George causing trouble? What a surprise.

Dan Branda writes:

Buzz in the city is that Mets GM Steve Phillips will be fired within the hour.

Stay tuned.

The Oakland A's got off to a good start this year, going 22-13 through May 9th. The were scoring 4.9 runs per game and had an ERA of 3.28. On May 10th, Moneyball by Michael Lewis was released. Since then the A's have gone 13-15, scoring 4.2 runs per game with an ERA of 4.05.

I wonder if the book pissed off the players? I'm going to have to read it now, but if the book portrays Beane as the genius behind the A's winning, how does that make the players who have to perform everyday feel? I'd appreciate if someone who has read the book would tell me if Beane takes credit for the accomplishment of the players, or if he gives proper credit to the guys on the field? I can see players really getting upset and thinking, "Why should we play for this guy?" if they were not given their due.

There's a good article in the NY Times on variable pricing of tickets. It seems that some teams that are drawing fewer fans are actually making as much or money due to this policy. I think it's a good one, and it's just a matter of time before all teams adopt this.

It seems that the four-man rotation experiment didn't get off the ground. Thanks to Shawn Bernard for the heads up.

Update: Well, it appears that the Jays are going with the 1990 A's model, according to this article at WayMoreSports.com.

I just noticed Rob Neyer's column on Toronto moving to a four man rotation. Actually, Rob's article is more about the criticism of the move being based on incorrect facts. Good for Rob for calling people on that. He also points out the following:

Last August, my friend Rany Jazayerli wrote a compelling three-part series of articles about the four-man rotation and why it deserves to make a comeback. I urge you to search out Rany's original pieces, but let me summarize: 1) Pitching on three days' rest is not more likely to lead to injury than pitching on four days' rest, and 2) pitching on three days' rest does not result in less effectiveness than pitching on four days' rest (and in fact there are many who think it might result in greater effectiveness).

By the way, here's the link to the Rany Jazayerli article. I've always felt the 1990 A's did it right, only using the fifth starter when a day off didn't give the other four four days rest. Like Rob, I'll be watching to see what happens in Toronto.

Jan from Wellesley sends this article describing how Jeter becoming captain is a shot at Joe Torre.

One Yankee has responded to crisis points far better than the rest during the Joe Torre Dynasty. One Yankee has been relied upon most to respond in the clutch, provide calm in a storm and set a positive example for others. One Yankee has been the de facto captain of a team that hasn't had someone hold the official title since 1995.

Proving he just can't stop messing with his manager these days, George Steinbrenner has decided to strip Joe Torre of that extra role he has filled so well, and further dilute his authority, by unilaterally slapping the captain title on Derek Jeter while slapping his manager across the face. Again, for what seems like the 15th time in the past week.

There's a lot of speculation in this article. Jeter has effectively been captain anyway, from what I see and hear. I don't think Jeter would ever try to undermine Torre; in fact, I bet they work very well together. But Torre has to realize he's under the microscope this year. Steinbrenner made that very clear:

Joe is the greatest friend I've ever had as a manager. It's a great relationship. I don't want to destroy that, but I will tell you this: I want his whole staff to understand that they have got to do better this year. I will not see him drop back into the way he was before. Right now he's a sure-fire Hall of Famer. Before he came to the Yankees he didn't even have a job. Three different times as manager he didn't deliver, and was fired. Look how far he's come. He's come that way because of an organization, and he's got to remember that. I'm glad that Joe is an icon. He's a hell of a guy, a tremendous manager and tremendous figure for New York. I just want his coaches to understand that just being a friend of Joe Torre's is not enough. They've got to produce for him. Joe Torre and his staff have heard the bugle.

And to a certain extent, I have to agree with Steinbrenner. I remember a few years ago asking a fan who they thought was the best manager in the game. They said Joe Torre. (At the time, Davey Johnson was still in the game.) I asked why, and this fan said because he had won big with the Yankees. I then asked if he thought this before Torre was with the Yankees, and the answer was no. And I think that's the right answer.

Joe Torre has managerial skills that work great when he has talented, intelligent, self motivated players. In that case, all he has to manage is their personalities. But when he has players who actually need to be coached, who need strategy laid out for them, who need a field general, he's not very good. So Steinbrenner is calling him on it. Good for Steinbrenner for not being fooled by the reasons for success. As usual, George isn't going about it very nicely and he's going to alienate all the Torre fans, but in the end, Torre has to keep the Yankees winning to keep his job. He's lasted longer than anyone else, but it very well might be time for a change.

Valentine is not the answer, however. With Valentine, you'll get back into a Billy Martin situation where there will be too many egos clashing. Where's Bob Lemon when you need him?

The joke used to be that whenever a manager was given a vote of confidence by an owner, he was on his way out. Bruce Bochy has gotten such a vote of confidence, as reported by Tom Krasovic in the SD Union-Tribune.

Moores has said Bochy's job is safe. Further endorsements came yesterday from Towers and the injury-ravaged team's only projected core player still on the active roster, Ryan Klesko.

"Bruce is not to blame for the way the team is playing," said Towers, before last night's 4-2 loss to the Milwaukee Brewers. "I can put that to rest. He is not on the hot seat. And he will not be on the hot seat as long as I'm here."

Does Bochy really deserve not to be on the hot seat? Yes, the Padres have suffered extensive injuries, but consider this:

Bochy's frustration boiled over Monday night on the team's flight home from Phoenix. In the 41/3 seasons since Bochy guided the Padres to the 1998 World Series, his five Padres clubs have posted more defeats than 13 other National League clubs (only the Brewers and Pirates have been worse).

Someone in management is doing a bad job here. Someone should be on the hot seat.

Edward Cossette at Bambino's Curse suggests that for the first time, Red Sox fans are not smarter than their GM.

Arturo Moreno has been approved by MLB to buy the Anaheim Angels. He'll become the first minority owner of a team. I like his attitude about that:

Moreno didn't attach any particular significance to his becoming the first minority owner with a controlling stake. While the Seattle Mariners' majority interest is owned by Hiroshi Yamauchi, who is Japanese, the team has been controlled by John Ellis and Howard Lincoln, who are American.

"I think we're all Americans," Moreno said. "Most of us are immigrants from someplace and we do our best to be Americans."

Yep.

The Marlins fired Jeff Torborg Saturday. This is the first time I remember a manager being fired for overworking pitchers:

General manager Larry Beinfest made the changes after the Marlins lost for the seventh time in eight games Saturday. He said the team has performed below expectations, and he didn't discount the way Torborg and Arnsberg handled an injury-plagued pitching staff as a factor.

"This is a better team than we've played,'' Beinfest said. "The fans here in South Florida deserve to have hope this summer. There is enough time left to turn it around and get back in it.''

While Torborg took the news with typical grace, Arnsberg became angry when told he was fired. Beinfest said he and owner Jeffrey Loria went to the pitching coach's apartment late Saturday to inform him.

Arnsberg said the meeting lasted 90 seconds but declined to say what he told Loria and Beinfest.

"He was abusive and clearly unprofessional,'' Beinfest said. "I would say he was bordering on violent.''

I hope this marks a new era, where all are finally convinced that you have to take care with young pitchers, or they won't be good pitchers for very long.

As for his replacement, I've never been impressed with Jack McKeon. At least (I assume), he won't be overworking anyone.

Mike Vaccaro in the New York Post wants Rey Sanchez cut over a hair cut:

Sanchez, in the loudest possible voice, has now given Art Howe, Steve Phillips and the Waste Management firm of Wilpon & Wilpon an opportunity to prove they really do understand what is needed to turn the surreal circus that circulates around their clubhouse into something resembling a professional organization.

By cutting Rey Sanchez.

Now. Immediately. Today.

You think that's too over-the-top a punishment for Sanchez getting a little off the top in the clubhouse during a game while his team was getting pounded? You're crazy. Sanchez may not be the ace of diamonds in Mets' fans personal deck of most-wanted playing cards, but at this point he is clearly the face - or the sideburns, bangs, and neatly parted hair - of this buffoonish cartoon strip of a club.

Howe, in a statement, assured Mets Nation that, "the situation will be assessed and adreessed." In Howe-speak, this means he will spend much of today hiding under his desk, smiling absently for his players, handing out empty quotes and doing absolutely nothing before managing nine more innings of perfectly milquetoast baseball.

I want Art Howe to prove me wrong on this.

Mets fans are begging Howe, and Phillips, and the Wilpons, to prove them wrong, too. Sanchez has made it easy for all of them. Ditch him now. Pay off the rest of his contract, and chalk it up as punitive damages for ever allowing his sneering, sniggering presence into a clubhouse that clearly welcomes sneering, sniggering presences the way a haunted house greets a ghost.

Maybe they should cut him because his OPS is .418. He makes Rey Ordonez look like a slugger. I'd say, "Let's find out if Jose Reyes can play," but I think the Mets need to clean up their act first. There is a serious lack of leadership at all levels of the Mets organization that needs to be addressed. The more I read about Phillips and Howe, the more I'm convinced that they are not up to the job. And there doesn't seem to be a lot of leadership among the players to fill that vaccum. Will Wilpon celan house? Or will he just pon?

I just updated this post. There was a typo in the original press release.

Update: I called the Rockies and left a message with Jay Alves, their PR director. My question to him was, "Does this mean that the Rockies management would welcome an openly gay player on the team?" I was very impressed that Jay returned my call. He said that the Rockies disagreed with Todd Jones, but would not go beyond the press release.

There is more discussion about this issue at The Cub Reporter and Bronx Banter.

A number of readers have pointed out to me that the Rockies press release regarding Todd Jones' remarks against gay ballplayers on the team did not explicitly state sexual orientation when listing things against which the organization does not discriminate. Yes, I did realize that but,

1. They do list "sex."


2. Given the context, it's pretty clear they are making the point that they disagree with Jones on this issue.

I'm willing to give the Rockies the benefit of the doubt on this one for the moment. However, I'm going to keep my eye out for a clearer statement on the issue.

Update: Christian Ruzich writes to tell me that a cut and paste error was made in the Rockies press release. The second paragraph now reads:

"As an organization and as a part of this community, we are committed to providing an environment for our employees and fans that is free of discrimination and prejudice regardless of race, color, sex, religion, sexual orientation, national orientation, age, disability, or status as a veteran" said Keli McGregor, Rockies team president.

So they weren't being weasels.

I received an interesting E-mail from Darren Viola today.

Hey David.. Maybe you can come across the Todd Jones article (being somewhat of a loose cannon, I can only imagine what Jones wrote about ) that the Rockies have seemingly squashed in the Denver Post. I was trying to post it over here at Baseball Primer.

Here is the Rockie Press Release retraction.

http://colorado.rockies.mlb.com/NASApp/mlb/col/news/col_press_release.jsp?ymd=20030428&content_id=294326&vkey=pr_col&fext=.jsp

Here's what the press release says:

The unfortunate comments made by pitcher Todd Jones and published in today's Denver Post in no way reflect the views, opinions, or attitudes of the Colorado Rockies Baseball Club.
"As an organization and as a part of this community, we are committed to providing an environment for our employees and fans that is free of discrimination and prejudice regardless of race, color, sex, religion, national orientation, age, disability, or status as a veteran" said Keli McGregor, Rockies team president.

The Colorado Rockies Baseball Club is an Equal Opportunity Employer and is committed to providing a work environment that is free from unlawful discrimination.

So what did Todd Jones say? I looked at the Denver Post sports page, and like Mr. Viola, couldn't find an article. So I did a search of Google News with the query "Todd Jones Denver Post" and found an article in the theater section titled "Broadway portrayal of homosexual ballplayer runs counter to reality".

In the few first seconds of the most controversial new play on Broadway, a young, handsome and cocky major-league baseball superstar casually and unashamedly mentions to the media and his teammates that he is gay. His talents are so god-like, his life to date so charmed and insulated from hatred, it never occurs to him to care what anyone else might think about that.

Todd Jones was asked to comment:

Colorado Rockies pitcher Todd Jones, a 6-foot, 3-inch pitcher from Marietta, Ga., said an openly gay player would create a hostile locker-room environment, and that opposing pitchers would likely throw intentionally at his head.

"I wouldn't want a gay guy being around me," Jones said. "It's got nothing to do with me being scared. That's the problem: All these people say he's got all these rights. Yeah, he's got rights or whatever, but he shouldn't walk around proud. It's like he's rubbing it in our face. 'See me, hear me roar.' We're not trying to be close-minded, but then again, why be confrontational when you don't really have to be?"

That kind of attitude "speaks volumes about America," said actor Daniel Sunjata, a Jeter lookalike who plays Lemming in "Take Me Out." "Sports are the last bastion of sanctioned homophobia in this country. The fact that something like sexual preference can so adversely affect your career and your income is depressing. If I were a pro baseball player, and I was gay, I might not come out, either, for those exact reasons."

It's good to see the Rockies disagreeing with this comment. I wonder if this means the Rockies management would welcome an openly gay ballplayer? If so, that's a big step forward in management's thinking. Maybe the Rockies will be the Brooklyn Dodgers of the aughties.

Update: There was a typo in the press release, and sexual orientation should have been included. The link to the press release brings you to the corrected version, and this post also prints the corrected paragraph.

Paul at PR9000.net uncovers a scandal involving Cubs tickets, the Chicago Tribune and ticket agents.

But trying to get tickets to Wrigley is impossible. You have to get in line in February, or know someone who has good tickets, or have a fiancee whose company bought her season tickets two years in a row. Very few people wake up one bright, sunny summer morning, think "I want to see the Cubs today" and just waltz down to the box office at Clark & Addison. It doesn't work that way.

In many cases, you have to use scalpers ticket agents, such as Wrigley Field Premium Ticket Services, right across the street from Wrigley. I've done this a few times myself, and always felt dirty about it. Now, I know why: the Cubs secretly send loads of their best tickets to the agents -- at least one of which is owned by the Cubs themselves!

I'm a free market guy. So in theory I don't find anything wrong with this. What I do object to, however, is that the Cubs aren't up front about it. It strikes me as a way of hiding money so that the Cubs don't look as profitable as they really are. And that's sleezy.

But the idea of clubs selling tickets for different prices depending on the game, that's an idea I don't mind at all. The point of running a ball club is to put as many fannies into the seats as you can (and get as many eyes and ears tuned to TV and radio). So before the season starts, clubs set ticket prices and sell as many seats as they can before anything happens. Some clubs, like the Red Sox, sell the great majority of their tickets before the season starts. But this makes Red Sox tickets a scare, and therefore potentially valuable asset. So let's say you bought four tickets for a late September game against the Yankees, and you bought them in January. Now, it's game day, and Pedro is facing Clemens, and the teams are tied in the standings. How much are those tickets worth? Five times what you paid? Ten times what you paid? It might be enough that you decide you'd rather have the money. You made a good investment that paid off.

Well, why can't teams do this? What's would be wrong with the Red Sox holding back 1000 good seats for every game, and setting the price based on the popularity of the game? People could show up at 9 AM, put in bids on tickets (or they could also bid over the internet). At 11:30, when the park opens, you show back up and find out if you have a high bid. This is essentially what the Cubs are doing by going through an agent. The agent wants to move his tickets, so he or she is going to set the price based on demand, just like a scalper does. For a team that sells out most of it's games, it a great way to generate extra revenue, and as long as it's above board, I don't see anything wrong with it.

Yesterday, I thought someone was going to lose his Reds job. It could have been close. The Reds made four moves after yesterday's games, according to John Fay of the Cincinnati Enquirer. My favorite quote is from Jimmy Anderson:

"I think it's (expletive) ridiculous," said Anderson, who started and lost the second game Saturday. "Four starts, I gave up three runs in two of them, and they tell me I'm not doing my job."

Of course, Anderson fails to mention that if you put those runs in context , it adds up to an 8.27 ERA.

My solicitation of comments on Brewers security brought in these replies. The first is from Mark:

As a life long Brewers fan, who has gone to countless games and worked on the grounds crew, at County Stadium, for a couple of summers, I think the security at Miller Park is much better than it was at County Stadium. If for no other reason than the way it is designed. It keeps people, other than the expensive seats, further away from the field. There also appears to be a greater presence of security. Although the comforts and security of Miller Park is nice it has taken away the blue collar, party atmosphere of County Stadium, yet another reason less people attend Brewers games. Miller Park has become just another mall-restaurant enterprise. People used to go to County Stadium to drink a little beer, socialize and watch a .500 ballclub. Now they go because they got the company tickets and parking pass for free.

I also believe,along with my wife that the only way women or anyone will start going to Brewers games is if they win. My wife enjoys baseball and goes to games to watch baseball with me, she goes to restaurants and bars and malls to do everything else with people who don't need other reasons to go to baseball games other than watching baseball.

But they have figured out another way to get fans to games without winning is too bring in celebrities to make movies, http://www.jsonline.com/onwisconsin/movies/apr03/134048.asp. I guess bring in Bernie Mac is easier and will make more money than fielding a good ballclub.

And Joe Duellman writes about security and the improved Brewers:

I've been to my fair share of Brewer games and I don't recall ever witnessing any sort of serious problems with security. An occasional drunken fan might get a bit rowdy now and then, but I seriously doubt anybody avoids going to Miller Park because of safety concerns.

As for the gimmicks trying to attract more females fans...well, can you blame them? The Brewers have been pretty bad for a long time and they need to do whatever they can to try to bring fans to the ballpark. Besides, what do they have to lose? I doubt anybody will decide not to go to a game because chair massages and floral tips are offered. The new front office is working really hard to get this team headed in the right direction and, so far, I think they're doing a great job. As ugly as that 15-2 loss was yesterday, I think it should be noted that the Brewers have shown a great deal of improvement since the season began (aside from yesterday's debacle). The Brew Crew is 5-5 in their last ten games and, at least in my opinion, haven't even been the worst team in the division so far. Thank you Cincinnati!

Thanks very much!

Baseball Primer has a post on the Brewers trying to attract women to their games. The are using gimmicks such as massages and floral arrangement demonstrations to bring in the female fans. As I read the article, it struck me as the wrong approach. Why not bring women in because baseball is fun to watch? A later on in the article, a female fan agreed:

But Lisa Olsen of Milwaukee said it "sounds kind of ridiculous."

Olsen, noting the 15-2 Brewers' loss Wednesday, said more women might attend the games if the Brewers won.

"This is pathetic," she said.

"I don't need makeup tips to bring me to a game."

I also wonder if women don't come to Brewers games because it's not safe. The recent problems in Chicago remind me that the old County Stadium had a reputation for fans and ballplayers getting into scuffles due to the lack of security. Any Brewers fans want to fill me in on how security is at the new ballpark?

You can see what the White did do to improve security here. Not everything I proposed, but a couple of things were there.

Craig Damon writes in response to this post:

Just a slight correction: At least when we used to have our season
tickets (88-94), Fenway hired the BC hockey team. They were even better
than football players if something really got started and they could
pin someone against the wall in nothing flat. But college hockey
players have also learned to control their temper in the midst of
violence.

I started going to Fenway regularly in 1984, and I remember them being football players, but hockey players make perfect sense, too.

It looks like Disney has found a buyer for the Anaheim Angels. Arturo Moreno will pay about $200 million for the team. I think it's a steal. If you want to own a professional baseball team, this is the time to buy. The Twins, Expos, Dodgers and probably even the Braves can be had for below market value. They are all interesting franchises that could be developed into cash cows when the economy picks up. Now, if I only had $100 million....

I like this article because it also discusses the failure of big media companies as baseball owners.

The Angels sale is more than a cash loss for the media giant, it is another acknowledgment that the late-1990s industry doctrine of "synergy," in which one company owns many pieces that theoretically combine to increase revenue and lower operating costs, has failed on a large scale.

Disney continues to seek a buyer for its Anaheim Mighty Ducks hockey team, said a source familiar with that process.

Disney had hoped the Angels and Ducks would be the marquee products for a planned ESPN West regional sports network, but that was thwarted when Rupert Murdoch's News Corp. launched the Fox Sports Regional networks in 1997 and outmaneuvered Disney for the broadcast rights to the Angels and Ducks.

More than one media giant paid top dollar to buy sports teams, hoping to use broadcast arms to drive gate and advertising revenue. Most of the companies have now realized that unless a company owns a major market team with a substantial cable broadcast deal -- like the New York Yankees -- the only money to be made by owning a sports team comes when it is sold.

That is what the media goliaths are trying to do.

AOL Time Warner Inc., the world's largest media company, is trying to unload its professional sports teams, all in Atlanta -- baseball's Braves, basketball's Hawks and hockey's Thrashers.

News Corp., which bought the Dodgers for the market-setting rate of $311 million in 1997, is looking for a buyer.

Analysts have called this the worst time in recent history to try to sell sports teams, which are saddled with high player salaries, and, in some leagues, dropping attendance and television ratings.

The worst time to sell is usually the best time to buy.

Edward Cossette has the scoop on a future member of the Red Sox PR department. :-)

Update: Jim Caple has a slightly different take on this.

The Phillies are getting their money's worth out of the their big off-season pickups. Jim Thome was two for four with a walk today and is batting .326 and slugging .565 with an OBA over .400. David Bell scored 3 runs today, and is putting up a .417 OBA. And Kevin Millwood won his 2nd game today and has a 3.00 ERA.

Interesting quote in this Seattle-Oakland recap (emphasis added):

Tejada said before the game he would not be distracted by his contract situation, and he showed it. He can become a free agent after the season and wants a new deal from the A's before the end of the season if he's going to stay. But the club has said it can't afford to offer him a multiyear deal.

"I wasn't looking for a home run,'' the 26-year-old shortstop said. "I just want to get on base for my team. It's nice to have the first one.''

Notice he didn't say, I just wanted to get a hit. Great stuff! I can just imagine Billy Beane saying to himself, "You will be assimilated. " :-)

A's are dominating a good Seattle team. Oakland fans are in for another fun summer.

I just heard on the Red Sox broadcast that the Devil Rays have signed Damion Easley, removing him from the ranks of the idle rich.

Maybe Miguel Tejada might stay in Oakland. It seems management might sign him to a short term contract.

"I never intended to slam the door on Miguel Tejada," Schott told the newspaper. "He's a wonderful person. One thing I never wanted to do was hurt his feelings, because I'd like to keep Miguel. There's no question he'd be a great player for us down the road. The door's never closed.

"If the opportunity arises and his agents want to talk to us again about a shorter-term contract than what we heard he was looking for, we're always ready to listen."

I actually think a long term contract at a reduced price is better, but I understand wanting to avoid the risk of a long term injury or production fall off. Here's my original post on the subject.

A reader points out this article in the NY Times on the ad taken out by the Toronto Blue Jays asking their fans to boo Matsui. Godzilla's reaction is priceless:

Taped to the door of the Yankees' clubhouse was a team-sponsored newspaper ad that targeted Matsui. "Boo Matsui," it read, in English and Japanese, with a photo of a Yankee cap pelted by bird droppings. The ad offended Yankees Manager Joe Torre, but Matsui was restrained.
"I don't have anything special to say," he said through an interpreter. "I guess I'm happy that the fans are actually aware of my name."

Yes, any publicity is good publicity.

As for Toronto, I think this shows just how sad this once successful organization has become. They can't put out many positives to get the fans to attend games, so they have to go for the negatives. Ten years ago, they were a model organization. They built a park without a lot of direct public money. They built a championship team through smart trades, a good farm system, and good free agent signings. They sold out every game, because the put a fine product on the field. Now all they can do is blame the Yankees for being successful and ask their fans to boo a class act? Pathetic, and the club should be ashamed.

Where can I get a job like this?

Jim Terry writes:

Please, Please help raise the protest of the demotion of Skip Caray and Pete Van Wieren from TBS broadcasts. The Braves' Nation Mourns.
http://www.accessatlanta.com/ajc/sports/braves/0303/26tv.html

and especially
http://www.accessatlanta.com/ajc/sports/columns/tucker/index.html

Glad to help, Jim, and thanks for pointing out those articles. I saw that this happened a couple of days ago, but I didn't have a chance to see what happened, and then I lost track of the item.

It seems that TBS wants the Braves games to be more of a national broadcast, rather than a Braves broadcast, and Caray is too closely associated with the Braves.

Excuse me while I roll on the floor laughing.

I'm back. That has to be the dumbest thing I've ever heard. People watch the Braves on TBS because:

1. The Braves are winners, and it's fun to watch a winner.


2. The Braves broadcasts are extremely well produced.


3. The announcers are really good. All of them. They know that they are calling a baseball game, not a hockey game. You stay low key, and save the excitement for the truly exciting moments.

This strikes me as new management sticking their nose in where it doesn't belong. AOL has had poor synergy with its acquired units, and now I see why. They have no clue how to run mass media.

One hopeful sign from the second article:

Pearl said there was a "major concern" that the decision -- made by him, Turner Sports president David Levy and Turner Entertainment Group president Mark Lazarus -- would be perceived as a demotion of, or dissatisfaction with, Caray and Van Wieren. "It was neither of those," he said. "We've tried in this combination to satiate the appetite of Braves fans in the South [via radio and Turner South], yet put together a team in Don and Joe that would help us hopefully live up to the title of 'MLB on TBS'."

Pearl also noted that the change isn't necessarily permanent. That depends on how it works.

I'd go as far as saying I think the change is ephemeral.

Update: Shawn Bernard takes exception with my characterization of AOL running Time-Warner:

You said, "AOL has had poor synergy with its acquired units, and now I see why." In fact, AOL really has nothing to do with the management of the "other units," which consists of all of Time-Warner. Time-Warner now runs the company known as AOL-Time Warner and all the people at the head of AOL-TW are now Time-Warner people. AOL is now more of an "acquired unit" than the reverse. We all try and work together, but, of course, it's not always as easy as it should be. On good thing is that AOL does do a good job of promoting all of Time-Warner's assets, though.

It really bugs me when people assume that AOL is the "main" portion of AOL-TW. AOL is pretty much the only portion of AOL-TW that didn't meet it's forecasts last year - all of Time-Warner did exceptionally well, and they
really have no say so of the direction of the company, AND they DEFINATELY have no say so on the direction of the sport teams (which I'm hoping AOL-TW doesn't end up selling off).

Just thought that I'd point that out. ;)

Shawn, employee of Turner Entertainment

Point taken, Shawn. So a bunch of computer nerds aren't making the mistake. Savy media people are making the mistake. Is that really better?

Scott Miller of CBS.sportsline.com has an excellent article on how Bill James' ideas are spreading thoughout baseball, especially on the Red Sox:

Maybe the game has changed very little in 100 years, but the way we view it is changing every day. Survey today's baseball landscape and it is abundantly clear James' fingerprints appear in front offices throughout the game in the way clubs now analyze players, identify trends and view specific situations.

In Oakland, general manager Billy Beane inherited an office filled with volumes of James' books when he took over from Sandy Alderson in the 1997.

In Atlanta, Braves' president Stan Kasten once inquired as to what James could do in the NBA world with the Hawks.

In Colorado, Dan O'Dowd blew away the Rockies' management when he interviewed for their GM job after the 1999 season, offering detailed evidence on-base percentage was one of the keys to winning in Coors Field (so far, that hasn't gone too well).

In Chicago, White Sox GM Kenny Williams created a systems and analysis department when he replaced Ron Schueler after the 2000 season.

In Toronto, GM J.P. Ricciardi -- a Beane acolyte who came to Canada from Oakland -- is spreading the gospel of OPS (statistical evaluations of players taking into account on-base percentage plus slugging percentage) while rebuilding the Blue Jays.

Throughout the industry, a growing number of baseball executives have been turning to the pages of Bill James both for new ideas and for backup of their own ideas.

So if the office shelves are lined with Bill James' books, why not actually bring in the man himself?

"I'm actually surprised it took someone that long to hire a Bill James," Beane said during a conversation in his office at Oakland's spring complex in Phoenix. "Obviously, I've read a lot of his stuff and respect him. Someone with his ideas either has or will ultimately revolutionize how teams are put together."

Eventually, you won't be hired as a GM unless you know your Bill James inside-out. :-)