June 30, 2005
Lance Niekro is a big reason the Giants are off to an 8-0 lead over the Arizona Diamondbacks tonight. He's gone two for two, hitting his 9th double and home run. Niekro is a low OBA, high power hitter. That's fine, and batting 6th is a perfect place for that type of split. He's better at finishing an offensive rally than starting it.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:57 PM
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Jeff Francis gave the Rockies six strong innings tonight in St. Louis, leaving the game with a 5-0 lead. He allowed just three hits and 2 walks while striking out six. Francis' road record is very poor this season; his ERA is 3.50 at Coors, and entering today, 7.21 on the road. He's lowered that to 6.34 tonight. The score might even be higher if not for four double plays turned by the Cardinals.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:26 PM
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It's pretty clear Hayden Penn is not ready for the major leagues yet. Hayden gave up 5 earned runs in 3 2/3 innings tonight. He doesn't go deep in games, and too often he gives up too many runs. He's now given up 25 earned runs in 33 1/3 innings for a 6.75 ERA. He's walked 19 while striking out only 14. He only had one game in which he pitched very well, and that was against Colorado in Baltimore. At 20 years old, however, there's plenty of time for him to develop into a star. He just hasn't shown any indication of greatness at this level yet. He looks like he needs more seasoning in the minors.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:37 PM
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I didn't know there were jurisdictions in baseball.
The Rangers talked with MLB on Thursday. Because the incident occurred on the field, MLB has jurisdiction. A decision on possible discipline is expected Friday, Texas owner Tom Hicks said.
"At this point there's nothing the Texas Rangers will or can do," Hicks said. "We will support whatever the commissioner decides."
So it's all up to Bud and his Buddies. Of course, it doesn't mean the Rangers can do nothing. I would not be surprised to see Rogers moved to another team. Most teams want to have good relations with the media that cover them. Moving Kenny would help restore that.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:29 PM
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Baseball Jerks
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The Athletics won again this afternoon, defeating the Seattle Mariners 6-2. Bobby Crosby batted cleanup today and went 2 for 3 with a walk and his fourth homer. He's now batting .337 with a .400 OBA and a .558 slugging percentage. The A's are 19-8 when Crosby plays, 19-32 without him. It looks like his injury cost the A's quite a few games; with him playing all year they very well might be in the thick of the wild card race.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:12 PM
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Kenny Rogers isn't the only Ranger who can hit. Texas belted eight home runs this afternoon, riding the Angels out of town on a rail 18-5. Kevin Mench was the big bopper, blasting three out of the park and driving in five runs. Mark Teixeira added a pair of two-run shots himself. This is the second time they've hit eight in a game this year (May 21) and it's the club record.
Posted by StatsGuru at 05:24 PM
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Chad Cordero earned his 28th save in 30 attempts this afternoon, preserving a 7-5 Nationals victory over the Pirates. Cordero didn't make it easy on himself, giving up a single and a double to start the inning. John Wetteland was a master of the "heart-attack" save in 1996 for the Yankees. Starting the inning with no one on isn't tough enough, so these relievers like to make it a challenge. :-)
After a fly out and a strikeout, the Pirates still had runners at 2nd and 3rd. After an intentional walk to Ward, Doumit flied out to end the game. A scary inning for the Nationals faithful, but a win nonetheless. Opponents are now batting .122 (5 for 41) vs. Cordero with men in scoring position.
Posted by StatsGuru at 04:01 PM
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It's not the best day to be a pitcher at Wrigley Field. Greg Maddux has gone five innings so far, allowing 10 hits and six runs. Chris Capuano isn't doing much better, allowing five runs and seven hits. Overall, batters in the game are 17 for 42 (.405) through 4 1/2 innings.
Posted by StatsGuru at 03:50 PM
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I don't quite understand this. Pedro Martinez pitches six innings, throwing 99 pitches, 69 for strikes. With the Mets holding a 5-2 lead in the bottom of 6th, Pedro is due up with none on and two out. Randolph lifts him for Victor Diaz, who makes an out. The Phillies get three hits off the Mets relievers in the 7th and close the score to 5-3.
Is Pedro no longer allowed to go over 100 pitches? I know he's fragile, but he should be able to throw 110 to 120 pitches once in a while.
Update: The Mets hold on and get Pedro the win, only his second day time decision this year.
Posted by StatsGuru at 03:18 PM
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Kip Wells has a great line so far:
2 IP, 4 H, 4 R, 4 ER, 4 BB, 4 K.
Posted by StatsGuru at 02:03 PM
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When sports writers start calling for batting average to be put to death as a statistic, you know the times are changing. Joe Posnanski does that today:
But wherever we turn, batting average has to go. Batting average is the horse and buggy. It is black-and-white television. Its time has passed. I don’t know how we go about getting rid of it, though. Lately, Congress has shown a lot of interest in baseball; maybe we could get them to forget about steroids and pass a constitutional amendment.
“I think this is too important an issue to be dealt with by trivial measures like a constitutional amendment,” Bill James said. “That’s just putting a Band-Aid on it.”
I agree with the article mostly. Batting average does have one good use, and that's awarding batting championships. Batting average recognizes that the game, in the fans view, is about hitting. It rewards players who get lots of hits, but it also doesn't hurt players who draw lots of walks. If you have two players with 600 PA and 200 hits, the one who walks more gets the higher batting average. So if you don't walk much, you needs lots more hits to win a batting title (see Ichiro Suzuki or Tony Gwynn). Those hits are more valuable than the other person's walks, so batting average does a nice job of balancing the two.
It's just a poor tool for rating player's ability. If batting average does die, I won't be sorry.
Thanks to Brian Hipp for the pointer to the article.
Posted by StatsGuru at 11:05 AM
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Jon Lieber returns to New York to face the Mets and Pedro Martinez this afternoon. Lieber got off to a great start, going 4-1 with a 3.03 ERA in April, but since his record is 4-6 with an ERA twice his April number. Meanwhile, Pedro is being Pedro for the Mets; great record, great ERA, lots of strikeouts and he pitched well against the Yankees. This will be Pedro's seventh start under sunlight. He's only received one decision during the day (he's 1-0). That's surprising because the Mets offense is much better during the day (5.3 runs per game day, 4.1 at night). Pedro must have gotten the Mets of their bad days.
Enjoy!
You can buy tickets for this and all other games at the Baseball Musings Ticket Store.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:36 AM
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Kenny Rogers attacked two cameramen last night. One was taken to a hospital on a stretcher (Fox has a video link of the incident).
This wasn't Randy Johnson being surprised by a reporter jumping out of the bushes, or Tim Belcher being upset after a bad game. This was a premeditated act of violence over rumors in the press. You would think at 40 years old and 17 years in the majors Rogers would have a little more maturity.
I don't see how the Rangers can keep The Gambler at this point. He deserves a huge fine and a huge suspension. I won't be at all surprised if he's arrested and charged with assault.
I also wonder what's really going on here. At this point in his life, he should be secure money wise. According to Baseball Reference (scroll down), he's made over $55 million dollars over his career. Is he really that competitive that a lack of a contract extension, the release of a friend, and rumors in the media sends him off the deep end? I'm clueless here. He just threw away his career for no good reason.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:46 AM
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Baseball Jerks
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I'm going to start referring to the city name of the Angels as LAnaheim. Every time I want to refer to the Angels by their place name I end up typing Anaheim, then having to change it. I never know, however, what to type instead. Los Angeles isn't complete. Los Angeles of Anaheim is awkward. I sometimes do LA/Anaheim, but this is a bit shorter and makes fun of the whole naming debacle. So from now on, they're the LAnaheim Angels here.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:33 AM
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Team Movements
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The Oakland Athletics appear to have corrected their early season problems and are on a 14-4 streak since June 10. The offense, which was amazingly weak, has scored 101 runs over their last 18 games. Take a look at the batters over this time period. All the regulars save Swisher are getting on base, and Swisher is making up for his lack of OBA with power.
On the pitching side, the young guns of Harden, Blanton and Saarloos have been pretty unhittable, despite the fact that they're not striking out many batters. Zito still is near the bottom of the pack in ERA, but in the last 18 games he's post a 3.55 mark. Teams will take that from their fifth best starter any day.
And the A's finally gained a game on LAnaheim (that's it!) last night. The Angels are 13-5 over the same time period. It may be difficult for Oakland to win the west with the hole they've dug for themselves, but they're only six games out of the wild card.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:21 AM
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:55 AM
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June 29, 2005
Frank Thomas goes deep in the 13th inning to give the White Sox a 4-3 lead. Thomas now has eight home runs in 52 at bats, one every 6.5 at bats. According to the broadcast, he also set the franchise record for runs scored at 1320.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:51 PM
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The Athletics are off to a good start tonight, scoring four runs so far tonight and they're still in the second inning. Nick Swisher hit his 9th homer of the season; during this 13-4 run for the A's Swisher hasn't hit for average nor gotten on base much, but his few hits have gone a long way. The solo shot gives him six homers and 14 RBI over the last 18 Oakland games.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:33 PM
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At what point do the Phillies swap Rollins and Utley in the order? Rollins, with almost 3000 career at bats, pretty much proved he doesn't get on base much. His career OBA is .324, and this season it's below .320. Utley, finally given a chance to play every day, is posting a .380 OBA. He's 1 for 2 tonight with a walk to raise it to .384. Chase should be batting second behind Michaels. That does a better job of setting up the heart of the order, plus Michaels being on base will make good use of Utley's power.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:49 PM
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There were server problems tonight, so the Baseball Musings Radio Show did not go out live. However, you can hear the recorded version here. It's also available on demand at TPSRadio.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:29 PM
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Pudge Rodriguez just struck out with the bases loaded and nobody out in a game tied 3-3 in the 8th. He's upset, and he should be. Dmitri Young walked to load the bases. Politte looked wild. So instead of waiting to see if Politte can throw a strike, Ivan goes up swinging at the first pitch. That's one of my big pet peeves. Let the pitcher be wild! Instead, he swings at a pitch in his eyes, then at two more out of the strikezone. Monroe follows with a double play, and a chance to bury the White Sox goes by the board. Bad process, Ivan!
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:23 PM
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The Cincinnati Reds played embarassing defense in the 2nd inning against the Cardinals tonight. It seemed every time they touched the ball something went wrong. Jason Romano is playing center field. Reggie Sanders hit a ball to the warning track in center, and instead of getting under it, Romano tried to reach out from the side. He was totally fooled, and the ball bounced into the stands for a ground rule double. It's one of those hits that the rules don't call an error, but it really was poor defense.
Later in the inning, Felipe Lopez throws two balls away. Neither looked like a difficult play. The big difference I see between major league and minor league games is the fielding. Tonight, the Reds are fielding like minor leaguers.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:08 PM
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Defense
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Just a reminder that the Basball Musings Radio Show is coming up at the top of the hour. I hope you'll tune in.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:13 PM
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I've been hearing rumors about this all day. One of my commentors reports that this was Omar making the noise and Cashman said no. If the Yankees are going to trade Sheffied for a center fielder, they should get a very young, very good one, not Mike Cameron who they'll have to replace in a couple of years.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:06 PM
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Craig Biggio broke the modern hit by pitch record when he was plunked today. The Astros won the game 7-1 as Oswalt when seven shutout innings for the victory. He's now 2-0 in his career at Coors.
I thought this was appropriate:
Biggio was hit on the padding guarding his right elbow during the fourth inning of Houston's game against the Rockies, marking the 268th time he's been plunked, the post-1900 record.
The only padding I remember Baylor using were his giant muscles.
Posted by StatsGuru at 06:32 PM
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D.J. Carrasco went 6 2/3 innings today to earn a win over the Minnesota Twins. With enough innings his 3.23 ERA would put him in the top 10 in the American League. He's mostly keeping runs off the board by keeping the ball in the park. In 55 2/3 innings, he's only given up 2 home runs.
He's not striking out batters, however. His K total is a mere 22 in 55 2/3 innings. At some point, all those balls in play are going to catch up to the righty.
Posted by StatsGuru at 04:53 PM
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That's the Kerry Wood everyone knows and loves. Six innings, nine strikeouts, two walks and one run allowed. He won't get the decision as the score is tied at 2 in the 7th, but with Prior and Wood both having good comeback outings, things are looking up for the Cubs.
Posted by StatsGuru at 04:15 PM
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Tom Elia points me to this article on the 100th anniversary of Moonlight Graham's only major league appearance. The movie Field of Dreams it which Graham figures prominently, may be the only tear-jerker that makes men cry and not women.
Posted by StatsGuru at 03:34 PM
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In a fast moving game, Josh Towers has not allowed a hit through five innings against Tampa Bay. His only mistake was hitting Nick Green with a pitch. He's struck out five, and 43 of his 62 pitches have been strikes. The Jays lead 6-0.
Update: Towers still has the no-hitter through six innings. He threw an 11 pitch sixth inning, 8 for strikes, and now has seven strikeouts.
Update: Huff breaks up the no-hitter with out in the 7th, reaching on a single. It's now 8-0 Toronto.
Posted by StatsGuru at 01:25 PM
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The weekly Baseball Musings radio show will be on TPSRadio tonight and every Wednesday at 8 PM EDT. Check out their other sports programming as well. You can listen at any one of these links:
You can also call in at 888-985-0555 and leave a question for the show, or stop by the chat room at TPSRadio during the broadcast and leave a comment. Also, feel free to leave a question in the comments to this post and I'll be happy to answer them on the air.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:45 AM
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Kerry Wood returns to the Cubs rotation this afternoon as Chicago host the Brewers and Ben Sheets. Wood missed two months with a strained right shoulder. Wood had control problems before the injury; he struck out 33 in 26 1/3 innings, but walked 14. Batters were hitting Kerry for power, as they combined to slug .535 vs. the righty. After three good starts, Sheets was roughed up by the Cubs last week in an 8-7 Milwaukee win. Sheets is having great success vs. lefties this season, while right-handers are giving him problems. In the same number of at bats, righties have seven more hits and double the homers (8-4).
The Astros send Roy Oswalt to the mound in Colorado vs. Byung-Hyun Kim. Kim ERA as a starter in Colorado this season is 2.78. Maybe the key to success at Coors is an unusual delivery. Roy's only pitched one game at Coors in his career, but it was a good one, allowing just 3 runs in seven innings.
Finally, the Athletics try to make it six in a row against the Mariners this evening. Ryan Franklin faces Kirk Saarloos. Kirk is having an excellent June, posting a 3-0 record and a 2.08 ERA despite just seven strikeouts in 26 innings. In nine games vs. the A's this season, the Mariners are batting just .239.
Enjoy!
You can find great seats for these and other sporting events, shows and concerts at the Baseball Musings Ticket Store. Tickets for the All-Star Game and festivities are on sale now!
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:22 AM
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Kevin Sherrington of the Dalls Morning News notes how the Rangers went down hill after releasing Ryan Drese:
Bulletin: Ryan Drese beat Pittsburgh, 2-1, Tuesday. In his three starts for the Nationals, he's gone eight innings twice and given up one earned run in 16 innings.
No wonder Rogers is so mad. Maybe you remember he was the first man in Showalter's office after the news that Drese had been released.
Drese and Rogers were pals. But even teammates who weren't as close were shocked that the club would cut loose its opening day pitcher.
Win now, is how management explained it. Only the Rangers are 6-13 since Drese got the ax, and they're falling faster and faster.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:46 AM
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Team Evaluation
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The Baltimore Sun looks at the phenomenon of Yankees fans invading Camden Yards for the NY-Baltimore series.
Fans in Derek Jeter's No. 2 pinstripes often outnumber those wearing Miguel Tejada's orange-and-white No. 10. When an Orioles pitcher gives up a hit, the crowd doesn't go silent, it erupts. If fact, if someone were to close his eyes and just listen after Orioles outfielder Larry Bigbie made the final out of Monday's game, a 6-4 Yankees victory, it would be easy, based on the roar alone, to imagine they were four hours north, crammed into the bleachers of Yankee Stadium in the Bronx. The only thing missing was the sound of Frank Sinatra, whose version of "New York, New York" is blasted from the stadium speakers after each Yankees home win.
My college roommates and I are going to have a small reunion this summer. We wanted to go to Boston, but opted for a Red Sox game at Camden Yards instead.
It isn't just Yankees fans, of course, filling up Camden Yards. In recent years, more and more Red Sox fans are making the trip south simply because Boston has both the smallest ballpark in the league (Fenway, which seats only 35,095 people) and the highest ticket prices in baseball (an average of $44.56). But it still pales in comparison to the sheer number of Yankees fans, who travel from both north and south to follow their team.
With Boston and Baltimore vying for the AL East crown, the game a week from Saturday should be a lot of fun.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:35 AM
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Attendance
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A nice profile of Leo Mazzone in The State. Here's something I've never understood:
Although rarely copied by other organizations, Mazzone’s principles for pitching are rather simple. He believes the first-pitch, low-and-away fastball is the best pitch in baseball, and he believes pitchers should throw as often as possible from the mound with few days off.
“It’s commonsense, really,” is one of Mazzone’s favorite lines, and when you sit in the Braves’ dugout with him before a game, you have to understand there is nothing complicated about what he is going to tell you.
It's amazing to me that after more than a decade of success, every team doesn't have their pitchers throwing from the mound two or three times between starts.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:28 AM
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Roger Clemens can't seem to catch a break this season. He pitches seven 1-run innings at Coors, but the bullpen blows a 5-1 lead in the 8th to leave Roger with a no-decision. Garrett Atkins becomes the 2nd Garret(t) A. to slam his team to victory last night.
The San Francisco Giants broke their four game losing streak with a blowout of the Diamondbacks. The Giants bullpen was the story last night, pitching three shutout innings after a decent six inning start by Jason Schmidt. The game was close until the 9th, when the Giants scored six runs to make the final 11-3.
The Padres extended their lead to four games in the NL West with an 8-3 victory over the Dodgers. Giles and Fick led the offense with Giles scoring twice and Fick driving in three. The Dodgers are now 4-11 over their last 15 games. I wonder how long before the Dodgers start making moves to shore up this under performing team?
Finally, the Oakland Athletics made it five in a row, trouncing the Mariners 8-1. Barry Zito allowed a leadoff home run to Ichiro Suzuki, but that was it for the evening. Bobby Crosby continues to be a force in the order, reaching base four times and scoring twice to raise his OBA to .383. The Athletics offense is starting to look like a Beane offense; seven of the nine hitters last night had OBA's above league average. They're averaging six runs a game over their last 10 games in which they are 9-1.
Posted by StatsGuru at 06:59 AM
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 06:40 AM
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June 28, 2005
To whom would you pitch? With right-hander Kameron Loe on the mound, and men on 2nd and 3rd, Showalter elected to walk Vlad Guerrero with none out in the top of the 11th. He then brough in the left Shouse to pitch to Garret Anderson. It's the move every manager and every sabermetrician would make. Shouse's 2nd pitch just makes the stands for an Anderson grand slam.
While the game isn't over, this will be a tough loss for Texas if it ends this way. John Wasdin made his first start of the year, and it was a dandy, going eight innings and allowing just one run. He should be getting the win, but Washburn and the Angels bullpen matched the Rangers staff this evening.
Posted by StatsGuru at 11:01 PM
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Strategy
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Earlier tonight I pointed out that a battle of the bullpens between Boston and Cleveland would favor Cleveland. The results are in, and after a shakey start, the Cleveland pen prevailed as Timlin and Foulke combined to blow a three-run lead as the Indians take the game 12-8. After Rhodes poor performance, Miller and Wickman managed to go 3 1/3 innings without being charged with a run. The Indians remain a game back of Baltimore in the wild card race.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:51 PM
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Mike Stanton threw only one pitch in relief tonight as Brian Roberts took it deep to beat the Yankees 5-4 in 10 innings. After Roberts' great home run start, he's returned to more normal levels. This was only his 2nd homer in June and the 13th of the season. He's now hit more home runs this season than in the first four years of his career.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:28 PM
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Usually when Roy Halladay allows 1 run over nine innings, he get the win. But tonight, that was just good enough to send the Blue Jays into extra innings vs. the Devil Rays. The Blue Jays ended up winning it in eleven by a score of 3-1. Doug Waechter pitched 4 2/3 innings of relief and took the loss. It's not clear to me why he was still pitching in the 11th. I assume the Devil Rays pen is blown out.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:23 PM
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The Buehrle-Robertson match up proved to be an excellent pitching duel, resulting in the 2nd 2-1 decision of the evening. It wasn't Buehrle's best performance of the year; the Tigers worked him well, getting him to throw 112 pitches over only 6 2/3 innings. But the Tigers didn't draw a walk and couldn't do much with their eight hits. A mistake by Robertson to Dye proved to be the game winning homer in the 6th. The White Sox continue their great record in close games.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:40 PM
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The Yankees brass conducted their big meeting this afternoon, but nothing much was released to the public. There was a little excitement during the meeting, however:
A lightning bolt from a strong thunderstorm struck the roof at Legends Field while the meeting was taking place. The strike impacted some electrical systems at the Yankees' spring training park.
Was someone sending George a message? :-)
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:35 PM
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Management
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Both the Indians and Red Sox go to the bullpen early. This should favor the Indians as they have a 2.78 ERA vs. 5.08 for Boston relievers. Arthur Rhodes, however, allowed two inherited runners to score and put a few more on to give the Red Sox a 6-5 lead. Matt Miller is on to try to get the Tribe out of the 6th.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:30 PM
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The impressive Ryan Drese took the mound this evening for the Nationals, and Washington needed him to be good. He allowed just five hits over eight innings, striking out four and allowing just one run. Very similar to his first start with the Nationals against the Angels.
Update: Chad Cordero pitches a 1-2-3 ninth for the save. It's his 13th save of June, tying him for 2nd most saves in a June. John Wetteland had 15 in 1996. Nen had 13 in 2001, Smoltz the same in 2002.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:12 PM
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Orange and Black Baseball is doing very nice work on covering the Giants. Stop by and say hi.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:58 PM
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Blogs
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The Daily Lancer is a Kansas City Royals blog I discovered today. If you haven't seen it yet, stop by and say hello.
Posted by StatsGuru at 04:48 PM
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This is turning into an epidemic. Kenny Rogers' punch of a water cooler on June 17 resulted in a broken hand. He'll join my daughter on the DL (by the way, it's her birthday).
Posted by StatsGuru at 02:48 PM
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Injuries
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The Detroit Tigers stand at .500 with 36-36 record and are only four games out of the wild card. Tonight's a good opportunity to prove they belong in the playoff hunt as Nate Robertson host Mark Buehrle and the Chicago White Sox. Robertson is only 3-5 but posesses a good ERA and is coming off a complete game win vs. the Twins. Depite a 2.95 ERA at home, he's yet to win at Comerica Park this season. Buehrle hasn't loss his since 2nd start in April. The lefty's been equally effective vs. batters from both sides of the plate.
Dontrelle Willis once again is called upon to pitch after a loss. He goes for win 13 tonight against the Braves. Jorge Sosa takes the mound for the Braves. Sosa is pitching much better as a starter than as a reliever. Notice how his walks are way down. Dontrelle is on a 19 innings scoreless streak.
Enjoy!
Remember you can find seats for these and many other events at the Baseball Musings Ticket Store!
Posted by StatsGuru at 02:32 PM
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At some point, major league baseball clubs should institute anger management for all their players. You hear about incidents like this at least once or twice a year:
Oliver Perez's temper has landed him on the disabled list.
On Tuesday, the Pittsburgh Pirates placed their ace lefthander on the 15-day DL with a broken left big toe, which was suffered when he kicked a laundry cart in the clubhouse following his start against St. Louis on Sunday.
Given the way he's pitched this season, "ace" is a very generous title. The Pirates might actually improve with Perez on the DL. He has to be one of the big disappointments of 2005.
Posted by StatsGuru at 11:29 AM
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Injuries
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The Baseball Crank uses his established win share levels to look at where the Yankees are underperforming.
Basically, something needs to be done about the pitching.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:05 AM
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Team Evaluation
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Henry Schulman of the San Francisco Chronicle sums up the Giants season:
The 2005 Giants are worse than bad. They are excruciating to watch.
Never before could that be said in the Brian Sabean era, but never before in those eight-plus seasons have the Giants strung together a pair of games as malodorous as they did over the weekend in Oakland. After embarrassing themselves in Saturday's five-error debacle, they managed to look worse in Sunday's 16-0 loss, the biggest shutout defeat in San Francisco history.
I wonder how many prospects the Giants can get for Alou?
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:07 AM
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Team Evaluation
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It's a bad sign when a player or a team starts blaming the umps for their failures:
The Orioles have been called for eight balks, most in the majors. Nobody's reacted more angrily than Kline.
"I just think they favor the Yankees all the time," he said. "I'm getting [upset] at that. They suck up to them. They're the cream of the crop."
Yes, that's why the Yankees out-walked the Orioles last night 9-2. The umps want the Yankees to win in Camden Yards. It had nothing to do with the pitching staff's inability to put the ball over the plate.
Jim Palmer didn't think it was a balk last night, and the angle the Orioles broadcast used seemed to confirm that (they were looking from the centerfield camera). But the YES broadcast had Kline in profile, and it was pretty clear from that angle that Kline came out of the set and started his delivery when he stepped back off the rubber. That's a balk. Had he just stepped back from the set position, it would have been legal. But he started his motion first.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:49 AM
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Team Evaluation
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:59 AM
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Statistics
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June 27, 2005
The Boston Red Sox did a good job of taking an extra base tonight, going 3 for 3 stealing. The Red Sox are now 18 for 19 in stolen base attempts, close to 95% successful. Unfortunately, steals by themselves don't lead to runs, and the Red Sox haven't followed up so far tonight as they are being shut out through seven innings. While the Indians did not attempt a steal tonight, they have four extra-base hits to Boston's none, and with those come a 7-0 lead.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:38 PM
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All the Marlins reliever did was load the bases. It was de los Santos that gave up the grand slam to Julio Franco. I'll have to find out if that makes Julio the oldest player to ever hit a grand slam.
Update: Dave Vincent of SABR confirms that Julio is the oldest player to hit a grand slam.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:21 PM
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Games
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The LA/California/Anaheim/LA Angels waste no time in putting Texas in a hole. The first four batters reached against C.J. Wilson, bringing in two runs. A double play helps stem the tide, but the Angels get three runs in all in the inning. Colon is staked to a lead he is more than capable of holding.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:13 PM
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Games
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Radley Balko points out the lastest Congressional interference in baseball, by the same man who conceived the steroid hearings. (Hat tip, Instapundit.)
Personally, I'd like to see baseball anti-trust exemption removed, just so that Congress would no longer have a good reason to get involved in the game.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:53 PM
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Baseball Jerks
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Rafael Furcal just scored on a fly ball that any would have stopped most runners from even trying to tag up. Juan Pierre fielded the ball in shallow center field, about as shallow as you can go and still be in center field. He was behind the ball, had his momentum going toward the plate, but released a lollipop throw, and with Furcal's speed it wasn't even close. Juan should be embarassed about that play.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:12 PM
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Defense
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On May 27th of 2004, the Cardinals started a 3-game winning streak that would propel them to an easy victory in the NL Central. From that date, they are outplaying the majors by a wide margin. Through Sunday's games, the Cardinals are 129-63, fourteen ahead of the next closest team in that time period, the Atlanta Braves (115-77). When the streak started, they were just 23-21, three games behind the Reds. The Reds are 49 1/2 games behind the Cardinals since that date.
How have they managed this stellar .672 winning percentage over more than a full season's worth of games? They have the lowest ERA in the majors by nearly .2 of a run (3.58 to the Twins 3.75). The starters pitched well, third in the majors in ERA, but the bullpen's been unbelievable, posting a 2.76 ERA in that time. The next closet pen belongs to the Angels at 3.44. I'm not a big fan of the constant switching of pitchers, but over the last 13 months La Russa's used it to shut down the opposition.
The offense has the higest BA in the NL over that time (.279) and all the averages are excellent (.349 OBA/ .452 slugging). That's good enough for first in the NL in Runs per game and third in the majors.
The main offensive contributors are here. Ninety-nine home runs between Pujols and Edmonds, 214 RBI and 270 runs scored. A look at the pitching contributors shows the importance of the bullpen. The top four on the list have only allowed 20 home runs in 284 innings.
It's a great run by a great team, and the Cardinals are showing no signs of letting up.
Posted by StatsGuru at 04:25 PM
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Team Evaluation
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Two weeks until the All-Star game, and it's all intra-league play from here on in. The Orioles host the Yankees tonight. Both teams are playing poorly; the Yankees are 2-5 over their last seven and the Orioles 1-6. The teams will send Carl Pavano Daniel Cabrera to the mound in a crucial series for both teams. Cabrera's era is three and a half points better at Camden Yards than on the road. Pavano is coming off two starts in which he allowed 11 earned runs in 12 innings.
An important wild card game in Boston as the Indians face the Red Sox. Millwood faces Arroyo. While Boston tries to keep their winning ways alive, the Indians are trying to knock off teams that could compete with them for the wild card. Kevin Millwood faces Bronson Arroyo. Millwood record of 2-5 doesn't reflect how well he's pitched this season. Arroyo's ERA is higher than it should be based on three bad outings. Take away those 19 earned runs in 12 1/3 innings and you have a pitcher with a 2.88 ERA.
Texas is on the brink of falling out of the NL West race. At this point, they're closer to third place Oakland than first place Anaheim. The get a chance to gain some ground as they host the Angels tonight. They'll have a tough time as the Angels send Bartolo Colon to the mound vs. C.J. Wilson. Colon is having a good year vs. the Rangers; in two starts he's struck out twelve and allowed only 1 home run to the powerful lineup, converting both starts into wins.
Enjoy!
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Posted by StatsGuru at 02:44 PM
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Matchups
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It seems a comment left on this blog led Dan Fox to look at how accurate the Pythagorean method is mid-season.
Posted by StatsGuru at 12:59 PM
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Statistics
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Murray Chass of the New York Times reports a change in the attitude of the Yankees upper management toward Joe Torre's asssessment of the team:
A couple of weeks ago, in a conference call, Steinbrenner asked Torre if there was anything he needed to help get the team going, and Torre said the team would be O.K. The front office accepted Torre's answer then but doesn't now.
As Chass points out, there's not much they can do internally, however:
The Yankees brain trusts in New York and Tampa are not satisfied with the effort of some of their high-priced players, though no one will identify any of them, and are poised to make changes, if only they could figure out what to change. What they can't do is bolster the team from within, from the ranks of minor leaguers.
They tried that route when their $64 million rotation was wracked with injuries, many of them predictable given the healthy history of some of the starters, and they needed a replacement. They got Sean Henn, who in three losing starts has allowed 11.12 earned runs and 23 base runners per nine innings and a .360 opponents' batting average.
Henn, a 24-year-old left-hander, was presumably the best pitcher the Yankees had in their system because this wasn't a time for tryouts. But after Henn's last start, against the Mets on Saturday, the Yankees conceded that he wasn't ready for the major leagues.
Needing outfield help, the Yankees yesterday summoned Kevin Reese, a 27-year-old minor leaguer who wasn't even on their 40-man roster. If Henn and Reese are the best the Yankees had in their system, why haven't they developed anyone better?
The development question does not fall on Torre's shoulders. Joe was given a good team this year. This may be the first time in his tenure that he wasn't given a great team. So far, Torre hasn't managed them to perform above their abilities. You can choose your favorite culprit for the farm system, but in the end it's the desire to win everything now that drives the Yankees to deplete the youngsters and get old. Contrast this with the Braves, who don't win the World Series often, but slowly and steadily bring along talent from their minors that gives them a chance to win every year. Even with all their injuries to key personnel, the Braves are leading the wild card in the NL and only three games back in the division.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:35 AM
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Management
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Jason Giambi brought the Yankees back to victory for the 2nd time in 11 days last night, driving in two in the ninth with a single. Giambi drove the ball into the gap in right center, giving ample opportunity for all to score. Like his game winning hit against Pittsburgh on 6/15, and a couple of others I'm seen in this time frame, Giambi is getting the balls in the air, over the infield defense. Earlier in the season, I'd see him hit the ball hard but on the ground, usually right at the shifted second baseman playing shallow right field. Now, he's taking those same pitches and getting more of an uppercut on them. Yankees watchers, can you confirm this is happening? He's been on a mini-tear lately. (One of those hits was a bunt down the third base line against the shift. He was leading off the inning and the Yankees needed base runners. A smart play.)
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:06 AM
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Players
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:04 AM
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Statistics
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June 26, 2005
With two out in the 7th scored tied 1-1, the Yankees showed one of their great weaknesses, defense. Womack is playing center tonight and Chris Woodward hit a ball over his head that a good CF would have caught. It went for a double. A walk and a wild pitch put runners on 1st and 3rd. An error by the 2nd baseman Cano gave the Mets the lead. An infield hit and an error by Giambi allowed two more to score, and the Yankees are down 4-1 instead of being even with the Mets.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:28 PM
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Defense
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The Cubs were not the only team to throw a combined 1-hitter today. Rich Harden went seven 1-hit innings while Flores and Calero each pitched a perfect innings in a 16-0 slaughter of the Giants. The east bay out hit the west bay 24-1. Ten of those hits went for extra bases, including two home runs by Nick Swisher.
The A's are now 12-4 over their last 16 games. They have a huge hole out of which to climb, but their off to a good start on their way up.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:07 PM
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Mark Prior and an excellent outing by the Cubs bullpen turned what should have been Jon Garland's 13th win into this third loss. Garland allowed 2 runs over seven innings (1 earned) but Prior, Williams and Dempster held the Southsiders to just 1 hit and two walks, shutting them out 2-0. Prior went six innings, throwing just 71 pitches in his first start off the DL. It's the first good news on the injury front for Cubs fans in a while.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:39 PM
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Manny Ramirez hit the 19th grand slam of his career this afternoon. At age 33, he has a decent chance of catching Gehrig's record of 23.
| Grand Slams by Seasonal Age | Gehrig | Ramirez |
| 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 | 0 | 1 |
| 24 | 2 | 3 |
| 25 | 1 | 2 |
| 26 | 2 | 2 |
| 27 | 2 | 2 |
| 28 | 3 | 3 |
| 29 | 2 | 1 |
| 30 | 0 | 1 |
| 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 32 | 2 | 2 |
| 33 | 2 | 3 |
| 34 | 1 | NA |
| 35 | 1 | NA |
Age 31 made the difference between the two players. Gehrig's career ended prematurely. Manny has the luxury of playing for a team that believes in on-base percentage, so he's likely to have lots of opportunities if he stays with Boston.
Thanks to David Vincent of Saber for the data.
Update and Correction: July 6, 2005. Manny hit his third grand slam of the year on Monday, July 5, 2005. The age 33 now reflects this. I've also corrected a typo in the original table. He should have 2 at age 26.
Posted by StatsGuru at 05:40 PM
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Sluggers
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Seth McClung pitched the game of his life, a seven inning two-hitter against the Marlins. Unfortunately, he ran into a complete game shutout by A.J. Burnett. Burnett allowed his 2 hits over nine innings, striking out seven and only walking two. It's his third complete game of the year and his first shutout.
The Marlins needed a jump start to get back into the NL East race, and a three game series against the Devil Rays appeared to fit that need perfectly.
Posted by StatsGuru at 05:26 PM
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The Washington Nationals lose a rare game where they are outscored from the 7th inning on. The Nats scored 2 in the 7th to tie the game at five, but the bullpen could not hold the Jays back as they score 2 in the 8th and the 9th to end Washington's home winning streak.
Posted by StatsGuru at 05:11 PM
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John Smoltz is doing a good job today helping Atlanta go for the sweep of the Orioles. He's retired the first 12 batters he's faced, and he's not even striking them out. Throwing only 10 pitches an inning, the O's are putting the ball in play and making outs. Six of the twevle outs were in the air, five ground outs and 1 K.
Update: Smoltz ends up with a complete game five-hitter, allowing just one run. He struck out six over the last five innings and didn't walk a batter. Andruw Jones continues his hot June home run hitting with his 24th on the season and 12th of the month.
Posted by StatsGuru at 02:01 PM
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Barry Bonds' knee is not swell, but swollen. Once again, his rehab caused more hurt than help. It's becoming clear this will continue to be a protracted process of healing, if it heals at all. It could very well be that Barry's reached the point in his life where his knee will just not carry him through the rigors of being an elite athlete. The odds of Barry breaking Aaron's record keep getting longer with every set back while the odds of his ever returning are shorter and shorter. Most players faced with this injury and rehab would retire. It's a testament to his competitiveness that Bonds labors on. I wonder at what point he says, "No more."
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:57 AM
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Injuries
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Mark Prior pitches his first major league game in a month when he tries to help the Cubs take the rubber game of the match from cross town rivals and baseball's best team, the Chicago White Sox. He'll face one of the many outstanding Sox starters, Jon Garland. A win by Garland makes him the first pitcher to 13 this season. Since 1974, 14 pitchers have reached 13 wins before July 1, the last being Curt Schilling in 2002. Joaquin Andjuar did it twice (1984 and 1985). Garland's had a rough month, posting a 5.03 ERA over his last five starts. He's given up seven of his ten home runs in that time.
The nomination for slugfest of the day is Kansas City at Colorado. Both Jose Lima and "The Patriarch" Joe Kennedy each possess ERA's over 7.00. Lima's allowed 19 home runs in 2005, and has 7 games in which he's allowed multiple long balls. Kennedy's allowed a .334 batting average this season, and is less than three innings shy of qualifying for the worst BA allowed in the National League.
Finally, Kris Benson takes on Randy Johnson as the Mets attempt to sweep the Yankees in the Bronx. Benson needs to regain his ability to strikeout batters; he only has four over his last four starts. On the plus side, he's only walked three in that period. Randy Johnson looked like he put it all together until he ran into the Devil Rays buzz saw last Tuesday. Only a remarkable comeback by the Yankees kept him from taking the loss.
Willie Randolph already won the season series against his mentor. A sweep at his former home would only be icing on the cake.
Enjoy!
Correction: The Mets lead the season series with the Yankees 3-2 and need a win tonight to win it out right.
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Posted by StatsGuru at 09:21 AM
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Matchups
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:08 AM
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Statistics
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June 25, 2005
Rickie Weeks and Prince Fielder each hit his first major league homer in a 7-6 victory over the Twins. They represent the first wave of production from a highly touted farm system. Brewers fans hope to see many more games in which the two go deep.
Posted by StatsGuru at 11:07 PM
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Rookies
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The Indians offense hit on all cylinders today as they pounded out 21 hits to beat the Reds 12-7. Every player had a hit for the Indians, and everyone but Peralta had multiple safties. It's the first time this season the Indians hit five homers in a game. They hit four on June 8th, otherwise they haven't had more than three in a game in 2005.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:58 PM
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Chris Carpenter continues his hot June with a complete game shutout of the Pittsburgh Pirates. He struck out 11 and walked none on his way to a four hitter. In June he now has a 0.90 ERA and has struck out 43 in 40 innings while walking only seven. He'll be a candidate for pitcher of the month.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:43 PM
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Pitchers
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Bruce Chen left today's game against the Atlanta Braves with a sprained big toe. He pitched 4 2/3 scoreless inning before the injury. The early exit forced the Orioles to go deep into their bullpen, and it cost them the game 5-4. I've always heard the big toe is an important digit, and today it may have cost the Orioles a win.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:30 PM
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Injuries
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The Mariners didn't have a problem generating offense at PETCO last night. They did it with short extra-base hits, banging out five doubles and three triples to go along with a Richie Sexson home run. The fourteen runs scored by Seattle last night was the most scored by a team at PETCO Park.
Today is shaping up to be more of a pitcher's duel as Aaron Sele faced Padres ace Jake Peavy. Sele is on a roll. Over his last seven starts he's posted a 1.75 ERA. He's doing it without striking out a lot of batters, but he's also kept the ball in park, allowing just three home runs. Peavy went through a rough patch the first two weeks of June, but broke out of it with eight scoreless innings vs. the Dodgers his last time out.
The Twins are only 3-7 over their last ten games and turn to Johan Santana to right the ship today. He'll face the Brewers' Toma Ohka in Milwaukee. Santana's opponents are actually getting on base less than they did against him last year, but they are hitting for more power, .373 vs. .315. That's moving the runners farther, leading to a higher ERA. Ohka's totally changed his control numbers in his first two starts for the Brewers. With the Nationals, he walked 27 and struck out 17. With Milwaukee, he's walked 1 and struck out 10. That's a much better formula for success.
Enjoy!
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Posted by StatsGuru at 09:08 AM
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Matchups
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:45 AM
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Statistics
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June 24, 2005
The Red Sox moved into first place in the AL East tonight, defeating the Phillies 8-0. Tim Wakefield posted an impressive line, allowing just two hits in eight innings. Wakefield even added a single of his own, bringing his batting average this season to .302.
Baltimore scored five runs tonight, but it wasn't enough to over come a 7-1 Atlanta lead. Andruw Jones hit his 22nd homer of the season. He seemed to lose his spring homer swing in April, but he hit 9 in May and now 10 in June. He's hitting for power just when the Braves need him most.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:54 PM
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Division Races
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Eric Gagne's surgery went better than expected. He did not require a ligament replacement.
The doctors found a slight amount of fraying from the original graft that was stitched when Gagne underwent Tommy John surgery in 1997. Also, there were nerves that had scarred down onto the graft, which was causing Gagne considerable pain. The surgery relieved the pressure the nerves were placing on the graft.
"The ligament was intact, but there was a sensory nerve that was running right along the elbow bone, along with the ligament," Jobe said. "So the symptoms were identical to a ligament tear, but it was really just an irritation to the nerve."
He should be ready for spring training. Good news for Eric and the Dodgers.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:46 PM
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Injuries
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After a Luis Castillo lead-off single, Cabrera, Delgado and Lowell hit consecutive doubles to give the Marlins a 3-0 lead over the Devil Rays. Lowell's still not great, but his June is a big improvement over April and May.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:00 PM
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Watching the White Sox crush the Cubs today you can see both the skill the team brings to the game and the good luck that takes them the extra mile.
Freddy Garcia is throwing strikes today and baffling the Cubs offense. Through seven he's thrown 93 pitches, 63 for strikes and struck out eight. On the other side of the ball, the White Sox are putting the ball in play when they swing (only two strikeouts) resulting in ten hits. They've also added five walks to reach base in about half of their plate appearances. They've executed a perfect hit and run and batters hit fly balls when they needed to drive in runs from third.
But I keep noticing things going their way, too. A pop drops between three fielders. Ground balls just scoot under a fielder's glove. Poor throws allow stolen bases when the runners get bad jumps. Today's game is a perfect example of the good team getting the lucky breaks.
Posted by StatsGuru at 06:12 PM
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The Detroit Tigers Weblog notices that the Tigers have oganizational depth.
Posted by StatsGuru at 05:51 PM
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Team Evaluation
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It's posts like this that make me believe that Dan O'Brien won't be far behind Dave Miley on his way out of Cincinnati.
Posted by StatsGuru at 05:32 PM
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Management
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Ivy Chat makes a good case that Corey Patterson shouldn't be batting any where near the top 2/3 of the Cubs order.
Posted by StatsGuru at 05:00 PM
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Todd Hollandsworth just tied the Cubs-White Sox game with a solo home run in the top of the third. Talk about poor process! The pitch was at his neck. He hammered it out, however.
When I see something like that, it makes me believe the strikezone is two short. It's perfectly reasonable to swing at a chest high pitch. Just because the batters want to uppercut balls out of the park doesn't mean the top of the zone should be a little above the belt.
Posted by StatsGuru at 04:39 PM
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Sergio Mitre pitched an interesting first. His control is off; he walked Podseknik leading off the bottom of the first, but worked to keep Scott close at first and ended up picking him off. It was a costly mistake for the center fielder, as two batters later Mitre got behind Frank Thomas in the count, leading to Thomas taking a 2-1 pitch into the left field stands on a line. Mitre ended up throwing 23 pitches in the inning, 10 for balls.
That's seven home runs in 39 at bats for Frank Thomas.
Posted by StatsGuru at 04:19 PM
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I've made another attempt at a new look. As always, I welcome your opinions.
Posted by StatsGuru at 03:59 PM
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Was Watching has more on how the Yankees are losing.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:56 AM
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Team Evaluation
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The Mets and Yankees resume their subway series with a dandy pitching matchup as Pedro Martinez faces Mike Mussina. Pedro is doing just about everything right this season; high strikeouts, low walks, low home runs allowed, and on top of that he's not giving up hits either. Although his ERA is slightly higher away from Shea, in many ways he's pitched better on the road. Mike's strikeout totals are growing. He's fanned 19 batters in his last 21 1/3 innings over three starts. He was averaging 5.8 K per 9 before that.
Enjoy!
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Posted by StatsGuru at 09:26 AM
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Johnny Damon is talking about taking Kevin Millar with him if Damon signs elsewhere as a free agent.
``When I get to free agency, I'm going to talk to a lot of players because I know there's a lot of teams out there who are going to want me,'' said Damon. ``I'm going to take my time, call guys like Kevin Millar [stats, news], Billy Mueller, see where they end up, guys I've enjoyed playing with here. Put a package together, that's how much I care for these guys and how much they care for me. When I'm a free agent, I'll call Kevin and say, `Hey, who wants you?' I'll tell him who wants me and we'll turn another clubhouse inside out.''
Damon's opinion of his worth is very high. Four great season in eleven years of play doesn't make him look like a consistent performer to me. He's at the age where he's more likely to decline than improve. And finally, he's a Fenway hitter. His averages on the road this season are .308/.343/.436. Not bad, but hardly the kind of numbers that I'm going to bend over backwards to make happy.
Damon is a very good player and lots of clubs will be happy to sign him. But he's not worth the extra cost of a prima donna.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:44 AM
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Free Agents
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In case you don't scroll down, I'm soliciting comments on a new layout for this blog. The original post is here.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:42 AM
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:59 AM
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Statistics
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June 23, 2005
Does a team that goes 3-7 against Tampa Bay deserve to make the playoffs? I don't think so. They're a combined 3-10 vs. TB and KC, the two worst teams in the league. If they were 10-3 against these two doormats, the Yankees would be in first place by two games.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:49 PM
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Team Evaluation
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How many more performances like tonight before Sidney Ponson goes the way of Ryan Drese? Yes, he has a 7-5 record, but he also owns a 5.42 ERA and the opposition hits .322 against the righty. He's made seven bad starts and eight good to moderate ones. Can the Orioles really afford that? With the loss to Halladay and the Blue Jays tonight, they stand in first place in the AL East by only half a game.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:25 PM
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Pitchers
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The good news is that Dontrelle Willis extended his hitting streak to six games. The bad news is he did it beating out a sacrifice bunt by sliding head first into first base. Not only that, he led with his left hand! It looks like he's not hurt, but it was a scary looking slide.
He's having another great night on the mound. No runs and seven strikeouts through six innings. Miguel Cabrera drove in five with two homers and a two run single to help Willis to a 6-0 lead in the top of the 7th.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:08 PM
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I'm working on a new layout for the blog, to get more of the advertising at the top of the page. I'd like your opinions.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:59 PM
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One big lesson I took away from Moneyball was that process was more important than results. If you get the process right, good results will follow more often.
Kirk Saarloos was getting good results with bad process. Entering today he had pitched well in June, going 2-0 with a 3.18 ERA in three starts. But in 17 innings, he walked 9 and struck out 0. That is not a recipe for success. He was winning, but his process was bad.
He got the process right today. He's went nine innings, allowed just four hits, no walks and seven strikeouts. He threw strikes today, getting 80 of his 127 pitches on the plus side. He did well with poor execution before this afternoon. He did great with proper process against the Mariners, getting the complete game shutout.
Update: The box score changed. He threw 127, not 125 pitches.
Posted by StatsGuru at 06:50 PM
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Pitchers
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This post on Lee vs. Pujols for the All-Star game led to a very interesting discussion, with good arguments being made for both first basemen. Lee hit two more homers today (through the 7th inning), giving him 22 on the year with 64 RBI. He's three for three with a walk to raise his OBA to .476. That's Bonds territory. With Lee leading the majors in home runs at the moment, I'd vote for him.
Carlos Lee hit a homer as well, and with two RBI maintains his ML lead in RBI. Deciding who is All-Lee may be tougher than deciding who's an All-Star.
Posted by StatsGuru at 04:06 PM
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Sluggers
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The Minnesota Twins avoided a sweep by the Detroit Tigers today, defeating the Bengals soundly 6-2. Carlos Silva pitched his typical game; he gave up hits, but walked none, going the distance on just 91 pitches. It's the second complete game of the year for Silva.
The bright spot of the game for the Tigers was Chris Shelton going three for four, scoring both Detroit runs and hitting his third home run since his call-up in late May. Shelton is a perfect example of how easy it should be to find a first baseman. Carlos Pena just wasn't hitting. Instead of sticking with the guy, or spinning his defensive abilities, the Tigers pulled a good hitter out of their system. Shelton, in his brief stint with the Tigers this season, has a .362 OBA and a .519 slugging percentage. Here's someone that Pittsburgh left in the rule 5 draft. Some team over the last few years probably could have Shelton for not too much in return. The Tigers picked him up for next to nothing.
Just by being a decent hitting first baseman, Shelton's improved the Tigers offense at an important offensive position. The fact that the cost was extremely low should not be lost on other teams.
Posted by StatsGuru at 03:31 PM
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Players
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From reader Jason Rennie, Todd Jones discusses what is and isn't considered cheating among the players in major league baseball. I found this section interesting:
I've been around pitching coaches who teach how to scuff or use pine tar. There's actually an art to scuffing, and there are two fatal errors guys make. The first: They scuff too often. To get away with scuffing, you have to know when to do it. Coaches and older players who have been around a long time know when they see a scuffed ball. So you have to pick your spots. You use it when it's a big part of the game and hope to take advantage of the small window of opportunity before the other team is tipped off. The umpire usually doesn't check the pitcher until the opposing manager asks him to.
That seems realistic. There's some probabilistic model to getting caught. The probability of getting caught is low, but if you cheat too often, the probability is that you'll eventually get caught.
Posted by StatsGuru at 02:27 PM
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Cheating
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Dontrelle Willis pitched seven shutout innings in his last start, but it wasn't enough to bring the Marlins a victory. With the Marlins on 24 inning scoreless streak, Dontrelle may need the best game of his season to win. He'll face Jorge Sosa, recently moved from the pen to the rotation due to the many Braves injuries. The Marlins need to be patient with Sosa, as he's walked 22 in 33 1/3 innings. Still, it hasn't hurt him much, as his ERA stands at 2.70.
The Tigers are only 2 1/2 games behind the Twins, and they'll send Jason Johnson to face Carlos Silva in Minnesota this afternoon. Johnson's improved his ERA each month this season and has a 1.82 ERA in June. The Twins have only scored six runs in their last four games and Lew Ford drove in half of those. It's been a team effort.
Enjoy!
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:00 AM
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Matchups
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There was not excuse for the poor performance of the Florida Marlins last night. They allowed eight runs (all earned) to a rather weak lineup, and were shut out for five innings by a starter with an ERA over 5.00. They've gone 24 innings without scoring a run. What does Jack McKeon do?
"I was passing out holy cards (to players)," manager Jack McKeon said. "Somebody gave me a bunch of rosaries. I gave them out."
Florida's offensive highlight Wednesday night? That came when Damion Easley became the first runner to reach third base — with two outs in the ninth inning before Miguel Cabrera grounded out to end the game.
"I know these guys are better, but what can I do? I can't hit," McKeon said.
Well, Jack, you're the manager, it's your job to do something! Payers are nice, but figuring out why your team isn't hitting might help more. Are they prepared for the pitchers coming into the game? Are they taking extra batting practice? Have you thought of benching some of the slumping hitters for a couple of days to send a message? How about getting Pierre out of the leadoff spot or Lowell off third base? It's time to lead, Mr. McKeon, or you may be joining Miley and Pena on the fired list.
Update: A reader points out that Pena resigned. Fair enough, but my guess is that he was given a choice of resign or be fired.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:46 AM
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Games
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Jason Schmidt pitched 8 shutout innings last night, his 2nd consecutive performance with those statistics. This article in the San Francisco Chronicle seems surprised that Schmidt can strikeout people with something other than a 97 mile an hour fastball:
As he struggled with a dip in his velocity this season, Schmidt acknowledged he had to alter his pitching approach and rely less on overpowering hitters.
On Wednesday, though, he insisted the adjustment he had to make was simply relocating his fastball lower in the strike zone and rediscovering his off-speed pitches.
"You guys tried to turn me into Tom Glavine from the right side or something," he told reporters. "I just needed to start finding my breaking ball. It's just a pitch I needed to mix in there a little bit more. I wasn't saying I was going to change my whole game around."
His velocity used to top out at 97, now it's topping out at 95. That's still pretty good. And it's the change in velocity that fools hitters and STATS describes Schmidt's changeup as "among the best in the game."
Schmidt is throwing strikes, changing speeds, and the result is strikeouts. His top speed doesn't matter much.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:33 AM
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Pitchers
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The Sox are on a roll. They swept their American League Central opponent in convincing fashion. One is White and one is Red.
The White for most of the season looked like a lucky team. At some point, those one-run wins would start going against them, the pitching would return to its normal level, and the Twins would take them. Well, while the Twins were losing 9 of 12, the White Sox won 9 of 12, including seven in a row. They finished a sweep of Kansas City last night, posting a 5-1 victory. They outscored the Royals 21-10. That's what championship teams do; win big, and crush the lowly teams of the league. The White Sox now have the biggest lead of any division leader in the majors. If they play .500 the rest of the season they will win 94 or 95 games. For the White Sox not to make the playoffs would require a collapse of historic proportions.
The Red Sox, meanwhile, swept the Indians. Cleveland was the hottest team in baseball going into the series, but Boston handled their pitching staff, scoring 24 runs in the three games. They've scored 69 runs in their 9-1 stretch, and that includes being shutout in their only loss. They've taken over the wild card lead and pulled within a game of the Orioles for first place in the AL East.
Sox it to me!
Correction: I guess I can't do math first thing in the morning. The White Sox would win 94 or 95 games if they play .500 the rest of the way, making the point even stronger.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:09 AM
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Series
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:36 AM
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Statistics
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If you missed last night's show, you can hear the recorded version here. It's also available on demand at TPSRadio.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:27 AM
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Podcasts
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June 22, 2005
Morgan Ensberg looks like he's regained the slugging form he showed in 2003. He knocked in all three of the Astros run through three innings with his 17th homer of the season. His OBA and slugging percentages are nearly identical to his 2003 marks, after a season where he played part time and his production fell off. He's right there with Aramis Ramirez and Troy Glaus for best offensive third baseman in the NL this season.
Posted by StatsGuru at 03:06 PM
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Sluggers
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Viva El Birdos remembers Darryl Kile on the anniversary of his death.
Update: Added the link.
Posted by StatsGuru at 02:57 PM
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Deaths
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John Patterson doubled his home runs allowed in the first inning today as Bay and Mackowiak each take him deep. All four homers he's allowed this season have come on the road.
Posted by StatsGuru at 12:58 PM
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The weekly Baseball Musings radio show will be on TPSRadio tonight and every Wednesday at 8 PM EDT. Check out their other sports programming as well. You can listen at any one of these links:
On tonight's show, Alex Belth of Bronx Banter stops by to talk about the Yankees and the AL East and John Perricone of Only Baseball Matters gives us his insights into the NL West.
I'll be on the road today at my niece's graduation. The show was taped yesterday. I hope you'll drop by and listen.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:39 AM
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Broadcasts
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In an odd bit of scheduling, the Devil Rays face the Yankees on a Wednesday afternoon in the middle of a four game series. The pitching match up of Kazmir and Pavano isn't all that compelling, but seeing how the two teams play after last night's 8th inning is. I'm sure the Yankees hitters can't wait to get back to the plate, while the Devil Rays barely had time to sleep off the loss.
Boston goes for a sweep of the Indians in Cleveland this evening. The Indians were the hottest team in the majors when the Red Sox came to town on Monday. The Tribe's pitching was superb during their 13-1 run, posting a 2.41 ERA. The Red Sox, however, can hit, and that same Cleveland staff allowed 18 runs in their 18 innings vs. Boston. The two victories moved the Red Sox into the lead for the AL Wild Card.
Tonight, Wade Miller faces Cliff Lee. Lee's big improvement this season is his control. He's issued just 23 walks in 83 2/3 innings. He walked over 4 per 9 innings through the 2004 season, just 2.5 this year.
Finally, Jason Schmidt and the Giants host the Diamondbacks this evening. There are lots of trade rumors surrounding Schmidt and teams will want to see if his last start vs. the Tigers (0 runs over 8 innings) was a turnaround or a fluke in a bad year. Jason's ERA against the Diamondbacks is 4.61 this season in two starts.
Enjoy!
Remember, you can get tickets for these and other sporting events at the Baseball Musings Ticket Store, including seats for Game 7 of the NBA Finals.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:48 AM
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Matchups
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They're 1-9 over their last 10 games, they've lost two in a row to the Padres, they're four games under .500 and now they've officially lost their closer for the season. Eric Gagne needs Tommy John surgery, which of course means they may not get him back until 2007.
This isn't the death knell for the Dodgers. They did fine in the early part of the season with Eric on the DL. They need to get the offense back to where it was in April when they were scoring 5.5 runs per game, instead of their June output of 3.6 runs per game.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:34 AM
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Injuries
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Robert Fick not only is still in baseball, he's given the Padres some offense this season. He drove in both runs in their 2-1 victory over the Dodgers last night. Since coming up in May, Fick is hitting, getting on base, and supplying some power. He's also catching again, which makes him happy.
"I've figured out what I need to do," Fick said yesterday. "I've done some stupid things in the past. I'm taking better care of myself on and off the field. And I think I've found a home here.
"The old Robert Fick might have gotten mad at not playing more and may have lost the respect of his teammates. But it's been different here. The Padres have been true to their word. For one thing, I'm catching again," he said.
I hope this is true. We'll see what happens when his batting stats return to normal and he's not playing every day.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:25 AM
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Baseball Jerks
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The Texas Rangers could not match the Yankees comeback last night, although they came close. Chan Ho Park staked the Angels to an eight run lead, giving up five in the first and three more in the second without getting an out. But Wasdin and the rest of the Texas bullpen came in to shut down the Angels the rest of the way. The Rangers chipped away and closed to 8-4 going into the ninth vs. Francisco Rodriguez. It wasn't K-Rod's best night, as he allowed 3 hits and 2 runs, but it was good enough to put the Angels in the win column.
Darin Erstand continued his hitting streak, stretching it to 21 games. (It's over 22 games played, but he didn't bat in one of those.) He's getting on base and scoring lots of runs. He's even drawn 10 walks, which given that he drew 15 before the streak started is pretty good. He's still not hitting for power like a first baseman, but he's setting up Vlad, which is all the Angels need.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:08 AM
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Where was Danys Baez last night? It's the eighth inning. Franklin Nunez took the game from a comfortable lead to a save situation. Why does Lou Piniella bring in a pitcher with a 7.32 ERA at that point? A pitcher, who despite having good walk and home run numbers still gives up a ton of runs?
Baez pitched 1 1/3 inning the previous night, throwing over 20 pitches. But he had four days off. He didn't need to finish the game on Tuesday, he just needed to get two outs. Certainly a closer should be able to pitch two days in a row, especially if his overall use is low.
This article will give you a feel just how shell-shocked the Devil Rays are.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:47 AM
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Games
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:38 AM
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Statistics
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June 21, 2005
What happened to the Marlins bats?
Update: Sorry this post was wrong. I looked at the wrong team game by game log.
Smoltz's shutout tonight is the third blanking of the Marlins in the last 11 games. They've also scored over 10 runs twice in that period, but more than half of their games in that period resulted in two runs or less.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:40 PM
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Offense
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Lou Piniella may commit homicide after tonight's game. The DRays pounded Randy Johnson early, getting out to a 10-2 lead after four. The Yankees kept chipping away until the dam broke in the 8th. It's not over, and the Yankees have scored 11 runs in the inning. It's now 18-11 and it's not clear where (or when) this game will end.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:31 PM
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Whatever the Nationals did to get the great first start out of Ryan Drese did not last. Ryan only managed three innings tonight, leaving after allowing 8 runs while striking out none.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:27 PM
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Pitchers
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The Cincinnati Reds hitters went hog wild early tonight, picking up 10 runs in the first three innings against the Cardinals. Every starter has reached base, and Dunn is the only one not to get a hit so far.
The Red offense wasn't the problem, however. Claussen is pitching well enough to win tonight, but he's not doing anything great. He's yet to strike out a batter, and he's allowed four runs through five innings. That won't win him many games in the future.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:48 PM
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Team Evaluation
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If there was one team you would assume Randy Johnson could dominate, it would be the Tampa Bay Devil Rays. They strikeout a lot and they're not very selective at the plate. But Johnson faced them twice now, and twice they've hit him very well. He's given up 12 earned runs in 10 1/3 innings against Tampa Bay this season. Five of those runs came on three home runs; that brings Randy to 16 allowed this season vs. 18 in all of 2004. Randy was improving, and the Devil Rays should have helped that along. Instead, they've raised more doubts as to the health and ability of the lefty. The Devil Rays lead the Yankees 10-2 in the 6th, and are in a position to stretch their record to 6-2 against New York this year.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:34 PM
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Pitchers
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Alan Schwarz looks at the rookies recently infused into the Brewers lineup. One point of disagreement:
It is amazing how fast these three players – the best triumvirate of rookie talent on any club today – have come through the system, one stuffed to the gills by scouting director Jack Zduriencik. Hardy, 22, was a second-round high school pick in 2001, and broke camp this spring as the starting shortstop. Weeks, also 22, was the No. 2 overall pick in the 2003 draft out of Southern University, and was tearing up Triple-A Nashville before being summoned June 10. And Fielder, a 2002 high school first-rounder who recently turned 21, showed such terrifying power at Nashville in a three week period that he was called up June 12 to DH in the Brewers' interleague games – and showed enough talent to stick around.
I don't find it amazing at all. Great players do not spend a lot of time in the minor leagues. If these are truly exceptional hitters and fielders, they should have zoomed through the organization. Show me a 19 or 20-year-old starting in the majors and I'll show you a future hall of famer. It's only when organizations screw up, as the Red Sox did with Boggs and the Mariners did with Edgar Martinez that a great player has a long minor league career.
Posted by StatsGuru at 04:49 PM
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Rookies
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The Cincinnati Reds fired Dave Miley today. This doesn't come as a surprise:
Earlier this month, Reds chief operating officer John Allen traveled to Denver to meet with Miley. Allen called the Reds' performance "unacceptable" and hinted that changes could be made if there was no improvement.
The Reds went 5-9 after Allen's remarks. Cincinnati has already had four straight below-.500 years -- its longest such streak since 1945-55 -- and has not reached the playoffs since 1995.
There were really no excuses this season. The offense is as healthy as it's ever been. The pitching is horrible, and Gullett and Miley did not turn it around. One could argue that the off-season signings weren't the best, but the axe fell on the manager rather than the GM.
Jerry Narron takes over on a interim basis. Until they find a staff that can pitch, however, they're not likely to get a lot better.
Posted by StatsGuru at 04:04 PM
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Management
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We just got back from the doctor's office. My daughter, it turns out, broke the slowest healing bone in the body. She gets to spend the rest of the summer in a cast. On the bright side, the doctor was quite impressed that she did this with a punch and thinks she can be a good boxer. :-)
Posted by StatsGuru at 03:58 PM
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Other
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It appears Jose Cruz, not one of his teammates, was responsible for the Darth Vader poster.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:08 AM
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Players
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Ryan Drese gets his second start for the Washington Nationals today as they continue their visit to Pittsburgh. Drese, after being released by the Rangers, pitched eight shutout innings against the Angels in his Nationals debut. He'll face struggling lefty Oliver Perez. Oliver looked like he turned things around in his first two June starts, but was pounded for six runs by the Yankees his last time out. He's been hit hard all year; opponents are slugging .505 against him vs. .359 in 2004.
The Blue Jays are trying to stay close in the AL East and will go for another win vs. the division leading Orioles this evening. Rodrigo Lopez faces Gustavo Chacin. Despite having identical 3-1 records, Lopez's ERA balloons three runs on the road, from 2.68 to 5.98. With four home runs allowed in 82 1/3 innings. Chacin is 2nd to Kenny Rogers in home runs allowed per 9 IP.
The Marlins and Braves offer the best pitching matchup of the evening as Burnett takes on Smoltz. Burnett is pitching better than his 4-4 record would indicate. Before getting the victory in the 15-5 blow out of the Cubs on the 15th, Burnett had pitched four games in a row in which he managed a no-decision, despite pitching well enough to win all of them. Smoltz can tell a similar story. A 3.14 ERA deserves better than a 6-5 record. The Braves have lost four games this season in which Smoltz pitched well enough to win.
Enjoy!
Remember to visit the Baseball Musings Ticket Store for seats to these and all sporting events.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:11 AM
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Matchups
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Derrek Lee and Albert Pujols each helped their team to victory last night with home runs. Pujols is having a Pujols year. Great batting average, great OBA and an excellent slugging percentage. Derrek Lee is putting up even better numbers. He's slugging in the .700's, over .100 points better than Pujols.
For whom do you vote when you fill out your all-star ballot? Do you vote for someone based on a great 1/2 season, or do you go for someone who is consistently great throughout his career? Derrek Lee's history shows him to be a good but not great hitter. Pujols is on the way to the Hall of Fame. I'm interested in your ideas on this. Who do you want to see in the all-star game; the all-time great or the one-season wonder?
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:37 AM
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All-Star Game
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Frank Thomas hit another home run last night, but he's slipped to one home run every 5 1/3 AB. :-) If you look at home run leaders for June, and compare Thomas' at bats to every one else with six or seven, you'll see he's on a remarkable tear.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:26 AM
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Sluggers
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:18 AM
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Statistics
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June 20, 2005
I'm not sure which is more remarkable, that Sean Henn was allowed to walk seven batters tonight, or that the Devil Rays were selective enough to take the seven walks. All-in-all the Devil Rays drew nine free passes in the game, equaling their team high set on May 10th. They haven't drawn more than six in any other game they've played this season. Even with all those walks, they only scored five runs. Luckily, it was enough to top the Yankees 5-4.
Posted by StatsGuru at 11:13 PM
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Games
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A high scoring, close game in Cleveland tonight as the Red Sox defeat the Indians 10-9. The Sox offense produced power tonight, hitting 4 doubles and three home runs. The Red Sox had 13 hits and 26 total bases, meaning their average hit was a double. They were advancing their baserunners a long way tonight.
Posted by StatsGuru at 11:05 PM
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Games
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If you have MLB Extra Innings, you may wish to stay up late this evening. Jake Peavy retired the first 12 batters he faced tonight, striking out eight along the way. This 0-0 game against the Dodgers is shaping up to be an exciting pitcher's duel.
Update: The Padres just scored on a hit and run double by Brian Giles in the bottom of the fourth.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:59 PM
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I had a nice trip to see the New Britian Rockcats tonight against the Mets double A affiliate. Very nice infield glove work this evening. Most of the time you can tell the difference between AA and the majors by the quality of the fielders, but nice plays all around this evening. The Rockcats won 4-3.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:40 PM
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Games
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Dan Agonistes shares his thoughts on the White Sox and smart ball.
Posted by StatsGuru at 04:32 PM
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Team Evaluation
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Jon at Coalition of the Dark Side believes that Jorge Posada is the best Yankees catcher in the Steinbrenner era, while other argue Munson. Thurman is one player that Sabermetrics made me see differently. I grew up loving Munson, arguing to people that he was better than Fisk. It just wasn't true. And for the same reasons, he's not better than Posada.
Munson did not walk much for a good hitter. He batted .292 but his OBA was only .346. Posada, on the other hand, only hit .271 but has a .378 OBA. He also outslugs Munson by 64 points. Defensively, I don't see much difference, so Posada gets the nod based on his offensive skills.
Posted by StatsGuru at 04:09 PM
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Players
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As the teams return to intraleague play, there are a number of exciting division and wild card matchups this evening.
The Red Sox and Indians each send a lefty to the mound as C.C. Sabathia host David Wells in Cleveland. Wells pitched in superb mode his last two starts, not allowing any runs in 15 innings and only five hits. He's 3-0 with a 0.00 ERA vs. NL teams this season. He's 2-4 with a 6.75 ERA vs. AL teams. There a deep chasm between what Sabathia's allowed with the bases empty and runners on. Opponents are hitting 99 points higher once men reach and up to .345 with men in scoring position.
The Rangers visit Anaheim to battle the Angels for first place in the AL West. Chris Young gets the nod for the Rangers. Chris only allowed four home runs this season. In his brief stint in the majors last year he gave up seven in just 36 1/3 innings. With his 2.78 ERA, the Rangers have two pitchers in the top 5 among AL leaders. An impressive feat given their home ballpark. The Angels send Paul Byrd to the mound. Byrd is getting pounded by lefties ths season, who are slugging .511 off the righty. Given the Rangers roster, Buck can't stack too many lefties into his lineup; looks like he can get five in there with switch hitters.
The other Los Angeles team, the Dodgers, travels out to San Diego to battle the Padres for the NL West. A sweep of the four game series would put LA 1/2 game behind San Diego. Brad Penny faces Jake Peavy this evening. Penny's given up 13 runs and 28 hits in his last 18 1/3 innings for a 6.38 June ERA. He's only walked 2 so his control is not the problem; he's just not fooling anybody. This will be Peavy's first start against the Dodgers this season. In nine starts against LA in his career, he's 3-1 with a 2.59 ERA.
Enjoy!
Don't forget to check out the Baseball Musings Ticket Store for the best seats to these and other games, including the NBA Finals.
Posted by StatsGuru at 02:36 PM
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Matchups
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WasWatching makes the Yankees payroll seem reasonable.
Posted by StatsGuru at 02:32 PM
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Management
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The American League is dominating interleague play this season. The AL recorded 118 wins so far to just 92 for the National League. The only AL team that has a poor record against the NL is the Devil Rays at 3-12; Tononto, Minnesota and Oakland are just under .500 at 7-8. In the NL, interleague play helped cement the Nationals and Cardinals in first place, each pacing the NL with a 10-5 record.
The Indians have the best record vs. the NL this season, going 13-2. And while they've gained ground in the wild card race, the White Sox posted an 11-4 record vs. the NL to keep Cleveland from moving up much in the division race.
The NL West is a real punching bag for the AL teams, going a combined 24-47 vs. the AL Central, the Padres and Dodgers each adding ten losses to that total.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:42 AM
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Series
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Jose Cruz Jr. is in the dog house in the club house due to his poor defense.
After a tough day in the outfield, when he misjudged and misplayed a few fly balls hit his way during Arizona's 3-2 loss to the Cleveland Indians at Jacobs Field, Cruz found an image of Darth Vader taped above his locker.
Blue highlighter was smeared on Vader's cheeks, a not-so-subtle reminder by someone on the team that Cruz could have used eye black - or something - to more deftly play his position.
Yes, Jose's misplays led to runs that cost the Diamondbacks the game. But he also hit a home run. Where was the rest of the Diamondbacks offense? They weren't exactly storm troopers out there yesterday. That's two days in a row where the opposition scored three runs and the DBacks lost. There is plenty of blame to go around.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:30 AM
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Defense
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:22 AM
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Statistics
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June 19, 2005
Runelvys Hernandez is having an excellent June. In four starts he's 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA. It's not quite clear why that's true. His home runs are up from April and May. He's striking out about the same number of batters, but his hits allowed are way down. He was allowing 10 per 9 innings in April/May, 5.8 in June. If any Kansas City fans have any insight, please share it in the comments.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:15 PM
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Pitchers
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Mark Teixeira broke the four-way tie for the AL home run lead today with his 20th in a losing cause against the Nationals. Mark's been consistent this season, hitting 6 in April, 7 in May and now 7 in June. At age 25, he's improved his batting average and slugging in each season he's played. As he approaches his peak years, he's in a position to be a major slugger over the next half-decade.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:59 PM
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Sluggers
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Every day as I look at boxscores I'm amazed at how many players with poor on-base averages are batting second. I'm most surprised when I see it with the Red Sox. For some reason, they bat Renteria second and leave Bill Mueller down in the 8th spot. If it were based on their career averages I might understand, but Mueller is 30 points better over their lifetime service. Is it speed? Is it bat control? Neither strikes out much, and Edgar will steal many more bases. But it's tough to steal if you're not on.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:45 PM
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Strategy
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Happy father's day to all! I hope you had a great day with your family.
Mariano Rivera picked up his 16th save today, pitching a perfect ninth. When the season started, it looked like Mariano's age was showing. He was walking batters. He was giving up hits. He was letting errors lead to runs. But since May 9th, he has not allowed a run in 17 innings pitched. Batters managed just 7 hits against him while he's struck out 18. For the season his ERA stands at 1.01 and the majors are just hitting .163 against him. It seems the stories of his demise were greatly exaggerated.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:32 PM
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Pitchers
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The Yankees go for the sweep today as they finish up their series with the Chicago Cubs. Sergio Mitre takes the mound for Chicago against Mike Mussina of the Yankees. Mitre enters the game with a 16 inning scoreless streak. In that time, he's allowed just seven hits and one walk while striking out nine. Mussina is coming off his best game of the season, a complete game shutout of the Pirates. Mussina's only walked 2 in his last 15 innings.
A good pitching matchup in Boston as well. Kip Wells of the Pirates faces Matt Clement of the Red Sox. Clement does not have a stellar record vs. the Bucs. In 19 starts he's just 7-6 vs. a Pirate team that has not been high caliber. His 4.58 ERA is strange given that:
- He's struck out quite a few Pirates.
- He gives up very few home runs.
- His walk total is a little high, but not given the number he's striking out.
Bad luck or bad defense?
Kip Wells success depends on keeping the opposition from getting hits. He's allowed a .342 OBA this season, but only a .244 batting average. People get on, but they don't move around the bases easily. That didn't work against the Yankees last time out, and it might not work against the Red Sox.
The Washington Nationals send Esteban Loaiza to the mound to prevent a sweep by the Texas Rangers. C.J. Wilson makes the first start of his major league career for the Rangers. Loaiza pitched eight games this year where his effort was good enough to win, but he ended up with a no decision. The bullpen's been fine, it's the offense that hasn't given him enough support, scoring just 25 runs in his 14 starts while he's been on the mound.
Enjoy!
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Posted by StatsGuru at 10:05 AM
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Matchups
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:30 AM
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June 18, 2005
Yhency Brazoban starts his own fire vs. the White Sox and is unable to put out the flames. With two out and one on in the bottom of the ninth, Yhency gives up three straight hits, capped off with a two run walk off home run by Pierzynski. A great comeback win for the White Sox, and the Dodgers are missing Gagne tonight.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:05 PM
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Pitchers
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The Rockies are getting plenty of offense from their second basemen this season. With Barmes taking the collar bone break, Eddy Garabito picked up the slack. He was two for five tonight to lower his batting average to .410. When Barmes comes back, the Rockies might want to think about keeping the two of them together in the infield with Garabito at shortstop.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:57 PM
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Offense
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It's not Dontrelle Willis' best game, but through seven innings he's shut out the Angels. He's given up 10 hits and a walk, but all the hits were singles. He's over 100 pitches, so it's not clear he'll come out for the 8th, so he may really be dependent on his bullpen for the win.
Update: Mecir starts the 8th and gives up a home run to Vlad Guerrero to tie the game. It's the first time Dontrelle won't the decision in a game he started this season.
Posted by StatsGuru at 05:24 PM
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Derek Jeter just hit the first grand slam of his career. What was most unusual about it was that he hit it to the deepest part of Yankee Stadium. Most of the his homers in the past in Yankee Stadium went to the opposite field.
Update: Jeter hits another home run in his next at bat. This time, he went to right center.
Posted by StatsGuru at 05:07 PM
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Players
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The Phillies have an interesting offensive line today. They've put 11 men on via a hit or a walk through five innings, and have left six of them on. But they've only scored 1 run. Three double plays and a runner thrown out a home kept them from running up the score. One of the double plays was on a pair of bad baserunning plays, so three runners were taken off base by their own incompetence.
The Phillies did this the other day vs. the Mariners but pulled that game out. The Athletics lead 2-1, so that's possible again.
Posted by StatsGuru at 04:31 PM
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Games
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The play of this year's Astros reminds Mickey Herskowitz of the 1963 Colt 45's. That team couldn't hit, and pulled a publicity stunt at the end of the season:
Two days before the end of the season, they pulled off a classic public relations stunt against the Mets. They started an all-rookie lineup, one that averaged 19 years, 8 months.
Pitcher Jay Dahl was 17. Four were 19, including Rusty Staub. Joe Morgan and Jerry Grote were 20. At 21, outfielders Jimmy Wynn and Aaron Pointer were elders.
Morgan made it to Cooperstown and the World Series; Staub, Grote and Wynn made the Series. Pointer's career was short, but he stayed in sports as a game official for the NFL. His sisters, Ruth, Anita, Bonnie and June, formed a singing group under their own name: the Pointer Sisters.
They had more hits than the '63 team.
Ouch.
Posted by StatsGuru at 12:09 PM
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History
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An interesting article in the Dallas Morning News on Ryan Drese's immediate improvement with the Washington Nationals.
Despite his underwhelming statistics – a 4-6 record, a 6.46 ERA, opponents' .334 batting average – the Nationals clearly wanted Drese and were the lone team to submit a waiver claim. They saw a pitcher who needed not an overhaul of his mechanics, but rather to make a few tweaks in his arm angle. So pitching coach Randy St. Claire went to work.
Drese threw on the side Sunday and a light session Monday to prepare for Wednesday's start. St. Claire noticed Drese was throwing his pitches from three arm slots. His sinker, his out pitch, came from an angle that put a sideways, not downward, movement on the ball. Hitters can recognize the spin easier and lay off a pitch that is supposed to land outside the strike zone.
What the article fails to discuss, however, is why Orel Hershiser didn't make this correction.
"Orel [Hershiser, the Rangers' pitching coach] will tell you that I was moving in this direction," Drese said. "But this is a game of wins and losses, and that's the bottom line. ... I was disappointed, and I think they [the Rangers] made a mistake. But I'm in Washington now, and it's a place where I'm wanted."
If Drese continues to perform well in Washington, the Rangers should re-evaluate Orel's performance as coach. It also makes me wonder if someone will be able to give Pedro Astacio a similar boost.
Posted by StatsGuru at 11:47 AM
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Pitchers
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Curt Schilling set a return date of July 10th, just before the All-Star break.
Schilling threw a light bullpen session before the Sox' 6-5 win over the Pirates last night. Yesterday marked his return to his team after a stint in Tempe, Ariz., at the Athletes Performance Institute, where he received intensive attention and treatment - ``seven hours a day,'' he said - on his foot.
Former team doctor Bill Morgan, who stitched up Schilling last October, watched the pitcher's session yesterday - after being invited by Schilling. Schilling wore a less dramatically altered boot yesterday, and said that the hope is that he can wear a normal shoe when he pitches.
Rehabilitation can be a full time job.
Posted by StatsGuru at 11:41 AM
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Injuries
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Brendan Donnelly received a 10-day suspension for his pine tar infraction. Congress will now launch an investigation to determine if the penalty was too lenient.
Posted by StatsGuru at 11:31 AM
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Cheating
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Although we won't be seeing it in New England, Fox is carrying a great game this afternoon as Dontrelle Willis goes for his 12th win against John Lackey and the Angels. One of the things that's helped Dontrelle achieve those 11 wins is his results with men on base. The opposition is hitting just .188 with men on and .206 with men in scoring position. He's not allowed a hit with the bases loaded; batters are 0 for 5 with 1 walk and just two rbi. The Marlins have won just 6 of their last 17 games, and three of those wins were credited to Dontrelle.
John Lackey lowered his ERA from 5.61 at the end of April to 3.99 today. He's struck out 49 in 52 1/3 innings since the start of May.
Roy Halladay continues to pitch like a Cy Young award winner. He'll have a tough matchup today as the Blue Jays host Ben Sheets and the Brewers. Sheets has a losing record despite a good ERA. Sheets allowed 26 runs so far this season, but the Brewers only scored 19 while he was in the game. The last time Halladay allowed more than two runs in a game was May 4th. Since then he's made seven starts and posted a 0.97 ERA. Just two balls left the park against him in that span.
Enjoy!
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Posted by StatsGuru at 10:53 AM
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:44 AM
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June 17, 2005
To go along with Randy Johnson and Mike Mussina tossing gems, Jason Schmidt turned around his season tonight with eight scoreless innings vs. the Tigers. He allowed seven hits, but they were all singles. He struck out five, so he's not all the way back, but after three straight starts allowing six runs, this game comes as a big relief to Giants fans and management.
Posted by StatsGuru at 11:14 PM
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With another home run tonight, Frank Thomas is hitting a dinger every five at bats this season. The are 96 games left in the White Sox schedule. So if Thomas can get another 300 at bats, he could set the AL record for home runs in a season. :-) Actually, this couple of days on/couple of days off schedule appears to be helping Frank. He's in the zone, and it will be fun to see how long he can maintain this pace.
Posted by StatsGuru at 11:02 PM
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Sluggers
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A reader was looking for team left on base. Here's the table.
Team Left On Base through June 16, 2005.
| Team |
LOB |
| ARI |
520 |
| NYA |
518 |
| BOS |
518 |
| PHI |
504 |
| SD |
503 |
| OAK |
484 |
| NYN |
470 |
| LAD |
468 |
| CIN |
468 |
| COL |
467 |
| WSH |
465 |
| STL |
464 |
| MIL |
460 |
| SF |
454 |
| CHN |
452 |
| MIN |
451 |
| PIT |
450 |
| FLA |
449 |
| SEA |
443 |
| BAL |
442 |
| TB |
442 |
| ATL |
439 |
| TEX |
438 |
| KC |
432 |
| TOR |
428 |
| CLE |
427 |
| HOU |
417 |
| LAA |
410 |
| DET |
407 |
| CHA |
401 |
Posted by StatsGuru at 04:38 PM
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Statistics
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There are so many good pitching matchups tonight, I'm only going to mention the Cubs at Yankees for its historical significance. Maybe Derrek Lee will call a shot!
The Diamondbacks play the Indians tonight, and Brad Halsey faces Cliff Lee in a battle of lefties. Halsey had some criticism of the Yankees farm system recently.
"You win 17 games and you can't even get an invite to spring training," Halsey said of the Yankees. "They don't know who a lot of their minor leaguers are, which is unfortunate."
When Halsey was promoted, he introduced himself to manager Joe Torre and pitching coach Mel Stottlemyre, and Halsey said neither recognized him. But that didn't bother him as much as the chatter he heard in the minors from prospects who wanted out because they knew their careers would be stifled if they didn't move up the ladder at a decent pace quickly.
Brad's been working with Mark Davis to correct his current slump. Meanwhile, Cliff Lee has become the Indians ace. Since May 11, Cliff has a 2.03 ERA and he's only allowed 3 home runs in his last seven starts.
The Nationals visit the penultimate team to play in Washington, the Texas Rangers. John Patterson goes against Kenny Rogers in a battle of pitchers with ERAs in the low twos. Rogers had his first bad outing of the year last time out vs. the Marlins, allowing a rare home runs. Patterson has allowed exactly 1 run in each of the three starts he's made since returning from his injury.
The Astros visit the Red Hot Royals this evening, and if a Friday night and Roger Clemens don't bring out the crowds, nothing will. Roger will face J.P. Howell, who pitched brilliantly in his ML debut, striking out eight in five innings.
The reeling Padres travel to the land of 10000 lakes to face the injury ridden Twins. Tim Stauffer hurls for the southern Californians. Like most Padre starters, Tim does not go deep into games and depends on the bullpen for his wins. Carlos Silva does not strike out many, but his walks and home runs allowed are so low, even all the balls in play don't hurt him much. It will be interesting to see how he does with a make shift middle infield this evening.
Enjoy!
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Posted by StatsGuru at 03:38 PM
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Matchups
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If you couldn't stay up on the east coast to watch the 13 inning Phillies victory, here's the recap. Both starters deserved the win, but baserunning blunders by the Phillies almost gave the Mariners the victory.
Ichiro went two for five last night, but is still hitting below .300 at .295. Suzuki's lack of plate discipline is hurting him this season. In the past, he lack of walks didn't matter much because he got on base through his abundance of hits. But when the hits disappear, so does his OBA.
An ESPN producer once said to me (it was the early 1990s) that he didn't like Rickey Henderson because he was so inconsistent from year to year. He was looking at his batting average. But if you looked at Rickey's OBA during the same period, it was extremely consistent. Some years he got better balls to hit and he hit. Some years he didn't see good pitches and walked more. But he always got on base. Ichrio knows only one way to get on base, and when he slumps, he loses his value.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:56 AM
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Games
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Joe Reaves of the Arizona Republic notes the Indians winning ways:
The Indians, who host Arizona tonight in the first game of a weekend interleague series, are one of the hottest teams in the majors, having won six consecutive games.
Since May 9, they've gone step-for-step with Philadelphia for the best record in baseball. Nobody has won more interleague games than the Indians. And only three times in the past month have they lost a game by more than two runs. "It's fun coming to the ballpark," says Cleveland pitching coach Carl Willis, who's responsible for much of the fun.
They're the best AL team since May 9th? I didn't realize that, mostly because they haven't gained much ground in the standings. But it's true.
MLB winning percentage, May 9th on.
| Team |
W |
L |
PCT |
| PHI |
23 |
12 |
0.657 |
| CLE |
22 |
12 |
0.647 |
| WSH |
22 |
13 |
0.629 |
| STL |
22 |
13 |
0.629 |
| CHN |
21 |
13 |
0.618 |
| NYA |
20 |
13 |
0.606 |
| TEX |
18 |
14 |
0.562 |
| CHA |
19 |
15 |
0.559 |
| SD |
19 |
15 |
0.559 |
| LAA |
19 |
15 |
0.559 |
| BAL |
19 |
16 |
0.543 |
| BOS |
18 |
16 |
0.529 |
| MIN |
18 |
16 |
0.529 |
| DET |
17 |
16 |
0.515 |
| TOR |
17 |
17 |
0.500 |
| PIT |
17 |
17 |
0.500 |
| ARI |
17 |
18 |
0.486 |
| NYN |
16 |
18 |
0.471 |
| KC |
16 |
18 |
0.471 |
| FLA |
16 |
19 |
0.457 |
| SEA |
15 |
18 |
0.455 |
| HOU |
15 |
19 |
0.441 |
| CIN |
15 |
21 |
0.417 |
| LAD |
14 |
21 |
0.400 |
| MIL |
14 |
21 |
0.400 |
| ATL |
14 |
21 |
0.400 |
| COL |
14 |
22 |
0.389 |
| OAK |
13 |
21 |
0.382 |
| SF |
12 |
22 |
0.353 |
| TB |
12 |
22 |
0.353 |
Not a great time to play near a bay. :-)
The Indians offense has gotten better, scoring 4.7 runs per game vs. 3.7 per game before that. The pitching's improved even more, with their ERA falling 1 1/2 runs. The problem the Indians had over this stretch was within their own division. They were 3-4 vs. the Twins and 1-2 vs. the White Sox. So half their losses came against the teams they needed to beat. They'll need to turn that around to capture the wild card or the division.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:31 AM
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Team Evaluation
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John Smoltz and Randy Johnson seem to be going through their resurgences together. Smoltz smoked the hapless Reds last night, striking out nine through 8 innings and allowing just four hits. Two of those hits were solo home runs, accounting for all the Reds scoring. His control was great, throwing 70% strikes and walking none. With the Braves rotation in tatters, Smoltz chose an excellent time to return to his glory days.
The Reds have 19 hits and six runs during this four game losing streak. They had scored 10 runs four time in their previous five games. Maybe they should not have sent down Austin Kearns. :-)
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:19 AM
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Pitchers
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The Kansas City Royals completed a sweep of the Los Angeles Dodgers last night, a come from behind 9-6 victory. That makes the Royals 11-4 under Buddy Bell.
It's too bad KC fans missed a good series, and only 52,000 fans showed up for the three games. They missed a rare opportunity to see the Dodgers and a rare opportunity to see a KC sweep.
Players are putting up good OBA's under Bell. They are scoring runs without Mike Sweeney as well, who's now out with an arm injury. If he comes back strong that will make the offense even better.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:09 AM
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Series
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After two great starts with Flaherty behind the plate, Joe Torre is making the catcher Johnson's primary receiver.
"We have two good catchers here, and it gives me an opportunity to know when to rest Jorge," Torre said. "As long as it seems to be comfortable, we'll continue to do it."
Flaherty has stressed to Johnson the importance of releasing his slider from a higher arm angle. That adjustment has helped the pitch dive toward a right-hander's back foot, instead of cutting side to side and staying in the swing path too long.
Early in Posada's career, Torre would go with Girardi behind the plate in important games, especially in the playoffs.
Joe G. was great at getting the best out of a pitching staff and Torre realizes it's Posada's weakness. John is trying not to make a big deal of the situation:
But Flaherty, who has not caught any pitcher for more than two consecutive starts, said he was uneasy being known as Johnson's personal catcher. Once Johnson is mechanically sound, Flaherty said, any catcher could produce the same results. Flaherty is also close with Posada and would not want to imply that he could coax more from a pitcher.
Very diplomatic. I don't believe it will bother Posada, since he's been through this before with Girardi.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:54 AM
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Pitchers
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Today's update was sponsored by Baseball Digest Daily. Read their latest story on Roy Smith and the Dodgers here.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:17 AM
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Statistics
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June 16, 2005
Randy Johnson finally reaches the 10 strikeout mark with the Yankees. It's the 205th time Randy hit double digits. He's only ten games behind Nolan Ryan for the all-time record.
When Nolan retired after the 1993 season, I didn't think anyone would approach this mark. At the time, Johnson had 39. It's quite an accomplishment.
Update: Johnson finishes with 11 strikeouts, walking none and giving up just five hits. The only Pittsburgh run came on a homer that barely cleared the right field wall. That's two dominating performances in a row by The Big Unit.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:11 PM
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Pitchers
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The New York Times has a slide show of drawings of the new park. It looks to me as if they've combined the the best features of the original and the remodeled park. The nice thing is that it is perfectly recognizable as Yankee Stadium. A beautiful job.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:16 PM
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Stadiums
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Tim Hudson is the latest Braves pitcher to hit the disabled list. It seems that team is being held together with duct tape and string right now. I wonder if Smoltz can pitch every day?
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:48 PM
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Injuries
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The Mets score seven runs in the top of the 5th inning against Oakland to take an 8-3 lead in the game. Those seven runs are more than the Mets have scored in any of their last eight games. The Mets are 6-2 in that stretch.
Ryan Glynn gave up the first three. He once again had a home run do him in, and Carlos Beltran hit a three run that chased Glynn from the contest. Glynn has now allowed 40 home runs in 224 1/3 career innings, or 1.60 per 9. Just to put that in perspective, when Blyleven allowed 50 in 1986, his HR per 9 was 1.65. It's a weakness that even Glynn's moving to Oakland has not solved.
Posted by StatsGuru at 05:18 PM
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Games
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The San Diego Padres continue to slide in the month of June. With a 3-1 loss to the Tigers today the team's record goes to 3-11. They're scoring 2.4 runs per game while allowing 4.9. So while neither the offense nor defense is great, the onus for losing falls more on the side of offense.
Although this chart doesn't include today's game, it's clear the only person hitting at all is Ryan Klesko. The team went through a series of illnesses at the beginning of June, but the players supposedly have recovered. Maybe the virus that was going around took a bigger toll than expected.
Despite the streak, the Padres are still in first place. They're lucky to play in a rather weak division.
Posted by StatsGuru at 03:49 PM
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Team Evaluation
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Two matchups tonight pit aging veterans vs. young pitchers on the rise. In New York, it's a battle of struggling lefties as Oliver Perez faces Randy Johnson. At the start of the season, I would have looked forward to this game. Johnson, however, hasn't been right. His strikeouts are down, and his last start was his first dominating one since the end of April. He's already allowed 12 home runs after giving up 18 all of last season. And the move to Yankee Stadium should have lowered his homers allowed.
Oliver Perez is striking out a ton of batters, but when they make contact the balls are falling in. Perez's K per 9 in down this season, but still above 9 per 9 IP. Yet his batting average allowed is up sixty points! Is the Pittsburgh defense that much worse? He is allowed more long hits as well. He's given up 16 homers vs. 22 all last season. Both power lefties showed improvement in their previous starts; we'll see if it continues tonight.
John Smoltz and the Braves invade Cincinnati this evening to take on Brandon Claussen and the Reds. Smoltz's strikeouts are dropping. Over his last four starts his K per 9 is 5.3, and his ERA is 4.45. That's a bad sign. Claussen's been solid in three of his last four starts. He'll have to be if the Reds offense keeps struggling as they did against Boston.
Enjoy!
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Posted by StatsGuru at 08:36 AM
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As expected, Eric Gagne returned to the DL yesterday. There is speculation that the injury to his elbow is much more serious this time around and he might require Tommy John surgery. The Dodgers did okay without him earlier in the season. They were 21-14 while Gagne was on the DL, 12-17 since.
Kevin Brown's back pain returned last night. He was actually pitching well before it hit him.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:19 AM
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Injuries
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:13 AM
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Statistics
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Marco Scutaro comes through where the Angels hitters couldn't. He hit the first pitch he saw into the gap in left center to score Kielty from second and give the Athletics a 3-2 victory over the Mets. The Athletics have won four of their last five.
Posted by StatsGuru at 12:41 AM
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Ryan Drese appears to have needed a change of scenery. He shut the Angels down for eight innings tonight, allowing only two two hits but walking four. He had to pitch that well, as Colon only allowed 1 run in his nine innings. Now Cordero is in to try for the save. He allowed Erstad to reach on a leadoff single.
Update: Guerrero walks. That moves Erstad into scoring position with none out. One of the pitches to Guerrero rolled to the plate as Cordero fell down delivering the pitch.
Update: Anderson delivers a single to right that advances the runners one base. Bases loaded, nobody out in a 1-0 game.
Update: Cordero gets ahead of Finley 0-2, then gets him swinging on a 1-2 pitch. Bases still loaded, 1 out for Bengie Molina.
Update: Molina pops up to shallow center, Erstad is not able to advance from third. Two outs for McPherson.
Update: Cordero gets McPherson swinging. It reminds me of John Wetteland in 1996, as he seemed to always put men on before converting the save opportunity. Drese gets his first win for the Nats. Washington is now 15-2 in their last 17 games, and are 9-1 in one run contests in that stretch.
Posted by StatsGuru at 12:13 AM
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Pitchers
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June 15, 2005
Brendan Donnelly says he used the pine tar for a better grip.
Donnelly's glove has been sent to the Commissioner's office, which will determine any discipline.
Donnelly, who said he has used pine tar to better grip the ball, rather than doctor it, had a new glove Wednesday.
Like that's innocent? I would think giving the pitcher a better grip is one of the reasons pine tar is illegal.
Posted by StatsGuru at 11:01 PM
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Cheating
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Jason Giambi won back some fan support tonight as he hit a two run homer in the bottom of the 10th inning to complete a 7-5 comeback victory for the Yankees. The Yankees were down 4-1 and 5-2, but scored six runs in the last four innings to keep pace with the Orioles, Red Sox and Blue Jays. It was a shot, landing in the upper deck down the right field line.
Despite his hitting problems, Giambi still has a .388 OBA. He's a valuable offensive player, just not as valuable as he was once.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:38 PM
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Sluggers
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Frank Thomas' come back is both fitful and powerful. He's not back to full time status, but when he hits, he's hurting the ball. He's 1 for 3 through six innings tonight, but that one hit was his fourth home run. That's seven hits on the season for Frank, four for home runs. He's slugging over .900 so far.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:55 PM
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Sluggers
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Looks like the trade for Placido Palanco is paying dividends for Detroit so far. Palanco went 3 for 4 tonight, and is now 10 for 20 with the Tigers. He drove in three in the Tigers 8-2 victory over the San Diego Padres. The Padres continue to pitch badly on the road. They have an ERA under 3.00 in PETCO, over 5.00 away.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:39 PM
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Players
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If you missed tonight's show, you can hear the recorded version here. It's also available on demand at TPSRadio.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:28 PM
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Podcasts
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The Atlanta Braves are hitting poorly on the road this year, and they're losing 7-1 in the 6th inning tonight at Texas. As you can see, a number or regulars are not hitting well on the road this year; four are below the Mendoza line. Only the injured Chipper Jones is hitting well away from Turner Field.
This surprises me. Turner doesn't seem to be the launching pad that Fulton County Stadium was. The pitchers have about the same ERA home and road. I wonder what's going on?
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:21 PM
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Team Evaluation
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With the injury to Josh Beckett, the Marlins are moving Leiter back to the rotation and going with four starters for the next couple of weeks. With days off, they'll still be able to pitch on four days rest.
That's good news for Dontrelle Willis, who can pick up an extra start this way. If the Marlins can continue that, taking advantage of days off, Dontrelle might get enough starts to be able to win 30.
Posted by StatsGuru at 06:57 PM
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Strategy
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Just a reminder that the Baseball Musings Radio Show is coming up at 8 PM Eastern. I'll be playing an interview with Jamie Mottram, host of Sports Bloggers Live about the Nationals and the Orioles. I hope you tune in. Please leave any questions you'd like answered on the air in the comments.
Posted by StatsGuru at 06:51 PM
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Broadcasts
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Mike Lowell appears to be coming out of his early season funk. He collected three hits, including two doubles in the Marlins 15-5 pasting of the Chicago Cubs this afternoon. Lowell is 16 for 42 in June (.381 BA) with four doubles and a homer. The batting average is back, and with the power in the Marlins lineup, he doesn't need much more than a good on-base percentage to improve the offense.
Posted by StatsGuru at 05:24 PM
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Players
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The Marlins are off to an 8-0 lead over the Cubs in the 4th inning. They've knocked Maddux out of the game. It's the third game in a row where one team got off to a lead and kept building it. There's time for the Cubs to stage a comeback, but that hasn't been the M.O. of this series.
Posted by StatsGuru at 03:23 PM
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The weekly Baseball Musings radio show will be on TPSRadio tonight and every Wednesday at 8 PM EDT. Check out their other sports programming as well. You can listen at any one of these links:
You can also call in at 888-985-0555 and leave a question for the show, or stop by the chat room at TPSRadio during the broadcast and leave a comment. Also, feel free to leave a question in the comments to this post and I'll be happy to answer them on the air.
Posted by StatsGuru at 03:10 PM
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Broadcasts
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The Diamondbacks go for the sweep of the Chicago White Sox tonight. They'll send Russ Ortiz against 10-game winner Jon Garland. The DBacks have outscored the White Sox 18-5 in these two games. Ortiz is walking over 5 batters per 9 innings, one of six pitchers with 60 innings over 5.0. The White Sox are not much of a walking team, ranking 8th in the AL in drawing free passes, so at least Ortiz is playing to their strength. Garland is at the other end of the scale, walking only 1.46 per 9. It's a good thing, since the DBacks are 2nd in the NL in drawing walks. Take away the walks, and you reduce Arizona to it's batting average, which is a managable .264. Arizona has outwalked the White Sox 7-1 in this series so far.
Enjoy!
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:31 AM
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Matchups
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Frank Robinson caught Brendan Donnelly with pine tar on his glove, and Donnelly was properly ejected. Scioscia then goes over to tell off Frank Robinson, and the benches cleared. No punches were thrown, but, Jose Guillen needed to be restrained.
According to the AP story, Scioscia told Robinson he was going to check his pitchers:
Robinson, a former vice president of discipline for the major leagues, said Donnelly simply got caught cheating and Scioscia was "way off base."
"He took me by surprise when he came over to me and I took it as a threat," Robinson said. "He told me that he was going to have every one of my pitchers undressed when they came out there to the mound -- no matter who it was."
Said Scioscia: "I told Frank we were going to undress his pitchers when they were on the mound to see if they had any pine tar in their glove. He obviously wasn't happy. He was screaming. We weren't making a lunch date."
Mike, your pitcher got caught cheating. You should be upset with him. Instead, you fired up the Nationals and your good friend Jose Guillen hurt your cause with a home run. Your team was winning at that point, then lost the game. You should have chewed Donnelly out instead of making statements like this:
Scioscia acknowledged that the use of pine tar is against the rules, but said it is "used around baseball," doesn't alter the flight of the ball and usually isn't an issue.
Sure it doesn't. And I'm sure it keeps the ball sparkling clean, too. Robinson deserves an apology.
Update: A reader notes in the comments that Donnelly was caught with a spare ball in his pocket against the Red Sox. That seems more suspicious now.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:41 AM
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Cheating
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John Eisenberg of the Baltimore Sun wants the Orioles to be agressive in going after more pitching. He points out the teams' complacency lately:
Manager Lee Mazzilli said after the trip that he was pleased the team didn't lose ground. Huh? The Orioles easily could have gained ground, having played mostly losing teams while the Yankees and Sox muddled along. For the Orioles, the lost series in Pittsburgh and Cincinnati represented blown chances to gain ground.
With all due respect, the manager should be pushing his division-leading team to continue surpassing expectations rather than allowing it to settle for treading water.
You can be sure the Yankees and Red Sox aren't satisfied with weeks in which they muddle along slightly below .500.
Exactly right. I saw a quote from Lloyd McClendon last week in the subject of the Pirates reaching the .500 mark:
"All it means it that we've won half of our games," he said. "That's not our goal. I don't know if it's significant at all in June."
I agree with Eisenberg's article. The Orioles have the rare opportunity to outrace the Red Sox and Yankees. It's time to pull out all stops and go for the division win.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:25 AM
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Trades
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The White Sox trainer discusses why Frank Thomas will continue to have minor injuries.
So says longtime White Sox head athletic trainer Herm Schneider, who knows Thomas' career medical history and the hitter's stubborn ways.
"Frank's body is changing, and he needs to understand there are certain things he can't do that he used to," Schneider said Tuesday. "He tries to lift (weights) before games, early in the day, and his legs get tight. He has a tendency to drink a lot of coffee, which dehydrates you in warm weather.
"Those kinds of things, he needs to back off and change. But Frank has a tendency not to listen until the horse is out of the barn."
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:15 AM
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Injuries
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Joe Blanton did indeed shut down the Mets last night, with a little help from his friends. Joe lasted seven innings, allowing just three hits while striking out four. Calero and Street finished off the shutout, Street pitching 1 2/3 for his 4th save.
It was the 6th shutout of the day. That's the first time that's happened since Sept. 20, 1998. Complete games are also still way ahead of last year. Through the same number of days into the season, 2.7% of starts were completed last year, 4.3% this season.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:06 AM
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Pitchers
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:57 AM
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Statistics
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June 14, 2005
The Dodgers are coming to town! Let's all go out and see of the most storied franchises in the history of baseball! Except if you're in Kansas City. Just 15,579 turned out to see a 3-2 Royals victory over Los Angeles. If bringing a great, historic team to Kansas City can't fill a stadium, maybe baseball shouldn't be in KC.
Posted by StatsGuru at 11:02 PM
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Those of you staying up late (or living out west), keep your eye on Joe Blanton tonight. He's retried twelve straight batters to start the game. He's struck out three and has thrown only 42 pitches. The Athletics lead the Mets 1-0, but have the bases loaded with 1 out in the fourth.
Update: Ellis doubles in two. It's three nothing and the A's have two men in scoring position.
Update: Blanton gives up a hit with two outs in the fifth. The shutout is still in order.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:55 PM
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Games
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The Cubs enjoy the biggest blow out of the night so far, crushing the Marlins 14-0. The heart of the order, Lee, Burnitz and Ramirez combined to go 9 for 13 with 3 doubles and 3 home runs. They drove in seven and scored six. That was the offense.
On the other side of the ball, Serigo Mitre posted the fourth complete game shutout of the night, and the fifth shutout overall. Mitre kept his pitch count low, walking none and strikout out only three on 99 pitches, 73 for strikes. That's two starts in a row without allowing a runner across the plate for Sergio.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:36 PM
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Games
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Mike Mussina gets the third complete game shutout of the evening and the fourth over all. It's the third time this season there have been four shutouts in one day. There were 12 such days last year. Like Carpenter and Ohka, Mike threw strikes, 76 of 109 pitches. He also received more than enough support, and the New Yorkers scored nine runs. The Yankees put 21 men on base with 12 hits, seven walks, and two hit batters (both A-Rod). The Yankees put more men on base with walks than the Mussina allowed altogether. It's a win that should make everyone happy for a day.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:01 PM
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Pitchers
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The Red Sox pitching staff posts the third shutout of the evening, defeating the Cincinnati Reds 7-0. Wells, Timlin and Foulke combined to allow just one hit and two walks (all by Wells) while striking out eight. Two one hitters, three shutouts and two more shutouts in the works. Quite a night.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:53 PM
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Games
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Toma Ohka pays immediate dividends to the Milwaukee Brewers with a complete game shutout of the Tampa Bay Devil Rays. Ohka gave up nine hits, but walked none. Seven of the hits were singles. Like Carpenter with the Cardinals, Ohka was very efficient, using just 98 pitches to keep the Devil Rays off the board, 69 of them strikes. Early returns make the deal a good one for both clubs.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:46 PM
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Pitchers
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Chris Carpenter finishes off the Blue Jays, allowing just one walk and one hit as he gets the complete game shutout. He struck out 10 and threw only 95 pitches.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:31 PM
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Games
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With the Mets announcing a new stadium plan earlier, the Yankees will announce a new stadium plan tomorrow.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:27 PM
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Stadiums
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For most of the game, Andy Pettitte out pitched Bruce Chen. He was more efficient and walked none to Chen's four. But in the sixth, the Orioles put together some hits, including Tejada's 18th home run. And although he's given up four walks, Chen's only allowed three hits. He leads the Astros 3-0 in the 7th.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:08 PM
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Games
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Since Mussina's no-hit bid is over, I thought I'd move the no-hitter thread to a new post.
Update: With two out in the 6th, Ryan Freel lines an easy one into right center field for a single, ending David Wells no-hitter bid.
Update: With two out in the 6th, Chris Carpenter allows his first hit, a double by #9 hitter Russ Adams. Carpenter has nine strikeouts and is being very efficient tonight.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:29 PM
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Pitchers
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Hee Seop Choi smashes another home run in the top of the first to put the Dodgers up 1-0. He's now homered in four straight games, and has seven in that time frame.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:17 PM
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Sluggers
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Mike Mussina is battling two Wells tonight. In the Bronx, Mussina is facing Kip Wells and has retired 11 straight batters. In Boston, former Yankee David Wells set down the first nine he's faced. We'll see who can go longer without allowing a hit.
Update: Mussina strikes out Bay to end the inning. He used only six pitches to get the side in the fourth inning. He's averaging nine pitches an inning this game, and has thrown 27 of 37 pitches for strikes.
Update: Griffey grounds into a force play to end the 4th. Wells lost the perfecto but still has the no-no.
Update: Chris Carpenter also has a no-hitter through three, but he's walked a batter.
Update: Chris Carpenter allows nothing in the fourth. He has six strikeouts. Meanwhile, with two out in the 4th, Wells hits a batter.
Update: Daryle Ward gets the first hit for the Pirates with two out in the 5th, a scorcher down the right field line.
Update: They just showed a great comparison in the Cardinals-Blue Jays game. The broadcast put up side by side stills of Carpenter's arm angle on the curve and and the fastball. The arm angle is exactly the same. The only difference is how the ball is being released.
Wells gets his fifth strikeout as he retires the side in order in the fifth inning. Carpenter finishes the 5th as well without a hit, and has eight strikeouts.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:58 PM
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Pitchers
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There's a good article in the New York Times on trying to build a team in Coors Field. What the article makes clear is that no one has a clue how to do it. Dan O'Dowd states the big problem:
O'Dowd added that the altitude wore down players physically so that they must be rested more, but that the fatigue on starting pitchers forced relievers to work more.
Maybe in Denver you should be allowed to carry a 30-man roster. Leo Mazzone talks about what happens to pitchers:
Leo Mazzone, the Braves' pitching coach, said Hampton was in a state similar to shell shock when he left Colorado after two seasons and joined the Braves.
"He was trying to make the ball do way more than what it could do," Mazzone said. "That's what happens when you go to that place, and it's the reason why a lot of guys struggle. They overexaggerate everything to try to make it work. I don't really think it ever will."
The more I think about the Coors problem, the more I believe the Rockies can only win by being a super offensive team. They can't be content with hitters who look great at home but stink on the road. They need to find four of five superstars who will just pound the ball and push the team toward 8 runs a game at home. Then just hope the pitching can hang on. They need an infield of A-Rod, Tejada, Kent and Helton.
Posted by StatsGuru at 05:36 PM
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Stadiums
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Dusty Baker should have thought of this.
Estes battled intestinal problems throughout the day, but it didn't appear to zap his strength in the slightest in Chicago, where the White Sox, who own the best record in baseball, are 19-9.
"I kept hydrated all game, which really helped, and I didn't have any real stressful innings," Estes said. "For the most part, they were hitting the ball at our guys in the infield, and we were catching it. That's what it takes against a team like that. It helps when the ball is hit right at guys."
Posted by StatsGuru at 05:05 PM
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Pitchers
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The Astros and Orioles offer one of the best pitching matchups of the day as Andy Pettitte faces Bruce Chen. With four innings tonight, Andy will match his total for last season. The difference in health can be seen in his control; he's walked about 1/2 the batters he did last season. Chen's been giving the Orioles solid six inning performances. He hasn't gotten solid relief from the bullpen, however, who have given up 20 earned runs in 26 2/3 inning in relief of Bruce.
The Mets visit the site of their 1973 World Series defeat. Leading 3 games to 2, the Mets lost games six and seven in Oakland to hand the A's their second world championship in their run of three. Reggie Jackson went 4 for 8 in the two games and Hunter out pitched Seaver in game six.
It won't be Hunter and Seaver tonight as Tom Glavine faces Joe Blanton. Blanton's already given up 11 homers this year and has more walks than strikeouts. Glavine's allowed a .356 BA and a .481 slugging percentage with men on base this season.
Enjoy!
Posted by StatsGuru at 03:59 PM
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Matchups
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Dontrelle Willis picked up win number 11 last night, an easy 9-1 win over the Cubs. The Marlins played their 61st game last night, putting Dontrelle on a pace for 29 wins. One thing working in Dontrelle's favor is that he's gotten a decision in every start he's made. That's unusual these days. But he usually goes deep in his wins, lessening the chance of his bullpen blowing a game. With Al Leiter moving to the bullpen, I wonder if McKeon will start using a modified four man rotation, skipping the fifth stater when the team has a day off? That could get Willis a couple of more starts without wearing him out.
Correction: He beat the Cubs.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:05 AM
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Pitchers
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Close games were rare last night as the average score of the evening was 7.25-2.25. The closest game was Tampa Bay's 5-3 victory over the Brewers. The Devil Rays have won two in a row since Lou Piniella's ripping of upper management. In an indirect way, he ripped the players, basically telling them they're not very good. Maybe that message got through loud and clear.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:50 AM
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Games
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Vlad Guerrero's return meshed nicely with the gearing up of the Angels offense. After two lackluster months, LA/Anaheim picked it up in June, thanks mostly to Garret Anderson and Darin Erstad finding a groove. Erstad is actually on a 14 game hitting streak in which he's scored 15 and driven in 12. The new found pop makes the Angels 7-4 in June, and was in evidence as they trounced the Nationals 11-1 last night. The only Angels without hits were the late inning defensive replacements.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:42 AM
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Team Evaluation
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There seems to be some controversy about Barry Bonds' rehabilitation.
Barry Bonds' brief workouts might have been ill-advised and premature.
San Francisco Giants trainer Stan Conte told the San Jose Mercury News on Monday that the infectious-disease specialist treating Bonds recommended that the left fielder should avoid "significant-impact activities." Those activities include the light resistance and agility drills Bonds performed over the weekend. Robert Armstrong made the recommendation after reviewing Bonds' latest blood tests, MRI exam and X-rays.
Conte, however, told the paper that no final decision will be made on the sluggers' rehab until Armstrong consults with Arthur Ting, Bonds' primary physician. Conte told the newspaper that Ting "will make the determination on what Barry can do and what he can't do."
I appreciate that Bonds wants to get back quickly, help his team out of their funk, and persue Ruth and Aaron. I also appreciate that doctors tend to be very conservative with injuries and Bonds should know his own body best. But so far, he's pushed himself too much and each time he's ended up with a set back. Barry needs to find the quickest path back to health, and in this case, the slow, steady route might be the quickest.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:34 AM
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Injuries
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Benjamin Kabak compares Moneyball and 3 Nights in August.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:24 AM
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Books
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:13 AM
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Statistics
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June 13, 2005
Roy Halladay completes his fifth game of the season, a 4-1 victory over the Cardinals. No other AL starter has more than 2. He's now tied with Mark Mulder for the 2nd most complete games since the start of the 2003 season with 15. Livan Hernandez leads the majors with 18 in that time span.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:28 PM
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Pitchers
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Jason Lane added to his June power numbers with a two run homer against the Orioles. That gives him 12 hits in June, nine for extra bases, including four home runs. He's been the top slugger on the Astros this month, a month in which the team's had a good slugging percentage, .447 entering today.
Update: Ensberg adds a two-run shot, his fifth of the month. Depite the two homers, the Astros are down to the Orioles 7-4 in the 6th.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:56 PM
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Sluggers
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The Cubdom looks at how to measure how many fans a visiting team brings in to a ballpark, and finds it good to have the Red Sox come to town.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:52 PM
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Attendance
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When I'm using the comparison functions of the Day by Day Database, I've wanted to click on a player's name and see his log for that set of parameters. It's now coded and tested. You can try it here.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:39 PM
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Statistics
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Sean Kirst remembers Joe Kren. Joe was the last member of the Kren family, baseball bat manufacturers in Syracuse.
There was one catch. Legend can be a hard thing to prove. Joe said most famous ballplayers of his day were under contract to Hillerich & Bradsby, makers of Louisville Sluggers. If they preferred Kren bats, he said, they often used them on the sly, which is why so many people forgot about the Krens.
The quest led me to Dave Bushing, an Illinois bat collector with the proof to back up Joe. Bushing provided records from a 1930s court case between Hillerich & Bradsby and a smaller rival. Lou Gehrig, the baseball immortal, was called to testify. He was asked under oath if he knew of major leaguers who used different kinds of bats.
Sure, Gehrig said. Some players used Krens.
There's also a good anecdote about Sammy Sosa and corking. Well worth the read.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:12 PM
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Deaths
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The Philadelphia Phillies signed Jimmy Rollins to a long term contract. They will play him $40 million dollars from 2006-2010, with a club option for 2011. Is this a good deal?
The positives:
- Rollins is young. His seasonal age is 26. The Phillies will have him through the peak of his abilities.
- He has some pop. He's hit over 40 doubles the last two seasons.
- He's a good base stealer with a career stolen base percentage of 76%.
- He's okay defensively, especailly on balls in the air.
On the negative side, he has a poor on-base average. For his career, he's at .323. His career high was .348 in 2004.
Given that shortstops were signing over the winter for well over $10 million a year, the Phillies got a good deal. He can play the position, he can contribute to the offense, and the Phillies aren't overpaying. He's also been extremely healthy, playing over 150 games each of the last four seasons. Looks like a good move to me.
Posted by StatsGuru at 04:08 PM
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Transactions
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1975 Will be revisited in Boston tonight as the Red Sox host the Reds in a rematch of the World Series of that year. And things are shaping up to be a slugfest. The Reds lead the majors with 22 home runs in the month of June. Red Sox starter Matt Clement gave up just 1 homer in April, 1 in May, but 3 in June. Reds starter Eric Milton has served up 22 gopher balls this season, four more than any other pitcher.
On the West Coast, a battle of first place clubs as the Angels host the Nationals. Vlad Guerrero gets to visit with some of his old teammates on the team formerly known as the Expos. Vlad is 5 for 12 since his return from the DL, but without an extra-base hit. Junior Spivey has a great line since joining the Nats; 1 for 6 with three walks and a homer for a .444 OBA and a .667 slugging percentage.
Enjoy!
Correction: As pointed out in the comments, Vlad had 2 walks since his return from the DL.
Time is running out on the special offer at the Baseball Musings Ticket Store. Through June 16, 2005, save 5% with offer code bmintro. It's more than baseball tickets. You'll find seats for the NBA Finals, the upcoming NFL season as well as concerts and shows. Be sure to have a look and take advantage of this special offer.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:35 AM
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Matchups
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It looks like the Giants youth movement is underway. It's already happened in the pen, and now position players are being shuffled:
The Giants also planned to recall a position player from Fresno, probably an outfielder, and make a corresponding move with Marquis Grissom, perhaps another trip to the disabled list. They held off that decision after third baseman Edgardo Alfonzo sustained what head trainer Stan Conte termed a "fairly significant" right quadriceps strain running out a double-play grounder in the eighth inning.
Now, the front office might have to audible and bring up an infielder instead, although the club could move Pedro Feliz to third base and recall searing Fresno outfielder Todd Linden, whom the Giants will promote only if he can play every day.
At the same time, J.T. Snow said Sunday he was called into manager Felipe Alou's office last week and told Lance Niekro will get the majority of starts at first base, even against right-handed pitchers.
Furthermore, general manager Brian Sabean said any major trades he makes this summer likely would bring younger players who would have a future in San Francisco, rather than seasoned short-timers typically acquired for a playoff push.
I wonder what happens to Bonds in this scenario. This team was put together to try to win a World Championship this year or next. That's probably not going to happen now. Does Bonds stay with the Giants to just chase Aaron, or does he ask for a trade to an AL team so he can DH and save his knees, break the record and possibly win a World Series ring? Can you see Bonds in the Bronx?
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:01 AM
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The Cincinnati Reds are finally realizing their offensive potential this June. They're getting on base at a .369 clip and slugging an amazing .530 as a team this month. They have the most home runs in the majors this June:
| June 2005 | Home Runs |
| Reds | 22 |
| Phillies | 21 |
| Dodgers | 21 |
| Orioles | 18 |
| Diamondbacks | 18 |
Unfortunately, the pitching has gotten worse. A 6.49 ERA this month means the Reds are just 5-5. Still they were 10 games under .500 coming into June. One step at a time.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:48 AM
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Team Evaluation
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Tony Massarotti in the Boston Herald suggests the best course for the Red Sox this season may be to do nothing:
With the Red Sox now 62 games into their season, there are precisely seven weeks remaining until the annual July 31 trading deadline. That is the point by which Epstein must decide whether these Red Sox can again be championship material, whether they are worth parting with top prospects like Hanley Ramirez and Jon Papelbon.
If they are not, here is what Epstein should do:
Nothing.
``We're not afraid to trade prospects,'' Epstein said. ``But we take very seriously the impact players in our farm system can and will have on our major league team for years to come.''
After winning the championship last season, I thought it was possible for the Red Sox to let their free agents go and start building the team internally. Winning gave them the opportunity to step back and build for the long term. They could take three or four years to develop a strong, young core that could then be used to take them into contention for years in the future. But they decided to try to repeat.
And now they are in an interesting situation. They are in the race, but not one of the best teams in the race. If they make the playoffs, they can win with some good luck. There is no super team in the American League this season. So a small improvement in the Red Sox might lead to consecutive World Series victories.
But how much are they willing to spend for that? In New York, the answer would be anything. But the Yankees are now in a cycle of aging. Young players are traded for older stars. Older free agents are brought in to fill gaps. The team gets older, talent declines, injuries accumulate, and the team doesn't win. The Red Sox should avoid this. Sometimes it's better not to win this year if you believe you can win for the next decade.
So Massarotti's advice is good advice. The Red Sox no longer need to win now. They are fortunate to possess enought talent that even without moves, they may make the playoffs and win the series anyway. Theo needs to keep his eye on the long term success of the team.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:14 AM
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Team Evaluation
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Offense is still down from last year, but the gap is closing.
| Through 10 weeks | 2004 | 2005 |
| Runs Per Game | 9.6 | 9.2 |
| Home Runs Per Game | 2.2 | 2.0 |
The smaller gap from April is do to a fall off in last year's numbers, rather than an increase in 2005 offense.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:41 AM
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Offense
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:32 AM
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Statistics
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June 12, 2005
Glendon Rusch entered today with the best HR allowed per 9 innings in the National League. He had allowed just one dinger in 61 innings. No one told the Red Sox. Kevin Youkilis took him deep in the first, and Johnny Damon just added a solo shot of his own to make the score 2-0 Red Sox. Rusch still has not allowed a homer on the road this season.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:20 PM
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Games
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How long does Kirk Rueter pitch badly before the Giants decide he's no longer effective. Rueter's never been a great strikeout pitcher, but through 1998 he usually struck out twice as many as he walked. Since then, however, his strikeouts have been coming down. For the third season in a row, he's walking more than he's striking out. Today he walked four and struck out two to bring his season totals to 29 walks and 16 Ks. His ERA is up to 4.88 and he 2-5 after allowing the Indians five runs this afternoon. If this keeps up, his days as a major league pitcher are numbered.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:09 PM
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Pitchers
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Hee Seop Choi was much of the Dodgers offense today, hitting three solo home runs as the Dodgers defeated the Twins 4-3. I thought three homers at Dodger Stadium might be rare, so use the Day By Day Database to look at three home run games there since 1974. Today's was the 7th since the start of the 1974 season. Of the six preceeding three homer games, only one was accomplished by a Dodger; Shawn Green in 2001. Dave Kingman did it twice. The last was by Mike Lieberthal on Aug. 8, 2002.
Correction:Fixed the score.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:55 PM
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Sluggers
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Has Byung-Hyun Kim figured out how to pitch in Colorado? He's made consecutive starts in Coors going six innings and allowing two runs. He's struck out 15 and walked 3 in those two games. Does his unusual delivery indeed give him an advantage in the ballpark?
Posted by StatsGuru at 06:57 PM
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Pitchers
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It looks like Lou Piniella wants to get fired from his job in Tampa Bay.
The former Yankees, Reds and Mariners manager suggested he is tiring of constantly giving excuses for the Devil Rays' poor play. Their 20-42 record going into Sunday's games was the worst in the majors.
"I'm not going to take responsibility for this," Piniella said in pregame remarks to reporters. "If I had been given a $40 million or $45 million payroll, I'd stand up like a man and say it's my fault. Well, I'm not going to do it. So if you want answers about what's going on here, you call the new ownership group and let them give them to you."
Lou wants to win now. He's in his third year, and after a season of improvement in 2004 Lou doesn't want to slip backwards.
I happen to agree withe the new management group on this. The DRays were not building with the kind of hitters who are going to make a difference. Their youngsters tend to hit well but not get on base well. Until they change that philosophy, they're not going to win at all.
Posted by StatsGuru at 05:18 PM
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Management
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Roy Oswalt needed just minimal support today as he shutout the Toronto Blue Jays 3-0. Oswalt needed just 88 pitches to put down Toronto in a two hitter. Those two hits were all the Blue Jays earned all day as Oswalt faced just two over the minimum.
Roy does not have a win this year in a game in which he's allowed more that two runs. He has four losses in games in which he's allowed two runs or less.
Posted by StatsGuru at 05:00 PM
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Pitchers
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The Washington Nationals won again today, extending their winning streak to 10 games and extending their time in first place. The defeated the Mariners 3-2 for their 16th one-run win. That pushes them past San Diego for the most one-run wins in the NL, although the Padres have a better winning percentage (Washington is 16-7, SD 15-4). It's the fifth one run win of the streak.
Posted by StatsGuru at 04:30 PM
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Team Evaluation
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John Wasdin made a successful 2005 debut today, coming out of the bullpen to pitch four shutout innings and pick up a save. It says something about the state of the Rangers relief corps that Wasdin is in the majors. Wasdin best year was 1999. He went 8-3 with a 4.12 ERA pitching out of the pen. Since, his ERA was 6.10 coming into today.
Wasdin was perfect in relief, retiring all 12 batters he faced. He was efficient, using just 46 pitches to go the four innings. It's just what the Texas pen needed, as they've made 19 relief appearances in their last five games.
Posted by StatsGuru at 04:18 PM
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Pitchers
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Eric Chavez continues his hot June hitting today. He collected three more hits today througn five innings to bring his total for the month to 15. Two were for extra bases, a double and a homer. That brings his slugging percentage up to .892 for the month. He was in the low 300's in both April and May.
Update: Chavez is not 5 for 5 through eight innings and added another home run.
Posted by StatsGuru at 03:01 PM
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Sluggers
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The Nationals acquistion of Junior Spivey continues to pay dividends. Spivey drew three walks and scored two runs in his first two games with Washington. He hit his first home run for the Nationals this afternoon, giving them a 2-0 lead over the Mariners. He now has three at bats and three runs scored with D.C.
Posted by StatsGuru at 02:04 PM
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Players
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It seems a few players are not happy with Jack McKeon.
This season, as the Marlins have underachieved, no players have gone out of their way to bring their displeasures to my attention.
But after asking the same questions over and over — about a lack of timely hitting, about poor fundamentals — a different question brought some issues to light: Could Jack McKeon be part of the problem? That's when some players — certainly not a fair representation of the overall mood — opened up a bit.
They suggested the manager's abrasive approach might be making the players and staff uncomfortable and affecting their abilities to perform to their potential.
Three seasons appears to be about the limit on a McKeon tenure. In three of his four jobs, McKeon's best winning percentage came in his first year as a manager. Different managers have different abilities. Maybe if you have a team that's on the cusp of winning, Jack's the man to drive them to a winning record. But when a team is fading, McKeon is not the man you want to be around.
Posted by StatsGuru at 12:38 PM
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Management
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A nice matchup in New York today as John Lackey and the Angels face Pedro Martinez and the Mets. Pedro pitched very well against the Angels during his stay in Boston, accumulating a 9-1 record with a 2.12 ERA. Watch Lackey starting around the fourth inning. His opponents start hitting him for power then. Their batting average goes up 28 points in innings 4-6 compared to innings 1-3, but their slugging percentage goes up over 100 points. John may not be changing his pitching pattern enough the second time through the order.
The Royals at the Diamondbacks offers a very good pitching matchup as D.J. Carrasco faces Brandon Webb. Although the Royals lost 3 of his 5 starts, Carrasco's had only one bad outing. He's allowed just 2 runs in his last 21 innings. Webb's been pounded by lefties this season. They're hitting .313 against him with a .494 slugging percentage. Six of the seven homers he's allowed came off the bats of lefty batters. The Royals could start up to six lefties against Webb today.
Enjoy!
Through June 16, 2005, receive a 5% discount at the Baseball Musings Ticket Store with offer code bmintro.
Posted by StatsGuru at 11:28 AM
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Matchups
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It's difficult to get a handle on how good John Patterson is this season. John always has a good K per 9, averaging 8.5 strikeouts per 9 IP entering this season. The difference this year is that he's cut down on his walks and home runs. He was walking over four per nine before 2005 and allowing home runs at over 1.5 per 9. He's dropped his walks almost one per nine innings in 2005, and he's only allowed 1 home run in 60 1/3 innings this season.
The problem is, he's pitched a lot in his home park this season. He's made eight starts in RFK, only two on the road. RFK so far is reducing runs greatly; there are 7.5 runs per game scored in Nationals home games, 9.0 in Nationals road games. That's a park index of 83 (RPG Home/RPG Road), the fourth lowest in the majors (PETCO is the lowest at 66). There's no design here. It's been Patterson's luck that his spot in the rotation fell on home games and he missed a long road trip with an injury. But take his stats with a grain of salt; he hasn't pitched much in hostile enviornments. However, he pitched in a pretty extreme pitcher's park last year and did better on the road, so maybe it's real improvement.
Update: I thought you might be interested, so I put the table of park indexes in the extended entry.
Read More ?
| Team |
RPG Home |
RPG Away |
Run Index |
| SD |
7.125 |
10.73333 |
66.3819876 |
| LAD |
8.45714 |
11.42308 |
74.035594 |
| BAL |
8.3871 |
11.13333 |
75.3332046 |
| WSH |
7.46875 |
9.03333 |
82.6798893 |
| FLA |
7.94286 |
9.25 |
85.8687259 |
| KC |
9.43333 |
10.74194 |
87.8178178 |
| LAA |
8.11538 |
9.14286 |
88.7620192 |
| TEX |
9.72414 |
10.93548 |
88.9227952 |
| NYN |
8.19444 |
9.19231 |
89.1445839 |
| PIT |
8.09375 |
8.96429 |
90.2888446 |
| CLE |
7.625 |
8.38889 |
90.8940397 |
| TB |
10.86667 |
11.15625 |
97.4042951 |
| BOS |
10.46154 |
10.54286 |
99.2286846 |
| CHA |
8.37037 |
8.32353 |
100.5627536 |
| STL |
9.34375 |
9.27586 |
100.7318773 |
| CHN |
8.78125 |
8.71429 |
100.7684426 |
| SF |
9.79412 |
9.69231 |
101.0504202 |
| MIL |
8.44828 |
8.3125 |
101.6333938 |
| DET |
8.93103 |
8.76667 |
101.8749181 |
| SEA |
9.13793 |
8.58065 |
106.494685 |
| MIN |
8.86207 |
8.22581 |
107.7349561 |
| NYA |
10.58621 |
9.8125 |
107.884911 |
| CIN |
11.11765 |
10.2963 |
107.9771477 |
| HOU |
8.33333 |
7.7 |
108.2251082 |
| ATL |
9.03448 |
7.59375 |
118.9726125 |
| TOR |
10.03846 |
8.08333 |
124.1871531 |
| ARI |
11.0303 |
8.56667 |
128.7584011 |
| OAK |
10.32143 |
8 |
129.0178571 |
| PHI |
11.03125 |
8.48387 |
130.0261407 |
| COL |
11.93939 |
8.88889 |
134.3181818 |
Oakland isn't much of a pitcher's park this year.
? Close It
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:48 AM
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Pitchers
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Lots of things went right for the Pirates yesterday as they crushed the Devil Rays 18-2 to reach the .500 mark. Rookie catcher Ryan Doumit had a 3 for 5 day. Three of his four hits this season have gone for extra bases. Ward and Castillo combined to drive in nine runs. And Oliver Perez showed off his 2004 form, striking out 10 in seven innings. They're 9-3 on the current home stand and are just 3 1/2 games out of the wild card race. Lloyd McClendon has his sites set higher than a .500 record.
"All it means it that we've won half of our games," he said. "That's not our goal. I don't know if it's significant at all in June."
For a club that's wallowed in mediocrity since the departure of Barry Bonds, it's significant that they've reached this level. From 1993 on, Pittsburgh is 865-1070, a .447 winning percentage, fifth worst in the majors (KC, Milwauke, Detroit and Tampa Bay are worse). For the first time in a long time, Pirates fans have something to cheer about.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:08 AM
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Team Evaluation
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:46 AM
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Statistics
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June 11, 2005
Carlos Zambrano appears to have hurt his big toe. After singling in the bottom of the fifth, Carlos make a bad slide into second. He tried to warm up for the 6th, but came out of the game in favor of Wellenmeyer. Another ace may be down.
Update: It's a strained big toe. He'll have X-rays.
Posted by StatsGuru at 05:00 PM
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Injuries
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Randy Johnson is having a Randy Johnson game. Through five he's only allowed 3 hits while striking out six. All three hits are singles. More importantly, no runs crossed the plate. At 74 pitches, he should be able to go two or three more innings.
Posted by StatsGuru at 04:58 PM
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Pitchers
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David Ortiz just struck out on a wild pitch. He must have lost track of the outs, because with two outs and a man on first, you can run. He would have made it easily, but he never left the plate. He should get a kangaroo court fine for that.
Posted by StatsGuru at 03:56 PM
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Players
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Carlos Zambrano just struck Manny Ramirez out on three high fastballs. Each was a little above the strikezone, and Manny swung under each of them.
Update: Nixon has no trouble, launching one into left center for a three run blast.
Posted by StatsGuru at 03:26 PM
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Games
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The Yankees and Cardinals go at it again in St. Louis as two off season pickups face each other in a battle of lefties. Randy Johnson takes the hill against Mark Mulder. Johnson is not pitching badly but is certainly not dominant. In his last five outings, his time in the game is short,, his strikeouts are low, his hits allowed are high, and teams are scoring. Mulder hasn't been lights out either. He's had high moments (10 inning shutout) and low moments his last start against the Astros.
Two old lefties face each other in Miami as Kenny Rogers throws his league leading 1.62 ERA against the Marlins and Al Leiter. Rogers went seven innings in each of his last three starts, allowing 1 run in each. For Leiter, this is the first time in his career that he's had 20 or more innings pitched and walked more than he struck out.
The Best pitching matchup of the day is in Houston, where Toronto sends Gustavo Chacin against NL ERA leader Roger Clemens. Chacin ranks fifth in the AL in ERA, thanks to his ability to keep the ball in the park. He's allowed just four home runs this season and none in his last five starts. Clemens had his worst outing of the year in his last start, but won as the Astros finally gave him some run support. And as good as Chacin's been at keeping the ball in the park, Clemens has been better, allowing only three dingers all season.
Enjoy!
Through June 16th, get a 5% discount on tickets at the Baseball Musings Ticket Store with offer code bmintro.
Posted by StatsGuru at 11:33 AM
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Matchups
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Tom Elia sends this piece from last summer looking at which fans had it worst over the decades, Cubs or Red Sox.
Posted by StatsGuru at 11:15 AM
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Series
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I was watching Baseball Tonight on Tivo this morning, and Joe Torre took responsibility for the Yankees poor play. He said that it wasn't the batting coaches fault or the pitching coaches fault, it was his fault. His job is to have the players ready to play, and they weren't ready last night as a very sloppy game turned into an 8-1 loss to the Cardinals.
Now that Joe is responsible, what is to be done? How many closed door meetings can Torre hold with the team? Is Joe putting the best team on the field every day? Is making out the best batting order? Should his use of relievers be questioned? While Joe won't say if there's a problem with the batting or pitching coach, certainly it's Torre's responsibility to make sure the pitchign and batting coaches are improving the team.
Joe said exactly the right thing last night. But now he needs to show he can motivate these players; that he can find ways to make them improve, that he can prepare them for the game. If he doesn't, his job deserves to be on the line.
Posted by StatsGuru at 11:05 AM
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Team Evaluation
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My Daughter Thinks She's Kevin Brown
Permalink
I was sitting down to watch the White Sox play the Padres on Friday night when my daughter comes home from a going away party. She walks in to the TV room with a bag of ice on her wrist. It turns out the young man who is going away is a wrestler and very muscular. While my daughter takes about 15 minutes to tell the story (she takes after my mother that way) what basically happened was that the wrestler didn't think Melinda could hurt him. So he told her to punch him in the upper arm.
Now my daughter never saw Bull Durham. If she had, she might have used her left hand. But no, she wound up and hit him as hard as she could with the right. Everyone heard a crack. The wrestler didn't feel a thing.
So she's feeling pretty stupid, but she doesn't think it's broken. I'm looking at her hand, and it doesn't look swollen at first, then I notice it's swollen underneath. So I rotate the wrist 90 degrees to look and she lets out a scream. At that point we head for the ER. Three hours later she's being wrapped in a cast above the elbow. She broke a small but very important bone in the wrist. Luckily, she's not in a lot of pain. It's going to be very interesting watching her ballet recital next week. I hope to have pictures later.
Update: Here's a picture of the cast. She wouldn't let me take a picture of all of her. Click on the photo for a larger image.

Posted by StatsGuru at 09:29 AM
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Injuries
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:25 AM
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Statistics
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June 10, 2005
Poor Mike Maroth. He's not a great pitcher, but he got stuck on a really bad team two years ago and ended up with 21 losses. He's improved his ERA since then. Today he threw seven innings in Coors and allowed only two runs. Despite that, he's in line for the loss. Jamey Wright, with a 2005 home ERA of 8.02, threw 7 1/3 shutout innings against the Tigers this afternoon. They're in the bottom of the 8th, so the Tigers have one more chance to relieve Maroth of the decision.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:09 PM
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Games
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Greg Maddux can do it all. Not only did he hold the Red Sox to a field goal, but kicked an extra point! Maddux hit the fifth home run of his career and his first of this century off John Halama today. In the first game between the two clubs at Wrigley, the Cubs imitated the Bears, winning by a score of 14-6. Burnitz blasted two dingers for the Cubs. David Ortiz added two himself, accounting for half the Boston offense.
In their last 26 games, the Red Sox Starters have a combined ERA of 6.46. It's the 7th time in that span that a starter has allowed seven earned runs. Six different pitchers have done it, and this was the second time by Arroyo.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:54 PM
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The Washington Nationals were busy this afternoon, trading Ohka for Spivey and replacing the pitcher with the recently discarded Ryan Drese. Off the top of my head, this should be a good move for Drese. He's going to a pitcher's park in the NL; that should make it a little easier on him to post a good ERA. However, he's had most of his trouble away from Texas this season. In seven road starts, his ERA is over 9.
We'll see how it works out for the Nationals. Ohka has a good ERA despite walking more batters than he strikes out. Spivey is having an off year. If he gets his OBA back up to .350 he'll help the club overcome the Vidro injury. It looks like a provisional positive for the Nats.
Al Bethke has more on the trade from the Brewers side of things starting here. (Just go forward in time from that point.)
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:43 PM
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Transactions
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Horsefeathers reviews License to Deal. He likes it very much. I've received a copy and will be reviewing the book soon.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:36 PM
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Books
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Tim Kurkjian looks at the history of the series.
Posted by StatsGuru at 12:02 PM
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Matchups
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I need to hit the road, so a short and sweet GOTD today.
The big game of the day find the Boston Red Sox visiting the Chicago Cubs for the first time since the 1918 World Series. WGN is doing a special 1/2 hour lead in to the game called Return of the Red Sox (1:30 PM Eastern for those you receive the channel). It's a good matchup as Bronson Arroyo face Greg Maddux.
The Yankees visit the Cardinals this evening. St. Louis is the one NL team that's had success against New York long term in the World Series. They've won three of the five series contested between the two teams.
A battle of first place teams in the West as the White Sox visit the Padres. They're also the best teams in one-run games, so maybe it will be a close one.
Enjoy!
Through June 16, 2005, receive a 5% discount at the Baseball Musings Ticket Store when you use offer code bmintro.
Posted by StatsGuru at 06:55 AM
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Matchups
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 06:53 AM
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Statistics
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June 09, 2005
Florida continues to have offensive problems. The Mariners shut out the Marlins 8-0 tonight. Aaron Sele got the win, going seven inning before yielding to a perfect bullpen. Despite allowing five hits and a walk, the Mariner pitchers were just two batters over the minimum tonight as the Mariners infield turned four double plays. Interestingly, Flordia came into today leading the majors with 63 GDPs turned, while the Mariners were 29th in the majors with 34.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:28 PM
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This has to be a tough game to watch. The Devil Rays and Reds are in a walk fest this evening. The Red have drawn seven tonight. Luke Hudson, called up by Cincinnati to spell Aaron Harang has issued four of his own without striking out a batter. The Reds batters have added 13 hits through 5 1/3 innings to make the score 14-5 in favor of Cincinnati. Still a long way to go in that game.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:23 PM
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Games
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Livan Hernandez appears to be no worse for wear after his 150 pitch outing. He's thrown 102 pitches through six innings tonight and is shutting out the Oakland Athletics 4-0. He's thrown 62 strikes so far, walking 1 and striking out four. The A's are making him work, but are not getting anything for their effort. All six of their hits are singles.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:55 PM
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Some good news for the Braves, as it looks like Chipper Jones will not need surgery.
Chipper Jones avoided the worst-case scenario but still will be out of the Atlanta Braves' lineup for up to six weeks due to an injured left foot.
On Thursday, Jones met with foot and ankle specialist Dr. Robert Anderson in Charlotte, N.C., and the recommended treatment was against surgery, which would have sidelined the star third baseman for up to four months.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:27 PM
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Injuries
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Brian Giles hit his first home run at PETCO this season, a solo shot in the 6th inning. Entering today, Giles was slugging nearly 400 points higher on the road, .682-.295.
Posted by StatsGuru at 05:21 PM
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Sluggers
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Jose Lima was pitching well until he faced Noah Lowry in the fifth. With two outs, Lowry lifts a fat pitch down the left field line for a double. Tucker then blooped one into center that DeJesus got in his glove on a dive, but the ball didn't stay there. Another hit and an error, and now the score is 4-0. Bad luck for Lima, but he should have put the pitcher away with two out. Lima is losing his composure on the mound. No wonder his ERA is over 8.00.
Posted by StatsGuru at 05:02 PM
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So much for the Royals making more contact. Noah Lowry struck out six KC batters through four innings this afternoon. Emil Brown went down twice.
Posted by StatsGuru at 04:35 PM
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Ryan Drese was designated for assignment after another pitiful start.
On Wednesday afternoon, the Rangers designated Drese for assignment a day after he allowed five runs in 2 2/3 innings – raising his ERA to 6.46, which is third-worst in the AL. He was allowing hitters a .334 average, which is the worst in the league.
Drese, who declined to comment after shaking hands with teammates and wishing them luck, was placed on waivers. If unclaimed, he would be outrighted to Triple-A Oklahoma to work on regaining the movement on the sinker that helped him to a breakout season in 2004.
Drese earned 17 win shares last year, tied with Pedro Martinez. His decline is even stranger given the improvement of Kenny Rogers, Chris Young and Chan Ho Park. Whatever magic Orel worked with Ryan last year did not stick.
There's a chance another team will claim him off waivers. He sounds like a perfect project for Leo Mazzone.
Posted by StatsGuru at 03:31 PM
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Mark Simon, baseball researcher at ESPN and a great supporter of this site launched his own blog project recently. He's chronicling the Mets history of walk-off home runs at Mets Walkoffs and Other Minutiae. A great historical project. Read this post to discover who hit the first walk off for the Mets.
Update: This covers all Mets walk off wins, not just walk off homers.
Posted by StatsGuru at 01:51 PM
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Blogs
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Mom and coach Tracy Cooper sends this story about a great play made by her young son:
As I sat in the dugout waiting for our team to reach the final out of the inning, I kept thinking to myself, would I rather be in the stands cheering with the rest of the mothers and taking snapshots of memories or is this pressure really worth the results. The batter finally swings and it was like everything went into slow motion as the ball shot straight up in to the air. Now, I shouldn't be taking all this so seriously. These kids are only playing T-Ball and yet they are hitting off of the coaches pitches; rather fast I might add, because after all dads do take this game seriously. Some of them just completed kindergarten, like the catcher for example. I watched him raise up with strength and reach for his catchers mask with his right arm. I, and the other coaches stood up in our seats as well, pretending to mimic the catchers motions, as we knew what we wanted him to do, catch the ball. As he threw his mask to the ground, he looked straight up into the clouds and kept his eye on the ball never looking at the batter, never turning to the crowd and searching for mom or dad to see if they were watching. Oh, I was watching and I was praying and I was clinching my fists with anticipation. As the ball was dropping, ever so slowly, I saw the catcher kick his feet back up into the air and stretch his arm to the top point of home plate where he dove and met the ball with his glove. It was picture perfect. An instant snapshot that took forever to complete and yet I will remember it forever. Then I see this catcher, after the dust settled away, realizing that he had caught the ball. With the biggest smile he jumped up into the air shaking his glove with the ball still intact inside to share his excitement with the team and crowd. The coaches and parents began jumping up for joy and waving their arms in the air sharing this elated moment with the rest of the team.
Later that night, at home, while watching Baseball tonight on ESPN, my son looked over at me and said "Hey mom... Do you think my catch today at home plate was good enough to make it into the top ten web gem hall of fame?" Makes me wish I would've had my video camera.
Posted by StatsGuru at 01:46 PM
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Defense
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Andy Pettitte makes a New York start this evening in a battle of veteran lefties. Tom Glavine opposes the former Yankee at Shea as the Mets host the Astros. Pettitte is pitching well, allowing under 2 walks per nine innings and less than a home run per 9. Of course, like Clemens, the Astros aren't scoring for Andy either, leading to his 3-6 record. Imagine what Pettitte and Clemens could do for the Yankees this year!
Piazza's wrist does not appear to be badly injured, but it's not clear when he'll play again. The Mets have a number of players on day-to-day status, so don't look for a lot of substitutions this evening. Glavine's season can be divided into two parts; through May 8th he was 1-4 with a 6.87 ERA. Since he's been 3-1 with a 2.16 ERA. Glavine cut his walks from 5.9 per nine in the early period to 1.4 per 9 in his last five starts.
The Twins go for a sweep of the Diamondbacks tonight in Phoenix as they send Kyle Lohse against Javier Vazquez. Lohse is pitching well after a terrible start. In his last six games he's posted a 2.70 ERA, lowering his ERA from 6.25 to 4.45. Vazquez, after a stretch of not giving up any long balls, he's allowed three in his last two starts. The Phillies got four runs off homers in Javier's last outing.
Enjoy!
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Posted by StatsGuru at 12:20 PM
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Matchups
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Ken Williams is not trying to trade Carl Everett, but he's not not trying to trade Carl Everett.
A short stroll Wednesday from the hotel to Coors Field gave White Sox general manager Ken Williams an opportunity to let Carl Everett know he's not being shopped to other teams.
"I told him, `No. 1, don't start packing your bags, listening to the rumors,'" Williams said of his talk with Everett, who lost his full-time designated hitter duties with the return of Frank Thomas but started in left field Wednesday.
"`There's nothing on the horizon anywhere. No. 2, if there's something that made sense, you know me. But it would have to make real sense for us, short term and long term."
So if you want Carl Everett, give Ken a call. More importantly, Williams can really try to improve the team:
In assessing the trade market, Williams said he had the authorization to increase the Sox's player payroll, which is slightly above $75 million.
"If there's a special player who comes available and we see him as a fit, and [club Chairman] Jerry Reinsdorf is happy about our start as well as anyone, we're not going to be afraid to go down those roads," Williams said.
The White Sox are one of a handful of teams whose fans should no longer be kept waiting for a championship. They haven't won the World Series since 1917 and have not been particularly cursed. They just never developed any power hitters until Baines and Thomas came along. The time is ripe to great the bank and go for the all the marbles.
Posted by StatsGuru at 11:16 AM
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Players
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Graham Knight runs two good sites, that while not blogs, are a great resource for information. Red Sox Connection features links to everything you'd like to know about the Boston team. Baseball Pilgrimage tells the stories of his visits to ballparks around the country. Stop by and say hi.
Posted by StatsGuru at 11:01 AM
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Baseball
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In The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, Douglas Adams explains why the Guide is more popular than the Encyclopedia Galactica:
First, it is slightly cheaper; and second, it has the words DON'T PANIC inscribed in large friendly letters on it's cover.
I get the feeling John Schuerholz and Bobby Cox each carry around a copy:
The Braves put a starting lineup with four rookies on the field for Wednesday night's game against the Los Angeles Angels, causing Schuerholz to wisecrack about his Class AAA team, "There's a fear we may have to cancel our Richmond schedule."
Other teams that have not been through a calamity of injuries in a tight division race might be in a full-blown sweat. But the Braves do not sweat; they shrug. They have navigated through injury-marred seasons before and managed to keep intact their streak of consecutive division titles, which is at 13, not including the 1994 strike season.
...
"I don't remember any year where there have been this many," Schuerholz said when asked about the trapdoors opening under his team. "We've had to manage ourselves through roster crises before. We've had minor leaguers come to us before, and they have been expected to contribute and they have, but it's been one or, at the most, two."
...
They are also benefiting from the steady hand of manager Bobby Cox, who refuses to allow any sense of panic about the injuries. When asked Wednesday about the rash of injuries, Cox said, "We had more last year," and closed the discussion.
The loss of Chipper Jones is extremely rough on the offense. But Furcal and Andrew Jones are in a year-long slump. Those two getting on base more will go a long way toward improving the Braves run scoring. One doesn't make a lot of money betting against Schuerholz and Cox. However, if they keep bringing in players like Mondesi, Jordan and Kolb, it may be the time to do just that.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:35 AM
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Last night's performance by Johan Santana is what we've come to expect from the Cy Young award winner. Nine inning, nine strikeouts, no walks, no runs. It's not that Santana is pitching badly this year; it just seems like he's giving up more runs than he should. His DIPS ERA confirms this. He should be dominant rather than very good.
The difference between this year and last is that Santana is allowing hits with men in scoring position. In 2004, opponents hit just .165 with men in scoring position, slugging a mere .264. This year they're hitting .276 and slugging .483. So not only are they getting more hits, but they're driving runners futher with power. It's not a very big sample; it's offered as an explanation. Good luck in this situation brought him an award last year. Poor luck this season might put it in other hands.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:19 AM
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Games
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Is there reason to be hopeful in Kansas City? The Royals offense is showing signs of life under Buddy Bell, and KC won its sixth game in eight tries under the new manager last night.
| Royals 2005 | Through May 30 | Under Bell |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 | 4.6 |
| Batting Average | .246 | .295 |
| On-Base Average | .304 | .345 |
| Slugging Percentage | .387 | .451 |
It's interesting that a 50 point increase in batting average leads to only a 40 point increase in OBA. Are the Royals making more contact? They're striking out a little less under Bell, about 1 less per 100 AB. My guess is that they are being more aggressive at the plate, probably swinging at pitches earlier in the count. So far, it's working for them.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:34 AM
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Team Evaluation
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Alex Rodriguez reached the 400 home run plateau last night, lacing his second shot of the game in the 8th inning against the Brewers. The New York Times publishes in their side bar the youngest to reach 400. A-Rod beats Griffey by 190 days. Although that's not really fair. Ball players don't play all year, so there can be big gaps through no fault of the player. He's also the first player to reach 400 at seasonal age 29, which is a better comparison.
Notice, too, that Alex is two years ahead of Aaron. Hank needed an unprecedented finish to his career to catch Ruth. A-Rod just needs to stay healthy and have a few more big years before he starts coasting. The five players between Rodriguez and Hammerin' Hank failed to reach the record. It's A-Rod's turn now.
Also note that the three men to reach 700 aren't very high on the list. Aaron, Ruth and Bonds were always great home run hitters, but each attained 700 with a late career surge. In the five years from seasonal age 35 to 39, Ruth hit 192 home runs, Aaron 203 home runs, and Bonds 258! A-Rod can easily hit 200 home runs over the next five years. He then only need to smack another 156 at that point to catch Aaron. How easy it looks, but how difficult it is to achieve.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:35 AM
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Sluggers
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 06:56 AM
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Statistics
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June 08, 2005
If you missed tonight's show, you can hear the recorded version here. It's also available on demand at TPSRadio.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:30 PM
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Podcasts
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With the Orioles down 3-1 in the bottom of the eighth, the Pirates loaded the bases with no one out. Lee Mazzilli brings in the his closer, B.J. Ryan to shut down the Bucs and keep the Orioles in the game. It's a great move, one that I wish more managers would make. Bring your best pitcher into a tough situation. Unfortunately, Ryan didn't get the memo that he's the team's best reliever. He immediately throws a wild pitch, then gives up a single to allow two more to score. But they're not his runs, so why should he care? It's Todd Williams who'll see the big jump in his ERA tomorrow.
If all you can do is start the ninth with the bases empty and get three outs, it seems to me you shouldn't be that richly rewarded. Getting out of a really tough situation with little damage strikes me as a much more valuable skill.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:21 PM
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Alex Rodriguez joins Al Kaline and Andres Galarraga as a member of the 399 home run club with his 18th of the season.
Alex now has about six weeks to hit his 400th home run before he turns 30. That's an amazing accomplishment. Also, this sets him up for a good run at Aaron's record. Let's be conservative and say he ends the season with 420 career home runs. He'll be 335 from the record. That's 10 years hitting about 33 homers. A couple of years of hitting 50, and he knocks a year off reaching that mark. As we've seen lots can happen between now and then. Ken Griffey Jr. had 398 home runs through seasonal age 29 (the 1999 season). We saw how he fell apart. Even Bonds, as close as he is to the record might not reach it. But with Sosa fading, my money is on Alex.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:09 PM
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Sluggers
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Mike Piazza had to leave the Mets game after the top of the first after taking a foul ball off his left wrist. Piazza's bat was hot lately, so this could be a big blow to the Mets if it turns out to be serious.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:54 PM
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Injuries
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Just a reminder the Baseball Musings Radio Show on TPSRadio is coming up in about an hour. Feel free to send along a question for me to answer on the air in the comments. You can get details of how to listen here.
Posted by StatsGuru at 06:56 PM
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The trading deadline is a month and a half away, but the Phillies and the Tigers got the ball rolling today. The Phillies send Placido Polanco to the Tigers for Ugeth Urbina and Ramon Martinez (no, not that Ramon Martinez). Palanco can play all three infield positions and is doing a good job getting on base this season. If he can keep that up, the Tigers improve greatly at 2nd base offensively, where their hitters have a combined OBA of .271.
Urbina is doing what a relief pitcher should do, striking out lots of batters. He has 31 in 27 1/3 innings. That gives the Phillies a great 1-2 combination of Urbina and Wagner, and should help the team shorten games to seven innings. The move should also improve the Phillies 5.68 ERA from the bullpen, 14th in the NL.
Looks like a good move for both teams. The Phillies had a comparative advantage in offense at 2nd base, the Tigers had a comparative advantage in relief pitching, so interleague trade occured. Economists will be very happy. :-)
Posted by StatsGuru at 04:57 PM
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Trades
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The Cubs bullpen made the 2-0 score stand up. Hollandsworth provided the offense, driving in one of the runs and scoring the other. Derrek Lee added his 18th double of the season to bring his extra-base hit total to 35. Lee is on a pace for over 100 extra-base hits this season, an impressive total in any era.
Posted by StatsGuru at 04:40 PM
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So far, Sergio Mitre has more hits (1) and score more runs (1) than the entire Blue Jays team. He's retired all 13 batters he's faced so far, while doubling and scoring.
Update: The Blue Jays get their first hit on an infield chopper.
Update: Mitre pitches a fine game, going seven innings and allowing just two hits and a walk. He's leading 2-0. Halladay is lifted for a pinch hitter, so the Jays have to score three here in the eighth if Roy is going to have a chance at his tenth win.
Posted by StatsGuru at 03:17 PM
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The weekly Baseball Musings radio show will be on TPSRadio tonight and every Wednesday at 8 PM EDT. Check out their other sports programming as well. You can listen at any one of these links:
You can also call in at 888-985-0555 and leave a question for the show, or stop by the chat room at TPSRadio during the broadcast and leave a comment. Also, feel free to leave a question in the comments to this post and I'll be happy to answer them on the air.
Posted by StatsGuru at 03:14 PM
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The Hardball Times team stats page is chock full of interesting information. For offenses, it includes batting average on balls in play. Which team is leading the American League in that category? The Tampa Bay Devil Rays at .323. Which team is leading the AL in batter strikeouts? The Tampa Bay Devil Rays with 367. They're also near the bottom of the league in walks, which means they're not being selective at the plate (Boston strikes out a lot and walks a lot, so it can be done).
It seems to me the DRays are a team of pent up offense. They hit the ball hard (high line drive percentage) but not often enough. Lou should sit the team down and explain to them that if they just make contact more, they'll lead the league in hitting. Somehow, he needs to convice them to lay off the balls out of the strike zone. If that happens, you'll see the Tampa offense jump to the top of the league in runs scored.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:37 AM
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Team Evaluation
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Roy Halladay and Dontrelle Willis each attempt to become their league's first ten game winner today. Halladay gets the first shot, as the Blue Jays go for the sweep vs. the Cubs at Wrigley. Roy is on a five game winning streak in which he's posted a 0.68 ERA. He's allowed no home runs in his last four starts. He'll face Sergio Mitre. The youngster is not striking out batters this season; just 6 in 17 innings. The balls in play are finding holes as he's allowed the opposition a .325 batting average.
Willis faces the Mariners and Gil Meche. The Marlins are 2-11 over their last 13, including 5 one-run losses. They've been outscored 70-40 over that streak. Willis makes his third start of this downturn; he's 1-1 in the period, and could have won both games.
The best pitching matchup of the day is in Atlanta, where the Braves send Tim Hudson vs. the Angels' Kelvim Escobar. Hudson has pitched his best at Turner Field his season, allowing a 2.34 ERA vs. 3.93 on the road. He's allowed fewer baserunners and less extra-base hits at home despite facing more batters there. Escobar is making just his 7th start for the Angels, but in his previous six he's struck out 43 batters. Among pitchers with 36 innings, only Johan Santana strikes out more per 9 innings.
Enjoy!
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Posted by StatsGuru at 08:58 AM
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Matchups
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The AL Central swept the NL West last night. The matchups featured close games, blow outs and come from behind victories.
The Chicago White Sox pitcher don't seem to have a bit of trouble in Coors field. For the second night in a row, they kept the Rockies at bay, winning a 2-1 decision. It's Chicago's 19th win in 1-run games, most by far in the majors. Contreras pitched six fine innings, allowing five hits and two walks. The real stars were Cotts and Hermanson, however, who combined for three perfect innings with five strikeouts.
The Twins battled back from a 4-0 deficit, and the Diamondbacks battled back from an 8-5 deficit before the Twins finally won 9-8. The good news for Twins fans was that Joe Mauer started and played the whole game. The bad news is that he went 0-5. Morneau pinch hit and stayed in the field, so they're getting better. Torii Hunter was the start last night, banging out four hits and scoring four runs, including the winning run. He missed the cycle by one base, hitting two homers instead of a triple.
Lee and Lawrence battled it out early for the Indians and Padres, pitching 7 and 8 scoreless innings respectively. Lee brought power, striking out nine in his seven innings, while Lawrence used his defense, striking out only one and walking none. Both allowed five hits. The Indians got to Tevor Hoffman with three hits in the 11th, although Khalil Greene's error led to the runs scoring. Without that, they might still be playing. Cleveland wins 2-0.
The Tigers were strong late in the game scoring six unanswered runs from the sixth inning on and getting four no-hit innings from the bullpen in an 8-4 victory over the Los Angeles Dodgers. Ivan Rodriguez continues to show no ill effects with the bat from his broken hand, going 4 for 5 with his 5th home run of the season.
The Royals are now 5-2 under Buddy Bell after drubbing the Giants last night 8-1. They scored three times in the first inning and kept the runs coming. D.J. Carrasco continues to keep runners from crossing the plate. He doesn't strike out many, but compared to the last two seasons he's cut his walk totals and home runs allowed. He need 111 pitches last night for the first complete game of his career.
Kirk Rueter showed what happens when the opposition puts the ball in play against even an okay defense. Twenty two of the twenty three batters he faced made contact, and nine of those balls fell for hits. It's a .409 batting average. The Giants have now lost 10 of 11. In that time, they've scored 38 and allowed 78. When you're that bad on both sides of the ball, there's not much you can do to fix the team quickly.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:26 AM
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:19 AM
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Statistics
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June 07, 2005
Whatever Frank Robinson did to Nick Johnson's swing this spring worked like a charm. Johnson had a two-run homer and a double tonight as he provided all the offense in the Nationals 2-1 victory over the Athletics. Johnson collected his 24th and 25th extra-base hits, raising his slugging percentage to .552. Along with a .453 OBA, Nick now has a OPS over 1.000. He's having the kind of season that people hoped to see when he came up through the Yankees system.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:03 PM
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That's how the Pittsburgh announcer described the Pirates' 6-5 win over the Orioles this evening. The Orioles scored 1 run in each of innings 2-6 for a 5-0 lead. But the Pirates cut the lead to 5-2 in the bottom of the 6th, then homers by Ward and Jack Wilson in the 8th put the Bucs up 6-5. With one out and Palmeiro on first in the ninth, Chris Gomez grounded to the shortstop Wilson, who made a low throw to Castillo at 2nd. Castillo made a terrific pivot to catch Gomez at first and end the game.
The Pirates are now 7-4 on this home stand against teams that came into their ball park in first place. They were 6-12 at home before these series.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:40 PM
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The St. Louis Cardinals got to Matt Clement early and often this evening, scoring seven runs in the first three innings. He's lifted for a pinch hitter after the fourth, making this the shortest outing of his career vs. the Cardinals.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:34 PM
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Pedro Martinez finishes off the game and the Astros allowing just two hits as the Mets win 3-1. He allowed just two hits and a walk while striking out 12.
Pedro pitches were moving tonight. He threw pitches that dived in the strikezone, or started out inside and broke back over the plate. He mixed speeds well, throwing 90+ fast balls and 70 mile an hour breaking balls. Just a stellar Pedro performance.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:26 PM
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Pitchers
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The Yankees are down 2-0 in the fifth thanks to a homer by Bill Hall. The Brewers shortstop also has a double in the game and has raised his slugging percentage to .527. Jeter and Womack have the only two hits for the Yankees off Ben Sheets.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:22 PM
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Games
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Chris Burke takes a hanging curve ball from Pedro over the left field fence to break up the no-hitter and the shutout with one out in the 7th. It's Burke's first major league home run; that's going to be a great story to tell his grand children. More importantly, it's now a 2-1 game in favor of the Mets. With Pedro's low pitch count, he should be able to go deep in the game.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:44 PM
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Pedro retires the side in order in the 6th. Since variety is the spice of life, he did it with a fly ball, a ground ball, and his 6th strikeout. He's only thrown 63 pitches, 45 for strikes.
Update: Here's Pedro's line from the game in which he threw nine perfect innings before giving up a hit in the tenth. It was 10 years and four days ago.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:34 PM
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Pedro retired the side in order in the fifth and still has not allowed a hit. The Mets, of course, have never thrown a no-hitter. Martinez has five strikeouts.
Update: Pedro singles leading off the bottom of the fifth. He now has more hits than the Astros tonight. :-)
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:17 PM
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The Mariners-Marlins game is scoreless in the fifth inning. This game features two third basemen having terrible years; Adrian Beltre and Mike Lowell. Both have on-base averages below .300 and slugging percentage below .350. But the Marlins are dealing with this by moving Lowell down in the order where he'll do less damage. He's batting 7th tonight. He started in the 5th slot, spent time in the 6th slot, and now bats 7th. Beltre, on the other hand, bats third every day. He's a huge weight pulling down that batting order. It's time to switch Ibanez and Beltre until Adrian starts hitting again.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:03 PM
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Players
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Jeff Bagwell underwent surgery on his shoulder, and can't resume baseball activity for three months. I take that to mean he won't be back this season.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:53 PM
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Injuries
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I shouldn't get that excited when a pitcher has retired the first nine batters. But this is Pedro Martinez pitching to the Houston Astros. The Astros have the lowest batting average in the National League, making them a great candidate for a no-hitter. The probability of a team that hits .242 going 0 for 27 is .00056. Against Pedro, who has allowed a .154 BA through three tonight, it's probably even higher.
Update: Pedro walks the first batter of the 4th on four pitches.
Update: Pedro gets the double play, so he's still faced the minimum.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:45 PM
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Sammy Sosa should take Dave Williams with him to the home run derby. Sammy just hit his 6th career homer off Williams. He's now 8 for 13 vs. Williams with eight walks. The Pirate lefty might be better off walking Sammy every time up. The Orioles lead the Pirates 1-0 on the 2nd inning blast.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:24 PM
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Sluggers
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The Cubs offense is underperforming by about .4 runs per game this season. They've scored 255 runs, but the runs created formula puts them at 279 runs. That's the biggest negative difference in the majors. Why? The big culprit appears to be how they've hit with the bases loaded. The Cubs have been consistent with runners on, bases empty, or with men in scoring position, but with the bases juiced they fall off the table. While they don't have the worst BA in that situation, their lack of power (8 total bases) has led to only 15 RBI in that situation, the lowest in the majors. A few more hits with the bases loaded and they'd be right where they belong in scoring runs. Burnitz is the big culprit, going just 1 for 7 when the Cubs have loaded the bases for him.
As an aside, notice how batting averages for teams with the bases loaded are skewed toward the extremes? It's seems most teams are above .300 or below .220. Not a bell curve at all.
Posted by StatsGuru at 05:35 PM
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Offense
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Not much new information on Estrada, but he's been released from the hospital and will miss tonight's game.
Posted by StatsGuru at 02:59 PM
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Injuries
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The first round of draft picks can be found here. Thirteen pitchers taken with the first 30 picks, none with the first five. The first high school pitcher was taken 16th overall by Florida. I'm not up on the draft at all. I'm more interested in who actually becomes a major leaguer than who might become a major leaguer. But John Sickels has it all covered for you.
Update: From the Sickels comments, it looks like Baseball America got the first 18 picks right. What a great job!
Posted by StatsGuru at 02:52 PM
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Draft
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The pitching matchup of the night takes place in New York where Roy Oswalt is scheduled to battle Pedro Martinez. Oswalt, like Clemens, is sometimes lacking in run support. Three times he's made starts in which the Astros were shutout, and once they scored just a single run. Pedro is on a Pedro roll, allowing just two runs in his last 23 innings while striking out 25 and walking just 1.
The Angels and Braves face off tonight in Atlanta, each without the services of their big slugger. Chipper Jones went on the DL yesteray. Wilson Betemit is filling in, and is off to a good start in June at 9 for 18. Garrett Anderson and Dallas McPherson picked up the power since Vlad's injury, each contributing eight extra-base hits since 5/21. McPherson batted just .218 before Guererro went down, .276 since with an excellent slugging percentage.
The battle of the Interleague Wild Cards takes place in Phoenix where the Diamondbacks host the Twins. Brad Radke will face Shawn Estes. Estes pitched one game this year in which he didn't walk a batter; Radke hurled nine such games. Morneau and Mauer returned against the Yankees, but neither are 100%. Mauer can pinch hit and Morneau can play the field. They'll be evaluated today and may be in the starting lineup.
Enjoy!
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Posted by StatsGuru at 09:08 AM
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Freddy Garcia turned in one of the great performances in the history of Coors Field last night. He allowed three runs, but only gave up two hits and a walk. All three runs scored on a homer to Hawpe in the first. Garcia then retired 22 straight batters, striking out ten, until he was lifted after the 8th inning.
The White Sox offense offered plenty of support. The scored nine runs without a lot of power. Konerko did homer, but 11 of the 15 hits went for singles. It's the curse of playing the outfield in Coors; if you play deep to prevent extra-base hits, singles drop in. Play shallow, and the ball is over your head for a double or triple.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:08 AM
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There are a lot of good things to say about the Milwaukee bullpen. Matt Wise is 5th in the NL in relief ERA at 1.84. He shut down the Yankees with two perfect innings, striking out three. He's now struck out 30 in 29 1/3 innings. That's a great ratio for a reliever, and especially for a setup man. Derrick Turnbow saved another last night, giving him 9 in 11 opportunities. He's struck out 26 in 24 2/3 innings. That's a nice 1-2 punch at the end of the game. On top of that, Julio Santana has not allowed an inherited runner to score this season. The Brewers pen is 3rd in the league in ERA, and third in K per 9. The Yankees found out just how good they were last night, drawing just 1 walk among the ten batters they sent to the plate vs. the firemen.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:46 AM
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:08 AM
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June 06, 2005
John Smoltz gave up 13 hits to the Angels tonight as the Braves lose 4-2. It's the 2nd most hits Smoltz allowed in a game; he gave up 14 on 4/20/1997 at Colorado.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:21 PM
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It's Randy Johnson vs. Doug Davis, but Davis is ahead in strikeouts so far. He has eight through five innings, while Johnson has five. Davis loaded the bases with walks to the first three batters in the fifth, but struck out Posada and induced a ground ball from Giambi that led to a double play. He's thrown 109 pitches, so it's not clear how much longer Davis will be throwing.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:03 PM
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Miguel Tejada extended his AL lead in extra-base hits tonight, picking up a double and a homer against the Pirates to give him 36 long hits on the season. It's his eighth multi-extra-base hit game. That ties him with Derrek Lee for the ML lead in that category.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:31 PM
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The Rockies rookie second baseman Clint Barmes is going to be out for three months with a broken collar bone. Talk about freak injuries:
In an interview Monday, Barmes said he was returning home the previous night with groceries cradled in his left arm and a sweat shirt in his right hand. He got tired of waiting for the elevator and decided to take the stairs to his fourth-floor apartment.
"I figured, I'm an athlete, I can walk up the stairs, it's not that big a deal," he said. "Obviously, if I had to go back, I would have waited, or at least been a bit more careful going up."
Barmes said when he felt himself slipping, he dropped the sweat shirt and tried to grab onto the railing. Next thing he knew, he had landed directly on his shoulder. Once in his apartment, he said it didn't feel too bad, but he moved it around, felt some cracking and knew something was wrong.
Although they are touting him as rookie of the year in the article, Barmes good number were all a Coors effect. He was batting 135 points higher at home with a similar rise in this OBA, and his slugging percentage was close to .300 points higher at Coors. One look at his road numbers and you'd think ultility infielder rather than ROY. The Rockies need to find players who can be senational on the road as well as at altitude.
Posted by StatsGuru at 06:34 PM
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Injuries
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It looks like there's going to be a shake up in Cincinnati. Red Reporter has the details, including this quote from Reds COO John Allen:
Asked why he was in Denver instead of general manager Dan O'Brien, he said, "Dan is just a notch above the food chain, while everybody knows I represent Mr. Lindner and ownership and we want it known it goes all the way to the top that we're concerned."
It looks like Steinbrenner isn't the only owner who knows how to rattle his team.
Posted by StatsGuru at 04:40 PM
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Management
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The Phillies almost pulled off a huge comeback in the bottom of the ninth inning. Down 10-4, they scored four runs, with Utley driving in two with a two out single on a 3-2 count. They had the tying runs on base when pinch hitter Todd Pratt struck out to end the game. Another reason you should stick around to the end of every game!
Shawn Green had a rare power day on the road, collecting a double, triple and four RBI in four at bats this afternoon. That raises his road slugging percentage to .375, pretty low for a once good power hitter. After two seasons with LA in the high .500's, Green dropped to .460 and .459 in 2003 and 2004. He's at .395 for the season after today game.
I thought Bank One Ballpark would make up for some of that difference. This year, the slugging percentage in the BOB is .463, but only .397 in Arizona road games (through yesterday). Green is below average in both places, slugging just .411 at home. It looks like his power is following a similar track to Don Mattingly's, only at an age three years later.
Posted by StatsGuru at 04:15 PM
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Joe Sheehan at Baseball Prospectus (subscription required) compares Cal Ripken and Miguel Tejada through age 29. To his surprise, Ripken blows Tejada out of the water on both sides of the ball.
That Miguel Tejada isn't a match for Cal Ripken doesn't tell us much more than that I shouldn't get column ideas from half a radio interview. The lesson we can take from this, however, is that the difference between pre-1993 baseball and post-1993 baseball is something to be taken seriously. We pay lip service to the notion that players who played in the high-offense era have to have their accomplishments put into context, but as you can see, the run environment of the two eras is so different that it can make players who weren't comparable seem so.
Their OBA's should have really tipped people off. Ripken had a .347 OBA from the start of his career through 1990, his age 29 year. Tejada's OBA in the same age period (through yesterday, actually) was .337.
More than that, the MLB OBA from the day Ripken started to the end of the 1990 season was .324. For Tejada, the MLB average is .336. So Ripken was well above average in OBA, while Tejada was just average.
Posted by StatsGuru at 03:01 PM
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Larry Borowsky writes that the St. Louis Post-Dispatch has embraced VORP. Their lead columnist, Bernie Miklasz, used it today to compared Renteria and Eckstein. Larry is excited and rightly so.
During spring training, sports writers maintained blogs for both the Nationals and Reds. I noticed in reading those that there was a lot of talk about on-base average, especially in regards to lead-off hitters. It would have been rare to see that 20 years ago.
It's a great example of Kuhn's theories in The Structure of Scientific Revolutions. Basically, young people discover something new, and older folks who have a lot invested in the old idea are very slow to accept it. But younger people have no such investment, and they adopt the new idea quickly. As the old guard dies off, the new theory becomes the accepted one.
So now people my age (45) are taking charge of the sports desk. Like me, they were raised on Bill James and his successors. They start from batting average not being good enough, and are more willing to look at new stats. It takes time, but someday things like VORP will be as common place as batting average.
Posted by StatsGuru at 02:06 PM
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As Adam Villani points out in the comments to this post, if the playoffs started today, the Washington Nationals and the two team formerly known as the Senators would all make the playeroffs. If Washington ends up playing either Texas or Minnesota in the World Series, I wonder if they'll do a turn back the clock day and have the AL team wear an old Washington Senators uniform for one of the games?
Posted by StatsGuru at 01:48 PM
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Division Races
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The NL East race is the closest I've seen in quite some time. All five teams are over .500, and 1 1/2 games separate the top team, Washington, from the bottom, the Marlins. The Phillies try to gain ground once again this afternoon as they host the Diamondbacks in the last game of their four game series. Brandon Webb will try to prevent the sweep and keep the Diamondbacks in second place in the NL West. Webb's control has returned this season. After walking 119 in 2004 and allowing a .353 OBA, he's only walked 22 so far this year and his OBA allowed is .321.
He'll face Cory Lidle. The Phillies have only lost one of Lidle's starts since April 25. Over those eight games, Lidle has only allowed 12 walks and 3 home runs.
The big game of the evening is the World Series rematch between the Boston Red Sox and the St. Louis Cardinals. The Cardinals are once again the class of the NL, but the surging Cubs are cutting into their once comfortable lead. The Red Sox have work to do to get to the playoffs; they are second in the division and third in the wild card race.
Tim Wakefield faces off against Matt Morris. Wakefield isn't throwing the knuckler over the plate lately. In his last five starts he's walked 21 in 28 2/3 innings while striking out 17. That's led to a 1-4 record and a 7.85 ERA.
Matt Morris is undefeated at 6-0, although the Cardinals have lost all three games in which he didn't get a decision. The record isn't surprising, since Morris gets the best run support per 9 innings in the NL, 7.78. In fact, four Cardinals starters are in the top 12.
Enjoy!
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Posted by StatsGuru at 07:36 AM
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:30 AM
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June 05, 2005
Baseball Digest Daily post part II of their interview with Bill James.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:06 PM
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Interviews
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Driving home listening to the Yankees-Twins game today, I heard one of the announcers say that the Yankees had not won a game in which they scored three runs or fewer. I'm always a little leary of stats like that, since no context is given. Don't teams tend to have poor winning percentage when scoring three runs or less? The answer is yes, but the Yankees are the only team in the majors without a win in that situation. They are now 0-20 with today's 9-3 defeat. Every other team in the majors has at least two wins; the overall willing percentage is .206.
Not surprisingly, the White Sox have the best record scoring three runs or less at 8-9, a .471 winning percentage.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:28 PM
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The Washington Nationals moved into first place today in the NL with a 6-3 victory over the reeling Marlins. They scored all six runs in the 7th and 8th innings. That's been the best time of the game for the Washingtonians this season. Coming into today, they're batting 20 points higher from the 7th on than in innings 1 through 6. Their OBA goes way up, from .316 to .355, and their slugging percentage also rises, from .384 to .429. With today's runs, they've scored 132 runs in first six frames, 101 after that. They're going a great job with tired starters and weak middle relievers.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:07 PM
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It was a good day for cleanup hitters in Los Angeles. The Brewers' Carlos Lee went five for five, with a double and two RBI. Jeff Kent of the Dodgers also reached base five time. He knocked out four hits and drew a walk. He doubled Lee's doubles and his RBI, getting two two-baggers and four RBI. The Dodgers nearly doubled the Brewers runs as well winning 10-6.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:02 PM
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Clemens and Mulder are not matching the success of their last meeting. The Astros finally get some runs for the Rocket, scoring five through 1 2/3 innings off Mulder. And it's a good thing, as Roger let in four of his own in the first. Ensberg continues to be the outstanding hitter for the Astros this season, hitting his 12th home run of the season.
Posted by StatsGuru at 02:56 PM
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The Phillies offense is off to another great start today. They're batting in the third and have already scored six runs. Seven of the fourteen batters the Phillies have sent to the plate so far today have reached. During the previous nine games, of which the Phillies have won eight, everyone is reaching base. Look at the team breakdown here. Over the last nine games, the worst regular getting on base is David Bell, and he has a .371 OBA! I'll take that as the worst on my team any day. They haven't been pounding the ball; ten home runs in nine games isn't that unusual. But when a team puts men on base at that rate, many of them are going to come around to score.
Posted by StatsGuru at 02:24 PM
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Team Evaluation
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Roger Clemens and Mark Mulder meet again this afternoon in Houston. The last time they faced off, Mulder threw a ten-inning shutout, only the 2nd in 15 years. Clemens continues to pitch amazingly well for any age. He also continues to lose or get no decisions. Clemens has allowed just 12 runs this season, but the Astros have scored only 16 with Roger on the mound. Four times he's started games in which the Astros failed to score at all.
Mulder's offense has scored 54 times with him on the mound, more than enough for the 33 runs Mark has seen cross the plate. Mulder has been vulnerable with men in scoring position this season, allowing a .321 BA and a .500 slugging percentage.
The Washington Nationals go for a sweep of the Marlins this afternoon. A.J. Burnett takes the hill against John Patterson. Both have sub-3.00 ERAs. Four of the five home runs hit against Burnett this season have come on the road. Patterson hasn't allowed any in his ballpark, and only one for the entire season so far.
Mark Buehrle goes for his 8th win as the unstoppable White Sox try to sweep the Indians. He'll face C.C. Sabathia. Buehrle is 1 1/3 innings behind Livan Hernandez for most innings pitched this century. The Indians have only scored 14 runs in losing their first four games in June.
Finally, Carlos Zambrano visits PETCO Park and Jake Peavy as the Cubs face the Padres. Zambrano allowed just 1 home run in his last six starts while striking out 41 in 41 1/3 innings. You can hit Peavy for power at PETCO this year; he's allowed a .410 slugging percentage at home vs. just .287 on the road.
Enjoy!
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Posted by StatsGuru at 09:48 AM
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Peter Gammons pens an excellent article on how players can learn plate discipline. This flies against Billy Beane's assertion in Moneyball that established players can't be changed. Here's Buck Showalter on Dave Dellucci:
"Dave did a lot of work looking at tapes and studying pitchers and figured it out," Rangers manager Buck Showalter says. "Look, there are only about 10 pitchers in our entire league who get hitters out in the strike zone. The rest get hitters out of the zone. He studied video, studied and learned to lay off pitches out of the zone."
The ability to hit with two strikes appears to be key. On Brandon Inge:
Then this spring, as he took the third base job, Mick Kelleher told him to try batting leadoff. "He told me that I'm a good two-strike hitter, so take a couple of pitches and let the hitters behind me see what the pitcher's got. I took three balls, then two strikes, and it felt natural. I really believe that one can learn to take pitches, be patient and get on base. Yes, it's a state of mind, but it's really important that one not be afraid to hit with two strikes. Up to two strikes, I try to hit like Darin Erstad, who I respect as much as anyone in the game, then at two strikes I do what I have to do."
"That's a huge key," says Red Sox hitting instructor Mike Barnett, "because not being afraid of hitting with two strikes is a key to plate discipline." Ask Barnett, and he'll tell you that Orlando Hudson and Russell Adams can both be very good major league leadoff hitters.
The obvious comparison to Wade Boggs follows. Inge, Dellucci, Damon and Izturis have all improved their plate discipline over their careers. And of course, a big change for Sosa that allowed him to pursue both Maris and Aaron was improved plate discipline in the middle of his career. At least some players can learn to take a pitch.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:29 AM
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On Base
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Eddie Murray lost his job as the Indians hitting coach yesterday.
The move did not come as a huge surprise. Murray is not known to seek out players to offer advice unless they come to him and ask.
"I'm not going to get into specifics in terms of our relationship. I've got a tremendous amount of respect for Eddie," Wedge said. "This isn't about anything today or the last couple of weeks. It's more of a long-term decision."
General manger Mark Shapiro said the decision was a difficult one.
"It's a tough one for me as a leader," he said. "Because anytime you have to make a change, it's a leadership failure.
I'm sure Eddie's style worked for some players. I wonder if Murray was asked to be more pro-active with the team and couldn't do it. He was a great batter, and should have a lot to teach young hitters.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:20 AM
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Management
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Neifi Perez has found new life as a batter since he joined the Cubs last September. He's even hitting for power, even homering at PETCO Park last night. That gives him seven for the year. Where did this come from:
| Neifi Perez | Before Cubs | With Cubs |
| At Bats | 4128 | 257 |
| Batting Average | .268 | .331 |
| On-Base Average | .299 | .356 |
| Slugging Percentage | .377 | .498 |
Neifi's career high in home runs is 12, and that came playing a full season at Coors Field. Eight of the dozen were hit in Denver. His .331 average since joining the Cubs is significant; there's only a .015 probability that a .268 hitters would get at least 85 hits over 257 at bats. At age 31 something changed for the better with Neifi and the Cubs are reaping the benefit.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:43 AM
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:25 AM
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June 04, 2005
Kyle Davies continues to keep opponents from scoring. He went deep into the game for the first time, pitching 7 2/3 scoreless innings. It wasn't long enough for the win, however. Mark Redman pitched eight scoreless innings, lowering his ERA to 2.82, but that wasn't enough for the win. Mike Gonzalez gave up an infield single and a double, leading to Atlanta's and the game's only run to take the loss in the ninth. The Braves will be in first place for another day.
It's an unusual game for today. The first six games to finish today averaged 16 runs total each.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:12 PM
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Jason Marquis knocked out three hits today, including a two-run homer to raise his averages to .375 BA, .412 OBA and .625 slugging. It's the second homer of his career and his first since 2002. Given his performance on the mound today, 10 hits and 6 runs in 5 2/3 innings, he should think about a second job as a pinch hitter. Maybe La Russa will use him as a DH in the AL parks!
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:04 PM
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Bobby Abreu has two home runs so far in game 1 of the Diamondbacks-Phillies double header. It's part of an attack that has the Phillies up 8-1 in and chased Javier Vazquez after four innings. I guess going for the split wasn't such a good idea. The two homers by Abreu gives him 14 on the year with 41 RBI and 40 runs scored. This is someone worth voting onto the all-star team.
Posted by StatsGuru at 06:52 PM
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Up until today, the Red Sox relievers had a slightly better ERA than their starters. So it one could see where Terry Francona would not be afraid to take out a starter with a lead after 100 pitches. That's what happened today; Arroyo used 103 pitches over six innings and outpitched Bartolo Colon, allowing just 2 runs to Colon's 5. The game should be in the bag. But the Red Sox pen managed to blow past the starters in ERA this afternoon. Arroyo brought the staff down to 4.75 from 4.78, but 11 earned runs by the pen in just three innings made the relievers ERA soar half a run from 4.71 to 5.27.
Posted by StatsGuru at 06:39 PM
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Brendan Donnelly was just caught with a baseball in his back pocket. No penalty, the umps just made him get rid of it after the Red Sox bench noticed the bulge in Brendan's bottom. You have to wonder why it was there, however. I hope someone asks him about it after the game.
Posted by StatsGuru at 04:18 PM
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The Giants are in danger to losing their 8th straight game. The Mets lead 4-1 in the top of the 8th. The offense, while not great, hasn't really been the problem in the slump, scoring a little over 4 runs a game. It's the pitching and defense that hold the most responsibility, allowed over 7 runs a game over the last seven.
But today, Tom Glavine shut the offense down. They had nine hits, but the only run came on a solo homer by Moises Alou, who is a triple shy of the cycle. And that's not to say the pitching wasn't bad; Lowry allowed nine hits in 4 1/3 innings and four runs.
7 Games
29 runs 50 allowed
Posted by StatsGuru at 03:42 PM
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Jose Lima and Chan Ho Park were trying to see who could give up the most hits this afternoon as Texas faces Kansas City. Lima last 3 2/3 innings before eight hits chased him from the game. Park has surrendered eight hits so far through 4. It's not clear how much longer he'll last. The Rangers lead 5-4 in the top of the fifth.
Posted by StatsGuru at 03:37 PM
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Bat Girl has a link to a game that lets you pin the stripes on the Yankees. :-)
Posted by StatsGuru at 12:04 PM
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Dave Miley's days in Cincinnati may be numbered. His players aren't afraid to criticize him to the press. He kept Griffey and Dunn out of the lineup against Jeff Francis yesterday, and neither liked it.
"I came to the park early, all happy and smiling after a day off, ready to take some extra hitting," Griffey said. "Dunn said, 'Why are you so happy? You're not in the lineup and neither am I.' "
Griffey visited Miley's office to lobby for his spot, but Miley wouldn't budge. Dunn didn't try.
"I had a day off Thursday and don't need (another one), but I can't say anything because I suck," he said.
This is one of those times when a player should say, "I want to play, but it's the skipper's decision," and leave it at that. The fact that both would talk negatively to the press about it shows a lack of respect for Miley. That's never a good sign.
Redleg Nation is drawing the same conclusion.
Posted by StatsGuru at 11:47 AM
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Management
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A nice matchup in Boston today as Bartolo Colon and the Angels face Bronson Arroyo and the Red Sox. If I worked for Elias, I'd wonder how many times pitchers with two O's in their first and last names have faced each other. The Red Sox are coming off two straight victories with late inning hits; a walk off homer by Ortiz Thursday and a bottom of the 8th tie-breaking double by Damon last night. Damon is hitting .407 from the 7th inning on this season (24/59).
Colon appears to have solved the problem that plagued him the last two seasons: home runs. In 2003-2004, he allowed 1.36 home runs per 9. This season, he's lowered that to 0.72 home runs per 9, nearly cutting it in half.
They'll play a double header in Philadelphia today, but it appears the teams are going for a split. Game 1 features Javier Vazquez vs. Vincente Padilla, while Buddy Myers hosts Russ Ortiz in game 2. I'd want my two best pitchers to face each other in game 1, then try to have my offense pound the weaker starter in game 2. The Diamondbacks have a good chance of beating Padilla with Ortiz, so why not try to beat Myers with Vazquez? (Assuming the Phillies cooperate.)
The Pirates try to continue their good play against the leaders of the NL East as they host Atlanta at PNC Park tonight. Kyle Davies has an impressive ERA in three starts for the Braves. He's striking out better than a batter an inning, but he's also giving up lots of hits to lefties and quite a few walks overall. I'm not sure he's as good as his ERA indicates. Mark Redman is posting the best ERA of his career. Like Colon, he's taking advantage of the drop in power this season. He's only allowed three home runs this season after giving up 28 in 2004.
Enjoy!
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Posted by StatsGuru at 10:03 AM
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Joe Torre is always the diplomat:
Torre said it has become an increasingly rare occurrence in recent seasons for The Boss to include him in such discussions, but this was a rare situation.
"It's happened a number of times, but not in recent times," Torre said Friday before the Yankees opened a three-game series against the Minnesota Twins. "This was sticking to why we're having a tough time. All of the same questions I ask myself.
"He was unhappy. If I tried to tell you anything other than that, you'd be questioning if I was telling you the truth, and I'm not going to lie to you," Torre added.
Of course, this is one of the reasons the Yankees keep winning over the years:
As soon as he heard about the call, Torre knew it wasn't going to be a pleasant conversation. Torre has gotten used to outbursts from Steinbrenner during his 10 years in New York. When the Yankees are winning, their owner wants them to win bigger; when they are losing, look out.
"It's a long season and George isn't a very patient man and we understand that," Torre said. "In dealing with George, when you lose and you're supposed to be winning, it's not a happy time. But when you win, he's constantly driving you to improve, so the tone doesn't change much."
Torre did say he hoped Steinbrenner, who has a reputation for firing employees in a heartbeat, would exercise a little bit of restraint and keep his staff intact while it tries to right the ship.
I'm going to disagree with Joe on that last bit. It's quite possible that the Yankees do need a shakeup. Has Mattingly been that great a hitting coach? Mel Stottlemyre certainly hasn't turned any careers in the right direction. I appreciate Joe's loyalty, but maybe he doesn't have the best people on his bench. I'd actually like to see Girardi given a chance at pitching coach. He got a lot out of a pitching staff as a catcher. Maybe he could do the same in the bullpen.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:29 AM
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How do explain this?
| Jeff Francis, Career | At Coors | On Road |
| Record | 6-0 | 2-4 |
| ERA | 2.81 | 6.71 |
| K per 9 | 6.5 | 6.7 |
| BB per 9 | 3.5 | 4.7 |
| HR per 9 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Hits per 9 | 8.2 | 11.4 |
He's walking one more batter per nine on the road. He striking out a few more batters and giving up a few more home runs. Yet he gives up a lot more hits on the road. That doesn't make a lot of sense.
And it isn't just Francis. The team as a whole has a 5.62 ERA at Coors and a 5.87 ERA away from Coors. They've given up exactly the same number of doubles, triples and homers in Coors as on the road, despite facing fewer batters:
| Rockies Pitchers, 2005 | At Coors | On Road |
| Opp. AB | 943 | 875 |
| Doubles | 62 | 62 |
| Triples | 4 | 4 |
| Home Runs | 31 | 31 |
| Isolated Power | .173 | .187 |
The Rockies offense goes down from 6.3 runs per game at home to 3.1 on the road. Their isolated power goes from .183 down to .125! How can the pitchers not get better on the road?
I'm not sure I buy Hurdle's explanation:
"What we've talked about with building this team, is developing our own pitchers," Hurdle said. "This is the only park they know. It's their home park. It's where they have more reps. It's where they do their bullpen work. Their beds are here."
Jason Jennings earlier this week became the all-time win leader at Coors Field with 25. Now Francis has matched Oliver by winning his first six starting decisions at Coors Field. Those two developments seem to reinforce the Rockies' pitching mind-set.
"I feel comfortable here," Francis said. "I'm sure there will be at time when I struggle. Others pitchers had had good runs hit and fallen into trouble. I haven't gotten to that yet."
The Rockies are facing a very complicated paradox. Developing pitching skills to win at Coors does not translate into skills to win on the road. One would think that if you can get batters out at atltitude, you could get them out at sea level; the ball is supposed to move more in heavier air. If there are any Rockies fans that have insight into this, I'd be happy to hear from you. What kind of pitches does Francis throw that work at Coors but don't work on the road?
Buy Colorado Rockies Tickets
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:40 AM
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:16 AM
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June 03, 2005
The Pirates continue to be on a bit of a roll. Kip Wells out duels Tim Hudson tonight, and Pittsburgh has now won six of their last nine. Wells allowed just six hits, all singles through 7 2/3 innings. He also walked 2.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:56 PM
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Mike Mussina gets to face the Minnesota Twins without two of their big guns tonight. Mauer and Morneau are both day to day. But that doesn't stop the Moose from giving up two home runs, one to Ford and one to Brent Abernathy, his first since 2002. Mussina has just one strikeout through five. He can't survive there. Nineteen balls have been put into play against Mussina, and seven have gone for hits. Add in two walks, and it sums to a 5-3 Twins lead in the top of the 6th.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:49 PM
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Ivan Rodriguez's broken hand doesn't seem to have hurt his power stroke. He double and scored the game winning run yesterday, and he's added a homer and double tonight as the Tigers defeat the Orioles 5-3. Jason Johnson allows one earned run in eight innings and lowers his home ERA to 1.62.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:37 PM
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Livan Hernandez has gone nine innings tonight, but has thrown 151 pitches to get there. I suspect that the most anyone has thrown this season. Unless the Nationals score here in the bottom of the ninth, however, he won't get a decision. The score is 2-2, and I doubt even Frank Robinson would let Livan come out for the tenth. We'll have to see if this big pitch count has ill effects on Hernandez in the immediate future.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:32 PM
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Baseball Musings is pleased to announce the opening of the Baseball Musings Ticket Store. I hope the ticket store will be the first place you stop when you're trying to buy those hard to find seats or looking for a way into a sold out game. The store offers tickets to all types of events. Looking for Cubs-Cardinals tickets? They're in the store. Football season isn't that far away, and tickets for Giants Stadium are available. Game 6, Heat at Pistons? Don't miss it.
The Baseball Musings Ticket Store carries concerts, Broadway shows, Las Vegas shows and much more. And in apprecation of all the loyal readers of this site, through June 16, 2005 use the offer code bmintro to receive 5% off the listed price of any ticket.
Make the Baseball Musings Ticket Store your place to shop for events. Use the search box in the upper right corner of the page to take you right to the event you desire. You'll get good prices on good seats, and help support this site at the same time.
Posted by StatsGuru at 03:41 PM
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Eldon Ham's new book Larceny and Old Leather is an amusing collections of stories about how baseball players, owners and teams often bend the rules or outright break them. He covers field manipulation, gambling, curses racism, sign stealing and any other mischief that is part of the lore of the game.
The book, however, should be read more as entertainment than fact. In the second paragraph of the first chapter, Ham makes an egregious error, putting Babe Ruth's record setting 59 home runs in 1923 instead of 1921. He also repeats the story about the Black Sox name coming from the White Sox uniforms being dirty, which doesn't appear to be true. This leads me to believe the book is poorly researched.
Ham drops the ball in other areas as well. I was looking forward to the chapter titled Hal Chase: Malignant Genius. Chase is one of the darkest characters in the history of baseball. He could have been the model for Senator/Emperor Palpatine in Star Wars, down to the disfigured face. But Ham doesn't explore the character of Chase, nor the reasons for the appellation above; he just attributes it to a judge.
Ham is a good story teller, but I'd like more substance. I'd also like to know that he did more than repeat embellished stories, that he actually checked the sources. It appears that didn't happen.
Posted by StatsGuru at 03:17 PM
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The Washington Nationals continue their quest for the NL title at RFK tonight. After taking three of four from the first place Braves, they'll host the first place Marlins in a three game set. It's a great matchup tonight, as Josh Beckett faces Livan Hernandez. Beckett is a different pitcher away from Miami. This season, his ERA is three runs higher, due mostly to his batting average allowed being 100 points higher. That is strange, however, because he strikes out batters at a higher rate on the road. Maybe it's harder to play defense away from Dolphins Stadium.
Livan Hernandez continues to be the iron man of the team and the league. His 82 1/3 innings is tied with Roy Oswalt for the NL lead, and Livan should have that to himself after tonight. Since the start of 2003, he leads all pitchers with 570 2/3 frames on the mound.
Two hot teams meet on the West Coast as the surging Cubs take on the May Maulers, the San Diego Padres. Derrek Lee continues to pound the ball; in six of his last seven games he's had multiple hits, a total of 19 (nearly three hits a game). Phil Nevin has a nine game hit streak for the Padres in which he's driven in 11 runs.
Enjoy!
Buy tickets for tonight's Marlins-Nationals game.
Buy tickets for tonight's Cubs-Padres game.
Posted by StatsGuru at 01:46 PM
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Oh Say Can You Sing? is a new CD featuring 10 major leaguers, including Hall of Famer and American Idol dad Ozzie Smith singing their favorite songs. Part of the proceeds from the sale of the CDs goes to support the ballplayers favorite charities. As a bonus, you also get a DVD with features on the making of the album and outakes.
As for the recordings, I don't think any of these players should quit baseball to make their fortunes in the recording business. The best of the bunch is Aubry Huff singing Letters from Home. He expresses real emotion in this recording. Kelly Wunsch does a good job with Hurts So Good, but he's just doing Mellencamp, not adding anything original.
Ozzie Smith show off his falsetto in an otherwise flat rendition of Cupid. He's technically fine, but the song lacks fire. He needs to do the equivalent of a back flip, but we just get him trotting out to shortstop.
If you have a favorite player on the album, it might be fun CD to put in your collection. Buy it to help out charities, but don't expect to be wowed by the music.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:23 AM
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Charity
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Laura Vecsey echoes a comment to this post. Vecsey writes:
But something else was lost yesterday at Fenway. Something maybe smaller, or maybe bigger, depending on what happens down the line between Mazzilli and his team.
Once again, Mazzilli decided against arguing a call, just like the time he didn't bother to argue a suspect balk called against Kline last month.
Once again, it left open the door for some players to wonder if it's really all about Mazzilli's "low-key" style that he hasn't argued or been thrown out of a game yet, or whether he's got the back of only a handful of star players.
Once again, a scenario presents itself that leaves some players to wonder: Are the Orioles doing what they're doing, winning, despite their manager?
Maybe Lee needs to attend classes here.
I can understand players wanting their manager to back them up. However, arguing is pretty useless in general. It's very seldom that a call gets overturned. It's possible that Mazzilli is saving it for when it's really needed so it's most effective. When Lee does come out to argue a call, the ump will think, "Lee doesn't argue, I really must have blown it." That's just my guess.
Ben in the comments makes a more important point:
Two games in this series, Sal Fasano came to the plate in a crucial spot in late innings with runners in scoring position. There's a reason Sal Fasano is a 32-year-old, fat journeyman catcher -- he's no good. Both times, Fasano killed the rally. Does Mazzilli even consider pinch hitting for him? An injured Brian Roberts, Jeff Fiorentino or Geronimo Gil are much more enticing options at that point. The O's have left a ton of guys on base this season, and Mazzilli's lack of tactics sure don't help.
In the top of the eighth yesterday, Foulke came in and gave up a single to Chris Gomez. I turned to my nephew and said, "That's okay, ow Foulke gets to pitch to the worst hitter on the team." Another reason to carry fewer pitchers; that way you can have someone pinch hit for players like Sal.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:01 AM
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Management
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Janie McCauley reports:
Several weeks ago, Eric Chavez decided to quit concerning himself with his results at the plate and focus on having quality at-bats.
The approach is working wonders — and his stroke is finally coming back.
So are the Athletics.
Chavez hit a grand slam and Oakland won its season-best fourth straight game, 5-3 over the Toronto Blue Jays on Thursday night.
Chavez is 8 for 24 over his last six games with a slugging percentage of .583. If the process is good, good results follow.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:17 AM
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:51 AM
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Failedscreenwriter loved Up for Grabs, the story of the battle for Barry Bonds' 73rd home run ball.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:36 AM
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June 02, 2005
The Royals sweep the Yankees, earning a 5-2 victory tonight. What a great start for Buddy Bell! So far, he's used the bullpen effectively. The pen pitched 11 innings against New York in this series and allowed only 1 earned run, a 0.82 ERA.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:45 PM
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Series
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The decline of Danny Kolb continues. The Braves scored four times in the top of the eighth inning to take a 6-3 lead on the Nationals. Kolb came in to pitch the eighth and gave it all back. He allowed four of the five batters he faced to reach base, and with help from Kevin Gryboski, all came around to score as Washington scored five times in the inning to take the game 8-6. Kolb's ERA now stands at 7.29, and opponents are hitting .302 against him. Kolb has now walked 19 in 21 IP; last year he walked 15 all season.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:37 PM
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The Mets two star free agents both proved their value tonight. Pedro Martinez pitched eight strong innings, striking out 9 and allowing only five hits. Seventy-five of his 101 pitches went for strikes, a remarkable percentage. Opponents are now batting just .159 off Martinez. With 2745 strikeouts, Pedro only needs 20 more strikeouts to tie the injured Curt Schilling for 18th on the all-time list.
Carlos Beltran drove in the first run for the Mets this evening with his seventh homer of the season. While Beltran appears to be down this season, it's really an illusion of the park; tonight he hit just his second homer of the season at Shea. On the road, he has five homers and is slugging .566.
Combined, the two led the Mets to a 6-1 victory over the Diamondbacks. With the Nationals defeating the Braves, and the Phillies and Marlins also winning, the five NL East teams are separated by 2 1/2 games.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:18 PM
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Sports Bloggers Live did a lively interview with Roger Clemens, and they were nice enough to have me call in and ask the Rocket a question. You can listen to the Clemens interview here.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:27 PM
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Interviews
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All three games in the AL this afternoon were won in the last at bat. The Tigers were down 5-3 in the ninth but rallied with 2 in the 9th and 1 in the 10th to defeat the Texas Rangers for the 2nd day in a row. I-Rod, the catcher with the broken hand doubled with one out in the 10th, setting up Monroe for the game winning rbi single.
Johan Santan pitched more than well enough to win, striking out 14 in eight innings, but he allowed as many runs as Indians' starter Scott Elarton. No one scored from the 6th through the 12th until a Ford double and a Jones single ended the game in favor of the Twins. Cleveland fails to gain any ground on Minnesota in the three game series, a disappointing end after taking the first game.
Correction: As pointed out in the comments, the Indians-Twins was a three game series.
Posted by StatsGuru at 05:15 PM
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What a great game to attend! The Red Sox and Orioles battled to 2 outs in the ninth inning before the game was decided. One short hit and one long hit made the difference. With two out and Bellhorn at first in the ninth, Edgar Renteria laid down a perfect bunt down the third base line. The infield was back, and Edgar beat it out easily. That set up David Ortiz vs. BJ Ryan. Ortiz got ahead 3-1 and got a good swing at that pitch. I'm not sure what Ryan threw him after that, but David got all of it and sent a screaming line drive that kept rising into the centerfield bleachers, a monster blast that won the game and sent the crowd into a frenzy. The guy across the asile from my nephew came over and gave him a hug. A terrific finish to a terrific game.
It wasn't a good day for closers. Foulke came in to get the last out of the 8th but allowed a hit before he got out of the inning. In the ninth, he loaded the bases, and a grounder by Palmeiro was slow enough to avoid the double play and drive in the go-ahead run. Foulke didn't blow the save, but was in line for the loss. His win should go to Ortiz and Renteria.
A great crowd today. They love Varitek and the captain had two doubles. They're not happy with Bellhorn, but he had two hits and scored the winning run. A beautiful afternoon in Boston, perfect for a game, and a happy ending for the home team. Can't ask for more than that.
Thanks to Newbury Open.Net for having a cyber cafe close to the ball park. It's going to take a while to get home.
Posted by StatsGuru at 05:03 PM
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I'll be at the Red Sox game this afternoon with my newphew Alexei. We're in section 15 row 4 if you want to stop by and say hi.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:44 AM
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The Red Sox and the Orioles finish up their four game series this afternoon at Fenway. With a victory today, the Orioles would take three out of four from the Red Sox, further cementing their lead in the AL East and giving them at least a 4 1/2 game cushion as they try to recover from their injuries. Hayden Penn faces Matt Clement. Clement is 6-0 and the Red Sox have lost only one of his last nine starts. He's been super at Fenway, posting a 2.86 ERA and walking just five in 34 2/3 innings. Shouldn't a pitcher named Penn be a reliever? :-)
It's DWI night in Pittsburgh as Dontrelle Willis faces Dave Williams. Williams doesn't go deep in games, but he's been effective. He averages just six innings a start. He had a very good month of May, going 4-1 with a 2.59 ERA. He only allowed 2 homers in 31 1/3 innings. Dontrelle lost two of his last three starts, but has pitched well nonetheless, raising his ERA from 1.08 to 1.67 over that time. Having allowed only two homers in 70 innings, the opposition is slugging just .291 vs. the D-Train in 2005.
Enjoy!
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:15 AM
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Here's something to keep your eye on. Roy Oswalt's personal catcher, Raul Chavez, was designated for assignment after Roy stretched his record vs. the Reds to 14-0 last night.
The move stunned and saddened Oswalt and several of the Astros, but it didn't catch Chavez by surprise.
"I thought about this a lot lately," said Chavez, who was hitting .203 (13-for-64) with three doubles and three RBIs this season. "All these days lately I've thought about this. We're struggling, man. What can I say? That's the business."
Chavez's offense this season was pitiful even for a catcher, posting an OPS of just .465. Derrek Lee has a higher OBA than that! (.467) And it's not like he's falling off a cliff. His career OBA is .262 and his career slugging percentage is .292.
I have to question the move, however. Humberto Quintero, who is coming up to replace Chavez isn't a good hitter either. If Oswalt likes throwing to Raul, why not let the guy continue to catch? Since the Astros aren't scoring a lot of runs, it seems that the team should want to minimize runs allowed anyway it can. Given Quintero's abilities as a hitter, I'm not sure the trade off will be worth it.
Posted by StatsGuru at 07:39 AM
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Pitchers
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Who would have thought Bobby Crosby would have made such a difference. In the three games since his return, the Oakland Athletics have scored 5, 10 and 11 runs. For the second night in a row they beat Tampa by 9 runs, winning 11-2. Crosby had two hits, but Eric Byrnes had the big offensive game as he drove in four and was just a homer short of the cycle. Barry Zito pitched well and got the win. Can they keep it going? They'll be facing some good NL East pitching staffs over the next two weeks.
Eddie Guardado pitched a perfect ninth to earn his 15th save for the Seattle Mariners, preserving a 3-0 shutout over the Blue Jays. Eddie's been nearly unhittable this season with opponents batting just .184 against him. Only the perfect (11/11) Dustin Hermanson has a better save percentage than everyday Eddie.
Lots of singles helped St. Louis generate runs against the Rockies last night as the Cardinals scored four runs late to win 8-6. They had 17 hits and 15 were singles. Coors isn't just a power park. The big outfield and long carrying balls force the outfielders to play deep, and lots of balls drop in for singles. Matt Morris stays perfect at 6-0.
Doug Davis is putting together a very nice year for the Milwaukee Brewers. He won his seventh game in twelve starts last night, defeating the Padres 5-2. He's getting better as the year goes on; he has a 2.72 ERA since May 1st, and in his last three starts he's only allowed 1 run in 24 innings. He's also not allowed a homer in those three games, something that cost him earlier in the season. For the year, opposing batters are hitting just .228 vs. Doug.
Derrek Lee and Neifi Perez combined to take down Derek Lowe and the Dodgers last night 9-5. Lee and Perez knocked out nine hits in ten at bats, drove in seven runs and scored five. Each had a three run homer. Derrek is hitting .640 during the Cubs six game win streak with five homers and 11 RBI. Neifi is doing well also, sporting a .464 average with two homers and eight driven in.
Correction: Derek Lowe plays for the Dodgers. I had Derek Lee originally.
Posted by StatsGuru at 06:41 AM
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The National League voting totals are out, and there's plenty to complain about in the NL voting. Most surprising isn't that Nomar Garciaparra is leading the voting for shortstop, but that Cesar Izturis isn't in the top 5! He's a wiz with the glove and has a .392 OBA. What's not to like?
In the outfiled, how are Cabrera and Abreu 5th and 6th? Yes, I like to see Griffey in the all-star game, but these two are outshining Ken in 2005 and should be getting more attention.
You can vote 25 times at MLB.com. Go help these players move up the list.
Posted by StatsGuru at 06:09 AM
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All-Star Game
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 06:04 AM
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Statistics
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June 01, 2005
Buddy Bell is now two for two as the Royals defeat the Yankees 3-1. Randy Johnson went eight innings for the Yankees. His effort was good but not stellar. He struck out seven and walked one, but the Royals banged out 9 hits in 31 at bats, a .290 average. That's not Randy Johnson. Against a team like this, Johnson should be throwing a 12 K, 4 hit game. He's looking more and more like a once great pitcher.
Posted by StatsGuru at 10:44 PM
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The Pirates won their third straight game from the Flordia Marlins tonight, a decisive 9-1 win. Rob Mackowiak had the big hit of the evening, a grand slam, a big part of his five RBI on the evening. Josh Fogg started and only allowed one run through six innings. But Salomon Torres pitcher three shutout innings to earn the save. Torres is not pitching well this year, but he does have a 2.88 ERA after tonight. He's been walking lots of batters, but avoided the free pass this evening. Salomon was a promising rookie in 1993, but his career never developed. He's actually been a decent reliever in his few years in Pittsburgh.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:55 PM
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If you missed tonight's show, you can hear the recorded version here. It's also available on demand at TPSRadio.
This week I look at the hot players and teams of May, Roger Clemens talks pitching, and I explore the managerial talents of Buddy Bell and Felipe Alou, as well as what it takes to win as a pitcher at Coors.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:53 PM
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The Rangers lose their first game of June after having the best AL record in May. Ryan Drese started well, but got into trouble in the 7th, giving up five runs in that inning. Of course, Doug Brocail did the reliever's job of giving up the starter's runs without giving up any of his own.
Urbina pitched the ninth, striking out all three batters he faced for his 9th save. He's now struck out 30 batters in 25 1/3 innings.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:20 PM
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The Giants extended Felipe Alou's contract through the 2006 season, with an option for 2007. I guess they think he makes the players on the team feel young.
Posted by StatsGuru at 05:37 PM
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Management
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The show will be coming up at 8 PM this evening. If you have a question you'd like read and answered on the air, feel free to leave it in the comments here.
Posted by StatsGuru at 05:11 PM
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Clay Owen e-mails me about a new organization that is raising money for cancer research through youth baseball:
My wife and I have set up a program that honors coaches of youth sports and helps fund pediatric cancer research. We call it - Coaches Curing Kids' Cancer (www.curingkidscancer.org).
The idea is simple: Instead of buying the coach another plastic trophy or a gift certificate, we encourage kids' sports teams to donate their end-of-season gift to Coaches Curing Kids' Cancer. All the money goes to CureSearch National Childhood Cancer Foundation (www.curesearch.org). The coach gets a t-shirt, a certificate and the great feeling of helping kids kick cancer.
We started the program here in Atlanta last autumn, and have already raised more than $100,000. The program is now in place in more than a half-dozen cities around the U.S. - and we hope to grow it more.
This sounds like a good way to honor your coach and help fund people like my college roommate, Dan Wechsler. There's an article about this group in the Atlanta Journal-Constitution, but it requires registration.
Posted by StatsGuru at 03:04 PM
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Other
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Randy Johnson faces D.J. Carrasco and the Royals this evening. This is a chance for Johnson to get back on track. The Royals offense is pitiful. They are scoring just 4.1 runs per game, third worst in the American League. They're also 4th in strikeouts, which should play to Randy's strength. In the 17 2/3 innings he's thrown so far this season, Carrasco's walks are down, but so are his strikeouts. He shut down the Angels and DRays, but was pounded by the Orioles. I would expect the Yankees to be more likely to pound him than not.
The Indians try to gain a little more ground on the Twins tonight as Cliff Lee faces Brad Radke. Lee has not allowed a home run in his last three starts. Brad's had a tough time away from the Metrodome this season. He has a 5.13 ERA and has allowed eight homers in 33 1/3 innings. The Indians have won 8 of their last 10 and have outscored their opponents 46-28 in that time.
Enjoy!
Posted by StatsGuru at 02:03 PM
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I just saw the latest results from the American League voting, and Tino Martinez is leading among AL first basemen. Tino is a nice guy and a slick fielding first baseman. He went on a great home run tear. But you might want to consider someone else, like Richie Sexson or Mark Teixeira for the position. The rest of the voting looks really good, but AL fans, you can do better than Tino at first.
Posted by StatsGuru at 01:24 PM
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All-Star Game
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Jason Jennings setting a record for most wins at Coors with only 25 made we want to see who leads in wins in each ballpark over that time period, 1995 to present (through games of May 31, 2005). Here's the table:
| Pitcher |
Park |
Wins |
| Andy Pettitte |
Yankee Stadium |
81 |
| Brad Radke |
Hubert H. Humphrey Metrodome |
74 |
| Greg Maddux |
Turner Field |
72 |
| Pedro Martinez |
Fenway Park |
58 |
| Randy Johnson |
Bank One Ballpark |
58 |
| Mike Mussina |
Oriole Park at Camden Yards |
57 |
| Matt Morris |
Busch Stadium II |
53 |
| Al Leiter |
Shea Stadium |
51 |
| Tim Hudson |
Network Associates Coliseum |
46 |
| Charles Nagy |
Jacobs Field |
45 |
| Jamie Moyer |
Safeco Field |
44 |
| Kenny Rogers |
The Ballpark in Arlington |
44 |
| Roy Halladay |
SkyDome |
42 |
| Hideo Nomo |
Dodger Stadium |
42 |
| Chan Ho Park |
Dodger Stadium |
42 |
| Mark Buehrle |
Comiskey Park II |
41 |
| Chuck Finley |
Anaheim Stadium |
38 |
| Roy Oswalt |
Minute Maid Park |
37 |
| Shane Reynolds |
Astrodome |
37 |
| Javier Vazquez |
Stade Olympique |
32 |
| Kerry Wood |
Wrigley Field |
31 |
| Steve Trachsel |
Wrigley Field |
31 |
| Curt Schilling |
Veterans Stadium |
31 |
| Jason Schmidt |
Pacific Bell Park |
31 |
| Randy Johnson |
Kingdome |
30 |
| Andy Ashby |
Qualcomm Stadium |
29 |
| Jeff Suppan |
Kauffman Stadium |
26 |
| Brad Penny |
Pro Player Stadium |
26 |
| Jason Jennings |
Coors Field |
25 |
| Shawn Estes |
Candlestick Park |
25 |
| Jason Schmidt |
Three Rivers Stadium |
25 |
| Francisco Cordova |
Three Rivers Stadium |
25 |
| Ben Sheets |
Miller Park |
24 |
| Scott Sullivan |
Cinergy Field |
20 |
| Pete Schourek |
Cinergy Field |
20 |
| Scott Karl |
County Stadium |
20 |
| Brian Moehler |
Tiger Stadium |
20 |
| John Smoltz |
Atlanta-Fulton County Stadium |
19 |
| Albie Lopez |
Tropicana Field |
18 |
| Victor Zambrano |
Tropicana Field |
18 |
| Josh Fogg |
PNC Park |
18 |
| Steve Sparks |
Comerica Park |
15 |
| Mike Maroth |
Comerica Park |
15 |
| Paul Wilson |
Great American Ballpark |
11 |
| Jake Peavy |
PETCO Park |
9 |
| Brett Myers |
Citizens Bank Park |
7 |
| Livan Hernandez |
Estadio Hiram Bithorn |
4 |
| Livan Hernandez |
RFK Stadium |
4 |
| Dennis Cook |
Tokyo Dome |
1 |
| Jon Lieber |
Tokyo Dome |
1 |
| Kevin Brown |
Tokyo Dome |
1 |
| Victor Zambrano |
Tokyo Dome |
1 |
| Alan Benes |
Aloha Stadium |
1 |
| Andy Ashby |
Aloha Stadium |
1 |
| Mark Petkovsek |
Aloha Stadium |
1 |
| Pat Hentgen |
Cashman Field |
1 |
| Jim Corsi |
Cashman Field |
1 |
| Erik Hanson |
Cashman Field |
1 |
| Doug Johns |
Cashman Field |
1 |
| Greg Keagle |
Cashman Field |
1 |
| Felipe Lira |
Cashman Field |
1 |
| Joey Hamilton |
Estadio de Beisbol Monterrey |
1 |
| Darryl Kile |
Estadio de Beisbol Monterrey |
1 |
| Mark Clark |
Estadio de Beisbol Monterrey |
1 |
| Fernando Valenzuela |
Estadio de Beisbol Monterrey |
1 |
Livan Hernandez appears to be the master of the Expos other parks, having four wins in both Puerto Rico and Washington. :-)
Every park with a leader of fewer than 25 wins for the leader was not used for the entire time period. Ben Sheets has 24 at Miller park, a venue that's been in use since 2001, and the Brewers haven't been world beaters in that time. As I said earlier, Coors devours pitchers.
Posted by StatsGuru at 12:05 PM
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The weekly Baseball Musings radio show will be on TPSRadio tonight and every Wednesday at 8 PM EDT. Check out their other sports programming as well. You can listen at any one of these links:
You can also call in at 888-985-0555 and leave a question for the show, or stop by the chat room at TPSRadio during the broadcast and leave a comment.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:50 AM
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Who would have thought that the Cardinals at the Rockes would have produced the pitching duel of the night, or that Mark Mulder would be on the losing end? Jason Jennings became the all-time winner at Coors.
Jennings held the Cardinals to one run - scored without the aid of a hit - as the Rockies defeated the Cardinals 2-1 on Tuesday. Mark Mulder nearly matched Jennings, but the Rockies lifted two of his pitches for back-to-back solo homers, thus giving Jennings his 25th win at Coors.
Only 25 wins! The park is in it's 11th year, and that statistic shows just how much the field devouers its pitchers.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:07 AM
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Once again I'd like to recommend the Arizona Republic's sports section. Bob McManaman keeps finding interesting stories buried in the Diamondbacks games.
But Halsey (4-2) proved once again he is wise and cool beyond his years. On Tuesday, the 23-year-old was pitching slow to the plate and the Mets stole three bases on him early.
So, what does the kid do under the bright lights of the Big Apple?
He makes a series of adjustments in his slide step, quickens his time home, and doesn't lose a bit of focus in re-attacking Mets hitters. He issued only one walk and struck out six and kept the Mets from even thinking about taking any more free bases.
Bob Melvin was impressed:
"We talk about his demeanor out there and how nothing bothers him, but to do something like that in the middle of a game, for a kid, is pretty impressive," Diamondbacks manager Bob Melvin said.
Most impressive.
Posted by StatsGuru at 09:01 AM
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With another month out of the way, let's look back and see who did well over the last 31 days. Bobby Abreu certainly looks like the offensive player of the month. He led the majors in both on base average and slugging percentage. He also tied Carlos Lee with 30 RBI.
Johnny Damon and Brian Giles led batters in reaching home plate, scoring 25 runs each. Giles did it with power, collecting 18 extra-base hits. And Jose Reyes almost had as many triples as walks, collecting 7 of the former and 8 of the latter. (I wonder what the record for triples in a month is?)
Todd Helton was the most feared hitter of the month, collecting 7 intentional walks, while Abreu had the best eye, getting 30 free passes. Adam Dunn missed the most, striking out 34 times.
On the pitching side, Kenny Rogers was a big reason for Texas having a great month. Kenny was the only pitcher with 25 innings in May to post a sub 1.00 ERA, coming in at 0.98. Amazingly, he did it striking out just 3.72 per 9 innings. He's no Kirk Rueter, however. Woody only struck out 1.30 per 9 in the month. At the other end of the scale, Johan Santana was tops in the majors at 9.78 K per 9.
Rogers was also the only six game winner in the majors in May, although five others went at least 4-0. Mark Buehrle was the work horse, amassing 48 innings without throwing a complete game. That's 8 innings a start. No one was pounded more than Ezequiel Astacio, who gave up 10 homers in 19 2/3 innings.
Russ Ortiz should be renamed the Walking Man as he issued 8.16 BB per 9. Meanwhile, Javier Vazquez did not issue a free pass in the month (although he did hit three batters).
It looks like Abreu and Rogers deserve player of the month honors. Starting today, we'll see who are the heroes of June.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:24 AM
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The Day by Day Database is up to date.
Posted by StatsGuru at 08:21 AM
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