Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
February 10, 2007
Personnel Decisions Panel

Rob Neyer is moderating this Panel, and Bill James is one of the panelists. Sam Presti and Daryl Morey are also speaking.

Update: What tools do you use? James uses simulations, win shares, scouting reports, and online sources for the low minors. Bill says most of the trades they consider are for players in the low minors, and that area needs a lot of development.

Update: Here's a picture of the panel:

MitPersonnelPanel.jpg

Bill is talking about the future of sabermetrics. He's saying we're moving more toward fringe ideas since the big ideas have been done. Sabermetricians now need to step back and look at an even bigger picture, how the sport is run, since now sabermetricians have access to clubs.

Update: Here's Rob Neyer looking very professorial.

MITNeyer.jpg

Update: How do you balance long term and short term deals? Bill says humans don't think long term. Bill sees his job as making people look at the long term. If you go to a resturant and the food is bad, you don't say it's a small sample size. If your rookie shortstop doesn't play well for two weeks, you have to be aware of the small sample size.

Update: Bill is asked about rule changes. He says baseball is poor at getting rid of selfish rules, rules that benefit the team but hurt the game. One of these is unlimited pitching changes.

Update: I asked if the growth of size of the pitching staff should lead to a larger roster so that teams can carry more offensive and defensive specialists. Bill said that if we go past 25 men on a roster, we'll end up with lefty specialists entering in the fourth inning instead of the sixth.


Posted by David Pinto at 01:53 PM | Management | TrackBack (0)
Comments

James is pretty obviously correct about roster size. The benefits to pitcher performance of being sure of a short outing would pretty clearly lead managers to use more roster slots on more pitchers.

Posted by: NBarnes at February 10, 2007 08:35 PM
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