March 29, 2008
Rotation Evaluation, Florida Marlins
The series looking at team pitching rotations using the Marcel the Monkey projections continues with the Florida Marlins. Their starters posted a 5.58 ERA in 2007, highest in Major League Baseball.
Note that in figuring ERAs, I'm using Marcel's mIP and mER columns. The ERA listed in the spreadsheet uses the average of mER and bsrER. I wanted to avoid posting 1/2 runs in the table. Pitcher order is taken from the CBSSportsline depth chart.
Andrew Miller
Photo: Icon SMI
Marcel predictions for the Florida Marlins top five starters for 2008.
| Starter | Innings | ER | ERA |
|---|
| Mark Hendrickson | 124 | 67 | 4.86
|
| Scott Olsen | 166 | 88 | 4.77
|
| Andrew Miller | 83 | 45 | 4.88
|
| Rick Vanden Hurk | 99 | 59 | 5.36
|
| Ricky Nolasco | 73 | 37 | 4.56
|
| Totals | 545 | 296 | 4.89
|
It's really sad when a team finishes last in a category and they do nothing to fix it. It's even worse when they degrade the rotation by insisting on starting pitchers like Hendrickson and Vander Hurk. Marlins fans can hope that Miller plays well in his first full season in the majors, but as for the rest of the rotation, the Maroone call to the bullpen will happen early and often.
Without the ballpark adjustment, Miller is projected to allow less than one home run per nine innings. Playing in Miami, it should even be lower. I'd like to see his projected walks improve. It was excellent in the minors.
Previous posts in this series:
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