March 10, 2008
Rotation Evaluation, Milwaukee Brewers
The series looking at team pitching rotations using the Marcel the Monkey projections continues with the Milwaukee Brewers. Their starters posted a 4.55 ERA in 2007, eighth in the National League.
Note that in figuring ERAs, I'm using Marcel's mIP and mER columns. The ERA listed in the spreadsheet uses the average of mER and bsrER. I wanted to avoid posting 1/2 runs in the table. Pitcher order is taken from the CBSSportsline depth chart.
Yovani Gallardo
Photo: Icon SMI
Marcel predictions for the Milwaukee Brewers top five starters for 2008.
| Starter | Innings | ER | ERA |
|---|
| Ben Sheets | 141 | 62 | 3.96
|
| Jeff Suppan | 182 | 89 | 4.40
|
| David Bush | 172 | 90 | 4.71
|
| Yovani Gallardo | 110 | 47 | 3.85
|
| Manny Parra | 46 | 21 | 4.11
|
| Totals | 651 | 309 | 4.27
|
The success of the Brewers rotation in 2008 depends on the pitchers with low innings projections staying in the rotation the whole year. Suppan and Bush are capable of giving the team lots of innings, but their ERAs leave something to be desired. Sheets and Gallardo should be one and two in this rotation, but Yovani is returning from knee surgery and Sheets's injury history makes him doubtful for 200 innings. Capuano and Vargas may end up getting a lot of starters innings, and both posted ERAs over 5.00 in 2007.
Previous posts in this series:
The Baseball Musings pledge drive continues through March. Please consider making a donation.
