The Rays go up 3-1 on the Red Sox, just where Boston was in 2007 at this point. The difference was the Red Sox would return to Fenway if they won game five. Here, they'll need to go on the road and win in Tampa Bay.

In last year's LCS, Beckett, Schilling and Matsuzaka shut down the Indians as Boston won in three romps as Boston won those three by a combined score of 30-5. They send two of those three, flipping Dice-K and Josh, and substituting Lester for Schilling. However, they also have to face three good pitchers in Shields, Kazmir and Garza. Can history repeat itself? The odds are certainly against the Red Sox. They are hurting while the Rays are healthy. I suspect the series will go back to Tampa Bay, but Boston will find it difficult to sweep the Rays at home. If the last four years have taught us anything, however, it's don't count out the Red Sox in the LCS.