September 14, 2007
Massive Tie Scenario
A three way tie for the NL Central looks out of the question as the Cardinals start a four game series with the Cubs in St. Louis. The Cardinals are going to need to sweep the Cubs this weekend and the Brewers the last week of the season to make that happen. The way the Cardinals played this season, that's not likely to happen.
The massive tie scenario still exists for the NL West/Wild Card, but as Arizona keeps winning, a tie for the western division becomes less likely. Here's the way to get there with the highest winning percentages:
| Team | Record |
|---|
| Rockies | 13-3 |
| Dodgers | 12-4 |
| Phillies | 12-4 |
| Padres | 11-6 |
| Diamondbacks | 6-9 |
This requires that the Rockies take four of seven from the Dodgers and sweep everyone else, including three from the Diamondbacks and Padres. The Dodgers also need to sweep the DBacks six games for this to work. It's not the only solution, just the one that produces the highest winning percentage. The more the DBacks lose, the easier it becomes to get the tie.
So this weekend, if you want a massive tie, root for:
- Dodgers sweep the Diamondbacks
- Padres take two of three from the Giants
- Phillies sweep the Mets (might as well make the NL East interesting as well)
- Rockies sweep the Marlins
After they finish with the Marlins, Colorado plays thirteen games against the Dodgers, Padres and DBacks to end the season.
