Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
September 14, 2007
A-Rod Odds

Alex Rodriguez failed to hit a home run against Toronto last night, bringing his odds of passing Maris down again. If he plays all sixteen remaining games, Alex should get about 71 more plate appearances. With his home run rate this season .0811 HR/PA, the probability of his hitting at least ten more home runs is 0.06, or about 1 in 16.


Posted by David Pinto at 08:36 AM | Sluggers | TrackBack (0)
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