Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
April 10, 2006
Successful Thieves

Are teams finally realizing the value of a stolen base in relation to the caught stealing? The rule of thumb going back to the hidden game of baseball is that teams needed to swipe successfully two-thirds of the time just to break even in terms of runs. The percentage goes up as runs become more plentiful.

There's a misconception that sabermetricians don't like the stolen base. What they hate is the caught stealing, and too many teams take an undue risk running. So far in 2006, however, that's not the case. Runners are stealing at a 75% clip (77 steals in 102 attempts). Twenty three of the thirty teams are above the 66.7% break even point. The Reds ran the best, with Freel and Lopez combining to make the team 7-0. The Cardinals ran the most, swiping seven in nine tries. And in an effort to show just how little stolen bases do matter, Detroit scored big while stealing just one base in five attempts.

The only team not to attempt a steal was the Pittsburgh Pirates. Maybe a little of DePodesta's logic rubbed off on Tracy after all.

AbbrSBCSSBPct
CIN70100
MIN40100
BAL30100
KC30100
SF30100
TOR20100
ATL20100
LAD20100
PHI20100
SD20100
CLE10100
TEX10100
CHN10100
NYN6185.714
STL7277.778
SEA6275
LAA3175
CHA3175
NYA3175
FLA3175
BOS2166.667
OAK2166.667
MIL2166.667
WSH3260
COL1150
TB1233.333
HOU1325
DET1420
ARI010
PIT00--

Posted by David Pinto at 07:33 AM | Offense | TrackBack (0)
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