Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
January 26, 2008
Team Offense, New York Mets

We continue to look at team offenses for 2008 with the New York Mets.

David Wright

David Wright
Photo: Icon SMI

In 2007, the Mets scored 4.96 runs per game.

I plugged in a likely lineup to the Lineup Analysis Tool, using the Marcel the Monkey predictions from Tom Tango. For pitchers, I used the 2007 Mets pitchers averages. The lineups rate as follows:

  • Best: 5.19 runs per game
  • Given: 4.98 runs per game
  • Worst: 4.62 runs per game

New York remains a good offense. The interesting thing is that David Wright emerges as the only offensive superstar on the team. Every one else, with the exception of Brian Schneider, puts up good numbers. The NL OBA/Slug in 2007 was .334/.423. Seven of the Mets top that OBA, while six slug better than average. If the Mets want to move up offensively, however, they need Beltran or Delgado to perform at their highest levels. Both are capable of OBAs in the high .300s and slugging percentages over .500. That would give the team a lot more oomph behind Wright.

Previous teams covered in the series:


Posted by David Pinto at 09:05 AM | Team Evaluation | TrackBack (0)
Comments

Delgado's done, and so are the Mets. I'd only take Wright off that team.

Posted by: Cheese at January 26, 2008 12:43 PM

The past two years the Mets have had 3 or 4 players in MVP discussion and you would only take Wright?

You're either a Yankee, Braves or Philly fan, and you're not a smart one either...

Posted by: gentry at January 26, 2008 02:25 PM

Wow - after a total collapse someone is talking about someone for the Mets and MVP. If Reyes and Beltran don't seriously bounce back there won't be much need to worry about them going anywhere next year either.

Posted by: Bandit at January 26, 2008 02:30 PM

Its safe to say that the Mets David Wright and Carlos Beltran batters wont see too many good pitches if Delgado cant return to pre 07 form. In fact the loss of LoDuca's offense will hurt more than believed. He was adept at runner advancement and hitting behind the runners. Cant rule out that another player may step it up. I expect Reyes should electrify and Wright be productive. The key will be how the corner OF and castillo at 2B do. The Mets offense will turn more to speed which isnt bad just that the slug will be down. Its likely that we can expect about the same in 08 as 07, perhaps a slight drop.

Posted by: Wass at January 26, 2008 02:41 PM

Its safe to say that the Mets David Wright and Carlos Beltran batters wont see too many good pitches if Delgado cant return to pre 07 form. In fact the loss of LoDuca's offense will hurt more than believed. He was adept at runner advancement and hitting behind the runners. Cant rule out that another player may step it up. I expect Reyes should electrify and Wright be productive. The key will be how the corner OF and castillo at 2B do. The Mets offense will turn more to speed which isnt bad just that the slug will be down. Its likely that we can expect about the same in 08 as 07, perhaps a slight drop.

Posted by: Wass at January 26, 2008 02:42 PM

Bandit and Cheese, you are idiots.

Beltran was the best centerfielder in the National League last year, Reyes was a top 5 shortstop, and Wright was the best player in the NL hands down.

Get a clue morons.

Posted by: The Man at January 26, 2008 02:43 PM

Best part about Wright is he is only 25, two years shy of the start of his "prime". I would not be shocked to see him jump to .340/40/130 this year, easily

Posted by: Philliess*ck at January 26, 2008 03:02 PM

David Wright was one of the two best NL players last year (Pujols). Reyes and Beltran were both top ten and I'd put both of them as the best at their position thanks to fielding and baserunning. (Yes, even Reyes ahead of Rollins, Mr. Overrated.)

Posted by: Sky at January 26, 2008 03:20 PM

I like how NY Mutts fans wanted to run Reyes and Betran out of town on a rail last year, but without anything changing, they how have total confidence in them. Yes, you have one stud player in Wright. Philly has THREE just in their infield. Take your Wright as MVP last year whining back to Muttsblog.

Posted by: Cheese at January 26, 2008 05:44 PM

You can always count on a Yankee fan for some good, intelligent discourse.

Posted by: r0n at January 26, 2008 05:54 PM

Figures Cheese is a Sillies Phan... Nobody wanted to run Beltran or Reyes out of town. I agree with you on Utley, but you can keep Rollins with his mediocre defense and Howard and his 200 Ks (sorry 199, he sat on the bench so he wouldnt reach that plateau)

Posted by: Mets Diehard at January 26, 2008 06:34 PM

Fillie vendom running high as they watch the Giants roll into the Superbowl. Cheese, choke back some chunky you poodle.

Posted by: abe at January 26, 2008 07:20 PM

Well, Wright should have been the MVP in the NL, no question about that. But you can keep Beltran, and you can especially keep Reyes, and his Mendoza Line act in August and Sept. He's the main reason the Mets blew up. I'll stick with Rollins and Victorino, thank you.

BTW...NY press will go nuts after the first three game losing streak and you can figure on the Mets falling apart after that. You choke once, and until you correct the problem, you'll choke again.

BTW#2...and before you start ranting about how it was the pitching that lost the division, bear in mind that it isn't pitching that wins the NL East. It's offense, offense, offense in that div, baby.

Posted by: glenn at January 26, 2008 07:54 PM

Victorino is a 4th OF at best, you have Utley and thats it. Im going to enjoy watching Santana sit down rolly polly Howard to get him started of his 200 k's

Posted by: Philliess*ck at January 26, 2008 08:29 PM

remember all those pictures of little kids crying in the october 1st ny daily news? i often wonder what those kids were crying about?

oh yeah...

Posted by: Jayson at January 26, 2008 10:44 PM

more strolling down memory lane...

marlon anderson's interference.

the six error game.

werth's two steals in the ninth.

billy wagner pitching into pat burrell's "one-path swing". then again. and again.

dancing on the field, sipping on that sweet, sweet champagne...

sorry, fellows. all in good fun. at the end of day, both our squads were losers in 2007. i just love that this rivalry is in full swing.

Posted by: Tadahito at January 26, 2008 11:01 PM

The Mets need a durable and proven left fielder. They already have plenty of options which are more reliable than the aged Alou.

Posted by: Baseball Etc at January 26, 2008 11:25 PM

its ridiculous how ppl are disrespecting reyes, considering hes 24 years old, dont forget jimmy rollins was a below average shortstop 2 years ago. Ryan Howard is a product of Citizens Bank, and i wouldnt be suprised if the contract problems affected his play, and possibly the steroid issue, theres no reason to think he wasn't a product of that.not to mention beltran being the top centerfielder in the national league, a 30 homer 110 rbi guy with great defense. the phillies will definitely miss rowands play in the outfield. and as bad as the mets played in september it took an absolute revelation for the phillies just to win by one game, then show their true colors in the playoffs. their rotation is thinner than the mets, hamels maybe an ace, kendrick is less proven than either perez or maine, and eaton can only beat the mets. not to mention, counting on myers who has still yet to figure himself out. also an over the hill gordon and lidge, who will be sure to give the fans agita. utley is their star, he is the premier second basemen in the league. and with santana, expect the mets to run away with the division. and without him expect the braves to finish second behind the mets by 2 or 3 games. p.s. im not a met fan, im a psycic

Posted by: 10,000losses at January 26, 2008 11:50 PM

its ridiculous how ppl are disrespecting reyes, considering hes 24 years old, dont forget jimmy rollins was a below average shortstop 2 years ago. Ryan Howard is a product of Citizens Bank, and i wouldnt be suprised if the contract problems affected his play, and possibly the steroid issue, theres no reason to think he wasn't a product of that.not to mention beltran being the top centerfielder in the national league, a 30 homer 110 rbi guy with great defense. the phillies will definitely miss rowands play in the outfield. and as bad as the mets played in september it took an absolute revelation for the phillies just to win by one game, then show their true colors in the playoffs. their rotation is thinner than the mets, hamels maybe an ace, kendrick is less proven than either perez or maine, and eaton can only beat the mets. not to mention, counting on myers who has still yet to figure himself out. also an over the hill gordon and lidge, who will be sure to give the fans agita. utley is their star, he is the premier second basemen in the league. and with santana, expect the mets to run away with the division. and without him expect the braves to finish second behind the mets by 2 or 3 games. p.s. im not a met fan, im a psycic

Posted by: 10,000losses at January 26, 2008 11:51 PM

LMAO at yet another silly article (and user comments) intended to bash the Mets. Get on the bandwagon, Met-haters!

BTW, exactly what is Beltran bouncing back from? The guy had 33 HRS and 112 RBIS. Yeah, he was pree-tay bad last year :)

Posted by: rw6194 at January 27, 2008 09:31 AM

David, I'm going to be very annoyed when you post the article for the Dodgers and the link shows that the list of "worst" lineups all have Juan Pierre batting leadoff.*

* Disclaimer--Yes, I know that Pierre actually *is* a better hitter than the Dodgers' pitching staff as a whole, though admittedly it's a depressingly close call compared to actual major league hitters.

Posted by: M. Scott Eiland at January 27, 2008 12:58 PM

Utley's a stud both at the plate and in the field, and I'd take him over both Reyes and Beltran. But Howard's overrated (because he plays first base and plays it poorly, not because of the K's) and Jimmy Rollins had his career year and still wasn't better than Reyes (though he wasn't worse.) Shane Victorino doesn't strike fear into pitchers, but he does everything else well -- get on base, run the bases, field the ball, and throw the ball. He's one of the best outfielders in the NL when you combine his range and arm. The difference between the home parks of the Mets and Phillies is huge and makes the Phillies look better on offense than they really are. No, I'm not a Mets fan.

Posted by: Sky at January 27, 2008 01:43 PM

You can always gauge the validity of someone's opinion by how many times they call other people names. Say one thing though the Mets may not be able to rival the NYY on the field but their choke job last year was right there with the '04 NYY.

Posted by: Bandit at January 27, 2008 07:58 PM
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