Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
October 11, 2007
Right At Someone

Teammates and coaches aren't surprised Stephen Drew hit well in the NLDS. Drew, according to them, hit well all year:

"It's a crazy game, that's all you can say," injured Diamondbacks second baseman Orlando Hudson said. "It's got nothing to do with pressing. It was unbelievable. That was the hardest .230 from a young man I've seen, hitting balls like that on the screws consistently at people. It was like, 'Are they putting 25 guys out there?' because that's what it seemed like."

Throughout Drew's struggles, manager Bob Melvin never lost faith. He repeatedly told reporters that Drew's average was due more to misfortune than performance. Watch, the manager said, one day Drew will be an All-Star, not once, but several times.

"I never saw a guy that would suggest (.238)," Melvin said. "He's always had better at-bats than that. I think toward the end, especially against Pittsburgh, and leading into when we were able to clinch a spot in the playoffs, that Stephen Drew was elevated and it's kind of moved right into the playoffs, so it's not unexpected."

This should be something we can test with the Probabilistic Model of Range, to see if he collected fewer hits than expected given the parameters of the balls he put in play. But he didn't have a very high line drive percentage this season, so I'm not sure I'm buying the explanation.


Posted by David Pinto at 07:44 AM | Players | TrackBack (0)
Comments

It's really hard to take this stuff for granted. Considering his age/experience level and that they are progressing in to the postseason The D'Backs certainly have incentive to boost Drew's confidence.

Now if it were other teams' managers saying that, then it would be worth looking in to.

This reminds me of how every March from 1987 to 1994 we'd get articles in pre-season about how much Carter's (or Sasser's) hand hurt from catching Gooden's fastball which is "faster than ever", and that the real Doc Gooden is back, even when we knew that that just wasn't possible anymore.

Posted by: Aryeh at October 11, 2007 08:39 AM

Drew's BABIP was .277 this year. Below average, but not awful either.

And as Pinto pointed out, his line drive % was low.

Bringing his BABIP up to .300 (approx. league average) would have made his numbers look better, but still not good.

Posted by: dave at October 11, 2007 10:43 AM

Back in 2005, Stephen was compared to a left handed hitting Miguel Tejada by Baseball America's scouts.

I would say he has lived up to and even surpassed that comparison.

Posted by: Tony at October 11, 2007 06:28 PM
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