Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
August 22, 2007
Return of the Thief

Jose Reyes tied his career high last night of 64 stolen bases. It looks like he'll leave that number in the dust over the rest of the season.

ReyesSteals7493237_Mets_v_Nationals.jpg

17 August 2007: New York Mets shortstop Jose Reyes (7) steals second base in the 5th inning against the Washington Nationals. The Mets defeated the Nationals 6-2 at RFK Stadium in Washington, D.C.

Photo: Mark Goldman/Icon SMI

Devon Young sends along this bit of research to put Jose's base running season into context:

I thought you'd like this reference list I made for myself. This list shows everyone who had 65 or more steals at the end of August...covering between 1957-2006.

65 Steals by the end of August, 1957-2006
SeasonRunnerSteals through Aug. 31
1992 Marquis Grissom 66
1991 Otis Nixon 67
1990 Vince Coleman 76
1988 Rickey Henderson 74
Vince Coleman 69
1987 Vince Coleman 90
1986 Vince Coleman 88
Rickey Henderson 74
Eric Davis 65
1985 Vince Coleman 95
1983 Rickey Henderson 92
1982 Rickey Henderson 123
1981 Tim Raines* 71
1980 Ron LeFlore 86
Omar Moreno 79
Rickey Henderson 66
1979 Ron LeFlore 66
Willie Wilson 65
1974 Lou Brock 94
1965 Maury Wills 83
1962 Maury Wills 73

*(in only 88 games)

Not a very long list, and most of that was done by only a few men (11) and not since 15 years ago. It's an even shorter list if you only count 70 or more (7), and nobody's done that since 17 years ago. So Reyes is already in some exclusive company even before September starts. I think Reyes wants to end August at 70+.

Between 1920 and 1957, steals were much rarer and in some season a guy with 20 steals could lead the league. So there's really nobody in those years who had 65 by the end of August. I didn't check the deadball era stats, but I imagine it would be similar to the 1980's.

The increase in offense over the last 15 years made the steal a less valuable strategy. Why risk being thrown out if the next batter is somewhat likely to get a long hit? But Reyes keeps his caught stealing very low, so for the Mets this strategy adds to their run production and diversifies their offense.


Posted by David Pinto at 02:33 PM | Base Running | TrackBack (0)
Comments

Only one player in that list shares something else in common with Jose Reyes, other than the stolen bases.

Anyone care to guess?

Posted by: spindle at August 22, 2007 09:11 PM

Probably Coleman leading the league so many times in his first few seasons?

Posted by: Devon Young at August 22, 2007 10:12 PM

That's a great answer and probably also correct.

My answer is that only Maury Wills and Reyes are SS's.
All the others are OF's.

Posted by: spindle at August 23, 2007 01:14 AM
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