Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
February 26, 2007
Bonds in Shape

Steve Yozwiak reports that Barry Bonds looks like he's ready to break Hank Aaron's home run record:

By all accounts, Bonds is healthy and in top shape. He looks great, and his manner is more relaxed than in recent years. He says he is unconcerned about the continuing federal investigation into the use of steroids in baseball. If he stays healthy and focused, he would need to average just over one home run per week during 162 games this summer.

The various projections I've seen are a bit conservative. BIS put his home runs at 32, the highest out there and I think closest to reality. Bonds appeared to regain his health and his stroke at the end of 2006. To me the big thing was that he was able to move in the outfield without a lot of pain. While his injury risk remains high, forty home runs from Bonds would not surprise me.


Posted by David Pinto at 07:44 PM | Players | TrackBack (0)
Comments

re: barry bonds

Well, you put it right there--the injury risk remains high.

For Bonds to break the record, not only would he have to have the best season of any 42-year old position player ever, but he would have to go through the season relatively injury free and get enough at bats.

The likelihood is he will have minor or major injuries enough to make him miss one third of the season or more.

Consequently, the better bet is it will take him two seasons, not one, to break this record.

--arthur j kyriazis, philly

Posted by: arthur john kyriazis at February 27, 2007 07:47 AM
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