Albert Pujols hit his fifth double of the year tonight and is fast approaching 200 for his career (he needs six more). Given that Pujols is only 25, should we start thinking about Albert breaking the doubles record?

The record is 792 by Tris Speaker. Bill James believes a record becomes soft when the yearly leader's total is about 1/18th of the record. For the doubles record that would be 44 a season. Over the first four years of his career, Pujols is averaging 47 doubles a year.

Albert is entering the peak of his career. He's already had two seasons of 50 doubles. If he can put together 250+ doubles over the next five years, he'd enter his 30's about 350 away from the record. That's 35 doubles a year for a player starting to decline. If he lay a very good foundation over the next five seasons (maybe with a couple of 60 double seasons), he'll have a shot at Speaker.

Update: Pujols hit his 2nd double of the night. He's 3 for 4 and has driven in all four runs for the Cardinals this evening.