September 23, 2018

Massive Tie Scenario

All the NL teams that needed to win won today. The Cardinals, Dodgers, and Rockies all won in the NL Wild West scenario. (The Dodgers were nice enough to win 14-0 on football Sunday.) The probability of a three-way tie among these three teams goes up to 0.0376. The most likely win total for a tie moves up to 90 wins.

For Monday, the best results would be:

  • The Cardinals fall to the Brewers.
  • The Rockies beat the Phillies.
  • The Dodgers lose to the Diamondbacks.

Once again, the Rockies winning is the most important game of the day. If the Cardinals beat the Brewers and the Cubs lose, we might need to start considering a three-way tie in the NL Central as well.

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