Aaron Judge hit his 45th home run of the season Wednesday afternoon as the Yankees defeated the Twins 11-3. He needs five home runs to break Mark McGwire‘s rookie record, and my estimate of the probability of him setting a new record stands at 0.072, or about 7%.
Giancarlo Stanton hit his 56th home run of the season Wednesday afternoon as the Marlins beat the Mets 9-2. There has never been a major league player who finished the season with 55 home runs. Stanton’s probability of reaching 62 home runs stands at 0.05, or about 5%.
Miguel Rojas of the Marlins also homered today, his annual home run. He was one of four players with at least 200 PA this season who had not homered. This is Rojas’s fourth season, and he hit exactly one home run in each of the first three. The Marlins should bench him to keep the streak intact!
Judge is also 1K away from being the first player in history (I think) to k 200 times and walk 100 times. Not sure any other rookie has struck out 200 times.
Of course in these days of historic league K and HR rates such stats dont tell us much. We really should be looking at HR+ and K+
Nope, Adam Dunn in 2012: 105 BBs, 222 K’s. But he only hit .204 that year.
Also of note from yesterday’s doings. Mike Moustakas set the KC franchise record with his 37th dinger.
Steve Balboni was their record holder for 30 years, and was easily the worst player, and that was the least valuable season, to have such a record.
Moustakas, to be fair, is not much better, with a 1.9 WAR seaason, compared to Bye-Bye’s 1.1 WAR, not that anybody knew that at the time.
Travis M. Nelson » This reminds me of when Harold Baines set the White Sox career home run record with less than 200 home runs. One reason the White Sox won nothing for so long is they never adapted to the long ball style of the rest of the American League until the 1980s.