The 2017 series on team offense continues with the San Diego Padres. The Padres finished tenth in the National League and tied for twentieth in the majors in 2016 with 4.23 runs scored per game.

I am using RotoChamp as a source of default lineups. That Andy Green order is plugged into the Lineup Analysis Tool (LAT) using Musings Marcels as the batter projections. For the pitchers, slot, I used the actual values for the Padres in 2016. That information produces the following results (Runs per game):

Best lineup: 4.21
Probable lineup: 4.01
Worst lineup: 3.62
Regressed lineup: 3.92

This does not look like a very powerful lineup, but there are bits of hope. Hunter Renfroe, Austin Hedges, and Luis Sardinas are all young with minimal MLB experience. You need to realize that their projections come with a very low confidence level. Sardinas did a good job getting on base in the minors until he hit AAA at a young age. Renfroe showed good power in the minors. Hedges got on base and hit for power at AAA. There is a lot of upside in those three.

Travis Jankowski is on the edge of this category. He’ll play 2017 as a 25 year old, so he’s already entering his prime years. He doesn’t have much MLB service, however.

Padres fans should keep their expectations low. Don’t expect an improvement over the team’s 2016 scoring level. Know, however, that a much better offense is not out of the question.

You can follow the data for the series in this Google spreadsheet.

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Previous posts in this series:

• Introduction
• Boston Red Sox
• Colorado Rockies
• Chicago Cubs
• Cleveland Indians
• St. Louis Cardinals
• Seattle Mariners
• Texas Rangers
• Washington Nationals
• Toronto Blue Jays
• Detroit Tigers
• Arizona Diamondbacks
• Baltimore Orioles
• Pittsburgh Pirates
• Los Angeles Dodgers
• Houston Astros
• Minnesota Twins
• Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
• Cincinnati Reds
• San Francisco Giants
• Chicago White Sox