December 9, 2016

Expensive No Trade

Ken Rosenthal reports on the Dexter Fowler deal with the Cardinals:

The $82.5 million contract seems low to me. I estimate that Fowler should produce about 13 WAR over the next five seasons, which should put his value closer to $104 million. The value of a free-agent WAR is around $8 million this year, but the Cardinals are paying $6.4 million per WAR to Fowler. Could a no-trade clause really be worth $22 million? Maybe there is something else in the deal of value to Fowler.

Josh Brown thinks the Cardinals overpaid.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *