Massive ties are still possible in both leagues. The three way tie for both NL Wild Card slots is tenuous, however. All three competing teams won Friday night, and a Mets win or a Cardinals loss on Saturday ends the possibility of a three-way tie.

That is the only combination that can produce a tie. The probability of that, assuming these are .530 teams, in 0.0309, or about 1 in 32.

Of the four American League teams competing for the wild card, only the Blue Jays lost. The four-way tie is still alive, but a Baltimore win or a Seattle loss ends that possibility:

The probability of this scenario is 0.0123, or about 1 in 81.

Two three-way tie possibilities exist, however. There are two possible ways for both to happen, I show the highest win combination below.

This scenario has a probability of 0.0653 or about 1 in 15.

Here is a three-way tie for the second slot:

The probability of this scenario is 0.0943, or about 1 in 10. It is the best hope. There is also the possibility that Baltimore, Seattle, and Detroit wind up with 88 wins. The nice thing is that there is a somewhat high sample space (for two days left in the season) in which a massive tie is possible.

The best outcomes for Saturday:

• The Mets must lose to the Phillies.
• The Cardinals must beat the Pirates.
• The Orioles fall to the Yankees.
• The Giants can win or lose against the Dodgers.
• The Blue Jays suffer defeat at the hands of the Red Sox.
• The Tigers defeat the Braves.
• The Mariners win against the Athletics.

The Mets and Cardinals both play at 1 PM Eastern, so we should know fairly early if the NL tie survives. The Mariners are the last game of the day.