Here are the top picks my programs produced for use in Beat the Streak. This post mostly explains the ideas behind the calculations. In addition, this post shows tests on the Neural Network (NN). This post discusses an NN that includes the ballpark. I recently update the models, and the results of those tests are here.

First, the Log5 Method picks:

0.340 — Jose Altuve batting against Gerrit Cole
0.328 — Daniel Murphy batting against Wade Miley
0.326 — Martin Prado batting against Dillon Gee
0.323 — Dee Gordon batting against Dillon Gee
0.320 — J.T. Realmuto batting against Dillon Gee
0.319 — J.D. Martinez batting against Tyler Duffey
0.314 — Christian Yelich batting against Dillon Gee
0.314 — Miguel Cabrera batting against Tyler Duffey
0.313 — Starling Marte batting against Collin McHugh
0.312 — DJ LeMahieu batting against Zach Davies

Log5 likes the typical good hitters today, but it also likes the Marlins against Dillon Gee. DJ LeMahieu did not play Tuesday night due to an injury, but is not on the disabled list. Check lineups if you are going to choose him today.

The NN produces this list:

0.340, 0.780 — Jose Altuve batting against Gerrit Cole.
0.328, 0.755 — Daniel Murphy batting against Wade Miley.
0.323, 0.751 — Dee Gordon batting against Dillon Gee.
0.326, 0.743 — Martin Prado batting against Dillon Gee.
0.288, 0.739 — Corey Seager batting against Johnny Cueto.
0.312, 0.738 — DJ LeMahieu batting against Zach Davies.
0.319, 0.734 — J.D. Martinez batting against Tyler Duffey.
0.320, 0.732 — J.T. Realmuto batting against Dillon Gee.
0.314, 0.732 — Miguel Cabrera batting against Tyler Duffey.
0.314, 0.727 — Christian Yelich batting against Dillon Gee.
0.313, 0.727 — Starling Marte batting against Collin McHugh.

The two systems seem to be in agreement today. The big difference, the NN pulls in Corey Seager. Jose Altuve only has two games in August without a hit.

The NN with park factored in modifies the list like this:

0.340, 0.778 — Jose Altuve batting against Gerrit Cole.
0.328, 0.757 — Daniel Murphy batting against Wade Miley.
0.323, 0.754 — Dee Gordon batting against Dillon Gee.
0.326, 0.748 — Martin Prado batting against Dillon Gee.
0.312, 0.747 — DJ LeMahieu batting against Zach Davies.
0.319, 0.740 — J.D. Martinez batting against Tyler Duffey.
0.320, 0.738 — J.T. Realmuto batting against Dillon Gee.
0.288, 0.738 — Corey Seager batting against Johnny Cueto.
0.314, 0.738 — Miguel Cabrera batting against Tyler Duffey.
0.314, 0.733 — Christian Yelich batting against Dillon Gee.
0.301, 0.733 — Charles Blackmon batting against Zach Davies.

It looks like Altuve, Murphy, Gordon, and Prado are all great picks. Even your best ones will fail to get a hit 25% of the time. Good luck!