The Red Sox lead the Orioles by one game as Boston travels to Baltimore for a four-game series. Steven Wright takes the hill against Tyler Wilson. Wright is impressive for a knuckleball pitcher, as he doesn’t walk many batters. This year, he appears to be getting better movement, too, as opponents hit just three home runs off him, compared to 12 home runs in 12 more innings last season. Wilson is that rate pitcher who allows a high number of balls in play, but a low number of hits per inning. In his brief career, his ERA is well before his xFIP.

The Dodgers visit Chicago to play the best team in baseball, the Cubs. Alex Wood faces Jason Hammel. With good K/BB/HR numbers, Wood should have a better ERA than his 4.03 mark. He performed poorly with runners in scoring position, allowing a .359/.400/.513 slash line. Hammel’s 2.17 ERA would represent his best single season performance. He cut his home run rate more than 50% compared to the last two seasons.

Philadelphia find themselves just 3 1/2 games back in the NL East race as the first place Nationals come to town. Tanner Roark battles Jeremy Hellickson. Roark upped his strike out rate this season, and his walk rate rose with it. Trading hits for walks, however, is working well. Hellickson is eating innings, but is on a pace for about 30 home runs allowed. Most of those so far have come on the road.

Enjoy!