Here are the top picks my program produced for use in Beat the Streak. This post mostly explains the ideas behind the calculations. First, the log5 list:

0.351 — Daniel Murphy batting against Michael Wacha
0.344 — Danny Valencia batting against Mike Pelfrey
0.340 — Josh Reddick batting against Mike Pelfrey
0.326 — Billy Burns batting against Mike Pelfrey
0.322 — Robinson Cano batting against Ricky Nolasco
0.320 — Jed Lowrie batting against Mike Pelfrey
0.312 — Josh Phegley batting against Mike Pelfrey
0.305 — Xander Bogaerts batting against R.A. Dickey
0.304 — Stephen Vogt batting against Mike Pelfrey
0.304 — Buster Posey batting against Christopher Rusin

Now, the Neural Network (NN) list:

0.304, 0.759 — Buster Posey batting against Christopher Rusin.
0.287, 0.750 — Jose Altuve batting against Nicholas Tropeano.
0.322, 0.749 — Robinson Cano batting against Ricky Nolasco.
0.289, 0.744 — Joe Panik batting against Christopher Rusin.
0.291, 0.743 — Matt Duffy batting against Christopher Rusin.
0.344, 0.742 — Danny Valencia batting against Mike Pelfrey.
0.326, 0.740 — Billy Burns batting against Mike Pelfrey.
0.272, 0.739 — Josh Harrison batting against Martin Perez.
0.284, 0.737 — Denard Span batting against Christopher Rusin.
0.279, 0.736 — Howie Kendrick batting against Bartolo Colon.
0.351, 0.735 — Daniel Murphy batting against Michael Wacha.

The log5 method I’m using does not like Mike Pelfry. The NN method doesn’t like Chris Rusin.

I publish these lists as a guide, a way to point you in the right direction. Rusin was on the list yesterday, then the Rockies pushed him back a day. Catchers, like Buster Posey, get lots of days off. I don’t have the disabled list memorized, so someone might pop up who is hurt. Good luck!