Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
January 18, 2009
Ignoring Intangibles

Lone Star Ball links to a story summing up the Michael Young situation in Texas. I love description of seamheads (emphasis added):

One side held that the Rangers owed Young more respect than to simply order him to move. The other said Young is a highly compensated employee who needs to simply do what he's told. That group was bolstered by the "seamheads" -- ardent fans of baseball statistics -- who judge things almost strictly by the numbers, and thus tend to disparage Young because of his lack of range at short, and ignore the intangibles he brings to the organization.

Maybe seamheads should take a course is quantifying things that aren't capable of being appraised at an actual or approximate value. Here's the syllabus:

  1. Guessing.
  2. Defending the guess with anecdotes.
  3. Adding smugness.

Yeah, that's the ticket.


Posted by David Pinto at 11:04 AM | Statistics | TrackBack (0)
Comments

Somewhere out there, dak, Coach, Matthew Murbles, Ken Tremendous, and Jr., are smiling.

Posted by: James at January 18, 2009 11:44 AM

Yeah, but what is Young' s ranking on the Eckstein grittiness scale?

Posted by: John Royal at January 18, 2009 12:29 PM

Now you've done it, Mr. Pinto. Expect a visit from David Eckstein, Doug Flynn, and Rodney Scott--who will all smite you with Grand Slam Intangibles until you scream your love for the gritty little guys with 60 OPS+, and the shortstops who can't cover the ground concealed by Paris Hilton's swimwear.

Posted by: M. Scott Eiland at January 18, 2009 01:01 PM

Wouldn't he have the same intangibles at another position? Or are his intangibles a product of playing short?

Posted by: John Salmon at January 18, 2009 03:16 PM

Wouldn't he have the same intangibles at another position? Or are his intangibles a product of playing short?

Posted by: John Salmon at January 18, 2009 03:17 PM

(sorry)

Posted by: John Salmon at January 18, 2009 03:18 PM

Wouldn't he have the same intangibles at another position? Or are his intangibles a product of playing short?

You can ask the Cult of Jeter about that one, including why ARod--a vastly superior defensive shortstop to Jeter--ended up at third in NY rather than displace the Holy One.

Posted by: M. Scott Eiland at January 18, 2009 04:01 PM

Its funny that Dave mocks people who think about intangibles yet, like other stat-based baseball guys I read, is very quick to attribute results to "luck". Maybe luck can be quantified by you guys this season - call it luckyishness!!

Posted by: Phil at January 19, 2009 01:03 AM

We do quanitfy luck. We look at expected won-loss records based on runs scored. We look at expected batting averages based on BABIP and LD%. We look at fielding independent pitching and run support. We quanitfy luck all the time.

Posted by: David PInto at January 19, 2009 08:29 AM

News flash: "seamheads" hate "intangibles" because they can't quantify them. Blah, blah, blah, rant, mouthfoam, repeat...

Oh, and one other thing: Unwillingness to cooperate with the organization, however justified, strikes me as an "intangible." When the anti-seamheads be willing to try to quantify THAT on behalf of their own (flawed) arguments?

Posted by: Hendo at January 19, 2009 09:51 AM

Intangibles sound a lot better when your team wins occassionally.

Posted by: bandit at January 19, 2009 11:02 AM

Dave - You don't quantify luck, you identify it - and that idea is of luck is just as voodoo as intangibles. In reality (and in hard sciences), the difference between what you expect and what is observed = crappiness of your model. When you chalk that difference up to luck, you stop being as empirical as you think you are.

Posted by: Phil at January 19, 2009 03:15 PM

Phil: you're arguing over semantical differences. Luck is essentially what happens within margins of error. It's not crappiness; it is impossible to make a perfect model (unless you're Steven Wright and you have a map of the US that's actual size). Luck is quantified when it's identified, but it can't be modeled; otherwise, it wouldn't be luck.

Posted by: rone at January 21, 2009 08:01 PM
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