Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
November 03, 2008
Peavy Consensus

The consensus of polled general managers is that Jake Peavy will be traded.

Peavy is a valuable commodity due to his under market contract. Since the Padres don't feel that the money saved on Peavy can be used to turn them into winners while keeping Jake, a trade is in the offing.

As much as I understand these deals, I really don't like them. Maybe it goes back to Bill James's article on the Oakland Athletics in his 1985 Baseball Abstract. After giving reasons why the A's might come out ahead on the Henderson trade, James concludes:

Butt (sic) I wouldn't have made it. Did they get a fair price for Rickey Henderson? It's kind of like if you're an art collector and you have the Mona Lisa, what's a fair price for it? The idea in building a championship team is to acquire players like Rickey Henderson. It's a sad day when you have to give one away.

The A's did do well in the Henderson trade, although Jose Rijo came back to bite them in 1990. The Padres may make out well also, but it may be three or four years before we know that for sure.


Posted by David Pinto at 02:57 PM | Trades | TrackBack (0)
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Posted by: ecxntx at November 3, 2008 05:41 PM

Peavy's a fine pitcher. But he has benefitted enormously from the best pitcher's park in baseball. This year the split was almost comical: 1.75 in PETCO, 4.28 everywhere else. Over the three years 2005-07 the split was a little less pronounced but still significant: 2.72 in the pitcher's paradise, 3.73 elsewhere.

Not saying that Peavy can't help a lot of teams. But any team should at least look at the splits before leaping.

Posted by: Casey Abell at November 4, 2008 10:55 AM
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