Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
September 12, 2008
Hit it With the Formula

Earlier in the season one of my SportingNews.com columns developed a formula for predicting team saves from a team's winning percentage and average margin of victory (AMV). The Angels' AMV rose since that article, but is still low at 2.85. Interestingly, the team with the lowest AVM is another contender for best record in the league, the Tampa Bay Rays. The two teams show the variation in the results of the formula. The prediction for the two teams is for 55 saves on the year (55.1 for LAnaheim, 55.0 for Tampa Bay). The Rays pace puts them at 53 saves for the season, the Angels 65. Both teams provided their closers with the chance at the record, but the Angels exceeding expectations, and the relative health of K-Rod brought the record home to Anaheim.


Posted by David Pinto at 08:46 AM | Statistics | TrackBack (0)
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