August 10, 2008
F's for the A's
The Oakland Athletics fall to the Tigers 4-1. The manage just one run off Nate Robertson in 7 2/3 innings. Nate Robertson walked just one and struck out five. This is the same Nate Robertson who came into the game with a 6.11 ERA, 42 walks and just 85 strikeouts. Unfortunately for the A's, this performance has been typical over the last month.
Since July 12th, the team's record stands at 3-20. The have been outscored by 63 runs, an average of 2.7 runs per game. That's pretty much the level of scoring for the team, 2.8 runs per game.
You can't blame it all on the offense, however. The pitchers have allowed 127 runs, 5.5 per game. What was once the best starting staff in the AL owns a 5.89 ERA over this period.
I'm a big a fan of Billy Beane as anyone, but he screwed up this year. This was a team in contention, arguably playing better ball than the LAnaheim Angels, even though it didn't show up in the won-loss record. In the past, Beane was able to make mid-season trades that improved the team and sent them on winning streaks almost as good as this losing streak. This time, however, he tore the heart out of the pitching staff, and the result is a team that obviously no longer cares and no longer even tries to win. Nate Robertson is a hittable pitcher. The Athletics, however, trot out a lineup that can't get on base, can't hit for power, and can't score runs. It's a joke and an embarrassment. Greg Smith lasted just 4 2/3 because he walked seven batters and ran up his pitch count. He was lucky to allow just one run.
The A's may have a plan, but it's getting harder to see. Maybe keeping Haren and Harden and drafting players who can actually hit would have been a better strategy.
The A's were playing way over their heads. Most preseason projections had the A's coming in six games or so behind the Angels, which is exactly where they were while playing much better than expected.
I would guess that Beane looked at the team and estimated that at season's end, the Angels would be 2-3 games ahead and he'd be out a playoff spot, based on reasonable expectations. Under those circumstances, why would you hold onto combustible assets like Harden and Blanton?
I do think that he sold low on Harden - although it is hard to imagine a high sell on Harden, as the only way to maximize his value is to trade him the day before he gets hurt again - but not that he shouldn't have been looking to deal.
Dave,
I respectfully disagree with you (doesn't happen often). It seems clear (at least to me) that Beane concluded the As were not going to make the playoffs this year (the way the Angels have been playing, it appears to be a reasonable conclusion). As a result, he traded the most valuable players and restocked his farm system for the long run. I read a quote recently (I couldn't find it after a 30 second search) from a scout who said that with the players As received, they are set for the next 10 years. The scout can be wrong and is obviously exaggerating a bit, but the point stands nonetheless. The As are well positioned for the future, especially considering their low cost model.
I am also disappointed in Beane's moves. One of the prize prospects, Carlos Gonzalez, looks like a "toolsy" player who doesn't draw walks, the kind of player the A's used to know well enough to avoid. Ryan Sweeney doesn't appear to have much power and none of the recent pickups have impressive hitting credentials. How is Emil Brown helping the team? Haven't we seen enough of Crosby to know he is not a real star? Wouldn't it be nice to have Milton Bradley still around?
Gotta disagree with you, David. The Dodgers are in much the same scenario, but they elected to open new holes in their infield by shipping Andy LaRoche, relief depth in Jon Meloan and Bryan Morris, and a possible starting catcher in Carlos Santana for a pair of two-month rentals. This is exactly the same mistake, though perhaps not in quite as much volume, as the Mariners made in the offseason. Just as the M's cratered, the Dodgers made it plain this weekend that they can't even beat the bad teams in their own division (and make no mistake, the 50-66 Giants are not a good team).
There are a number of delusional Dodger fans who think this team could go places in the postseason, but it seems obvious that that is just wishcasting. Beane at least recognized where his team was and where it was heading, and so a rebuilding was in order. Of course, he's done that a couple years running now, so take that for what it's worth.