Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
July 30, 2008
McGriff and Teixeira
Casey Kotchman

Casey Kotchman
Photo: Icon SMI

In 1993, the Atlanta Braves faced a problem. They consistently trailed the San Francisco Giants in the middle of July by 8 or 9 games. Their first baseman, Sid Bream, hit like a poor shortstop. So they traded three prospects for Fred McGriff, having an off year for the Padres. The three prospects amounted to very little, but McGriff caught fire power wise and helped the Braves to a great comeback. (The change of park probably helped.)

Tuesday, trailing the NL East leader consistently by 6 1/2 to 7 1/2 games over three weeks, the Braves trade a top hitting first baseman away. While Casey Kotchman is no Sid Bream, he's still hitting below average for a major league first baseman.

First Basemen, 2008
StatTeixeiraKotchmanML Average
Batting Average .283.287.271
On-Base Average .390.327.354
Slugging Percentage .512.448.454

The Braves have changed. Frank Wren made a trade that turned a strength into a weakness. John Schuerholz did just the opposite during his tenure. He was excellent at identifying a weakness on the Braves, and trading for or signing a player to shore up the position. Wren certainly has a huge hole in the outfield with Jeff Francoeur and needs help in the back of the rotation. By not addressing the real weaknesses of the team, Wren shows that he doesn't understand the model that made the Braves successful for well over a decade.


Posted by David Pinto at 07:35 AM | Trades | TrackBack (0)
Comments

I don't know how I feel about this trade because I wonder if the Braves would have been better off taking draft picks when Tex leaves in free agency. But to compare this Braves team to the 93 Braves based on how many games back they are is ridiculous. That team was 19 games above .500 and had won 11 of 15 since the All-Star Break. They trailed only one team that couldn't possibly keep up the pace they were on. The current team trails three others in the division. They just lost their best hitter and their best pitcher to the DL. This team clearly doesn't have what it takes. Whether Frank Wren is partially to blame is another story, but to say that trading Tex proves he doesn't get it, is extremely unfair.

Posted by: Jay Wright at July 30, 2008 08:56 AM

I wouldn't go around ascribing rational thought processes to an organization that thinks Casey Kotchman is more valuable than 2 first round draft picks.*

* This is because they are afraid to pay bonuses. Because they don't get it.

Posted by: Matt Davis at July 30, 2008 10:37 AM

David, I think there is one key difference here. In 1993, Ted Turner owned the Braves, and he wanted to win. In 2008, a media conglamerate owns the Braves, and they want to make a profit. I think Wren's hands are tied, and there's only so much he can do.

Posted by: John Royal at July 30, 2008 10:38 AM

If this was the best the Braves could get for Tex they should have held on to him for the picks. No kick against Kotchman but he is what he is. He is good defensively but with little power at 1B. Tough to see him being a regular for a contender.

Posted by: Bandit at July 30, 2008 11:47 AM

Wow David, your stock has dropped in my opinion. To say Wren doesn't get it, like someone said above me is extremely unfair. Also I'm pretty sure that JS had to sign off on this deal - so you're basically saying that both Wren and the guy that had Wren's seat just a year ago doesn't get it either.

Sad.

Posted by: Rain Delay at July 30, 2008 01:34 PM

"No kick against Kotchman but he is what he is. He is good defensively but with little power at 1B. Tough to see him being a regular for a contender."

Yeah, he certainly doesn't have a history of being a regular for a contender.

Posted by: Los Angeles Waterloo of Black Hawk at July 30, 2008 03:18 PM

The difference between Kotchman and Teixeira is not as great as some are saying. Tex is a great player, but Kotchman is no slouch either. He is 25 years old, plays very good defense, will hit close to .300 with 20 -25 homers. When he hits his prime in a year or two he could easily develop into a power hitter. Braves realized it isn't happening this year and decided Kotchman will be a bigger contributer the next couple years than the draft picks. It also works for LAA as Vlad needs protection in the order. Win - win trade.

Posted by: largebill at July 30, 2008 05:18 PM

"Frank Wren made a trade that turned a strength into a weakness."

I think this is an unfair statement. After Teixeira left, the Braves were looking at a huge black hole at 1B next season, and Kotchman at least gives the Braves a semi-decent player without much cost.

Also, Kotchman walked twice as often in 2007, so don't be surprised if his OBP improves. Finally, he's young enough that he may develop some more power.

Is the author really suggesting that the Braves should have further depleted the farm system in a desperate attempt to make the playoffs this season? If so, I strongly disagree. First, the Braves find themselves behind not one, but three teams. Secondly, the '93 Braves were already a good team before they got McGriff, whereas the '08 Braves are sitting below .500. I don't know anyone who follows the Braves who believes that the Braves were one player away from making a run at the playoffs.

Finally, with 3 rounds in the playoffs rather than 2, the odds of winning the World Series is lower even if you do make the playoffs, so it makes less sense to make long-term sacrifices for one shot at a title.

Posted by: K-Funk at July 30, 2008 07:03 PM

I must add that Chipper and Hudson recently went on the DL, which makes the chances of a playoff run even more remote.

Maybe the author wasn't really suggesting that the Braves should have been buyers. But then, what was the point of the McGriff comparison?

(And lest you believe that JS had the Midas touch for acquiring players for a post-season run, it was just last season that JS acquired Teixeira, which didn't work out as well as the Braves hoped.)

Posted by: K-Funk at July 30, 2008 07:11 PM

I don't think this is evidence that Wren doesn't get it; I think this is evidence that, like the Indians, Wren looked at the product on the field and decided it wasn't going to get the job done.

With Chipper and Hudson leaving a mediocre team, I can't say I blame him. Had Wren gone the other way and looked to deal for, say, Manny, that would have been hubris on the Minaya/Expos scale from a few years ago.

Kotchman's biggest problem is that he hasn't stayed healthy, which means he doesn't stay on the field long enough for his glove to boost his bat. He's an excellent-fielding, average-for-1B bat with some projection/upside left who is under team control for three more years.

You can fault him for execution (2 months of Teixeira seems like it's worth more, but apparently not), but saying he doesn't get it just seems wrong.

Posted by: Subrata Sircar at July 30, 2008 07:11 PM

Yeah, he certainly doesn't have a history of being a regular for a contender.

Obviously LAAAAAA wouldn't have dumped him if they didn't think they needed an upgrade.

Posted by: bandit at July 30, 2008 09:46 PM
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