July 09, 2008
McCann Can
Brian McCann belted two home runs as the Braves found their bats last night, defeating the Dodgers 9-3. The Braves catcher also scored two runs to bring his season total to 39. That's low for someone with a good OBA, .363. Since he tends to bat lower in the Braves order, there's little pop coming up to drive him in.
Chipper did not take part in the offensive outburst, going 0 for 4 with a walk. That drops his batting average to .379 and the probability of his hitting .400 to .00012, as seen on the latest graph of the probability of Jones hitting .400. That gives him about a 1 in 8300 chance of hitting .400 for the season. Chipper would need to go 10 for 10 to get back to .400 quickly.
Update: Somewhat more realistically, Jones would need to hit .500 for about 15 games to get back to .400. A 30 for 60 stretch gets Chipper back to .400. That's a tall order.
Posted by David Pinto at
07:49 AM
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