June 16, 2008
Graphing Chipper
Chipper Jones went 2 for 4 Monday night, raising his batting average to .403. Despite this, the performance lowered the probability of his hitting .400, as the latest graph of Jones's probability of hitting .400 shows. Chipper's probability of hitting .400 is now 0.00047, or about 1 in 2125. With four at bats today, his projected at bats for the season went up, accounting for the slight drop in probability.
The following table show the kinds of slumps Chipper would need to suffer to lower his BA to .400:
Chipper Jones Slump Table
| Hits | At Bats |
| Zero | 2 |
| One | 4 |
| Two | 7 |
| Three | 9 |
| Four | 12 |
Posted by David Pinto at
11:41 PM
|
Records
|
TrackBack (0)
Hmmm... so if he goes 2 for 4 every day for the rest of the season he'd have no chance whatsoever of hitting .400? ;-)
Seems strange that you are updating the AB/G based on current season results but the H/AB rate does not reflect 2008 at all and reflects 1997 more than 2007!
- Aryeh