Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
June 16, 2008
Graphing Chipper

Chipper Jones went 2 for 4 Monday night, raising his batting average to .403. Despite this, the performance lowered the probability of his hitting .400, as the latest graph of Jones's probability of hitting .400 shows. Chipper's probability of hitting .400 is now 0.00047, or about 1 in 2125. With four at bats today, his projected at bats for the season went up, accounting for the slight drop in probability.

The following table show the kinds of slumps Chipper would need to suffer to lower his BA to .400:

Chipper Jones Slump Table
HitsAt Bats
Zero2
One4
Two7
Three9
Four12

Posted by David Pinto at 11:41 PM | Records | TrackBack (0)
Comments

Hmmm... so if he goes 2 for 4 every day for the rest of the season he'd have no chance whatsoever of hitting .400? ;-)

Seems strange that you are updating the AB/G based on current season results but the H/AB rate does not reflect 2008 at all and reflects 1997 more than 2007!

- Aryeh

Posted by: Aryeh at June 17, 2008 01:16 AM
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