Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
June 15, 2008
Graphing Chipper

Chipper Jones failed to pick up a hit Sunday night, going 0 for 4 as the Braves lose to the Angels 2-0. He's now batting .402 and the poor performance lowered the probability of his hitting .400, as the latest graph of Jones's probability of hitting .400 shows. Chipper's probability of hitting .400 is now 0.00048, or about 1 in 2080. His probability of hitting .400 was cut in half from yesterday.

The following table show the kinds of slumps Chipper would need to suffer to lower his BA to .400:

Chipper Jones Slump Table
HitsAt Bats
Zero1
One3
Two6
Three8
Four11

Chipper is in danger of falling under .400 on Monday for the first time since games of April 12th. His lowest BA since then was exactly .400 (52/130) through games of May 10th. He always seems to bounce off the .400 mark, but he's a bit banged up right now. The good news for Jones is that the Braves play at Coors tomorrow, where Chipper is a career .324 hitter. Over the last seven seasons Chipper's hit even better there, .354.


Posted by David Pinto at 10:51 PM | Records | TrackBack (0)
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