May 03, 2008
Lucky Sevens
Brandon Webb wins his seventh game in seven starts as the Diamondbacks defeat the Mets 10-4. It wasn't Webb's best performance as he allowed four runs in six innings, but with great run support the win was an easy one. He left with a one-run lead, but the DBacks scored five in the bottom of the eighth to ice the victory.
For his career, Webb receives a decision in 75% of his starts. With 26 starts left in the season, Webb should get another 20 decisions. If he pitches to his career winning percentage of .567, he'd earn another eleven wins, for 18 on the season. That just goes to show the difficultly pitchers face trying to win 20 games. If you think his winning percentage since the start of 2006, .660 (35/53) is a better indicator of what Webb can win, that would yield him 13 more wins, good for 20.
Of course, he could have one of those great seasons where everything goes right, but at the moment, 20 wins is much more likely than 25.
Posted by David Pinto at
08:11 PM
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Pitchers
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Hi David,
I believe in the "recent career" example, his recent career percentage of decisions should also be taken into account. Anyhow, your point is noted.