Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
April 27, 2008
Games of the Day

Sometimes there's one matchup so outstanding, it just jumps to the top of games to watch. That game takes place in San Diego where Brandon Webb faces Jake Peavy. Consider:

  • Both pitchers are undefeated.
  • Both have ERAs in the low twos.
  • There in the best pitchers park in the majors.
Bradon Webb

Brandon Webb
Photo: Icon SMI

Webb is off to a 5-0 start and averages seven innings a game. Opponents are hitting under the Mendoza line with a .188 batting average, and they are barely registering extra base hits with a .258 slugging percentage. Not only do few batters get on against Brandon, but his batting average allowed goes down as the opposition threatens; .158 with runners on, .103 with men in scoring position.

Brandon is actually allowing a line drive percentage higher than any of his last four seasons. With a very high DER behind him, I wonder if those liners are being hit right at people? If that's the case, we might see a turnaround in his numbers as the year goes on.

In 2007, Peavy was just as effective on the road as he was at pitcher friendly PETCO. So far in 2008, that's not true. He's nearly unhittable at home, as the opposition posts a line of .117/.200/.169 against him.


Jake Peavy

Jake Peavy
Photo: Icon SMI


On the road, however, batters are hitting .340 against Jake with a .617 slugging percentage. So today's game puts Jake in the perfect place to do well against Arizona. Like Webb, he gets tougher with men on base allowing, his averages allowed dropping to .163 with men on and .115 with runners in scoring position.

Unlike Webb, Jake lowered his line drive percentage this season, raised his ground ball percentage, and is doing a great job on keeping fly ball against him on the infield.

Since the start of the 2004 season, Peavy and Webb rank third and eighth respectively in ERA among pitchers with 500 innings. Both are great at keeping the ball in the park, but Webb's rank of third in the majors over that time is all the more amazing given his home park. This should be a great duel this afternoon.

Enjoy!

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Posted by David Pinto at 11:18 AM | Matchups | TrackBack (0)
Comments

what about Rays/Saw?!?!

Shields vs Beckett

1st place in the AL east on the line. That's right. A win by the Rays and an O's loss and the Rays are in first place in the AL East/swept the Red Sox and won 6 in a row...just sayin'

Posted by: Cork at April 27, 2008 01:30 PM

I would love to be able to watch the Yankees - Indians game here in Toledo, but for some inexplicable reason TBS is blacked out here. Nor can I see it on EI (using Directv).

What is up with these stupid blackout rules?

Posted by: rbj at April 27, 2008 01:43 PM

Peavy/Webb is a great matchup but it's going to have a hard time matching what Shields and Beckett did today.

Posted by: Jim Wisinski at April 27, 2008 04:15 PM
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