Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
January 31, 2008
Team Offense, Chicago Cubs

We continue to look at team offenses for 2008 with the Chicago Cubs.

Geovany Soto

Geovany Soto
Photo: Icon SMI

In 2007, the Cubs scored 4.64 runs per game.

I plugged in a likely lineup to the Lineup Analysis Tool, using the Marcel the Monkey predictions from Tom Tango. For pitchers, I used the 2007 Cubs pitchers averages. Tango did not project Fukudome, so I used his ZIPS prediction instead. The lineups rate as follows:

  • Best: 5.25 runs per game
  • Given: 4.92 runs per game
  • Worst: 4.57 runs per game

It looks like the Cubs get a nice offensive boost in 2008. Not only does Fukudome help set the table, Geovany Soto may not last long in the number eight spot. That's a great prediction for the catcher, and if he lives up to that, the Cubs pitchers can count on much better run support in this season.

I'll have to go back and look, but this looks like one of the biggest differences between the best lineup and the likely lineup. Mostly it comes from using two projected power hitters at the top and bottom of the lineup, when they should really be in the middle.

Previous teams covered in the series:


Posted by David Pinto at 08:42 AM | Team Evaluation | TrackBack (0)
Comments

I wouldn't put Pie sixth. More like 8th.

And you're right about Soto. Wasn't he the PCL's Offensive Player of the Year??

It will be a fun lineup to watch.

-tbz

Posted by: bbzealot at January 31, 2008 11:55 AM

Soto will be in the 6 hole as early as mid april...pie hits 7th or 8th. Soto could be a monster, bill james has him in the mid 800's for ops.

Posted by: adam at January 31, 2008 01:02 PM

Soto will be in the 6 hole as early as mid april...pie hits 7th or 8th. Soto could be a monster, bill james has him in the mid 800's for ops.

Posted by: adam at January 31, 2008 01:02 PM

Soto will be in the 6 hole as early as mid april...pie hits 7th or 8th. Soto could be a monster, bill james has him in the mid 800's for ops.

Posted by: adam at January 31, 2008 01:03 PM

Soto will be in the 6 hole as early as mid april...pie hits 7th or 8th. Soto could be a monster, bill james has him in the mid 800's for ops.

Posted by: aduncaroo at January 31, 2008 01:25 PM

I think Soto will be in the 6 hole as early as mid april...pie hits 7th or 8th. Soto could be a monster, bill james has him in the mid 800's for ops.

Posted by: Chris at January 31, 2008 02:59 PM

Anyone have any idea whether Soto might hit in the 6 hole? When might that happen? And where will pie bat?

Posted by: James at January 31, 2008 08:46 PM

Yes, I will be in the 6 hole. And my friend felix will bat lower in the order

Posted by: Soto at February 1, 2008 07:37 PM
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