Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
January 29, 2008
Team Offense, Tampa Bay Rays

We continue to look at team offenses for 2008 with the Tampa Bay Rays.

Evan Longoria

Evan Longoria
Photo: Icon SMI

In 2007, the Rays scored 4.83 runs per game.

I plugged in a likely lineup to the Lineup Analysis Tool, using the Marcel the Monkey predictions from Tom Tango. Marcels do not predict players who did not play in the major leagues, so I used Evan Longoria's projection from The Bill James Baseball Handbook 2008. The lineups rate as follows:

  • Best: 5.54 runs per game
  • Given: 5.45 runs per game
  • Worst: 5.21 runs per game

Wow, that's quite a jump! If Longoria lives up to that kind of power, I can see the increase happening. It also depends, however, on Pena's 2007 performance being sustainable. The other boost comes from Jason Bartlett. Not only does he bring a better glove to the infield, he's projected to increase OBA at shortstop by 26 points.

This is another example of the Rays as a team ready to gel. If they can get their young pitching and their offense to hit stride together, this is going to be a scary team.

Previous teams covered in the series:


Posted by David Pinto at 08:59 AM | Team Evaluation | TrackBack (0)
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