January 28, 2008
Team Offense, Cincinnati Reds
We continue to look at team offenses for 2008 with the Cincinnati Reds.
Ken Griffey, Jr.
Photo: Icon SMI
In 2007, the Reds scored 4.83 runs per game.
I plugged in a likely lineup to the Lineup Analysis Tool, using the Marcel the Monkey predictions from Tom Tango. For pitchers, I used the 2007 Reds pitchers averages. The lineups rate as follows:
- Best: 4.82 runs per game
- Given: 4.60 runs per game
- Worst: 4.22 runs per game
I was surprised to see the Reds drop so far from their 2007 level. One big reason is the falloff by Ken Griffey, Jr. Ken's OBA bounced back from a poor .316 in 2006 to a very good .372 in 2007. The Marcels have him falling off again. Adam Dunn falls off a bit as well, but nothing that shouldn't be expected. He's still the best hitter on the team. Young Joey Votto looks like he's going to put up good numbers as well. Otherwise, the Reds did nothing to improve the offense.
Previous teams covered in the series: