Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
January 28, 2008
Team Offense, Florida Marlins

We continue to look at team offenses for 2008 with the Florida Marlins. This one should be interesting since they lost a huge hitter in Miguel Cabrera.

Cameron Maybin

Cameron Maybin
Photo: Icon SMI

In 2007, the Marlins scored 4.88 runs per game.

I plugged in a likely lineup to the Lineup Analysis Tool, using the Marcel the Monkey predictions from Tom Tango. For pitchers, I used the 2007 Marlins pitchers averages. The lineups rate as follows:

  • Best: 4.85 runs per game
  • Given: 4.64 runs per game
  • Worst: 4.28 runs per game

So compared to the likely lineup, the Marlins are looking at a drop of 39 runs, or about four games. That may not seem like much for a superstar, but in fact it's about right. It's unusual for a player to make more than a five game difference in a team's won-lost record all by himself. There's a chance that Maybin will perform better than his projection, which would cut that deficit even more. No matter how well Maybin hits, don't expect a better offense from the Marlins in 2008 than they produced in 2007.

Previous teams covered in the series:


Posted by David Pinto at 08:47 AM | Team Evaluation | TrackBack (0)
Comments

Waiting for the Roberts trade to do the Cubs?

Posted by: Chris at January 28, 2008 02:18 PM
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