January 28, 2008
Team Offense, Florida Marlins
We continue to look at team offenses for 2008 with the Florida Marlins. This one should be interesting since they lost a huge hitter in Miguel Cabrera.
Cameron Maybin
Photo: Icon SMI
In 2007, the Marlins scored 4.88 runs per game.
I plugged in a likely lineup to the Lineup Analysis Tool, using the Marcel the Monkey predictions from Tom Tango. For pitchers, I used the 2007 Marlins pitchers averages. The lineups rate as follows:
- Best: 4.85 runs per game
- Given: 4.64 runs per game
- Worst: 4.28 runs per game
So compared to the likely lineup, the Marlins are looking at a drop of 39 runs, or about four games. That may not seem like much for a superstar, but in fact it's about right. It's unusual for a player to make more than a five game difference in a team's won-lost record all by himself. There's a chance that Maybin will perform better than his projection, which would cut that deficit even more. No matter how well Maybin hits, don't expect a better offense from the Marlins in 2008 than they produced in 2007.
Previous teams covered in the series:
Waiting for the Roberts trade to do the Cubs?