December 03, 2007
300
Johan Santana just might be a Spartan. The Bill James Handbook 2008 lists pitchers with a chance of reaching 300 wins on page 465. Number two on that list with a 29% chance of making it is Johan Santana.
So who is #1? Sabathia? Oswalt? Hudson? Zito? Buehrle? Mulder? Somebody else around the same age and number of career wins?
Yes, Randy Johnson at 58%.
Barring medical miracles, I think Randy currently rates at 0.5%.
Will there ever be another 300 winner? Six and seven man rotations are now getting talked about.