Baseball Musings
Baseball Musings
October 21, 2007
What are the Odds?

A friend writes:

I heard that only 10 teams out of 65 have made it out of a 1-3 hole in the ALCS, the Red Sox being the last. Now that we are at game 7 how many teams won the series? Understand what I mean, what is the conditional probability now?

It's actually the post-season, not just the ALCS. I'd expect it to be 50-50, meaning about 20 times the series was forced to seven games. However, the seventh game has only been forced fourteen times. That means the team mounting the comeback won 10 out of 14 times, a .714 winnings percentage. The last two times it happened in the LCS, the team winning went on to win the World Series (2003 Marlins, 2004 Red Sox).

Correction: Sorry, the 1996 Braves lost the World Series. The Braves won the 1995 World Series.


Posted by David Pinto at 09:22 PM | Post Season | TrackBack (0)
Comments

The 1996 Braves did not win the World Series, much to my dismay...

Posted by: rocksfan at October 21, 2007 10:38 PM
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