September 06, 2007
AFILC
With the Cubs losing and Cardinals winning Thursday afternoon, the top three teams in the NL Central are tied in the all freakin' important loss column. As we all know, it's easy to make up the wins.
So course, this ignores the totally meaningless win column, and the even more ignored winning percentage column. But in fact, that latter column is extremely important. If we use it as a predictor of future performance, what we find is that we should expect the Cardinals to win 13 of their last 25 games, while we should expect the Cubs and Brewers to pick up 12 wins in their final 23 contests. That of course, leads to Chicago and Brewers leaving the Cardinals one game back.
Maybe we should be more concerned with the AFIGBC!
Update: One other thing to point out here. Twelve wins takes the Cubs and Brewers to 83 on the season, which would be a very low total for a division champion. It's even possible at this point that the winner finishes under .500.
At least this year the WS winner should have a better record than the Blue Jays.... hopefully...