August 31, 2007
Games of the Day
The Orioles travel to Boston, as two teams on losing streaks face each other. It's a nice chance for a probability lesson. When a team suffers a long losing streak, people tend to think that the team is due for a win. In other words, the probablility of the Orioles losing is lower that one would normally calculate, because the chance of losing ten games in a row, even for a bad team, is small. Of course, that's not true. Games are farily random events, so the probability of the Orioles losing today remains high. Tim Wakefield will try to keep his streak of getting a decision in every start intact, although with the Orioles ability to lose games late, his streak may end.
Fausto Carmona continues his bid for a Cy Young award as he faces AL Central doormat Chicago. He'll face the White Sox ace Mark Buehrle. The White Sox have scored 20 runs in their last eight games. They're batting .192 as a team in that stretch, and .119 with runners in scoring position.
The Phillies just made a big move on the Mets, and now Atlanta gets the same opportunity. They host the Mets and then the Phillies for three games, giving them a great opportunity to make waves in the NL East. John Maine face Tim Hudson in an excellent matchup today. Hudson is 2-0 against the Mets this year with a 1.93 ERA, while Maine was hammered in his only start against the Braves.
And it's a big night in the NL West as the four top teams go head-to-head. Colorado trails Arizona by six games as they open a three game series in Phoenix. The teams have split twelve games so far, with Colorado outscoring Arizona 51-45. The Dodgers visit San Diego, having outscored the Padres by the same score, 51-45. Los Angeles, however, is only 5-7 vs. San Diego.
Enjoy!
Posted by David Pinto at
12:38 PM
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The Mets have to be happy to get out of Philly.